Voter Turnout Accounting for Voter Turnout Demographic Socioeconomic Psychological.
Introduction to voter contact
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Transcript of Introduction to voter contact
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INTRODUCTION TO VOTER CONTACT
Joy CushmanNew Organizing Institute
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INTRODUCTIONS
NOI On Demand
You
Norms
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FOLLOWING THE LAWELECTIONS.NEWORGANIZING.COM
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FOLLOWING THE LAWWWW.AFJ.ORG
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JOY CUSHMAN, NOI
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AGENDAWhat is voter contact?Why do we do it?Creating a Voter Contact Plan
-Goals-Universes-Timeline-Structure-Program
Next Steps, Q&A
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WHAT IS VOTER CONTACT?
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DIRECT VS. INDIRECTEMAIL
VOLUNTEER PHONE CALLS
PAID PHONE CALLS
DOOR TO DOOR CANVASSING
TV ADS
ROBO CALLSDIRECT MAIL
BILLBOARDS
LIVE EVENTS
LAWN SIGNS
RADIOTEXT MESSAGES
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DIRECT2-WAY
VOLUNTEER PHONE CALLS
PAID PHONE CALLS
DOOR TO DOOR CANVASSING
TV ADS
ROBO CALLS
DIRECT MAIL
BILLBOARDS
LIVE EVENTS LAWN SIGNS
RADIO
TEXT MESSAGES
DIRECT1-WAY
INDIRECT
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WHY DIRECT VOTER CONTACT?
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WHY DIRECT VOTER CONTACT?
Editorial
Advertising
Word-of-mouth
40%
50%
92%
What are the best sources of ideas and information?
SOURCE: ROPER REPORTS, GfK NOP‐
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WHY DIRECT VOTER CONTACT?
45%
55%
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WHY DIRECT VOTER CONTACT?The biggest list of supporters wins elections
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WHY DIRECT VOTER CONTACT?
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CREATING YOUR VOTER CONTACT PLAN
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GoalsUniversesProgramTimelineStructure
YOUR VOTER CONTACT PLAN
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GoalsUniversesProgramTimelineStructure
YOUR VOTER CONTACT PLAN
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Watch tomorrow’s webinar!1pm EST
VOTE GOAL & SUPPORTER GOAL
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GoalsUniversesProgramTimelineStructure
YOUR VOTER CONTACT PLAN
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WHAT’S A UNIVERSE?A GROUP OF PEOPLE
WHO SHARE COMMON CHARACTERISTICS:
GeographyGender
AgeRace/EthnicityVoting History
Consumer DataParty Affiliation
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WHOM DO WE CONTACT?SUPPORT
AGAINST UNKNOWN SUPPORTER
VOTE HISTORY
FREQUENT Low support High turnout
Unknown supportHigh turnout
High supportHigh turnout
SPORADIC Low supportMedium Turnout
Unknown supportMedium turnout
High supportMedium turnout
NEVER Low supportNever turnout
Unknown supportNever turnout
High supportNever turnout
NEW Low supportNew voters
Unknown supportNew voters
High supportNew voters
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WHOM DO WE CONTACT?SUPPORT
AGAINST UNKNOWN SUPPORTER
VOTE HISTORY
FREQUENT Low support High turnout
Unknown supportHigh turnout
High supportHigh turnout
SPORADIC Low supportMedium Turnout
Unknown supportMedium turnout
High supportMedium turnout
NEVER Low supportNever turnout
Unknown supportNever turnout
High supportNever turnout
NEW Low supportNew voters
Unknown supportNew voters
High supportNew voters
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WHOM DO WE CONTACT?SUPPORT
AGAINST UNKNOWN SUPPORTER
VOTE HISTORY
FREQUENT X PERS VOLSPORADIC X PERS GOTVNEVER X X XNEW X PERS VR & GOTV
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• Volunteer• Voter Registration• GOTV• Persuasion
OUR UNIVERSES
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GoalsUniversesProgramTimelineStructure
YOUR VOTER CONTACT PLAN
