INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate...
Transcript of INTEGRATING CLIMATE VULNERABILITY & RISK ASSESSMENT INTO ... of CCSI 2014... · integrating climate...
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INTEGRATING CLIMATE
VULNERABILITY & RISK
ASSESSMENT INTO
URBAN SPATIAL PLANNING
PROCESS
(CASE STUDY: BLITAR CITY, EAST JAVA, INDONESIA)
SHINTA MICHIKO PUTERI, ST, MT.
DR. IR. DENNY ZULKAIDI, MUP.
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WRITER
SHINTA MICHIKO PUTERI, ST, MT
[email protected] ACCCRN Program Officer in Mercy Corps Indonesia Master, Urban Planning Program in Institut Teknologi Bandung
DR. IR. DENNY ZULKAIDI, MUP
[email protected] Assistant Professor in Institut Teknologi Bandung Doctor, Urban Planning Program in Institut Teknologi Bandung
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INTRODUCTION
• Climate risk assessment (CRA) as a major input for climate change adaptation planning process can address climate change challenge.
• Cities can maintain its environment quality, livelihood, and sustainability.
• Many methods of CRA already developed by research organization and its result is used by city government to be integrated into urban spatial plan.
• The current methodology is less workable for governments official’s with limited resources and capacity
• Integrated into spatial plan product, not the process, so there is no chance to improve urban spatial plan.
“This research aims to analyze a potential integration between spatial planning and climate risk assessment in order to develop a better planning process that considering climate change measures and its impact.”
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INTRODUCTION
CRA PROCESS CRA
OUTPUT
SPATIAL PLAN
PROCESS
SPATIAL PLAN
OUTPUT
POTENTIAL TO BE INTEGRATED
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THEORETICAL
FRAMEWORK
Climate Change Study
Causes, Impacts, Implications
Basic & Definition
Approach & Respond Strategy
Mitigation Approach
Adaptation Approach
Climate City Resilience Planning
Vulnerability & Risk Assessment
Adaptive Capacity
Adaptation Strategy
Spatial Planning Process
Data Analytical Stage
Data Collection Stage
INTEGRATION
Disaster Management as one of Climate Respond Strategy
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APPROACH & CASE
STUDY
Development of method framework of integrating CRA into urban spatial planning process
Pilot the method to cities in Indonesia using single case study of Blitar City
Method refinement
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APPROACH & CASE
STUDY
Methods used in this research are content analysis which is used in generating method framework of integration; and spatial multi criteria assessment to calculate risk level in Blitar City.
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CLIMATE RISK
ASSESSMENT METHODS
HAZARD ANALYSIS VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS
RISK ANALYSIS
Overlay Hazard & Vulnerability
Direct such as:
Flood, Drought, Landslide
Indirect such as
Vector Born Disease, Crop Failure
Physical Electricity Clean water House Sanitation Road
Social Population Health Education Social capital Community preparedness
Economical Income Employment Household & region asset Subsidies & budget
Institutional Mainstreaming Crisis management Institution Collaboration Good governance
Environmental Ecosystem services Land use
Methods:
Spatial multi criteria assessment
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HAZARD IN
BLITAR
Source: Disaster Management Plan East Java Province, 2012; Analysis Result, 2013
Blow up and overlay disaster maps: • Flood • Extreme Weather • Epidemic & Vector Born
Disease • Drought • Landslide
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VULNERABILITY IN
BLITAR
Source: Analysis Result, 2013
Used indicators:
• Physical Electricity, telephone, clean water access, water scarcity water quality, sanitation, drainage, waste collection and management
• Economical Income, employment, household and region asset
• Social Population, health, education
• Environmental Land use
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RISK IN
BLITAR
Source: Analysis Result, 2013
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SPATIAL PLAN IN
BLITAR
Source: Blitar Spatial
Plan, 2011-2030
Spatial Planning Pattern City Service Center Planning
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SPATIAL PLAN IN
BLITAR
Strategic City Area Planning Housing Planning
Source: Blitar Spatial
Plan, 2011-2030
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RESULT
DATA COLLECTION
Physical & Environmental Data
Social & Cultural Data
Economic Data
DATA PROCESSING ANALYSIS
Physical & Environmental Analysis
Social & Cultural Analysis
Economic Analysis
SPATIAL PLANNING FORMULATION
CIT
Y S
PA
TIA
L P
LA
N P
RO
CE
SS
Spatial Plan Product / Output 1. Purpose, policy, strategy 2. Spatial planning structure 3. Spatial planning pattern 4. Strategic city area
DATA COLLECTION
Physical & Environmental Data Social & Cultural Data Economic Data Institutional Data
CIT
Y R
ES
ILIE
NC
E
PL
AN
NIN
G P
RO
CE
SS
DATA PROCESSING ANALYSIS
Vulnerability & Risk Assessment Hazard Analysis Vulnerability Analysis Risk Analysis
CITY RESILIENCE STRATEGY FORMULATION
Climate Change Adaptation Strategy
SP
AT
IAL
UT
ILIZ
AT
ION
CO
NT
RO
L &
MO
NIT
OR
ING
OF
SP
AT
IAL
UT
ILIZ
AT
ION
INTEGRATION PROCESS NORMAL PROCESS
“OUTPUT” CITY SPATIAL
PLAN THAT
ALREADY
MAINSTREAMING CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSUE
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CONCLUSION
The result of shows that Climate Risk Assessment can be integrated into three stages of urban spatial planning process, these are:
(1) Data collection;
(2) Data processing analysis; and
(3) Planning formulation.
Based on pilot result in Blitar, Climate Risk Assessment has been proven to improve urban spatial planning product in four contents, which are:
(1) Purpose, policy, and strategy of spatial planning;
(2) (2) Spatial planning structure;
(3) (3) Spatial planning pattern; and
(4) (4) Strategic city area.
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THANK YOU