Introduction Underwriting 101 Underwriting 101 2004 Accident Review 2004 Accident Review Comparison...
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Transcript of Introduction Underwriting 101 Underwriting 101 2004 Accident Review 2004 Accident Review Comparison...
IntroductionIntroduction
Underwriting 101Underwriting 101 2004 Accident Review2004 Accident Review Comparison of Accident Rate to Comparison of Accident Rate to
Physical Damage RatePhysical Damage Rate Helicopter Accident Rate GoalHelicopter Accident Rate Goal Economic Impact of Achieving GoalEconomic Impact of Achieving Goal
Aviation UnderwritingAviation Underwriting::
Appling knowledge of the aviation Appling knowledge of the aviation industry in order to pre-qualify and industry in order to pre-qualify and evaluate risk using exposure and evaluate risk using exposure and operation analysis to develop pricing operation analysis to develop pricing models that consistently produce the models that consistently produce the expectation of underwriting expectation of underwriting profitability.profitability.
Keys to Effective Keys to Effective UnderwritingUnderwriting
Risk SelectionRisk Selection
MathematicsMathematics
Understanding costUnderstanding cost
Rate adequacyRate adequacy
BenchmarkingBenchmarking
Exposure RatingExposure Rating Probabilistic modelProbabilistic model Deterministic modelDeterministic model Catastrophic exposureCatastrophic exposure
Experience RatingExperience Rating Accident historyAccident history Trend analysisTrend analysis Burning costBurning cost
3%
2%
3%1%
75%
10%
4%
2%
Piston Fixed Wing: 161,087 Turbo Prop: 6,841Turbo J et: 8,355 Piston Rotor Wing: 4,435Turbine Rotor Wing: 7,081 Gliders: 1,951LTA (L ighter than air): 4,426 Experimental: 21,936
2004 U.S. General Aviation Active Fleet2004 U.S. General Aviation Active FleetBy Aircraft TypeBy Aircraft Type
(216,112 Total Units)(216,112 Total Units)
2004 U.S. General Aviation Accident 2004 U.S. General Aviation Accident StatisticsStatistics
25,900,000 Flight Hours25,900,000 Flight Hours
AccidentsAccidents 1614 1614
Fatal AccidentsFatal Accidents 312 312
FatalitiesFatalities 556 556
Accident RateAccident Rate 6.226.22
Fatal Accident RateFatal Accident Rate 1.201.20
Fatalities RateFatalities Rate 2.152.15
Rate = per 100,000 hoursRate = per 100,000 hours
2004 U.S. Civil Helicopter Accident 2004 U.S. Civil Helicopter Accident StatisticsStatistics
2,225,000 Flight Hours2,225,000 Flight Hours
AccidentsAccidents 180 180
Fatal AccidentsFatal Accidents 33 33
FatalitiesFatalities 68 68
Accident RateAccident Rate 8.09 8.09
Fatal Accident RateFatal Accident Rate 1.48 1.48
Fatalities RateFatalities Rate 3.06 3.06
Rate = per 100,000 hoursRate = per 100,000 hours
2004 U.S. Civil Turbine Helicopter 2004 U.S. Civil Turbine Helicopter Accident StatisticsAccident Statistics1,740,000 Flight Hours1,740,000 Flight Hours
AccidentsAccidents 89 89
Fatal AccidentsFatal Accidents 21 21
FatalitiesFatalities 51 51
Accident RateAccident Rate 5.11 5.11
Fatal Accident RateFatal Accident Rate 1.21 1.21
Fatalities RateFatalities Rate 2.93 2.93
Rate = per 100,000 hoursRate = per 100,000 hours
2004 U.S. On Demand Air Taxi Accident 2004 U.S. On Demand Air Taxi Accident StatisticsStatistics
3,070,000 Flight Hours3,070,000 Flight Hours
