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  • CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARYAny use of this material without specific permission of McKinsey & Company is strictly prohibited

    Innovations in SME finance

    Cairo, March 28, 2010

    Marriott Hotel

    Antonino GittoPartner at McKinsey & Company Inc. ItalyItalian mobile: +39 348 8952839Egyptian mobile: +20 106 5540501 E-mail: [email protected]

  • McKinsey & Company 1|

    Worlds most powerful and

    capable consulting firm It commands unrivalled respect

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    Distinguished by its excep-

    tional people, top manage-ment approach and one-firm principle

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    Long history of working with leading corporations

    Serving 96% of Global 100 and 76% of Global 500

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    Now with 94 offices in 52 countries, including 5 offices in the Middle East (i.e., Bahrain, Doha, Dubai, Riyadh and Abu Dhabi)

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    Depth of specialist support

    Combine industry insight and functional knowledge

    Worlds largest strategic management consultant

    Wall Street Journal

    McKinsey & company is the worlds leading management consulting firm

  • McKinsey & Company 2|

    KEY MESSAGES

    Currently 200,000 SMEs companies are underserved with ~30% bancarization

    rate and ~20% of total corporate market revenue pool1

    So far only few players have introduced a dedicated service model for SMEs2

    Several factors could boost penetration rate e.g. i) the increased attention of

    the Egyptian Government towards SMEs, ii) the increased appetite of Financial

    Institutions willing to enter a high margin white spot 3

    We expect SME revenue pool will grow at CAGR of ~23% and expected to

    reach 25% of the overall corporate banking revenue pool by 2015 4

    To serve SMEs, Financial Institutions need to define and implement a specific

    value proposition and business model5

    Banks in other emerging market succeeded in targeting this segment achieving

    a steady profitability of 2.5% net of cost of risk and cost to serve6

  • McKinsey & Company 3|

    ~195

    ~2250

    ~2.9

    ~0.5

    ~0.1

    ~2.5 mln companies

    SOURCE: CAPMAS; Social Insurance Fund, CBE; McKinsey analysis

    SMEs ARE CURRENTLY UNDER-SERVED, NEVERTHELESS REPRESENT A RELEVANT PORTION OF THE REVENUE POOL

    1 Includes revenues from wholesale deposits, wholesale loans, trade finance, Forex, leasing, and factoring

    Calculated as NRFF plus F&C

    10

    30

    100

    100

    100

    360

    3,698

    4,812

    5,131

    5,881Government and public institution

    Large corporate

    SMEs

    Micro (Business)

    Mid corporate

    >~200

    MEGP

    ~50-200

    MEGP

    ~5-50

    MEGP

    ESTIMATES

    29%

    26%

    24%

    19%

    2%

    % of total Revenue 2010

    < 5

    >100 for industrial >20

    for trade and

    services

    >10 for industrial >2

    for trade and

    services

    < 0.05

    >500

    # of companiesThousands

    Market revenue pool1

    EGP Millions

    BancarizationratePercent

    Segmentation criteria

    CapitalEGP Millions

    EmployeesUnits

  • McKinsey & Company 4|

    % citing as key to defining their main banking relationship Product usage top 10 products

    TODAY SMEs ARE MAINLY USERS OF TRANSACTIONAL AND FEE BASED PRODUCTS

    Percentage of respondents

    10

    9

    11

    10

    16

    20

    24

    Most of credit facili-

    ties are with them

    We do our trading

    with them

    Our payroll goes

    through them

    We have a personal

    relationship with them

    We do our cash

    management with them

    That is where I

    cash checks

    We keep most of

    our deposits here

    19

    20

    21

    25

    31

    32

    33

    37

    68

    77

    Local bills discounting

    Document delivery/

    pick up

    Foreign exchange

    LG (Letter of guarantee)

    Overdraft

    LC (Letter of credit)

