Intevac Investor Presentation 2016 Northland Growth Conference · March 2016 Investor Presentation_...
Transcript of Intevac Investor Presentation 2016 Northland Growth Conference · March 2016 Investor Presentation_...
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_1 PROPRIETARY
Intevac Investor Presentation
2016 Northland Growth Conference
March 2016
POWERING INNOVATION. DELIVERING VALUE.
Jim Moniz Chief Financial Officer
Greg Swyt Global Operations Controller
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_2
Cautionary Disclaimer
During the course of this presentation, we will comment upon future events and may make projections about our future financial performance, including statements related to strategies, our expected sales, product shipments and acceptance, gross margin, operating expense, profit, cash flow, income tax expense, and capital allocation. We will discuss our business strategy, our products, the markets our products address, our position in those markets, expected market acceptance of those products and production capacity. We wish to caution you that these are forward looking statements that are based upon our current expectations, and that actual results could differ materially as a result of various risks and uncertainties, including, without limitation, the following: inability to develop and deliver new products as planned; inability to accurately forecast the demand for our products and services; the possibility that orders in backlog may be cancelled, delayed or rescheduled; inability to achieve gross margin and expense goals; and other risk factors discussed in documents filed by us with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q. We undertake no obligation to update the forward-looking statements made during this presentation.
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_3
Providing Enabling Technology to Important Markets
Thin-Film Equipment Photonics
Mobility and the
Internet of Things
Clean Energy / Solar Power
Cloud Computing and Storage
Addressing Multiple Large Growth Industries
Night Vision and Target ID
Cameras Systems
Integrated Night Vision Systems for Gen 5 Heads Up Displays
Night Vision and Head Mounted
Displays for Soldiers
Critical Supplier of Digital Vision Systems
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_4
Thin-Film Equipment: Core Technologies and Production-Proven Platforms
Op
200 Lean Platform
MATRIX Platform VERTEX Platform
Core Technology
• Small-Substrate Processing
• Precision Thin-Film Deposition
• High-Throughput
• Today: Display Cover Panel • Optical Diamond-Like Carbon Protective Coatings (oDLC) • Future: ARC, TFB
• Technology and Market Share Leader for HDD Media
• Process Tool of Record for Next Generation Technology Node - HAMR
• Solid Upgrade and Service Business
ARC – anti-reflective coatings TFB – thin-film batteries PVD – physical vapor deposition HDD – hard disk drive HAMR – heat-assisted magnetic recording
• PVD and Implant for Solar • Positioned as Process Tool of
Record for Advanced Solar Cell Architectures
• Multi-Layer Optical Coatings
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_5
High-Volume Production Systems Deposit Optical-Grade DLC
Application for Mobile Device Scratch Protection
Intevac Advantages • Lowest Cost Anti-Scratch Solution 20x Scratch Resistance 20% Increased Breakage Resistance 10x Haze Reduction
VERTEX oDLC Applications: Display Cover Panel
oDLC Applications
High Volume – High Growth Markets
Mobile Phones Tablet PCs
Wearables POS Stations
Auto - Infotainment
oDLC Competitive Advantage
oDLC Alternative A
Alternative B 7.5N @ 10cyc/min SS Ball
# pa
sses
to sc
ratc
h
0102030405060708090
AS Glass AS Glass + AFS AS Glass + oDLC
Scratch Protection
Rela
tive
pric
e
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_6
Display Cover Panel: Market Opportunity
Progress To Date 2nd System Shipped to Tier 1
Customer; Production-ready 1H ’16 Currently Under Evaluation with
Multiple Top-Tier Phone Manufacturers • Broad Engagement with Tier 1 Cover
Glass Manufacturers • Established In-House Coating Service
to Accelerate Product Adoption
Intevac’s Opportunity • 510 VERTEX Tools Required to Coat
All Glass in 2020 • 25% Adoption Rate = $500M Revenue
Opportunity Through 2020
Thou
sand
s m
2
Total material (in m2) for Cover Glass
Source – IHS Technology + Company Estimates
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Cover Glass m2 Per Market Segment
