Investor - Hiltonir.hilton.com/.../investor-presentation-february-2018.pdf · Investor....

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Conrad Bora Bora Nui, French Polynesia February 2018 Investor PRESENTATION

Transcript of Investor - Hiltonir.hilton.com/.../investor-presentation-february-2018.pdf · Investor....

  • Conrad Bora Bora Nui, French Polynesia

    February 2018

    InvestorPRESENTATION

  • (a) Source: STR (12 months ended 12/31/2017). RevPAR or Revenue per Available Room represents hotel room revenue divided by room nights available to guests for a given period.

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    HLT VALUE PROPOSITION

    Leading Brands serving

    virtually any lodging need

    anywhere

    Satisfied, Loyal

    Customers

    Premium, Growing

    Market ShareSatisfiedOwners

    Leading Hotel

    Supply & Pipeline

    HLT Financial Performance

    Award-winning brands that serve guests for virtually any lodging need they have anywhere in the world

    Leads to satisfied customers, including over 71 million Hilton Honors loyalty members

    Creates a network effect that drives a strong global RevPAR premium of 14%(a)

    These premiums drive strong financial returns for the company and our hotel owners

    Satisfied owners continue to invest in growing Hiltons brands, driving leading organic net unit growth with de minimis use of our capital

    We believe the reinforcing nature of these activities will allow Hilton to outperform the competition

    Hilton's scale, global presence and leading brands at multiple price points drive a network effect delivering industry-leading performance

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

  • 1. THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESS

    2. A RESILIENT, FEE-BASED BUSINESS

    3. A RECORD PIPELINE GENERATING SUBSTANTIAL RETURNS ON MINIMAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT

    4. SUPPORTED BY STRONG FUNDAMENTALS AND A DISCIPLINED STRATEGY

    5. GENERATING SIGNIFICANT FREE CASH FLOW FOR SHAREHOLDERS

    2

    Investment Thesis

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

  • 3

    (a) Source: STR (12 months ended 12/31/2017). RevPAR or Revenue per Available Room represents hotel room revenue divided by room nights available to guests for a given period.(b) System revenue includes estimated revenues of franchised properties in addition to revenues from properties owned, leased or managed by Hilton.

    14 Industry-leading, clearly defined, global brands that drive a 14% global RevPAR premium(a)

    Luxury & Lifestyle Full Service All Suites Focused Service Timeshare

    1. THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESS

    Strong commercial engines support $40 billion in annual system revenue(b)

    ~71M members, 57% system occupancy

    Loyalty Program

    Online & Mobile

    ~250M uniquesite visits/year

    Revenue Management

    Pricing and yield systems

    Worldwide Sales

    ~$9B in annual revenue

    Reservations & Customer Care

    +45 million interactions/yr.

    Supply Management

    ~$5B of annual spend influenced

    Information Technology

    Proprietary platform

    With ~5,300 properties & ~856,000 rooms in 105 countries and territories, Hilton is one of the worlds largest hotel companies

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

  • AT 2,700+ PROPERTIES

    YE 2017

    AT ~5,100 PROPERTIESGLOBALLY

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    We are the most innovative hotel company, leading in delivering personalized experiences to our guests

    DIGITAL CHECK-IN ROOM SELECTION DIGITAL KEY

    The highest-rated travel app, downloaded every 8 seconds Exclusively allows guests to select their specific rooms on their phones Digital Key enables guests to use their phones as room keys at the most

    hotels by far - with 4,000 hotels expected by the end of 2018 Connected Room the first mobile-centric hotel room, by means of our app,

    will enable members to control lighting, HVAC and entertainment options

    1. THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESS

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

  • Members

    5

    Hilton Honors loyalty program enables a better, more personalized hotel stay, driving incremental value to the system

    1. THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESS

    57%Share of system

    Occupancy(b)

    INNOVATIVE NEW FEATURES & PARTNERSHIPS

    POINTS & MONEY 2.0

    HILTON HONORS IS OFFERING MORE VALUE TO MORE MEMBERS

    Can choose any combination of Points and money to pay

    for a stay, using an interactive Slider.

    SHOP WITH POINTSThe first hotel loyalty

    program to enable members to use their Points on

    Amazon.com.

    POINTS POOLINGCan pool Points into a single account (for free), generating incremental reward stays and

    increasing engagement.

    (a) As of December 31, 2017.(b) For the year ended December 31, 2017.

    +15% CAGR2012

    36M

    71M

    2017(a)

    +160 BPS YOY

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

  • (a) Based on year ended 12/31/2017. For Adjusted EBITDA, excludes corporate and other.(b) Net Unit Growth (NUG) based on year ended 12/31/2017.(c) As of or for the year ended 12/31/2017.(d) Room count as of 12/31/2017. Other includes HGV.

