INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets...

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Transcript of INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets...

Page 1: INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation Historical Performance

INVESTOR DAY 2019

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements in this financial presentation relate to future events and expectations and are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as “believe,” “estimate,” “will be,” “will,” “would,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “forecast,” “target,” “guide,” “project,” “intend,” “could,” “should” or other similar words or expressions often identify forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding our outlook, projections, forecasts or trend descriptions. These statements do not guarantee future performance and speak only as of the date they are made, and we do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements.

Caterpillar’s actual results may differ materially from those described or implied in our forward-looking statements based on a number of factors, including, but not limited to: (i) global and regional economic conditions and economic conditions in the industries we serve; (ii) commodity price changes, material price increases, fluctuations in demand for our products or significant shortages of material; (iii) government monetary or fiscal policies; (iv) political and economic risks, commercial instability and events beyond our control in the countries in which we operate; (v) international trade policies and their impact on demand for our products and our competitive position, including the imposition of new tariffs or changes in existing tariff rates; (vi) our ability to develop, produce and market quality products that meet our customers’ needs; (vii) the impact of the highly competitive environment in which we operate on our sales and pricing; (viii) information technology security threats and computer crime; (ix) inventory management decisions and sourcing practices of our dealers and our OEM customers; (x) a failure to realize, or a delay in realizing, all of the anticipated benefits of our acquisitions, joint ventures or divestitures; (xi) union disputes or other employee relations issues; (xii) adverse effects of unexpected events including natural disasters; (xiii) disruptions or volatility in global financial markets limiting our sources of liquidity or the liquidity of our customers, dealers and suppliers; (xiv) failure to maintain our credit ratings and potential resulting increases to our cost of borrowing and adverse effects on our cost of funds, liquidity, competitive position and access to capital markets; (xv) our Financial Products segment’s risks associated with the financial services industry; (xvi) changes in interest rates or market liquidity conditions; (xvii) an increase in delinquencies, repossessions or net losses of Cat Financial’s customers; (xviii) currency fluctuations; (xix) our or Cat Financial’s compliance with financial and other restrictive covenants in debt agreements; (xx) increased pension plan funding obligations; (xxi) alleged or actual violations of trade or anti-corruption laws and regulations; (xxii) additional tax expense or exposure, including the impact of U.S. tax reform; (xxiii) significant legal proceedings, claims, lawsuits or government investigations; (xxiv) new regulations or changes in financial services regulations; (xxv) compliance with environmental laws and regulations; and (xxvi) other factors described in more detail in Caterpillar’s Forms 10-Q, 10-K and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial information referenced in this presentation can be found in the appendix to this presentation.

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Agenda Welcome

Strategy Execution – Jim Umpleby

Services – Bob De Lange

Operational Excellence / Expanded Offerings – Denise Johnson

Financial Framework – Andrew Bonfield

Q&A – Executive Office

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Strategy Execution

Jim UmplebyChairman & CEO

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Our Company

* Full-Year 2018 including inter-segment sales

CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRIES RESOURCE INDUSTRIES ENERGY & TRANSPORTATION FINANCIAL PRODUCTS

Sales $23B* Sales $10B* Sales $23B* Revenues $3B*

SERVICES, DISTRIBUTION & DIGITAL

2018 SALES & REVENUES ~ $55 BILLION

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Chairman & CEO Group President

Energy &

Transportation

Chief Financial

Officer

Group President

Services, Distribution

& Digital

Chief Human

Resources Officer

Group President

Resource

Industries

Chief Legal Officer,

General Counsel &

Corporate Secretary

Group President

Construction

Industries

Jim Umpleby Billy AinsworthAndrew Bonfield Bob De Lange Cheryl JohnsonDenise Johnson Suzette LongRamin Younessi

Experienced Leadership Team

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Executing Our Strategy

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets

Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation

Historical

Performance

Targeted

Performance

2018

Actual

~10%

~15%+5-7% +2-6%

+1-3%18.0%

15.6%

17.3%

~10%

Total Sales1

~$21B

Total Sales1

$23B

Total Sales1

~$10-$12B

Total Sales1

$10B

Total Sales1

~$23B

Total Sales1

$23B

Historical

Performance

Targeted

Performance

2018

Actual

Historical

Performance

Targeted

Performance

2018

Actual

2017 Investor Day

Segment Margin Target

2017 Investor Day

Segment Margin Target

2017 Investor Day

Segment Margin Target

1 Total sales includes inter-segment sales2 2017 Investor Day Segment Margins were not adjusted for U.S. GAAP accounting

standard change related to pension and OPEB cost effective January 1, 2018

2 2

2

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Achieved 2017 Investor Day Enterprise Targets

