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    State-Led Industrialisation: The Evidence on Paraguay, 1852-1870Author(s): Mario PastoreSource: Journal of Latin American Studies, Vol. 26, No. 2 (May, 1994), pp. 295-324Published by: Cambridge University PressStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/157945.

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    State-led

    Industrialisation:

    The

    Evidence

    on

    Paraguay,

    185

    2-I

    870*

    MARIO PASTORE

    In

    the

    last three

    decades,

    the economic

    history

    of

    Paraguay

    has

    been

    subject

    to

    an intense reexamination. It has

    been

    claimed that the state

    in

    Paraguay

    led a

    'spectacular

    industrialisation effort'

    in

    the second

    half of

    the

    nineteenth

    century

    and

    that this effort was

    prematurely

    truncated

    by

    war.

    One

    author,

    for

    example,

    has stated

    that

    From

    I85

    Z

    on,

    free circulation on the river Parana

    permitted

    a

    rapid

    increase of

    exports,

    mostly

    under state control. The resources thus freed were devoted to

    the

    development

    of

    the

    modern manufacture of industrial

    goods

    and

    plant:

    iron and

    steel,

    engineering,

    shipbuilding, brickmaking,

    etc.

    A

    railway

    and a

    telegraph

    were

    installed

    without

    incurring

    an

    external debt. The

    experiment

    was nevertheless

    spoiled

    by

    the

    war with the

    'Triple

    Alliance'

    (1864-1870),

    which

    opposed

    Brazil,

    Argentina,

    and

    Uruguay

    to

    Paraguay,

    and

    resulted

    in

    the

    demographic

    and

    economic

    collapse

    of the

    country.l

    These so-called

    'revisionist'

    hypotheses,2

    however,

    turn out to

    be

    *

    This

    paper

    was

    conceived when

    the

    author

    was

    visiting

    Washington

    University

    in St

    Louis.

    An

    earlier

    version

    was

    presented

    at the Latin American

    ndustrialisation

    ession,

    X International Economic

    History

    Congress,

    Leuven,

    August

    I990

    and

    the

    L

    Congress

    of

    the

    US

    Economic

    History

    Association, Montreal,

    September

    990.

    Thanks are due

    to

    Douglass

    North,

    Enrique

    Cardenas

    and other

    participants

    n

    the session

    on Latin

    American

    Industrialisation,

    as

    well as to Richard

    Salvucci,

    Jacques

    Barbier,

    David

    Landes

    and,

    especially,

    Ricardo

    Salvatore,

    for their

    comments,

    questions

    and

    suggestions.

    Partial

    financial

    support

    was

    provided by Washington University's

    Center

    in

    Political

    Economy,

    the

    Hewlett

    Foundation,

    and

    the Mellon

    Foundation.

    1

    See

    Jean

    Batou,

    Cent

    ans

    de

    resistanceau

    sus-developpement.

    'industrialisationde

    fA4merique

    latine

    et du

    Moyen-Orient

    ace

    au

    defi

    europeen,

    770-187o

    (Geneva,

    1990),

    p.

    460.

    Quoted

    excerpts

    are from Batou's

    English summary,

    pp. 45 -69. I thank David Landes for

    having

    called

    this

    work to

    my

    attention.

    2

    Though

    Batou's

    Cent ans is the most

    recently

    published

    summary

    of

    revisionist

    hypotheses

    and

    supporting

    evidence available

    in

    secondary

    sources

    Vera Blinn

    Reber's

    'Modernization from Within:

    Trade

    and

    Development

    in

    Paraguay,

    I8I0-I870'

    (unpublished

    book

    manuscript, Shippensburg University,

    Carlisle,

    PA,

    I990)

    is the

    latest and most

    thorough

    statement

    based

    on archival

    sources. From the

    long

    list

    of

    earlier contributions to this

    'genre',

    the most relevant for our

    purposes

    are

    Thomas

    L.

    Whigham,

    'The

    Iron

    Works

    of

    Ybycuf,

    Paraguayan

    Industrial

    Development

    in

    the

    Mid-Nineteenth

    Century',

    The

    Americas,

    vol.

    35

    (1978),

    pp.

    201-18

    and

    John

    Hoyt

    Williams,

    The

    Rise

    and

    Fall

    of

    the

    Paraguayan

    Republic

    (Austin,

    Texas,

    I979),

    both based

    on archival research. No historiographical study of the Paraguayan revisionist school

    Mario Pastore

    is

    at the

    Department

    of

    Economics and Latin

    American Studies

    Program,

    Tulane

    University,

    New Orleans.

    J.

    Lat. Amer.

    Stud.

    26,

    295

    324

    Copyright

    ?

    1994

    Cambridge University

    Press

    295

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    296

    Mario Pastore

    supported by only

    a

    very

    general

    description

    of

    foreign

    trade

    and state

    investments.

    Quantitative

    data on the

    behaviour

    of

    exports

    and

    imports,

    on

    government revenues, expenditures

    and

    investments,

    as

    well as on

    the

    nature and

    volume of

    output produced

    by

    state

    enterprises

    are,

    in

    general,

    rather

    meagre

    and

    unreliable.

    Thus,

    the

    hypothesised

    connection

    between

    state

    exports

    and

    state

    investments

    cannot be

    verified

    empirically.

    Similarly,

    the data

    do

    not

    suggest

    that the economic

    growth

    that did take

    place

    was industrial in

    nature,

    nor do

    they

    support

    the

    claim that

    the

    expansion

    of the

    communications

    infrastructure had

    much economic

    importance.

    Furthermore,

    revisionist

    authors themselves have

    begun

    to

    question

    previous

    assertions

    regarding

    the extent of

    industrial

    growth

    and

    population losses resulting from the war; the deleterious economic

    consequences

    of

    the war

    may

    also have

    been overstated.3

    A

    careful look at the

    evidence,

    however,

    suggests

    that

    these contentions

    hold even

    though

    the

    agricultural export

    boom

    appears

    to

    have

    furnished

    is

    yet

    available,

    but its evolution

    may

    be traced

    in

    M. S.

    Alperovich's

    'La

    dictadura del

    Dr. Francia en la

    historiografia

    del

    siglo

    XX',

    Estudios Latinoamericanos

    (Wroclaw),

    vol.

