Investment Thesis - New York Universitypages.stern.nyu.edu/~iag/presentations/2006-2007/mov.pdf ·...
Transcript of Investment Thesis - New York Universitypages.stern.nyu.edu/~iag/presentations/2006-2007/mov.pdf ·...
1
Investment Thesis Investment Thesis
• Strong, solid business• Fantastic management• Great portfolio of brands• Short term catalysts & long term growth
opportunities
2
AgendaAgenda
• Company Overview• Industry Overview• Risks• Analysis• Q & A
Revenue BreakdownRevenue Breakdown
• Wholesale • Jewelry stores• Department stores
• Retail • Outlets • Luxury retail
• 28 Movado boutiques
3
Geographical BreakdownGeographical Breakdown
• Domestic
• International • Growth opportun ities
• China’s luxury market ~ 2bn
Geographical Breakdown IIGeographical Breakdown II
4
Movado first incorporated
HistoryHistory
‘93 ‘97‘83’70s‘67
History IIHistory II
‘06 Future‘04‘01‘98
5
Business OverviewBusiness Overview
Moderate$100-499
Fashion$55-99
Mass Market< $55
Premium$500-1,499
Luxury$1,500- 9,999
Exclusive$10,000
MovadoMovado
• Founded 1881, Switzerland• Design by Horwitt• Distinctive, minimalist design
• Launch of Series 800 • Increase sell-in at Federated Department Stores• Focus on U.S. and Chinese markets
6
EbelEbel
• Founded 1911, Switzerland• Launch of Brasilia Line• Sales
• Doubled over last quarter• 29% over last year
ConcordConcord
• Founded 1908, Switzerland• Sales not as strong as
other brands• Set to undergo revamping
this coming year• Hired new management
7
ESQESQ
• Unique positioning as affordable luxury watch
• Project double digit sales increase for ’07
Licensed BrandsLicensed Brands
• Increased 20% over last year
• Coach• One of the most powerful
brands in the market• Fall launch of new male sports
watch, Legacy Sport• Hilfiger
• Growth opportunities in international markets
8
Licensed Brands IILicensed Brands II
• Hugo Boss • Launched Spring ’06 • Excellent results
• Juicy Couture• Will launch at the end
of this month• Lacoste
• Arriving January ’07
RetailRetail
• Comprised of:• 27 Boutiques
• 3 set to open this year
• 28 Outlets• Located in:
• Vacation spots• Metropolitan cities• Luxury malls
• Also feature Movado Jewelry and household items
• Same store sales growth of 4.5% last quarter
9
PorterPorter’’s 5 Forcess 5 Forces
Threat of New
Entrants
Bargaining Power of
Customers
Threat of Substitutes
Bargaining Power of Suppliers Competitive Rivalry
Within the Industry
Industry OverviewIndustry Overview
• Value• EUR 13.2bn• 21% of overall luxury retail market
• Growth• 2007 ~ 7.9% • 2008 ~ 8.0%
• Trends• “Trading Up”• Sports Watches
10
Industry OverviewIndustry Overview
Sport
Mass Market
Fashion
Prestige LuxuryTechnical Jewelry
Rolex
TAG Heuer
EBEL
ESQ
Movado
Concord
Baume &
Mercier
Coach
Swatch
Hugo Boss
Tommy Hilfiger
Omega
Patek Phillippe
Tissot
Tiffany
Cartier
Bulgari
Hermes
Fendi
Dior
Piaget
CK
Dunhill
Montblanc
Richemont
LVMH
Swatch
Movado
Other
RisksRisks
• Domestic exposure• Low consumer confidence• Seasonality• Competitive retail market
11
AnalysisAnalysis
• Consumer confidence • Interest rate hikes have slowed• Luxury goods slightly more stable• Next Consumer Confidence Report Sep. 26th
– expected to be at 102 vs. 99• Consumer Spending
• Increased despite high oil prices
• Rising affluence• “Trading up” trend
Analysis IIAnalysis II
• Effect of recession /holiday season• Seasonality/retail
• 50% of revenues are in Q4• Tourist travel flows• Currency risk
12
CatalystCatalyst
• Backlog of $43.5 mm • Launch:
• Series 800• Hugo Boss• Juicy at end of this month• Lacoste Jan ’07
• Revamping of Concord• Increased marketing
• Tom Brady• Derek Jeter• Giselle
Financial overviewFinancial overview
• Sales growth• Gross margin increased to 61%
13
Q&AQ&A