Investor Sentiment .

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• Investor Sentiment https://store.theartofservice.com/the-investor-sentiment- toolkit.html

Transcript of Investor Sentiment .

Page 1: Investor Sentiment .

• Investor Sentiment

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Page 2: Investor Sentiment .

Availability bias - Business and economy

1 To illustrate, Franklin Templeton's annual Global Investor Sentiment

Survey 1 asked individuals how they believed the SP 500 Index performed

in 2009, 2010 and 2011

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Technical analysis - History tends to repeat itself

1 Technicians use these surveys to help determine whether a trend will continue or if a reversal could

develop; they are most likely to anticipate a change when the

surveys report extreme investor sentimentKirkpatrick and Dahlquist

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Market trend - Market bottom

1 Baron Rothschild is said to have advised that the best time to buy is when there is blood in the streets, i.e., when the markets have fallen

drastically and investor sentiment is extremely

negative.http://www.fool.com/investing/small-cap/2007/05/02/buy-when-theres-blood-in-the-streets.aspx Buy When There's Blood in the Streets

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Market trend - Investor sentiment

1 When a high proportion of investors express a bearish (negative) sentiment, some analysts consider it to be a strong signal that a market bottom may be near. The predictive capability of such a signal (see also market sentiment)

is thought to be highest when investor sentiment reaches extreme values.Trying to

Plumb a Bottom, By MARK HULBERT, http://online.barrons.com/article/SB12265210

5098621685.html Indicators that measure investor sentiment may include:

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BSE SENSEX - Milestones

1 *'7000, 21 June 2005' – On 20 June 2005, the news of the settlement between the

'Dhirubhai Ambani#Reliance after Dhirubhai|Ambani brothers' boosted investor sentiments and the scrips of

Reliance Industries|RIL, Reliance Energy, Reliance Capital and Indian

Petrochemicals Corporation Limited|IPCL made huge gains. This helped the SENSEX

crossed 7,000 points for the first time.

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Renaissance Capital (Russian company) - History

1 The negative outlook reflected the medium- and longer-term earnings and risk management challenges facing a business that is still very

reliant on the markets and investor sentiment towards Russia, Fitch said

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Lehman Brothers bankruptcy - Impact of bankruptcy filing

1 This episode has deep repercussions on the banking industry, where

misguided investor sentiments have become hostile to both wealth

management products as well as the banking industry as a whole

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Economic crises - International financial crises

1 While devaluation and default could both be voluntary decisions of the

government, they are often perceived to be the involuntary results of a change in investor

sentiment that leads to a Sudden stop (economics)|sudden stop in

capital inflows or a sudden increase in capital flight.

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Fundamental analysis - Procedures

1 The analysis of a business' health starts with financial statement analysis that includes financial ratio|ratios. It looks at dividends

paid, operating cash flow, new equity issues and capital financing. The earnings

estimates and growth rate projections published widely by Thomson Reuters and

others can be considered either 'fundamental' (they are facts) or 'technical' (they are investor sentiment) based on your

perception of their validity.

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Stocks for the Long Run - Outline

1 *Stock Returns: Stock Averages, Dividends, Earnings, and Investor Sentiment, Large Stocks, Small

Stocks, Value Stocks, Growth Stocks, The Nifty Fifty Revisited, Taxes and

Stock Returns, Global Investing.

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Contrarian investing - Examples of contrarian investing

1 Commonly used contrarian indicators for investor sentiment are Volatility

(finance)| Volatility Indexes (informally also referred to as Fear

indexes), like VIX, which by tracking the prices of Option (finance)|

financial options, gives a numeric measure of how pessimistic or

optimistic market actors at large are

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Stock market index - Types of indices

1 A 'national' index represents the performance of the stock market of a given

nation—and by proxy, reflects investor sentiment on the state of its economy. The most regularly quoted market indices are national indices composed of the stocks of large companies listed on a nation's largest stock exchanges, such as the American SP

500, the Japanese Nikkei 225, and the British FTSE 100.

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Economy of Qatar - Industry

1 But the global financial crisis has put a significant dent in demand in the region, as project credit lines dry up

and investor sentiment remains cautious

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International Securities Exchange

1 ISE offers equity and index options, including proprietary index products, as

well as FX options based on foreign currency pairs. ISE also offers market data tools designed for sophisticated investors

seeking information on investor sentiment, volatility (finance)|volatility, and other

options data. In 2013, ISE strengthened its focus on ETF and Index development with

Introduction of ISE ETF Ventures.

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Data Explorers - Services and products

1 Markit announced a new index on Sep 16 2009, the Markit Data

Explorers U.S. Sector Sentiment Index, that reflects sector-level investor sentiment derived from

securities lending and short-selling information.[http://www.pionline.com/article/20090916/DAILYREG/9091699

89 New index to gauge securities lending, short selling]

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David Dreman - Scholarly Articles

1 *A Report on the March 2001 Investor Sentiment Survey. David Dreman, S. Johnson, D. MacGregor

and Paul Slovic, 2001. The Journal of Psychology and Financial Markets

(now The Journal of Behavioral Finance).

[http://www.psychologyandmarkets.org/pdf_files/3_2001_investor_sentime

nt2.pdf article]https://store.theartofservice.com/the-investor-sentiment-toolkit.html

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Unit Trust of India

1 The real vibrancy and competition in the MF industry came with the

setting up of the Regulator SEBI and its laying down the MF Regulations

in 1993.UTI maintained its pre-eminent place till 2001, when a

massive decline in the market indices and negative investor sentiments

after the Ketan Parekh scam created doubts about the capacity of UTI to meet its obligations to the investors

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