    5

    (I979), PP. 87-99,

    Sergio

    Guerra

    Vilaboy,

    Paraguay,

    de la

    independencia

    la dominacidn

    imperialista,

    18II-I870

    (Havana,

    1984)

    and Reber's Introduction

    in

    'Modernization

    from Within'. Paraguay's revisionist school is related to Argentina's, analysed in Tulio

    Halperfn

    Donghi's

    El revisionismohistdrico

    argentino

    Buenos

    Aires,

    1970).

    Revisionist

    hypotheses

    have dominated the field of nineteenth

    century

    Paraguayan

    history

    in

    the

    last three

    decades.

    Their

    influence

    on

    general

    syntheses

    of

    nineteenth

    century

    Latin

    America has been

    widespread

    as

    well,

    and

    is evident

    in,

    for

    example,

    David Bushnell

    and Neill

    Macaulay's

    The

    Emergenceof

    Latin America

    in

    the

    Igth

    Century

    (New

    York,

    1988).

    3

    Thomas L.

    Whigham,

    for

    example,

    now

    acknowledges

    that his earlier claims of

    industrial

    development

    may

    have been too

    sanguine.

    See The Politics

    of

    River Trade:

    Tradition and

    Development

    n the

    Upper

    Plata,

    1780o-870

    (Albuquerque,

    New

    Mexico,

    1991),

    pp.

    71-2.

    Also,

    Vera

    Blinn

    Reber

    persuasively argues,

    in 'The

    Demographics

    of

    Paraguay:

    a

    Reinterpretation

    of the Great

    War,

    I864-1870',

    Hispanic

    American

    Historical

    Review,

    vol.

    68,

    no. 2

    (May I988),

    pp.

    289-319,

    that

    previous

    estimates

    suggesting

    a

    population

    loss of over

    50

    per

    cent

    may

    be overstatements. She instead

    suggests

    that the war

    'actually

    cost

    Paraguay

    between

    8.7

    and

    i8.5

    per

    cent of

    its

    prewar population' (p.

    290).

    While

    granting

    Reber's

    point

    that the

    magnitude

    of

    Paraguay's

    population

    loss

    has been

    exaggerated,

    in

    'Some

    Strong

    Reservations:

    A

    Critique

    of Vera

    Blinn

    Reber's

    The

    Demographics

    of

    Paraguay:

    A

    Reinterpretation

    of the Great

    War,

    I864-1870 ',

    Hispanic

    American

    Historical

    Review,

    vol.

    70,

    no.

    4

    (November I990),

    pp.

    667-78,

    Thomas

    L.

    Whigham

    and

    Barbara

    Potthast

    attacked

    her

    estimate,

    which

    they

    misrepresented

    as the lower bound

    of

    the interval she

    proposed

    (p.

    667).

    However,

    Whigham

    and Potthast failed to notice one of the weakest

    points

    in

    Reber's

    estimate,

    that

    is,

    that it is based on

    a

    non-linear

    regression

    with

    very

    few

    degrees of freedom. Finally, that the economic devastation caused by the war may have

    been overstated

    as well

    may

    be

    gleaned

    from

    'El

    Paraguay

    segun

    Wisner',

    Revista del

    Instituto

    Paraguayo

    (39-I903), pp.

    763-73.

    The

    present

    article concerns itself

    with the

    question

    of

    state-led

    industrialisation

    only.

    War-induced

    population

    and economic

    losses

    are

    more

    appropriately

    discussed

    in

    connection

    with the

    post-war

    period

    and

    lie

    outside its bounds.

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    State-led Industrialisation n

    Paraguay 297

    the state

    with

    more resources

    than

    had

    previously

    been

    thought.

    Resources

    available to

    the

    state

    seem

    to

    have been underestimated

    until

    now because

    little

    attention had been

    paid

    to the fact that

    (i)

    the

    agro-

    export

    boom

    may

    also have stimulated

    the

    private

    domestic

    economy

    and

    thereby

    increased

    fiscal

    revenues,

    (ii)

    the

    state did resort to

    foreign capital

    markets

    in some

    measure,

    and

    (iii)

    the terms of trade

    may

    have

    improved.

    However,

    although

    the

    state had

    greater

    resources at its

    disposal

    than

    had

    been

    thought,

    it

    may actually

    have invested

    only

    a

    portion

    of the

    boom's

    proceeds

    with

    the

    aim

    of

    expanding

    the

    country's

    export

    and

    military

    capacity.

    More

    specifically,

    the state seems

    to have aimed at

    expanding

    the

    boom's

    rents,

    appropriating

    them,

    and

    defending

    them from what

    it

    perceived as the competition of predatory neighbouring states. Many of

    the

    rents

    that

    accrued

    to

    the

    state,

    however,

    were

    simply dissipated.

    In

    conclusion,

    the evidence

    suggests

    that

    the

    state

    sought

    to attain different

    aims

    than has been

    suggested,

    and achieved

    considerably

    less than

    it

    set

    out to or

    than has been claimed. These

    alternative

    hypotheses,

    in

    turn,

    are

    consistent

    with

    a

    different

    economic

    theory

    than

    that

    underlying

    'revisionist'

    hypotheses.4

    This article is

    organised

    as follows. The first

    section

    begins

    by

    describing

    the

    agroexport

    boom

    and the fiscal revenues derived

    from it

    and

    other

    sources; then it examines government expenditures, in particular, state

    investments.

    The second section

    analyses

    the

    money

    stock,

    the

    price

    level,

    the

    exchange

    rate and the

    balance of

    payments,

    as well as the

    government's

    monetary

    and

    exchange

    rate

    policies,

    and their

    effects.

    The last

    section

    presents

    the conclusions.

    4

    Revisionist

    authors

    usually

    resort

    to

    dependency

    or Marxian

    heory

    when

    they

    rely

    on

    theory

    at all.

