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Transcript of IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions...
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Summary of the ELPEN project results, May 2003
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Introduction to the ELPEN
project
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
The
Consortium
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
A network that:
• can answer specific questions about the economic, environmental and social impacts of policy related to livestock systems
• uses state of the art technology: the ELPEN system
What is ELPEN?
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPENThe ELPEN system was developed on the basis of the End User Group requirements, which were:
• Integrating economic, environmental and social impacts (DG Agri & Env)
• Spatially explicit (DG Agri & Env) regional scale
• Focus on land dependent systems initial focus on dairy systems (DG Agri)
• A flexible expert tool, not a desktop tool
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
A decision support system containing:
• EU statistical and geographical data• An ELPEN farm typology• A reference farm database• Expert knowledge (simple rules and models)• Meta data explaining data and knowledge• Fast procedures to process large amounts of data • Procedures to display output maps and tables
The ELPEN system is:
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
An expert who supports policy makers to answer specific questions by:
• Adding and combining the stored EU statistical and geographic data
• Adding relevant expert knowledge and meta data for each new policy question
• Generating output maps and tables• Reporting on the results• Maintaining and improving the utility of the system
for policy impact assessment:
The ELPEN system user is:
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPENPolicy Impact Assessment with the ELPEN system
Spatially explicit socio-economic and environmental impacts
Policyquestion
Statistical and Geographic data
Farm typologies,simple models and expert rules
Spatially explicit modeling results (maps, tables)
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Explanation of
The ELPEN System
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Explanation of
The ELPEN System
System data (e.g units)
ELPEN Farm typology
Statistical data
Reference Farms (examples of ELPEN farm types)
Schemes (knowledge rules)
Cases (results, obtained by applying schemes on data)
Geographic data
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Browser
Table view
Mapview
Meta data viewand technical details
ELPEN system: User interface
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Statistical Data:
A part of the following EU data sets are incorporated in the ELPEN system:
• Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN) Commission of the European Communities, DG Agriculture in ELPEN (March 2003): 1990-91, 1997-98, 1999-2000
• Farm Structure Survey (FSS/Eurofarm) Eurostat in ELPEN (March 2003): 1990, 1997
• Regional data bank (REGIO) Eurostat: in ELPEN (March 2003): 1980 - 2001
• Relation tables Stored relations between different data sets
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Statistical Data: Relation tables
Stored relations between different data sets:
e.g:
The geographic relations between the different statistical data sets is established by:
Harmonised regions (Harm)
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Geographic relations: harmonised regions
HARMonised regions make it possible to integrate data from different statistical sources by applying them to the same geographic entities
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
HARMonised regions make it possible to integrate data from different statistical sources by applying them to the same geographic entities
Geographic relations: harmonised regionsHarm1Harm2
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Geographic relations: harmonised regions
ELPEN regions: 23
Harm1 Region
Harm1 Region
Harm1 RegionCountry12 & 15
EU
Other geographic regions in ELPEN:
ELPEN regions:a clustering of Harm regions,a pragmatic solution to enlarge regions in order toprevent disclosure problems when displaying data concerning less than 15 farmsin one region
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Example data
Example of stored data:Subsidies on livestocktotal in kEuro per Harm1 (1999)
Note: Switzerland is not EU member
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPENExample of computed data:Subsidies on livestockper Livestock Unitin kEuro per Harm1 (1999)
Note: Switzerland is not EU member
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Example data
Nr of livestock unitsof Total Bovineper Harm2 (1990)
Note:Finland, Sweden,Eastern Germany and Austriawere not EU members in 1990
Switzerland is not EU member
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPENInhabitants per HARM2 (1999)
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Geographic Data: overview
Administrative Regions
Designated areas
Land cover: Corine & Pelcom
Elevation
Soil, Climate
Environment (Nitrogen Vulnerable Zones, N-leaching)
Landscape (not yet available)
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPENELPEN Regions: cluster of administrative regions
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPENDesignated areas:Less Favoured Areas1997
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPENCorine Land Cover e.g: pastures (grid map: 1.1x1.1km)
An extract of the meta data on Corine Land Cover (CLC):
“CLC was elaborated based on the visual interpretation of satellite images (SPOT, LANDSAT TM and MSS). Ancillary data (aerial photographs, topographic or vegetation maps, statistics, local knowledge) were used to refine interpretation and the assignment of the territory into the categories of the CORINE Land Cover nomenclature. The smallest surfaces mapped (mapping units) correspond to 25 hectares. Linear features less than 100 m in width are not considered. The scale of the output product was fixed at 1:100.000. Thus, the location precision of the CLC database is 100 m.”
