Introduction to Climate Introduction to Climate Change Study CellChange Study Cell

Introduction to Climate Introduction to Climate Change Study CellChange Study Cell

Dr. A.K.M. Saiful IslamDr. A.K.M. Saiful IslamCoordinator, Climate Change Study Cell

Bangladesh University of Engineer and Technology (BUET)

Launching Ceremony of climate change study cell, BUET on March 08, 2009

Presentation OutlinePresentation Outline

Climate Change & global warming.Climate Change & global warming.

Climatic Conditions of Bangladesh & impact.Climatic Conditions of Bangladesh & impact.

Introduction of Climate Change Study Cell at Introduction of Climate Change Study Cell at BUETBUET– BackgroundBackground– Mission, Vision, ScopeMission, Vision, Scope– Institutional FrameworkInstitutional Framework– Activities in the pastActivities in the past– Future RoadmapFuture Roadmap

Global WarmingGlobal Warming

Temperature rises of Temperature rises of 0.74 0.74 00CC per per centurycentury

Ice melting Ice melting Images gathered from the Defense Images gathered from the Defense

Meteorological Satellite Program of Meteorological Satellite Program of NASA show the minimum Arctic sea NASA show the minimum Arctic sea ice concentration 1979 (left) and ice concentration 1979 (left) and 2003 (right). 2003 (right).

1979 2003

Cracks in Ice barsCracks in Ice bars

Sea Level Rise (1980-2000)Sea Level Rise (1980-2000)

20 cm20 cm rise of Global Sea Level in last rise of Global Sea Level in last century.century.

Prediction of another Prediction of another 80 cm80 cm rise by rise by 2100.2100.

Green house effectGreen house effect

Increase of Green house Increase of Green house gasesgases

Green house gases – CoGreen house gases – Co22, CH, CH44, NO, NO

Emission of Green house Emission of Green house gasesgases

Emission of CoEmission of Co22 Bangladesh < 0.2 Bangladesh < 0.2 ton/yrton/yr

Climatic Condition of Climatic Condition of Bangladesh Bangladesh

Mean daily temperature of Bangladesh Mean daily temperature of Bangladesh has increased with a rate of has increased with a rate of 1.03 1.03 00C per C per

100 years100 years

y = 0.0103x + 25.428

R2 = 0.2996

23

24

25

26

27

1948

1953

1958

1963

1968

1973

1978

1983

1988

1993

1998

2003

2008

(c)

Change of mean temperature Change of mean temperature ((00C/year)C/year)

Impacts of climate change on Impacts of climate change on BangladeshBangladesh

Human Health impactsHuman Health impacts– Increase of vector born diseasesIncrease of vector born diseases

Ecosystem ImpactsEcosystem Impacts– Coastal wetland loss from sea level riseCoastal wetland loss from sea level rise– Increase of salinity Increase of salinity

Agriculture ImpactsAgriculture Impacts– Adverse effect on wheat, potato, Boro yield Adverse effect on wheat, potato, Boro yield – Loss of agricultural landsLoss of agricultural lands

Water Resources ImpactsWater Resources Impacts– Increase of drought, intensity of flood and cyclone Increase of drought, intensity of flood and cyclone

Market ImpactsMarket Impacts– Increase energy demand in winter for heasting Increase energy demand in winter for heasting

and summer for coolingand summer for cooling

Impact on AgricultureImpact on Agriculture Wheat and Boro coverage area of Wheat and Boro coverage area of

BangladeshBangladesh

BackgroundBackground

September 2007: September 2007:

– Climate Change Cell of Department of Climate Change Cell of Department of Environment requested Director, Institute of Environment requested Director, Institute of Water and Flood Management (IWFM) to Water and Flood Management (IWFM) to coordinate climate change related activities.coordinate climate change related activities.

– A meeting was held in the Vice Chancellor’s A meeting was held in the Vice Chancellor’s office with representative of IWFM, Climate office with representative of IWFM, Climate Change Cell of DOE, DFID. Change Cell of DOE, DFID.

– Vice Chancellor of BUET request director IWFM Vice Chancellor of BUET request director IWFM to establish a climate change study cell. to establish a climate change study cell.

Background..Background.. February 2008:February 2008:

– The cell was formally approved by the meeting The cell was formally approved by the meeting (No.62) of the (No.62) of the Board of GovernessBoard of Governess of IWFM held of IWFM held on February 24, 2008.on February 24, 2008.

September 2008:September 2008:

– Advisory CommitteeAdvisory Committee of the CCSC has been of the CCSC has been formed by the meeting (No.63) of the formed by the meeting (No.63) of the Board of Board of GovernorsGovernors of IWFM . of IWFM .

– Cell is approved by the Cell is approved by the SyndicateSyndicate (No. 426) on (No. 426) on September 24, 2008. September 24, 2008.

VisionVision

The vision of the Climate Change The vision of the Climate Change Study Cell is to establish itself as the Study Cell is to establish itself as the premier knowledge center on climate premier knowledge center on climate change risk and adaptation for change risk and adaptation for Bangladesh.Bangladesh.