    Early

    applications

    of

    dependency

    theory

    include Richard

    Alan

    White's

    Paraguay's

    Autonomous

    Revolution,

    I810-184o

    (Albuquerque,

    New

    Mexico,

    1978)

    and

    Whigham's

    Iron

    Works

    of

    Ybycuf'.

    A

    relatively

    toned-down version

    of

    dependency

    theory is apparent in more recent works like Batou's Cent ans and Reber's

    'Modernization

    rom within'.

    Among

    Marxist

    analyses,

    an

    early

    one

    is Oscar

    Creydt's

    Formacion

    istdrica

    e

    la nacidn

    araguaya

    Moscow,

    I963);

    a

    more recent one is

    Guerra

    Vilaboy's Paraguay,

    e a

    independencia

    la dominacion

    mperialista,

    hich

    specifically

    cites

    (p.

    90)

    V. I. Lenin's 'Sobre

    el

    impuesto

    en

    especie',

    in

    Obras

    escogidas

    Moscow,

    I96

    i),

    as

    relevant

    to understand he

    state

    capitalism

    hat

    allegedly

    obtained

    in

    early

    national

    Paraguay.

    John Hoyt

    Williams's Rise and

    Fall

    is

    apparently

    unconcernedwith

    theory

    and

    only

    seeks

    to

    provide

    an

    accurate

    description

    based

    on

    archival evidence.

    However,

    descriptions

    mply

    some

    theory,

    even

    if

    ad

    hoc

    or unstated.So do

    interpretive

    judgements

    such as

    Williams's

    categorisation

    of

    early

    national

    Paraguay

    as a case of

    'state

    socialism'

    (pp.

    92-5),

    previously

    advanced

    by

    Pelham Horton

    Box,

    Origins

    f

    the

    ParaguayanWar (New York,

    1930),

    p. 12. The theoretical framework underlying the

    alternative

    hypotheses put

    forth here

    is the new institutionaleconomics based

    on

    the

    work

    of

    Ronald

    Coase,

    Douglass

    North and

    Oliver Williamson.For

    a

    good summary

    of its main

    tenets

    see

    Jeffrey

    Nugent

    and M. K.

    Nabli,

    The

    New

    Institutional conomics

    and Economic

    Development

    Amsterdam,

    I989).

    For

    space

    constraints these alternative

    hypotheses

    can

    only

    be formulatedhere.

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    298

    Mario Pastore

    Agricultural

    export

    boom,

    fiscal

    resources and state investments

    This section reviews the evidence available

    in

    secondary

    sources

    on

    state

    fiscal resources and

    expenditures.

    I will first consider

    government

    resources obtained

    through

    direct state

    exports,

    taxation,

    government

    borrowing

    abroad

    and

    improvements

    in

    the terms of trade. Then

    I

    will

    review the data

    on

    total

    government spending,

    state

    imports

    and

    investments

    in

    particular.

    (i)

    Government

    receipts

    (a)

    State

    exports.

    The available data

    -

    whose

    reliability

    will not be

    questioned for the moment - suggest that sales of Paraguayan products

    abroad

    began

    to

    grow rapidly

    once

    the

    Argentine government opened

    the

    Parana River

    to free

    navigation

    in

    I852.5

    According

    to

    Herken Krauer's

    estimates,

    total nominal

    exports

    increased sixfold between

    8

    5

    I

    and 8

    59.6

    Reber's

    figures

    reveal

    a

    similar

    behaviour.7

    Both

    export

    volumes and

    export prices

    rose.8

    However,

    the

    high

    rate of

    growth

    of

    export receipts

    is due

    to the fact that

    exports

    were

    very

    small before

    8

    5

    2,

    i.e. that the rate

    of

    growth

    is

    calculated on a small base.

    Thus,

    although export earnings

    grew

    very

    rapidly, they

    continued

    to be

    extremely

    modest

    when

    compared

    with those of

    Argentina.9

    Four commodities

    generated

    almost all of the

    growing export receipts.

    The

    greater part

    of the increase is attributable

    to

    yerba

    mate

    and

    tobacco

    5

    In

    the first

    part

    of the

    early

    national

    period,

    hindrances

    to trade had resulted

    in a

    substantial

    decline of

    Paraguayan exports

    relative to the

    late colonial

    period.

    For

    an

    analysis

    see Mario

    Pastore,

    'Crisis

    presupuestaria,

    regresion

    institucional,

    y

    contraccion

    econ6mica:

    consecuencias econ6micas

    de la

    independencia

    en el

    Paraguay,

    8Io0-1840',

    in Leandro Prados and Samuel

    Amaral

    (editores),

    La

    independencia

    mericana:

    sus

    consecuenciasconomicasMadrid, 1993), pp.

    164-200;

    or the later version of this paper

    (see

    fn.

    76,

    below).

    The

    Paraguayan government

    had

    repeatedly

    demanded

    free

    navigation

    of the Parana

    river from the

    Argentine government

    before

    185

    2.

    However,

    after

    1852

    it

    did

    not

    readily

    want to

    grant

    similar

    rights

    on the

    Paraguay

    river

    to the

    Brazilian

    government,

    which

    needed access

    to

    Matto

    Grosso.

    Frictions

    with Brazil

    developed

    over

    this issue

    -

    as well as over

    whether

    Britain would

    enjoy

    similar

    rights

    -

    which contributed

    to the later War

    of the

    Triple

    Alliance or

    Paraguayan

    War.

    See

    Box,

    Origins,

    ch. 2.

    6

    See

    Juan

    Carlos Herken

    Krauer,

    'Proceso econ6mico

    en el

    Paraguay

    de Carlos

    Antonio

    L6pez:

    la visi6n del c6nsul britanico

    Henderson

    (1851-I860)',

    Revista

    Paraguaya

    de

    Sociologia,

    vol.

    19,

    no.

    54

    (May-Aug.

    I982),

    p.

    Io8,

    cuadro

    8.

    7 See Reber, 'Modernization from Within', Table 13, 'Paraguayan Imports and Exports,

    1792-1880'.

