IEEE 802.3 NEA Ad hoc, IEEE 802 Nov 2019 Plenary, Waikoloa Village, HI, USA

Introducing D1.0Ethernet BWA, Part II

John D’Ambrosia, Chair, IEEE 802.3 NEA Ad hoc

Futurewei, U.S. Subsidiary of Huawei

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IEEE 802 Nov 2019 PlenaryWaikoloa Village, HI, USA

Tom IssenhuthChief Editor, BWA, Part II

Issenhuth Consulting / Huawei

IEEE 802.3 NEA Ad hoc, IEEE 802 Nov 2019 Plenary, Waikoloa Village, HI, USA

Review of BWA, Part II Submitted Presentations• May 2018 – Mobile Network Traffic Forecasts• Sept 2018 - Introduction - Ethernet Bandwidth Assessment, Part II • Nov 2018 - Broadband Development Status and Trend in China • 02 April 2019 – Trends in Automotive Networks• 02 April 2019 - Future EPON Bandwidth Needs• 09 April 2019 - Traffic Growth in Telecom Networks and Mega Datacenters (LightCounting)• 11 June 2019 - Available Industry Data (Equinix / Akamai / Sandvine / Internet World Stats)• 24 June 2019 – Cisco VNI Forecast Update• 09 July 2019 – The European IXP Scene• 27 Aug 2019 – Review of Networks in PeeringDB• Email Summary of Published Reports on Broadband Findings• Sept 2019 - Next Generation Data Center Connections in China• 27 Sept 2019 - Switching, Routing, and Server 5-Year Forecast (Dell’Oro)

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IEEE 802.3 NEA Ad hoc, IEEE 802 Nov 2019 Plenary, Waikoloa Village, HI, USA

Approach to D1.0 Organization

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Increased # of users x

Increased access

methods and rates

x Increased services = Bandwidth

Explosion

IEEE 802.3 NEA Ad hoc, IEEE 802 Nov 2019 Plenary, Waikoloa Village, HI, USA

Table of Contents• Executive Summary• Abbreviations• Introduction• Key Findings

• Introduction• Users• Access Methods and Rates• Increased Services & Applications• Bandwidth Growth

• Assessment• References

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IEEE 802.3 NEA Ad hoc, IEEE 802 Nov 2019 Plenary, Waikoloa Village, HI, USA

Ethernet BWA (2012) Forecast Comparison

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For 2018 2012 Forecast (BWA 1) 2020 Data (BWA2)IP Traffic ≈200 Exabytes / month 156 Exabytes / monthPeering ≈37.5 Tb/s ≈32.5 Tb/s

Note – during preparation of this deck this # was reviewed and was found to be wrong. The correct # should be 50 * 3.75 Tb/s (peak) or 187.5 Tb/s. Comment will be submitted against D1.0 with proposed text update.

IEEE 802.3 NEA Ad hoc, IEEE 802 Nov 2019 Plenary, Waikoloa Village, HI, USA

Findings (2017 - 2022)

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IEEE 802.3 NEA Ad hoc, IEEE 802 Nov 2019 Plenary, Waikoloa Village, HI, USA

Findings + 2022 - 2025 Forecast

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IEEE 802.3 NEA Ad hoc, IEEE 802 Nov 2019 Plenary, Waikoloa Village, HI, USA

“Writing / Comment BWA” Timeline

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IEEE 802.3 Interim

IEEE 802 Plenary

IEEE 802.3 Interim

IEEE 802.3 Interim

IEEE 802 Plenary

D1.0 Review

D1.0 Review

D1.1 Review

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P R

P R

D1.0

D1.2

LastPres

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A

Proposed responses posted

Review comments

Approved (Target date March 19, 2020)