INVESTOR QUARTERLY - iradesso
Transcript of INVESTOR QUARTERLY - iradesso
Q2 2012
I N V E S T O RQ U A R T E R LY
CANADIAN OIL & GAS COMPARISON
RELEASED SEPTEMBER 2012/ VOLUME 27 ISSN 1718-9799 iq.bmir.com
FINANCIAL and OPERATING RESULTSfor 49 Juniors and 31 Intermediates
FEATURING FACT SHEETSfrom Juniors, Intermediates and Internationals
ENERGY SHARE PRICES MOUNT
COMEBACK
Shares battle back after batteringNatural gas prices, producers on the upswing
Yikes! Not since the stock market crash of 2008 have the share prices of Western Canada’s energy companies been battered so badly. That's the sobering news about the second quarter of 2012. Fortunately, share prices are mounting a comeback.
That's one of the many gems in the latest iQ Report, a quarterly
comparison of the financial and operating results of Western Canada’s junior and intermediate oil and gas producers. We’ve included every conventional oil and gas company that operates in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin, trades on the TSX or TSX Venture exchange and produces between 500 and 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. We’ve also included a list of emerging companies and international players.
All 49 junior players in this peer group lost ground in the stock market in the second quarter of 2012 and all but five of the 31 intermediates lost ground. The median junior declined 34.0% over the same period while the median intermediate declined 16.3%.
Investors will remember that the first quarter of 2012 wasn’t a walk in the park either. The median junior declined 5.6% in the first quarter of 2012 while the median intermediate company declined 16.3%. Depressed natural gas prices served as the primary driver for the decline.
The Henry Hub Gulf Coast Natural Gas Spot Price fell to $1.82 (U.S.) per million British Thermal units (MMBtu) on April 20, 2012, its lowest level since hitting $1.69 per MMBtu on November 16, 2001,
more than 10 years earlier. Since that time, natural gas prices spiked to $18.48 per MMBtu on February 25, 2003 and climbed to highs of $15.39 per MMBtu in 2005 and $13.31 per MMBtu in 2008.
Fortunately, natural gas prices may have bottomed. On July 31, 2012, the Henry Hub price climbed back to $3.20 per MMBtu, settling back to $2.83 per MMBtu on September 17, 2012.
The recent upswing in natural gas prices and the associated optimism on the part of investors translated into a healthy resurgence in share prices in the two months following the end of the second quarter of 2012. Some investors who were sitting on the sidelines have decided to jump back into the market. During the months of July and August, the median junior gained 8.6% while the median intermediate delivered a return of 6.8%. Oil and gas companies have a lot of ground to cover to make up for all their losses and not all of them will survive the battle, but the share price trend is moving in the right direction.
This report helps identify industry trends and serves as one way in which Bryan Mills Iradesso helps public oil and gas companies communicate with investors. We use one-page snapshots after each section of comparison charts to highlight some of our clients. For investors with cash, the information in this report will help you evaluate your investment options as you consider taking advantage of an apparent comeback in natural gas prices and share prices to come back to the market.
Geoffrey Vanderburg Editor, iQ Report Bryan Mills Iradesso
MES
SAG
E FR
OM
TH
E ED
ITO
R
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 1
Suite 2240, 140 - 4th Avenue SWCalgary, AB T2P 3N3
telephone: 403.503.0144toll-free: 1.866.415.1070email: [email protected]
SEPTEMBER 2012 / VOL. 27.
EDITOR Geoffrey Vanderburg
RESEARCHERS & CONTRIBUTORS Laura Bechtel, Tamara Bowlby, Jory Debenham, Dave Fearman, Angela Iori and Glen Nelson.
Data provided by CanOils Database Limited and BMIR researchers
PRODUCTION COORDINATOR Tammy Cote
DESIGNERS Alyssa Polnick Thomas Magee Candace Evans
PRODUCTION ARTIST Robert Bourassa
PRINTER Rhino Print Solutions
Please email us at [email protected] or fill out the subscription form at iq.bmir.com to ensure you receive your free copy of the iQ Report.
R E L E A S E S C H E D U L E
Q3 2012 iQ Release:
Week of December 10, 2012
Q2 2012 Review
The number of junior oil and gas companies operating in Western Canada has been on the decline for seven years, but the slide appeared to halt in the second quarter of 2011 at 53 companies. After stabilizing for three quarters, the number of players dropped below this level in the second quarter of 2012, declining to 49 companies. The decline includes two companies that dropped out of the category due to a reduction in their production, two that graduated out of the category thanks to an increase in their production and two that were acquired. Meanwhile, two companies entered the category, leaving a net loss of four. By comparison, the intermediate category continues to grow, increasing from 29 companies in the first quarter of 2012 to 31 companies in the second quarter. This compares with 30 companies in the intermediate category in the second quarter of 2011 and only 23 companies in the category in the second quarter of 2010. We define juniors as conventional producers that operate in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin, trade on the TSX or TSX Venture exchange and produce between 500 and 10,000 boe/d. We've defined intermediates as companies that produce between 10,000 and 100,000 boe/d.
The juniors have finally done it. After years of trying to reduce their dependence on natural gas, the juniors managed to produce as much oil as gas in the second quarter of 2012. Painfully low natural gas prices served as a powerful motivator. Since the second quarter of 2009 when the average junior had a natural gas weighting of 76%, the juniors have been chipping away at their natural gas weighting. The gas weighting declined to 65% in the second quarter of 2010, 56% in the second quarter of 2011 and 50% in the second quarter of 2012. By comparison, the average intermediate continues to produce more natural gas than oil with a 62% weighting in the second quarter of 2012. This compares with a 70% natural gas weighting for the intermediates in the second quarter of 2010 and 68% in the second quarter of 2011. The intermediates reducing their natural gas exposure, but it takes a while to turn a big ship around.
Oil and gas companies paid slightly more to do slightly less in the second quarter of 2012. Operating expenses and general and administrative expenses increased for both the juniors and intermediates during the quarter while the ratio of net debt to cash flow increased and production per share declined. Production per share decreased 4% for the juniors and 1% for the intermediates. The median junior's overall production declined 2% during the quarter while the median intermediate managed to deliver a 1% increase in overall production.
Depressed share prices render the equity markets off limits as a financing option for many companies, so it makes sense that debt to cash flow ratios are well above their historical average. When equity markets aren’t providing capital at a reasonable value, companies often turn to debt to finance growth. While the median junior oil and gas company reported a debt ratio of 2.0 times cash flow in the second quarter of 2012, the median intermediate reported a debt ratio of 2.7 times cash flow. This is higher than the average over the previous three years of 1.8 times cash flow for both the juniors and intermediates. This measurement compares how long it would theoretically take in years to become debt free if cash flow remained steady year after year and it was dedicated 100 percent to paying down debt. The ratio is affected by both decreased cash flow and increased debt.
THE NUMBER OF JUNIORS IS SL IDING
OIL AND GAS WEIGHTING DRAWS EVEN
IT 'S COSTING MORE TO DO LESS
DEBT INCHES UP
COMMUNICATION MATTERS
Information for investors
iq.bmir.com
C O N T E N T S
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M2
1 Q2 2012 REVIEW
4 WHEELING AND DEALING
5 JUNIOR COMPARISON CHARTS 6 Q2 Production (boe/d)
7 Q2 Production Mix - Natural Gas Weighting (%)
8 Change in Production - Q2 2012 to Q2 2012 (%)
9 Change in production per share - Q1 2012 to Q2 2012
10 Enterprise Value Versus Q2 Production ($ per boe/d)
11 Q2 Cash Flow Netback ($/boe)
12 Q2 Operating and Transportation Expenses ($/boe)
13 Q2 General and Administrative Cash Expenses ($/boe)
14 Q2 Depletion, Depreciation and Accretion Expenses ($/boe)
15 Annualized Q2 Cash Flow Multiples
16 Q2 Net Debt to Annualized Cash Flow
17 Investment Returns – Capital Gains and Distributions or Dividends (%)
18 Juniors Listing – Data Table
30 INTERMEDIATE COMPARISON CHARTS 31 Q2 Production (boe/d)
31 Q2 Production Mix - Natural Gas Weighting (%)
32 Change in Production - Q1 2012 to Q2 2012 (%)
32 Change in Production per share - Q1 2012 to Q2 2012
33 Enterprise Value Versus Q2 Production ($ per boe/d)
33 Q2 Cash Flow Netback ($/boe)
34 Q2 Operating and Transportation Expenses ($/boe)
34 Q2 General and Administrative Cash Expenses ($/boe)
35 Q2 Depletion, Depreciation and Accretion Expenses ($/boe)
35 Annualized Q2 Cash Flow Multiples
36 Q2 Net Debt to Annualized Cash Flow
36 Q2 Total Return - Capital Gains and Distributions (%)
37 Intermediates Listing – Data Table
44 CANADIAN COMPANIES OPERATING ABROAD
48 EMERGING CONVENTIONAL COMPANIES WATCH LIST
48 EMERGING OIL SANDS COMPANIES 49 IQ TRENDS
I N T H I S I S S U E SEPTEMBER 2012
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 3
RETURN UNDELIVERABLE CANADIAN ADDRESSES TO:
BRYAN MILLS IRADESSO
2240, 140 4th Avenue SW, Calgary, AB T2P 3N3
ABBREVIATIONS
bbls • barrels of oil
boe • barrels of oil equivalent
boe/d • barrels of oil equivalent per day
mcf • thousand cubic feet
mmcf • million cubic feet
NGLs • natural gas liquids
ASSUMPTIONS
• Barrels of oil equivalent calculated using 6 mcf = 1 boe.
• Net debt has been calculated by including bank debt, debentures, preferred convertible shares and working capital.
• For companies with A/B share structures, B shares have been converted to A shares using end-of-period share prices.
• Exchangeable shares have been converted to common shares using end-of-period exchange ratios.
D I S C L A I M E R
The information used to compile this report is publicly
available. Bryan Mills Iradesso provides the comparison to
shine the spotlight on these segments of the energy industry,
and to communicate the achievements and growth potential
of the oil and gas companies and trusts. The iQ Report does not
constitute a solicitation or recommendation for the purchase
or sale of any security; it is provided for information only and
is not intended to serve as investment advice. Bryan Mills
Iradesso cannot be held responsible for accuracy and all readers
are encouraged to conduct their own research. This report
is provided by Bryan Mills Iradesso as a service to the reader
without responsibility for accuracy. Bryan Mills Iradesso must
be credited with developing the iQ Report if any part of it is
reproduced. The companies that have provided a corporate
profile for this report have paid Bryan Mills Iradesso a fee.
38 Crescent Point Energy
39 Equal Energy
40 Guide Exploration
41 Perpetual Energy
42 PetroBakken Energy
46 Bengal Energy
47 Petrominerales
I N T E R M E D I AT E S N A P S H OT S
I N T E R N AT I O N A L S N A P S H OT S
19 Arsenal Energy
20 Delphi Energy
21 Exall Energy
22 Hyperion Exploration
23 Marquee Energy
24 Novus Energy
25 Strategic Oil & Gas
26 Surge Energy
27 Tamarack Valley Energy
28 Yoho Resources
J U N I O R S N A P S H OT S
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M4
JUN
IOR
& IN
TERM
EDIA
TE D
EALS
IQ REPORT CATEGORY CHANGES
• Edge moved to Juniors from Emerging
• Pine Cliff moved to Juniors from Emerging
• Twoco moved to Emerging from Juniors
• Torquay moved to Emerging from Juniors
• Westfire moved to Intermediate from Juniors
• Whitecap moved to Intermediate from Juniors
DEALS ANNOUNCED BUT NOT CLOSED ( i Q Co m p a n i e s )
• Progress Energy Resources Corp. to be acquired by PETRONAS (expected close Sept 2012)
• Cumberland Oil & Gas Ltd. to be acquired by Kallisto Energy Corp. (expected close Oct 2012)
• Tallgrass Energy Corp. to be acquired by Anglo Canadian Oil Corp. (expected close Oct 2012)
• Canadian Energy Exploration Inc. to be acquired by Standard Exploration Ltd. (expected close Oct 2012)
• Geomark Exploration Ltd. to be acquired by Pine Cliff Energy Ltd. (expected close Oct 2012)
• WestFire Energy Ltd. to be acquired by Guide Exploration Ltd. (expected close Oct 2012)
• Waseca Energy Inc. to be acquired by Twin Butte Energy Ltd. (expected close Nov 2012)
• Solara Exploration Ltd. to merge with Verity Energy Ltd. (closing date not announced)
DEALS ANNOUNCED BUT NOT CLOSED ( n o n i Q Co m p a n i e s )
• Bentley Oil & Gas to be acquired by Exito Energy Inc. (expected close Sept 2012)
• Nexen Inc. to be acquired by China National Offshore Corporation (expected close Dec 2012)
DONE DEALS ( i Q Co m p a n i e s )
The following deals have closed since our previous iQ Report in June 2012.
• Compton Petroleum Corporation acquired by MFC Industrial Ltd.
• PetroMagdalena Energy Corp. acquired by Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp.
• Cutpick Energy Inc. acquired by Crescent Point Energy Corp.
• Open Range Energy Corp. acquired by Peyto
• National Petroleum Company Egypt Limited acquired by Sea Dragon Energy Inc.
• In a transaction with Legacy Oil + Gas, Bowood Energy was recapitalized as LGX Oil + Gas Inc., a new emerging company (July 2012)
DONE DEALS ( n o n i Q Co m p a n i e s )
• Kayuco Universal Ltd. acquired by Westbridge Energy Corporation
• TexAlta Industries Ltd. acquired by Petrostar Petroleum Corporation
wheeling & dealing
The above transactions only affect the iQ Report comparison charts in cases where the companies meet the criteria for inclusion in the report. The focus is on public companies. This list is not exhaustive.
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 5
junior oil & gas companies
C O M PA R I S O N
INCLUSION CRITERIA
• Primary business must be oil and gas exploration, development and production
• Q2 2012 production must fall between 500 and 10,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d)
• Majority of production must be from Western Canada
• Must be publicly traded on the TSX or TSX Venture Exchange
559
652
737
739
972
1,106
1,201
1,403
1,690
1,711
1,733
1,942
2,022
2,091
2,159
2,193
2,341
2,356
2,396
2,442
2,520
2,583
2,584
2,641
2,654
2,750
2,887
2,951
3,172
3,204
3,555
3,712
3,805
3,822
3,834
4,763
5,254
5,438
5,745
5,881
6,037
6,604
6,825
8,290
8,501
8,636
8,660
9,275
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000
Argosy
Petro-Reef
Edge
WranglerWest
PineCliff
Exall
Sure
Hyperion
Shoreline
Raging River
Manitok
Palliser
Yangarra
TriOil
Rock
Tamarack
Vero
Sonde
Marquee
Yoho
Waldron
Strategic
Storm
SecondWave
Artek
Spartan
Novus
Pinecrest
Charger
Insignia
Arsenal
Renegade
DeeThree
Skope
AvenEx
RMP
Arcan
Terra
PaintedPony
Longview
Bonterra
Crocotta
Anderson
Zargon
Freehold
Delphi
Cequence
Surge
production tells only part of the storyProduction numbers tell only part of the story when it comes to identifying investment opportunities in the oil and gas sector. Savvy investors know that small oil and gas companies may have the people and prospects to turn any venture into a great investment. While juniors have the potential to be the next big thing, most of today’s juniors are small. Very small. In fact, if you add together the average daily production levels of every company in the sector you get 169,027 boe/d for second quarter 2012, less than the 213,200 boe/d Nexen produced during the same period.
For our iQ Report, we define juniors as companies with production from 500 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) to 10,000 boe/d. Other parameters are included on the previous page.
