INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2015Q3 · 2015. 12. 9. · INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2015Q3. Contents Non-life...
Transcript of INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2015Q3 · 2015. 12. 9. · INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2015Q3. Contents Non-life...
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
2015Q3
Contents
Non-life Sector Profile 3
Outline of the Company 11
Financial Highlights 24
Appendix 32
2
Non-life Sector Profile
Outline of the company
Financial highlights
3
4
Non Life 38
Life 25
Reinsurance 1
Total 64
Number of Companies (09.15)
Premium Production of the Sector (mn TRY) (09.15)
Premium Share
Non Life 19.275 87,4
Life 2.780 12,6
Total 22.055 100,0
Non Life 25
Life 18
Reinsurance -
Total 43
Number of Foreign Shared Companies
SOURCE: Association of Insurance Companies, Undersecretariat of treasury annual report
* 35 of 43 company has more than50% foreign shares.
17.116
20.834
22.710
2.7113.395 3.280
19.827
24.230
25.990
12.12 12.13 12.14
Premium Production (mn TL)
Non Life
Life
Total
22,2%
7,3%
21,7% 9,0%
5 SOURCE: Association of Insurance Companies, turkstat
2012 2013 2014
Inflation Rates (%) 6,2 7,4 8,2
GDP Change (%) 2,1 4,0 2,6
GDP (Per Person) ($) 10.459 10.782 10.404
GDP (Per Person) (TRY) 18.927 23.012 22.753
Premium Increase (%)non-life
18,1 21,7 9,0
Premium Increase (%)(Anadolu)
16 23 9,3
Remarks About the Sector
2,1
4,0
2,6
18,1
21,7
9,0
2012 2013 2014
CHANGE İN GDP AND GWP
GDP Change (%) Premium Increase (%)non-life
Mandatory Policies in Turkey
6 SOURCE: turkstat, State Planning Organization, Association of Insurance Companies, bkm, tramer, TCIP
19,6 million of vehicles and 10,4million automobiles in Turkey.
39,1% of houses had a mandatory earthquake policy in 2014
19,3% of all vehicles do not have mandatory MTPL policy
3,313,73
4,79
6,03
6,81
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Number of Mandatory Earthquake Policies (million)
10,41
0,44 0,22
3,19
0,801,67
2,92
7,8%
17,7%22,4%
11,5%
19,4%
32,3%
60,8%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
0,00
2,00
4,00
6,00
8,00
10,00
12,00
automobile mini-bus bus pick-up van truck tractor motorbike
Non-insured ratio
Foreign Capital with M&A’s
7
Company Market Share Foreign Capital Stake Transaction Price YearBaşak Sigorta 5,10%
Groupama56,70%
268 Million USD 2006Başak Emeklilik 13,30% 41,00%Emek Hayat - Global Equities Management 100,00% 2 Million TRY 2006İhlas Sigorta 1,40% HDI International 100,00% 17 Million Euro 2006Şeker Sigorta 1,60% Liberty Mutual Group 63,90% - 2006İsviçre Sigorta 6,90% Ergo Group 75,00% - 2006İsviçre Hayat 1,80% Ergo Group 67,50% - 2006Global Hayat 0,20% Denizbank-Dexia 99,60% 2,7 Million Euro 2007Ray Sigorta 3,20% TBIH 58,20% 81 Million USD 2007Garanti Sigorta 4,50% Eureko 80,00% 365 Million Euro 2007Garanti Emeklilik 7,10% Eureko 15,00% 100 Million Euro 2007Genel Sigorta 3,50% Mapfre
80,00% 285 Million Euro 2007Genel Yaşam 1,70% MapfreAxa Oyak Sigorta 12,20%
Axa 35,50%
525 Million USD 2008Axa Oyak Hayat 4,70% 50,00%Koç Allianz 9,10% Allianz SE 43,40% 248 Million Euro 2008Koç Allianz Hayat 5,20% Allianz SE 49,00% 125 Million Euro 2008Güven Sigota 2,40%
Groupama99,00%
180 Million Euro 2008Güven Hayat 1,20% 99,00%Fiba Sigorta 2,60% NKSJ 93,40% 307 Million USD 2010Ak Sigorta 7,40% Ageas 31,00% 220 Million USD 2011Deniz Emeklilik 4,50% MetLife 99,90% 162 Million Euro 2011Finans Emeklilik 5,20% Cigna Nederland 51,00% 85 Million Euro 2012Yapı Kredi 7,20%
Allianz93,90%
603,5 Million Euro2014
Yapı Kredi Emeklilik - 80,00% 2014
Non Life Premium Figures (2014)
Premium / GDP (%) Premium Per Person ($)
World 2,7 294
USA 4,3 2.360
UK 2,6 1.185
Switzerland 4,1 3.542
Poland 1,8 254
Central and Eastern Europe 1,4 156,5
Turkey 1,3 133
8 SOURCE: Treasury, Association of Insurance Companies, Swiss Re Sigma 3,2014
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Premium($)
Premium(TRY)
Change ($)
Top Ten Companies in the Sector (09.2015)
9
