Intro to Ecological Economics-human dev

Growth Development

Growth=increase in throughput-quantitative

Development=qualitative improvement

Intro to Ecological Economics-population

Growth Development

Demographic transition Theory

Intro to Ecological Economics-population

Intro to Ecological Economics-forest succession

Growth Development

Reorganization Aggredation Transition Steady-state (mature)

We hear:“There is no conflict between economic

growth and environmental protection!”

World GDP and CO2

$1

$10

$100

$1,000

$10,000

$100,000

100010501100115012001250130013501400145015001550160016501700175018001850190019502000

World GDP Billions US$$

250

270

290

310

330

350

370

ATMOSPHERIC CO2

World GDPCO2 level

60 Million yrs of CO2

CLIMATE DAMAGE

CLIMATE DAMAGE

ESA Listings and GDP

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1973 1980 1990 2001

$10

$9

$8

$7

$6

$5

$4

$3

R2 = 98.4

Source: The Wildlife Society Technical Review 2003-1.

Endangerment CausesUrbanization

Agriculture

Water diversions (e.g., reservoirs)

Recreation, tourism development

Pollution

Domestic livestock, ranching

247

205

160

148

143

136

Czech et al. 2000. Bioscience 50(7):593-601.

Causes (cont.)Mineral, gas, oil extraction

Non-native species

Harvest

Modified fire regimes

Road construction/maintenance

Industrial development

134

115

101

83

83

81

Czech et al. 2000. Bioscience 50(7):593-601.

Time

GN

PK

Natural capital allocated to human economy

Natural capital allocated to wildlife

Czech, B. 2000. Economic growth as the limiting factor for wildlife conservation. Wildlife Society Bulletin 28(1):4-14.

Natural Capital

“We treat the earth like a business in liquidation.”

Herman Daly

Opportunity cost. Loss is not counted.

K

Economic Carrying Capacity(“Plimsoll line”)

GNP

Time

r-selection

K-selection

(OVERSHOOT)

K and r-selected Economies

SCALE-Full World or Empty World?

Source:

Ecological Economics Principles & Applications,

Farley and Daly

GG

P

K

Human economy

Economy of nature

We Might Ask

KTGNP

Natural capital allocated to human economy

Natural capital allocated to non-human economy

X natural capital allocable

Time

KU

Natural Capital Allocation Revisited

Intro to Ecological Economics

Entropy=disorder, randomness2nd Law: entropy always increases

ECONOMY

(waste)

LOW ENTROPY HIGH ENTROPY

(dissipated)

Intro to Ecological Economics

WHAT IS ANTI-ENTROPIC?

ECONOMY

(waste)

LOW ENTROPY HIGH ENTROPY

Distribution-Grow out of poverty?Poverty rate vs. GDP per Capita (1996$)

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

1959 19611963 19651967 19691971 19731975 19771979 19811983 19851987 19891991 19931995 19971999 2001

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

per capita GDP (1996$) poverty rate

ALLOCATION

Adam Smith