Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of...

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LA O Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California Legislative Analyst’s Office www.lao.ca.gov October 3, 2007

Transcript of Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of...

Page 1: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

LAO

Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California

Legislative Analyst’s Office

www.lao.ca.gov

October 3, 2007

Page 2: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Infrastructure Demands

The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure needs.

The 2007 plan proposes spending $113 billion through 2011-12, $57 billion using bonds.

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Page 3: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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What Type of Spending Under the Five-Year Plan Is Proposed?Cumulative Spending, 2007-08 Through 2011-12(Dollars in Billions )

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Page 4: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Travel in California—Increasing Steadily

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Page 5: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Resources Demands Could Be Even Larger

Flood control.

Water supply reliability.

Water quality.

Parks deferred maintenance.

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Page 6: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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AB 900 Authorizes $7.4 Billion in Lease-Revenue Bonds

12,000 beds and programming space—existing prisons.

16,000 re-entry beds.

13,000 beds—local jails.

Medical, dental, and mental health beds and treatment space.

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Page 7: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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What Options Exist for Financing New Infrastructure?

Different financial approaches available.

Different funding sources available.

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Page 8: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Bonds Are the Largest Infrastructure Funding SourceState Capital Outlay Expenditures by Selected Program Areas2000-01 Through 2006-07 (In Billions)

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Page 9: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Types of Bonds the State Uses

General obligation (GO) bonds.

Lease-revenue bonds.

Traditional revenue bonds.

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Page 10: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Arguments For and Against Bonds

On the downside:• Bonds do cost more because of interest.

But, on the positive side, bonds allow for:• Projects put in place sooner.• Project costs shared over time.

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Page 11: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Current Outstanding Debt

GO infrastructure bonds: $40.9 billion.

GO deficit-financing bonds: $8.3 billion.

Lease-revenue bonds: $7.7 billion.

Total outstanding bonds: $56.9 billion.

As of September 1, 2007

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Page 12: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Outstanding GO Infrastructure Bond Debt by Program AreaAs of September 1, 2007

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Page 13: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Use Thus Far of the 2006 Bonds(Dollars in Billions)

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Page 14: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Authorized GO Infrastructure Debt Yet to be Sold

Authorizations prior to November 2006: $21.1 billion.

Authorizations approved in November 2006: $42.7 billion.

Total unsold authorizations: $63.7 billion.

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Page 15: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Authorized But Unsold GO DebtBy Program AreaAs of September 1, 2007

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Page 16: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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What Does Our Infrastructure Debt Cost Us Each Year?

Total debt service in 2007-08: $4.8 billion.

Projected to rise to $7.5 billion in 2011-12.

Currently the fourth-largest spending item in the state budget.

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Page 17: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Affordability—How Much Debt Is Too Much?

No “hard rule” exists. Instead, depends on policy choices.

Also depends on the state’s ability to sell bonds at reasonable interest rates.

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Page 18: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Historical and Projected Infrastructure Debt-Service Ratios

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Page 19: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Legislative Considerations

Determine what and how much to fund and when financing is needed, considering:• State versus local responsibilities.• How do policy actions affect level of infrastructure

needed?• What improvements are needed within a specified

time horizon?• What criteria should be used to prioritize projects?

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Page 20: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Legislative Considerations (continued)

Determine financing approaches and funding sources.

• What general approach should be used to fund specific projects?

• What should be the ultimate source of funding for infrastructure investments?

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Page 21: Infrastructure and the Use of Bonds in California · LAO Infrastructure Demands The Department of Finance releases annually a five-year assessment of the state’s infrastructure

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Where Do We Stand?

Infrastructure demands—large and growing.

State needs strategic, long-term approach.

Current debt load in reasonable range.

Payments must fit into overall budget plan.

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