“Intermediate” and “emerging” domestic companies are featured in sections beginning on page 30 and 48 respectively. A map of Canadian-based international companies is found on page 44.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M6
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N Q2 2012 PRODUCTION (BOE/D)Median = 2,648 boe/d
0
2
3
3
3
7
13
17
21
23
24
24
25
27
29
32
32
33
35
37
38
41
48
49
52
57
58
58
60
61
62
65
66
67
68
69
73
74
75
75
75
77
77
78
83
83
87
100
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Pinecrest
Arcan
Raging River
Renegade
Palliser
Exall
Strategic
Spartan
SecondWave
Rock
Longview
TriOil
Novus
Arsenal
Surge
Vero
Bonterra
Hyperion
Zargon
Freehold
DeeThree
Sure
Petro-Reef
Marquee
AvenEx
Storm
Tamarack
Edge
RMP
Artek
Yangarra
Anderson
Charger
Argosy
Sonde
Crocotta
Waldron
Insignia
Yoho
PaintedPony
Delphi
Shoreline
PineCliff
Manitok
WranglerWest
Terra
Cequence
Skope
oil and gas weighting reaches equilibriumOil has been priced higher than natural gas for a long time, but the juniors have historically produced more natural gas than oil, in part because gas is easier to find in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. In the past years, however, juniors have managed to slowly increase their oil weighting. In the second quarter of 2012, the median junior had a natural gas weighting of 50%, on par with oil and a significant change from the second quarter of 2009 when the weighting was 76%.
To calculate our weighting, we include natural gas liquids (NGLs) with oil production. Produced liquids get prices that are similar to oil, with much stronger margins than natural gas.
As is standard, we convert natural gas into oil equivalence by using a ratio of six thousand cubic feet (mcf) of natural gas to one barrel of oil equivalent (boe). This ratio comes from an energy equivalence at the burner tip.
FORMULAavg. natural gas production per day (boe/d)
avg. total production
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 7
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
NQ2 PRODUCTION MIX — NATURAL GAS WEIGHTING (%)Median = 50%
(48.8)
(21.5)
(17.9)
(15.2)
(14.2)
(12.7)
(12.1)
(11.6)
(11.1)
(10.9)
(10.2)
(9.8)
(8.5)
(7.4)
(6.2)
(6.2)
(5.7)
(5.5)
(5.2)
(4.1)
(4.0)
(3.4)
(2.7)
(2.3)
(2.2)
(1.1)
1.9
3.0
3.6
5.1
5.3
5.9
6.5
6.9
7.6
7.8
10.6
22.8
24.2
25.1
30.5
35.6
44.5
58.4
76.5
110.3
142.3
172.4
(100.0) (50.0) 0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0
Vero
Manitok
PaintedPony
Petro-Reef
Sonde
Longview
Pinecrest
AvenEx
Rock
Skope
Waldron
WranglerWest
Cequence
Sure
Bonterra
Zargon
Anderson
Yangarra
RMP
Arsenal
Delphi
Insignia
Freehold
Terra
Crocotta
Exall
Renegade
Surge
Shoreline
Novus
Artek
Edge
Argosy
Hyperion
Palliser
Arcan
Yoho
Raging River
SecondWave
DeeThree
TriOil
Marquee
Spartan
Strategic
Tamarack
Storm
PineCliff
Charger
production levels slipWhen comparing the second quarter with first quarter 2012, only 22 of the 48 junior producers on this list managed to increase their production levels, exceeding the natural production declines of their existing wells. Those companies that experienced the highest rates of growth in Q2 did so because they either made acquisitions or had successful well completions, enabling them to bring significant new production on stream. Companies at the bottom of this chart may have sold some of production recently or experienced technical difficulties. Savvy investors take the time to find out why production levels changed and assess whether the change is likely to continue.
FORMULAcurrent period avg. production – previous period avg. production
previous period avg. production
Note: Gas production converted to boe at 6 mcf: 1 boe.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M8
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N CHANGE IN PRODUCTION — Q1 2012 TO Q2 2012 (%)Median = -2.2%
(48.8)
(21.5)
(21.3)
(18.3)
(18.2)
(15.2)
(14.2)
(12.7)
(12.4)
(11.7)
(11.7)
(10.9)
(10.2)
(10.1)
(9.8)
(8.7)
(7.4)
(6.7)
(6.5)
(6.5)
(5.7)
(5.4)
(4.0)
(3.8)
(3.4)
(3.2)
(2.5)
(2.3)
(2.2)
(1.4)
2.1
3.4
5.3
5.8
6.5
6.9
7.6
7.7
9.6
10.6
12.8
18.2
23.8
27.8
31.5
55.2
58.3
122.0
(60.0) (40.0) (20.0) 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0
Vero
Manitok
Edge
Pinecrest
PaintedPony
Petro-Reef
Sonde
Longview
AvenEx
Renegade
Rock
Skope
Waldron
Cequence
WranglerWest
Yangarra
Sure
Bonterra
Zargon
Freehold
Anderson
RMP
Delphi
Arsenal
Raging River
Insignia
Novus
Terra
Crocotta
Exall
Surge
Shoreline
Artek
Tamarack
Argosy
Hyperion
Palliser
Arcan
Yoho
TriOil
Marquee
DeeThree
SecondWave
Spartan
Storm
Charger
Strategic
PineCliff
losing the battle on a per share basisGood deal making, smart operational decisions and successful drilling can allow oil and gas companies to increase production without increasing the number of outstanding shares. As is evident from the median decline of 3.6% in the second quarter of 2012, increasing production on a per-share basis is not easy to do. Any company that can consistently add production and reserves on a per-share basis will achieve a strong return for investors.
It costs money to increase production, whether it be via drilling or acquisitions. Therefore, junior companies need to deploy their cash flow carefully in order to grow, and they need to augment their cash flow with equity or debt financings in order to sustain their growth.
FORMULAcurrent production per share – previous production per share
previous production per share
Note: Production per share = average production rate for the period divided by basic weighted average shares outstanding during the period.
Gas production converted to boe at 6 mcf: 1 boe.
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 9
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
NCHANGE IN PRODUCTION PER SHARE — Q1 2012 TO Q2 2012 (%)Median = -3.6%
10,319
11,360
13,706
16,342
16,425
21,477
21,563
22,006
28,513
30,132
31,811
32,780
33,791
37,623
37,989
38,681
40,335
41,529
41,636
43,311
44,231
44,437
48,029
49,978
50,697
51,173
52,616
53,760
56,209
57,688
59,155
61,389
65,027
69,546
69,726
71,275
71,919
78,956
85,027
90,140
101,502
103,668
108,077
111,967
138,214
152,182
154,590
169,817
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000
WranglerWest
Sonde
Skope
Insignia
Rock
Terra
Shoreline
Waldron
Cequence
Charger
Delphi
Palliser
Petro-Reef
Yangarra
Arsenal
Anderson
Marquee
Zargon
Tamarack
Yoho
Hyperion
Crocotta
Argosy
Artek
RMP
Vero
TriOil
Storm
Sure
AvenEx
Strategic
Edge
Novus
SecondWave
PineCliff
Longview
Manitok
Surge
Arcan
Renegade
Exall
DeeThree
PaintedPony
Spartan
Pinecrest
Raging River
Freehold
Bonterra
production valueThis chart shows each company’s enterprise value (market capitalization plus net debt) in relation to its average Q2 production levels. The chart does not take into account the value of land and seismic data or the quality and life expectancy of oil and gas reserves.
Companies that are high on this chart may be there because investors deem them to have strong growth prospects, quality long-life reserves, high field netbacks, high dividend or distribution yields, or exceptional management teams.
Companies that are low on this chart may be good value investments with excellent upside potential for investors who do their homework.
FORMULAmarket capitalization + net debt
avg. production in boe
Notes: Market capitalization = August 31 share price x Q2 weighted average basic shares outstanding.
Net debt = bank debt + debentures – working capital.
For A/B share structure companies, the separate market price of B shares is factored into the market capitalization.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M10
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N ENTERPRISE VALUE VERSUS Q2 PRODUCTION ($ PER BOE/D)Median = $50,337 per boe/d
(14.53)
(8.33)
(6.84)
(1.17)
5.10
5.79
5.80
8.31
8.63
8.70
8.92
9.31
9.58
10.46
10.98
11.43
12.25
14.08
14.38
14.72
15.61
15.75
17.14
17.93
18.99
20.22
20.42
21.26
22.25
22.55
22.80
26.67
27.40
28.45
29.10
30.14
30.46
32.16
32.67
34.78
35.00
36.02
39.84
41.98
42.60
48.11
48.54
59.09
(20.00) (10.00) 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00
Argosy
Terra
Sonde
Edge
Charger
Cequence
PineCliff
Waldron
Petro-Reef
WranglerWest
Delphi
Marquee
Shoreline
Skope
Yoho
Insignia
Anderson
Tamarack
Artek
PaintedPony
Storm
Manitok
Zargon
Rock
Yangarra
Arsenal
Crocotta
Sure
RMP
Longview
AvenEx
Freehold
Hyperion
DeeThree
Surge
Bonterra
Arcan
Vero
Novus
Strategic
TriOil
Palliser
SecondWave
Renegade
Exall
Raging River
Spartan
Pinecrest
margins rise materiallyThe median cash flow netback for Q2 2012 of $18.46/boe is still lower than previous years, but does show an increase over the Q1 2012 netback of $17.56. A stronger netback is largely a reflection of the juniors’ increasing oil weighting in combination with strong oil prices.
Cash flow is the result of adding back non-cash expenses such as depreciation and future taxes to net earnings. Cash flow takes into account the hard costs of operating as well as general and administrative costs.
Companies near the top of this chart are seeing the most economic benefit from existing production. Meanwhile, those near the bottom have costs that are reducing their margins.
FORMULAcash flow from operations
total production in the period
Note: Total production in the period = average daily production x 91 days in the period.
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 11
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
NQ2 CASH FLOW NETBACK ($/BOE)Median = $18.46/boe
3.96
6.96
7.86
8.00
8.32
8.54
8.78
9.18
10.18
10.42
10.51
10.61
10.64
11.18
11.76
11.84
11.95
12.07
12.15
12.53
13.23
13.23
13.37
13.68
13.94
14.10
14.54
14.58
14.89
15.09
15.96
15.99
15.99
16.13
16.80
17.97
18.31
19.64
19.95
20.30
20.79
21.51
21.61
21.75
22.34
22.45
22.70
24.69
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00
Freehold
Crocotta
PineCliff
Yangarra
Spartan
RMP
Skope
PaintedPony
Yoho
Cequence
Anderson
Waldron
Manitok
Delphi
Tamarack
Artek
Vero
WranglerWest
Insignia
DeeThree
Surge
Exall
Novus
Hyperion
Petro-Reef
Edge
Storm
TriOil
Shoreline
Pinecrest
Bonterra
Charger
Raging River
Renegade
Zargon
Sure
Marquee
Arsenal
AvenEx
Sonde
Strategic
Terra
Arcan
Palliser
Rock
Longview
SecondWave
Argosy
cost controlOperating and transportation expenses in Q2 2012 were slightly higher than the $13.36/boe reported in Q1 2012 and the $13.53/boe reported in Q2 2011.
Companies that do a good job of controlling operating and transportation costs earn more money from their production. The ability to be an efficient operator relates to the productivity of wells, the proximity of producing areas, economies of scale, control over facilities and a company’s production methods. Some companies with high operating costs this quarter may be incurring expenses in an operating area that will not increase when production increases for the area, showing the potential for improving economies of scale.
FORMULAoperating expenses including transportation costs
total production in the period
Note: Total production in the period = average daily production x 91 days in the period.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M12
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N Q2 OPERATING AND TRANSPORTATION EXPENSES ($/BOE)Median = $13.81/boe
1.04
1.55
1.62
1.99
2.13
2.25
2.33
2.56
2.69
2.83
2.84
3.04
3.17
3.21
3.23
3.33
3.46
3.50
3.50
3.58
3.61
3.63
3.94
3.98
4.13
4.14
4.28
4.43
4.49
4.58
4.73
5.10
5.16
5.20
5.35
5.97
5.99
6.26
7.06
7.65
7.71
8.05
8.72
10.57
11.12
11.66
15.94
22.23
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
Longview
Skope
Crocotta
Spartan
Freehold
PaintedPony
Delphi
Cequence
SecondWave
Bonterra
DeeThree
Yangarra
RMP
Yoho
Waldron
Arsenal
Artek
WranglerWest
Surge
PineCliff
Tamarack
Insignia
Anderson
Raging River
Storm
Palliser
Zargon
TriOil
Pinecrest
Charger
Terra
Shoreline
Renegade
Rock
Exall
Sure
Vero
Novus
Strategic
Hyperion
Manitok
Marquee
Arcan
Edge
Petro-Reef
Sonde
AvenEx
Argosy
the cost of doing businessGeneral and administrative expenses (G&A) pay for the engineering, geology, accounting, business development and other office-related expenses of oil and gas companies. G&A should be lower per boe for larger companies because many of these costs are fixed and do not increase with the amount of production. A lower amount of G&A per boe is good as long as it isn’t at the cost of growth or of meeting the regulatory and legal requirements of being a public company.
Savvy investors should take the time to understand what is happening that causes expenses to be higher than peers and whether or not it will translate into growth that will reward shareholders.
Non-cash compensation expenses, mostly stock options and other share or unit-based incentives, often make up a significant portion of compensation packages at junior oil and gas companies. These are not included in this chart.
FORMULAgeneral & administrative expenses
total production in the period
Note: Total production in the period = average daily production x 91 days in the period.
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 13
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
NQ2 GENERAL AND ADMINISTRATIVE CASH EXPENSES ($/BOE)Median = $4.05/boe
9.39
9.76
11.72
13.00
13.23
13.68
13.79
13.98
14.04
14.66
14.72
14.90
15.98
16.04
16.29
16.61
16.89
17.13
17.46
17.50
17.93
18.06
18.53
18.90
19.07
19.33
19.50
19.50
19.79
20.20
20.28
21.54
22.12
22.37
23.16
23.58
23.86
24.77
24.90
24.98
25.07
26.67
27.60
27.76
29.21
29.64
31.30
32.35
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00
Skope
PineCliff
Terra
Sonde
Shoreline
Bonterra
Yoho
Artek
Delphi
Edge
Crocotta
Waldron
Charger
Manitok
WranglerWest
PaintedPony
Insignia
Zargon
Argosy
Storm
AvenEx
Cequence
Arsenal
Longview
Freehold
Petro-Reef
Spartan
Vero
Marquee
DeeThree
Anderson
Novus
Surge
Hyperion
Exall
Rock
Tamarack
Palliser
RMP
Sure
Arcan
Yangarra
TriOil
SecondWave
Raging River
Strategic
Pinecrest
Renegade
the cost of finding reservesDepletion, depreciation and accretion expenses (DD&A) may be considered an approximation of finding, development and acquisition costs for oil and gas reserves. DD&A expenses are an ongoing writedown of assets as they are used up. Increasing amounts may mean reserves were more expensive to acquire in the first place and as a result are losing value on the company’s books at a faster pace.
FORMULAdepletion, depreciation & accretion expenses
total production in the period
Note: Total production in the period = average daily production x 91 days in the period.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M14
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N Q2 DEPLETION, DEPRECIATION AND ACCRETION EXPENSES ($/BOE)Median = $ 18.99/boe
2.5
2.5
3.3
3.6
3.9
4.1
4.4
4.4
4.7
4.8
5.2
5.4
5.5
5.9
6.0
6.2
6.3
6.3
6.4
6.5
6.7
6.9
7.3
7.3
7.5
7.7
8.1
8.7
8.7
8.7
9.5
9.6
9.8
10.0
10.8
10.8
11.9
12.5
13.5
15.5
15.9
16.2
20.2
33.0
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0
Palliser
Rock
WranglerWest
Skope
Insignia
TriOil
Vero
Hyperion
Strategic
SecondWave
Arsenal
Yangarra
Novus
Renegade
Crocotta
Shoreline
RMP
Spartan
Pinecrest
Exall
Zargon
AvenEx
Sure
Waldron
Surge
Arcan
Tamarack
Anderson
Longview
Raging River
Storm
Artek
Delphi
DeeThree
Petro-Reef
Yoho
Marquee
Manitok
Cequence
Bonterra
Freehold
Charger
PaintedPony
PineCliff
Edge
Argosy
Terra
Sonde
These four companies had Q2 cash flow that was negative or negligible in comparison to their enterprise value and market capitalization.
multiplying cash flowThe dark bars on this chart show each company’s enterprise value as it relates to annualized cash flow. The lighter bars indicate the market capitalization to annualized cash flow. The difference between the two bars is each company’s net debt. Therefore, a quick glance at this chart doesn’t only show where a company trades in relation to its cash flow, but also shows debt positions.
This calculation of annualized cash flow multiples uses the closing market price on August 31, 2012 combined with Q2 2012 weighted average shares outstanding, net debt and cash flow. The values shown on the chart relate to the enterprise value multiples of annualized cash flow denoted by the dark bars.