Historical

Performance

Targeted

Performance

Sales & Revenues Adjusted Operating Margin

~$55B $54.7B

~12%

+2-5% 15.9%

Historical

Performance

2018

Actual

2018

Actual

2017 Investor Day Adjusted

Operating Margin Target

* 2017 Investor Day Adjusted Operating Margin Target was not adjusted for U.S. GAAP accounting standard change related to pension and OPEB cost effective January 1, 2018

Note: A reconciliation of Adjusted Operating Margin % to U.S. GAAP included in Appendix A

*

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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Historical Financial Results

Historical Adjusted Operating Margin Range 7% - 15%

Note: A reconciliation of Adjusted Operating Margin % to U.S. GAAP included in Appendix A

10%13%

15%

11% 11%10%

7%

$43B

$60B

$66B

$56B $55B

$47B

$39B

Historical Adjusted Operating Margin %Historical Sales & Revenues $B

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13%

16%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Delivered Stronger Financial Results

Historical Adjusted Operating Margin Range 7% - 15%

Improved Financial

Performance

Record PPS in 2018

$43B

$60B

$66B

$56B $55B

$47B

$39B

$45B

$55B

10%13%

15%

11% 11%10%

7%

Historical Adjusted Operating Margin %Historical Sales & Revenues $B

Note: A reconciliation of Adjusted Operating Margin % to U.S. GAAP included in Appendix A

Demonstrated Results

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Delivered Stronger Financial Results

$43B

$60B

$56B $55B

$47B

$39B10%

13%15%

11% 11%10%

7% 13%

16%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Historical Sales & Revenues $B Historical Adjusted Operating Margin %

$66B

$45B

$55B

10%

13%15%

11% 11%10%

7%

$43B

$60B

$56B $55B

$47B

$39B

$55B

11%

$55B

16%

2014 2018

Improved Financial

Performance

Record PPS in 2018

Historical Adjusted Operating Margin %Historical Sales & Revenues $B

Adjusted Operating Margin Improvement 5% pts

Note: A reconciliation of Adjusted Operating Margin % to U.S. GAAP included in Appendix A

Demonstrated Results

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13%

16%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Future Expected Adjusted Operating Margin Range 10% - 21%

Target Adjusted Operating Margin +3%-6% pts

13%-16%

16%-19%18%-21%

14%-17% 14%-17%13%-16%

10%-13%

Improved Adjusted Operating Margin Performance Through the Cycles

+3%-6%

Margin pts

Improvement

$43B $60B $66B $56B $55B $47B $39B $45B $55B

Note: Target is not incremental to 2017 and 2018 performance

Note: A reconciliation of Adjusted Operating Margin to U.S. GAAP included in Appendix A

10%13%

15%

11% 11%10%

7%

Historical Adjusted Operating Margin %Historical Sales & Revenues $B

Note: Targeting 3%-6% pts improvement from 2010 – 2016 historical performance

Note: Targets are based on current business assumptions

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Returning Capital to Shareholders

20%per share

$1.03($4.12 annualized)

Raising the

Quarterly Dividend

by

Dividend payable on August 20, 2019 to shareholders of record at the close of business on July 22, 2019

Targeting at least

high single-digit %

DividendIncreases

each of the next

4 years

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Profitable Growth Through Services

SERVICES

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Services Drive …

Improved ProfitabilityThrough the Cycles

Reduced Cyclicality of Sales & Revenues

Increased Customer Value Including Improved Asset Utilization

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Services at Strategy Launch

Aftermarket Parts Other Caterpillar Services

~$14B2016 Baseline

ME&T Services

Sales

Note: Machinery, Energy & Transportation (ME&T) Services include, but are not limited to, aftermarket parts and other service-related revenues (excludes Cat Financial and discontinued products)

Note: A reconciliation of ME&T Services Sales to Enterprise Services Revenues included in Appendix C

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Double ME&T Services Sales by 2026