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Step 1: Vote GoalStep 2: Supporter ID GoalStep 3: Contact GoalStep 4: Attempts GoalStep 5: Shift GoalShift 6: Recruitment Goal
PROGRAM MATH
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SUPPORTER ID GOAL
STEP 3: CONTACT GOAL
EXPECTED SUPPORT
CONTACT GOAL
10,000
.60
50,0003
PASSES
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CONTACTS GOAL
STEP 4: ATTEMPTS GOAL
CONTACT RATE
ATTEMPTS GOAL
50,000 .25 200,000
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ATTEMPTS GOAL
STEP 5: SHIFT GOAL
ATTEMPTS PER SHIFT
SHIFT GOAL
200,000 100 2,000
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SHIFT GOAL
STEP 6: VOLUNTEER RECRUITMENT GOAL
FLAKE RATE
RECRUITMENT GOAL
2,000 .50 4,000
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GoalsUniversesProgramTimelineStructure
YOUR VOTER CONTACT PLAN
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CREATING YOUR VOTER CONTACT PLAN: TIMELINE
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CREATING YOUR VOTER CONTACT PLAN: TIMELINE
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CREATING YOUR VOTER CONTACT PLAN: TIMELINE
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CREATING YOUR VOTER CONTACT PLAN: TIMELINE
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CREATING YOUR VOTER CONTACT PLAN: TIMELINE
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GoalsUniversesProgramTimelineStructure
YOUR VOTER CONTACT PLAN
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ENGAGEMENT CAMPAIGN STRUCTURE
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VOLUNTEER STRUCTUREPRECINCT CAPTAINS NEIGHBORHOOD TEAMS
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STRUCTURE SMALL CAMPAIGN
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STRUCTURE MEDIUM CAMPAIGN
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STRUCTURE LARGE CAMPAIGN
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STRUCTURE: TURF
Region Organizer SC Obama TeamTotal
Supporters% to Goal
Overall ID Goal
Greenwood-Aiken Kwesi Chappin Abbeville City 549 73% 756Greenwood-Aiken Kwesi Chappin Calhoun Falls 267 61% 436Greenwood-Aiken Kwesi Chappin Team McCormick 386 76% 509Greenwood-Aiken Kwesi Chappin Due West 150 42% 358Greenwood-Aiken Shannon Talbert Team Greenwood 1,434 72% 1,998Greenwood-Aiken Shannon Talbert Newberry 1 105 36% 294Greenwood-Aiken Shannon Talbert Clinton Team 430 44% 974Greenwood-Aiken Shannon Talbert Newberry 3 172 47% 367Greenwood-Aiken Shannon Talbert Newberry 2 174 40% 433Greenwood-Aiken Shannon Talbert Laurens Team 277 31% 884Greenwood-Aiken Travis Johnson Team Saluda 386 47% 818Greenwood-Aiken Travis Johnson Northside Aiken 590 59% 992Greenwood-Aiken Travis Johnson Southside Aiken 382 58% 661Greenwood-Aiken Travis Johnson North Augusta 520 55% 942Greenwood-Aiken Travis Johnson New Ellenton 528 62% 857Greenwood-Aiken Travis Johnson Team Edgefield 557 48% 1,161
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REVIEWWhat is voter contact?Why do we do it?Creating a Voter Contact Plan
-Goals-Universes-Timeline-Structure-Program
Next Steps, Q&A
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QUESTIONS?
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Evaluation
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Vote Goals and Targeting - Tue, Aug 21, 2012 at 1:00 PM EDT We'll discuss how to use historical data to set vote or program goals, and cover the basics of voter targeting for persuasion or GOTV.
Phone banking and Canvassing - Wed, Aug 22, 2012 at 1:00 PM EDT We'll do a deeper dive into the specifics of running a phone bank or canvassing program.
Online to Offline - Thu, Aug 23, 2012 at 1:00 PM EDT -Review strategies for integrating your online program with your field program. Online Ads - Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 1:00 PM EDT - Discuss how to strategically use Facebook and Google ads effectively and inexpensively for your campaign.
WHAT’S NEXT?: THIS WEEK
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Interdependent Leadership(aka the Snowflake Model)
https://act.neworganizing.com/donate/NOD_Donate_08-2012/
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