    8

    On

    export

    volumes and

    prices

    see Herken

    Krauer,

    'Proceso

    econ6mico',

    p.

    I Io,

    Table

    4

    and

    p.

    I

    3,

    Table

    8,

    respectively.

    9

    For

    Argentina's exports

    see

    Laura

    Randall,

    A

    Comparative

    Economic

    History

    of

    Latin

    America,

    1o00-I914,

    vol.

    2

    (Ann

    Arbor, MI.,

    I977),

    pp.

    204

    and

    219.

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    Table i

    Yerba

    mate

    prices

    (in f/arroba) I854 i86o-i

    Paid

    by

    the state

    to

    o.

    I5

    .2I-0.2z5

    licensed individuals

    Paid for

    yerba

    mate

    in

    0.30

    the internal

    market

    Paid for

    export quality

    0.70-0.80

    0.5

    I

    yerba

    mate in

    Asunci6n

    Paid

    in

    Buenos Aires

    1.40-I.60

    paid

    for

    yerba

    mate in

    1854

    and i86o-i are shown

    in

    Table

    i.15

    Herken

    Krauer also reports that the state paid for the yerba mate partly with

    imported

    merchandise,

    which

    suggests

    that the

    state had a

    monopoly

    on

    at

    least some

    imports

    as

    well.16

    The state's share of

    production

    and

    exports

    was,

    of

    course,

    much lower

    in

    the case of

    goods

    it did not

    monopolise.

    Thus,

    most

    production

    and

    sale of tobacco and

    cigars

    in

    the local market or abroad was

    attributable

    to

    private agents.

    Likewise,

    although

    state

    ranches

    and

    tanneries

    produced

    leather

    goods,

    the state did allow

    private production

    and sale in local

    and

    foreign

    markets.

    Though

    the

    state

    did not

    itself

    monopolise

    these

    commodities, it granted privileges for their manufacture to persons

    closely

    associated to the

    regime,

    in

    particular

    to

    members

    of

    the

    governing

    family,

    whom it

    protected

    from

    foreign

    competition.

    Reber

    notes

    that 'to

    increase state

    profits

    on

    commercial transactions the

    government

    sometimes dealt with favored merchants and

    agents

    or hired

    its own commercial

    agents.

    Friends

    and

    family

    of

    Carlos

    Antonio

    L6pez

    benefited

    in

    many

    of

    these transactions'. She adds

    that 'from

    185 5,

    when

    twenty

    nine

    year

    old Francisco Solano

    L6pez,

    eldest son

    of the

    president,

    handled

    correspondence dealing

    with

    state transactions

    in

    Buenos Aires

    and London, it was often difficult to

    distinguish

    his

    personal

    speculations

    from

    state business'.17

    15

    Price data are from Herken

    Krauer,

    'Proceso

    econ6mico',

    p.

    89.

    16

    This

    hints at a

    similarity

    with the first half of the nineteenth

    century, during

    which

    Chaves asserts

    that 'the

    monopoly

    of

    exports

    was

    completed

    with a

    monopoly

    on

    imports'.

    See

    Julio

    Cesar

    Chaves,

    El

    Supremo

    Dictador.

    Biografia

    de

    Jose

    Gaspar

    de Francia

    (Madrid, 1964),

    p.

    287.

    17

    'Modernization

    from

    Within',

    chapter

    X,

    pp.

    I6,

    30-I,

    and

    32-3.

    Reber also

    reports

    that 'the decree of

    G6

    anuary

    855,

    which made

    cigars

    duty

    free,

    required patents

    for

    the establishment of

    factories,

    and

    large

    enterprises

    had

    difficulty obtaining permission

    to operate. This decree may have favoured the cigar manufacturing establishment in

    Asunci6n

    belonging

    to Colonel Venancio

    L6pez,

    son of the

    president

    as

    it

    appeared

    directly

    aimed

    at

    closing

    down the concern

    of Edward

    Hopkins'

    (chapter

    IV,

    p.

    I5).

    In

    addition,

    '(o)ne

    of the

    president's

    relatives

    had a

    large

    business and obtained hides

    to

    process

    from the

    military'.

    Two other

    individuals

    closely

    tied to

    the

    regime

    obtained

    similar

    privileges

    (ch.

    IV,

    p. I9).

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    Table

    2. Nominal state

    exports

    (in

    pesos fuertes)

    Total state

    %

    of total

    Year exports exports

    1854 300,000

    38.5

    8

    I

    855

    230,000

    23.00

    856

    530,000 46.36

    i857

    658,400

    39.27

    858 609,041

    49.00

    1863

    1,097,380

    52.00

    Source: Vera

    Blinn

    Reber,

    'Modernization

    from

    Within',

    Table

    22,

    'Values of state

    exports

    for

    various

    years'.

    Table

    2

    gives

    available

    figures

    on

    state

    exports,

    which seem

    to

    have

    been

    very

    small

    even after

    they

    are

    adjusted

    to correct for a

    possible

    under-estimation

    of their

    true

    value.18

    Thus,

    it

    does

    not

    seem

    possible

    that

    state

    exports

    alone could have financed

    an

    industrialisation effort.

    However,

    it is conceivable

    that other

    sources

    of state income

    might

    have

    been

    large

    enough

    to

    finance a

    programme

    of

    state investments

    sufficiently

    ambitious

    to

    merit

    being designated

    as a

    'spectacular

    industrialisation

    attempt'.

    Private

    exports

    and

    imports

    also increased

    and

    together

    with

    the

    growing state trade may have led to a rising trade surplus, both of which

    could have resulted

    in

    rising

    tax revenues.

    Likewise,

    the state

    could

    have

    borrowed

    in

    foreign capital

    markets

    and,

    finally,

    the terms of

    trade

    may

    have

    improved.

    To

    verify

    whether

    this

    was or

    was

    not the

    case,

    we

    move

    on to examine state

    revenues

    obtained

    through

    taxation

    and

    borrowing

    abroad.

    (b)

    Government

    revenues. This subsection will first examine data

    on

    government

    accounts available in

    published secondary

    sources;

    it will

    then turn to data offered more recently by Reber.