    (Internet) Payment

    solution

    Payroll services

    Check clearing

    Cash/check deposits

    SOURCE: Small and medium enterprise banking customer survey 2008; team analysis

  • McKinsey & Company 5|

    WHILE SEVERAL OPPORTUNITIES ARE AVAILABLE TO FULLY COVER THE WHOLE SPECTRUM OF FINANCIAL NEEDS

    SOURCE: McKinsey analysis

    Products and services Typical SME profiles

    co

    re f

    inan

    cia

    l n

    eed

    s

    SMEs needs by priority

    Transaction Current accounts and deposits Cash/non-cash payments

    Payroll services/Basic cash management Internet transactions

    All SMEs, product/service mix differ by SME size, industry, transaction behavior

    Treasury Advanced cash management Treasury management services,

    short-term investment services to increase yield

    from excess cash

    SME with high liquidity on current account SME with multiple sites and entities

    Working capital

    Overdraft Factoring

    SME with high working capitalrequirement (especially accounts receivable/payable)

    Industry: services, retail

    Asset finance Collateralized loans (typically MLT) Leasing

    Capital-/asset-intensive SME with major long-term needs to purchase/replace property, plants and equipment

    Trade partner LC/LG

    Documentary collections

    SME within with national/cross-border business

    relationships

    Insurance Insurance to cover business exposures:

    Property TPL Transportation

    All SME for plain vanilla (e.g. property)

    Different profiles for other products (e.g., per industry: trade/retail for transportation, service for liability)

    Owner wealth management

    Investment services to SME owner Integrated solutions and relationship coordination

    across business lines

    SME controlled by one/very few owners Typically SMEs with high excess cash flow or mature

    SMEs with owners

    Employee pro-ducts/benefits

    Standard retail banking products

    for salaried employees of SME, e.g. salary accounts, credit cards etc.

    SME with sizable employee base

  • McKinsey & Company 6|

    1

    16

    18

    25

    36

    Other

    Pricing

    Brand

    Proximity

    Service level

    SMEs choose a bank evaluating .

    % of SMEs ranking the factor as the most important factor among the 6

    Sample size = 110

    SERVICE LEVEL AND PROXIMITY DRIVE SMEs IN THEIR BANK CHOICE

    SOURCE: McKinsey - Enlight Market Survey; team analysis

  • McKinsey & Company 7|

    ~2250

    ~195

    ~2.9

    ~0.5

    ~0.1

    ~2.5 mln companies

    < 5

    >100 for

    industrial >20

    for trade and

    services

    SOURCE: CAPMAS; Social Insurance Fund, CBE; McKinsey analysis

    >10 for

    industrial >2

    for trade and

    services

    < 0.05

    SMEs WILL REPRESENT A LARGER PORTION OF THE REVENUE POOL AND GROWING AT DOUBLE SPEED IF COMPARED TO THE LARGE SEGMENT

    1 Includes revenues from wholesale deposits, wholesale loans, trade finance, Forex, leasing, and factoring

    Calculated as NRFF plus F&C

    10

    30

    20

    45

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    1,106

    360

    10,519

    3,698

    9,106

    4,812

    8,702

    5,131

    12,860

    5,881

    2010

    2015

    >500

    Government and public institution

    Large corporate

    SMEs

    Micro (Business)

    MIdcorporate

    >~200

    MEGP

    ~50-200

    MEGP

    ~5-50

    MEGP

    Focus of this section

    17%

    11%

    14%

    23%

    25%

    30%

    21%

    22%

    25%

    3%

    ESTIMATES

    Revenue growth (CAGR) 2010-2015

    % of total Revenue 2015

    # of companiesThousands

    Market revenue pool1

    EGP Millions

    BancarizationratePercent

    Segmentation criteria

    CapitalEGP Millions

    EmployeesUnits

  • McKinsey & Company 8|SOURCE: McKinsey

    HOWEVER, SERVING THIS SECTOR IS CHALLENGING AND HIGH RISK High performing bank

    Poor performing bank

    ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLE

    SME ROA

    Percent

    1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    Main challenges

    Lack of official

    financial information

    (e.g. p&l, balance

    sheet)

    Significant presence

    of informal economy

    Significant presence

    of liquidity

    Limited knowledge on

    financial trade off

    between using

    liquidity and asking

    for financing

  • McKinsey & Company 9|

    Extensive access points dedicated to SME e.g.

    Hub and Spoke SME centers

    Effective pull campaign with SME

    TO SERVE SMEs, FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS NEED TO DEFINEA WELL-THOUGHT AND INTEGRATED BUSINESS MODEL

    SOURCE: Team analysis

    Value proposition

    Effective riskmanagement

    Enabling ITinfrastructure

    Extensive Distribution

    Efficient and effective

    operations

    Quality of service

    11

    22

    33

    44

    5