Integrated Program OfficeBriefing to

Shared Processing Operations Steering Committee

CAPT Craig Nelson

Major Markus Sorrells Mr. Bill Devens

November 28, 2001

2

AGENDA

• NPOESS Program Status

• COPC/SPOSC NPOESS Topics

• Other COPC/SPOSC TOPICS

• Significant Activities Since April 01 COPC/SPOSC

– NPOESS Sensors

• CMIS – BSS Contract

• APS – Now Part of NPOESS Baseline – DoD Applications

– Field Terminal MOA Signed

• NPOESS Acquisition Schedule

– IORD Validation Status

• AFROC – 25 Oct 01 – Successfully Briefed

• JROC – 13 Dec 01 – On Track

– TRD v.6 Status – CCB 26 Nov – Release Jan 02

– RFP for EMD/TSPR Contract – Release Feb 02

• Issues

– FY 02 DoD Budget Uncertainty

– Potential Cost/Schedule Impacts

NPOESS Program Status

3

4

Instruments inDevelopment/Production Phase

Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) [NASA/GSFC Notional Design]

Aerojet

Ozone Mapping & Profiler Suite (OMPS)[Artist Conception]

Ball

Cross-track IR Sounder (CrIS)[Engineering Development Unit]

ITTVisible/IR Imaging Radiometer

Suite (VIIRS) Raytheon

Conical-scanning Microwave Imager/Sounder (CMIS) Boeing

----------------10 Year Mission Life-------------------

CY 99 00 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 1803 08 09 1001 02 0704 05 06

Local Eq

uato

rial C

rossin

g T

ime

Earliest AvailabilityS/CDeliveries

S/C delivery interval driven by 15 month IAT schedule

MissionSatisfaction

0530

1330

DMSP

WindSat/Coriolis

0730 - 1030

NPOESSC3

POES

EOS-Aqua

NPOESSC2N’

Earliest Need to back-up launch

F20

NPOESSDMSP

POES

NPP

EOS-Terra

METOP

NPOESSC1

F16

N

M

F17 F19F15

F18

Last Modified: Aug 27, 2001

16

Satellite Transition Schedule(27 August 2001)Slopes indicate 10-90% need (NPOESS GAP 6c)

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COPC/SPOSC NPOESS TOPICS

Topic Status RemarksGround Architecture Cost/Tech Driving 4 IDPSProduct Definitions Captured in IORD IITime Delivery Inflexibility Latency Defined in IORD IIProduct Needs at Centrals Centrals Capable of All xDRSProduct Production at Centrals Primary Centers of PerformanceArchives NESDIS-Long term/Short – 24 hrsIDPS Evolution CCB Process in Draft CONOPSIDPS CONOPS Final Coord. & Updates OngoingContinuing EDR Calibration EMD Resp. – Coord. w/ CentralsField Terminals HRD-LRD Def. / Contents in workAlgorithm Sustainment Evol. Alg. & R&D Draft CONOPSData Assimilation Funding & Management Issues

6

7

Primary Centers of Responsibility (PCR)

• PCR….A component concept of IDPS CONOPS

– Used to optimize NPOESS R&D efforts

• Each Central provided NPOESS R&D resources

– Evolutionary Algorithm R&D (EARD) resources

– EARD Programmer/Manager

– PCR regarded as NPOESS authority on EDR

• Ultimate source for the “official” EDRs/archived EDRs

– Designates/serves as source for the ancillary data set

– Controls the IDPS configuration used to produce the “official” set of EDRs for which it is PCR

– Impacts engineering design

8

X NESDIS

AFWA X

X NAVOCEANO

X FNMOCADS/CLASS

(Notional)

Increase NESDIS processing capacity? OrPurchase cross-country communications (and how much?)

or

Ancillary Data Sets or Environmental Data Records?