    Data on

    government

    revenue

    available

    in

    published secondary

    sources

    are even more scarce than data on

    exports.

    These sources offer

    only

    one

    estimate

    by

    an observer

    on

    total revenues raised

    by

    the

    government.

    The

    estimate

    for 8

    54

    comes from the British Consul

    Henderson,

    according

    to

    whom total fiscal income that

    year

    reached

    i

    5o,ooo.19

    Also available is

    a

    I982

    estimate

    by

    Herken

    Krauer for total

    government

    income between

    I85

    and

    I86o,

    which

    distinguishes

    between income from direct

    state

    18

    According to Herken Krauer, some state exports to the Buenos Aires market do not

    appear

    in

    the relevant

    registries

    published

    by

    the

    government,

    a

    problem

    which would

    become

    worse towards the end of

    the decade

    of

    the fifties and the

    beginning

    of the

    sixties,

    'when the

    greater availability

    of national

    ships

    and

    the

    greater regional

    demand

    for

    Paraguayan products

    makes

    this

    type

    of

    commercial

    operation

    more

    profitable'.

    See

    'Proceso

    econ6mico',

    p.

    96.

    19

    Ibid.,

    p.

    92.

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    Mario Pastore

    Table

    3.

    Nominal

    government

    income

    (in

    pesos

    fuertes)

    1857

    i858

    Tax

    revenues

    Import

    tax revenues

    Export

    tax revenues

    Tithe

    Stamp paper

    Anchorage

    and

    navigation

    fees

    Total tax revenues

    Rents of state

    properties

    Sales of state

    products

    to

    public

    Various state sales

    to

    public

    (i.e.,

    gold imports)

    Foundry

    products

    Receipts

    of

    paquets

    and

    steamships

    Passports

    to

    foreigners

    Sales of

    yerba

    mate

    Tolls on

    Tebicuary

    river

    Sub-Total

    Total income

    Tax

    collected from

    previous

    years

    Total

    1,413,293

    424,270

    i,837,563

    Source:

    Vera

    Blinn

    Reber,

    'Modernization from

    Within',

    Paraguayan

    Government

    for

    Various

    Years,

    186-i

    864'.

    202,789

    81,488

    105,694

    350,000

    72,288

    413,293 812,259

    2,055,807

    462,748

    2,5

    i8,555

    Table

    17,

    'Revenues

    of the

    exports

    and from taxation

    of

    exports

    and

    imports.20 According

    to

    these

    data,

    total

    government

    income

    reached almost

    ?200,000 (approximately

    $i

    million)

    in

    I857,

    and

    slightly

    exceeded

    ?300,000

    (approximately

    $

    .

    5

    million)

    in

    1860.

    Clearly,

    the available information indicates that

    even

    in

    the best

    years

    total

    government

    income was

    too

    small

    to

    justify

    any

    talk

    of a

    'spectacular

    industrialisation

    effort'.

    Any

    such conclusion

    would

    thus

    be unwarranted.

    Furthermore,

    it is not

    clear

    just

    how

    reliable

    this

    information

    is;

    it is

    not known

    how

    Henderson reached

    the

    figures

    he

    proposed;

    similarly,

    Herken

    Krauer

    did

    not

    specify

    with sufficient

    clarity

    the

    sources

    from which he extracted even

    one of the

    figures

    he cited

    in

    his

    Table 3.21 Unless we know how Henderson arrived at his estimates and

    20

    The data

    in

    question appear

    n

    ibid.,

    Table

    3, p.

    109.

    21

    The

    numbers

    Herken

    Krauer

    provided

    for

    government

    revenues

    from taxation of

    imports

    and

    exports

    for

    i85

    5-59

    are

    'data

    re-elaborated

    by

    the author on the basis of

    information

    provided

    in

    Henderson's

    reports

    and the

    bibliographical

    sources

    cited'.

    411,000

    1,000,000 34,000

    250,000

    22,5

    12

    66,958

    1,626

    454,722

    2,730

    1,243,548

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    can

    verify

    Herken Krauer's

    calculations,

    these

    figures

    would have

    to be

    considered

    tentative.

    We

    can

    compare

    Herken Krauer's

    figures

    with more recent ones

    furnished

    by

    Reber for several

    years

    of the

    period

    under

    study.22

    Those

    corresponding

    to two

    particularly

    good years,

    I857

    and

    I858,

    are

    reproduced

    in

    Table

    3.

    I858

    figures

    are

    more

    disaggregated,

    and will

    be

    examined

    first. These

    suggest

    that the

    government

    obtained

    income from

    four main

    sources: state

    exports,

    sales

    of

    state

    enterprises

    in local

    markets,

    taxation

    of

    foreign

    trade and taxation of domestic economic

    activity.

    Among

    government

    revenues

    from

    direct state

    participation

    in

    foreign

    trade

    or its taxation

    were

    those derived

    from

    the

    government's

    monopoly

    on yerba mate and naval construction woods, from taxes applied on

    exports

    (those

    of

    gold

    and silver

    included)

    and

    imports,

    from licences

    issued

    to individuals

    to

    trade within and outside the

    country,

    and from

    fees

    charged

    for

    navigation,

    for the use of

    port

    facilities,

    and

    for

    issuing

    passports.

    The

    government

    also derived revenue from

    selling

    the

    output

    of the

    'ranches of

    the fatherland'

    as well

    as

    from the

    sale

    and

    rental of

    fiscal

    lands.

    To

    these

    must be added

    revenues

    contributed

    by

    direct

    taxes

    like the

    dieZmo

    and

    the media

    anata,

    and

    by

    indirect taxes such as the

    sales

    tax

    (alcdbala),

    stamp

    paper

    and

    the

    inflationary

    tax.23

    Property

    taxes

    such

    as those imposed in Argentina do not seem to have been applied.