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPENPelcom Land Cover: e.g: grass(grid map: 1.1x1.1km)
An extract of the meta data on Pelcom:
“The Pelcom land cover database is calculated from Earth Observation images using an algorithm that computes the first and second minimum distances for each AVHRR image pixel based on the spectral signatures, and as a result, it derived the first best class ('highest probability') and the second best class ('second highest probability') for each pixel.”
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Elevation
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Elevation Elevation: classifiedbelow 300m300-600mabove 600m
This classification corresponds with the FADN data
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
ELPEN Farm Typology: why?
to differentiate farms according to:• responses to policy• impact on the social and bio-
physical environment
and:• to aggregate FADN farm level
data into farm types that:• can be associated with reference
farms in the field
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
ELPEN Farm Typology: how?
• Selection of classifying variables using expert knowledge of systems in the field(e.g. CEAS-study 2000)
• Cluster analysis on FADN-data to determine usefulness of variables and threshold values
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
ELPEN Farm typology: result
Sector: Grazing livestock farms(>50% production value from grazing livestock)
Intensity(input costs for fertilizers, pesticides and concentrates)
Low input (< 150 €/ha) Medium input (150-600 €/ha) High input (>600 €/ha)
Land use
(% grass in total Utilised Agricultural Area (UAA), LU per ha and grazing outside UAA)
Off farm grazingOff farm produced
fodder systemsPermanent
grass systemsGrassland
systemsArable systems
Dairy Mixed BeefDairy
grazingMixed
Dairy&meat Dairy Mixed Dairy Mixed MeatMeatMeat
grazing
Grazing livestocksectors(% cattle and % milk in production value)
Cattle Sheep Goat
Size(Livestock Units (LU) grazing livestock)
Small scale < 20 LU Medium scale 20-100 LU Largel scale > 100 LU
All farms in EUELPEN Farm typology
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
How many and what ELPEN farm types are located in what regions?
Number of farm types per region
Click on region
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
What ELPEN farm types are in what regions?
Number of farm types per regionSector:Grazing livestock
Production type:Meat
Livestock type:Cattle
Land use type:Permanent grass
Intensity:Low input
Size:Medium scale
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
example time-series
Example time series:Change in LU on dairy cattle farms 1990 - 1999 (Index 1990=1)
decrease
Increase
< 15 dairy cattle farms or missing data
Switzerland is not EU member
Note:Finland, Sweden,Eastern Germany and Austriawere not EU members in 1990
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPENExample time series:Change in nr of dairy cattle farms 1990 - 1999
(Index 1990=1)
Switzerland is not EU member
decrease
Increase
< 15 dairy cattle farms or missing data
Note:Finland, Sweden,Eastern Germany and Austriawere not EU members in 1990
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
For each (group of) farm type(s) in a region, several profiles can be computed that characterise these farm types:
Profiles:• Environmental• Structural• Economic• Social• Regional
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Profiles of farms per region e.g:arable medium input system
Nr of represented farms per region
Click on region
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Profiles of farms per region e.g:arable medium input system
Nr of represented farms per region
Click on region
Structuralprofile
Total livestock units present on all farms of this type in the region of Acquitaine, being 1.2 % of the total LU of all farms of this type in the EU
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Profiles of farms per region e.g: arable medium input system
Nr of represented farms per region
Click on region
Structuralprofile
Total livestock units present on all farms of this type in the region of Acquitaine, being 1.2 % of the total LU of all farms of this type in the EU
Environmentalprofile
Stocking density on grassland, being 6.6% under EU average for this farm type
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
A) General questions
B) Land related questions
C) Grass and Fodder
D) Mechanisation
E) Dairy cows
F) Beef cattle
G) Sheep
H) Goats
J) Other grazing livestock
K) Livestock housing / welfare
L) Questions about Agricultural Policy Changes
Reference farms are:Real example farms of ELPEN farm types
The data are gathered using a questionnaire with 93 questions about 10 aspects ofthe farm and 7 policy questions
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
A) General questions
B) Land related questions
C) Grass and Fodder
D) Mechanisation
E) Dairy cows
F) Beef cattle
G) Sheep
H) Goats