Non - Life Companies GWP (mn TRY) Market Share
Allianz 2.714,3 14,1%
Anadolu 2.597,6 13,5%
Axa 2.093,7 10,9%
Mapfre 1.401,4 7,3%
Aksigorta 1.235,5 6,4%
Groupama 917,6 4,8%
Güneş 906,9 4,7%
Ziraat 726,8 3,8%
Eureko 707,1 3,7%
Sompo 678,6 3,5%
Top 10 Companies 13.979,5 72,5%
Other 5.295,3 27,5%
TOTAL 19.274,8 100,0%
SOURCE: Association of Insurance Companies,
Allianz; 14,1%
Anadolu; 13,5%
Axa; 10,9%
Mapfre; 7,3%Aksigorta; 6,4%Groupama; 4,8%
Güneş; 4,7%
Ziraat; 3,8%
Eureko; 3,7%
Sompo; 3,5%
Other; 27,5%
Non Life Companies Premium Production (mn TRY)
10 SOURCE: Association of Insurance Companies,
Type of Coverage 09.2015 09.2014 Change (%) Share (09.2015) (%)
MTPL 4.871,4 4.051,8 20,2 25,3
MOD 3.954,1 3.640,1 8,6 20,5
Fire and natural disaster 3.125,7 2.765,5 13,0 16,2
Health 2.512,0 2.141,6 17,3 13,0
General losses 2.375,6 1.914,7 24,1 12,3
Accident 846,5 751,1 12,7 4,4
General liability 574,3 481,0 19,4 3,0
Other 1.015,3 875,8 15,9 5,3
Total 19.274,8 16.621,7 16,0 100,0
Non-life Sector Profile
Outline of the company
Financial highlights
11
Few Remarks About the Company
12
VISION
To make Anadolu Sigorta the insurance brand preferred by everyone who needs insurance.
To achieve a strength that makes it a reference point in the worldwide insurance industry as well.
MISSION
To be a pioneer, to create a broad public awareness of insurance
To implement a customer-focused approach, to increase the financial strength
To enhance the value of the Company
FACTS
Founded by Türkiye İşbankası A.Ş. in 1925 (90’th anniversary)
First National Insurance Company
Main activity: Non-life insurance (until 1991, both life and non-life)
13
Accident General losses
Sickness\Health Land vehicles liability (MTPL)
Land vehicles (MOD) Air vehicles liability
Industrial vehicles Water vehicles liability
Air vehicles General liability
Water vehicles Credit
Marine Financial loss
Fire and natural disaster Legal protection
Area of activity Shareholder Structure
Milli Reasürans
57%
Other43%
%77 of Milli Reasürans is owned by T. İş Bankası A.Ş.
As of 09.15;
• Paid-in capital 500 million TRY
• MCap 750 million TRY
• Free Float Ratio ~48%
Rating Outlook
Fitch Ratings- International Insurer Financial Strength BBB- Sta
Fitch Ratings- National Insurer Financial StrengthAA+ (tur)
Sta
SAHA Corporate Governance Rating 9,16 -
Distribution Channels (09.2015)
14
• İstanbulHeadquarter
• İstanbul (2), Ankara, Antalya, İzmir, Adana, Bursa, Samsun, Trabzon9 regional branches around
Turkey
• North CyprusOverseas
• ~25% working exclusively with Anadolu2571 Professional Agencies
• Working exclusively with Anadolu
• 267 MSU (direct sales staff) working1365 Işbank Branches
Bancassurance (09.2015)
15
BranchComb. Ratio
(Branch)Premium Bank/gpw
Fire and natural disaster 93,6% 86,9m 31,0%
MOD 100,0% 70,5m 25,2%
Accident 58,5% 28,2m 10,1%
Agencies; 70,7%
Broker; 10,1%İşbank; 10,8%
Indirect; 6,5%
Direct; 1,8%
Bancassurance (09.2015)
16
2014Q3223m
2015Q3280m
25,5%
Işbank Premium Production
2014Q32.217m
2015Q32.597m
Total Premium Production
17,1%
159 162
182
244
2011 2012 2013 2014
MSU #
Premium Distribution By Regions (09.2015)
17
Aegean; 8,1%
Middle Anatolia;13,4%
Mediterranean; 7,2%
South East Anatolia; 2,6%
East Anatolia; 2,5%
Black Sea; 5,5%
Marmara; 60,7%
Premium Production (09.2015) (mn TRY)
18
Branch 09.15 09.14 Change (%)
Mtpl 751.521 612.230 22,8
Mod 605.776 616.296 -1,7
Fire and natural disaster 455.201 339.330 34,1
Health 243.424 197.050 23,5
Other 541.712 452.988 19,6
Total 2.597.634 2.217.894 17,1
Mtpl29%
Mod23%
Fire and natural disaster
18%
Sickness \Health
9%
Other21%
19
Market Rank (1st)
• Accident(9,1%)
• Water vehicles (42,5%)
• Air vehicles liabillity(39,3%)
• General liability (16,3%)
• Fire and natural disaster (14,6%)
• MOD (15,3%)
• Air vehicles (51,0%)
• Marine (12,4%)
Total Market Share for Anadolu in 2015Q3 is; 13,5% in 2nd rank
20
Combined Ratio - branches
109%117%
92% 96%
2011 2012 2013 2014
MOD
127%125%
117%
109%
2011 2012 2013 2014
MTPL
81%
108%
88%80%
2011 2012 2013 2014
Fire & Nat. D.