    The

    customs

    legislation

    of

    I84i

    raised

    taxes

    on

    exports

    and

    imports,

    the

    latter,

    in

    particular, being

    assessed

    at

    40%

    ad valorem.24 New customs

    regulations

    introduced

    in

    1846

    reduced taxes on

    exports

    and

    imports,

    and

    the new rates continued

    to

    apply

    during

    the fifties and the first half of the

    sixties save for

    small

    modifications.

    From

    then

    on

    exports paid

    00o%

    ad

    valorem

    in

    general.

    Tobacco,

    cotton and other

    exports

    paid

    only

    6%.

    Imports

    generally

    paid

    20%,

    although

    luxury

    articles

    paid

    25

    % and

    agricultural

    machinery

    and

    instruments

    paid

    no

    import

    tax.

    Re-exports

    paid

    a i % tax. In

    i855

    the tax rate on tobacco and raw leather

    exports

    increased

    from

    o0%

    to

    I5

    %,

    but that on

    cigars

    and tanned

    leather

    decreased.

    In

    addition towards

    the end

    of the

    fifties,

    exports

    of certain

    types

    of

    wood

    began

    to

    pay

    a 20

    %

    tax

    and the

    export

    tax on

    cigars

    was

    See 'Proceso

    econ6mico',

    p.

    107.

    Unfortunately,

    Herken Krauer

    does

    not

    provide

    the

    original

    numbers,

    the

    specific

    sources from which

    they

    were

    extracted

    or

    the

    method

    by

    which

    he

    re-elaborated them.

    22 The years of the period at issue for which Reber furnished data were

    I85o,

    1853,

    I856-8,

    and

    I860. See

    Reber,

    'Modernization from

    Within',

    Table

    17,

    'Revenues of

    the

    Paraguayan

    Government

    for various

    years,

    1

    86-1864'.

    23

    See Herken

    Krauer,

    'Proceso

    econ6mico',

    p.

    92.

    24

    According

    to

    Juan

    Andres

    Gelly's

    Paraguay:

    lo

    quefue,

    lo

    que

    es,y

    lo

    que

    sera

    (Paris,

    1926),

    cited

    in

    Herken

    Krauer,

    'Proceso

    econ6mico',

    p.

    93.

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    Mario

    Pastore

    eliminated. Herken

    Krauer

    argues

    that these measures 'reflect an

    attempt

    by

    the

    state to stimulate

    exports

    of...

    products

    of

    greater

    value added... in

    which

    the

    private

    sector

    played

    a

    determining

    role'.25

    However,

    'until

    i860

    the data...

    does

    not

    show

    that

    those measures had

    fundamentally

    affected the

    composition

    of

    foreign

    trade,

    except

    for

    cigar

    exports,

    which

    gradually

    increased and which in

    1862-64

    probably

    reached a

    higher

    level

    than that

    registered

    in the

    decade of the fifties.

    Exports

    of

    leather,

    both

    raw and

    tanned,

    actually

    decreased

    in

    amount and unit

    value,

    due

    to

    supply problems

    that became evident in

    85

    8 and to the

    competition

    from

    platine production.'26

    It

    needs

    to

    be

    pointed

    out,

    however,

    that

    higher

    taxes on

    exports

    of

    leaf tobacco and raw leather could

    also

    have

    been due

    to an

    attempt

    to

    reduce

    foreign

    demand for them

    and reduce the

    prices

    that

    cigar

    makers and tanneries had to

    pay

    for

    these

    inputs.

    Tobacco was

    produced by

    the small

    peasantry,

    while the

    cigar

    factories and tanneries

    were

    owned

    by

    members of the

    L6pez

    family

    or of

    its

    circle.

    Defining

    revenues

    directly

    attributable

    to

    foreign

    trade so as to include

    state sales of

    yerba

    mate,

    revenues

    derived from taxation

    of

    private

    exports

    and

    imports, anchorage

    and

    navigation

    fees,

    and

    passports,

    those

    corresponding

    to

    85

    8

    may

    be calculated

    with

    information from Reber's

    Table 20.

    They

    add

    up

    to

    879,871

    pesos

    fuertes

    ($F)

    which were

    equivalent to ? 75,974, at the rate of exchange of $F5/? apparently in

    force in the

    decade

    of

    the

    i85os.27

    This

    figure

    is

    significantly higher

    than

    that for

    I854

    cited earlier.

    This

    is

    not,

    however,

    surprising;

    in

    I858

    exports

    of

    yerba

    mate were

    almost

    twice,

    and

    those

    of

    tobacco

    were

    almost three

    times,

    as

    large

    as those

    of

    1854.

    Exports

    of

    woods, leather,

    and

    cigars

    were also

    generally greater

    in

    I858

    than

    in

    1854.

    In

    addition,

    increased

    private exports

    led to

    increased

    private imports

    and,

    con-

    sequently,

    to

    higher government

    revenues derived

    from

    their taxation.

    Proportionately,

    however,

    government

    income

    attributable

    to the

    foreign

    sector for 858 amounted to

    slightly

    less than 40

    per

    cent of total

    government receipts.

    This

    proportion

    is

    significantly

    lower than that

    estimated

    by

    Herken Krauer for

    I854

    (60 %)

    and

    contradicts his

    notion

    that

    government

    income from the

    foreign

    sector as

    a

    proportion

    of total

    government

    income had

    probably

    increased towards

    1857-9.28

    Clearly,

    if

    government

    income attributable to the

    foreign

    sector increased

    absolutely,

    but diminished as a

    percentage

    of the also

    rising

    total

    government

    income,

    the

    percentage

    attributable

    to

    domestic sources

    must have increased.29

    25

    'Proceso econ6mico', p. 94.

    26

    Ibid.,

    p. 95.

    27

    Ibid., p.

    109.

    28

    Herken

    Krauer

    does

    not indicate the bases of his

    estimate,

    which must therefore be

    considered

    speculative.

    29

    One must take into

    consideration,

    however,

    that

    total

    exports

    were lower

    in

    85

    8 than

    in the

    immediately

    preceding

    and in the two

    immediately

    succeeding

    years.