J) Other grazing livestock
K) Livestock housing / welfare
L) Questions about Agricultural Policy Changes
Reference farms are:Real example farms of ELPEN farm types
The data are gathered using a questionnaire with 93 questions about 10 aspects ofthe farm and 7 policy questions
K) LIVESTOCK HOUSING / WELFARE86) type of livestock87) duration of housing88) housing type89) housing90) grazing management91) transport 92) visits by 93) main health problem
B) LAND RELATED QUESTIONS18) altitude < 300m, 300-600m, > 600m 19) gradient of land (estimate20) soil quality (1 excellent - 5 poor) 21) layout of farmland (scattered - consolidated)22) farm size23) policy status24) use of land25) ownership of farm: land owned/rented/leased26) types of crops (excluding fodder and grass)27) fodder production (roughage other than grass)28) conservation of grass29) arable land with vegetation cover 30) fertiliser use31) pesticide use
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Data on reference farms can be viewed as follows
Data on reference farms per region (HARM1)
Nr. of reference farms per region
Click on region
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Data on reference farms can be viewed as follow
Data on reference farms per region (HARM1)
Nr. of reference farms per region
Click on region
Data on Sheep
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Data on reference farms can be viewed as follow
Data on reference farms per region (HARM1)
Nr. of reference farms per region
Click on region
Data on Sheep
Data on land
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Schemes
Schemes contain the knowledge rules that are used to compute results
Scheme-displays can be generated automatically by the system
e.g. Rules to allocate livestock types per grid cell:
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Schemes
Schemes contain the knowledge rules that are used to compute results
Scheme-displays can be generated automatically by the system
e.g. Rules to allocate livestock types per grid cell:
Suppliers Scheme: Allocation of Dairy Cows(automatically generated by the system)
FSS data: nr. lu dairy cows / Harm2 (1990)
Corine / grid cellPelcom / grid cell
% grazing area / grid cell
Result: nr LU Dairy cows / grid cell (1990)
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Cases:
Cases use the schemes to compute results.
Different results can be computed,using the same pre-programmed schemes and selecting different input data
At the end of the ELPEN project (March 2003), the following cases were stored in the ELPEN system:
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
• Allocation of Livestock basis: FSS / HARM2 and Land cover on 1km2
• Allocation of ELPEN Farm type groups basis: FADN / HARM1, Land cover, LFA, Altitude on 1km2 • Economic Impacts of milk price reduction basis: economic model, input: FADN data / farm type group
• Environmental impacts of milk price reduction
• Social: who stops and who continues decision path for LFA regions, input: reference farms
Cases: overview
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Case: Allocation of livestock per grid cell
Grazing livestockin LU / ha, 1997
Allocation of livestock per grid cell
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Case: allocation of farm type groups
Small scale farms: harm1 level
less farms < 15 small scale farms (left)
more farms
and desaggregated to grid
no grazing area available (right)
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Case: Economic impact of milk price reductionExample: specialised dairy cattle farms
1) Computation of full costs of milk:
input: 250 FADN variables, e.g:
labour land capital feed
Full production costs ofmilk of spec. dairy cattlefarms in €/dt per Harm1
< 15 spec. dairy farms
(or non EU member Switserland)
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Case: Economic impact of milk price reductionExample: specialised dairy cattle farmsFull production costs ofmilk of spec. dairy cattle farms in €/dt per Harm1
< 15 spec. dairy farms
Average herd size of specialist dairy cattlefarms per Harm1
< 15 spec. dairy farms
Small herd size
(or non EU member Switzerland)
High production costs
The results show that there is a correlation between production costs and herd size
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Case: Economic impact of milk price reduction
2) Computation of surplus:
surplus = milk price - costs
In our example: costs on long term:
Cash costs + depreciation + full opportunity costs (land, labour, capital, feed, etc)
A large surplus is an incentive to expand production, and it provides capital for more investment
Economic impactof milk price reduction
Surplus:
stop
continue
increase
negative
small
large
Milk production
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Nitrate vulnerable zones
Environmental Impact of milk price reduction
This is a political map, which is not very useful for the impact assessment of milk price reduction.