Combined Ratio
21
09.15Claims Ratio 84,1%
Net Commission Ratio 14,7%
Expense Ratio 9,2%
Combined Ratio 108,0%
103%101%111%
85%
76%80%
17%
15%14%
9%
10% 9%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
120%
2012 2013 2014
Claims Ratio Net Comm. Ratio Expense Ratio
12.15 (E)
106,0%
Profitability (ROE – ROA)
22
8,42
19,35
5,974,42
0,58
-8,46
7,39 7,02
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
ROE
3,87
7,67
2,761,92
0,18
-2,56
2,07 1,90
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
ROA
Non-life Sector Profile
Outline of the company
Financial highlights
23
24
Growth Performance
174%
28%
20%
112%
9%
16%
93%
23%
12%
1.0501.248 1.324
1.785
2.250
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Cash and Marketable Sec. (mn TRY)
933
1.2151.398
1.851
2.282
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Tech. Reserves (mn TRY)
145%
1.9512.209
2.498
3.253
3.773
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Total Assets (mn TRY)
1.420
1.9262.235
2.7503.005
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Gross Premium Written (mn TRY)
849705 756
9131.020
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Shareholders' Equity (mn TRY)
Balance Sheet (Assets)
Assets (mn TRY) 09.2015 12.2014 Change (%)
Cash + Marketable Sec. 2.720,5 2.250,1 20,9
Receivables 817,3 797,5 2,5
Equity Participations 446,1 391,4 14,0
Fixed Assets 135,4 127,7 6,0
Other Assets 318,8 238,2 33,8
TOTAL 4.438,1 3.804,9 16,6
25
Liabilities (mn TRY) 09.2015 12.2014 Change(%)
Payables 389,2 349,6 11,3
Technical Provisions 2.822,9 2.282,5 23,7
Shareholders' Equity 1.117,5 1.051,3 6,3
Other Liabilities 108,5 121,5 -10,7
TOTAL 4.438,1 3.804,9 16,6
26
Balance Sheet (Liabilities)
Income Statement (mn TRY)
27
09.2015 09.2014 Change (%)
Total Technical Income 2.123,5 1.796,6 18,2
Total Technical Expenses -2.047,4 -1.702,5 20,3
Technical Profit / Loss 76,1 94,1 -19,1
Financial Income 296,9 190,5 55,8
Financial Expenses -311,4 -203,1 53,3
Other Income / Expenses -18,5 -10,1 82,0
Financial Profit / Loss -33,0 -22,8 45,0
Gross Profit / Loss 43,1 71,3 -39,6
Tax Provisions - -19,0 -100,0
Net Profit / Loss 43,1 52,3 -17,7
Major Affiliates (09.2015)
28
410
725
19,5%
2.246
20%
449
746
1.185
4,4%
1.044
4,8%
49
Equity (mn TRY)
Shareholders’ Equity (mn TRY)
Market Share
Market Cap (mn TRY)
Share Owned
Share Value (mn TRY)
Is ReitAnadolu Life
09.2015
MCap 750 million
P / BV 0,67
09.2015
MCap 252 million
P / BV 0,33
After deductingaffiliates
29
Stock Performance
Change
01.2014 12.2014 09.201501.15-09.15
ANSGR 1,33 1,38 1,50 8,7%
IMKB-100 67.802 85.721 74.205 -13,2%
12.2013 12.2014
ANSGR 1,33 1,42
EPS (net profit / capital) 0,13 0,14
P / E (Mcap / net profit) 9,86 9,92
P / BV (Mcap / Book value) 0,73 0,70
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
0,00
10.000,00
20.000,00
30.000,00
40.000,00
50.000,00
60.000,00
70.000,00
80.000,00
90.000,00
100.000,00
.XU100 ANSGR
30
Almost all of our bank deposits mature in 3 month time and bonds generally in 2years.
30% of funds are related to stocks.
Investment Portfolio (09.2015)
Stocks ; 3,7%
Bonds; 14,3%
Deposits; 75,2%
Funds; 5,5%Other; 1,3%
This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information on the businessdevelopment of Anadolu Sigorta. These statements may be spoken or written and can berecognized by terms such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “plans”, “seeks” or words withsimilar meaning. These statements are based on assumptions relating to the development ofthe economies of individual countries, and in particular of the insurance industry, which wehave made on the basis of the information available to us and which we consider to be realisticat the time of going to press. The estimates given involve a degree of risk, and the actualdevelopments may differ from those forecasts.
Anadolu Sigorta does not accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential lossarising from any use of this document or its content due to misleading information in thisdocument.
31
Disclaimer
Thank you…
For further information please
e-mail to: [email protected]
or call Anadolu Sigorta Investor Relations on
(+9 0850 744 02 54),
(+9 0850 744 01 64)
32