Interim Report to the Utah Higher Education Strategic ... · Higher Education Strategic Planning...
56
National Center for Higher Education Management Systems nchems.org • higheredinfo.org Interim Report to the Utah Higher Education Strategic Planning Commission November 13, 2018
Transcript of Interim Report to the Utah Higher Education Strategic ... · Higher Education Strategic Planning...
National Center for Higher Education Management Systems
nchems.org • higheredinfo.org
Interim Report to the Utah Higher Education Strategic
Planning Commission
November 13, 2018
Outline
• Report on progress to date
• Environmental scan
• Emergent themes/topics
• Next steps
2
Timeline
3
Activities To Date
• Document review
• Data collection and analysis
• Initial on-site interviews and stakeholder engagement activities
• Model concepts and early development
• Planning for regional meetings
4
Interviews and Stakeholder Engagement to Date
• Commission co-chairs (numerous other commission members have been consulted as part of other interviews)
• USHE Office of the Commissioner• Members of the Utah Board of Regents• UTech Office of the Commissioner• Members of the UTech Board of Trustees• Several USHE and UTech Presidents• Governor’s Office of Economic Development• Utah Department of Workforce Services• Utah Office of the Governor• Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute• Utah Manufacturers’ Association• Utah Technology Council• BioUtah• Economic Development Corporation of Utah• Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce
5
Emergent Themes/Topics
• Goals– Clarity around the goal
– Other goals, e.g., workforce preparation, economic diversification, innovation, equity gaps, etc.
• Serving adult students – new education and business models
• Work-based learning– Outreach and delivery
– Credentialing
• Affordability– Student debt
– Sub-baccalaureate tuition
– Measurement and monitoring
6
Emergent Themes/Topics
• Organization of higher education– Meeting future needs, e.g., alternative delivery, sharing of programs
– Institutional productivity, e.g., facilities, sharing of services
• Governance– Regents and USHE institutions trustees
– Legislature and regents – trust issues
– Statewide coordination and structure
• Institutional missions– Mission clarity and program approval
– The two-year mission – dual mission versus a more typical community college approach
– Expectations regarding research and public service
7
Environmental Scan Analysis
• Educational attainment
• Participation
• Completion
• Finance and productivity
• Affordability
• Economic and workforce conditions
• Migration
• Projections for the future
8
Percentage of Jobs in 2020 that Will Require a Postsecondary Education, by State
Source: Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce,Projections of Jobs and Education Requirements through 2020; 2013
74
%7
4%
72
%7
2%
71
%7
1%
71
%7
0%
70
%7
0%
70
%7
0%
70
%6
9%
69
%6
9%
68
%6
8%
68
%6
8%
68
%6
7%
67
%6
7%
66
%6
6%
66
%6
5%
65
%6
5%
65
%6
5%
64
%6
4%
64
%6
3%
63
%6
3%
62
%6
2%
62
%6
2%
62
%6
2%
62
%6
1%
59
%5
8%
56
%5
5%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
Min
nes
ota
Co
lora
do
Mas
sach
use
tts
No
rth
Dak
ota
Rh
od
e Is
lan
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Ore
gon
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ois
Was
hin
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nM
ich
igan
Co
nn
ecti
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Haw
aii
Mo
nta
na
Mar
ylan
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ew Y
ork
Ari
zon
aIo
wa
New
Je
rse
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ew H
amp
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eId
aho
Cal
ifo
rnia
No
rth
Car
olin
aV
irgi
nia
Mis
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ain
eA
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erm
on
tG
eorg
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uth
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ota
Flo
rid
aW
yom
ing
Oh
ioO
klah
om
aU
tah
De
law
are
New
Mex
ico
Pe
nn
sylv
ania
Ala
bam
aTe
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Ind
ian
aW
isco
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nN
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en
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uth
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olin
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ssip
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ansa
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esse
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est
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gin
ia
National Average = 65%
9
Gap Between Percent of Jobs in 2020 That Will Require a College Education and the Percent of Adults, Aged 25-64 with Associates and Higher in 2015
31
.4%
31
.3%
30
.7%
30
.6%
30
.4%
29
.4%
29
.0%
28
.5%
28
.4%
28
.2%
28
.1%
28
.1%
27
.9%
27
.7%
27
.5%
27
.2%
27
.2%
27
.0%
26
.5%
26
.3%
26
.1%
26
.1%
25
.9%
25
.9%
25
.9%
25
.6%
25
.6%
25
.4%
25
.3%
25
.2%
25
.1%
25
.1%
25
.0%
24
.9%
24
.5%
24
.2%
23
.3%
23
.2%
22
.5%
21
.9%
21
.9%
21
.7%
21
.5%
21
.2%
20
.8%
20
.5%
19
.9%
19
.8%
19
.8%
18
.4%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Ari
zon
aId
aho
Okl
aho
ma
Mic
hig
anN
evad
aM
issi
ssip
pi
New
Mex
ico
Ark
ansa
sK
en
tuck
yK
ansa
sA
lask
aM
on
tan
aA
lab
ama
Ore
gon
Mis
sou
riR
ho
de
Isla
nd
Wyo
min
gN
ebra
ska
Cal
ifo
rnia
Haw
aii
We
st V
irgi
nia
No
rth
Car
olin
aIll
ino
isG
eorg
iaIn
dia
na
Iow
aTe
xas
Oh
ioC
olo
rad
oN
ort
h D
ako
taFl
ori
da
Lou
isia
na
Mai
ne
Was
hin
gto
nM
inn
eso
taSo
uth
Car
olin
aTe
nn
esse
eSo
uth
Dak
ota
New
Yo
rkU
tah
De
law
are
Mar
ylan
dC
on
nec
ticu
tP
en
nsy
lvan
iaN
ew J
ers
ey
New
Ham
psh
ire
Vir
gin
iaM
assa
chu
sett
sW
isco
nsi
nV
erm
on
t
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.; Georgetown Public Policy Institute, Recovery Job Growth and Education Requirements through 2020.
