Introduction to Commodities - Morgan Stanley · Introduction to Commodities. This slide is part of...
Transcript of Introduction to Commodities - Morgan Stanley · Introduction to Commodities. This slide is part of...
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Introduction to Commodities
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Introduction to Commodities
The information provided herein may include certain non-GAAP financial measures. The reconciliation of such measures to the comparable GAAP figures are included in the Company’s Annual Reports on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and Current Reports on 8-K, including any amendments thereto, which are available at www.morganstanley.com.
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made, which reflect management’s current estimates, projections, expectations or beliefs and which are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially. For a discussion of risks and uncertainties that may affect the future results of the Company, please see “Forward-Looking Statements” immediately preceding Part I, Item 1, “Competition” and “Regulation” in Part I, Item 1, “Risk Factors” in Part I, Item 1A and “Certain Factors Affecting Results of Operations” in Part II, Item 7 of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended November 30, 2005, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in the Company’s Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarterly periods ended February 28, 2006 and May 31, 2006 and other items throughout the Form 10-K, Form 10-Qs and the Company’s 2006 Current Reports on Form 8-K.
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Table of ContentsIntroduction to Commodities
Section 1 Commodities Overview
Section 2 Proprietary Trading
Section 3 Client-Driven Flow
Section 4 Structured Transactions
Section 5 Private Equity
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Introduction to Commodities
Section 1
Commodities Overview
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Commodities Overview
Markets Introduction to Commodities
1
Oil Liquids
• Crude Oil• Refined Products• NGLs• Tanker Freight• Index Trading
Natural Gas/ Power
• Natural Gas• Electricity• Coal• Emissions• Dry Freight
Base Metals
• Copper• Aluminium• Nickel• Zinc• Lead
Precious Metals
• Gold• Silver• Platinum• Palladium• Rhodium
Energy Metals
Our Markets
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Commodities Overview
Geographical CoverageIntroduction to Commodities
2
London
Tokyo
Singapore
Westchester (NY) Atlanta
Calgary
Shanghai
• Westchester (NY)
o North America
o South America
• London
o Europe
o Africa
o Middle East
• Singapore
o Non-Japan Asia
o India
o South Pacific
• Satellite Offices
o Tokyo
o Calgary
o Atlanta
o Shanghai
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Commodities Overview
Job FunctionsIntroduction to Commodities
3
• Client Coverage
• Trading
• Structuring
• Research/Analysis
• Traffic/Scheduling
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Commodities Overview
Business MixIntroduction to Commodities
4
Client-Driven Flow
Structured Transactions
Proprietary Trading
Physical Supply & Distribution
Private Equity
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Introduction to Commodities
Section 2
Proprietary Trading
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Proprietary Trading
Proprietary TradingIntroduction to Commodities
5
• Outright vs. Relative Value
• Trading Matrix
• Quality – WTI, Brent, Dubai, Gasoline and Jet Fuel
• Location – US Gulf, NY Harbor, Med, Singapore
• Time – September, December, 2007, 2010
• Volatility – ATM, Out-of-the Money, December, 2010
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Proprietary Trading
US Heating Oil – Gulf Coast and NYMEXIntroduction to Commodities
6
Pasadena, TXGulf Coast Heating Oil
New York HarborHeating Oil
Colonial Pipeline
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Proprietary Trading
US Heating Oil – Gulf Coast and NYMEXIntroduction to Commodities
7
US Heating Oil – US Gulf Coast and NYMEX Prompt Month - 01/01/1997 to 12/31/2000c/gal
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Jan-97 May-97 Sep-97 Jan-98 May-98 Sep-98 Jan-99 May-99 Sep-99 Jan-00 May-00 Sep-00
US Gulf Coast NYMEX
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Proprietary Trading
US Heating Oil – Gulf Coast and NYMEXIntroduction to Commodities
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Heating Oil Differential: NYMEX – US Gulf Coast: 01/01/1997 to 12/31/1999c/gal
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Jan-97 May-97 Sep-97 Jan-98 May-98 Sep-98 Jan-99 May-99 Sep-99
