Investment case Positives
1
1 Investment case Positives • 90% of its revenues generated from internationally diverse regions, rendering it immune to Egypt’s current political turmoil & economic downturn. • Being a USD denominated company, with 97% of its net profit received in USD • Rising international oil prices with WTI peaking to USD113/barrel in April - the highest since 2008. • Recovering offshore oil & gas industry, manifested in higher utilization rate. • Fleet expansion plan targeting to raise fleet size from its current 68 units to 75 units by 2012. • Expected currency devaluation will enable local investors to accomplish a capital gain. • Relatively attractive current dividend yield of 1.6% when compared to the prevailing average 1-Year USD deposit rate of 0.71%. Negatives • Protracted recovery of the OSV segment from the financial crisis . • Lack of contract visibility from 2013-onwards. Upside Catalysts • MOIL's reclamation of the USD10mn additional cost incurred by Valentine in its recent dispute • Securing highly-paid new contracts starting from 2013 onwards • Further escalation in international oil prices • The quick operation of newly-delivered vessels • Achieving political stability & quick economic pick up in Egypt; enabling MOIL to expand its operation in the Mediterranean region. Downside Risks • The occurrence of a similar execution problem – similar to Valentine’s recent Indian dispute – might inflate COGS/sales ratio. • Inability to secure new contracts could impact future Maridive & Oil Services – MOIL Company Profile Maridive & Oil Services (MOS) is a free-zone joint stock company established in 1978. The company is located in Port Said with offices in Cairo, Alexandria, and Abu Dhabi. MOS is a highly-integrated marine and offshore oil services company, providing its services to E&P clients through (1) Offshore Construction Services (OCS) and (2) Offshore Support Vessels (OSV). MOS, with an experience of over 30 years, is currently the largest Egyptian marine and offshore oil services company and one of the largest regional players in terms of fleet size owned. The group has won a number of contracts in the Gulf region, Persian Gulf, Caspian Sea, Gulf of Mexico, and West Africa, as well as the Far East. Shareholder Structure • Offshore Oil projects 21% • Eleish Family 14% • Zeid Family 14% • Nadim Family 13% • CIB 4% • EFG Private Equity 4% • Free Float 30% 52-Week Performance & (*EGX suspended between 27 th Jan – 23 rd Mar 2011) MOIL.CA/MOIL EY | Underweight Recommendation | Moderate Risk | LTFV USD3.95 | Target Price USD3.95| Analyst: Noran Abd el Rahman Ali Key Performance Indicators Sector: H ydrocarbons & R elated Services USD m n/FY E D ecem ber 2007a 2008a 2009a 2010a 2011e 2012e R evenue 263.7 257.7 247.0 322.3 408.0 487.4 G rowth R ate (% ) 5.5 -2.3 -4.2 30.5 26.6 19.5 EB ITD A 107.8 109.5 100.4 96.0 159.1 196.1 G rowth R ate (% ) 28.7 1.5 -8.3 -4.3 65.6 23.3 EB ITD A m argin (% ) 40.9 42.5 40.7 29.8 39.0 40.2 N etIncom e 80.1 69.0 71.9 48.5 80.3 97.3 G rowth R ate (% ) 23.0 -13.8 4.3 -32.6 65.6 21.2 N etm argin (% ) 30.4% 26.8% 29.1% 15.0% 19.7% 20.0% PER 14.0x 16.2x 15.5x 23.1x 13.9x 11.5x P /BV 10.2x 5.3x 4.1x 4.5x 4.0x 3.6x EV/EB ITD A 11.1x 10.7x 12.6x 14.0x 8.9x 7.0x N etdebt/EB ITD A 0.7x 0.5x 1.5x 2.4x 1.8x 1.3x D ividend Yield 5.3% 5.2% 3.8% 1.6% 4.6% 5.7% S o urc e: C IC R D atabas e
description
Maridive & Oil Services – MOIL. MOIL.CA/MOIL EY | Underweight Recommendation | Moderate Risk | LTFV USD3.95 | Target Price USD3.95| Analyst: Noran Abd el Rahman Ali. Company Profile - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Investment case Positives
1
Investment case
Positives • 90% of its revenues generated from internationally diverse regions, rendering it immune to
Egypt’s current political turmoil & economic downturn. • Being a USD denominated company, with 97% of its net profit received in USD• Rising international oil prices with WTI peaking to USD113/barrel in April - the highest since
2008. • Recovering offshore oil & gas industry, manifested in higher utilization rate. • Fleet expansion plan targeting to raise fleet size from its current 68 units to 75 units by 2012. • Expected currency devaluation will enable local investors to accomplish a capital gain.• Relatively attractive current dividend yield of 1.6% when compared to the prevailing average
1-Year USD deposit rate of 0.71%. Negatives • Protracted recovery of the OSV segment from the financial crisis . • Lack of contract visibility from 2013-onwards.