10
Percent of Residents Ages 25-64 With A High-Quality Certificate or Higher
11
56
.25
5.7
54
.05
3.8
53
.35
2.2
51
.25
1.0
50
.75
0.6
50
.65
0.3
49
.74
9.5
49
.54
8.4
48
.44
8.2
48
.24
8.0
47
.74
7.6
47
.44
6.9
46
.94
6.8
46
.74
6.3
45
.74
5.7
45
.74
5.3
44
.64
4.6
44
.14
4.0
43
.74
3.6
43
.24
3.1
42
.24
2.0
41
.94
1.8
40
.74
0.6
39
.93
7.9
37
.53
4.8
34
.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mas
sach
use
tts
Co
lora
do
Min
nes
ota
Co
nn
ecti
cut
Was
hin
gto
nV
irgi
nia
New
Je
rse
yIll
ino
isK
ansa
sM
aryl
and
New
Ham
psh
ire
New
Yo
rkA
rizo
na
No
rth
Dak
ota
Uta
hW
isco
nsi
nC
alif
orn
iaW
yom
ing
Neb
rask
aG
eorg
iaV
erm
on
tIo
wa
No
rth
Car
olin
aFl
ori
da
Ore
gon
Rh
od
e Is
lan
dU
nit
ed
Sta
tes
Haw
aii
Sou
th D
ako
taLo
uis
ian
aP
en
nsy
lvan
iaA
lask
aN
ew M
exic
oK
en
tuck
yO
hio
Mo
nta
na
Mic
hig
anM
ain
eD
ela
war
eM
isso
uri
Texa
sSo
uth
Car
olin
aIn
dia
na
Okl
aho
ma
Ten
nes
see
Idah
oA
rkan
sas
Ala
bam
aM
issi
ssip
pi
Nev
ada
We
st V
irgi
nia
Certificate-holder data is the best available estimate based on Georgetown CEW updated calculations using SIPP 2008 Wave 12 data (2012) and IPEDS (2014). Found in Stronger Nation 2016 report; Data for percent of residents with an associates and higher from U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey; Table B15001
Percent of Adults Aged 25-64 with College Degrees – Associate & Higher – by County (2012-16)
12Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Five-Year Estimates; Table B15001
State = 42.38
Difference in College Attainment Between Whites and Underrepresented Minorities, Ages 25-64, 2016
13
4.2 4.4 4.6
8.2
10
.21
0.2 11
.41
1.7
11
.8 13
.01
3.1 14
.11
4.4
14
.61
4.9 15
.81
5.9 1
7.5 18
.21
8.5
18
.81
9.2
19
.21
9.8
19
.81
9.8
19
.9 21
.1 22
.22
2.3 2
3.7
24
.02
4.3
24
.52
5.0 25
.72
5.8
26
.32
6.3
26
.32
6.4
26
.52
6.6
26
.7 27
.52
7.7 28
.5 29
.3 30
.4 31
.33
3.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40N
ew H
amp
shir
eW
est
Vir
gin
iaM
ain
eV
erm
on
tK
en
tuck
yTe
nn
esse
eA
rkan
sas
Flo
rid
aA
lab
ama
Mo
nta
na
Geo
rgia
Mis
siss
ipp
iM
isso
uri
Ind
ian
aO
hio
Okl
aho
ma
Lou
isia
na
Mic
hig
anM
aryl
and
De
law
are
Vir
gin
iaSo
uth
Car
olin
aIo
wa
Nev
ada
Wyo
min
gP
en
nsy
lvan
iaN
ort
h C
aro
lina
Nat
ion
Wis
con
sin
Was
hin
gto
nK
ansa
sO
rego
nTe
xas
Ari
zon
aIll
ino
isN
ew M
exic
oN
ew Y
ork
Haw
aii
Idah
oN
ort
h D
ako
taU
tah
Ala
ska
Min
nes
ota
Sou
th D
ako
taN
ew J
ers
ey
Rh
od
e Is
lan
dM
assa
chu
sett
sN
ebra
ska
Co
nn
ecti
cut
Co
lora
do
Cal
ifo
rnia
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.
Educational Attainment of Adults Aged 25-64 by Race, Utah, 2016
4.2
20.8
27.3
11.9
24.0
11.910.3
18.1
37.6
10.0
15.8
8.3
30.6 30.5
18.5
8.09.0
3.4
9.6
22.724.0
6.9
24.0
12.8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Less than High School Just High School orGED
Some College, NoDegree
Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate Degree
White Black, Non-Hispanic Hispanic All Other
14Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.
Percent of Civilian Population Age 25-64 Participating in the Labor Force, 2016
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.
84
.38
4.0
83
.78
3.0
82
.88
2.4
82
.28
1.9
81
.58
1.5
81
.28
0.3
80
.38
0.0
79
.77
9.4
79
.47
9.2
78
.77
8.3
78
.27
8.1
78
.07
7.8
77
.77
7.6
77
.67
7.4
77
.37
7.3
77
.07
7.0
77
.07
6.9
76
.77
6.1
75
.87
5.7
75
.67
5.5
74
.67
4.1
74
.07
3.9
72
.27
2.0
71
.97
1.6
71
.07
0.9
68
.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Min
nes
ota
No
rth
Dak
ota
Neb
rask
aN
ew H
amp
shir
eSo
uth
Dak
ota
Iow
aM
aryl
and
Mas
sach
use
tts
Co
nn
ecti
cut
Wis
con
sin
Ve
rmo
nt
New
Je
rse
yK
ansa
sC
olo
rad
oH
awai
iIll
ino
isV
irgi
nia
Wyo
min
gR
ho
de
Isla
nd
Uta
hA
lask
aD
ela
war
eN
ew Y
ork
Ind
ian
aM
on
tan
aP
en
nsy
lvan
iaO
hio
Was
hin
gto
nM
ain
eN
atio
nC
alif
orn
iaM
isso
uri
Nev
ada
Texa
sO
rego
nN
ort
h C
aro
lina
Geo
rgia
Mic
hig
anId
aho
Flo
rid
aSo
uth
Car
olin
aO
klah
om
aA
rizo
na
Ten
nes
see
Ark
ansa
sN
ew M
exic
oLo
uis
ian
aK
en
tuck
yA
lab
ama
Mis
siss
ipp
iW
est
Vir
gin
ia
15
Median Annual Wages for Employed Workers Aged 25 to 64 - by Level of Education (2016)
$30,228
$37,281
$42,319 $42,319
$56,425
$75,569
$48,364
$26,197
$40,304
$60,455
$78,592
$46,349
Less Than HighSchool
High SchoolGraduate or GED
Some College, NoDegree
Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree
Total
Utah Nation
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.
16
Student Pipeline, 2016For every 100 9th graders, how many graduate within 150% of program time?