    Upper Upscale

    33%

    Upscale33%

    Upper Midscale

    30%

    Luxury3%

    Other1%

    U.S.71%

    Europe12%

    Asia Pacific

    10%

    Americas Non-U.S.

    4%

    Middle East & Africa

    3%

    +11% CAGR

    Adj. EBITDA from fees, 90% revenue driven(a)90% 6.5% NUG(b)

    2009 2017(a)

    of total fees franchisedriven(a)70%

    Majority Franchise Fees

    $814M

    $1,940M

    Meaningful Fee GrowthMANAGEMENT & FRANCHISE FEES

    Capital Efficient Growth

    4.8% in-place rate vs. 5.6%

    published rate(c)~$160M annual

    Adj. EBITDA

    +/- 1% of RevPAR growth is roughly

    +/- 1% of Adjusted EBITDA growth

    Increasing franchise fees as contracts roll over at higher published rates $200M Total HLT

    investment in pipeline, with over 50% under construction and average contract term of 19 yrs

    Diversified Across Geographies and Chain ScalesADJ. EBITDA BY GEOGRAPHY(a) ROOMS BY CHAIN SCALE(d)

    Top-Line Driven

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    2. A RESILENT, FEE-BASED BUSINESS

    No single U.S. market accounts for more than 3% of

    Adj. EBITDA

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

  • (a) Based on 13.5x Illustrative Adjusted EBITDA. Figure is illustrative only and does not reflect the actual valuation or the view of Hilton with respect to proper valuation. The market may attribute a different valuation.

    BEST PERFORMING BRANDS

    Existing brands in current markets Existing brands in new markets Organically developed new brands

    White space: Urban Affordable, Luxury Collection, Luxury Lifestyle, Hilton+

    ~55% of pipeline ~20% of pipeline ~25% of pipeline

    Resulting in: Record pipelines across all brand segments with minimal HLT capital investment

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    Illustrative Value Creation(a)

    $9,500M

    Under Construction

    174K% Pipeline Outside U.S.

    53%HLT Investment

    $200M345KPipeline rooms

    $700MStabilized Adj. EBITDA

    3. A RECORD PIPELINE GENERATING SUBSTANTIAL RETURNS ON MINIMAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT

    3rd Party Investment

    $50B

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

  • (a) Source: STR Global Census, January (adjusted to December 2017) and STR Global New Development Pipeline, December 2017.

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    Development focused on balanced global growth - brand portfolio drives high quality, high return, industry-leading organic growth

    enabled by demand patterns around the world

    Existing Room

    SupplyRooms Under Construction

    % of Total % of Total

    United States 12% 26%

    Americas ex. U.S. 3% 15%

    Europe 2% 16%

    Middle East, Africa 3% 19%

    Asia Pacific 1% 22%

    Global System 5% 21%

    LEADING SHARE OF FUTURE DEVELOPMENT IN EVERY REGION(a)

    GLOBAL SHARE OF ROOMS UNDER CONSTRUCTION/EXISTING SHARE(a)

    4.3x

    2.8x2.4x

    DEVELOPMENT MARKET SHARE IS ~4.3X LARGER THAN CURRENT SHARE

    3. A RECORD PIPELINE GENERATING SUBSTANTIAL RETURNS ON MINIMAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

  • (a) 2007 metrics are as of 6/30/07, except for H which is as of 12/31/07; Today metrics are as of most recent reporting: 9/30/17 for Accor, and 12/31/17 for HLT and other peers.(b) Reflects MAR acquisition of HOT in both periods.(c) Excl. timeshare properties due to lack of 2007 data availability for WYN. (d) Accor data reflects sale of Motel 6 and Studio 6 brands and the acquisition of Fairmont Raffles Hotels International Group.(e) As a % of gross room openings.

    GLOBAL SYSTEM ROOM GROWTH 2007-TODAY(a)

    HLT NET UNIT GROWTH (000s of rooms)

    73%

    67%

    56%

    40%

    31%

    24%

    18%

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    (b)

    (d)

    (c)

    Industry-leading growth with great sight lines into future development

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    40% 57% 49% 43%47% 43% 31% 34%

    39%60%43%

    51%57%

    53%57% 69%

    66%61%

    18.823.6

    18.325.4

    36.243.1 45.1

    51.6 55.0

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E

    International U.S.

    3. A RECORD PIPELINE GENERATING SUBSTANTIAL RETURNS ON MINIMAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT

    This page contains additional trademarks, service marks and trade names of others, which are the property of their respective owners. All trademarks, service marks and trade names appearing in this presentation are, to our knowledge, the property of their respective owners.Source: Company filings.