    Consequently,

    it is

    possible

    that,

    in

    I858,

    revenues from

    foreign

    trade

    may

    have been

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    The increase

    in fiscal

    income not

    directly

    derived

    from taxation of the

    foreign

    sector

    could

    conceivably

    be attributed

    to an increase in domestic

    economic

    activity

    induced

    by

    the

    export

    boom. We

    note,

    in

    particular,

    that

    tax collections

    derived from

    the tithe

    ($FIo5,694),

    from

    the rental

    of

    public

    lands

    ($F4II,ooo),

    from

    the

    sale

    of the

    produce

    of state

    lands

    ($F25o,ooo)

    and

    of the

    state

    foundry

    ($F22,5 i2)

    add

    up

    to

    $F789,206.

    If

    to this

    figure

    we add

    stamp paper

    sales,

    some

    of

    which must

    have been

    made

    in

    connection

    with domestic

    transactions,

    we obtain

    $F9I4,206,

    a

    figure

    not

    very

    different from

    government

    revenues derived

    from

    foreign

    trade.

    Let us

    now consider the behaviour

    of fiscal income

    in

    I857.

    Reber's

    figures for that year are less disaggregated; they only distinguish

    between customs

    revenues

    ($F413,293)

    and sales

    of

    products

    of

    state

    ranches

    to the

    public

    ($Fi,ooo,ooo).

    It would seem that revenues derived

    from the

    foreign

    sector

    are

    proportionately

    much

    lower,

    and those

    derived

    from internal economic

    activity

    much

    higher,

    than

    in

    1858.

    This

    would be

    consistent

    with the contention that domestic resources

    were

    much

    more

    important

    than

    previously

    thought.

    However,

    Reber's

    figure

    for

    I857

    sales

    of

    produce

    of state ranches

    probably

    includes

    state

    yerba

    mate sales

    abroad.

    Evidently,

    these

    last

    figures

    do not seem reliable

    and,

    consequently, we cannot base ourselves on them to draw conclusions on

    the

    percentage

    of total fiscal income attributable to the

    foreign

    and the

    domestic

    sectors,

    respectively.

    At

    any

    rate,

    it

    is

    quite

    clear that fiscal resources

    capable

    of

    being

    invested

    in

    the construction

    of industrial

    plant

    were not limited to those

    provided

    by

    the

    foreign

    sector,

    and that the domestic

    economy's

    contribution

    to

    fiscal

    income was

    substantially greater

    than has been

    thought

    thus

    far.

    Consequently,

    the state could have financed its

    investment

    projects

    not

    just

    from the

    proceeds

    of state

    exports

    and

    foreign

    trade taxation, but from the

    proceeds

    of a

    higher

    domestic economic

    activity.

    It could also have resorted to

    foreign

    credit,

    which we will now

    go

    on to examine.

    (c) Foreign

    credit.

    The

    evidence available

    in

    secondary

    sources

    suggests

    that the state borrowed abroad more

    frequently

    than has

    previously

    been

    thought.

    Based

    on the

    evidence,

    one cannot

    assert that the state did not

    lowered as

    compared

    to those from other sources.

    In

    that

    case,

    forty

    per

    cent would

    not

    be

    a

    representativeproportion

    of total

    government

    revenue

    generated

    by

    the

    foreign

    sector. It is more

    likely, however,

    that

    the

    fall in

    government

    revenues from

    foreign

    trade was

    accompanied

    by

    a

    fall,

    however

    small,

    of revenues

    derived

    from

    domestic sources.

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    306

    Mario Pastore

    incur

    any

    foreign

    debts. The state made

    its

    first

    attempt

    to obtain

    loans

    in

    the

    London

    capital

    market

    in

    855,

    when the

    export

    boom

    was

    just

    beginning

    and it had

    not

    yet

    established credit

    among

    London

    money

    lenders.

    Perhaps

    for

    those

    reasons

    the

    attempt

    was not

    successful,

    and

    the

    state had to

    content itself

    with

    ?4,000

    obtained from

    merchants.30

    However,

    in

    I862,

    John

    and Alfred

    Blyth

    lent

    Francisco Solano

    L6pez

    50o,6

    12,

    that

    is,

    close to a

    sixth

    of total

    export earnings

    or a

    third of total

    state

    exports

    for

    that

    year

    -

    not

    a

    negligible

    amount

    in

    any

    event.31 In

    i865,

    after the

    War

    of the

    Triple

    Alliance was

    unleashed,

    the

    state

    seems

    to have

    attempted

    to obtain a

    loan

    of

    ?5,ooo,ooo

    for the

    alleged

    purpose

    of

    building

    a railroad to Bolivia. It

    is

    possible

    that the

    response

    was

    negative because it was already clear that it was not very likely that

    Paraguay

    could

    pay

    back a loan of that

    magnitude.

    It

    is

    also

    possible

    that

    other

    attempts

    were made. It

    is

    clear,

    therefore

    that,

    if

    the

    state

    did not

    incur

    greater

    foreign

    indebtedness,

    it was not

    because

    it

    did not want or

    try

    to.

    (d)

    Terms

    of

    trade.

    The

    resources

    available

    to the state

    were also

    greater

    than has been

    supposed

    until

    now because there

    appears

    to have

    been an

    improvement

    in

    the terms of trade.

    Although

    export

    and

    import price

    indices are unavailable, other available evidence suggests that, in general,

    export prices

    rose and

    import

    prices

    fell.32

    Consequently,

    the

    country's

    import

    capacity

    increased,

    an

    important

    factor in

    any

    modernisation

    attempt.

    (2)

    State

    expenditures

    This

    subsection

    explores

    the

    available

    evidence

    regarding

    the manner in

    which the state

    spent

    the

    funds

    at its

    disposal, independently

    of

    how

    or

    where it

    may

    have obtained them.

    We

    will

    distinguish

    local state

    expenditures

    from state

    expenditures

    abroad. As in the cases

    previously

    30

    See Herken

    Krauer,

    'Proceso

    econ6mico',

    p.

    97.

    31

    On the

    line

    of

    credit

    Blyth

    extended to

    L6pez,

    see

    John

    Hoyt

    Williams's Rise

    and

    Fall...,

    p.

    i89.