Mobile Phone Tablet PC Wearable Other
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_7
MATRIX PVD and Implant Application: N-Type Solar
PERT, Bifacial
IBC
n-type Mono HJT
Mono PERT, PERL, Bifacial
Mono PERC
p-type Mono
Multi PERC
Al BSF
p-type Multi
2014 2013 2015 2016
Cel
l Effi
cien
cy %
15%
25%
20%
2017
High-Volume Production Systems for Advanced Metallization and Doping of High-Efficiency N-type Solar Cells
Intevac PVD Advantage Best-in-Class Target Utilization
Delivers Lowest CoO Copper Interconnects Reduced Series Resistance Backside Reflectors
Intevac Implant Advantage Boron Doping Simplification Selective and Patterned Doping Process Step Reduction Reduction in Capex
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_8
N- Type Solar Market Opportunity
Progress To Date – MATRIX PVD • Positioned as Process Tool of Record for
N-type Cells • Two Tier 1 Customers
- 1st Customer in 24X7 Production - 2nd Customer Ships in 1H ‘16
Progress To Date – MATRIX Implant • 1st System Order in Backlog with Tier 1
Customer; Ships Mid-2016 • Investigating Adjacent Applications
Intevac’s Opportunity • Installations of N-type Cells up 2.5x by
2020 – 5GW of New Capacity Forecast • 65 MATRIX PVD & Implant Tools Required
to Support IncrementalIBC & PERT Capacity
• Intevac’s Estimated Revenue Opportunity is $175M Through 2020
Source: LONGJi Silicon Materials ’15-’18; Growth Rate Projections ‘19, ‘20
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
MW
N-type Cell Capacity
N-IBC (MW) N-PERT (MW) N-HIT (MW)
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_9
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Exab
ytes
Exabytes Shipped on HDDs
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
Actual Actual Actual Actual Actual Actual Forecast Forecast
Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16
Tie Ratio (Average # of Disks per Drive)
200 Lean PVD Application: HDD Media
HDDs Dominate Storage in Exabytes Tie Ratio Increasing
Storage Needs by 2020 will be Approx. 2x 2015 • 60% in the Cloud • 90% on HDDs
- SSDs Growing but Still <10% of Stored Data
Excess Media Capacity Remains Today
Positive Fundamentals for Return to Capacity Additions
Source – TrendFocus Feb. 2016
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_10
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75 4.00 4.25 4.50
Med
ia U
nits
(M)
Tie Ratio (Average Disks per Drive)
Media Unit Demand per Quarter Based on Flat HDD Market and Increasing Tie Ratio
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Tie Ratio for Nearline (Cloud) Drives
Nearline HDDs for the Cloud Driving Tie Ratio Upward
High-Capacity Drives Growing Disks/Drive Key for Capacity Adds
Source – TrendFocus Feb 2016
Growth in Nearline HDDs Increases Media Demand • Nearline HDD Unit Volumes Growing in Otherwise
Stagnant HDD Unit Environment • Nearline Tie Ratio Also Increasing – from <4 to >7
Increasing Tie Ratio Positive for Media Units
• Even if HDD Units Remained Flat, Media Demand Will Exceed Capacity
• Crossover when Tie Ratio Increases to 2.5 – 3.0
Based on 110M Unit / Qtr HDD Market
Current 225
Capacity 300
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_11
Expanding Opportunity in Thin-Film Equipment
INTEVAC VERTEX PVD – Protective Coatings Pursuing Mainstream Applications Engaged with Tier 1 Cover Glass Manufacturers and
Top-Tier Cell Phone Makers Increased Revenue Opportunity from $300M to $500M
INTEVAC MATRIX PVD – Solar Cell Application 5GW of N-type Forecasted by 2020 Two Tier 1 Customers Adopting + Multiple Engagements Revenue Opportunity Forecast at $100M
INTEVAC MATRIX Implant – Solar Cell Application Joint Technology Development Program Success
Resulted in New System Order Increased Revenue Opportunity from $50M to $75M
HDD – Hard Drive Media Installed Base Upgrades to Latest 200 Lean technology Steady Service and Spares Business Revenue Opportunity Forecast at $300M
HDD $300
MATRIX $175
VERTEX$500
5-Year Revenue Opportunity ($M)
Total Opportunity = $975M+
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_12
Photonics: The Supplier of Digital Night Vision to Military
Op
Soldier Night Vision + Head Mounted Displays
Integrated Night Vision Systems
Night Vision + Target ID Cameras
Core Technology
• Patented Digital Night Vision Technology
• Image Processing • Enables Augmented
Reality
• Apache Helicopter Cameras in Full-Rate Production