    % Conversions(e)23% 46% 38% 35% 26% 29% 22% 20% 23%

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

  • 2x Last 20 years,double again next 20 yearsGLOBAL TOURIST

    ARRIVALS

    +1BNIncremental annual trips expected over next 20 years

    15.8

    1.7

    UN

    ITED

    STA

    TES

    CH

    INA

    1.2

    BR

    AZI

    L0.2

    IND

    IA

    GROWING CUSTOMER BASE THAT CAN & WANTS TO TRAVEL

    HOTEL UNDER-PENETRATION IN HIGH GROWTH MARKETS

    GLOBAL MIDDLE CLASS

    10

    (hotel rooms per 1,000 people)

    Source: STR, UNWTO, World Bank, OECD.

    4. SUPPORTED BY STRONG FUNDAMENTALS

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

  • Performance-driven, purpose-led culture based on common vision, mission, values and key strategic priorities

    ALIGN CULTURE & ORGANIZATION

    STRENGTHEN BRANDS &

    COMMERCIAL SERVICES

    PLATFORM

    EXPAND GLOBAL FOOTPRINT

    MAXIMIZE PERFORMANCE

    Maximize relevance of existing brands, strategically add new brands Build on leading commercial capabilities to maximize revenues Lead in digital and personalization capabilities Drive deeper loyalty and more direct relationships with guests through

    Hilton Honors

    Deliver industry-leading, high-quality organic net unit growth Fill market gaps with the right brand in the right location at the right

    time Expand luxury portfolio; execute China growth strategy

    Grow market share Grow free cash flow per share, preserve strong balance sheet, and

    accelerate return of capital

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    AND A DISCIPLINED STRATEGY

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

  • (a) Outlook as of 02/14/2018(b) Effective franchise fee rate is 4.8% for the year ended 12/31/2017, up 83 bps since FY2007, moving towards published rate of 5.6%, Effective franchise rate calculated as total Franchise fee revenue divided by total Franchise room revenue. Published Franchise rates calculated as the

    weighted average of current published brand Franchise fee rates.(c) Sensitivity within the ranges given.

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    5. GENERATING SIGNIFICANT FREE CASH FLOW AND CAPITAL RETURN POTENTIAL

    SAME STORE NET UNIT FEE RATE

    GROWTH(Y/Y % chg.)

    Annual Adj. EBITDA Sensitivity(c)

    Corporate Expense

    Adj. EBITDA

    Available for shareholder returns

    Share repurchases

    +1% to +3% + 6.5% Effective Franchise Rate(b) = 4.8%

    $2,030M to $2,080M+7.5% Y/Y at midpoint

    $400-425M

    $1.2B to $1.6B

    $1.0B to $1.4B

    1 Pt. = ~$20-25M 10K rooms = ~$20M steady-state 10 bps = ~$20M

    2018 OUTLOOK(a)

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

  • Waldorf Astoria Resort Boca Raton, Florida

    Appendix

  • (a) Excludes capital lease obligations and other debt of our consolidated variable interest entities. As of December 31, 2017.(b) Ratio of net debt as of 12/31/2017 to year ended 12/31/2017 Adjusted EBITDA.

    $40 $40 $40 $40 $40

    $3,729

    $1,000$900

    $0

    $600

    $0

    $1,000

    $2,000

    $3,000

    $4,000

    2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

    Weighted average term: 6.5 years

    CAPITAL STRUCTURE OVERVIEW

    DEBT BREAKDOWN / SCHEDULED AMORTIZATION AND MATURITIES(a)

    $6.0BNet debt

    3.1xNet leverage(b)

    4.1%WACD(a)

    75%% fixed

    39%% unsecured

    61%% freely

    prepayable

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    FLEXIBLE CAPITAL STRUCTURE WITH SIGNIFICANT LIQUIDITY

    ($ in millions)

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

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    (a) On a pro forma basis, giving effect to the spin-off transactions.(b) Represents furniture, fixture & equipment (FF&E) replacement reserves established for the benefit of lessors for requisition of capital assets under certain lease agreements.(c) Represents adjustments for severance, impairment loss and other items.

    FY 2017 FY 2016 (a)

    Income from continuing operations, net of taxes $1,264 $127Interest expense 408 394 Income tax expense (benefit) (334) 647 Depreciation and amortization 347 364

    EBITDA 1,685 1,532 Gain on sales of assets, net - (8) Loss (gain) on foreign currency transactions (3) 16 Loss on debt extinguishment 60 - FF&E replacement reserve (b) 55 55 Share-based compensation expense 121 83 Other adjustment items (c) 47 85

    Adjusted EBITDA $1,965 $1,763

    As of December 31,

    2017

    As of December 31,

    2016 (a)

    Long-term debt, including current maturities $6,602 $6,616Add: unamortized deferred financing costs and discount 81 90 Long-term debt, including current maturities and excluding unamortized deferred financing costs and discount 6,683 6,706