FORMULAenterprise value
(cash flow for period x 4)
Note: Enterprise value = (Q2 weighted average basic shares x August 31, 2012 share price) + net debt.
For A/B share structure companies, the separate market price of B shares is also factored into the market capitalization.
Enterprise Value to Annualized Cash Flow
Market Capitalization to Annualized Cash Flow
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 15
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
NANNUALIZED Q2 CASH FLOW MULTIPLESMarket Capitalization to Annualized Cash Flow Median = 4.6 Enterprise Value to Annualized Cash Flow Median = 6.6
(1.4)
(1.0)
(0.5)
(0.4)
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.7
0.8
0.8
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.6
1.7
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.2
2.3
2.3
2.4
2.4
2.5
2.5
3.0
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.5
3.6
3.6
4.2
4.8
5.1
5.5
6.2
7.1
9.5
9.6
(2.0) 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0
PaintedPony
Spartan
Rock
TriOil
Strategic
Pinecrest
Raging River
Freehold
Insignia
Vero
Crocotta
Manitok
Palliser
DeeThree
Novus
Renegade
RMP
Zargon
Surge
WranglerWest
AvenEx
Yoho
Arsenal
Hyperion
Bonterra
Yangarra
Longview
Cequence
Sure
SecondWave
Storm
Shoreline
Exall
Skope
Artek
Tamarack
Delphi
Waldron
Arcan
Marquee
Petro-Reef
Anderson
PineCliff
Charger
Edge
Argosy
Terra
Sonde
The four companies at the bottom of this graph had positive cash positions rather than net debt. As noted above, Sonde also reported a surplus, but had negative cash flow.
Sonde, Terra, Argosy and Edge had negative cash flow for the quarter. While Terra, Argosy and Edge reported net debt, Sonde reported a surplus.
until debt do us partThis measurement compares, in years, how long it would take to become debt free if cash flow remained steady year after year and it was 100 percent dedicated to paying down the debt based on the end of Q2. In times where equity markets aren’t providing capital at a reasonable value, it can be advantageous for companies to be able to utilize debt to finance growth. Assuming they are creditworthy, companies with less debt may be in the fortunate position of having more options open to take advantage of asset-buying opportunities. Companies with higher debt may not have as many desirable options.
Companies with negative values on the chart have a positive working capital position that they will be able to use to fund growth.
FORMULAnet debt
cash flow for period x 4
Note: Net debt = bank debt + debentures – working capital
Convertible debentures make up a portion of the debt load for Anderson, Arcan, Equal, Painted Pony, Reliable, Strategic and Twoco.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M16
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N Q2 NET DEBT TO ANNUALIZED CASH FLOWMedian = 2.0
(87.0)
(74.5)
(67.7)
(67.7)
(59.4)
(59.2)
(55.7)
(52.6)
(51.8)
(51.2)
(50.0)
(45.0)
(44.9)
(37.5)
(36.7)
(36.5)
(36.5)
(35.1)
(34.0)
(32.5)
(32.2)
(31.9)
(30.0)
(29.8)
(28.8)
(28.3)
(27.3)
(27.0)
(26.9)
(25.5)
(25.3)
(20.7)
(20.1)
(18.2)
(17.3)
(16.1)
(7.6)
(7.1)
(4.7)
(4.0)
(0.9)
3.6
3.7
7.0
11.9
13.0
13.4
15.5
46.3
(100.0) (80.0) (60.0) (40.0) (20.0) 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0
Argosy
SecondWave
Skope
Arcan
Sonde
WranglerWest
Charger
Anderson
Hyperion
Shoreline
Petro-Reef
Terra
Tamarack
Exall
Pinecrest
Sure
Zargon
Storm
Rock
TriOil
Marquee
Longview
Yoho
Novus
AvenEx
Vero
Arsenal
Insignia
Aroway
Yangarra
Waldron
Renegade
Surge
RMP
Palliser
Delphi
Cequence
Bonterra
Strategic
Artek
Raging River
Crocotta
Freehold
Manitok
Spartan
PaintedPony
PineCliff
DeeThree
Edge
dragged downAll the juniors took a hit in the second quarter of 2012, with no company on this list achieving a positive return. Energy shares turned around in the two months subsequent to the end of the second quarter, allowing eight of the 49 juniors to deliver positive returns over the five month period.
These numbers represent the total return, which includes dividends paid during the quarter. The juniors that paid dividends in Q2 include AvenEx, Bonterra, Freehold, Longview, Shoreline and Zargon.
FORMULAcapital gain + total distributions in that period per share or unit
market price at end of the previous period
Note: Capital gain in period = market price at end of period – market price at end of previous period.
Share price change plus distributions from April through August 2012
Share price change plus distributions from April through June 2012
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 17
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
NQ2 TOTAL RETURN - CAPITAL GAINS AND DISTRIBUTIONS OR DIVIDENDS (%)April through June Median: -34.0% April through August Median: -28.8%
Shortenedcompanyname
Chiefexecutive
Stocksymbol& exchange(T=TSX, V=Venture)
Share priceAug 31/12
($)
Q2/12average daily
production(boe/d)
Q2/12 weighted shares
outstanding (basic) including
exchangeable(000)
Jun 30/12net debt before
debentures($000)
Jun 30/12 debentures
outstanding
Q2/12net income
($000)
Q2/12cash flow
($000)Anderson Brian Dau AXL-T 0.27 6,825 172,550 131,675 85,749 (16,828) 7,606Arcan Ed Gilmet ARN-V 1.52 5,254 97,821 156,673 141,387 8,269 14,565Argosy Peter Salamon GSY-T 0.15 559 27,415 22,736 - (1,447) (739) Aroway Chris Cooper ARW-V 0.57 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/aArsenal Tony van Winkoop AEI-T 0.48 3,555 156,227 60,054 - 7,030 6,542Artek Darryl Metcalfe RTK-T 1.91 2,654 43,435 49,689 - 803 3,472AvenEx William Gallacher AVF-T 2.98 3,834 54,238 59,566 - (14,718) 7,957Bonterra George Fink BNE-T 43.95 6,037 19,768 156,339 - 9,201 16,555Cequence Paul Wanklyn CQE-T 1.22 8,660 164,823 45,840 - (6,579) 4,563Charger Thomas Buchanan CHX-V 0.58 3,172 67,321 56,544 - (1,978) 1,473Crocotta Robert Zakresky CTA-T 2.86 6,604 88,095 41,525 - 1,065 12,275DeeThree Martin Cheyne DTX-T 5.13 3,805 66,986 50,803 - 5,603 9,852Delphi David Reid DEE-T 1.20 8,636 131,060 117,457 - (3,531) 7,013Edge Brad Nichol EDE-V 0.30 737 96,168 16,404 - (114) (78) Exall Roger Dueck EE-T 0.90 1,106 62,495 35,497 20,552 1,201 4,289Freehold William Ingram FRU-T 19.61 8,501 65,159 36,397 - 7,862 20,635Hyperion Trevor Spagrud HYX-V 0.54 1,403 54,190 32,779 - 1,095 3,498Insignia Jeffrey Newcommon ISN-T 0.73 3,204 58,860 9,396 - (15,795) 3,334Longview Kelly Drader LNV-T 6.42 5,881 46,787 118,799 - 6,164 12,068Manitok Massimo Geremia MEI-V 1.84 1,733 61,797 10,916 - 499 2,483Marquee Richard Thompson MQL-V 0.99 2,396 52,698 44,466 - (1,414) 2,030Novus Hugh Ross NVS-V 0.73 2,887 190,985 48,292 - 1,090 8,583PaintedPony Patrick Ward PPY-V 9.47 5,745 70,036 (42,343) - (3,523) 7,695Palliser Kevin Gibson PXL-V 0.62 1,942 54,130 30,098 - 4,538 6,366Petro-Reef Gary Van Nest PER-V 0.15 652 62,239 12,696 - 926 512PineCliff Philip Hodge PNE-V 0.76 972 63,564 19,453 - (450) 513Pinecrest Wade Becker PRY-V 1.86 2,951 214,158 9,512 - 9,076 15,866Raging River Neil Roszell RRX-V 2.24 1,711 112,380 8,678 - 3,363 7,492Renegade Michael Erickson RPL-V 2.84 3,712 89,635 80,036 - 8,042 14,179RMP John Ferguson RMP-T 1.84 4,763 96,834 63,295 - 2,678 9,644Rock Allen Bey RE-T 1.07 2,159 39,094 (6,374) - 146 3,523SecondWave Colin Witwer SCS-T 0.83 2,641 83,990 113,947 - 4,869 9,574Shoreline Trevor Folk SEQ-T 3.15 1,690 5,657 18,623 - (664) 1,473Skope Henry Cohen SKL-T 0.15 3,822 8,078 51,167 - (23,366) 3,637Sonde Jack Schanck SOQ-T 0.99 2,356 62,301 (34,916) - (28,030) (1,467) Spartan Richard McHardy STO-T 4.31 2,750 83,227 (50,819) - 4,601 12,147Storm Brian Lavergne SRX-V 1.50 2,584 61,824 46,154 - 947 3,669Strategic Gurpreet Sawhney SOG-V 0.81 2,583 187,092 1,223 - 1,236 8,174Sure Jeffrey Boyce SHR-T 0.66 1,201 60,581 27,543 - (3,816) 2,324Surge Daniel O'Neil SGY-T 7.89 9,275 71,058 171,692 - 13,273 24,562Tamarack Brian Schmidt TVE-V 1.85 2,193 27,366 40,665 - 565 2,809Terra Cas Morel TT-T 0.22 5,438 101,784 94,407 - (2,129) (4,121) TriOil Russell Tripp TOL-V 2.28 2,091 53,220 (11,331) - 7,020 6,659Vero Douglas Bartole VRO-T 1.98 2,341 48,992 22,809 - 4,126 6,853Waldron Ernie Sapieha WDN-T 0.56 2,520 34,333 36,235 - (1,479) 1,907WranglerWest Steven Johnson WX-V 0.51 739 6,466 4,323 - (409) 585Yangarra James Evaskevich YGR-V 0.35 2,022 121,711 33,457 - 3,306 3,493Yoho Brian McLachlan YO-V 1.82 2,442 46,467 21,180 - (223) 2,439Zargon Craig Hansen ZAR-T 8.67 8,290 29,518 37,699 50,660 10,538 12,930TOTAL 169,027 2,100,955 298,348 2,638 311,413AVERAGE 3,521 43,770 6,216 55 6,488MEDIAN 2,648 36,316 937 5,465
For A/B share structures, B shares are not shown above, but are included in the calculations for some of our charts. When we calculate market capitalization, we use the A shares outstanding times the A share price, plus the B shares outstanding times the B share price.
Eastern Canada-focused juniors, coalbed methane-focused junior companies, and oil sands-focused junior companies are not included in this comparison.
Aroway is only included in the share-price comparisons because the company has a June 30 year end and had not yet reported its results for the quarter ended June 30, 2012. For The June 30, 2012 period represents Edge's and Skope's first quarter and Yoho's third quarter.
The data was provided by both CanOils database and bmir researchers
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M18
JUN
IOR
CO
MPA
RISO
N JUNIOR DATA TABLE
iQ SNAPSHOT
This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
OIL FOCUSED INVENTORY Listing: TSX-AEI
Shares outstanding: 156.2 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $0.48 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $75.0 million
Net debt: $60.1 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $135.0 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 2,582 bbls/d 73%
Natural gas 5.84 mmcf/d 27%
Total 3,555 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50AEI $20.22
Peer Median$18.46
Recent News:August 16, 2012 Tony van Winkoop, President & CEO, presented at the EnerCom Oil & Gas Conference
August 8, 2012 Arsenal Energy’s Q2 results showed production for the second quarter increased by 95% compared to Q2 2011
July 5, 2012 Arsenal Energy announced normal course issuer bid
June 26, 2012 Arsenal Energy announced results of shareholders meeting and ratification of rights plan
Strategies:• 75%OilweightingbyProduction
• Tradingbelowitspeergroup • BasedonSharePriceAugust3,2012andEnterpriseValue~0.29xNAVPS,
~$34,195boe/d;~$8.27/P+Pboe
— from Arsenal August 2012 corporate presentation
Contact:1900, 639 - 5th Avenue S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 0M9
tel 403.262.4854
[email protected] www.arsenalenergy.com
Analyst Coverage:Casimir Capital
Desjardins Securities
National Bank Financial
PI Financial
Officers:Tony van Winkoop - President & CEO
J.PaulLawrence-VP,Finance&CFO
RonForth-VP,Engineering
LeoNolte-VP,Drilling&Completions
KentSawatzky-VP,Production
GjoaTaylor-VP,Land
Directors:Neil MacKay
Harley Kempthorne
Bill Powers
William Hews
Derek Petrie
Tony van Winkoop
Evi
North Dakota
Southeast Alberta
Desan
Central Alberta
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 19
JUN
IOR
SNA
PSH
OTS
JUN
IOR
SNA
PSH
OTS
iQ SNAPSHOT
This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
REAL ASSETS WITH REAL GROWTHListing: TSX-DEE
Shares outstanding: 131.1 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $1.20 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $157.3 million
Net debt: $117.5 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $274.7 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 2,123 bbls/d 25%
Natural gas 39.08 mmcf/d 75%
Total 8,636 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50DEE $8.92
Peer Median$18.46
Recent News:August 8, 2012Delphi Energy reports financial and operational results for second quarter 2012
July 30, 2012Delphi Energy reports test results from third Montney well at Bigstone East
July 24, 2012Delphi Energy announces closing of disposition of Cardium interests
Strategies:• Well-positionedfororganicgrowthwithalargeinventoryofdevelopmentopportunitiescomplementedbyahigh-impactexplorationprogram
• Disciplinedfieldcapitalprograminternallygeneratedandprotectedthrough active commodity hedging program
• Operatorshipandownershipofinfrastructure,production,capitalandlands
• Complementaryconventionalmulti-zonedeepbasinassetbase
• Focusedongrowththroughthedrillbitcomplementedwithstrategic acquisitions within core areas
— from Delphi website
Contact:300, 500 - 4th Avenue S.W. Calgary,AlbertaT2P2V6
tel 403.265.6171
[email protected] www.delphienergy.ca
Analyst Coverage:Canaccord Genuity
CIBC World Markets
GMP Securities
Macquarie Capital
Maison Placements
National Bank Financial
Peters & Co.
RBC Capital Markets
Salman Partners
Scotia Capital
Stifel Nicolaus
Officers:David Reid - President & CEO
Tony Angelidis -Sr.VP,Exploration
Brian Kohlhammer -Sr.VP,Finance&CFO
Hugo Batteke -VP,Operations
Michael Galvin -VP,Land
Rod Hume -Sr.VP,Engineering
Directors:Tony Angelidis
Harry Campbell
Robert Lehodey
Stephen Mulherin
Andrew Osis
David Reid
David Sandmeyer
Lamont Tolley
North West Alberta Region
North East British Columbia Region
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M20
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
CRUDE OIL FOCUS AT MITSUE, MARTEN MOUNTAIN, ABListing: TSX-EE
Shares outstanding: 62.6 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $0.90 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $56.3 million
Net debt: $35.5 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $112.4 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 1,029 bbls/d 93%
Natural gas 0.46 mmcf/d 7%
Total 1,106 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50EE $42.60
Peer Median$18.46
Recent News:August 14, 2012ExallEnergy’sQ22012resultsshowedaproductionincreaseof 23% compared to the second quarter of 2011
June 11, 2012ExallEnergyannouncedupdatestoWaterfloodProjectstatus, operations and progress on 3D seismic interpretation
May 14, 2012 ExallEnergy’sQ12012resultsshowedaproductionincreaseof 7% compared to the first quarter of 2011
Strategies:• ExallEnergyCorporationisfocusedonbuildingshareholdervalueinthe
Oil & Gas industry• TheCorporationwillenhanceshareholdervaluethroughexplorationand
development and selective acquisition opportunities• ExallEnergyhasrapidlyadvanceditsgrowthstrategythroughthesuccessfulacquisitionofKingsmereExplorationLtd.inJanuary,2007
• ExallEnergyisexpectingtocontinuetoincreaseitsoilproductionasaresultof: • therecentMartenMountaindiscoverymadeduringthe2010winter
drillingprogram; • adisciplinedcapitalprogramfocusedondevelopinglightsweetcrude
opportunities, and • existinggoodproductionpracticesandpooloptimizationstrategies
— from Exall website
Contact:400, 715 - 5th Avenue S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 2X6
tel 403.237.7820
www.exall.com
Analyst Coverage:Dundee Securities Ltd.
