International finance. The Balance-of- Payments Accounts Chapter 1.
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Transcript of International finance. The Balance-of- Payments Accounts Chapter 1.
International finance
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The Balance-of-Payments Accounts
Chapter 1
Learning Objectives
Explain what is meant by a country’s “balance-of-payments” statement and how it is constructed.
Analyze the difference between alternative accounting balances within the balance-of-payments.
Describe the recent balance-of-payments experience of the U.S.
Define the international investment position of a country.
Balance of payments accounts are a way of keeping track of all economic transactions between the home country and the rest of the world over a specific time period (usually one year).
Balance-of-Payments
Recent Growth of Trade and Capital Movements
- The value of trade in goods and services has increased from $582 billion in 1973 to $15.8 trillion in 2008.
- International transactions of the monetary sort have also grown very rapidly over the last few decades.
Credit and Debits in Balance-of-Payments Accounting
Credit items reflect transactions that give rise to payments flowing into the home country.
Debit items reflect transactions that give rise to payments flowing out of the home country.
exports
foreign investment inflows
interest payments on earlier investments
Credit items
Debit items
imports
foreign investment outflows
Interest payments to foreigners
The IMF groups
items into four
categoriesCategory III:Short-term nonofficial financial flows,
Category I: Current account;
Category IV:Changes in reserve assets of official monetary authorities (central banks).
Category II: Direct investment and other long-term financial flows;
Credit and Debits in Balance-of-Payments Accounting
Category I: Current account
Credit items include exports of goods and services, interest and dividends from investments abroad, wages earned abroad, and gifts from abroad. Debit items include imports of goods and services, interest and dividends paid to investors abroad, wages paid to foreigners, and gifts sent abroad
Category II: Direct investment and other long-term financial
flows Credit entries: anything that
causes a net increase in the holdings of assets in the home country by the foreign country.
Debit entries: anything that causes a net increase in the holdings of assets in a foreign country by the home country.
Credit items: any increase in foreign holdings of such assets in the home country.
These are mainly private flows, with maturities under one year.
Debit items: any increase in home country holdings of such assets in the foreign country.
Category III: Short-term nonofficial financial flows
Category IV: Changes in reserve assets of official monetary authorities (central banks)
Credit items: whenever the foreign country central bank acquires home country assets (such as bank accounts).
Debit items: whenever the home country central bank acquires foreign country assets.
Sample Entries in the Balance-of-Payments
AccountsIn general, balance-of-payments
accounting relies on double-entry bookkeeping.
This means that any transaction must be added as a credit and a debit.
This implies that the sum of all credits must equal the sum of all debits, and the total BOP is always in balance.
#1: Exporters in the U.S. send $6,000 of goods to Canada, receiving a short-term bank deposit of $6,000 from Canada.
Credit: Category I: Export of goods +$6,000
Debit: Category III: Increase in short-term private assets abroad -$6,000
#2: Consumers in the U.S. buy $10,000 of goods from Canada, paying with a short-term bank deposit of $10,000.
Debit: Category I: Imports of goods -$10,000
Credit: Category III: Increase in foreign short-term assets in the U.S. +$10,000
#3: U.S. residents send $5,000 to Mexico as gifts.
Credit: Category I: Exports of +$5,000
Debit: Category I: unilateral transfer of -$5,000
#4: An American firm provides $2,000 of shipping services to a Canadian company, which pays by transferring money into its U.S. account.
Credit: Category I: export of services +$2,000
Debit: Category III: Decrease in short-term private assets in the U.S.: -$2,000
#5: A Canadian company sends $8,000 in dividends to bank accounts of American stockholders.
Credit: Category I: investment receipts from abroad +$8,000
Debit: Category III: Decrease in short-term private assets in the U.S.: -$8,000
#6: An American buys a long-term bond from a Mexican company for $2,000; transfers payment from her U.S. bank account.
Debit: Category II: increase in long-term asset abroad -$2,000
Credit: Category III: Increase in short-term private assets in the U.S.: +$2,000
#7: Canadian banks wish to reduce holdings of dollars in U.S. banks by selling $800 to the Federal Reserve.