    Add: Hilton's share of unconsolidated affiliate debt, excluding unamortized deferred financing costs 13 12 Less: cash and cash equivalents (570) (1,062) Less: restricted cash and cash equivalents (100) (121)

    Net debt $6,026 $5,535

    Net debt/Adjusted EBITDA 3.1x 3.1x

    ($ in millions)RECONCILIATIONS

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

    Slide 68

    Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

    Pro Forma Financial Information

    In millions

    FY 2016

    Operating income$ 1,170

    Interest expense(394)

    Loss on foreign currency transactions(16)

    Other non-operating income, net14

    Income before income taxes774

    Income tax expense(647)

    Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests(10)

    Net income attributable to Hilton stockholders, before special items117

    Diluted EPS, before special items$ 0.36

    Special items421

    Income tax expense on special items(22)

    Net income, adjusted for special items516

    Diluted EPS, adjusted for special items$ 1.57

    Slide 70

    FY 2017FY 2016 (a)

    Income from continuing operations, net of taxes$1,264$127

    Interest expense408394

    Income tax expense (benefit)(334)647

    Depreciation and amortization347364

    EBITDA1,6851,532

    Gain on sales of assets, net-(8)

    Loss (gain) on foreign currency transactions(3)16

    Loss on debt extinguishment60-

    FF&E replacement reserve (b)5555

    Share-based compensation expense12183

    Other adjustment items (c)4785

    Adjusted EBITDA$1,965$1,763

    As of December 31, 2017As of December 31, 2016 (a)

    Long-term debt, including current maturities$6,602$6,616

    Add: unamortized deferred financing costs and discount8190

    Long-term debt, including current maturities and excluding unamortized deferred financing costs and discount6,6836,706

    Add: Hilton's share of unconsolidated affiliate debt, excluding unamortized deferred financing costs1312

    Less: cash and cash equivalents(570)(1,062)

    Less: restricted cash and cash equivalents(100)(121)

    Net debt$6,026$5,535

    Net debt/Adjusted EBITDA3.1x3.1x

  • 16

    This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These statements include, but are not limited to, statements related to our expectations regarding the performance of our business, our financial results, our liquidity and capital resources and other non-historical statements. You can identify these forward-looking statements by the use of words such as outlook, believes, expects, potential, continues, may, will, should, could, seeks, projects, predicts, intends, plans, estimates, anticipates or the negative version of these words or other comparable words. Such forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, including, among others, risks inherent to the hospitality industry, macroeconomic factors beyond our control, competition for hotel guests and management and franchise agreements, risks related to doing business with third-party hotel owners, performance of our information technology systems, growth of reservation channels outside of our system, risks of doing business outside of the United States and our indebtedness, as well as those described under the section entitled Risk Factors in Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2017, as such factors may be updated from time to time in our periodic filings with the SEC, which are accessible on the SECs website at www.sec.gov. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual outcomes or results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. These factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with the other cautionary statements that are included in this presentation and in our filings with the SEC. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.

    This presentation includes certain financial measures, including adjusted earnings before interest expense, taxes, depreciation and amortization (Adj. EBITDA), Net Debt, and Net Debt to Adj. EBITDA ratio, that are not calculated in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). These non-GAAP financial measures should be considered only as supplemental to, and not as a substitute for or superior to, financial measures prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. Please refer to the Appendix and footnotes of this presentation for a reconciliation of the historical non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation to the most directly comparable financial measures prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. In addition, this presentation includes Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA and other Pro Forma information as of December 31, 2016 and for the year then ended for Hilton. Refer to the Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the SEC on January 4, 2017 for additional information on the spin-off transactions and pro forma financial information, as well as the Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the SEC on July 26, 2017 for additional pro forma financial information.

    Slides in this presentation include certain Adj. EBITDA amounts that are used only for illustrative purposes to present illustrative Adj. EBITDA amounts by applying assumptions to existing rooms pipeline, increases of in-place rates and increases in RevPAR, as applicable, in each case based on information for the year ended December 31, 2017. These amounts do not represent projections of future results and may not be realized. Value information on such slides that is derived from such illustrative Adj. EBITDA amounts is indicative only, based upon a number of assumptions, and does not reflect actual valuation. Please review carefully the detailed footnotes in this presentation.

    DISCLAIMER

    2018 Hilton Proprietary

  • Hilton Phuket Arcadia Resort, Thailand

    It has been, and continues to be, our responsibility to fill the earth with the light and warmth of hospitality.

    CONRAD HILTON

    Slide Number 1HLT VALUE PROPOSITIONSlide Number 3THE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESSTHE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESSTHE BEST-PERFORMING PORTFOLIO OF BRANDS IN THE BUSINESSSlide Number 7Slide Number 8Slide Number 9Slide Number 10Slide Number 11Slide Number 12Slide Number 13Slide Number 14Slide Number 15Slide Number 16Slide Number 17Slide Number 18