17
36
35
31
31
30
30
30
29
29
29
28
27
27
27
27
27
27
26
26
26
26
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
23
23
23
23
23
22
22
22
21
21
21
20
19
19
18
18
17
16
16
16
13
9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Mas
sach
use
tts
De
law
are
Pe
nn
sylv
ania
New
Je
rse
yV
irgi
nia
Co
nn
ecti
cut
Iow
aN
ebra
ska
Min
nes
ota
Sou
th D
ako
taN
ew Y
ork
Ve
rmo
nt
Wis
con
sin
Cal
ifo
rnia
Rh
od
e Is
lan
dN
ort
h D
ako
taIn
dia
na
New
Ham
psh
ire
Ten
nes
see
No
rth
Car
olin
aIll
ino
isK
ansa
sU
nit
ed
Sta
tes
Mar
ylan
dC
olo
rad
oM
issi
ssip
pi
Oh
ioM
isso
uri
Flo
rid
aLo
uis
ian
aM
ain
eW
ash
ingt
on
Ke
ntu
cky
Wyo
min
gSo
uth
Car
olin
aM
ich
igan
Ala
bam
aTe
xas
We
st V
irgi
nia
Ark
ansa
sM
on
tan
aO
klah
om
aG
eorg
iaA
rizo
na
Uta
hO
rego
nH
awai
iN
evad
aN
ew M
exic
oId
aho
Ala
ska
Sources: U.S. Department of Education, Office of Elementary and Secondary Education, Consolidated State Performance Report, 2014–15. See Digest of Education Statistics 2016, table 219.46; WICHE, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 2016 (Extraction 12-28-16); NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Residence & Migration Enrollment File; ef2016_c Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Retention Rate File; ef2016_d Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Graduation Rate File; gr2016 Provisional Release Data File.
High School Graduation, College Participation, & Completion, 2015-16
18
84.8
47.1
7.9
83.2
63.1
6.3
89.3
73.1
8.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
High School GraduationRate
College Going Rate Participation of 25 to 49Year Olds with Less than
a Bachelors
Input Rates
25.724.1 24.7
29.1
23.3 23.4
55.1
27.1 27.1
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
Public Two-Year Public Bachelors &Masters
Public Research
Throughput RatesUndergraduate Credentials and Degrees Awarded
per 100 FTE Undergraduates
Sources: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates, 2016. NCES, IPEDS Fall 2016 Residency and Migration File; ef2016c Provisional Release Data File. High School Graduation Rate: NCES Table 219.46. Public high school 4-year adjusted cohort graduation rate (ACGR), by selected student characteristics and state: 2010-11 through 2014-15; Undergraduate Awards NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File. NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Instructional Activity File; efia2016 Provisional Release Data File. College Going Rates: Enrollment of Adults: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2015 Enrollment File; ef2015b Provisional Release Data File. U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.
Utah US Average Median, Top 5 States
Undergraduate Enrollment Age 25-49 as a Percent of Population Age 25-49 with Less than an Associates Degree, Fall 2015
19
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Idah
oM
inn
eso
taK
ansa
sA
rizo
na
Uta
hN
ew M
exic
oM
aryl
and
Vir
gin
iaO
rego
nC
alif
orn
iaN
ebra
ska
Co
lora
do
Flo
rid
aIll
ino
isW
isco
nsi
nN
atio
nW
yom
ing
Ala
ska
Mis
sou
riW
ash
ingt
on
No
rth
Dak
ota
Mai
ne
Mas
sach
use
tts
Haw
aii
Sou
th D
ako
taM
ich
igan
Ve
rmo
nt
Ala
bam
aN
ew Y
ork
Mo
nta
na
No
rth
Car
olin
aC
on
nec
ticu
tIo
wa
Ind
ian
aO
hio
De
law
are
Rh
od
e Is
lan
dK
en
tuck
yTe
xas
Okl
aho
ma
New
Je
rse
yG
eorg
iaP
en
nsy
lvan
iaSo
uth
Car
olin
aA
rkan
sas
Nev
ada
Mis
siss
ipp
iTe
nn
esse
eLo
uis
ian
aW
est
Vir
gin
iaN
ew H
amp
shir
e
Sources: NCES, IPEDS Fall 2015 Enrollment File; ef2015b Provisional Release Data File; U.S. Census Bureau, 2015 American Community Survey One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.
Proportion of FTE Enrollments in Public Institutions
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
Wyo
min
gA
lask
aN
ew M
exic
oM
on
tan
aM
issi
ssip
pi
Ark
ansa
sN
ort
h D
ako
taN
evad
aW
est
Vir
gin
iaTe
xas
Lou
isia
na
Mic
hig
anW
ash
ingt
on
Okl
aho
ma
Sou
th D
ako
taA
lab
ama
Co
lora
do
Kan
sas
Mar
ylan
dO
rego
nSo
uth
Car
olin
aC
alif
orn
iaW
isco
nsi
nN
ort
h C
aro
lina
Ke
ntu
cky
New
Je
rse
yG
eorg
iaH
awai
iO
hio
Ind
ian
aA
rizo
na
Neb
rask
aU
tah
De
law
are
Iow
aN
atio
nFl
ori
da
New
Ham
psh
ire
Vir
gin
iaTe
nn
esse
eIll
ino
isM
ain
eM
inn
eso
taM
isso
uri
Ve
rmo
nt
Idah
oC
on
nec
ticu
tP
en
nsy
lvan
iaN
ew Y
ork
Rh
od
e Is
lan
dM
assa
chu
sett
s
20
Source: NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2015-16 Instructional Activity File; efia2016 Provisional Release Data File.
