Investor Presentation - MyState Limited€¦ · DAVID HARRADINE FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR...
Transcript of Investor Presentation - MyState Limited€¦ · DAVID HARRADINE FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR...
INVESTOR
PRESENTATION
FULL YEAR FY2018
17 August 2018
AGENDA
FY18 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
1. Highlights & strategy
Melos Sulicich
Managing Director & CEO
2. Financial results
David Harradine
Chief Financial Officer
3. Strategy & outlook
Melos Sulicich
Managing Director & CEO
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 2
HIGHLIGHTS &
STRATEGY
MELOS SULICICH
Key highlights
Results
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 3
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 4
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
Growth across key financial metrics and underlying performance drivers
Growing contribution from digital channels with increased customer adoption and advocacy
Continued momentum in bank balance sheet and FUM growth and soundly capitalised for
future growth
High customer advocacy, disciplined strategy execution and increasing
customer uptake of digital are underpinning MyState’s performance
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 5
Total income:
$126.3m
Net interest income:
$90.8m
Net profit after tax:
$31.5m
Earnings per share:
34.97 cps
Fully franked dividend:
28.75 cps 1
Return on average equity: 10.1%
Cost to income:
64.0%
Total capital ratio:
13.47% 2
Home loan book:
$4.4b 1.2x system
Funds under management:
$1.15b
KEY METRICS AND PERFORMANCE DRIVERS
Change on FY17 results except where otherwise stated
+1.4%
-190bps
+6.9%
+3.1%
+5.9%
+18bps
+4.6% +0.93cps
Increased full year
dividend of 28.75cps
and final dividend
steady at 14.5cps
fully franked
Solid
performance and
growth across all
key metrics
1. Final dividend of 14.5cps payable to shareholders on the register at the record date of 24 August 2018
2. 11.51% CET1 (FY17: 11.28%)
+9bps +0.25cps
FINANCIAL
RESULTS
DAVID HARRADINE FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 6
Results summary Credit profile Tasmanian economy
Performance Funding Shareholder returns
Loan book Wealth
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 7
IMPROVING OPERATING LEVERAGE DELIVERING GROWTH
FY18 FY17 Change
(v FY17)
Total operating income ($m) 126.3 124.6 +1.4%
Operating expenses (excl. BDD)
($m) 80.9 82.2 -1.5%
Net Profit after tax ($m) 31.5 30.1 +4.6%
Earnings per share (cps) 34.97 34.04 +2.7%
Net interest margin (%) 1.89 1.93 -4bps
Cost to income ratio (%) 64.0 65.9 -190bps
Total capital ratio (%) 1 13.47 13.29 +18bps
Return on average equity (%) 10.1 10.0 +9bps
Return on tangible equity (%) 13.7 13.4 +28bps
Dividend – fully franked (cps) 2 28.75 28.50 +0.25cps
Dividend payout ratio (%) 83 84 -1.0%
Credit performance –
30 day arrears (%) 0.47 0.51 -4bps
Momentum in banking and
wealth with home loan book
growing +2x system in 2HFY18
and wealth FUM and FUA
growing strongly
Revenue growth
and cost
containment
delivered positive
jaws and a lower
cost to income ratio
1. 11.51% CET1 (FY17: 11.28%)
2. Final dividend of 14.5cps payable to shareholders on the register at the record date of 24 August 2018
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 8
1.93% 1.89%
0.19%
0.01% 0.02% 0.02%
0.21% 0.07%
0.02%
1.50%
1.70%
1.90%
2.10%
2.30%
FY17 Asset price Origination
costs
Asset mix Funding
price
Funding mix FY18
MARGIN COMPRESSION IN COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT
Origination costs Increase Decrease
Significant increase in BBSW during
2H18 impacted funding costs
Net interest margin down -4bp on pcp
Lending market remains highly
competitive
NIM waterfall
2.13% 1.93% 1.94%
1.84% 1.89%
FY16 FY17 1H18 2H18 FY18
NIM trend
1.50
1.60
1.70
1.80
1.90
2.00
2.10
2.20
Jul
2017
Aug
2017
Sep
2017
Oct
2017
Nov
2017
Dec
2017
Jan
2018
Feb
2018
Mar
2018
Apr
2018
May
2018
Jun
2018
BB
SW
(%
)
BBSW
BBSW 1M BBSW 3M
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 9
CONTINUED DISCIPLINED COST MANAGEMENT
Operating costs declined -1.5% below pcp
Continued focus on re-shaping the cost base to enable investment in customer acquisition, marketing
and digital capability
Administration costs managed well below pcp
Depreciation and amortisation increased on pcp as higher levels of investment in technology began to
be amortised
$82.16
$80.90
$0.10 $0.13 $0.16 $0.23
$0.80
$2.48
$0.11 $0.09
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
FY17 Payment
system
Personnel Technology Marketing Depn & Amort. Administration
and other
Occupancy Governance FY18
$ M
illio
ns
Operating expenditure
-1.5% growth
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 10
$30.1
$31.5
$2.70
$1.78
$1.27 $1.38