2026

Target

2016

Baseline2018

Actual

Double to

$28Bby 2026

$28B

~$14B

~$18B

Note: ME&T Services include, but are not limited to, aftermarket parts and other service-related revenues (excludes Cat Financial and discontinued products)

Note: A reconciliation of ME&T Services Sales to Enterprise Services Revenues included in Appendix C

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Agenda Welcome

Strategy Execution – Jim Umpleby

Services – Bob De Lange

Operational Excellence / Expanded Offerings – Denise Johnson

Financial Framework – Andrew Bonfield

Q&A – Executive Office

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Services

Bob De LangeGroup President

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Services Drive …

Improved ProfitabilityThrough the Cycles

Reduced Cyclicality of Sales & Revenues

Increased Customer Value Including Improved Asset Utilization

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Y E A R S

LARGE

P R O D U C T

S U P P O R T

INSTALLED

B A S E

WORLDWIDED E A L E R N E T W O R K *

BRANCHESDEALERS EMPLOYEES

& CATE X P E R T I S E

BREADTH OF

PRODUCTL I N E

F I E L D

T E C H N O L O G Y

INSPECT

TROUBLESHOOT

REPAIR

C O N N E C T E D

E Q U I P M E N T

POPULATION

*Worldwide dealer network data as of December 2018.

We Are Well Positioned to Grow Services

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Enhanced

Dealer

Capabilities

Adjacent

Services

Opportunities

Parts Distribution

Network

Optimization

Cat

Financial

Services

Go-To-Market

Strategy

Digital

Enablers

Customer-Focused

Design

Our Strategy to Grow Services

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

PARTS & LABORVALUE PROMISE

Services Go-To-Market Strategy

5KPoint of

Sale 20K

70% 25%

OP

PO

RT

UN

ITY

R E P A I R / R E B U I L D E V E N T S

EXTEND the RelationshipBUILD the Relationship

of Opportunity Greater Than 5K Hours

5%

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

BUILD THE RELATIONSHIP EXTEND THE RELATIONSHIP

Increasing Customer Value

Point of Sale Agreement Cat Certified Used (CCU)

MANAGE & OPTIMIZE

• Machine Availability

• Fleet Performance

• Turnaround Time

• Costs

Lifecycle Contract

SUSTAIN THE RELATIONSHIP

ELECTRIC POWER

PEACE OF MIND

• Assurance

• Compliance

• Cost Management

LESS RISK, MORE CONFIDENCE

• Powertrain & Hydraulics Protection

• Scheduled Maintenance Care

• Asset Management

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Online Experience | Applications | APIsAPPLICATIONS

Data Gateways | Data Hub | Common ServicesPLATFORM

Product Data | Connectivity Hardware | Communications CarriersCONNECTIVITY

Differentiated

Customer ExperienceInfrastructure

Investment

Enabling Services Growth Through Digital

C A T E R P I L L A R D I G I T A L M O D E L

ANALYTICS

~1 Million*

Connected Assets

*2019 Target for Connected Assets

Page 27: INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation Historical Performance

INVESTOR DAY 2019

F O R C U S T O M E R S

eCommerceCat® App EquipmentManagement

Digital Applications

CAT INSPECT

CAT MINESTAR

PROGRESS RAIL UPTIME

SOLAR

INSIGHT

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

F O R D E A L E R S

Parts Inventory

Optimization ToolDEALER / CAT COLLABORATIVE

INVENTORY PLANNING

Digital Applications

Remote Flash

Remote TroubleshootREDUCE TRAVEL TIME &

LEVERAGE EXPERTISE

Equipment Care AdvisorSUPPORTS PREDICTIVE

MAINTENANCE & REPAIRS

Service

Information System IMPROVE DEALER

TECHNICIAN EFFICIENCY

SERVICE

Page 29: INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation Historical Performance

INVESTOR DAY 2019

Double ME&T Services Sales by 2026

2026

Target

2016

Baseline2018

Actual

Double to

$28Bby 2026

$28B

~$14B

~$18B

Note: ME&T Services include, but are not limited to, aftermarket parts and other service-related revenues (excludes Cat Financial and discontinued products)

Note: A reconciliation of ME&T Services Sales to Enterprise Services Revenues included in Appendix C

Page 30: INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation Historical Performance