Origin of 75 Percent of All Undergraduates, by USHE Institution, Fall 2017
21
University of Utah
Utah State University
Weber State
University
Southern Utah
UniversitySnow
CollegeDixie State University
Utah Valley University
Salt Lake Community
College
1 Salt Lake (44.8)
Unknown (37)
Davis (42) Iron (22)Sanpete
(17.8)Washington
(53.1)Utah (60.1) Salt Lake (76.9)
2 Domestic Non-Resident
(25.9)
Domestic Non-
Resident (22.1)
Weber (31.1)
Domestic Non-
Resident (21.8)
Salt Lake (15.9)
Domestic Non-
Resident (18.5)
Salt Lake (12.6)
3 Cache (10.6)Salt Lake
(10.1)Utah (13.5)
4 Utah (9.5) Sevier (12.1)
5Washington
(6.9)
Domestic Non-
Resident (5.4)
6 Millard (4.7)
7 Juab (4.3)
Notes: The proportion of total undergraduates is given by the number in parentheses. Data are for county of origin for Utah residents. Domestic non-residents are U.S. citizens from other states. The calculation of the percentage includes international students. At Brigham Young University, 58.3 percent of undergraduates are domestic non-residents and an additional 15.6 percent are from Utah County.Source: USHE
FAFSA Applicants Who Failed to Enroll, by County, 2017
22
Recent High School Graduates Who Were FAFSA Applicants as a Percent of 18 Year Olds
All FAFSA Applicants as a Percent of 18-34 Year Olds
Undergraduate Awards per 1,000 Population Age 18-44 with No College Degree, 2015-16
Sources: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File; U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey; Table B15001
67
.86
5.7
65
.26
5.2
64
.66
3.0
60
.66
0.5
58
.25
7.5
57
.45
6.5
56
.05
5.9
54
.55
4.4
54
.05
2.3
51
.15
0.4
49
.84
9.4
49
.14
9.0
48
.94
8.8
48
.14
7.9
47
.74
6.5
46
.54
6.5
46
.34
5.9
45
.84
5.5
45
.54
4.7
43
.94
3.1
42
.84
2.2
41
.24
0.6
40
.13
9.4
37
.03
6.8
36
.72
5.7
22
.1
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80R
ho
de
Isla
nd
Iow
aM
inn
eso
taU
tah
New
Ham
psh
ire
Kan
sas
Ve
rmo
nt
Mas
sach
use
tts
Was
hin
gto
nV
irgi
nia
Wis
con
sin
Ari
zon
aIll
ino
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rask
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ort
h D
ako
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ork
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Mex
ico
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ama
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ne
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st V
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New
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rse
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uth
Car
olin
aO
klah
om
aTe
xas
Ten
nes
see
Nev
ada
Ala
ska
23
Proportion (%) of Undergraduate Awards by Level (2015-16)
Source: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File.
12.9%
7.3%
22.5%
57.3%
12.5% 11.7%
26.1%
49.7%
Certificate, Less than 1 Year Certificate,1 Year or More Associate's degree Bachelor's degree
Utah Nation
24
Proportion (%) of Undergraduate Credentials Awarded by Type - STEM, Health, and Other (2015-16)
25Source: NCES, IPEDS 2015-16 Completions File; c2016_a Provisional Release Data File.
15.2
22.2
62.6
14.217.8
68
STEM Health Other
Utah US
Public FTE Enrollment and Educational Appropriations per FTE, Utah, FY 1992-2017
26
Net Tuition as a Percent of Public Higher Education Total Educational Revenue by State, FY 2016
Source: SHEEO SHEF FY 2016
12
.7%
21
.0%
29
.5%
31
.3%
31
.9%
34
.5%
34
.8%
35
.3%
37
.3%
37
.7%
38
.4%
40
.1%
40
.3%
43
.3%
44
.8%
45
.6%
46
.1%
46
.5%
47
.3%
47
.6%
48
.0%
48
.2%
48
.7%
48
.9%
48
.9%
49
.7%
50
.7%
51
.2%
51
.5%
52
.7%
53
.5%
55
.1%
58
.2%
59
.3%
59
.5%
60
.2%
60
.7%
61
.0%
62
.6%
63
.0%
64
.0%
64
.1% 67
.7%
67
.8%
68
.8%
69
.4%
72
.7%
75
.0% 78
.8%
86
.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Wyo
min
gC
alif
orn
iaA
lask
aN
ew
Me
xico
Haw
aii
No
rth
Car
olin
aFl
ori
da
Idah
oN
ew
Yo
rkN
eva
da
Ge
org
iaN
eb
rask
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xas
Mas
sach
use
tts
Lou
isia
na
Was
hin
gto
nA
rkan
sas
Uta
hU
STe
nn
esse
eN
ort
h D
ako
taO
klah
om
aM
issi
ssip
pi
Mis
sou
riM
aryl
and
Ken
tuck
yW
isco
nsi
nC
on
ne
ctic
ut
Mo
nta
na
Kan
sas
Min
ne
sota
Mai
ne
Ore
gon
Oh
ioN
ew
Je
rsey
Iow
aIn
dia
na
Rh
od
e Is
lan
dA
rizo
na
Sou
th C
aro
lina
Wes
t V
irgi
nia
Vir
gin
iaSo
uth
Dak
ota
Ala
bam
aC
olo
rad
oM
ich
igan
Pen
nsy
lvan
iaD
elaw
are
Ne
w H
amp
shir
eV
erm
on
t
27
Family Share of Public Higher Education Operating Revenues, Utah
Source: SHEEO28
Net Cost as a Percent of Median Family Income, Public 4-Year Institutions, 2015-16
10
.9 11
.71
1.8 1
3.5
13
.81
4.0
14
.51
4.8
15
.21
5.6
15
.81
5.9
16
.21
6.7
16
.81
6.8
17
.31
7.5
17
.51
7.6
18
.01
8.1
18
.11
8.2
18
.21
8.3
18
.41
8.4
18
.41
8.6
19
.01
9.0
19
.11
9.1
19
.51
9.6
19
.61
9.9
20
.02
0.1
20
.42
0.4
20
.62
0.6 21
.42
1.9
21
.9 22
.82
2.9
23
.02
7.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Wyo
min
gA
lask
aU
tah
Idah
oN
ew M
exic
oIo
wa
Mis
siss
ipp
iO
klah
om
aN
ort
h D
ako
taM
aryl
and
Lou
isia
na
Mo
nta
na
Mis
sou
riTe
nn
esse
eA
rkan
sas
Neb
rask
aM
ain
eG
eorg
iaK
ansa
sTe
xas
Co
nn
ecti