AccidentsAccidents 68 68
Fatal AccidentsFatal Accidents 24 24
FatalitiesFatalities 65 65
Accident RateAccident Rate 2.21 2.21
Fatal Accident RateFatal Accident Rate 0.78 0.78
Fatalities RateFatalities Rate 2.12 2.12
Rate = per 100,000 hoursRate = per 100,000 hours
2004 U.S. Corporate/Executive Accident 2004 U.S. Corporate/Executive Accident StatisticsStatistics
7,560,000 Flight Hours7,560,000 Flight Hours
AccidentsAccidents 7 7
Fatal AccidentsFatal Accidents 1 1
FatalitiesFatalities 10 10
Accident RateAccident Rate .093 .093
Fatal Accident RateFatal Accident Rate .013 .013
Fatalities RateFatalities Rate .132 .132
Rate = per 100,000 hoursRate = per 100,000 hours
2004 U.S. Air Carrier (CFR-121) Accident 2004 U.S. Air Carrier (CFR-121) Accident StatisticsStatistics
17,575,000 Flight Hours17,575,000 Flight Hours
AccidentsAccidents 28 28
Fatal AccidentsFatal Accidents 2 2
FatalitiesFatalities 14 14
Accident RateAccident Rate 0.1590.159
Fatal Accident RateFatal Accident Rate 0.0110.011
Fatalities RateFatalities Rate 0.0800.080
Rate = per 100,000 hoursRate = per 100,000 hours
ComparisonComparison2004 U.S. General Aviation to Civil 2004 U.S. General Aviation to Civil
Helicopter Accident StatisticsHelicopter Accident Statistics
G.A.G.A. HelicopterHelicopter
AccidentsAccidents 1,614 180 11.15%1,614 180 11.15%
Fatal AccidentsFatal Accidents 312 33 10.57% 312 33 10.57%
FatalitiesFatalities 556 68 12.23% 556 68 12.23%
Accident RateAccident Rate 6.22 8.09 +30 6.22 8.09 +30
Fatal Accident RateFatal Accident Rate 1.20 1.48 +23 1.20 1.48 +23
Fatalities RateFatalities Rate 2.15 3.06 +42 2.15 3.06 +42
Rate = per 100,000 hoursRate = per 100,000 hours
ComparisonComparison2004 U.S. General Aviation to Civil 2004 U.S. General Aviation to Civil
Helicopter Accident StatisticsHelicopter Accident Statistics(Excluding Piston Helicopters)(Excluding Piston Helicopters)
G.A.G.A. HelicopterHelicopter
AccidentsAccidents 1,523 89 5.8%1,523 89 5.8%
Fatal AccidentsFatal Accidents 300 21 7.0% 300 21 7.0%
FatalitiesFatalities 539 51 9.5% 539 51 9.5%
Accident RateAccident Rate 6.00 5.11 -15 6.00 5.11 -15
Fatal Accident RateFatal Accident Rate 1.18 1.21 +2.5 1.18 1.21 +2.5
Fatalities RateFatalities Rate 2.12 2.93 +38 2.12 2.93 +38
Rate = per 100,000 hoursRate = per 100,000 hours
ComparisonComparison2004 Accident Rate vs. Physical 2004 Accident Rate vs. Physical
Damage RateDamage Rate
Accident Rate = per 100,000 hoursPhysical Damage Rate = per $100 of Insured Value
5.11
3.00
2.21
0.75
On Demand Air Taxi U.S. Air Carrier Corporate/ExecutiveTurbine Helicopter
.159.15 .093
.27
Accident Rate
Physical Damage Rate
2015 U.S. Civil Turbine Helicopter 2015 U.S. Civil Turbine Helicopter Accident Rate GoalAccident Rate Goal
AccidentsAccidents 18 18
Fatal AccidentsFatal Accidents 4 4
FatalitiesFatalities 10 10
Accident RateAccident Rate 1.02 1.02
Fatal Accident RateFatal Accident Rate .242 .242
Fatalities RateFatalities Rate .586 .586
Rate = per 100,000 hoursRate = per 100,000 hours
Economic Impact Economic Impact
DirectDirect Increase in CapacityIncrease in Capacity Lower Insurance RatesLower Insurance Rates Coverage ExpansionsCoverage Expansions
IndirectIndirect Deductibles/BettermentDeductibles/Betterment ProductivityProductivity Public PerceptionPublic Perception