Emerging Equities Inc.
StoneCap Securities
Officers:StephenRoman-ExecutiveChairman
Roger Dueck - President & CEO
WarrenColes-VP,Finance&CFO
Glen Kerr - COO
JanetMacKenzie-VP,Exploration
Directors:Roger Dueck
Wayne Egan
Bernard Lang
Allan Menzies
Roderick Phipps
Frank Rebeyka
Stephen Roman
Mitsue
Bow Island
Jayar
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 21
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
FOCUSED LIGHT OIL RESOURCE PLAYER Listing:TSXV-HYX
Shares outstanding: 54.2 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $0.54 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $29.3 million
Net debt: $32.8 at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $62.0 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 934 bbls/d 67%
Natural gas 2.81 mmcf/d 33%
Total 1,403 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50HYX $27.40
Peer Median$18.46
Recent News:August 22, 2012 HyperionExplorationannouncedthatitgrantedoptionson August 22, 2012 to acquire up to 664,000 Common Shares of Hyperion, 430,000 of which were granted to directors and officers of Hyperion
August 17, 2012 HyperionExplorationannouncedsecondquarter2012highlightsandfinancialresults;averageproductionincreased 49% compared the second quarter 2011
August 16, 2012 HyperionExplorationannouncedsignificantundeveloped land acquisition and farm-in transaction at its Niton/Mcleod core area
Strategies:• Focusedonsharepriceappreciationthroughcashflow,productionandreserves
per share growth
• Continuetoacquireandexploitunderdevelopedlightoilresourceplayswhich lead to lower risk, scalable and repeatable development projects
• Identifyandcaptureland/opportunityinearlystageemerginglightoil resource plays
• Leveragesignificanttechnicalandoperatingknowledgetooptimizerecovery andmaximizevalue
• Buildcoreoperatingareaswithlargelandpositions,infrastructureand operating control
— from Hyperion May 2012 corporate presentation
Contact:2010, 355 - 4th Avenue S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 0J1
tel 403.930.0700
[email protected] www.hyperionexploration.com
Analyst Coverage:Canaccord Genuity
Casimir Capital
Desjardins Capital Markets
Dundee Capital Markets
GMP Securities
National Bank Financial
Paradigm Capital
Stonecap Securities
Officers:Trevor Spagrud - President & CEO
Larry Hammond - COO
Doug Bailey - CFO
TimGee-VP,Engineering
RyanHeath-VP,Land&BusinessDevelopment
SteveHorth-Manager,Exploration
Directors:RodMaxwell
Dan O’Neil
Greg Turnbull
Trevor Spagrud
Greg Bay
Niton
Garrington
Pembina
Buck Lake
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M22
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
HIGH GROWTH, OIL FOCUSED, EXPLORATION AND DEVELOPMENTListing:TSXV-MQL
Shares outstanding: 52.7 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $0.99 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $52.2 million
Net debt: $44.5 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $96.6 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 1,223 bbls/d 51%
Natural gas 7.04 mmcf/d 49%
Total 2,396 boe/d 100%
Oil
Gas
Recent News:September 6, 2012Marquee announced changes to Management Team
August 28, 2012Marquee announced that options to acquire an aggregate of 265,000 common shares have been granted
August 23, 2012 Marquee announced the realization of significant production growth in the second quarter of 2012, largely due to the first five horizontal wells drilled by the company at Michichi being placed on production beginning in late March 2012
Strategies:• Focusedonhighquality,highrateofreturn,oilandliquids-richnaturalgasreservoirs
• Marquee’sinventoryofoilassetsandstrongcapitalpositionprovidesasolidplatformto achieve a high growth strategy
• Focusedon“rightsized”capitalprojects
• Marqueehaslaidthegroundworkforlong-termsuccesswithmaterialexposuretoBanff,Mannville,Sunburst,CardiumandViking
• Primaryareasoffocusandgrowthin2012areMichichiandLloydminster
• FivesuccessfulhorizontalwellsdrilledatMichichiandfivesuccessfulverticaloilwellsdrilled at Lloydminster in the first half of 2012
— from Marquee August 2012 corporate presentation
Contact:1700, 500 - 4th Avenue S.W.
Calgary,ABT2P2V6
tel 403.384.0000
[email protected] www.marquee-energy.com
Analyst Coverage:Acumen Capital
Dundee Securities Ltd.
Fraser Mackenzie
Macquarie Equity Research
National Bank Financial
Octagon Capital
Officers:Richard Thompson - President & CEO
RoyEvans-VP,Finance&CFO
TrevorRath-SeniorVP,Exploration
RobLemermeyer-VP,Production
SamYip-VP,HeavyOil
SteveBradford-VP,Land
Directors:Dennis Feuchuk
Richard Thompson
Bruce Hammond
RichardAlexander
Robert Steele
Glenn Carley
Greg Bay
West Central
Lloydminster
Michichi
Coutts
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 23
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
VIKING FOCUS, GROWING THROUGH THE DRILL BITListing:TSXV-NVS
Shares outstanding: 190.3 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $0.73 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $138.9 million
Net debt: $48.3 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $187.2 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 2,153 bbls/d 75%
Natural gas 4.40 mmcf/d 25%
Total 2,887 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50NVS $32.67
Peer Median$18.46
Recent News:September 18, 2012 Novus announces that it intends to make a normal courseissuerbid(“NCIB”)throughthefacilitiesoftheTSXVenturetobuyupto5,000,000ofitsissuedandoutstanding Common Shares
August 14, 2012 Novus announces Q2 2012 results and a significant Vikingacreageexpansion
May 15, 2012 Novus announces Q1 2012 results highlighted by gross revenueof$18.54millionandfundsflowfromoperations of $10.66 million
Strategies:• Targetlarge,highquality“originaloilinplace”(OOIP)resourcepoolswith
production and recovery upside
• Assemblelargelandpositionswithoperatorshipandinfrastructurecontroltofacilitate larger scale development drilling programs
• Applyhorizontalmulti-stagefracturetechnologytoincreaserecoveryfactors
• Emphasizewelldelineated,lowgeologicalriskreserveswithlarge development drilling inventories
• Maintainastrongbalancesheetwithunutilizedbanklinecapacity
— from Novus July 2012 corporate presentation
Contact:5200, 150 - 6th Avenue S.W. Calgary,AlbertaT2P3Y7
tel 403.263.4310
[email protected] www.novusenergy.ca
Analyst Coverage:Canaccord Genuity
CIBC World Markets
Cormark Securities
Desjardins Securities
Dundee Capital Markets
Fraser Mackenzie
GMP Securities
Haywood Securities
National Bank Financial
Paradigm Capital
Raymond James
Stifel Nicolaus
TD Securities
Officers:Hugh Ross - President & CEO
KetanPanchmatia-VP,Finance&CFO
GregGroten-VP,Exploration
JulianDin-VP,BusinessDevelopment
JackLane-VP,Operations
MitchHuitema–VP,Accounting&Controller
Directors:Michael Halvorson
Harry Knutson
Al Kroontje
A. Bruce Macdonald
Larry Mah
Hugh Ross
Dodsland(Viking)
Wapiti
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M24
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
EXPANDING LIGHT OIL RESOURCE OPPORTUNITIESListing:TSXV-SOG
Shares outstanding: 187.1 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $0.81 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $151.6 million
Net Debt: 1.2 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $152.8 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 2,252 bbls/d 87%
Natural gas 1.98 mmcf/d 13%
Total 2,583 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50SOG $34.78
Peer Median$18.46
Recent News:August 16, 2012 Strategic announces normal course issuer bid
August 14, 2012 Strategicannouncessecondquarter2012results;oilproductionmorethandoubles(139%growth)sincefourth quarter 2011
July 26, 2012 Strategicannounces2011executivechanges
Strategies:Focus on light oil
• Conventionalreservoirsprovideneartermcashflow • SteenRiver-KegRiverandSulphurPoint
• Resourceplaysprovidereservegrowth • Maxhamish-Chinkeh • Amber-MuskwaandJeanMarie
— from Strategic August 2012 corporate presentation
Contact:1800, 510 - 5th Street S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 3S2
tel 403.718.0183
[email protected] www.sogoil.com
Directors:Arn Schoch
Thomas Claugus
John W. Harkins
D. Richard Skeith
Analyst Coverage:Clarus Securities
Desjardins Capital Markets
Dundee Securities
Macquarie Capital Markets
PI Financial
Raymond James
Officers:Gurpreet Sawhney - President and CEO
Sean Hayes - COO
KirkBoote-ExecutiveVP,Engineering
JeffHuckle-VP,Operations
ShelinaHirji-VP,Finance
DouglasWright-VP,BusinessDevelopment
BarbaraJoy-VP,Land
Rooky Driver - Corporate Secretary and Chief Administration Officer
Steen RiverMaxhamish
Ferrier
Taber/ConradHarmattan
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 25
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
CONTINUING TO DELIVER TOP TIER OIL GROWTHListing:TSX-SGY
Shares outstanding: 71.1 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $7.89 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $560.7 million
Net debt: $171.7 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $732.4 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 6,568 bbls/d 71%
Natural gas 16.25 mmcf/d 29%
Total 9,275 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50SGY $29.10
Peer Median$18.46
Recent News:August 8, 2012 Surge Energy Inc. announces record production and fundsflowinthesecondquarter2012
May 9, 2012 Surge Energy announces record first quarter 2012 results;doublingoffundsflowpershare; reiterates 2012 production guidance
April 12, 2012 Surge Energy announces increase in bank line from $175 million to $250 million
Strategies:• Evolveintoatoptierintermediateoilandgasproducerwithafocusonoil
• Acquireanddevelopunderexploitedoilresourceplays
• Optimizeoilrecoveryincludingwaterfloods
• Identifyandcapturenewoilresourceplays
— from Surge August 2012 corporate presentation
Contact:2100, 635 - 8th Avenue S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 3M3
tel 403.930.1010
[email protected] www.surgeenergy.ca
Analyst Coverage:AltaCorp. Capital
BMO Capital Markets
CIBC World Markets
Cormark Securities
Desjardins Securities
Dundee Securities
FirstEnergy Capital
GMP Securities
Macquarie Securities Group
National Bank Financial
Northland Capital Partners
Peters & Co.
Scotia Capital
TD Securities
Officers:Dan O’Neil - President & CEO
MaxLof - CFO
Dan Brown - COO
Malcolm Adams -VP,CorporateDevelopment
Margaret Elekes -VP,Land
Kevin Angus -VP,Exploration
Tee Ong -VP,Engineering
Directors:Dan O’Neil
Paul Colborne
Peter Bannister
Colin Davies
Robert Leach
Keith Macdonald
James Pasieka
Murray Smith
Southeastern Alberta
Western Alberta
Williston Basin
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M26
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
TARGETED ASSETS, SUSTAINABLE CORPORATE GROWTH Listing:TSXV-TVE
Shares outstanding: 29.7 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $1.85 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $55.0 million
Net debt: $40.7 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $95.6 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 914 bbls/d 42%
Natural gas 7.67 mmcf/d 58%
Total 2,193 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50TVE $14.08
Peer Median$18.46
Recent News:September 11, 2012 Tamarack announces Garrington drilling results and participation at the Peters & Co. conference in Toronto
August 29, 2012 Tamarack announces the addition of Mr. Ian Schafer to the Tamarack team as a Senior Petroleum Engineer
August 20, 2012 Tamarack announces that granted, in aggregate, 1,065,416options(“Options”)topurchasecommonshares in the capital of the Company to certain directors, officers and employees of the Company
Strategies:• TamarackValleyusesarigorous,provenmodellingprocesstocarefullymanageriskandidentifygrowthopportunities.Thisstrategicplaymodeltargets:
• Resourceplayswithhighoriginalgasinplaceandoriginaloilinplace
• Longlifereserves
• Horizonsthatarerepeatableandhavelargescope
• Focusonriskminimization
— from Tamarack Valley May 2012 corporate presentation
Contact:1800, 407 - 2nd Street S.W. Calgary,AlbertaT2P2Y3
tel 403.263.4440
[email protected] www.tamarackvalley.ca
Analyst Coverage:Acumen Capital Partners
Alta Corp Capital
Dundee Capital Markets
Haywood Securities
Paradigm Capital
Peters & Co.
Officers:Brian Schmidt - President & CEO
RonHozjan-VP,Finance&CFO
NielsGundesen-VP,Engineering
KenCruikshank-VP,Land
KevinScreen-VP,Production&Operations
Directors:Floyd Price
Anthony Lambert
Dean Setoguchi
David Mackenzie
Sheldon Steeves
Brian Schmidt
Ansell
Hanlan
Garrington
Lochend
Quaich
Buck Lake
Heavy Oil
Foley Lake Westlock
Redwater
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 27
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
DISCOVERY. DELINEATION. DEVELOPMENT.Listing:TSXV-YOShares outstanding: 46.5 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $1.82 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $84.6 million
Net debt: $21.1 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $105.8 million
Average daily production for the quarter ended June 30, 2012
Crude oil and NGLs 614 bbls/d 25%
Natural gas 10.97 mmcf/d 75%
Total 2,442 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50YO $10.98
Peer Median$18.46
Recent News:September 5, 2012 YohoResourcesInc.announcesnon-brokeredprivateplacementofflow-throughshares
August 22, 2012 YohoResourcesInc.announcesfiscalQ32012financialand operating results and provides operational update
Strategies:YohoResourcesisfocusedontwounconventionalhigh-liquidsgasplays.Shorttomediumtermplansare:
• 2011YearofDiscovery
• Testedthreeunconventionalplays-allsuccessful-Duvernay,Kaybob,AB, Montney - Nig, BC, Jean Marie - Mike, BC
• 2012YearofDelineation
• Drilldelineationwellsontwoplays,fourtofivewellsperplay.FocusonDuvernayandMontney liquid rich gas plays
• 2013InitialYearofDevelopment
• Initiatepaddrilling,reducecosts,increaseefficienciesandrampupproductionandsubsequentcashflow
— from Yoho website
Contact:500, 521 - 3rd Avenue S.W. Calgary, AB T2P 3T3
tel 403.537.1771
[email protected] www.yohoresources.ca
Analyst Coverage:Acumen Capital Partners
First Energy Capital
Haywood Securities Inc.
Paradigm Capital
Peters & Co. Limited
Officers:Brian McLachlan - President & CEO
BarryStobo-VP,Engineering&COO
WendyWoolsey-VP,Finance&CFO
ClarkDrader-VP,Land
Directors:Bruce Allford
John Brussa
Peter Kurceba
Brian McLachlan
Kevin Olson
Gary Perron
Terry Svarich, Chairman
Northeast British Columbia
Peace River Arch
West Central Alberta
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FREE ADMISSION | OPEN TO THE PUBLIC | NO REGISTRATION | WWW.SEPAC.CA
OIL & GAS
INVESTOR SHOWCASEInvesting opportunities with a select group of Canada’s most dynamic junior and mid-cap oil & gas producers
Wednesday, November 21, 20129:00 am – 4:00 pm
The Metropolitan Conference Centre333 – 4th Avenue SW, Calgary
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M30
intermediate oil & gas companies
C O M PA R I S O N
INCLUSION CRITERIA
• Primary business must be oil and gas exploration, development and production
• Q2 2012 production must fall between 10,000 and 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d)
• Majority of production must be from North America
• Must be publicly traded on the TSX or TSX Venture Exchange
10,349
11,548
11,549
12,678
13,559
13,765
13,956
14,193
15,044
15,075
15,403
15,569
16,569
19,406
20,963
21,474
22,039
23,467
27,949
28,192
34,585
38,715
41,343
44,641
51,022
53,074
69,506
78,870
82,108
93,997
96,972
0 25,000 50,000 75,000 100,000 125,000
Equal
Chinook
WestFire
Compton
Whitecap
Pace
Fairborne
TwinButte
Guide
Legacy
Lone Pine
Angle
Bellatrix
Celtic
Perpetual
Paramount
Birchcliff
NuVista
Advantage
Crew
Trilogy
PetroBakken
Peyto
Progress
Tourmaline
Baytex
Bonavista
Pengrowth
Enerplus
ARC
CrescentPoint
8
14
15
17
18
28
33
46
48
50
51
54
56
60
61
62
63
65
66
68
70
76
79
79
82
82
84
84
84
87
89
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
CrescentPoint
Baytex
Legacy
PetroBakken
TwinButte
WestFire
Whitecap
Pengrowth
Crew
Equal
Enerplus
Pace
Angle
Trilogy
Bonavista
ARC
Chinook
Bellatrix
Guide
Lone Pine
NuVista
Birchcliff
Celtic
Advantage
Compton
Paramount
Perpetual
Fairborne
Progress
Tourmaline
Peyto
intermediate peer group growsTwo companies joined the intermediate ranks in Q2 2012: WestFire and Whitecap. As was the case last quarter, only seven of the intermediate companies have production greater than 50,000 boe/d.