cut
No
rth
Car
olin
aM
inn
eso
taV
erm
on
tM
assa
chu
sett
sK
en
tuck
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ori
da
We
st V
irgi
nia
Cal
ifo
rnia
Sou
th D
ako
taIn
dia
na
Was
hin
gto
nN
atio
nN
ew Y
ork
Wis
con
sin
Nev
ada
Rh
od
e Is
lan
dA
rizo
na
Co
lora
do
New
Je
rse
yA
lab
ama
De
law
are
Vir
gin
iaN
ew H
amp
shir
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awai
iM
ich
igan
Illin
ois
Oh
ioSo
uth
Car
olin
aO
rego
nP
en
nsy
lvan
ia
29
Source: NCES, IPEDS Institutional Characteristics Files; hd2016 and ic2016_ay Provisional Release Data Files; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2015 Enrollment File; ef2015a Provisional Release Data File; NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2015-16 Student Financial Aid File; sfa1516 Provisional Release Data File; U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey (ACS) One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Net Cost as a Percent of Lowest Quintile Family Income, Public 4-Year Institutions, 2015-16
32
.3 34
.64
0.4
41
.44
2.5 4
7.3
48
.1 50
.05
0.2 52
.65
2.6
53
.75
4.9
55
.75
5.8
57
.05
8.8
58
.85
9.1
59
.86
1.0
61
.26
1.6
62
.76
3.1
63
.96
4.2
64
.36
4.4
65
.06
6.0
66
.86
7.2
67
.5 69
.87
0.7
70
.77
0.8
72
.27
2.3
72
.77
2.9 76
.07
6.1
76
.57
7.5
78
.8 81
.28
1.8
83
.69
0.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Wyo
min
gU
tah
Ala
ska
Iow
aId
aho
No
rth
Dak
ota
Mo
nta
na
Okl
aho
ma
Neb
rask
aM
ain
eN
ew M
exic
oM
aryl
and
Mis
sou
riM
inn
eso
taK
ansa
sA
rkan
sas
Mis
siss
ipp
iSo
uth
Dak
ota
Ten
nes
see
New
Ham
psh
ire
Flo
rid
aV
erm
on
tIn
dia
na
Wis
con
sin
Was
hin
gto
nC
olo
rad
oN
ort
h C
aro
lina
Lou
isia
na
Geo
rgia
Texa
sN
evad
aC
on
nec
ticu
tW
est
Vir
gin
iaN
atio
nH
awai
iC
alif
orn
iaM
assa
chu
sett
sK
en
tuck
yV
irgi
nia
De
law
are
Ari
zon
aO
rego
nA
lab
ama
Mic
hig
anR
ho
de
Isla
nd
Sou
th C
aro
lina
New
Je
rse
yO
hio
New
Yo
rkIll
ino
isP
en
nsy
lvan
ia
30
Source: NCES, IPEDS Institutional Characteristics Files; hd2016 and ic2016_ay Provisional Release Data Files; NCES, IPEDS Fall 2015 Enrollment File; ef2015a Provisional Release Data File; NCES, IPEDS Academic Year 2015-16 Student Financial Aid File; sfa1516 Provisional Release Data File; U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 American Community Survey (ACS) One-Year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Utah Population by Age & Race/Ethnicity, 2017
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
0-18 19-24 25-44 45-64 65+
White Hispanic Black Other
31
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division; SC-EST2017-ALLDATA6: Annual State Resident Population Estimates for 6 Race Groups (5 Race Alone Groups and Two or More Races) by Age, Sex, and Hispanic Origin: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2017; File: 7/1/2017 State Characteristics Population Estimates; Release Date: June 2018
Change in Utah Population by Age & Race, 2007-2017
-20,000
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
0-18 19-24 25-44 45-64 65+
White Hispanic Black Other
32
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; Summary File 1; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division; SC-EST2017-ALLDATA6: Annual State Resident Population Estimates for 6 Race Groups (5 Race Alone Groups and Two or More Races) by Age, Sex, and Hispanic Origin: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2017; File: 7/1/2017 State Characteristics Population Estimates; Release Date: June 2018
Per Capita Income by State, 2017
$7
0,1
21
$6
5,8
90
$6
2,5
54
$6
0,9
91
$5
9,5
24
$5
8,2
72
$5
7,5
74
$5
6,7
24
$5
6,2
83
$5
6,0
42
$5
4,6
43
$5
4,2
44
$5
3,5
04
$5
3,0
43
$5
2,8
08
$5
2,0
96
$5
1,9
39
$5
1,5
03
$5
1,1
14
$5
0,3
95
$5
0,3
92
$4
9,1
25
$4
8,2
81
$4
7,8
50
$4
7,6
03
$4
6,9
42
$4
6,8
58
$4
6,3
61
$4
5,9
96
$4
5,6
15
$4
5,2
55
$4
5,0
72
$4
4,6
26
$4
4,2
66
$4
4,1
65
$4
3,9
07
$4
3,6
61
$4
3,4
91
$4
3,4
49
$4
3,3
03
$4
3,2
70
$4
2,0
43
$4
1,6
33
$4
0,7
91
$4
0,5
07
$4
0,4
21
$3
9,9
76
$3
9,3
93
$3
9,0
23
$3
7,9
24
$3
6,3
46
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
Co
nn
ecti
cut
Mas
sach
use
tts
New
Je
rse
yN
ew Y
ork
Mar
ylan
dC
alif
orn
iaN
ew H
amp
shir
eW
yom
ing
Was
hin
gto
nA
lask
aN
ort
h D
ako
taV
irgi
nia
Co
lora
do
Min
nes
ota
Illin
ois
Pe
nn
sylv
ania
Haw
aii
Rh
od
e Is
lan
dV
erm
on
tN
ebra
ska
Nat
ion
De
law
are
Sou
th D
ako
taW
isco
nsi
nK
ansa
sTe
xas
Flo
rid
aO
rego
nIo
wa
Oh
ioM
ich
igan
Mai
ne
Nev
ada
Ten
nes
see
Ind
ian
aM
on
tan
aM
isso
uri
Lou
isia
na
Okl
aho
ma
No
rth
Car
olin
aG
eorg
iaU
tah
Ari
zon
aA
rkan
sas
Idah
oSo
uth
Car
olin
aA
lab
ama
Ke
ntu
cky
New
Mex
ico
We
st V
irgi
nia
Mis
siss
ipp
i
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Per Capita Income by County, Utah (2016)
34Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Percent Change in GDP, Utah & US
10.4%11.5%
29.0%
20.1%
Utah US Average
Percent Change, 2007 to 2012 Percent Change, 2012 to 2017
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Percent of Total Gross State Product by Industry and Comparison to U.S.