• LIVAR SWIR Fielded, Pursuing Technology Upgrades • Airborne/UAV Camera in Development
• Funded for Next-Gen Sensor – Future Ground Goggle
• $25M Funding Vehicle in Place • 15-Year Tech Roadmap Established • Incumbent for Family of Weapons
Sights – Rifle Sight
• Helmet-Mounted Displays (HMDs) Designed-In: • F35 Joint Strike Fighter • BAE Striker II “Typhoon”
• Digital Aviation Goggle in Development
Apache Camera
LIVAR SWIR Camera
LIVAR – laser illuminated viewing and ranging SWIR – short wave infra red UAV – unmanned aerial vehicle
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_13
Photonics Application: Night Vision Cameras
LIVAR – Airborne Target ID Camera
Apache Helicopter Night Vision Camera
• Rotary Pilotage Night Vision Cameras • US Army Fielding for the Apache • Transitioning to Foreign Military Sales
• Target ID and Ranging Cameras
• LIVAR SWIR - Longest Range Targeting and Ranging
Capability – up to 20KM • Northrup Grumman LITENING Pod
- Program Fielded - Assessing International Sales
Intevac’s Digital Night Vision Technology Enables:
- High-Definition Night Vision Imagery - Nighttime Information Overlay Capability - Digitally-Fused Infrared and Low Light Imagery - Low-Halo Operation - Digital Image Enhancement and Transmission - Elimination of Bulky Analog NV Goggles
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_14
Photonics Opportunity: Night Vision Cameras
• Progress To Date • Over 500 Apache Cameras Sold • Over 780 LIVAR SWIR Cameras Sold • “Digital Night Vision Gold Standard” (ISIE-11) • High Resolution Camera (ISIE-4000) Undergoing
Customer Evaluation
• Intevac’s Opportunity • Contracted Deliveries of Apache Pilotage and
LIVAR cameras • Apache Co-Pilot / Gunner (2nd Camera) • Next-Gen Camera (ISIE-12) for Apache
Technology Upgrade • Next-Gen SWIR Camera for LIVAR Technology
Upgrade • Drone / UAV Opportunities Leveraging Apache
Camera Technology
Program Opportunity Pipeline $250M+
Current Production,
$126 Upgrades, $84
Pursuits, $40
F-16 Falcon
Apache Helicopter
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_15
Photonics Application: Integrated Night Vision
• F35 Helmet Mounted Display • 3.5 Cameras per Aircraft
• BAE Striker II Helmet Mounted Display
• In Flight Qualification Phase (Typhoon)
• High-Resolution (ISIE-4000) Digital Goggle • Prototype Delivery in 2016
JSF HMDS
BAE STRIKER II
High Resolution Digital Night
Vision Goggle
Intevac’s Digital Night Vision Technology Enables:
- High-Definition Night Vision Imagery - Nighttime Information Overlay Capability - Digitally-Fused Infrared and Low Light Imagery - Low-Halo Operation - Digital Image Enhancement and Transmission - Elimination of Bulky Analog NV Goggles
+ High-Resolution Digital Goggle = Ultra-HD for
Enhanced Visual Acuity
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_16
Photonics Opportunity: Integrated Night Vision
Progress To Date • Sole-Sourced Solution for F-35 JSF • 500 Gen 1 Sensors (ISIE-10) Fielded • >2000 Gen 2 Sensors (ISIE-11) Contracted • Replaced BAE Analog Goggle Solution • In Qualification Phase for BAE’s Typhoon • High-Resolution Goggle Prototypes Ship Q1
- USG $12M Enhanced Visual Acuity Program
Intevac’s Opportunity • F-35 Moves to Full Rate Production Fielding
~2700 baseline aircraft (ISIE-11) • Next-Gen Camera (ISIE-12) for F-35 Technology
Upgrade • BAE Opening Opportunities in Europe • BAE Marketing to Aircraft beyond Typhoon • US Navy Acquisition Program for Enhanced
Visual Acuity Starts 2016 - High-Resolution Digital Goggle (ISIE-4000)
Program Opportunity Pipeline $325M+
Current Production,
$156 Upgrades,
$140
Pursuits, $30
F-35 Joint Strike Fighter
Euro Fighter Typhoon
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_17
Photonics Application: Ground Forces
• Fused Vision Mobility Device (Monocular) for US Army Ground Forces • Program of Record to Replace Analog Night Vision
• Family of Weapons Sights • Rifle Sight Eyepiece (Individual) • Wireless Helmet Mounted Display (Crew)
Fused Goggles Augmented Reality
Family of Weapons Sights Wireless Helmet Mounted Display
Intevac’s Digital NV Technology Enables:
Fused Vision Mobility Devices: - Low-Halo Operation - Augmented Reality
- Proven IR and Low-Light Fusion
Family of Weapons Sights: - Proprietary Optical Design - Proven Low-Cost Solution
Strongly Supported by US Government
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_18
Photonics Opportunity: Ground Forces
