Investment Trends in Global Pension Funds: Before, During ...

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The total asset under management of the 8 public pension funds listed below is $3.5 trillion (Dec. 2014). Due to the importance of this money to its members, stability of annual growth rate and risk management are key concerns. After the global financial crisis in 2008, strategies of investment and risk management in global pension funds have changed. INTRODUCTION OBJECTIVES Fig 4. Standard deviation of real rate of return in each period Compared to pre-crisis (2004-2007) and post-crisis (2011-2013), each fund has higher standard deviation of return in the intra-crisis period (2008-2010). RESULTS RESULTS (Cont.) CONCLUSION FUTURE STUDIES More studies can be done on how pension funds conducted in-house management compared differently to external management. How and what kind of alternative assets influence investment performance can also be researched. REFERENCES Annual Reports of ABP, ATP, AP, CalPERS, CPPIB, GPF, GPIF, NPS from 2004 to 2013 Mike Heale. (2012). “Internal Management and Pension Fund Performance.” http://www.top1000funds.com/wp-content/uploads/ 2012/10/10_Mike-Heale-CEM-Benchmarking.pdf DATA To compare risk-adjusted investment performance of public pension funds in 8 large developed countries from 2004 to 2013. To investigate recent investment trends among global pension funds before, during and after the 2008 financial crisis. The 8 countries include: Netherlands (ABP), Sweden (AP), Denmark (ATP), U.S (CalPERS), Canada (CPPIB), Japan (GPIF), Norway (GPF), and South Korea (NPS). The data is sub-divided into three periods: (1) pre-crisis (2004-2007), (2) intra-crisis (2008-2010), (3) post-crisis (2011-2013) . Fig 1. Asset under management at the end of 2014. Fig 2. Coefficient of variation comparison in pre and post crisis periods The less coefficient of variation means the more return of investment per unit of risk. Most funds show more stable and higher rate of return before the crisis, compared to after the crisis. After the financial crisis, many funds increased investment in alternative assets. The U.S shows increases in private equities from 10.1% to 14.5%. Canada increases in real estate from 6.8% to 16.9%. The U.S and Netherlands decreased fixed income; but Canada and Sweden decreased equities to increase alternative assets Fig 7. Increase in alternative investments after 2008 Fig 5. Excess return compared to the benchmark. For the benchmark, NYSE World Leaders Index (NWL) and PIMCO Global Advantage Bond Index (GLAD) are used. Pension funds show cyclical performance over the period. During the crisis in 2008, global pension funds outperformed the benchmark; however, right after the crisis, they underperformed and recovered in 2011. When the financial market is in crisis, it globally influences performances of pension funds. Funds that suffered the greatest losses during the crisis also saw the strongest recovery after the crisis. Due to aftermath of the crisis, pension funds underperformed in 2009 compared to the market benchmark. To reduce cost and improve performance, pension funds have to increase in-house management. According to research, “A 10% increases in internal management was associated 3.2bps higher net value added.” To diversify portfolio risk, recently many funds have increased their weightings in alternative investments such as real estate and private equity. Fig 3. Relationship of rate of return between in 2008 and 2009 The graph tends to show a negative correlation of rate of return between in 2008 and 2009. The data demonstrates that pension funds suffering greater losses during the crisis (2008) also saw stronger recovery after the crisis (2009). Fig 6. CalPERS fixed external management fee reduction In FY 2010-11, external management fees comprised 90% of the $1.3 billion of total expenses. From 2010, CalPERS has reduced its external management fee approximately by 66 million dollars. The data is related to CalPERS’s reduction on hedge funds. Fisher College of Business, Department of Finance Won Hee Hwang and Dr. Jay Wellman Investment Trends in Global Pension Funds: Before, During and After the 2008 Financial Crisis 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% pre-crisis intra-crisis post-crisis 865.56 808.23 790.46 740.00 760.00 780.00 800.00 820.00 840.00 860.00 880.00 FY 2010-11 FY 2011-12 FY 2012-13 ($ Millions) $ 66 million reduced -30.0 -20.0 -10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 -40.0 -30.0 -20.0 -10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 2008 2009 (%) 373.0 130.6 102.5 299.6 189.2 805.6 1134.1 421.1 0.0 200.0 400.0 600.0 800.0 1000.0 1200.0 Netherlands Sweden Denmark U.S (CA) Canada Norway Japan Korea ($ Billions) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 U.S (CA) Canada Netherlands Sweden (%) -50.0% -40.0% -30.0% -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Netherlands Sweden U.S Canada Korea Japan Norway Denmark RESULTS (Cont.) 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 Korea Netherlands Sweden Denmark U.S (CA) Canada Norway Japan pre-crisis post-crisis

Transcript of Investment Trends in Global Pension Funds: Before, During ...

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•  The total asset under management of the 8 public pension funds listed below is $3.5 trillion (Dec. 2014).