0.4
2.9
6.6
12
.0
4.8 5.2
7.2
21
.3
25
.6
13
.9
0.5
1.4
6.2
11
.2
4.6 5
.3
7.1
22
.3
28
.6
12
.8
1.0 1
.4
4.3
11
.8
4.6 6
.0
5.9
21
.0
31
.8
12
.4
Agriculture,forestry,
fishing, andhunting
Mining Construction Manufacturing Transportation,Warehousing,
Utilities
Wholesaletrade
Retail trade Finance,insurance, realestate, rental,
and leasing
Informationand Services
Government
Utah 2006 Utah 2016 US 2016
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis.
36
Non-Agricultural Jobs by Industry, State of Utah, 2007 and 2017
37
Industry 2007 20172017 Percent
of Total2007-2017
ChangePercentGrowth
Total Non Agricultural Wage and Salary Jobs 1,251,233 1,469,068 217,835 17%
Government 76,410 79,402 5% 2,992 4%
Trade, Transportation & Utilities 259,098 293,394 20% 34,296 13%
Leisure & Hospitality 117,737 150,336 10% 32,599 28%
Education & Health Services 247,717 336,127 23% 88,410 36%
Natural Resources & Mining & Construction 115,648 107,305 7% -8,343 -7%
Financial Activities 75,288 84,810 6% 9,522 13%
Other Services 36,149 40,731 3% 4,582 13%
Manufacturing 127,708 129,231 9% 1,523 1%
Information 33,681 39,770 3% 6,089 18%
Professional & Business Services 161,797 207,962 14% 46,165 29%
Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services, https://jobs.Utah.gov
Utah Average Annual Employment by Major Industry Group and Number of Workers with a College Degree – 2012-16
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Industry TitleTotal Number
EmployedNumber Employed with
a College CredentialPercent with a College
Credential
Manufacturing 120,949 41,459 34.3
Professional, Scientific, Management, Administrative, Waste Management Services
119,248 65,971 55.3
Educational 110,397 80,246 72.7
Retail Trade 107,909 32,484 30.1
Health 104,599 66,963 64.0
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate, Rental and Leasing 71,224 37,155 52.2
Construction 70,672 15,323 21.7
Arts, Entertainment, Recreation, Accommodation, Food Services 63,682 17,794 27.9
Public Administration 60,417 29,994 49.6
Transportation and Warehousing 45,274 13,505 29.8
Other Services 37,032 14,136 38.2
Wholesale Trade 29,103 11,802 40.6
Information 24,115 12,650 52.5
Mining 13,413 3,291 24.5
Social Services 12,524 6,433 51.4
Utilities 8,560 3,365 39.3
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, and Hunting 7,334 2,281 31.1
Military 2,882 1,473 51.1
Total 1,009,334 456,325 45.2
38
Utah Average Annual Employment by Major Occupation Group and Number of Workers with a College Degree – 2012-16
39
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) File.
Industry Title Total Number EmployedNumber Employed with a
College CredentialPercent with a College
Credential
Managerial 118,472 72,606 61.3
Education, Training, and Library 68,920 56,469 81.9
Office and Administrative Support 148,876 49,391 33.2
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical 56,735 48,454 85.4
Sales and Related 100,907 37,991 37.6
Computer and Mathematical 41,395 28,644 69.2
Financial Operations 28,221 21,331 75.6
Architecture and Engineering 22,803 17,088 74.9
Business 28,461 16,933 59.5
Arts, Entertainment, Design, Sports, and Media 18,599 12,918 69.5
Production 69,107 11,454 16.6
Community and Social Services 14,612 11,232 76.9
Transportation and Material Moving 58,582 9,953 17.0
Legal 10,614 8,937 84.2
Life, Physical, and Social Sciences 9,527 7,974 83.7
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair 34,882 7,699 22.1
Construction 52,208 6,935 13.3
Protective Services 17,752 6,798 38.3
Personal Care and Service 17,307 5,841 33.7
Healthcare Support 18,185 5,776 31.8
Food Preparation and Serving 33,676 5,450 16.2
Building, Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance 31,172 4,717 15.1
Military 1,500 794 52.9
Farming, Fishing, Forestry, and Hunting 3,751 636 17.0
Extraction 3,070 304 9.9
Total 1,009,334 456,325 45.2
Occupational Employment & Growth, Utah, 2016-2026
40
Occupation TitleEmployment,
2016Employment
2026Net Change
Percent Change
Average Annual
Openings, Growth
Average Annual
Openings, Replacement
Average Annual
Openings, Total
Total, All 1,490,490 1,924,190 433,700 29.1 43,370 185,010 228,380
Office & Administrative Support 254,530 310,780 56,250 22.1 5,625 31,816 37,441
Sales & Related 150,100 182,510 32,410 21.6 3,241 22,054 25,295
Food Preparation & Serving Related 112,490 147,290 34,800 30.9 3,480 22,327 25,807
Management 97,400 126,930 29,530 30.3 2,953 8,657 11,610
Production 94,120 112,840 18,720 19.9 1,872 11,658 13,530
Construction & Extraction 93,310 131,290 37,980 40.7 3,799 11,277 15,076
Transportation & Material Moving 89,860 117,350 27,490 30.6 2,749 12,203 14,952
Education, Training, & Library 83,880 110,520 26,640 31.8 2,664 8,211 10,874
Business & Financial Operations 77,760 104,590 26,830 34.5 2,683 8,003 10,686
Healthcare Practitioners & Technical 70,560 94,700 24,140 34.2 2,415 4,320 6,734
Installation, Maintenance, & Repair 58,460 74,550 16,090 27.5 1,609 6,240 7,849
Building & Grounds Cleaning & Maintenance 51,780 67,170 15,390 29.7 1,539 7,374 8,913
Personal Care & Service 48,650 67,500 18,850 38.7 1,885 8,903 10,788
Computer & Mathematical 46,680 67,330 20,650 44.2 2,065 3,716 5,781
Healthcare Support 34,740 47,900 13,160 37.9 1,316 4,548 5,864
Architecture & Engineering 26,530 34,580 8,050 30.4 806 2,155 2,961
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, & Media 26,480 35,120 8,640 32.6 864 2,949 3,813
Protective Service 23,020 27,980 4,960 21.5 496 2,914 3,410
Community & Social Service 21,230 27,990 6,760 31.9 677 2,650 3,327
Life, Physical, & Social Science 11,480 15,050 3,570 31.1 357 1,175 1,531
Legal 9,610 11,870 2,260 23.5 226 656 882
Farming, Fishing, & Forestry 7,840 8,370 530 6.7 53 1,206 1,259
Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services, https://jobs.Utah.gov
Percent of Adults Aged 25 to 64 with College Degrees Employed in Management and Professional Occupations (2012-16)