Upside Catalysts• MOIL's reclamation of the USD10mn additional cost incurred by Valentine in its recent
dispute• Securing highly-paid new contracts starting from 2013 onwards• Further escalation in international oil prices• The quick operation of newly-delivered vessels• Achieving political stability & quick economic pick up in Egypt; enabling MOIL to expand its
operation in the Mediterranean region.Downside Risks• The occurrence of a similar execution problem – similar to Valentine’s recent Indian dispute –
might inflate COGS/sales ratio.• Inability to secure new contracts could impact future performance.• Delay in vessel delivery or contract execution.• Falling oil prices• Adverse weather conditions, such as the Monsoon in India.
Maridive & Oil Services – MOIL
Company ProfileMaridive & Oil Services (MOS) is a free-zone joint stock company established in 1978. The company is located in Port Said with offices in Cairo, Alexandria, and Abu Dhabi. MOS is a highly-integrated marine and offshore oil services company, providing its services to E&P clients through (1) Offshore Construction Services (OCS) and (2) Offshore Support Vessels (OSV). MOS, with an experience of over 30 years, is currently the largest Egyptian marine and offshore oil services company and one of the largest regional players in terms of fleet size owned. The group has won a number of contracts in the Gulf region, Persian Gulf, Caspian Sea, Gulf of Mexico, and West Africa, as well as the Far East.
Shareholder Structure• Offshore Oil projects 21% • Eleish Family
14% • Zeid Family
14% • Nadim Family
13% • CIB 4% • EFG Private Equity 4% • Free Float
30% 52-Week Performance & (*EGX suspended between 27th Jan – 23rd Mar 2011)
MOIL.CA/MOIL EY | Underweight Recommendation | Moderate Risk | LTFV USD3.95 | Target Price USD3.95| Analyst: Noran Abd el Rahman Ali
Key Performance IndicatorsSector: Hydrocarbons & Related ServicesUSDmn/ FY End:December 2007a 2008a 2009a 2010a 2011e 2012e
Revenue 263.7 257.7 247.0 322.3 408.0 487.4 Growth Rate (%) 5.5 -2.3 -4.2 30.5 26.6 19.5
EBITDA 107.8 109.5 100.4 96.0 159.1 196.1 Growth Rate (%) 28.7 1.5 -8.3 -4.3 65.6 23.3EBITDA margin (%) 40.9 42.5 40.7 29.8 39.0 40.2
Net Income 80.1 69.0 71.9 48.5 80.3 97.3 Growth Rate (%) 23.0 -13.8 4.3 -32.6 65.6 21.2Net margin (%) 30.4% 26.8% 29.1% 15.0% 19.7% 20.0%
P ER 14.0x 16.2x 15.5x 23.1x 13.9x 11.5xP /BV 10.2x 5.3x 4.1x 4.5x 4.0x 3.6xEV/EBITDA 11.1x 10.7x 12.6x 14.0x 8.9x 7.0xNet debt/EBITDA 0.7x 0.5x 1.5x 2.4x 1.8x 1.3xDividend Yield 5.3% 5.2% 3.8% 1.6% 4.6% 5.7%
Source: CICR Database