INVESTOR DAY 2019

Agenda Welcome

Strategy Execution – Jim Umpleby

Services – Bob De Lange

Operational Excellence / Expanded Offerings – Denise Johnson

Financial Framework – Andrew Bonfield

Q&A – Executive Office

Page 31: INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation Historical Performance

INVESTOR DAY 2019

Operational Excellence

Expanded Offerings

Denise JohnsonGroup President

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

We continue to leverage our foundational strengths

− Competitive and Flexible Cost Discipline

− Lean

− Safety

− Quality

OPERATIONAL

EXCELLENCE

Operational Excellence

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Delivering Sustainable Shareholder Returns

Through Disciplined Cost Management

Reduced manufacturing

footprint by 25 M sq. ft.

Announced the closure

or consolidation of

57 Facilities

Streamlined manufacturing

approach utilizes existing assets

and minimizes floor space

Flexible and Agile

Manufacturing Processes

Sufficient manufacturing

capacity for peaks

~70% Capacity

Utilization

$1.8BStructural

Cost Reduction $3.3BNet Fixed

Asset Reduction

*Comparison 2014 to 2018

**For 2018 production

* *

*

*

**

Page 34: INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation Historical Performance

INVESTOR DAY 2019

Strengthening Core Competencies Foundational

to Our Brand Promise Using Lean

CREATES

CUSTOMER VALUE

MANPOWERUTILIZATION

CAPITAL UTILIZATION

SHORTEN LEAD TIME

RIGHT PART, RIGHT TIME

BUILT IN QUALITY

6 Sigma / Cat Production System

Engineered

Value

Chain

LEAN

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Improving Supply Flexibility / Agility

• Driving an end-to-end view of flexibility through the cycles

• Engaging with suppliers to synchronize the value chain

Dealer | Customer

Distribution CenterMachine Assembly

Internal

ComponentsTier 1: External SupplyTier 2: External Supply

Aftermarket Network

Simplified Engineered Value Chain Schematic

Engineered Value Chain Lead Times to T-1 and T-2

L E A N D E P L O Y M E N T

• Parts and product availability improvement

• Progress made, focused on continuous improvement

Page 36: INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation Historical Performance

INVESTOR DAY 2019

EXPANDED

OFFERINGS

Expanded Offerings

Our focus reflects our commitment to create greater

customer value and loyalty by providing the right products

and services to meet customer needs.

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Growing Our Customer Base with Lifecycle Performance Offerings

Lifecycle Performance Products

• Iconic brand promise

• Premium products designed to be

powerful, durable, highest efficiency

for the toughest jobs and longest hours

• Leverages integration of technology

and expanded features

Cost/Unit

Work

Cost/Hour

LOW HIGHMACHINE UTILIZATION / PERFORMANCE REQUIREMENT

MEDIUM TO HEAVY

APPLICATIONS

COST / JOB FOCUS

LIGHT TO MEDIUM

APPLICATIONS

COST / HOUR FOCUS

LIFECYCLE VALUE

CAT MODELS

XE MODELS

UTILITYAPPLICATIONS

LIFECYCLE PERFORMANCE

Page 38: INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation Historical Performance

INVESTOR DAY 2019

Growing Our Customer Base with New Offerings

Reaching New Customers – Right Product for the Right Customer for the Right Job

• Expand into untapped market

segments and regions

• Deliver customer value

for every application

• Grow number of offerings by 2021

Profitable

Growth with

an Expanded

Customer

Base

Cost/Unit

Work

Cost/Hour

LOW HIGHMACHINE UTILIZATION / PERFORMANCE REQUIREMENT

MEDIUM TO HEAVY

APPLICATIONS

COST / JOB FOCUS

LIGHT TO MEDIUM

APPLICATIONS

COST / HOUR FOCUS

LIFECYCLE VALUE

24 New / Refreshed GC Models

27 New / Refreshed Utility Models

CAT GC MODELS

SEM MODELSUTILITYAPPLICATIONS

LIFECYCLE PERFORMANCE

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

D6

• Up to 20% better

fuel efficiency

• Automatic transmission

D6XE

• Up to 35% better

fuel efficiency

• World’s first high drive

electric drive – class

leading maneuverability

and power

Electric Drive

Investing in Technologies to Support Our Customers

Next Generation Filter

• 2X filter life

• Improved serviceability

• Ultra high efficiency media

• Sensors provide accurate

measurement of remaining life

New, Higher Accuracy Cat Grade with 3D

Page 40: INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation Historical Performance