• Progress To Date • Fused Vision Mobility Device Demonstrator
Delivery Scheduled for Q2’16 • Next-Gen Sensor (ISIE-12) in Development • $25 Million Funding Vehicle in Place • Family of Weapons Sights – Individual
• Prototypes Qualified • Selected by 1 of 2 Primes
• Family of Weapons Sights – Crew • Prototypes in Qualification • Selected by 2 of 3 Primes • USG Requirements for Wireless HMD Built
Around Intevac Demonstrator
• Intevac’s Opportunities • Over 100K Digital Night Vision Monoculars
to be Fielded for US Army Soldiers • Family of Weapons Sights
• Individual - 36.5K units program total • Crew - 25K units program total
Program Opportunity Pipeline $400M+ Current
Production, $17
Pursuits, $388
Image Enhancement Data Overlay
Analog Point Source “Halo”
Intevac Digital “Low Halo”
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_19
Expanded Program Opportunity Pipeline for Photonics
• Next-Gen Sensor Upgrades Expand Program Opportunity Pipeline to >$500M • For programs that are already designed-in and in production • An increase from total engagement pipeline of ~$350M previously
• Programs Currently in Pursuit Grow Program Opportunity Pipeline to Nearly $1B • Largest US Military opportunity is for Ground Forces
$350M
>$500M
~$1B
$-
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
$1,000
Previous Program OpportunityPipeline
Revised Program OpportunityPipeline: Current Production +
Upgrades
Total Program OpportunityPipeline, Including Pursuits
$M
Ground Forces
Integrated Night Vision
Night Vision Cameras +Target ID
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_20
In Summary: Two Businesses with Billion-$ Revenue Opportunities
$1B Revenue Opportunity for Equipment $1B Revenue Opportunity for Photonics
Display Cover Panel
$500M+
Solar PVD and Implant
$175M+
HDD
$300M+
5-Year Available Revenue Opportunity
Night Vision Cameras
$250M+
Integrated Night Vision
$325M+
Ground Force Night Vision
$400M+
Revenue Opportunity Pipeline for Current Programs & Pursuits
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_21
Improving Financial Performance
2015 Exceeded Expectations Entering the Year • Revenues Up 15% Over 2014 • Increased Full-Year Guidance
Each Quarter in 2015 • Improved GM and Reduced Opex
2016 Guidance • Revenue Growth of Up to 10%
from 2015 • 34-36% Gross Margin • $37-38M Operating Expenses
Positioned for Cash Flow Positive Operations in 2016 -15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
$(30)
$(20)
$(10)
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
2014 2015G
ross
Mar
gin
%
$M
Revenues Non-GAAP OpEx Operating Loss GM%
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_22
Strong Foundation and Capital Deployment Strategy
Structuring and Managing the Company for Profitability Across Business Cycles
Pursuing Organic Growth Initiatives
Strong Foundation with No Debt
Maintaining Strong Balance Sheet Strategically Deploying Capital
Returning Capital to Shareholders through $30M Stock Repurchase Program • $28.5M Purchased as of Year-End 2015
Only $6M Use of Cash and Investments Since 2013, Net of Repurchases
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
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$90
2013 2014 2015
$ in
Mill
ions
Cumulative Cash Utilized for Stock Repurchases
Balance of Cash and Investments at Qtr/Year End
$-
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
At Jan 2, 2016$
per S
hare
$ in
Mill
ions
Tangible Book Value Cash and Investments
TBV/Share Cash/Share
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_23
Intevac: Solid Foundation, Strong Growth Trajectory
Op
Solid Financial Foundation
Photonics: Key Enabler for Military Night Vision
Thin-Film Equipment:
Leadership and Strategy for Growth
Intevac Value Proposition
• Meaningful Traction with Tier 1 Customers • Tier 1 Customers for both VERTEX Display Cover Panel and MATRIX PVD for Solar • New Order for MATRIX Implant • Technology and Market Share Leader in HDD When Capacity Buys Resume
• Strong Balance Sheet; $48M in Cash and Investments at Q4’15 • $28.5M in Share Repurchases Completed as of Year-End 2015 • Positioned for Cash Flow Positive Operations in 2016
• Apache at Full-Volume Production • JSF Production Ramping • Funding Vehicle Awarded for Next-
Generation Sensor Development
• Current Programs ~$500M; Ground Force Applications Grow Revenue Opportunity to ~$1B
PROPRIETARY March 2016 Investor Presentation_24
PROPRIETARY © 2016 INTEVAC, INC.