Instead, we used the following map…
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Nitrate vulnerability expressed as leaching fraction ≈ sensitivity to leaching
This map was computed outside the ELPEN system
Fragment of the meta data on Nitrate vulnerability
To determine the nitrate leaching fraction the Burns model is used (Burns, 1976). This model, defined in 1975, calculates a nitrate leaching fraction (f) on nitrate present in the soil, using soil and climate factors.
f = (Ed / (Ed + Vm/100))x
f = nitrate leaching fraction (-)Ed = amount of water drain-ing to the sub soil(cm/yr)Vm = volumetric soil moisture content at field capacity (%)x = depth factor depending on the nitrate repartition considered in the soil (cm)
Environmental Impact of milk price reduction
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN Environmental Impact of milk price reduction
Nitrate vulnerabilityexpressed as leaching fraction ≈ sensitivity to leaching
Grazing livestock in LU / ha, 1997
Surplus after 20% reduction of milk priceExpected increase of
milk production
EnvironmentalHotspots
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Economic impact of milk price reduction on farm types with environmental consequences
All dairy cattlefarms
Low-input dairycattle farm
Germany -5 -10Spain -3 11France -3 -10Italy 1 -20Austria -32 -35Portugal -12 -31Sweden -7 -12Surplus = (Future price – production cost)
Low-input systems will come under pressure
Surplus in €cent / l milk
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
All dairy cattlefarms
Low-input dairycattle farm
Germany -5 -10Spain -3 11France -3 -10Italy 1 -20Austria -32 -35Portugal -12 -31Sweden -7 -12Surplus = (Future price – production cost)
Low-input systems will come under pressure
Surplus in €cent / l
Economic impact of milk price reduction on farm types with environmental consequences
% Low intensity dairy cattle farmsof total dairy cattle farms 1997per ELPEN region
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Economic impact of milk price reductionon farm type with environment consequences
% Low intensity dairy cattle farmsof total dairy cattle farms 1997per ELPEN region
0 25 50 75 100 125 150
Crop protection use
Fertiliser use
Permanent grassland
Stocking density
Grassland pressure
%
1,1
0,7
31
11
52
Environmental profile of low-input system
EU average forall dairy cattle
farmsindex = 100
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
Assumption of previous cases:
Only dairy farmers with a surplus income from milk productionwill continue farming, but...
Social and cultural aspects mayhave a big influence on decisionsof farmers.
An example of rules that simulate social behaviour is the following…
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPENPluriactivity
High
No /Low
Self Processing
PDO YesYes
No
Self marketing
YesNoNetworks
No
High
No / Low
Support
Age<55 >55
Yes
No
Continue farmingMight continue farming Stop farming Might stop farming Added value
Social factors influencing farmers decisions in LFAs
Input:
Reference Farm data
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPEN
The previous social scheme uses as input stored reference farm data in the ELPEN system.
Unfortunately the number of reference farms in the current system is too limited to apply social schemes like these to predict representative social behaviour.
We need to interview more farmers in order to gather representative data to be able to assess social impacts.
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPENConclusions
The ELPEN consortium offers:
Support for integrated and targeted policy development by:• Making available integrated statistical and bio-geographical
data for the whole EU in one system• Providing regionally differentiated information in maps
(using expert knowledge for desegregation)• Differentiating farm responses using a flexible typology that
can be associated with reference farms in the field• Enabling a better understanding of linkages between
economic, environmental and social impacts of policy measures
• Maintaining and improving the utility of the ELPEN system for policy impact assessment
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPENAccessing ELPEN
The ELPEN software is available free of charge at:http://www.objectvision.nl
For general information on the ELPEN project visitthe ELPEN website: http://macaulay.ac.uk/elpen
If you are interested in using our services or the ELPEN system, please contact us…
IntroELPENSystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate EnvironmentFarm TypologyReferenceFarmsSchemesCases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social
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ELPENIf you are interested in using our services or the ELPEN system, please contact us:
Organisation Country Contact person Coordinates: Macaulay Institute Scotland Iain Wright Project Coordinator,
Reference Farm Collection
Alterra, Green World Research Netherlands Berien Elbersen Geographic Data,
Regional Indicators, Desaggregation Procedures
Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI) Netherlands Frans Godeschalk FADN data provision, preparation
of Eurostat data FSS and Regio
Danish Forest and Landscape Research Institute (FSL) Denmark Erling Andersen Elpen Farm Typology,
Environmental Indicators Federal Agricultural Research Centre (FAL) Germany Peter Hinrich Farm Cost Model, Economic Farm
Behaviour Model, Economic Indic. Agricultural University of Athens (AUA) Greece Leonidas Louloudis Socio-cultural indicators and
farmers' behaviour Object Vision Netherlands Maarten Hilferink DMS and Elpen system software