We define intermediate oil and gas companies as those with production between 10,000 and 100,000 boe/d. In order to produce a relevant peer group, the intermediate category is restricted to companies with conventional oil and gas development and production as their primary business, with the majority of their production in North America, and with their shares traded on the TSX. Junior companies are featured elsewhere in this report. Senior producers, with production in excess of 100,000 boe/d, are not included.
oil vs. gasThe median natural gas weighting of Western Canada’s intermediate oil and gas players remained fairly stable in the second quarter of 2012, falling only 1 percent since the first quarter of this year. The intermediate companies towards the bottom of this chart that have truly focused their production on oil, whereas all the others are either a mix of oil and natural gas or primarily natural gas.
Oil and natural gas are made comparable by converting natural gas from thousands of cubic feet (mcf) to barrels of oil equivalent (boe) at a ratio of 6:1.
FORMULAavg. natural gas production per day (boe/d)
avg. total production
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 31
INTE
RMED
IATE
CO
MPA
RISO
N
Q2 2012 PRODUCTION (BOE/D)Median = 21,474 boe/d
Q2 PRODUCTION MIX — NATURAL GAS WEIGHTING (%)Median = 62%
(23.8)
(15.1)
(10.3)
(8.2)
(7.9)
(7.8)
(7.3)
(7.1)
(6.5)
(5.3)
(4.9)
(4.2)
(2.8)
(2.5)
(1.5)
(1.4)
(1.0)
(0.8)
(0.5)
0.0
0.9
1.0
3.2
3.3
3.8
4.2
8.0
11.3
14.1
20.5
30.5
(30.0) (20.0) (10.0) 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0
PetroBakken
Chinook
Fairborne
Pengrowth
Legacy
Whitecap
Crew
NuVista
Perpetual
Pace
Progress
Birchcliff
Bonavista
Lone Pine
ARC
Baytex
CrescentPoint
Angle
Equal
Enerplus
Compton
Peyto
Celtic
Guide
TwinButte
Bellatrix
Tourmaline
Trilogy
Paramount
Advantage
WestFire
(17.1)
(15.1)
(10.3)
(7.9)
(7.2)
(7.1)
(6.5)
(5.4)
(4.5)
(2.5)
(1.0)
(1.0)
(0.7)
(0.3)
0.9
1.1
3.3
3.6
3.7
4.2
4.3
4.6
4.6
7.3
7.4
9.1
11.5
14.1
20.9
30.5
38.6
(20.0) (10.0) 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0
PetroBakken
Chinook
Fairborne
Legacy
Crew
NuVista
Perpetual
Pace
Progress
Lone Pine
ARC
Bonavista
Baytex
Equal
Compton
Peyto
Angle
Celtic
Enerplus
Bellatrix
Pengrowth
Guide
Birchcliff
TwinButte
CrescentPoint
Tourmaline
Trilogy
Paramount
Advantage
WestFire
Whitecap
less production per shareThe biggest challenge oil and gas companies have is to achieve real growth on a per share basis. Although it is only one brief quarter-to-quarter snapshot, one can see that many companies have trouble achieving per share growth. This is because oil and gas production is a capital intensive business that often requires issuing more shares to fund capital programs. Only 11 of the 31 intermediates increased their production on a per share basis from the first quarter to the second quarter.
FORMULAcurrent production per share – previous production per share
previous production per share
Note: Production per share = average production rate for the period divided by basic weighted average shares outstanding during the period.
Gas production converted to boe at 6 mcf: 1 boe.
fighting declinesIf no effort were made by a conventional oil and gas company to stabilize or increase production, its production would typically decline at rates varying from 20 percent to 30 percent per year depending on its commodity mix, depth of wells and age of assets.
Some companies were able to add production between the first quarter and the second quarter of 2012; others had declining production, possibly due to asset divestitures or declining wells.
The next chart is even more telling of growth given that it shows production change on a per share basis..
FORMULAcurrent period avg. production – previous period avg. production
previous period avg. production
Note: Gas production converted to boe at 6 mcf: 1 boe.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M32
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CHANGE IN PRODUCTION — Q1 2012 TO Q2 2012 (%)Median = 1%
CHANGE IN PRODUCTION PER SHARE — Q1 2012 TO Q2 2012 (%)Median = -1%
15,560
23,480
25,011
26,072
26,777
26,882
31,202
33,024
34,084
34,187
36,072
36,688
40,092
42,926
43,676
53,723
56,383
59,238
63,010
81,154
82,600
90,176
90,210
91,425
93,356
98,719
106,509
107,725
109,166
125,068
156,721
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000
Compton
Fairborne
Pace
Guide
Equal
Perpetual
Bellatrix
NuVista
Angle
Advantage
Chinook
Lone Pine
Crew
WestFire
TwinButte
Enerplus
Bonavista
Pengrowth
Birchcliff
Peyto
ARC
Whitecap
Trilogy
Legacy
Tourmaline
PetroBakken
Paramount
Celtic
Baytex
Progress
CrescentPoint
4.54
5.21
6.34
7.11
8.47
8.49
8.79
9.35
10.16
12.96
13.15
13.16
13.26
13.32
13.52
14.31
14.66
16.82
16.91
17.55
17.86
19.61
19.76
20.28
26.14
27.88
30.38
32.72
34.79
34.86
43.27
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00
Compton
Paramount
Perpetual
Progress
NuVista
Equal
Advantage
Chinook
Fairborne
Birchcliff
Pengrowth
Pace
Tourmaline
Lone Pine
Celtic
Angle
Bonavista
Bellatrix
Peyto
Guide
Trilogy
Enerplus
ARC
Crew
TwinButte
Baytex
Whitecap
WestFire
PetroBakken
Legacy
CrescentPoint
value per barrelThis graph shows each intermediate company’s enterprise value per flowing barrel of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) of Q2 production. Enterprise value is calculated by multiplying the share price on August 31, 2012 by the weighted average number of shares outstanding during Q2 before adding debt and debentures outstanding net of working capital at the end of the quarter.
A high number means the markets are placing more value on the production of a particular company, perhaps for reasons such as long life reserves, a higher proportion of oil to gas, high field netbacks, or perceived strong production growth prospects.
FORMULAmarket capitalization + net debt
average production in barrels of oil equivalent
Note: Market capitalization = August 31 share price x Q2 weighted average basic shares outstanding.
Net debt = bank debt + debentures – working capital.
making money flowCash flow netbacks are equivalent to sales margins. They indicate how much cash flow a company generates from each barrel of oil equivalent (boe) of production. Companies with higher netbacks may have a better chance of thriving during periods of lower commodity prices when higher cost production may be uneconomical.
Companies with the highest cash flow netbacks tend to be the companies with the highest oil weighting. This is indicative of the comparably higher price of oil versus natural gas.
FORMULAcash flow from operations
total production in the period
Notes: Total production in the period = Average daily production x 91 days in the period.
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 33
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ENTERPRISE VALUE VERSUS Q2 PRODUCTION ($ PER BOE/D)Median = $53,723/boe
Q2 CASH FLOW NETBACK ($/BOE)Median = $14.31/boe
2.46
6.68
6.76
8.61
8.66
8.73
8.80
8.96
9.35
9.78
10.46
10.63
10.66
10.71
11.49
11.69
11.93
12.33
12.71
13.18
13.23
13.66
14.21
14.38
15.50
15.72
16.25
17.28
17.46
17.76
19.44
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
Peyto
Tourmaline
Angle
Birchcliff
Equal
Fairborne
Advantage
Trilogy
Bellatrix
Progress
Celtic
Paramount
Bonavista
ARC
Perpetual
Enerplus
NuVista
Guide
Crew
Lone Pine
CrescentPoint
PetroBakken
Whitecap
Compton
Chinook
Baytex
Pengrowth
WestFire
Pace
Legacy
TwinButte
0.44
0.69
0.70
0.96
1.07
1.09
1.57
1.68
1.89
1.91
1.94
2.14
2.26
2.27
2.31
2.44
2.47
2.59
2.62
2.66
2.76
2.81
2.93
3.12
3.23
3.27
3.45
3.56
3.57
3.78
4.26
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00
Peyto
Tourmaline
Celtic
Progress
Bonavista
Trilogy
TwinButte
Crew
Whitecap
ARC
CrescentPoint
Advantage
Birchcliff
Pengrowth
Baytex
Chinook
Bellatrix
Angle
Guide
NuVista
Enerplus
Paramount
Perpetual
Compton
Pace
Equal
Lone Pine
PetroBakken
Legacy
Fairborne
WestFire
field costsTypically heavier oil has higher operating and transportation costs than light oil. Thankfully, natural gas often comes with even lower operating costs, which is important considering the selling price for natural gas is relatively low.
Other factors that can influence operating and transportation costs include proximity to pipelines, volumes being produced per well and the cost of secondary and tertiary methods being used to stimulate production.
FORMULAoperating expenses (including transportation costs)
total production in the period
Note: Total production in the period = Average daily production x 91 days in the period.
office costsThe general and administrative (G&A) cash expenses per boe represent office-related costs per barrel of oil equivalent produced. This number indicates how efficiently oil and gas companies manage their offices.
Factors that affect G&A include the number of staff, their salaries and benefits, contractors, service agreements, management fees, lease terms, processes and systems. The size of G&A can also be affected by the method a company uses in accounting for expenses, such as whether or not they are capitalized.
Wherever possible we have only included cash G&A expenses and management fees, excluding non-cash items such as share-based compensation, which can also have a significant impact on an investment.
FORMULAgeneral & administrative expenses
total production in the period
Notes: Total production in the period = Average daily production x 91 days in the period.
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M34
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Q2 OPERATING AND TRANSPORTATION EXPENSES ($/BOE)Median = $11.69/boe
Q2 GENERAL AND ADMINISTRATIVE CASH EXPENSES ($/BOE)Median = $2.44/boe
10.45
11.32
11.70
13.18
13.21
13.37
13.58
13.88
13.99
14.42
14.96
15.03
17.42
17.50
17.63
18.32
18.35
19.22
19.71
20.04
20.51
20.98
21.65
22.99
23.79
28.40
29.19
33.99
35.96
65.26
78.64
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00
Peyto
Compton
Birchcliff
Bellatrix
Bonavista
Tourmaline
Equal
Progress
Angle
Advantage
Baytex
Perpetual
Guide
Fairborne
Enerplus
TwinButte
Pengrowth
Crew
Paramount
Chinook
Trilogy
Celtic
ARC
Lone Pine
Whitecap
WestFire
PetroBakken
CrescentPoint
Legacy
NuVista
Pace
3.6
4.1
4.6
5.1
5.2
5.4
6.4
6.5
7.2
7.5
7.6
7.8
8.2
8.7
9.4
10.0
10.6
10.6
10.7
10.7
10.8
11.5
11.6
12.4
13.2
13.4
13.9
19.3
21.9
48.3
56.2
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0
WestFire
Guide
TwinButte
Bellatrix
Pace
Crew
Fairborne
Angle
Legacy
Enerplus
Lone Pine
PetroBakken
Whitecap
Equal
Compton
CrescentPoint
Bonavista
Chinook
Advantage
NuVista
Baytex
ARC
Perpetual
Pengrowth
Peyto
Birchcliff
Trilogy
Tourmaline
Celtic
Progress
Paramount
reserves come at a costDepletion, depreciation and accretion expenses indicate the finding and development costs for oil and gas reserves. These costs relate mainly to accounting for the production of oil and gas reserves, and the depletion of value from the balance sheet as reserves are produced. Higher amounts mean the value of a company’s reserves is being decreased more rapidly than companies with lower amounts. This could be because the valuation was high in the first place or the reserves are being produced at a faster pace.
FORMULAdepletion, depreciation & accretion expenses
total production in the period
Note: Total production in the period = Average daily production x 91 days in the period.
a range of multiplesAs can be seen by this chart, there are a wide range of cash flow multiples in the intermediate group. Where it would theoretically take some companies only around half a decade to produce as much cash flow per share as their share price and net debt per share combined, others would take well over a decade to do the same. These multiples may be a good barometer of current market sentiment towards each of the companies.
The cash flow multiples in this report are calculated using the closing market price on August 31 and the Q2 weighted average number of shares outstanding. The numbers on the chart correspond to the dark bars that show multiples of enterprise value to annualized cash flow. The lighter bars simply reflect the market capitalization as a multiple of annualized cash flow without taking debt into account.
FORMULAenterprise value
cash flow for period x 4
Note: Enterprise value = Q2 weighted average basic shares x August 31, 2012 share price + net debt.
Market Capitalization to Annualized Cash Flow
Enterprise Value to Annualized Cash Flow
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 35
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Q2 DEPLETION, DEPRECIATION AND ACCRETION EXPENSES ($/BOE)Median = $18.32/boe
ANNUALIZED Q2 CASH FLOW MULTIPLESMarket Capitalization to Annualized Cash Flow Median = 5.8 Enterprise Value to Annualized Cash Flow Median = 10.0
0.8
0.9
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.1
2.3
2.3
2.4
2.4
2.7
2.7
3.0
3.2
3.2
3.7
3.7
3.8
4.3
4.4
4.7
4.7
5.1
5.6
6.1
7.8
7.9
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0
Baytex
TwinButte
WestFire
CrescentPoint
Tourmaline
ARC
Bellatrix
Crew
Chinook
Peyto
Enerplus
Whitecap
Legacy
Guide
Angle
Trilogy
Bonavista
Pace
PetroBakken
Celtic
Fairborne
Progress
Advantage
Birchcliff
Equal
NuVista
Pengrowth
Paramount
Lone Pine
Compton
Perpetual
(80.5)
(68.8)
(42.9)
(40.0)
(37.1)
(34.1)
(31.4)
(30.1)
(27.3)
(27.2)
(25.0)
(25.0)
(19.3)
(17.4)
(16.7)
(16.0)
(15.2)
(11.2)
(7.0)
(2.7)
(1.9)
2.7
4.0
4.5
9.0
13.8
18.7
25.1
26.6
64.0
120.7
(100.0) (50.0) 0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0
Lone Pine
Compton
Pace
Fairborne
Bellatrix
Crew
Angle
Legacy
Guide
Enerplus
Pengrowth
WestFire
PetroBakken
Trilogy
Whitecap
Paramount
Bonavista
Baytex
Birchcliff
Equal
CrescentPoint
Advantage
ARC
TwinButte
Chinook
Celtic
NuVista
Tourmaline
Peyto
Perpetual
Progress
years of debtWe calculate net debt as bank debt plus debentures net of working capital. Companies with lower debt to cash flow ratios are in a safer position when it comes to having room to maneuver with their balance sheets. As debt levels get higher, returns for shareholders get leveraged, but risk also increases and companies can become constrained in their ability to invest in growth.
Total net debt for all the intermediate companies adds to $16.8 billion - an increase of $3 billion since Q2 of 2011.
FORMULAnet debt
cash flow for period x 4
Note: Net debt = bank debt + debentures – working capital.
Convertible debentures make up a portion of the debt load for Advantage, Angle, Bellatrix, Daylight, Fairborne, NAL, Perpetual, PetroBakken and Progress.
market sentimentThe second quarter continued to be a challenging period for capital markets, and the intermediate oil and gas sector was not left alone. A median drop in investor returns of 21 percent during the second quarter is significant, however, when the subsequent two months of July and August are taken into account, the loss is less substantial resulting in a median drop of only 16 percent. These numbers include all dividends.
Approximately a third of the intermediate companies showed positive shareholder returns during the five month period from April through August 2012.
FORMULAcapital gain + total distributions or dividends over the
period per share or unit
market price at end of the previous period
Note: Capital gain in period = market price at end of current period – market price at end of previous period.