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Proprietary Trading
US Heating Oil – Gulf Coast and NYMEXIntroduction to Commodities
9
Heating Oil Differential: NYMEX – US Gulf Coast: 01/01/1997 to 12/31/2000c/gal
(2)
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Jan-97 May-97 Sep-97 Jan-98 May-98 Sep-98 Jan-99 May-99 Sep-99 Jan-00 May-00 Sep-00
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Proprietary Trading
US Heating Oil – Gulf Coast and NYMEXIntroduction to Commodities
10
Heating Oil Differential: NYMEX – US Gulf Coast: 01/01/1997 to 06/06/06c/gal
(30)
(25)
(20)
(15)
(10)
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-00
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May
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Jan-
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May
-04
Jan-
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Sep-
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-06
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Proprietary Trading
Differentials: NYMEX Gasoline less Heating OilAugust Contracts
Introduction to Commodities
11
Differentials: NYMEX Unleaded – Heating Oil (August Contracts)c/gal
(15)
(10)
(5)
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5
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01/03 01/24 02/14 03/07 03/28 04/18 05/09 05/30 06/20 07/11
2003 2004 2005
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Proprietary Trading
Differentials: NYMEX Gasoline less Heating OilAugust Contracts
Introduction to Commodities
12
Differentials: NYMEX Unleaded – Heating Oil (August Contracts)c/gal
(15)
(10)
(5)
-
5
10
15
20
25
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01/03 01/24 02/14 03/07 03/28 04/18 05/09 05/30 06/20 07/11
2003 2004 2005 2006
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Proprietary Trading
Commodities are VolatileUS Markets: 1 Year Historical Price Volatility (As of 05/26/2006)
Introduction to Commodities
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Market Instrument Historical Volatility
Natural Gas NYMEX Crude 1st Month 56.78%
Gasoline NYMEX RFG 1st Month 52.31%
Oil NYMEX Natural Gas 1st Month 31.24%
Bonds 10 Yr Treasury 16.07%
Equities S&P 500 9.69%
FX USD/EUR 9.15%
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Introduction to Commodities
Section 3
Client-Driven Flow
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Client-Driven Flow
Clients and ProductsIntroduction to Commodities
14
• Oil/Gas Producers• Refiners• Airlines• Petrochemicals• Railroads• Utilities
Corporates Government Entities Institutional Investors
• National Oil Companies• Municipalities• Tax Authorities
• Hedge Funds/CTAs• Passive Commodity Index
Trading by: • Endowments• Insurance Cos.• Pension Funds
Clients
Products
• Swaps• Options• Indexes• Physical Supply/Offtake
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Introduction to Commodities
Section 4
Structured Transactions
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Structured Transactions
MotivationsIntroduction to Commodities
15
Capital Driven
Optimization Outsourcing
Credit Driven
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Structured Transactions
Representative Structured TransactionsIntroduction to Commodities
16
Transaction Client
Monetizing Reserves
Monetizing Receivables
Monetizing In-the-Money Contracts
Contract Restructuring
Monetizing Working Capital
Supply Outsourcing
Credit Syndication
Structured Financing
One-Stop-Shopping La Paloma
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Introduction to Commodities
Section 5
Private Equity
This slide is part of a presentation by Morgan Stanley and is intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. The presentation is based on information generally available to the public and does not contain any material, non-public information. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. The presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes, is neither an offer to sell nor the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or instrument and has not been updated since it was originally presented.
Private Equity
Private EquityIntroduction to Commodities
17
Production• Helios Fund – Operated Producing Properties• Gold Royalty Trust – Australian gold reserves• Exploration & Production – Non-operated undeveloped propertiesConversion• Oil Refineries • Gas Processing – gas liquids plants• Generation – 3 U.S. power plants, 1 European power plantInfrastructure• Transmontaigne – Terminaling and Distribution• Heidmar Shipping – Tanker pool, trans-shipment• Gas gathering and pipelineE-Commerce• Electronic Trading - ICE