Interstate Statistical Committee ofthe Commonwealth of Independent Sate

(CIS Stat Commettee)

Population Census Round 2010 in CIS countries:

key results and prospects

Irina Zbarskaya

Population Censuses WorkshopUNECE, Geneve4 October 2013

population number and its distribution within the country are specified for particular moment of time;

main (in some cases – the only) source of information on demographic, ethno-linguistic and socio-economic characteristics of population;

possibility to get data by smallest territorial units and by small population groups;

informational basis for demographic and socio-economic prognosis for the countries and regions development;

the general population for sample surveys is formed.

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IMPORTANCE OF CENSUS FOR CIS COUNTRIES:

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POPULATION CENSUSES IN CIS COUNTRIES

1989:

USSR

ROUND 2000

1995 TURKMENISTAN

AZERBAIJAN

1999BELARUS

KAZAKHSTAN

KYRGYZSTAN

TAJIKISTAN

ARMENIA

UKRAINE

RUSSIA

MOLDOVA

2000

2001

2004

2002

ROUND 2010

2011 ARMENIA

AZERBAIJAN

2009BELARUS

KAZAKHSTAN

KYRGYZSTAN

TURKMENISTAN

RUSSIA

TAJIKISTAN

MOLDOVA

2012

2010

2014

UZBEKISTAN UZBEKISTAN

UKRAINE2015

2010 Population Census completed

2010 Population Census is on preparation stage

Round 2000 and Round 2010 were skipped

ROUND 2010 IN CIS

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LEGISLATION ON POPULATION CENSUS

LAW ON CENSUS

LAW ON STATISTICS

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Belarus

Kyrgyzstan

Kazakhstan

Moldova

Russian Federation

Tajikistan

Ukraine

The periodicity of the census;

The list of the collecting data;

The obligations of the population to provide information for the census;

The interaction between the agency responsible for the census, and other state and regional agencies involved in the census preparation;

The privacy of data;

Funding of the census.

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LEGAL FRAMEWORK

LAWS ON CENSUS / LAWS ON STATISTICS

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ROUND 2010 CENSUS:METHODS OF DATA COLLECTION

Sampling method was not used

TRADITIONAL

The interviews

implemented by specially hired and trained interviewers

Using paper forms

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DATA ENTRY

ROUND 2000

Manual entry

ROUND 2010

Scanning

AzerbaijanArmeniaBelarus

KyrgyzstanMoldovaTajikistan

KazakhstanRussiaUkraine

AzerbaijanArmenia

Kyrgyzstan

BelarusKazakhstan

RussiaTajikistanUkraine

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DATA CODING

ROUND 2000

Manually only

ROUND 2010

Computer only Azerbaijan

ArmeniaBelarus

KyrgyzstanMoldovaTajikistan

KazakhstanRussiaUkraine

ArmeniaKyrgyzstan

AzerbaijanBelarusRussia

TajikistanUkraine

CombinedKazakhstan

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OUTSOURCED WORKS RELATED TO THE CENSUS

Software developmentBelarus Kazakhstan Russia TajikistanKyrgyzstan Ukraine

Processing of the census dataTajikistan

Informational and advocacy campaignsKazakhstan Russia Ukraine

Printing of forms and toolsBelarus Kazakhstan Russia TajikistanKyrgyzstan

Personnel hiring and trainingTajikistan

Training programmes developmentRussia

Preparation of publicationsTajikistan

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THE CENSUS COSTS

The weighted average cost per one person in CIS countries

USD 1,1(converted at the exchange rate)

USD 3,4(converted at the exchange rate)

ROUND 2000 ROUND 2010

USD 4,5(purchasing power parity

based on the IMF)

USD 5,3(purchasing power parity

based on the IMF)

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Difficulties in preparing and conducting the census

The population attitude and the complexity of the interview

Personnel hiring and training

Funding

The processing of the census data and getting tables

AzerbaijanBelarus

KazakhstanRussia

Tajikistan

ArmeniaTajikistanUkraine

KazakhstanKyrgyzstanTajikistan

AzerbaijanBelarus

KazakhstanRussia

Tajikistan

THE POPULATION CENSUS CHALLENGES

FINANCIAL

SOCIAL

INFORMATIONAL

INNOVATIONAL ANDTECHNOLOGICAL

POPULATIONCENSUS

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THE CENSUS ROUND 2010

Traditional method with using interviewers,

as main method of data collection

will be kept

Using data from administrative sources

Using Internet

Replacing paper forms to electronic questionnaires

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PREPARATION TO THE ROUND 2020: Workshops for experts of CIS national statistics services

The Round 2010 lessons learned and prospective for the Round 2020 (methodological and technological innovations, complete census, sample surveys, administrative data, the problems and difficulties);

Suggestions of the CIS countries for inclusion in the CES Recommendations on the Population and Housing Censuses Round 2020;

The measurement of the economically active population in the census and sample surveys (with the advice of the 19th International Conference of Labour Statisticians);

Possible ways of coordination of the CIS national statistical services in preparation of the Census Round 2020 in the Commonwealth.

JUNE 2014

MAIN TOPICS:

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PREPARATION TO THE ROUND 2020: Workshops for experts of CIS national statistics services

Suggestions on organizational and methodological principles for population censuses conduction in CIS;

Measurement of labor migration in population censuses and sample surveys;

Interstate programmes on exchange of national census results;

The draft schedule for meetings of experts of the CIS national statistical services on preparation to the Population Censuses Round 2020.

APRIL 2015

MAIN TOPICS :

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The census will retain its dominant position as the main source of information about the population;

There are serious challenges: financial issues, changing the population mentality, the need to reduce the respondents burden, the growing information needs and information technology development;

Countries are moving away from the traditional model of the "pure" census, focusing on getting information from different sources;

CONCLUSIONS

Thanks for your attention

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