Share price change plus distributions from April through August
Share price change plus distributions from April through June
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M36
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Q2 NET DEBT TO ANNUALIZED CASH FLOWMedian = 2.7
Q2 TOTAL RETURN - CAPITAL GAINS AND DISTRIBUTIONS (%)April through June Median: -21% April through August Median: -16
Shortenedcompanyname
Chiefexecutive
Stocksymbol& exchange(T=TSX, V=Venture)
Share priceAug 31/12
($)
Q2/12average daily
production(boe/d)
Q2/12 weighted shares
outstanding (basic) including
exchangeable(000)
Jun 30/12net debt before
debentures($000)
Jun 30/12debentures
outstanding($000)
Q2/12net income
($000)
Q2/12cash flow
($000)Advantage Andy Mah AAV-T 3.44 27,949 167,087 303,216 77,491 (15,579) 22,367 Angle Gregg Fischbuch NGL-T 3.87 15,569 80,921 163,490 53,998 2,389 20,280 ARC John Dielwart ARX-T 23.31 93,997 290,800 985,600 0 38,100 169,000 Baytex Raymond Chan BTE-T 44.90 53,074 119,387 433,416 0 157,280 134,672 Bellatrix Raymond Smith BXE-T 3.31 16,569 107,485 111,360 49,860 9,963 25,366 Birchcliff Jeffery Tonken BIR-T 6.74 22,039 138,426 455,708 0 416 25,985 Bonavista Keith MacPhail BNP-T 16.53 69,506 169,245 1,121,314 0 3,553 92,699 Celtic David Wilson CLT-T 16.54 19,406 105,296 201,708 147,216 9,247 23,881 Chinook Matthew Brister CKE-T 1.58 11,548 214,188 78,149 0 (24,812) 9,830 Compton Edward Bogle CMT-T 1.24 12,678 26,539 164,363 0 (47,021) 5,238 CrescentPoint Scott Saxberg CPG-T 40.99 96,972 321,421 2,022,539 0 287,430 381,813 Crew Dale Shwed CR-T 6.27 28,192 120,811 372,804 0 24,107 52,027 Enerplus Gordon Kerr ERF-T 15.54 82,108 196,768 1,353,323 0 100,264 146,547 Equal Don Klapko EQU-T 3.65 10,349 35,046 107,459 41,743 2,340 7,994 Fairborne Steven VanSickle FEL-T 1.32 13,956 102,594 192,246 0 (44,721) 12,898 Guide Bill Andrew GO-T 1.60 15,044 102,635 228,001 0 20,650 24,027 Legacy Trent Yanko LEG-T 6.47 15,075 143,309 451,008 0 (687) 47,820 Lone Pine David Anderson LPR-T 1.26 15,403 85,008 458,002 0 (105,035) 18,676 NuVista Jonathan Wright NVA-T 4.38 23,467 99,513 339,111 0 (85,411) 18,083 Pace Fred Woods PCE-T 2.84 13,765 47,135 210,409 0 (56,581) 16,485 Paramount Clay Riddell POU-T 24.09 21,474 85,497 227,587 0 18 10,181 Pengrowth Derek Evans PGF-T 6.66 78,870 411,408 1,694,540 237,560 31,066 94,368 Perpetual Susan Riddell Rose PMT-T 1.23 20,963 147,056 232,342 150,305 25,899 12,101 PetroBakken John Wright PBN-T 13.00 38,715 172,625 1,316,461 261,336 (21,510) 122,557 Peyto Darren Gee PEY-T 20.43 41,343 138,486 525,900 0 18,201 63,617 Progress Michael Culbert PRQ-T 21.97 44,641 234,390 71,633 361,932 (31,512) 28,884 Tourmaline Michael Rose TOU-T 27.58 51,022 160,236 343,868 0 1,012 61,547 Trilogy James Riddell TET-T 21.60 34,585 116,415 605,338 0 282 56,219 TwinButte Jim Saunders TBE-T 2.58 14,193 192,023 124,459 0 29,340 33,762 WestFire Lowell Jackson WFE-T 3.86 11,549 82,969 175,493 0 17,506 34,385 Whitecap Grant Fagerheim WCP-T 7.37 13,559 118,730 347,639 0 26,536 37,482 TOTAL 1,027,578 15,418,486 1,381,441 372,730 1,810,791 AVERAGE 33,148 497,371 12,024 58,413 MEDIAN 21,474 339,111 2,389 28,884
Data provided by CanOils Database and bmir researchers.
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 37
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INTERMEDIATE DATA TABLE
iQ SNAPSHOT
This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
ACQUIRE, DEVELOP, EXPLOIT Listing: TSX-CPG
Shares outstanding: 331.7 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $40.99 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $13,594 million
Net debt: $2,023 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $15,617 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 88,798bbls/d 92%
Natural gas 49.05 mmcf/d 8%
Total 96,972 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50CPG $43.27
Peer Median$14.31
Recent News:September 17, 2012 Crescent Point Energy confirmed that a dividend of $0.23 per share will be paid on Oct 15, 2012 to shareholders of record on Sept. 30, 2012
August 30, 2012 Crescent Point Energy announced closing of bought deal financing
August 15, 2012 Crescent Point Energy confirmed that a dividend of $0.23 per share will be paid on Sept. 17, 2012 to shareholders of record on August 31, 2012
Strategies:• Increaserecoveryfactorsthroughinfilldrilling,waterfloodoptimization
and improved technology
• Focusonhigh-quality,largeresource-in-placepoolswithproductionand reserves upside
• Maintainstrongbalancesheet,significantunutilizedbanklinecapacity and 3 ½-year hedging program
— from Crescent Point 2012 AGM presentation
Shaunavon
Beaverhill Lake
ViewfieldBakken
Alberta Bakken
Contact:2800, 111 - 5th Avenue S.W. Calgary,AlbertaT2P3Y6
tel 403.693.0020 toll-free 888.693.0020
Investor Relations 403.767.6959
Analyst Coverage:AltaCorp Capital
BMO Nesbitt Burns
Canaccord Genuity
CIBC Wood Gundy
Cormark Securities
Credit Suisse
Desjardins Securities
FirstEnergy Capital
GMP Securities
Haywood Securities
Macquarie Capital Markets Canada
National Bank Financial
Peters & Co. Ltd.
Raymond James Ltd.
Royal Bank of Canada
Salman Partners Inc.
Scotia Capital
Stifel Nicolaus Canada Inc.
TD Newcrest
UBS Securities
Officers:ScottSaxberg - President & CEOGreg Tisdale - CFONeil Smith -VP,Engineering&Business
Development Dave Balutis -VP,ExplorationBrad Borggard -VP,CorporatePlanningDerek Christie -VP,Geosciences
Trent Stangl -VP,Marketing
& Investor RelationsSteven Toews -VP,EngineeringWestRyan Gritzfeldt -VP,EngineeringEastTamara MacDonald -VP,LandKen Lamont -VP,FinanceandTreasurerMark Eade - Corporate Secretary
Directors:Peter Bannister Paul ColborneKen CugnetHugh Gillard
Gerald RomanzinScottSaxbergGreg Turnbull
North Dakota Bakken/Three Forks
Viking
Flat Lake Bakken
Manitoba Bakken
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M38
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Focus of Operations
SOLID PORTFOLIO OF OIL & GAS ASSETSListing:TSX-EQU,NYSE-EQU
Shares outstanding: 35.1 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $3.65 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $128.0 million
Net debt:$149.2million(includes$41.7milliondebentures)atJune30,2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $277 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 5,207bbls/d 50%
Natural gas 30.85 mmcf/d 50%
Total 10,349 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50EQU $8.49
Peer Median$14.31
Recent News:August 9, 2012 Equal announces Q2 2012 results. A strong operational second quarter was highlighted by increased production and lower debt
May 10, 2012 Equal announces Q1 2012 results. Production was up 20% year on year and averaged over 10,000 boe per day. Funds from operations were up 12% year on year
May 3, 2012 Equal announces it has initiated a strategic review processtoidentify,examineandconsideralternativeswith the view to enhancing shareholder value
Strategies:• Focusonoilplays–existingandnew
• Managecapitalprogramswithincashflow
• ShiftourcapitalspendingtowardsoildrillingintheCardium,MississippianandVikingplays
• Maintainoperationalandfinancialdiscipline
• CompletetheStrategicReviewProcesstounlockshareholdervalue
— from Equal June 2012 presentation
Contact:2600, 500 - 4th Avenue S.W. Calgary,AlbertaT2P2V6
tel 403.263.0262 toll free 877.263.0262
[email protected] www.equalenergy.ca
Analyst Coverage:Casimir Capital
Desjardins Capital Markets
Octagon Capital
PI Financial
Scotia Capital
Officers:Don Klapko - President & CEO
Dell Chapman -Sr.VP&CFO
John Chimahusky -Sr.VP&COO,
U.S. Operations
Terry Fullerton -Sr.VP,Exploration
Dan McKinnon -SeniorVP,Engineering
Mark Rupert -VP,U.S.Operations
RichardDixon -VP,Land,
U.S. Operations
Peter Letizia -VP,Production
for Canada
Directors:Daniel Botterill
Peter Carpenter
Michael Doyle
VictorDusik
Roger Giovanetto
Don Klapko
Robert Wilkinson
Hunton Trend
VikingTrend
Cardium Trends
Clair Trend
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 39
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Focus of Operations
UNLOCKING SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL FROM RESOURCE PLAYSListing: TSX-GO
Shares outstanding: 102.2 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $1.60 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $163.5 million
Net debt: $228 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $391.5 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 5,127 bbls/d 34%
Natural gas 59.50 mmcf/d 66%
Total 15,044 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50GO $17.55
Peer Median$14.31
Recent News:August 8, 2012 Guide to acquire Westfire Energy, becoming a leading intermediate oil and gas company
August 8, 2012 Guide announces Q2 2012 results highlighted by revenueof$42.8million,andQ22012fundsflowfrom operations of $24.0 million an increase of 27.7% from Q1
May 7, 2012 Guide announces Q1 2012 results highlighted by revenue of$47.4million,andfundsflowfromoperationsforQ12012 of $18.8 million
Strategies:• Focusonoildevelopmentandoilproductiongrowth
• EstablishstrongfoundationforfuturegasdevelopmentwithBoyeracquisition
• Establishcorporatebaselinereservesandhighgradedportfolioofproperties
— from Guide Spring 2012 corporate presentation
Contact:400, 250 - 2nd Street S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 0C1
tel 403.261.6012
Analyst Coverage:BMO Capital Markets
Cormark Securities
FirstEnergy Capital
GMP Securities L.P.
National Bank Financial
RBC Capital Markets
Schachter Asset Management
Scotia Capital
Stifel Nicolaus
Officers:William Andrew - Chair & CEO
Dale Miller - President
Shivon Crabtree -VP,Finance&CFO
Jim Iverson -VP,Exploration
Dale Orton -VP,Operations
& Engineering
Devin Sundstrom -VP,Production
William Tang Kong -VP,Corporate
Development
Directors:William Andrew
John Brussa
Glenn Carley
William Cooke
Jeffery Errico
Lawrence Fenwick
Dale Miller
Brad Munro
Patricia Newson
Peace River Arch
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M40
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
SUSTAINABLE BASE ASSETS FUEL GROWTHListing: TSX-PMT
Shares outstanding: 147.1 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $1.23 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $181.0 million
Net debt: $382.6 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $563.6 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 3,446 bbls/d 16%
Natural gas 105.1 mmcf/d 84%
Total 20, 963 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50PMT $6.34
Peer Median$14.31
Recent News:September 10, 2012 Perpetual Energy updates asset disposition program
August 13, 2012 Perpetual Energy releases second quarter 2012 financial and operating results
July 13, 2012 Perpetual Energy confirms repayment of convertible debentures June 30, 2012 and updates commodity price risk management
Strategies:• Profitablecapitalinvestmentinchosenprovendiversifyinggrowthstrategiesto
increase oil and NGL production
• Debtreduction
• Advanceassessmentandgrowthvalueofotherlargehighimpactresourceopportunities with risk-managed investment
• Managedownsiderisksrelatedtocommoditypricevolatility
— from Perpetual June 2012 Management Discussion and Analysis
Contact:3200, 605 - 5th Avenue S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 3H5
tel 403.269.4400 toll free 800.811.5522
[email protected] www.perpetualenergyinc.com
Directors:Clayton Riddell Susan Riddell RoseKaren GenowayRandall JohnsonRobert MaitlandGeoffrey MerrittDonald Nelson
Howard Ward
Analyst Coverage:BMO Nesbitt BurnsCanaccord AdamsCIBC World MarketsCormark SecuritiesDundee SecuritiesFirstEnergy CapitalPeters & Co.Raymond JamesRBC Capital MarketsScotia Capital TD Newcrest
Officers:ClaytonRiddell-ExecutiveChairmanSusan Riddell Rose - President & CEOCameronSebastian-VP,Finance&CFOVickiBenoit-VP,ProductionOperationsJeffGreen-VP,Corporate&EngineeringServicesGaryJackson-VP,Land&AcquisitionsLindaMcKean-VP,ExploitationMarcelloRapini-VP,MarketingAaron Thompson - Controller
West Central District
Eastern District
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This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
TECHNICAL EXCELLENCE, HIGH NETBACKSListing: TSX-PBN
Shares outstanding (A+B): 187.9 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $13.00 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $2,442.7 million
Net debt: $1,316million+$261.3milliondebenturesatJune30,2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $4,020 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 32,236 bbls/d 83%
Natural gas 38.87 mmcf/d 17%
Total 38,715 boe/d 100%
Cash flow netback:
Oil
Gas
$0 $50PBN $34.79
Peer Median$14.31
RecentNews:
September 17, 2012 PetroBakken confirms that a cash dividend for the month of September will be paid on October 15, 2012 to all shareholders of record on September 30, 2012
September 17, 2012 PetroBakken announced that the Board of Directors has approvedanormalcourseissuerbid(the“NCIB”)
August 15, 2012 PetroBakken confirms that a cash dividend for the month of August will be paid on September 17, 2012 to all shareholders of record on August 31, 2012
Strategies:• Focusondeliveringindustryleadingoperatingnetbacks,strongcashflows
and production growth
• ApplyleadingedgetechnologytoamultiyearinventoryofBakkenand Cardium light oil development locations
• Futuredevelopmentopportunitiesinfouremerginglightoilresourceplays, and natural gas optionality in the Horn River and Montney resource plays
• Deliveraccretiveproductionandreservesgrowthintandemwithwithan attractive dividend yield
— from PetroBakken website
Contact:2800, 525 – 8th Avenue S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 1G1
tel 403.268.7800
[email protected] www.petrobakken.com
Analyst Coverage:Alta Corp Capital
Bank of America
BMO Nesbitt Burns
Canaccord Genuity
CIBC World Markets
Cormark Securities
Credit Suisse Securities
Desjardins Securities
FirstEnergy Capital
GMP Securities
Haywood Securities
Macquarie Financial
National Bank Financial
Peters & Co.
Raymond James
RBC Capital Markets
Scotia Capital
Stifel Nicolaus
TD Securities
Officers:John Wright - President & CEO
Mary Bulmer -VP,CorporateServices
Lawrence Fisher -VP,LandandA&D
George Gervais -VP,Exploitation
Andrea Hatzinikolas - Corporate Secretary
Peter Hawkes -VP,Exploration
William Kanters -VP,CapitalMarkets
Rene LaPrade -SrVP,Operations
Peter Scott -SrVP&CFO
Directors:Ian Brown
Martin Hislop
Craig Lothian
Corey Ruttan
Dan Themig
Brett Wilson
John Wright
Kenneth McKinnon
Cardium
Horn River
Monias
SE SaskatchewanEmerging Resources
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M42
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Financial & Operating Analysis of Canadian Oil & Gas CompaniesCanOils
An Evaluate Energy Service
Exploration and Development Expenditures are on the Decline
CanOils now provides current and historic company guidance (with tracked changes) for all publicly traded E&P companies. Updated daily with access to all source documents, guidance data items include:
Average and Exit Rate Production
Capital Spending Budgets
Operational Costs
Royalty Rates
Reserve Estimates
Drilling Plans
Projected Cash Flow and Net Debt
CanOils ® gives you the edge in discovering actionable opportunities in Canadian oil and gas. Accurate and complete annual and quarterly data will transform the way your company analyzes
and compares the performance of all TSX and TSX-V exploration and production companies.