$1.37
$0.24
$1.37
$25.0
$26.0
$27.0
$28.0
$29.0
$30.0
$31.0
$32.0
$33.0
$34.0
FY17 Net profit
after tax
Net interest
income
Other income Banking non
interest income
Wealth income Operating
expenditure
Net bad and
doubtful debts
Tax expense FY18 Net profit
after tax
$ M
illio
ns
4.6% growth
NPAT UNDERPINNED BY NII GROWTH AND WEALTH
Net profit before tax growth of 6.5% and NPAT growth of 4.6%
Strong NII growth despite continued competition in lower risk, lower LVR lending
Wealth growth across all business lines
Operating expenditure managed below prior year; one-off benefits also assisted
High quality growth leading to low bad debt outcomes
NPAT waterfall
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 11
STRONG 2H LENDING GROWTH
Loan book grew +2x system during 2HFY18
Margin management remains key focus
Emphasis on maintaining quality lending
growth amidst vigorous competition
Growth targeted to Australian eastern seaboard;
focus on lower LVR loans with high asset quality
$3,663 $4,076 $4,358
$68 $66 $64
$50 $63 $72
$71 $63 $55
90%
92%
94%
96%
98%
100%
FY16 FY17 FY18
Total book – composition ($m)
Housing Loans Personal Loans
Business / Agri / Commercial Overdrafts
$3,853 $4,269 $4,550
Geographic home loan book spread
1.42
1.68
0.79 1.00
1.79
0.88
1.19
0.46 0.65
1.11
$0.0
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
$1.2
$1.4
$1.6
$1.8
$2.0
FY16 FY17 1H18 2H18 FY18
$ B
illio
n
Home loan book – applications and settlements
Applications Settlements
+11% +7%
TAS
45.5%
VIC
15.6%
NSW
21.4%
QLD
14.1%
NT
0.1%
WA
1.7%
SA
0.9%
Lower concentration Higher concentration
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 12
CONTINUED HIGH CREDIT QUALITY
Impairments remain at historic lows
30 and 90 day arrears well below peers and stable
AASB 9 to be implemented July 2018 with
expected increases in provisioning
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
Jun
-16
Sep
-16
Dec-
16
Mar-
17
Jun
-17
Sep
-17
Dec-
17
Mar-
18
Jun
-18
30+ Days S & P Arrears Data
(Majors and Regionals one month behind)
Group SPIN Majors SPIN Regionals
0.00%
0.20%
0.40%
0.60%
0.80%
1.00%
1.20%
1.40%
Jun
-16
Sep
-16
Dec-
16
Mar-
17
Jun
-17
Sep
-17
Dec-
17
Mar-
18
Jun
-18
90+ Days S & P Arrears Data
(Majors and Regionals one month behind)
Group SPIN Majors SPIN Regionals
2.51
3.05
3.51
0.45
0.42
0.39
0.32
0.30
0.26
0.39
0.31
0.20
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$3.0
$3.5
$4.0
$4.5
$5.0
FY16 FY17 FY18
$ B
illio
ns
Home loan book LVR profile
>90% LVR
85%-90% LVR
80%-85% LVR
<80% LVR
Year on year
growth
-17%
+15%
$3.66
$4.36 $4.08
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 13
1,318 1,461 1,550
1,397 1,527
1,717
FY16 FY17 FY18
Customer deposits ($m)
Customer at call deposits Customer deposits at term
$2,715 $2,988 $3,267
IMPROVED FUNDING MIX
Stable funding mix enhanced by growth
in customer deposits
Customer deposit growth supported by
introduction of eSaver and Everyday
transaction accounts
Programmatic RMBS issuance continues
to be well supported by broad investor-
base
Moody’s Baa1/P2 stable investment grade
rating
66.9% 65.7% 68.0%
14.1% 13.2% 8.2%
19.0% 21.2% 23.8%
FY16 FY17 FY18
Funding mix
Customer deposits Wholesale funding Securitisation
+10% +9%
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 14
11.28% 11.51%
2.01%
0.13% 1.39%
1.74%
1.96%
1.51%
1.46% 0.08% 0.02%
FY17 Capital
initiatives
Securitised
assets
Profit Dividends paid Secured
mortgage
lending
Capitalised
intangibles
Other asset
growth
FY18
WELL CAPITALISED TO SUPPORT GROWTH
Robust capital position supported by organic capital generation
Capital base underpinning growth and investment in digital
Well positioned to meet regulatory changes
Tier 1
Tier 2
13.29% 13.47%
Total capital movements
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 15
9.59 9.79 10.36
4.81 3.76 4.70
3.07 3.19
3.45
FY16 FY17 FY18
Operating income ($m)
Funds Management* Trustees Financial Planning
1,008 1,089 1,153
740 778 809
FY16 FY17 FY18
Funds under management Funds under advice
GROWTH IN WEALTH BUSINESS
Wealth revenue growth +10.6% on pcp with
solid performance across all business lines
Trustee revenue +25% on pcp benefiting from
sustained focus on will writing
FUM growth of $64m +5.9%
FUA growth of $31m +4.0%
Income fund strategy and investment focused
on the growing income needs of retirees
Investment planned to grow wealth business
$16.74 $17.48 $18.52
Funds under management and funds
under advice ($m)
+6%
* including funds management mortgage fees
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 16
MOMENTUM IN THE TASMANIAN ECONOMY
Economic data sourced from ABS, CoreLogic and Tourism Tasmania
Tasmanian economy experienced positive start to
the year, with majority of indicators supporting
economic growth.