41
72
.97
0.5
70
.57
0.0
68
.76
8.6
68
.46
8.3
67
.96
7.6
67
.16
7.0
67
.06
6.7
66
.76
6.4
66
.36
6.3
66
.26
6.2
66
.06
5.9
65
.96
5.8
65
.66
5.6
65
.56
5.5
65
.56
5.4
65
.46
5.3
65
.16
5.1
64
.56
4.4
64
.46
3.8
63
.66
3.4
63
.36
2.9
62
.56
2.2
62
.16
0.9
60
.65
9.0
57
.25
6.9
56
.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Mar
ylan
dV
irgi
nia
Mas
sach
use
tts
Co
nn
ecti
cut
New
Je
rse
yD
ela
war
eTe
xas
Ve
rmo
nt
Cal
ifo
rnia
We
st V
irgi
nia
Lou
isia
na
New
Mex
ico
Ark
ansa
sP
en
nsy
lvan
iaO
hio
New
Ham
psh
ire
Was
hin
gto
nU
tah
Nat
ion
Kan
sas
Geo
rgia
Rh
od
e Is
lan
dO
rego
nM
isso
uri
Okl
aho
ma
Ten
nes
see
No
rth
Car
olin
aC
olo
rad
oM
ich
igan
Min
nes
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ois
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Yo
rkA
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ama
Ari
zon
aK
en
tuck
yId
aho
Ala
ska
Wis
con
sin
Mai
ne
Mo
nta
na
Ind
ian
aN
ebra
ska
Iow
aM
issi
ssip
pi
Sou
th C
aro
lina
Flo
rid
aSo
uth
Dak
ota
Wyo
min
gH
awai
iN
ort
h D
ako
taN
evad
a
Source: 2012-16 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample)
Percent of Adults Aged 25 to 64 with College Degrees Employed in High Tech Occupations (2012-16)
42
12
.71
2.2
12
.11
1.1
11
.11
0.5
10
.21
0.0
10
.09
.89
.89
.79
.59
.39
.39
.18
.98
.88
.78
.68
.68
.58
.48
.48
.38
.38
.37
.97
.67
.67
.67
.57
.17
.07
.06
.86
.76
.66
.66
.56
.56
.46
.46
.46
.36
.25
.95
.85
.85
.04
.8
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Was
hin
gto
nV
irgi
nia
Mar
ylan
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alif
orn
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olo
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amp
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ich
igan
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rego
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Je
rse
yA
rizo
na
De
law
are
Min
nes
ota
Idah
oN
atio
nC
on
nec
ticu
tN
ew M
exic
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ino
isA
lab
ama
Geo
rgia
Oh
ioK
ansa
sP
en
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lvan
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isco
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nN
ort
h C
aro
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wa
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od
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lan
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erm
on
tIn
dia
na
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th C
aro
lina
Ala
ska
Neb
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nn
esse
eO
klah
om
aN
ew Y
ork
Flo
rid
aH
awai
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uis
ian
aW
est
Vir
gin
iaSo
uth
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No
rth
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ota
Ark
ansa
sN
evad
aM
on
tan
aM
ain
eW
yom
ing
Mis
siss
ipp
i
Source: 2012-16 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample)
The Relationship Between Educational Attainment, Personal Income, and the State New Economy Index
Perc
ent
of
Ad
ult
s 2
5 t
o 6
4 w
ith
Co
llege
Deg
ree
s (2
01
6)
Personal Income per Capita (2016)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey; Bureau of Economic Analysis; ITIF
AL
AKAZ
AR
CA
COCT
DEFLGA
HI
ID
IL
IN
IA KS
KY
LA
ME
MD
MA
MI
MN
MS
MO
MT
NE
NV
NHNJ
NM
NY
NC
ND
OH
OK
OR PA
RI
SC
SD
TN
TX
UT
VT
VA
WA
WV
WI
WY
US
27
34
41
48
55
30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 60,000 65,000 70,000
State New Economy Index 2017
Top Tier
Middle Tier
Bottom Tier
High College Attainment, Low Personal Income High College Attainment, High Personal Income
Low College Attainment, Low Personal Income Low College Attainment, High Personal Income
43
Source: ITIF 2017 States New Economy Index
2017 State New Economy Index – Overall Index Scores
96
.68
4.7
84
.58
1.7
80
.47
8.9
78
.37
7.6
77
.37
6.4
74
.57
2.6
71
.47
1.4
70
.66
9.2
67
.56
6.8
66
.86
6.7
66
.56
5.6
64
.46
2.7
62
.76
1.3
60
.45
9.9
59
58
.55
7.5
57
.45
6.9
55
.95
5.8
55
.35
5.2
54
.85
1.8
50
.55
0.1
49
.54
9.5
49
.14
8.2
47
.94
7.6
47
.14
4.1
42
.83
7.9
0
20
40
60
80
100
120M
assa
chu
sett
sC
alif
orn
iaW
ash
ingt
on
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elaw
are
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olo
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ew J
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tah
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ich
igan
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ois
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sV
erm
on
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ho
de
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nd
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zon
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h C
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rage
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sou
riId
aho
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ada
Ten
nes
see
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ian
aN
ew M
exic
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uth
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olin
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wa
No
rth
Dak
ota
Ken
tuck
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uth
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ska
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nta
na
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bam
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kalh
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ian
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yom
ing
Wes
t V
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nia
Ark
ansa
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ssip
pi
44