INVESTOR DAY 2019

Pipeline Construction Site Prep Rig Mobilization / Drilling Well Servicing Production / Transmission

Leveraging a Broad Product Offering and New Technologies

for Oil & Gas Customers

TRANSMISSION

FLOW IRON

PUMP

GENERATOR

SET

ENGINE

• Products ranging from Construction Industries to

Reciprocating Engines to Solar Turbines

• Caterpillar provides up to 65-70% of the content value on a

well stimulation trailer

• New Technologies are creating customer value:

– Pump Electronic Monitoring System

– Engine Idle Reduction System (EIRS)

– Dynamic Gas Blending

Page 41: INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation Historical Performance

INVESTOR DAY 2019

Investing in Technologies to Support Our Customers

AUTONOMYSEMI-AUTONOMYCat® GRADE Assist

REMOTE CONTROL

Page 42: INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation Historical Performance

INVESTOR DAY 2019

Agenda Welcome

Strategy Execution – Jim Umpleby

Services – Bob De Lange

Operational Excellence / Expanded Offerings – Denise Johnson

Financial Framework – Andrew Bonfield

Q&A – Executive Office

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Financial Framework

Andrew BonfieldChief Financial Officer

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

13%

16%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Delivered Stronger Financial Results

Historical Adjusted Operating Margin Range 7% - 15%

Improved Financial

Performance

Record PPS in 2018

$43B

$60B

$66B

$56B $55B

$47B

$39B

$45B

$55B

10%13%

15%

11% 11%10%

7%

Note: A reconciliation of Adjusted Operating Margin % to U.S. GAAP included in Appendix A

Historical Adjusted Operating Margin %Historical Sales & Revenues $B Demonstrated Results

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

2018 Financial Results: Record Profit Per Share

Full Year 2018 vs. Full Year 2017

Sales and Revenues up 20%

• Increased across the three

primary segments

Profit

• Record profit per share

Financial Position

• $7.9B enterprise cash on hand$1.26

$10.26

2017 2018

$45.5

$54.7

2017 2018

$54.7 $10.26 $11.22

Profit Per Share(in dollars)

Adjusted

Profit Per Share(in dollars)

Sales and Revenues(in billions of dollars)

Full-Year Highlights

$6.88

$11.22

2017 2018

* Excludes restructuring costs, pension and OPEB mark-to-market losses, deferred tax valuation allowance

adjustments and the impact of U.S. tax reform. For 2017, also excludes a gain on the sale of an equity investment.

*

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

2019 First Quarter Financial Results: Another Record

First Quarter 2019 vs. First Quarter 2018

$12.9 $13.5

2018 2019

$13.5 $3.25

Profit Per Share(in dollars)

Sales and Revenues(in billions of dollars)

1 Profit Per Share for 2019 includes a discrete tax benefit of $0.31 per share related to U.S. tax reform.2 Profit Per Share for 2018 includes restructuring costs of $0.08 per share.

$2.74

$3.25

2018 2019

1

1

2

1st Quarter Highlights

Sales and Revenues up 5%

• Increase primarily in Resource Industries

and Construction Industries

• Energy & Transportation about flat

Profit

• Record 1Q profit per share

Financial Position

• $1.2B in buybacks and dividends

• $7.1B enterprise cash on hand

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Full Year 2019 Outlook

• Modest year-over-year sales increase

• Price realization offsetting higher costs

• About $500M lower year-over-year short-term

incentive compensation expense

1 As of January 28, 2019. 2 As of April 24, 2019. Current outlook now includes a first-quarter discrete tax benefit related to U.S. tax reform of $0.31 per share.