State Final Demand reached an all-time high of
$8.2bn in the March 2018 quarter, underpinned
by a year of consistent growth in household
consumption.
Tasmanian retail sales grew 4.6% in the year to
June 2018 compared to the national average of
3.1%, supported by tourism growth.
300,400 international visitors came to Tasmania in
the year to March 2018, a 20% increase on the
previous year and the highest number of
international visitors to Tasmania in a given year.
Hobart leads the nation in housing price growth
with average dwelling values increasing 11.5% in
the year to 30 June 2018.
Tasmanian exports grew significantly, increasing
33% over the year to June 2018, above the
national average of 8%.
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 17
Consistent dividend returns to investors
100th percentile TSR compared to ASX300 Banks in
FY13, 14, 15 and 16. 90th percentile in FY17.
High yielding fully franked dividend
CONSISTENT RETURNS TO SHAREHOLDERS
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
(1 year) (2 year) (3 year) (4 year) (5 year)
FY17 FY16 FY15 FY14 FY13
Perc
en
tile
(%
)
TSR comparison
Percentile - ASX300 Banks Percentile - ASX300 Financials
84 84
80
84 83
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
Dividend payout ratio
Dividends (cps)
STRATEGY &
OUTLOOK
MELOS SULICICH FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 18
Sector overview Achievements
Strategic overview Platform for
continued growth
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 19
System credit growth still slowing
Housing market cooling nationally
Lending market continues to be highly competitive
Funding costs remain elevated
Royal Commission
Productivity Commission Review
Competitive landscape still unbalanced:
1. Funding cost differentials
2. Risk weighted asset and capital differentials
3. Macroprudential regulation skewing competition and
profitability in the sector
4. Lack of transparency in vertical integration of mortgage
brokers
5. Disproportionate impact of regulatory burden on smaller
banks
6. Non ADIs benefiting from macro prudential interventions
Industry
dynamics
Regulatory
dynamics
$
SECTOR OVERVIEW
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 20
Our PURPOSE To help people achieve their dreams
Our VISION We want to make a genuine difference to our customers
and communities every day
The WORLD is changing The needs and expectations of customers are changing
and technology is opening opportunities to attract and
serve new customer segments across Australia
At MyState, we know that our future success will be
founded on digital innovation and evolving the way
we think and operate so that we put customers at the
centre of everything we do
Our GOALS are to be
Our MISSION To make financial services simple and trustworthy
DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGIC PRIORITIES
Simpler, more relevant, accessible for
our customers and easier to “use”
Evermore digitally enabled so that
we can attract the target
customers we are seeking
More deeply community connected
Seen by our shareholders as being
agile with a strong focus on
growth, margins and cost
management
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 21
Note: not all of the budgetary enablers for how MyState will look and feel in 2021 are fully captured within current strategic forecast.
