Infectious Disease - Elsevier · Infectious Disease Outbreaks Research: Insights and Trends Over...
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CORONAVIRUSES 1996 1997 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1998 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1248 % Number of publications SARS OUTBREAK MERS OUTBREAK EBOLA 1311% 1996 1997 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1998 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Number of publications EBOLA OUTBREAK ZIKA 3319% 1996 1997 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1998 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Number of publications ZIKA OUTBREAK INFLUENZA 74% 1996 1997 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1998 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 Number of publications H1N1 INFLUENZA OUTBREAK Infectious Disease Outbreaks Research: Insights and Trends Over the past two decades, the world has faced several infectious disease outbreaks. Ebola, Influenza A (H1N1), SARS, MERS, Zika virus and, most recently, COVID-19, have had a massive global impact in terms of economic disruption, strain on local and global public health resources and, above all, human health. We used SciVal and Scopus® data* from 1996 to 2018 to analyze scholarly output, trending topics and top research organizations working to strengthen our understanding of infectious disease outbreaks. Discover SciVal › Shaded area shows period of increased publications following outbreak and percentage increase during the period. Following an outbreak of a disease, we see a sharp spike in disease-specific publications, showcasing the research community’s remarkable ability to quickly respond to public health needs. This is evidenced by a rise in publication counts following outbreaks of SARS, Influenza A (H1N1), Ebola and Zika virus. Infectious disease research spikes following an outbreak
Transcript of Infectious Disease - Elsevier · Infectious Disease Outbreaks Research: Insights and Trends Over...
CORONAVIRUSES
1996
1997
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
1998
3,0002,0001,000
0
1248%
Num
ber o
f pub
licat
ions
SARS OUTBREAK MERS OUTBREAK
EBOLA1311%
1996
1997
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
1998
3,0002,0001,000
0
Num
ber o
f pub
licat
ions
EBOLA OUTBREAK
ZIKA3319%
1996
1997
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
1998
3,0002,0001,000
0
Num
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f pub
licat
ions
ZIKA OUTBREAK
INFLUENZA74%
1996
1997
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
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9,0008,0007,0006,0005,0004,0003,0002,0001,000N
umbe
r of p
ublic
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ns
H1N1 INFLUENZA OUTBREAK
Infectious Disease Outbreaks Research: Insights and Trends
Over the past two decades, the world has faced several infectious disease outbreaks. Ebola, Influenza A (H1N1), SARS, MERS, Zika virus and, most recently, COVID-19, have had a massive global impact in terms of economic disruption, strain on local and global public health resources and, above all, human health.
We used SciVal and Scopus® data* from 1996 to 2018 to analyze scholarly output, trending topics and top research organizations working to strengthen our understanding of infectious disease outbreaks. Discover SciVal ›
Shaded area shows period of increased publications following outbreak and percentage increase during the period.
Following an outbreak of a disease, we see a sharp spike in disease-specific publications, showcasing the research community’s remarkable ability to quickly respond to public health needs. This is evidenced by a rise in publication counts following outbreaks of SARS, Influenza A (H1N1), Ebola and Zika virus.
Infectious disease research spikes following an outbreak
1996
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
1998
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASE
Num
ber o
f pub
licat
ions
315%
1996
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
1998
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
HEALTH SECURITY
Num
ber o
f pub
licat
ions
553%
Among research aimed at understanding new outbreaks, a rise in publications specifically related to health security suggests an increased focus on public health preparedness.
Publications on global health security, including analyses of policies and efforts at surveillance of emerging diseases, have an important role in supporting preparedness for the next pandemic.
Number of publications, 1996–2018, on emerging infectious diseases. Health Security is a subset of publications related to emerging infectious disease.