Debit: Category III: Decrease in short-term private assets in the U.S.: -$800
Credit: Category IV: Increase in foreign short-term official assets in the U.S.: +$800
Assembling a BOP Summary Statement
Debits Credits
#1 Increase in short-term private assets abroad
-$6,000 Exports of goods +$6,000
#2 Imports of goods -$10,000 Increase in foreign short-term private assets in US
+$10,000
#3 Unilateral transfers -$5,000 Exports of goods +$5,000
#4 Decrease in foreign short-term assets in U.S
-$2,000 Exports of services +$2,000
#5 Decrease in foreign short-term assets in U.S
-$8,000 Investment income from abroad
+$8,000
#6 Increase in long-term assets abroad
-$2,000 Increase in foreign short-term private assets in US
+$2,000
#7 Decrease in short-term private assets in the U.S.:
-$800 Increase in foreign short-term official assets
+$800
-$33,800 +$33,80019-23
BOP SummaryCategory
I Exports of Goods +$11,000
Imports of goods -$10,000
Merchandise trade balance +$1,000
Exports of services +$2,000
Imports of services -$0
Balance of goods and services +$3,000
Factor income receipts from abroad +$8,000
Factor income payments abroad $0
Balance on goods, services, and investment income +$11,000
Unilateral transfers received +$0
Unilateral transfers made -$5,000
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE +$6,000
19-24
BOP Summary (cont’d)Category
II Net increase in foreign long-term assets in U.S. +$0
Net increase in long-term assets abroad -$2,000
BASIC BALANCE +$4,000
III Net increase in foreign short-term private assets in U.S.
+$1,200
Net increase in short-term private assets abroad -$6,000
OFFICIAL RESERVE TRANSACTIONS BALANCE -$800
IV Net increase in foreign short-term official assets in U.S.
+$800
Net increase in official assets abroad -$0
TOTAL $0
19-25
Statistical Discrepancy
The current account balance may not exactly equal the financial account balance due to incomplete or imperfect data, illegal activities, and mismatches on the timing of data collection.
To account for these, a category called “statistical discrepancy” is included in the BOP.
U.S. International Transactions, 2007 (billions of $)
Exports of Goods +$1,148.5
Imports of goods -$1,967.9
Merchandise trade balance -819.4
Exports of services +$497.2
Imports of services -$378.1
Balance of goods and services -700.3
Factor income receipts from abroad +$817.8
Factor income payments abroad -$736.0
Balance on goods, services, and investment income -$618.5
Unilateral transfers, net -112.7
CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE -$731.2
19-27
U.S. International Transactions, 2007 (billions of $)
Capital account, net -$1.8
U.S. official reserve assets, net +$0.1
U.S. government assets abroad (other than reserves), net
+$22.3
U.S. private assets abroad, net -$1,267.5
Foreign official assets in the U.S., net +$411.1
Other foreign assets in U.S., net (incl. financial derivatives)
+$1,653.1
Statistical discrepancy +$41.3
19-28
International Investment Position of the U.S.
The BOP accounts are flow concepts– they represent changes over a time period.
The international investment position is a stock concept – it involves totals up to the present.
If foreign assets outweigh foreign liabilities, a country is a net creditor; otherwise it is a net debtor.
Int’l Investment Position of the U.S. (end of 2007) – billions of $
A. U.S.-owned assets abroad
U.S. official reserve assets $277.2
U.S. gov’t assets (not reserve assets) 94.5
Financial derivatives 2,284.6
U.S. private assets abroad 14,983.7
direct investment abroad $3,332.8
foreign bonds 1,478.1
foreign corporate stocks 5,170.6
U.S. claims on foreigners by U.S. banks and nonbanks not reported elsewhere
5,002.2
TOTAL U.S. ASSETS ABROAD $17,640.0
19-30
Int’l Investment Position of the U.S. (end of 2007) – billions of $
B. foreign-owned assets in the U.S.
Foreign official assets in the U.S. $3,337.0
Financial derivatives 2,201.1
Other foreign assets in the U.S. 14,543.7
foreign direct investment $2,422.8
U.S. Treasury securities 272.0
Corporate and other bonds 3,299.3
Corporate stocks 2,833.1
U.S. liabilities to foreigners not reported elsewhere
4,981.7
TOTAL FOREIGN ASSETS IN THE U.S. $20,081.8
Net international investment position of the U.S. -$2,441.8
19-31
International Investment Position of the U.S.
The U.S. is a net international debtor.No other country in the world is as indebted.Disadvantages
We must transfer future goods and income abroad.
Foreign ownership may threaten U.S. sovereignty.
Still, productive investments should allow repayment.
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