© 2012 Evaluate Energy Ltd. www.canoils.com
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100.00
120.00
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200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2010 2011 2012
C$/bbl
CAD$
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Cash Flow from Operations
Total Exploration & Development Expenditures
WTI
0
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40,000
60,000
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2010 2011 2012
BOE/d
CAD$
000's
Exploration & Development Actual Expenditures (Quarterly)
Remaining Exploration & Development Budget (Annual)
BOE/d
An analysis of 24 Junior E&P companies
indicates that more than 73% of their
total Exploration and Development
budgets have already been spent in the
first half of 2012 (Figure 1). Further,
total Exploration and Development
expenditures and Cash Flow from
Operations are on the decline since the
fourth quarter of 2011. This trend is in
the wake of an 11% drop in oil prices
from Q2 to Q3 in 2011 (Figure 2).
Exploration and Development spending
should continue to decline for the rest
of the calendar year and is likely to go
over budget, much like previous years.
The peer group is made up of 24 TSX and TSX-V
listed companies producing between 1,000 and
10,000 boe/d, as of August 23, 2012.
TUNISIAAfrica HydroCandaxChinookCYGAMDualexLundinSondeTerrace Winstar
FRANCEGallic Lundin Sterling Vermilion
UKRAINECubEast WestTransEuro
SPAINBNKDundeeSaxon
TANZANIAAntrim HeritageOrca
YEMENCalvalleyEast WestTransGlobe
PAKISTANHeritageNiko
PAPUA NEW GUINEAEaglewoodLNG TransEuro
UNITED KINGDOMAntrim Canadian OverseasInternational FrontierIona Ithaca Lundin North SeaSerica Sterling VermilionXcite
HUNGARYDualexFalconWinstar
ITALYBRS CYGAMOrcaSaxon Oil
ROMANIAEast WestSterlingTransAtlanticWinstar
INDIABengalEast WestNiko
NAMIBIAEcoEnergulfHRT ParticipacoesSerica
SOMALIAHorn
CONGOEnergulfHeritageLundin
ETHIOPIAAfrica OilCalvalleyEpsilon
THAILANDCoastalPan Orient
MALTAHeritage
BRAZILBrookwaterBrownstoneCanacolGran TierraHRT ParticipacoesPetro Vista
UNITED STATESArsenal Aurora Big SkyBlackbirdBNK Bowood Bridge BrownstoneBRS Bucking HorseCaza Oil & GasDejour Derek Doxa Eagle Enerplus Enhanced OilEnterprise EpsilonEqual Exall First StarGale ForceGuardianHillcrestIvanhoeLNG Lynden KFG Maxim Montana MountainviewNextraction NiMin Parallel Paramax Paramount Petra Primary RenegadeRooster SaxonSolimar Thunderbird UndergroundUnited Hunter Westbridge Wind River Zargon Zodiac
COLOMBIAAzabache BrownstoneC&C EnergiaCanacol Gran TierraParex PetroamericaPetrodoradoPetromagdalenaPetromineralesPetroNovaPetro VistaQuetzal Sagres Santa MariaShonaSintanaSuroco Energy
GUYANACanacolCGX GroundstarSagres
ARGENTINAAmericas PetrogasAntrim ArPetrolAzabache BrownstoneCrown PointGran TierraMadalena
PERUAmericas PetrogasGran TierraLoonPetrodoradoPetromineralesShonaSintanaVeraz
TRINIDAD & TOBAGOMaxim Niko Parex Primera Touchstone
ALBANIAAPICBankersManasPetromanasStream
KAZAKHSTANCaspianCondorTethys
RUSSIAEast WestHeritageLundinPetroKamchatka
TAJIKISTANManasTethys
NEW ZEALANDNew ZealandTAG
CHINAIvanhoePrimeline
AUSTRALIABengalFalconGallicPetroFrontierRodiniaVermilion
INDONESIACBM AsiaLundinPan OrientSerica
SYRIAMena
EGYPTEast WestGroundstarMenaSea DragonTransGlobe
IRAQGroundstarHeritageIraqLongfordShaMaranSonoroVastWesternZagros
ECUADORIvanhoe
GUATEMALA QuetzalSanta Maria
UZBEKISTANTethys
MONGOLIAIvanhoeManas
MOROCCOLongreachSericaTransAtlantic
PARAGUAYPetrodorado
LIBYAHeritageSonde
LIBERIASimba
ISRAELAdiraBrownstone
KENYAAfrica OilSimbaVanoil
POLANDBNK LNG GERMANY
BNK Petroleum
NETHERLANDSLundinSterlingVermilion
ZAMBIAExile
JAMAICASagres
PORTUGALPorto
NORWAYLundin
AZERBAIJANGreenfields
VIETNAM Lundin
BULGARIATransAtlantic
MALAYSIA Lundin
KYRGYZSTANManas
GUINEASimba
NIGERIAExileMart
MALIAfrica OilHeritageSimba
TURKEYAnatoliaEmperor ExileTransAtlantic
SOUTH AFRICAFalcon
BANGLADESHNiko
MADAGASCARCandaxNiko
RWANDAVanoil
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M44
This map shows the footprint of activities for TSX and TSX Venture listed oil and gas companies with a market capitalization of more than $5 million and less than 100,000 boe/d of production in the second quarter of 2012. If you know a company that meets this criteria that has been left out, please email us at [email protected].
Canadian companies operating abroad
TUNISIAAfrica HydroCandaxChinookCYGAMDualexLundinSondeTerrace Winstar
FRANCEGallic Lundin Sterling Vermilion
UKRAINECubEast WestTransEuro
SPAINBNKDundeeSaxon
TANZANIAAntrim HeritageOrca
YEMENCalvalleyEast WestTransGlobe
PAKISTANHeritageNiko
PAPUA NEW GUINEAEaglewoodLNG TransEuro
UNITED KINGDOMAntrim Canadian OverseasInternational FrontierIona Ithaca Lundin North SeaSerica Sterling VermilionXcite
HUNGARYDualexFalconWinstar
ITALYBRS CYGAMOrcaSaxon Oil
ROMANIAEast WestSterlingTransAtlanticWinstar
INDIABengalEast WestNiko
NAMIBIAEcoEnergulfHRT ParticipacoesSerica
SOMALIAHorn
CONGOEnergulfHeritageLundin
ETHIOPIAAfrica OilCalvalleyEpsilon
THAILANDCoastalPan Orient
MALTAHeritage
BRAZILBrookwaterBrownstoneCanacolGran TierraHRT ParticipacoesPetro Vista
UNITED STATESArsenal Aurora Big SkyBlackbirdBNK Bowood Bridge BrownstoneBRS Bucking HorseCaza Oil & GasDejour Derek Doxa Eagle Enerplus Enhanced OilEnterprise EpsilonEqual Exall First StarGale ForceGuardianHillcrestIvanhoeLNG Lynden KFG Maxim Montana MountainviewNextraction NiMin Parallel Paramax Paramount Petra Primary RenegadeRooster SaxonSolimar Thunderbird UndergroundUnited Hunter Westbridge Wind River Zargon Zodiac
COLOMBIAAzabache BrownstoneC&C EnergiaCanacol Gran TierraParex PetroamericaPetrodoradoPetromagdalenaPetromineralesPetroNovaPetro VistaQuetzal Sagres Santa MariaShonaSintanaSuroco Energy
GUYANACanacolCGX GroundstarSagres
ARGENTINAAmericas PetrogasAntrim ArPetrolAzabache BrownstoneCrown PointGran TierraMadalena
PERUAmericas PetrogasGran TierraLoonPetrodoradoPetromineralesShonaSintanaVeraz
TRINIDAD & TOBAGOMaxim Niko Parex Primera Touchstone
ALBANIAAPICBankersManasPetromanasStream
KAZAKHSTANCaspianCondorTethys
RUSSIAEast WestHeritageLundinPetroKamchatka
TAJIKISTANManasTethys
NEW ZEALANDNew ZealandTAG
CHINAIvanhoePrimeline
AUSTRALIABengalFalconGallicPetroFrontierRodiniaVermilion
INDONESIACBM AsiaLundinPan OrientSerica
SYRIAMena
EGYPTEast WestGroundstarMenaSea DragonTransGlobe
IRAQGroundstarHeritageIraqLongfordShaMaranSonoroVastWesternZagros
ECUADORIvanhoe
GUATEMALA QuetzalSanta Maria
UZBEKISTANTethys
MONGOLIAIvanhoeManas
MOROCCOLongreachSericaTransAtlantic
PARAGUAYPetrodorado
LIBYAHeritageSonde
LIBERIASimba
ISRAELAdiraBrownstone
KENYAAfrica OilSimbaVanoil
POLANDBNK LNG GERMANY
BNK Petroleum
NETHERLANDSLundinSterlingVermilion
ZAMBIAExile
JAMAICASagres
PORTUGALPorto
NORWAYLundin
AZERBAIJANGreenfields
VIETNAM Lundin
BULGARIATransAtlantic
MALAYSIA Lundin
KYRGYZSTANManas
GUINEASimba
NIGERIAExileMart
MALIAfrica OilHeritageSimba
TURKEYAnatoliaEmperor ExileTransAtlantic
SOUTH AFRICAFalcon
BANGLADESHNiko
MADAGASCARCandaxNiko
RWANDAVanoil
TUNISIAAfrica HydroCandaxChinookCYGAMDualexLundinSondeTerrace Winstar
FRANCEGallic Lundin Sterling Vermilion
UKRAINECubEast WestTransEuro
SPAINBNKDundeeSaxon
TANZANIAAntrim HeritageOrca
YEMENCalvalleyEast WestTransGlobe
PAKISTANHeritageNiko
PAPUA NEW GUINEAEaglewoodLNG TransEuro
UNITED KINGDOMAntrim Canadian OverseasInternational FrontierIona Ithaca Lundin North SeaSerica Sterling VermilionXcite
HUNGARYDualexFalconWinstar
ITALYBRS CYGAMOrcaSaxon Oil
ROMANIAEast WestSterlingTransAtlanticWinstar
INDIABengalEast WestNiko
NAMIBIAEcoEnergulfHRT ParticipacoesSerica
SOMALIAHorn
CONGOEnergulfHeritageLundin
ETHIOPIAAfrica OilCalvalleyEpsilon
THAILANDCoastalPan Orient
MALTAHeritage
BRAZILBrookwaterBrownstoneCanacolGran TierraHRT ParticipacoesPetro Vista
UNITED STATESArsenal Aurora Big SkyBlackbirdBNK Bowood Bridge BrownstoneBRS Bucking HorseCaza Oil & GasDejour Derek Doxa Eagle Enerplus Enhanced OilEnterprise EpsilonEqual Exall First StarGale ForceGuardianHillcrestIvanhoeLNG Lynden KFG Maxim Montana MountainviewNextraction NiMin Parallel Paramax Paramount Petra Primary RenegadeRooster SaxonSolimar Thunderbird UndergroundUnited Hunter Westbridge Wind River Zargon Zodiac
COLOMBIAAzabache BrownstoneC&C EnergiaCanacol Gran TierraParex PetroamericaPetrodoradoPetromagdalenaPetromineralesPetroNovaPetro VistaQuetzal Sagres Santa MariaShonaSintanaSuroco Energy
GUYANACanacolCGX GroundstarSagres
ARGENTINAAmericas PetrogasAntrim ArPetrolAzabache BrownstoneCrown PointGran TierraMadalena
PERUAmericas PetrogasGran TierraLoonPetrodoradoPetromineralesShonaSintanaVeraz
TRINIDAD & TOBAGOMaxim Niko Parex Primera Touchstone
ALBANIAAPICBankersManasPetromanasStream
KAZAKHSTANCaspianCondorTethys
RUSSIAEast WestHeritageLundinPetroKamchatka
TAJIKISTANManasTethys
NEW ZEALANDNew ZealandTAG
CHINAIvanhoePrimeline
AUSTRALIABengalFalconGallicPetroFrontierRodiniaVermilion
INDONESIACBM AsiaLundinPan OrientSerica
SYRIAMena
EGYPTEast WestGroundstarMenaSea DragonTransGlobe
IRAQGroundstarHeritageIraqLongfordShaMaranSonoroVastWesternZagros
ECUADORIvanhoe
GUATEMALA QuetzalSanta Maria
UZBEKISTANTethys
MONGOLIAIvanhoeManas
MOROCCOLongreachSericaTransAtlantic
PARAGUAYPetrodorado
LIBYAHeritageSonde
LIBERIASimba
ISRAELAdiraBrownstone
KENYAAfrica OilSimbaVanoil
POLANDBNK LNG GERMANY
BNK Petroleum
NETHERLANDSLundinSterlingVermilion
ZAMBIAExile
JAMAICASagres
PORTUGALPorto
NORWAYLundin
AZERBAIJANGreenfields
VIETNAM Lundin
BULGARIATransAtlantic
MALAYSIA Lundin
KYRGYZSTANManas
GUINEASimba
NIGERIAExileMart
MALIAfrica OilHeritageSimba
TURKEYAnatoliaEmperor ExileTransAtlantic
SOUTH AFRICAFalcon
BANGLADESHNiko
MADAGASCARCandaxNiko
RWANDAVanoil
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 45
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HIGH IMPACT EXPLORATION AND DRILLING IN STABLE COUNTRIESListing: TSX-BNG
Shares outstanding: 52.1 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $0.63 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $32.8 million
Net surplus: $18.4 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. - net surplus): $14.4 million
Average daily production for fiscal Q1 2013 ended June 30, 2012:
Crude oil and NGLs 51 bbls/d 57%
Natural gas 225 mcf/d 43%
Total 89 boe/d 100%
Oil
Gas
Recent News:September 18, 2012 Bengal announced completion of production testing on recently drilled Cuisinier wells, with positive results
August 13, 2012 Bengal provided updated corporate presentation and operations review and filed MD&A and financial interim report for Q1 2013, indicating that the Company entered Q2 2013 with a strong balance sheet with $19.7 million in cash, no debt and a balanced portfolio ofexplorationanddevelopmentdrillingopportunities
July 13, 2012 Bengal provided final Cuisinier drilling campaign data and operational update
Strategies:• Solidportfolioofassetsandopportunities-Near-term,low-riskopportunitiesand
long-term, high impact prospects
• Technicallydrivenevaluationandvaluecreationprocess
• Robustcashpositionfacilitatesoperationalexecution
• Initiatingoperatedmulti-targetdrillinginonshoreAustralia,mid2012
• Takingcontrolofoperationswithcompanyowneddrillingrigandcrew
• Continuationofdrillingprogramforproduction,reservesandresources
• Targetedmilestonesincludingfarm-outsonselectedproperties
— from Bengal August 2012 presentation
This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
AUSTRALIA
INDIA
Cauvery Basin
Contact:Suite 1810, 801 - 6th Ave S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 3W2
tel 403.205.2526
[email protected] www.bengalenergy.ca
Analyst Coverage:Casimir Capital Ltd.
Cormark Securities Inc.
Officers:Chayan Chakrabarty - President & CEO
Bryan Goudie - CFO
RichardEdgar-ExecutiveVP
GarrettWilson-VP,Engineering&Operations
GordonMacMahon-VP,Exploration
Directors:Ian Towers
Chayan Chakrabarty
Peter Gaffney
James Howe
Stephen Inbusch
Dr. Brian Moss
Robert Steele
Bill Wheeler
Cooper Basin
Timor Sea
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HIGH IMPACT EXPLORATION AND DRILLING IN STABLE COUNTRIESListing: TSX-BNG
Shares outstanding: 52.1 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $0.63 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $32.8 million
Net surplus: $18.4 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. - net surplus): $14.4 million
Average daily production for fiscal Q1 2013 ended June 30, 2012:
Crude oil and NGLs 51 bbls/d 57%
Natural gas 225 mcf/d 43%
Total 89 boe/d 100%
Oil
Gas
Recent News:September 18, 2012 Bengal announced completion of production testing on recently drilled Cuisinier wells, with positive results
August 13, 2012 Bengal provided updated corporate presentation and operations review and filed MD&A and financial interim report for Q1 2013, indicating that the Company entered Q2 2013 with a strong balance sheet with $19.7 million in cash, no debt and a balanced portfolio ofexplorationanddevelopmentdrillingopportunities
July 13, 2012 Bengal provided final Cuisinier drilling campaign data and operational update
Strategies:• Solidportfolioofassetsandopportunities-Near-term,low-riskopportunitiesand
long-term, high impact prospects
• Technicallydrivenevaluationandvaluecreationprocess
• Robustcashpositionfacilitatesoperationalexecution
• Initiatingoperatedmulti-targetdrillinginonshoreAustralia,mid2012
• Takingcontrolofoperationswithcompanyowneddrillingrigandcrew
• Continuationofdrillingprogramforproduction,reservesandresources
• Targetedmilestonesincludingfarm-outsonselectedproperties
— from Bengal August 2012 presentation
This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
AUSTRALIA
INDIA
Cauvery Basin
Contact:Suite 1810, 801 - 6th Ave S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 3W2
tel 403.205.2526
[email protected] www.bengalenergy.ca
Analyst Coverage:Casimir Capital Ltd.