MissionMission

To improve knowledge about climate To improve knowledge about climate change and associated risk to Bangladesh;change and associated risk to Bangladesh;

To increase awareness of the planners, To increase awareness of the planners, policy makers about the effects of climate policy makers about the effects of climate change;change;

To become institutional home for climate To become institutional home for climate modeling and predicting future scenarios;modeling and predicting future scenarios;

To strengthen capacity of professionals in To strengthen capacity of professionals in climate change modeling; and climate change modeling; and

To share knowledge and expertise with To share knowledge and expertise with other organizations.other organizations.

ScopeScope

Research Research Short coursesShort courses WorkshopWorkshop SeminarSeminar Advisory ServicesAdvisory Services ConferenceConference Journal publications Journal publications Climate change Database Climate change Database Digital and web based Digital and web based

dissemination of information dissemination of information

Institution FrameworksInstitution Frameworks

Syndicate

BOG

Director

Coordinator

Advisory committee

Liaison Committee

Research Teams

IWFM CCSC

Advisory CommitteeAdvisory Committee ChairmanChairmanDr. A.M.M. Safiullah, Vice-Chancellor, BUETDr. A.M.M. Safiullah, Vice-Chancellor, BUET

Members from BUETMembers from BUET Prof. Jahir Uddin Chowdhury Prof. Jahir Uddin Chowdhury Prof. M. MirjahanProf. M. Mirjahan Prof. Md. Hossin AliProf. Md. Hossin Ali Prof. Md. Mujibur RahmanProf. Md. Mujibur Rahman Prof. Ijaz HossainProf. Ijaz Hossain Dr. Md. Nazrul IslamDr. Md. Nazrul Islam

Member-SecretaryMember-SecretaryDirector, IWFM, BUETDirector, IWFM, BUET

External MembersExternal Members Prof. Ainun Nishat, IUCNProf. Ainun Nishat, IUCN Dr. Atiq Rahman, BCASDr. Atiq Rahman, BCAS Dr. Asaduzzaman, BIDSDr. Asaduzzaman, BIDS Director General, BWDBDirector General, BWDB Director General, Director General,

WARPOWARPO Director General, DOEDirector General, DOE Chairman, SPARRSOChairman, SPARRSO Director, BMDDirector, BMD

Multidisciplinary Liaison Multidisciplinary Liaison CommitteeCommittee

Chairman: Chairman: Director, IWFM, BUETDirector, IWFM, BUET

Member-Secretary: Member-Secretary: Coordinator, CCSCCoordinator, CCSC

Members from 10 departments of BUETMembers from 10 departments of BUET– Prof. Md. Monowar Hossain, Prof. Md. Monowar Hossain, WaterWater ResourcesResources– Prof. Md. Elias, Prof. Md. Elias, Mathematics Mathematics – Prof. Khandaker Shabbir Ahmed, Prof. Khandaker Shabbir Ahmed, ArchitectureArchitecture– Mrs. Fahima Khanam, Mrs. Fahima Khanam, PhysicsPhysics– Dr. G.M. Tarekul Islam, Dr. G.M. Tarekul Islam, IWFMIWFM– Dr. Syeda Sultana Razia, Dr. Syeda Sultana Razia, Chemical EngineeringChemical Engineering– Dr. Ishrat Islam, Dr. Ishrat Islam, Urban and Regional PlanningUrban and Regional Planning– Dr. Md. Nazrul Islam, Dr. Md. Nazrul Islam, ChemistryChemistry– Dr. Zia Wadud, Dr. Zia Wadud, Civil EngineeringCivil Engineering– Mr. Md. Mr. Md. Rafiuz Zaman, Rafiuz Zaman, HumanitiesHumanities

Working TeamsWorking Teams

Three working teams are formed to Three working teams are formed to address various issues related to address various issues related to climate change.climate change.

Modeling and Scenario Development Modeling and Scenario Development TeamTeam

Data Acquisition TeamData Acquisition Team

Adaptation, Impact Assessment and Adaptation, Impact Assessment and

Mitigation TeamMitigation Team

Activities in 2008Activities in 2008

Short coursesShort courses

Two short courses on Two short courses on "Climate Change "Climate Change Training for Water Professionals”,Training for Water Professionals”, were were held on 17-19 November and 18-20 held on 17-19 November and 18-20 October of 2008 at DCE, BUET.October of 2008 at DCE, BUET.

Short Course on Short Course on "Climate Change Risks "Climate Change Risks and Adaptation in Water Sector"and Adaptation in Water Sector" held held on 10-11 February, 2008 at DCE, BUET.on 10-11 February, 2008 at DCE, BUET.

Activities in 2008Activities in 2008

Regional Climate Change Modeling

Various regional Various regional climate change climate change models such as models such as PRECIS, RegCM3, PRECIS, RegCM3, MM5MM5 etc. are now etc. are now running at this study running at this study cell to predict future cell to predict future scenarios of climate. scenarios of climate. PRECIS domain over Bangladesh

25 km x 25 km

Web based knowledge Web based knowledge disseminationdissemination

Sharing of data and model outputSharing of data and model output Publication of Research Report Publication of Research Report Information about short courses Information about short courses Useful links related to climate Useful links related to climate

change related activities in change related activities in BangladeshBangladesh

News of all the upcoming events News of all the upcoming events

RoadmapRoadmap

Start of Climate Change Study Cell.Start of Climate Change Study Cell.

Become a Center in BUET.Become a Center in BUET.

Become an Institute in BUET.Become an Institute in BUET.

Thank youThank you