•  Due to the importance of this money to its members, stability of annual growth rate and risk management are key concerns.

•  After the global financial crisis in 2008, strategies of investment and risk management in global pension funds have changed.

INTRODUCTION

OBJECTIVES

Fig 4. Standard deviation of real rate of return in each period •  Compared to pre-crisis (2004-2007) and post-crisis

(2011-2013), each fund has higher standard deviation of return in the intra-crisis period (2008-2010).

RESULTS RESULTS (Cont.)

CONCLUSION

FUTURE STUDIES •  More studies can be done on how pension

funds conducted in-house management compared differently to external management.

•  How and what kind of alternative assets influence investment performance can also be researched.

REFERENCES Annual Reports of ABP, ATP, AP, CalPERS, CPPIB, GPF, GPIF, NPS from 2004 to 2013 Mike Heale. (2012). “Internal Management and Pension Fund Performance.” http://www.top1000funds.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/10_Mike-Heale-CEM-Benchmarking.pdf

DATA

•  To compare risk-adjusted investment performance of public pension funds in 8 large developed countries from 2004 to 2013.

•  To investigate recent investment trends among global pension funds before, during and after the 2008 financial crisis.

•  The 8 countries include: Netherlands (ABP), Sweden (AP), Denmark (ATP), U.S (CalPERS), Canada (CPPIB), Japan (GPIF), Norway (GPF), and South Korea (NPS).

•  The data is sub-divided into three periods: (1) pre-crisis (2004-2007), (2) intra-crisis (2008-2010), (3) post-crisis (2011-2013) .

Fig 1. Asset under management at the end of 2014.

Fig 2. Coefficient of variation comparison in pre and post crisis periods •  The less coefficient of variation means the more return of

investment per unit of risk. •  Most funds show more stable and higher rate of return

before the crisis, compared to after the crisis.

•  After the financial crisis, many funds increased investment in alternative assets.

•  The U.S shows increases in private equities from 10.1% to 14.5%. Canada increases in real estate from 6.8% to 16.9%.

•  The U.S and Netherlands decreased fixed income; but Canada and Sweden decreased equities to increase alternative assets

Fig 7. Increase in alternative investments after 2008

Fig 5. Excess return compared to the benchmark. •  For the benchmark, NYSE World Leaders Index (NWL)

and PIMCO Global Advantage Bond Index (GLAD) are used.

•  Pension funds show cyclical performance over the period. •  During the crisis in 2008, global pension funds

outperformed the benchmark; however, right after the crisis, they underperformed and recovered in 2011.

•  When the financial market is in crisis, it globally influences performances of pension funds.

•  Funds that suffered the greatest losses during the crisis also saw the strongest recovery after the crisis.

•  Due to aftermath of the crisis, pension funds underperformed in 2009 compared to the market benchmark.

•  To reduce cost and improve performance, pension funds have to increase in-house management. According to research, “A 10% increases in internal management was associated 3.2bps higher net value added.”

•  To diversify portfolio risk, recently many funds have increased their weightings in alternative investments such as real estate and private equity.

Fig 3. Relationship of rate of return between in 2008 and 2009 •  The graph tends to show a negative correlation of rate of

return between in 2008 and 2009. •  The data demonstrates that pension funds suffering

greater losses during the crisis (2008) also saw stronger recovery after the crisis (2009).

Fig 6. CalPERS fixed external management fee reduction •  In FY 2010-11, external management fees comprised

90% of the $1.3 billion of total expenses. •  From 2010, CalPERS has reduced its external

management fee approximately by 66 million dollars. •  The data is related to CalPERS’s reduction on hedge

funds.

Fisher  College  of  Business,  Department  of  Finance  Won  Hee  Hwang  and  Dr.  Jay  Wellman  

Investment Trends in Global Pension Funds: Before, During and After the 2008 Financial Crisis  

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

pre-crisis intra-crisis post-crisis

865.56

808.23

790.46

740.00

760.00

780.00

800.00

820.00

840.00

860.00

880.00

FY 2010-11 FY 2011-12 FY 2012-13

($ Millions)

$ 66 million

reduced

-30.0

-20.0

-10.0

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

-40.0 -30.0 -20.0 -10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0

2008

2009 (%)  

373.0

130.6 102.5

299.6 189.2

805.6

1134.1

421.1

0.0

200.0

400.0

600.0

800.0

1000.0

1200.0

Netherlands Sweden Denmark U.S (CA) Canada Norway Japan Korea

($ Billions)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

U.S (CA) Canada Netherlands Sweden

(%)  

-50.0%

-40.0%

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Netherlands

Sweden

U.S

Canada

Korea

Japan

Norway

Denmark

RESULTS (Cont.)

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

Korea Netherlands Sweden Denmark U.S (CA) Canada Norway Japan

pre-crisis post-crisis