Cormark Securities Inc.
Officers:Chayan Chakrabarty - President & CEO
Bryan Goudie - CFO
RichardEdgar-ExecutiveVP
GarrettWilson-VP,Engineering&Operations
GordonMacMahon-VP,Exploration
Directors:Ian Towers
Chayan Chakrabarty
Peter Gaffney
James Howe
Stephen Inbusch
Dr. Brian Moss
Robert Steele
Bill Wheeler
Cooper Basin
Timor Sea
EXPLORING BEYONDListing:TSX-PMGBVC:PMGC
Shares outstanding: 89.8 million at June 30, 2012
Share price: $9.31 at August 31, 2012
Market capitalization: $836 million
Net debt including debentures: $516.4 million at June 30, 2012
Enterprise value (market cap. + net debt): $1,352 million
Q2 2012 average daily production:
Crude oil and NGLs 31,113 bbls/d 100%
Natural gas 0 mmcf/d 0%
Total 31,113 boe/d 100%
Oil
Gas
Recent News:August 2, 2012 Petrominerales reports second quarter financial results highlightedbyfundsflowfromoperationsof US$173.7 million
July 24, 2012 PetromineralesannouncesclosingofVerazPeruacquisition and provides an update on Sheshea 1xexplorationwell
June 18, 2012 Petrominerales announces Guala oil discovery on Corcel block and provides an update on Bromelia
Strategies:• Extensive,diversifieddrillinginventory
• 100%ownedlandbaseinColombiawithsuperiorfiscaltermsthat cannot be replicated
• High-valueproductionbase
• Respectforsafety,communitiesandtheenvironment
•World-classprofessionals
• Managementteamdepthandexperiencewithaproventrackrecord
• Fully-fundedexplorationprograms
• Yieldplushigh-impactexplorationupside
— From Petrominerales website 2012
Contact:1000, 333 - 5th Ave S.W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 2Z1
tel 403.705.8850
[email protected] www.petrominerales.com
Analyst Coverage:BMO Capital Markets Canada
Bolsa y Renta
Celfin
CIBC World Markets
Cormark Securities
Credit Suisse
FirstEnergy Capital
Fraser MacKenzie
GMP Securities
Haywood Securities
Interbolsa
Macquarie Research
Peters & Co.
Raymond James
RBC Capital Markets
Scotia Capital
Stifel Nicolaus
TD Securities
Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co.
UBS Securities
Titicaca Basin
Officers:Corey Ruttan - President & CEO
John Scott - COO
Kelly Sledz - CFO
ErikLyngberg-SrVP,Exploration
Andrea Hatzinikolas - General Council & Corporate Secretary
TannyaMorales-VP,Finance
RubenCano-VP,Services & Logistics
Jeff Chant -VP,OrganizationalPerformance
John Wright - Chairman of the Board & Strategic Advisor
JaimieValenzuela-VP,ProjectManagement & Planning, & Director of Operations
María Mercedes Palacio -VP,CorporateAffairs
Directors:John Wright
Jerald Oaks
Alastair MacDonald
Kenneth McKinnon
Ernesto Sarpi
EnriqueUmaña-Valenzuela
GeirYtreland
Ucayali Basin
Middle Magdelena Basin Central Llanos
Southern Llanos Basin
This company snapshot has been assembled by BMIR using publicly available information. The snapshot is not endorsed by the company profiled.
Focus of Operations
Upper Magdelena Basin
Deep Llanos
Peru
COLOMBIA
Putomayo Basin
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Q2 2012 Production
(boe/d)
Aug 31, 2012share price
($)3MV Energy Corp. TMV-V Curtis Schoenfeld 188 0.26Abenteuer Resources Corp. ABU-V Lewis Dillman 17 0.08Alston Energy Inc. ALO-V Don Umbach 52 0.07Anglo Canadian Oil Corp. ACG-V Todd Montgomery 6 0.04Anterra Energy Inc. AE.A-V Gang Fang 250 0.04Arctic Hunter Energy Inc. AHU-V Tim Coupland not available 0.06Atikwa Resources Inc. ATK-V Sean Kehoe 173 0.04Avatar Energy Ltd. AVG-V Alan Jack 69 0.05Bayshore Petroleum Corp. BSH-V Peter Ho 7 0.30Blackdog Resources Ltd. DOG-V David Corcoran 81 0.25Blackhawk Resource Corp. BLR-V Dave Antony not available 0.13Blacksteel Energy Inc. BEY-V Curtis Hartzler 2 0.08BNP Resources Inc. BNX.A-V Gregory Bilcox 9 0.05Border Petroleum Corp. BOR-V Kelly Kimbley 244 0.17Canadian Energy Exploration Inc. XPL-V Larry Buzan 6 0.01Carmen Energy Inc. CEI-V Randall Harrison 47 0.04Century Energy Ltd. CEY-V Jimmy McCarroll 2 0.03Cumberland Oil & Gas Ltd. COG-V Daniel Allan 87 0.05Dejour Energy Inc. DEJ-T Robert Hodgkinson 406 0.14Desmarais Energy Corp. DES-V Doug Robinson 50 0.07Detector Exploration Ltd. DEX-V Ronald Alexander 73 0.02Diaz Resources Ltd. DZR-V Robert Lamond 387 0.03Donnybrook Energy Inc. DEI-V Malcolm Todd 286 0.15Donnycreek Energy Inc DCK-V Malcolm Todd 40 1.34Elkwater Resources Ltd. ELW-V Don Brown 177 0.10Emerald Bay Energy Inc. EBY-V Shelby Beattie 7 0.06FairWest Energy Corporation FEC-V Vern Fauth 270 0.04Firebird Capital Partners Inc. FRD-V Kevin Patterson 5 0.16Forent Energy Ltd. FEN-V Thomas Lester 227 0.07Galileo Petroleum Ltd. GPL-V David Hottman not available 0.06Georox Resources Inc. GXR-V Burkhard Franz 78 0.08Great Pacific International Inc. GPI-V Mike Robichaud 1 0.01Guardian Exploration Inc. GX-V Graydon Kowal 39 0.02Hawk Exploration Ltd. HWK.A-V Steve Fitzmaurice 486 0.28Hemisphere Energy Corporation HME-V Don Simmons 418 0.60Hermes Financial Inc. HFI-V Christopher Yee 27 0.03Huntington Exploration Inc HEI-V Steve Harding 15 0.05Invicta Energy Corp. VCA-V Gordon Reese 272 0.19Ironhorse Oil & Gas Inc. IOG-V Larry Parks 64 0.15Jadela Oil Corp. JOC-V Gregory Leia not available 0.14
Company Ticker Chief Executive
Q2 2012 Production
(boe/d)
Aug 31, 2012share price
($)Kallisto Energy Corp KEC-V Robyn Lore 223 0.08Lariat Energy Ltd. LE-V Scott Emerson not available 0.12LGX Oil + Gas Ltd. OIL-V Trent Yanko 485 0.99Magnum Energy Inc. MEN-V Richard Nemeth 158 0.11Morumbi Resources Inc MOC-V Mark Brennan 3 0.45Mount Dakota Energy Corp. MMO-V Gary Claytens 2 0.03Nordic Oil & Gas Ltd. NOG-V Donald Benson 85 0.04Northern Spirit Resources Inc NS-V Kevin Baker 80 0.05Online Energy Inc. ONL-V Steve Dabner 406 0.25Pacific Paradym Energy Inc PPE-V Sonny Chew not available 0.03PanTerra Resource Corp. PRC-V Fred Rumak not available 0.11Paris Energy Inc. PI-V Robert Lamond 17 0.05Passport Energy Ltd PPO-V Bruce Murray 15 0.07Pennant Energy Inc. PEN-V Thomas Yingling not available 0.09Pennine Petroleum Corporation PNN-V Jeff Saxinger 11 0.03Petro One Energy Corp. POP-V Terrence King not available 0.35Petro Viking Energy Inc. VIK-V Irvin Eisler 87 0.26Petroforte International Ltd. PFI-V Allan King not available 0.03Poplar Creek Resources Inc. PCK-V John Carruthers 7 0.03Primary Petroleum Corporation PIE-V Mike Marrandino not available 0.39Questfire Energy Corp. Q.A-T Richard Dahl 69 0.45RedWater Energy Corp. RED-V Gary Waters 89 0.17Relentless Resources Ltd. RRL-V Daniel Wilson 89 0.16Ria Resources Corp. RIA-V Neil Wilson 63 0.05RockBridge Resources Inc. RBE-V Michael O'Byrne not available 0.05Saccharum Energy Corp. SHM-V Johannes Kingma 18 0.15Sahara Energy Ltd. SAH-V Martin Feng 23 0.05Samoth Oilfield Inc. SCD-V Leonard Jaroszuk 31 0.08Solara Exploration Ltd. SAA.A-V Donald Holding 239 0.02Standard Exploration Ltd. SDE-V Ronald Wiebe 79 0.09Sunridge Energy Corp SRG-V Dwayne Tyrkalo 4 0.20Terrex Energy Inc. TER-V Jonathan Lexier 274 0.03Torquay Oil Corp. TOC.A-V Terry McCallum 359 0.14Traverse Energy Ltd. TVL-V Laurie Smith 301 0.64TrinCan Capital Corp. TRN-V Burkhard Franz not available 0.07Twoco Petroleums Ltd. TWO-V Wayne Malinowski 426 0.12Tuscany Energy Ltd. TUS-V Robert Lamond 365 0.10Vecta Energy Corporation VER-V Thomas Coffman 61 0.01Western Plains Petroleum Ltd. WPP-V David Forrest 167 0.05
B R Y A N M I L L S I R A D E S S O • I Q . B M I R . C O M48
emerging conventional companies This is a list of some of the emerging oil and gas companies that trade on the TSX or TSX Venture Exchange and produced less than 500 boe/d in the second quarter of 2012. This list is not exhaustive.
emerging oil sands companiesThis list is focused on Canadian oil sands players with less than 100,000 barrels of oil per day of production and listed on either the TSX or the TSX Venture Exchange. In some cases, oil sands development is only one aspect of their business.
Company Chief executive
Stock symbol & exchange
(T=TSX, V=Venture)
Share price August 31,
2012 ($)
Market cap August 31/12
share price & June 30/12
shares o/s ($000) Area of focus Stage of development Recovery method
Alberta Oilsands Binh Vu (interim) V-AOS $ 0.10 $ 16,480 Athabasca Application SAGDAthabasca Oil Corp. Sveinung Svarte T-ATH $ 13.58 $ 5,413,611 Athabasca Application In situ recoveryBlackPearl Resources John Festival T-PXX $ 3.18 $ 907,312 AB & SK Heavy Oil Operating SAGD, ASP floodCavalier Energy (Paramount Resources)
William Roach T-POU $ 24.09 $ 2,059,647 Athabasca Announced SAGD anticipated
Connacher Oil and Gas Peter Sametz (interim)
T-CLL $ 0.41 $ 186,503 Athabasca Operating, SAGD
Ivanhoe Energy Robert Friedland T-IE $ 0.71 $ 244,339 Athabasca Application SAGD anticipatedMEG Energy William McCaffrey T-MEG $ 38.82 $ 7,543,741 Athabasca Operating SAGDPengrowth Energy Derek Evans T-PGF $ 6.66 $ 3,332,977 Cold Lake Operating (Pilot) SAGDPetrobank Energy John Wright T-PBG $ 12.37 $ 1,247,820 Dawson & Kerrobert Operating (Pilot) THAI®Poplar Creek Resources Inc.
John Carruthers V-PCK $ 0.03 $ 1,164 Athabasca Announced In situ recovery
SilverWillow Energy Howard Lutley V-SWE $ 1.05 $ 56,154 Athabasca Announced In situ recoverySouthern Pacific Resource
Byron Lutes T-STP $ 1.51 $ 515,371 Athabasca, SK Heavy Oil Operating SAGD
NOTES:1. Oilsands Quest is traded on the Amex Exchange (BQI) and Statoil is traded on the Oslo (STL) and NYSE (STO) Exchanges2. Private oil sands players include Andora Energy, Birchwood Resources Inc., E-T Energy, Grizzly Oil Sands, Harvest Operations, JACOS, Koch Exploration, Laricina Energy, N-SOLV, Oak Point Energy,
OSUM and Value Creation 3. Southern Pacific’s fiscal year end is June 30. The August 31, 2012 share price and March 31, 2012 shares outstanding were used to calculate market cap.
iQ trendsThe following four-year review helps put the latest results into perspective
This iQ Report not only includes the results of Western Canada’s oil and natural gas companies for the second quarter of 2012, it also includes the following review of the results over the past four years to help put the Q2 2012 numbers into perspective.
Junior producers Intermediate producers
NUMBER OF JUNIORS
40
50
60
70
80
Q2Q3 Q1Q22011
Q1Q3Q22010
Q1Q3Q22009
Q1Q3Q22008 2012
NUMBER OF COMPANIES WITH PRODUCTION FROM 500 TO 10,000 BOE/D
Junior producersNUMBER OF INTERMEDIATES
15
25
35
45
55
Q2Q3 Q1Q22011
Q1Q3Q22010
Q1Q3Q22009
Q1Q3Q22008 2012
NUMBER OF COMPANIES WITH PRODUCTION FROM 10,000 TO 100,000 BOE/D
Intermediate producers
PRODUCTION MIX - NATURAL GAS WEIGHTING (%)
50%
60%
70%
80%
Q2Q3 Q1Q22011
Q1Q3Q22010
Q1Q3Q22009
Q1Q3Q22008 2012
AVERAGE GAS PRODUCTION DIVIDED BY AVERAGE TOTAL PRODUCTIONPRODUCTION MIX - NATURAL GAS WEIGHTING (%)
60%
65%
70%
75%
Q2Q3 Q1Q22011
Q1Q3Q22010
Q1Q3Q22009
Q1Q3Q22008 2012
AVERAGE GAS PRODUCTION DIVIDED BY AVERAGE TOTAL PRODUCTION
CASH FLOW NETBACK ($/boe)
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
Q2Q3 Q1Q22011
Q1Q3Q22010
Q1Q3Q22009
Q1Q3Q22008 2012
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS DIVIDED BY TOTAL PRODUCTIONCASH FLOW NETBACK ($/boe)
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
Q2Q3 Q1Q22011
Q1Q3Q22010
Q1Q3Q22009
Q1Q3Q22008 2012
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS DIVIDED BY TOTAL PRODUCTION
NET DEBT TO ANNUALIZED CASH FLOW
0
1
2
3
4
Q2Q3 Q1Q22011
Q1Q3Q22010
Q1Q3Q22009
Q1Q3Q22008 2012
NET DEBT DIVIDED BY CASH FLOW FOR PERIOD MULTIPLIED BY FOURNET DEBT TO ANNUALIZED CASH FLOW
0
1
2
3
4
Q2Q3 Q1Q22011
Q1Q3Q22010
Q1Q3Q22009
Q1Q3Q22008 2012
NET DEBT DIVIDED BY CASH FLOW FOR PERIOD MULTIPLIED BY FOUR
ENTERPRISE VALUE VS PRODUCTION (boe/d)
$25
$35
$45
$55
$65
$75
Q2Q3 Q1Q22011
Q1Q3Q22010
Q1Q3Q22009
Q1Q3Q22008 2012
MARKET CAP PLUS DEBT DIVIDED BY PRODUCTION SHOWN IN THOUSANDSENTERPRISE VALUE VS PRODUCTION (boe/d)
$35
$45
$55
$65
$75
$85
Q2Q3 Q1Q22011
Q1Q3Q22010
Q1Q3Q22009
Q1Q3Q22008 2012
MARKET CAP PLUS DEBT DIVIDED BY PRODUCTION SHOWN IN THOUSANDS
Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T : Q 2 2 0 1 2 49
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