* All statistics compare FY18 with FY17 unless otherwise stated
BUILDING A DIGITAL, SCALABLE BUSINESS *
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 22
PLATFORM FOR CONTINUED GROWTH
What we’ve achieved
What we’re working on
Deposit and loan
book growth
• Continued growth above
system
Customer enhancements
• MyExcellence program
• Continued focus on
customer improvement
initiatives including
continuous cycle of
platform improvements
Digital
• Faster customer onboarding
• Digital mortgage origination
• Focus on digital deposit
acquisition
Costs
• Targeted branch closures
• Productivity benefits
accruing
Digital
transformation
• Increase in customer NPS to +27
• Introduced eSaver and Everyday
transaction accounts and Basic
Home Loan
Marketing
• Build out marketing analytics
and CRM capabilities
• Brand building + refresh
Robust capital
position
• Moody’s Baa1/P2
stable investment
rating
Wealth
• Investment in Wealth,
with a focus on systems
and capability
We are modernising our business and putting customers
at the centre of everything we do
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 23
GLOSSARY
1H: First half of financial year
2H: Second half of financial year
ADI: Authorised deposit-taking institution
APRA: Australian Prudential Regulation Authority
Avg: Average
ASX: Australian Securities Exchange
BBSW: Bank Bill Swap Rate
BDD: Bad & Doubtful Debt Expense
bps: basis points
CAGR: Compounded annual growth rate
CET1: Common Equity Tier 1
cps: Cents per share
CTI: Cost-to-income ratio
DRP: Dividend reinvestment plan
EPS: Earnings per share
FY: Financial year
HY: Half year
IO: Interest only
IRB: Internal ratings-based
Jaws: relationship between income and expense growth
LVR: Loan to valuation ratio
MYS: MyState Ltd
MSB: MyState Bank Limited
NII: Net Interest Income
NIM: Net Interest Margin
NPAT: Net Profit after Tax
NPBT: Net Profit before Tax
RBA: Reserve Bank of Australia
RMBS: Residential mortgage-backed security
ROE: Return on equity
SPIN: Standard and Poor’s Performance Index
S&P: Standard and Poor’s
TD: Term deposit
FY18 FULL YEAR INVESTOR PRESENTATION | 24
DISCLAIMER
Summary Information
This Presentation contains summary information about MyState and its activities current as at
the date of this Presentation. The information is subject to change without notice and does
not purport to be complete or comprehensive. It does not purport to summarise all
information that an investor should consider when making an investment decision. It should
be read in conjunction with MyState's other periodic and continuous disclosure
announcements lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange, which are available at
www.asx.com.au.
Not Financial Product Advice
This Presentation is for information purposes only and is not financial product advice or a
recommendation to acquire shares. It has been prepared without taking into account any
investor’s objectives, financial position, situation or needs. Therefore, before making an
investment decision, investors should consider the appropriateness of the information in this
Presentation and have regard to their own objectives, financial situation and needs. Investors
should seek such financial, legal or tax advice as they deem necessary or consider
appropriate. MyState is not licensed to provide financial product advice in relation to the offer
of shares. Cooling off rights do not apply to the acquisition of the shares.
Financial Information
All information in this Presentation is in Australian dollars ($) unless stated otherwise. A
number of figures, amounts, percentages, estimates, calculations of value and fractions in this
presentation are subject to the effect of rounding. Accordingly, the actual calculation of these
figures may differ from the figures set out in this presentation and totals may vary slightly
due to rounding. All references to financial years (FY) appearing in this Presentation are to the
financial years ended on 30 June of the indicated year.
Past Performance
Past performance information, including past share price information, given in this
Presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as (and is
not) an indication of future performance.
Future Performance
This Presentation may contain “forward-looking” statements including statements
regarding MyState's intent, belief or current expectations with respect to their business
operations, market conditions, results of operations, financial conditions, and risk
management practices. Forward-looking statements can generally be identified by the
use of forward-looking words such as “anticipated”, “expected”, "aim", "predict",
“projections”, “guidance”, “forecast”, “estimates”, “could”, “may”, “target”, “consider”,
“will” and other similar expressions. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings,
financial performance, and financial position are also forward looking statements .
Forward looking statements, opinions and estimates are based on assumptions and
contingencies which are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and change without
notice, as are statements about market and industry trends, which are based on
interpretations of current market conditions. Forward-looking statements including
projections, indications or guidance on future earnings or financial position and
estimates are provided as a general guide only and should not be relied upon as an
indication or guarantee of future performance. Should one or more of the risks or
uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, there can
be no assurance that actual outcomes will not differ materially from these statements.
To the fullest extent permitted by law, MyState and its directors, officers, employees,
advisers, agents and intermediaries disclaim any obligation or undertaking to release
any updates or revisions to the information to reflect any change in expectations or
assumptions.
Investment Risk
An investment in securities in MyState is subject to investment and other known and
unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of MyState, including possible
loss of income or principal invested. MyState does not guarantee any particular rate of
return or the performance of MyState. Investors should have regard to the risk factors
outlined in this Presentation when making their investment decision.
Not an Offer
This Presentation is not an offer or an invitation to acquire shares in MyState or any
other financial products and is not a prospectus, product disclosure statement or other
offering document under Australian law or any other law. It is for information purposes
only.