Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane...

42
Introduction to Storm Surge

Transcript of Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane...

Page 1: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Introduction to Storm Surge

Page 2: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction
Page 3: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas

20 deaths, $29.5 billion

Page 4: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

• Introduction to Storm Surge

• Who is vulnerable?

• What is Storm Surge?

• Factors affecting Storm Surge

• Measuring Storm Surge

• Data and associated limitations

Unit Outline

Page 5: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Myth or Fact?

I live miles from the beach, so

storm surge is not my problem.

Myth

Page 6: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

New Bern, NC – Hurricane Florence

Page 7: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

New Bern, NC – Hurricane Florence

Page 8: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

New Bern, NC – Hurricane Florence

Page 9: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Ike’s track

Page 10: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction
Page 11: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

House of David and Kimberly King Waveland, Mississippi

Page 12: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Question

Are some areas more vulnerable to storm surge than others?

Page 13: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction
Page 14: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Myth or Fact?

Storm surge does not affect

urban areas.

Myth

Page 15: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Storm Surge from Hurricane Sandy Alphabet City (East Village), Manhattan, NY

8th St./Ave. C, Manhattan, NY

(YouTube/Kevin Barnett)

Page 16: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Storm Surge from Hurricane Irma Downtown Miami

Page 17: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Hurricane Irma Tampa Bay, FL

Page 18: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

What exactly is storm surge

and how does it work?

Page 19: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Total Water

Total water level = Storm surge + Tides + Wave setup + Freshwater

Page 20: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

What are Storm Surge and Storm Tide?

STORM SURGE is an abnormal rise of water generated by a storm, over and above the predicted astronomical tide.

STORM TIDE is the water level rise during a storm due to

the combination of storm surge and the astronomical tide

Page 21: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

• Breaking waves also contribute to the total water level through wave runup/setup

• WAVE RUNUP is the time-varying fluctuation of water-level elevation at the shoreline due to wave breaking

• WAVE SETUP is the time-averaged water level rise due to wave breaking

• The magnitude of both runup and setup are related to offshore wave period, wave height, and shelf slope

What about Waves?

Page 22: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Wave Runup

Page 23: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Wave Runup and Setup

Wave Runup

Wave Setup

Page 24: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Freshwater Input

• River input, esp. into bays and sounds • Mississippi River discharges 200,000 – 700,000 cubic feet per second

• Rainfall

Page 25: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Myth or Fact?

Water levels can increase long before

the wind and rain hazards begin.

Fact

Page 26: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Galveston Day before Ike arrived

Page 27: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Myth or Fact?

Category 4 hurricanes always produce

more storm surge than Category 1

hurricanes.

Myth

Page 28: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

No More Surge in the Saffir-Simpson Scale!

(it fits like a square peg in a round hole)

IKE (2)

KATRINA (3)

CHARLEY (4)

SANDY (1) ISAAC (1)

Page 29: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

No Such Thing as “Just a Tropical Storm”

Louisiana State Rd. 23 near Myrtle Grove Tropical Storm Lee (2011)

Page 30: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

b. Side view of Cross Section “ABC” a. Top view of Sea Surface

0’

5O’

100’

150’

200’

Wind

Current

A B C MSL

A B

Eye

C

Wind

Deep Water

Page 31: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

From Deep Water to Shallow Water

Page 32: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Understanding Surge

Page 33: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Question

What are the factors that affect storm surge?

Page 34: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

• Central Pressure

• Intensity (wind speed)

• Forward Speed

• Size – Radius of Maximum Winds (RMW)

• Angle of Approach

• Width and Slope of Shelf

• Local features – concavity of coastlines, bays, rivers, headlands, or islands

Factors Affecting Storm Surge

Page 35: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Effects of Low Pressure

Page 36: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

15 mph stronger

Intensity (Wind Speed)

Page 37: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Forward Speed

Slow Speed (5 mph)

• More inland

penetration

Fast Speed (25 mph)

• Higher

maximum

Rego, J. L., and C. Li (2009). Forward speed of a hurricane. Geophysical Research Letters, 36.

Page 38: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Size (Radius of Max Winds)

Page 39: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Size (Radius of Max Winds)

Page 40: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

NNW Motion NW Motion

Angle of Approach

Page 41: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Wide shelf/

gentle slope

Narrow

shelf/ sharp

slope

Width and Slope of Shelf

Page 42: Introduction to Storm Surge - severeweather.wmo.int€¦ · Introduction to Storm Surge. Hurricane Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, Texas 20 deaths, $29.5 billion • Introduction

Barrier Island

Rivers

Concave coast

Sounds / Bays

Local Features