PCR Selection Drives Design Decision

9

NESDIS/OSDPDAtmospheric Soundings

NAVOCEANOMultichannel

SST & Altimetry

FNMOCMicrowave

Imagery

AFWAVisible & IR Mapped Cloud

Imagery & Analysis

Environmental Data Record Central Requirements

HRD Requirements

LRD Requirements

Key EDRs [ 6 ]

Atmospheric Vertical Moisture Profile X X X Atmospheric Vertical Temperature Profile X X X Global Sea Surface Winds X X X Visible /IR Imagery X X X Sea Surface Temperature X X X Soil Moisture X X X Atmospheric Parameters [ 9 ] Aerosol Optical Thickness X X X Aerosol Particle Size X X Aerosol Refractive Index/Single-Scattering Albedo & Shape

XX

Ozone Total Column/Profile X X Precipitable Water/Integrated Water Vapor X X X Precipitation (Type, Rate) X X X Pressure (surface/profile) X X X Suspended Matter X X X Total Water Content X X X Cloud EDRs [ 10 ] Cloud Base Height X X X Cloud Cover/Layers X X X Cloud Particle Size Distribution X X Cloud Effective Particle Size X X X Cloud Ice Water Path X X X Cloud Liquid Water X X X Cloud Optical Thickness X X X Cloud Top Height X X X Cloud Top Pressure X X X Cloud Top Temperature X X X Earth Radiation Budget EDRs [ 6 ] Albedo (Surface) X X X Downward Longwave Radiation (Surface) X X Downward Shortwave Radiation (Surface) X X Net Solar Radiation At Top of Atmosphere [Formerly Absorbed Solar Radiation]

X X Solar Irradiance X X Outgoing Longwave Radiation (ToA) X X Land EDRs [ 4 ] Land EDRs [ 4 ] Land Surface Temperature X X X Vegetation Index [Formerly Normalized Differential Vegetation Index]

X X X Snow Cover/Depth [Formerly Snow Depth Mapping]

X X X Surface Type X X Ocean/Water EDRs [7 ] Net Heat Flux X X Sea Ice Characterization X X X Ice Surface Temperature X X X Ocean Color X X X Sea Surface Height/Topography X X X Ocean Wave Characteristics/ Significant Wave Ht

X X X Global Sea Surface Wind Stress X X X Space Environmental EDRs [ 13 ] Auroral Boundary X X Auroral Energy Deposition X X Auroral Imagery X X Electric Field X X Electron Density Profiles X X Geomagnetic Field X X In situ Plasma Fluctuations X X In situ Plasma Temperatures X X Ionospheric Scintillation X X Neutral Density Profiles X X Medium Energy Charged Particles X X Energetic Ions X X Supra-Thermal through Auroral Particles X X

55EDRs

Which Central to be PCR?

* Secondary Central of Responsibility?For which EDRs?

Mechanismto

arbitratePCR/SCR

allocation?

PCRs and SCRs for 55 EDRs

* SCRs collaborate with and test PCR recommended algorithm changes

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Status of IDPS CONOPS

• Nearing completion…awaiting inputs

– Held a Centrals Conclave at IPO, 1-3 May

– Recently received consolidated inputs from follow-up Centrals’ July TIM

– Received Central IDPS CONOPS Appendices from NAVO and FNMOC…awaiting AFWA and NESDIS

– Data Distribution Servers at Centrals

• IPO has Tasked PDRR Contractors to Conduct Feasibility Studies and Provide ROM

• Impacts Short Term Storage Issue

11

GAO Review of NPOESS

• Requested by House Committee on Science• Study Initiated in August 2001• Overall Objectives

1. Evaluate the status, plans, and technical and programmatic risks associated with NPOESS acquisition and operations

2. Identify challenges in managing the vast streams of data from NPOESS satellites

3. Determine whether the IPO is effectively applying lessons learned from prior NOAA satellite acquisition efforts

• Entrance meetings with NWS and IPO in August• Numerous meetings with IPO to discuss all 3 objectives• No definitive schedule for completion of review

– Draft report may be available for spring Congressional hearings after release of FY 2003 PB

12

GAO Review of NPOESS

• Current GAO Review Team focus is on objective #2• Reviews initiated in November with DoD and NOAA

• COL Jamilkowski is DoD POC• GAO Team to visit METOC OPCs (FNMOC, NAVO,

AFWA, NCEP/NESDIS)• Focus of discussions on satellite data utilization

– Current DMSP/POES data management overview– Data flow from satellites through center to end users and archives– Current uses of satellite data– Current center processing capacity and storage