• Restructuring costs of about $100M to $200M

• Tax rate 26%, excluding discrete tax items

• Capex of $1.3B to $1.5B

2019 Assumptions:

2018

Actual

Previous

2019 Outlook1

Current

2019 Outlook2

Profit Per Share $10.26 $11.75 - $12.75 $12.06 - $13.06

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

13%

16%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Future Expected Adjusted Operating Margin Range 10% - 21%

Target Adjusted Operating Margin +3%-6% pts

13%-16%

16%-19%18%-21%

14%-17% 14%-17%13%-16%

10%-13%

Improved Adjusted Operating Margin Performance Through the Cycles

+3%-6%

Margin pts

Improvement

$43B $60B $66B $56B $55B $47B $39B $45B $55B

Note: Target is not incremental to 2017 and 2018 performance

Note: A reconciliation of Adjusted Operating Margin to U.S. GAAP included in Appendix A

10%13%

15%

11% 11%10%

7%

Historical Adjusted Operating Margin %Historical Sales & Revenues $B

Note: Targeting 3%-6% pts improvement from 2010 – 2016 historical performance

Note: Targets are based on current business assumptions

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

A Lean and Disciplined Company

1 Reduction from 2014 to 20182 Invested at least $1.8B in 2016, 2017 and 2018

3 Excludes Discretionary Pension Contribution of $1B

Reduced

Period Cost

Structure

Over $1.8B

in annual

restructuring

savings 1

Reduced

Manufacturing

Footprint

29% reduction

in sq. ft.1

Disciplined

Capex

Less than

depreciation

& amortization

Consistently

Invested

~$1.8B

annually

in R&D 2

Maintained

Strong

Balance

Sheet

ME&T debt

to EBITDA

within targeted

range

Delivered

Solid

ME&T

Free Cash

Flow

of $6.1B

in 2018 3

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

OPACC is Our Internal Measure of Profitable Growth

$45B

$55B

$43B

$60B

$66B

$56B $55B

$47B

$39B

OPACC Calculation

ME&T Adjusted

Operating Profit

less Capital Charge

OPACC Demonstrated ResultsHistorical Sales & Revenues $B

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

OPACC is Our Internal Measure of Profitable Growth

$45B

$55B

$43B

$60B

$66B

$56B $55B

$47B

$39B

OPACC

$55B

OPACC Calculation

ME&T Adjusted

Operating Profit

less Capital Charge

~3X OPACC

from

2014 to 2018

2014 2018

$55B$55B

Demonstrated ResultsHistorical Sales & Revenues $B

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

$4B

Historical Free Cash Flow Results

1

1

$43B

$60B

$66B

$56B $55B

$47B

$39B

$5B

$1B

$6B$6B

$4B$3B

Historical ME&T Free Cash Flow $BHistorical Sales & Revenues $B

Historical ME&T Free Cash Flow Range $3B-$6B*

*Historical ME&T Free Cash Flow Range shown excludes 2012 due to a large unfavorable working capital impact and higher capex that is not expected to repeat

Note: A definition and reconciliation of ME&T Free Cash Flow to US GAAP included in Appendix B

*

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

$6B$6B

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Delivered Stronger Free Cash Flow

2 2

$45B$55B

$43B

$60B

$66B

$56B $55B

$47B

$39B

Strong Free Cash Flow

on Increased

Sales & Revenues

$5B

$1B

$6B$6B

$4B$3B

$4B

Historical ME&T Free Cash Flow $BHistorical Sales & Revenues $B

1 Historical ME&T Free Cash Flow Range shown excludes 2012 due to a large unfavorable working capital impact and higher capex that is not expected to repeat2 Excludes Discretionary Pension Contribution of $1B

Note: A definition and reconciliation of ME&T Free Cash Flow to US GAAP included in Appendix B

Demonstrated Results

Historical ME&T Free Cash Flow Range $3B-$6B1

1

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Future Expected ME&T Free Cash Flow Range $4B-$8B

$6B$6B

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Improved Free Cash Flow Performance Through the Cycles

+$1B-$2B

ME&T Free

Cash Flow

$43B $60B $66B $56B $55B $47B $39B $45B $55B

$5B-$6B $5B

$1B

$6B$6B

$4B$3B

$6B-$7B $6B-$7B* $7B-$8B$7B-$8B

$5B-$6B$4B-$5B

Target ME&T Free Cash Flow +$1B-$2B

$4B

Historical ME&T Free Cash Flow $BHistorical Sales & Revenues $B

1 Historical ME&T Free Cash Flow Range shown excludes 2012 due to a large

unfavorable working capital impact and higher capex that is not expected to repeat2 Excludes Discretionary Pension Contribution of $1B

2 2

1

Note: Targets are based on current business assumptions

Note: Target is not incremental to 2017 and 2018 performance

Note: A definition and reconciliation of ME&T Free Cash Flow to US GAAP included in Appendix B