Federally Financed R&D Expenditures Per Capita, State Totals, 2013
45
5.8
53
23
.32
20
2.5
11
97
.18
18
4.8
51
83
.83
17
4.4
31
70
.19
16
6.2
81
58
.52
15
2.5
71
46
.68
14
3.5
41
42
.29
14
0.6
51
30
.62
12
9.0
71
27
.69
12
6.1
51
24
.16
12
3.4
31
23
.14
12
1.5
51
18
.30
11
6.7
21
14
.87
11
0.1
61
06
.69
10
6.3
61
05
.81
10
0.9
09
3.5
09
2.3
99
1.4
29
1.2
08
9.2
88
2.5
78
0.6
47
6.1
17
2.9
56
9.4
86
4.2
06
3.0
85
6.6
75
5.0
05
1.3
35
0.9
74
8.4
63
8.8
13
6.7
13
6.6
8
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500M
aryl
and
Mas
sach
use
tts
Rh
od
e Is
lan
dN
ew H
amp
shir
eC
on
nec
ticu
tP
en
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lvan
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olo
rad
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ort
h C
aro
lina
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rkW
ash
ingt
on
Uta
hA
lask
aV
erm
on
tD
ela
war
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nN
ew M
exic
oM
ich
igan
Cal
ifo
rnia
Wis
con
sin
Nat
ion
Iow
aIll
ino
isG
eorg
iaO
hio
No
rth
Dak
ota
Mo
nta
na
Ala
bam
aTe
nn
esse
eN
ebra
ska
Mis
sou
riM
inn
eso
taW
yom
ing
Vir
gin
iaIn
dia
na
Kan
sas
Ari
zon
aTe
xas
New
Je
rse
ySo
uth
Dak
ota
Mis
siss
ipp
iLo
uis
ian
aSo
uth
Car
olin
aFl
ori
da
Ke
ntu
cky
We
st V
irgi
nia
Idah
oO
klah
om
aA
rkan
sas
Nev
ada
Mai
ne
Source: National Science Foundation; WebCASPAR 45
Average Annual Net Migration of 22 to 64 Year Olds by Education Level, Utah, 2012-16
835
2,628
4,941
2,165
-611
2,678
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Less than HighSchool
High SchoolGraduate
Some College, NoDegree
Associate'sDegree
Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional
Degree
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample. 46
Migration Churn Rate Estimate 22-64 (Per 1,000 Population), Associates Degree & Above
47
19
6.5
14
5.0
12
9.3
12
7.2
11
8.4
11
5.2
10
9.0
10
8.0
10
7.7
10
7.5
10
6.5
10
6.4
10
3.1
10
1.6
99
.59
8.2
97
.79
4.8
94
.69
4.5
92
.59
0.9
88
.88
6.0
85
.18
4.8
82
.48
2.4
82
.18
1.7
79
.67
7.8
77
.37
5.5
74
.47
3.8
73
.27
2.0
71
.47
0.9
69
.76
9.4
68
.36
8.3
65
.56
3.5
61
.26
0.6
59
.55
9.4
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200A
lask
aW
yom
ing
Haw
aii
Nev
ada
Rh
od
e Is
lan
dId
aho
De
law
are
Vir
gin
iaN
ort
h D
ako
taN
ew M
exic
oA
rizo
na
Co
lora
do
Ve
rmo
nt
New
Ham
psh
ire
Ore
gon
Mar
ylan
dM
on
tan
aW
ash
ingt
on
Sou
th C
aro
lina
Kan
sas
Uta
hN
ort
h C
aro
lina
Ten
nes
see
Sou
th D
ako
taC
on
nec
ticu
tG
eorg
iaW
est
Vir
gin
iaM
isso
uri
Mas
sach
use
tts
Flo
rid
aO
klah
om
aM
ain
eN
ebra
ska
Ke
ntu
cky
Iow
aA
lab
ama
Lou
isia
na
Ind
ian
aIll
ino
isA
rkan
sas
New
Je
rse
yTe
xas
Pe
nn
sylv
ania
Mis
siss
ipp
iN
ew Y
ork
Min
nes
ota
Wis
con
sin
Oh
ioM
ich
igan
Cal
ifo
rnia
Note: Migration Churn Rate is the sum of in-migrants and out-migrants relative to 1,000 state population (population base excludes in-migrants for this calculation).Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012-16 American Community Survey (ACS) Five-Year Public Use Microdata Sample.
Projected Percent Change by Selected Age Group, 2016-2040
48Source: Kem C. Gardner Institute.
County Share of the State Population Change, 2015-2040
49
Source: Kem C. Gardner Institute.
Projected Natural Increase and Net Migration, State of Utah, 2015-2040
50Source: Kem C. Gardner Institute.
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Natural Increase Net Migration
Summary of Environmental Scan
• Strengths– High attainment relative to most other states– Strong K-12 pipeline performance and postsecondary participation of
adults– Relatively strong starting position in finance, affordability, efficiency– Thriving economy and growing population, including in-migration– Mix of awards tilts slightly toward STEM and health
• Challenges– Income measures are low relative to other states– College-going lags other states (due in part to LDS commitments), and
chances for enrollment are weaker in rural areas– Emphasis on baccalaureate programs and a relatively high share of
residents with some college, no degree– Continued growth in enrollment demand, from a diversifying population
mostly concentrated in Salt Lake and Utah counties– Meeting employment needs of a strengthening high-tech economy
51
Emergent Themes/Topics
• Goals– Clarity around the goal
– Other goals, e.g., workforce preparation, economic diversification, innovation, equity gaps, etc.
• Serving adult students – new education and business models
• Work-based learning– Outreach and delivery
– Credentialing
• Affordability– Student debt
– Sub-baccalaureate tuition
– Measurement and monitoring
52
Emergent Themes/Topics
• Organization of higher education– Meeting future needs, e.g., alternative delivery, sharing of programs
– Institutional productivity, e.g., facilities, sharing of services
• Governance– Regents and USHE institutions trustees
– Legislature and regents – trust issues
– Statewide coordination and structure
• Institutional missions– Mission clarity and program approval
– The two-year mission – dual mission versus a more typical community college approach
– Expectations regarding research and public service
53
Next Steps
• Model building– Future enrollment demand
– Future workforce demands for education
– Cost modeling
• Regional meetings
• Report drafting
54
Regional Meetings
• Regional meetings– Locations
• Logan (Bear River region)• Uintah Basin (Vernal)• Ogden (Wasatch Front North)• Downtown Salt Lake City & Draper
(Wasatch Front South)• Provo (Mountainland)• Ephraim or Richfield (Central Utah)• Cedar City (Southwest)• Moab or Price (Southeast)
– Identification and recruitment of participants by USHE, USTC, DWS, & GOED
– Agenda• Brief data foundation• Local challenges and opportunities• Current and future educational and workforce needs• Testing/refinement of models
55
Contact Information
Brian Prescott
303.497.0354
Dennis Jones
303.497.0315
56