– Plans for NPOESS data management– Plans to "grow" the centers’ capacity, storage, and numerical

models to get ready for NPOESS increased data volumes– Budget plans for growing these capabilities

13

GAO Review of NPOESS

• GAO Team request for information from OPCs– Current data flow architecture for DMSP data– DMSP/POES and NPOESS portions of a current information

technology architecture (ITA) and target ITA– Migration plans for reaching the target ITA– Plans to assimilate NPOESS data into weather models– Plans and budget information supporting efforts to "grow" the

centers’ infrastructure & models

14

Satellite Data Assimilation

• COPC requested IPO to “lead and fund a vigorous data assimilation plan”

• IPO agrees with COPC precepts– Effective assimilation of satellite data into operational products is important

to success of future satellite programs (NPOESS/GOES-R) --- However IPO is not authorized nor funded to develop satellite data assimilation

techniques as part of approved program• IPO has provided >$3M over last 5 years for satellite data assimilation

experiments and development of techniques for processing data from precursor instruments– NCEP, OSDPD, AFRL, NRL, and academic institutions– (AIRS, MODIS, SSM/IS, WindSat)

• IPO will provide up to $500K annually to the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation– Funding contingent upon integration of DoD OPCs (FNMOC, NAVO,

AFWA) into the JCSDA

15

BACK-UP SLIDES

• Assignment of Primary & Secondary Centers of Responsibility

– Bill Devens

• Formal Response to COPC Data Assimilation Request

– CAPT Nelson

OTHER COPC/SPOSC TOPICS

16

IPO Sensor/Algorithm Risk Reduction Contract Status

5/00

2/01

SFR System

Functional Review

PDR Preliminary

Design Review

CFI Call For

Improvement

CDR Critical Design Review

First Unit

Delivery

3/98 12/98 4/99 5/99CrIS

Cross-track IR Sounder

8/98 2/99OMPS

Ozone Mapping & Profiler Suite

11/97

11/97 6/98GPSOS

GPS Occultation Sensor

1/99

1/99 10/99 6/00VIIRS

Visible/IR Imager Radiometer Suite

11/98

11/98 8/99 3/01CMIS

Conical Microwave Imager Sounder

2/02 3/04

3/02 (Sensor)

5/03 (Algorithm)

6/04

N/A 1/03 3/06

2/02 6/04

1/03 12/05

SFR System

Functional Review

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Activity• Integrated Operational Requirements Document

•IORD changes by JARG Complete•Senior User Advisory Group Approval•JROC Approval•IORD approved by JARC

•Technical Requirements Document•TRD w/CMIS down-select changes•Final TRD based on Validated IORD

•EMD/Production Request for Proposals•Final RFP Release•Source Selection Decision

•EXCOM EMD/Production Milestone•Defense Acquisition Board & EMD Award

Jun 00

Aug 00 Dec 00Dec 00 Mar 01May 01 Dec 01June 01 Jan 02

Aug 01 Nov 01June 01 Jan 02

Sep 01 Feb 02Jan 01 Jul 02

Feb 02 Aug 02

Revised

Milestone II/Prod Preparation Schedule

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• IORD II in Review– JROC scheduled for 13 Dec 01

• COBRA: Analysis of Alternatives due Jun 02– Guidance Received from OSD(PA&E)– Cost analysis pending completion of the POE

• SAMP in Review– DOC/NASA/SAF comments are minor and anticipate easy resolution– OSD has taken issue with combined EMD/Production strategy– Anticipated SAMP signature date of Dec 01

• TEMP – 1997 signed TEMP being updated using quarterly IPT meetings– Anticipate TEMP signature date by Aug 02

• CARD: Latest draft released 12 Nov 01• Program Office Estimate

– Estimate under review/refinement– Reconciliation with Component Cost Analysis anticipated in Dec 01

Document Status

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Summary

• EMD award slipped due to late delivery of requirements document

• Restructured PDRR

– Moved work forward to protect NPP CDR (system PDR)

– Deferred some work to post award to “create” funds

• Today -

– Requirements approval on track

– EXCOM approval on track

– No impediment to Aug 02 EMD award

• FY02 budget cuts cause massive restructure of program

– Will result in program slip

– Jeopardizes NPP, Windsat; slips NPOESS C-1 & causes coverage gap