Health security is a focus for outbreak-related research
Scopus® Queries used for the analysesCoronaviruses: (TITLE-ABS-KEY(“Middle East respiratory syndrome” OR “Severe acute respiratory syndrome” OR coronavirus))Influenza: ((TITLE-ABS-KEY(influenza)) OR (TITLE-ABS-KEY((flu AND symptom) OR “swine flu” OR “bird flu”)))Ebola: (TITLE-ABS-KEY(Ebola))Zika: (TITLE-ABS-KEY(Zika))Emerging Infectious Diseases: ((INDEXTERMS(human)) AND (title-abs-key(“emerging disease” OR “emerging infectious disease” OR “emerging pathogen” OR epidemic OR pandemic OR outbreak OR zoono)))Health Security: ((TITLE-ABS-KEY( “emerging disease” OR “emerging infectious disease” OR “emerging pathogen” OR epidemic OR pandemic OR outbreak OR zoono)) AND (TITLE-ABS-KEY(“health security” OR “public health response” OR “disease control” OR surveillance)))
annually over the past two decades
Emerging infectious disease research has seen an average GROWTH of
6.9 %
United States
Netherlands
Switzerland
Australia
FranceSpain
Canada
Sweden
Brazil
Germany
China
Bangladesh
United Kingdom
Italy
Footnotes for the following page: :
3 https://www.who.int/csr/sars/country/2003_07_11/en/4 Dawood, F. S., Iuliano, A. D., Reed, C., Meltzer, M. I., Shay, D. K., Cheng, P. -., . . . Widdowson, M. -. (2012). Estimated global mortality associated with the first 12 months of 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 virus circulation: A modelling study. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 12(9), 687-695. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(12)70121-45 https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/middle-east-respiratory-syndrome-coronavirus-mers-cov-situation-update6 https://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/history/2014-2016-outbreak/index.html7 https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/204348/zikasitrep_5Feb2016_eng.pdf;jsessionid=2E8C110C039D151C1EE6B384A9F064A8?sequence=1
Organization or Institution Sector Country/Region Scholarly Output
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Government United States 1,248
World Health Organization Government Switzerland 514
Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention Government China 338
Harvard University Academic United States 318
Public Health England Government United Kingdom 310
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine Academic United Kingdom 268
National Institutes of Health Government United States 240
CNRS Government France 227
Johns Hopkins University Academic United States 227
Institut national de la santé et de la recherche médicale Government France 216
In terms of publication output (2014–2018), seven of the top ten organizations publishing health security research are governmental.
Governmental organizations are leading the way
Top institutions publishing health security research by country, color-coded according to the sector of the top institute. Circle size is indicative of publication output of the top institution in the country.
SECTORGovernment AcademicMedical
© 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.SciVal is a trademark of RELX Intellectual Properties SA.
About SciValSciVal offers quick, easy access to the research performance of 8,500 research institutions and 220 countries worldwide. For more information, visit scival.com.
About ScopusScopus® is the world’s leading abstract and citation database, and is used by institutions, governments, as well as for university rankings around the world. For more information, visit scopus.com.
*All data taken from SciVal on February 1, 2020. Scopus® data from February 1, 2020 and includes all publication types (articles, papers, surveys, reviews, editorials, etc.) where search terms were mentioned in the title, abstract, or keywords.
Hot topics in public health security researchResearch on public health security can also be explored using SciVal’s research topics. These topics were created using a citation-based modelling approach and permit a different way of finding research
relevant to the field of public health security. The use of keywords and phrases such as “pandemic,” “global health’” and “World Health Organization” increased between 2014 and 2018.
Impact of outbreaksThe number of deaths from outbreaks recorded in the last two decades shows the impact of infectious disease.
For the latest on COVID-19, visit our Elsevier Information Center: https://www.elsevier.com/connect/coronavirus-information-center
813 deaths3
SARS (2002–2003)284,000 deaths4
Influenza A H1N1 (2009–2010)
912 deaths5
MERS (2012)11,325 deaths6
Ebola (2014–2016) 76 deaths 7 due to Zika-related congenital disordersZika (2015)