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

27%

22%

212%

49%100%

107%

67%

33%94%

$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

$6

$7

$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

$6

$7

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

ME

&T

Fre

e C

as

h F

low

$B

% of ME&T Free Cash Flow Returned to Shareholders

Dividends Paid Buybacks ME&T Free Cash Flow

Annual dividend

increases the last 25 years

65% of ME&T FCF returned

to shareholders 2010-2018

Historical share repurchases

have been inconsistent

Inconsistent ME&T Free Cash Flow Deployment

* There were five dividend payments in 2012 due to the acceleration of the fourth quarter dividend payment from January 2013 to December 2012

Note: A definition and reconciliation of ME&T Free Cash Flow to US GAAP included in Appendix B

*

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

20% Dividend increase 2

Targeting at least a high single-digit

percent increase each of the next 4 years

More consistent

share repurchases

1 Target to return substantially all of ME&T free cash flow to shareholders based on current business assumptions2 Dividend payable on August 20, 2019 to shareholders of record at the close of business on July 22, 2019

Return substantially

all free cash flow

to shareholders 1

Future ME&T FCF Deployment to Drive Improved Shareholder Returns

Disciplined M&A Strong Balance Sheet

Page 57: INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation Historical Performance

INVESTOR DAY 2019

Why Invest in Caterpillar?

.

Continuous

Operational

Improvement

Achieving

Targets

Investing

for Growth

Financially

Stronger

Returning

Capital to

Shareholders

Improving

Cash Flow

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Agenda Welcome

Strategy Execution – Jim Umpleby

Services – Bob De Lange

Operational Excellence / Expanded Offerings – Denise Johnson

Financial Framework – Andrew Bonfield

Q&A – Executive Office

Page 59: INVESTOR DAY 2019 · 2020. 6. 23. · INVESTOR DAY 2019 Achieved 2017 Investor Day Segment Targets Construction Industries Resource Industries Energy & Transportation Historical Performance

INVESTOR DAY 2019

Appendix

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Caterpillar Inc. – Appendix A of Reconciliation to U.S. GAAPOperating Margin % to Adjusted Operating Margin %

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Operating margin % 10% 13% 14% 11% 10% 8% 3% 10% 15%

Operating margin % restructuring costs - - - - 1% 2% 3% 3% 1%

Operating margin % goodwill impairment - - 1% - - - 2% - -

Adjusted operating margin % 10% 13% 15% 11% 11% 10% 7% 13% 16%

10%

13%14%

11%10%

8%

3%

10%

15%$43B

$60B

$66B

$56B $55B

$47B

$39B

$45B

$55B

Note: Amounts may not add due to rounding.

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Caterpillar Inc. – Appendix B of Reconciliation to U.S. GAAPME&T Cash Flow from Operations to ME&T Free Cash Flow

$6B

$8B

$4B

$9B

$7B

$5B

$4B

$5B$6B

(USD in billions) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

ME&T cash flow from operations 6$ 8$ 4$ 9$ 7$ 5$ 4$ 5$ 6$

ME&T discretionary pension and OPEB plan contributions - - - - - - - 1 1

ME&T capital expenditures (2) (3) (3) (3) (2) (2) (1) (1) (1)

ME&T free cash flow 4$ 5$ 1$ 6$ 6$ 4$ 3$ 6$ 6$

$43B

$60B

$66B

$56B $55B

$47B

$39B

$45B

$55B

Note: Amounts may not add due to rounding.

Note: See reconciliation of ME&T cash flow from operations to consolidated net cash provided by

operating activities in the Supplemental Data for Statement of Cash Flow contained in our

annual 10-K filing.

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INVESTOR DAY 2019

Caterpillar Inc. – Appendix C of Reconciliation to U.S. GAAPServices Revenues to ME&T Services Sales

Note: Amounts may not add due to rounding.

Note: Services - Enterprise services include, but are not limited to, aftermarket parts, Financial

Products’ revenues and other service-related revenues. Machinery, Energy & Transportation

segments exclude Financial Products’ revenues.

(USD in billions) 2016 2018

Services revenues 18$ 21$

Financial Products’ revenues (3) (3)

Discontinued products (1) (1)

ME&T services sales 14$ 18$