    Total

    exports

    for

    i862

    -according

    to

    Reber,

    'Modernization From

    Within',

    Table

    I3,

    'Paraguayan Imports

    and

    Exports'

    -

    reached

    $FI,867,000

    which was

    equivalent

    to

    3

    I

    ,166

    at a rate of

    exchange

    of

    $F6/?.

    To

    reach

    the

    line of credit

    proportion

    of total

    export earnings

    I

    assumed,

    with

    Reber,

    that state

    exports

    were a

    maximum of

    52

    %

    of

    total

    exports.

    We have seen that this

    proportion

    was much

    lower

    in

    some

    years,

    in which case

    Blyth's

    line of credit

    would

    have been a still

    greater

    proportion

    of

    state

    exports.

    32

    For export prices see Herken Krauer, 'Proceso econ6mico', p. 113, Table 8. Yerba

    mate

    and tobacco

    exports

    increased

    between

    852

    and

    I860.

    Import prices

    should

    have

    fallen,

    but the

    price

    of

    imported

    flour rose

    according

    to Herken

    Krauer,

    ibid.,

    p.

    114,

    Table

    9.

    Retail

    prices

    of

    imported

    goods

    could have increased

    for

    local and

    circumstantial

    reasons,

    for

    example,

    state

    monopolies

    and the more

    rapid growth

    of

    demand for

    imported

    consumer

    goods

    caused

    by

    the boom.

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    State-led

    Industrialisation n

    Paraguay

    307

    discussed,

    disaggregated quantitative

    data

    on

    state

    expenditures

    are scarce

    -

    basically,

    the

    figures

    for

    1858

    contained in British consular

    reports

    -

    until

    Reber furnished additional data on the

    subject fairly recently.

    However,

    the British

    consular

    report

    data

    differ

    substantially

    from

    those

    Reber

    herself

    calculated

    for

    the same

    year

    on the

    basis

    of

    archival

    documentation,

    in

    a

    4:

    relation.

    Consequently,

    both

    groups

    of

    figures

    will have to

    be taken as

    tentative

    until their relative

    reliability

    can

    be

    established.

    For that reason

    we

    will

    only

    try

    to

    see what

    these

    figures

    can

    tell

    us

    about

    the share of certain items

    in

    state

    expenditures.

    The

    percentages

    calculated

    on

    the

    bases

    of

    the British

    consular

    report

    figures

    are followed

    in

    parentheses

    by

    the

    percentage

    calculated

    on the basis of

    Reber's figures. Almost 80 (40) per cent of state expenditures for that year

    went

    to

    pay

    for

    military

    salaries. Other

    employees

    of the executive

    branch,

    the

    legislature,

    and the

    municipal

    government

    absorbed

    4.76

    (3.92)

    per

    cent,

    and the Church

    7

    (o)

    per

    cent.

    Public

    works,

    the

    most

    important

    category

    of state

    expenditures

    after

    military

    salaries,

    absorbed

    only

    2

    (o)

    per

    cent of state

    expenditures.

    In

    turn,

    only

    20

    per

    cent of

    state

    expenditures

    on

    public

    works

    that

    is,

    2.4

    per

    cent

    of

    the

    budget,

    was

    devoted to

    public

    works

    properly speaking, specifically,

    to the

    foundry

    and

    the railroad.

    An

    activity

    that had little

    in

    common

    with

    public

    works,

    yerba mate production, absorbed a much greater proportion, around 7

    (35)

    per

    cent.33

    (a)

    State investments.

    An

    examination

    of

    secondary

    sources

    reveals

    that

    even

    less data

    are

    available for this

    category

    than

    for

    those

    previously

    discussed.

    Still to

    be done is

    the

    basic

    quantitative

    research

    on

    state

    accounts

    and state

    imports necessary

    for a

    detailed

    description

    of

    state

    investments.

    In

    particular,

    no

    estimates

    exist of the real value of

    state

    investments

    or of the

    product

    of

    state

    enterprises.

    In

    both

    cases,

    the

    available

    evidence allows for

    only

    a

    qualitative description

    to

    be

    made.

    Consequently,

    revisionist

    hypotheses

    on

    industrialisation rest on

    rather

    weak foundations.34

    In

    what follows

    I

    will

    give

    a

    summary

    of

    the

    state's

    investment

    projects,

    taking

    special

    care to establish

    their

    chronological

    sequence

    and

    to

    review

    the

    quantitative

    data available

    in

    each case. It

    will

    become

    clear

    as

    a

    result that

    the

    evidence does not

    justify

    the

    contention

    that

    anything

    even

    remotely

    akin

    to

    industrialisation

    took

    place.

    33

    Reber,

    'Modernization from

    Within',

    Table

    I8,

    'Paraguayan

    Government

    Expend-

    itures for various years, I8I6-i866'. The column labelled 'i858b' contains Reber's

    figures

    based

    on

    those

    in the

    Libros

    de

    Caja

    of the

    Paraguayan overnment's

    General

    Treasury.

    The column labelled

    '85

    8e'

    contains

    figures

    from the British

    Consular

    report

    on

    the

    finances

    of

    Paraguay.

    34

    That there also was some

    private

    nvestment s

    clear,

    but

    it

    is

    not

    known what it

    might

    have amounted

    to.

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    308

    Mario

    Pastore

    State

    investment

    projects

    began

    in earnest in

    I853,

    when

    President

    Carlos

    Antonio

    Lopez

    sent

    his son

    Francisco

    Solano,

    then

    a

    general

    and

    Minister

    of

    War,

    to

    Europe.35

    Francisco Solano

    Lopez

    visited

    England,

    France,

    Spain,

    Italy

    and the theatre of

    operation

    of the Crimean War. In

    London,

    he established relations with

    John

    and Alfred

    Blyth,

    shipbuilders

    of

    Limehouse,

    a concern that

    would

    henceforth act as

    agents

    of the

    Paraguayan government. Through

    Blyth,

    L6pez

    hired

    John

    William

    K.

    Whytehead,

    who

    would

    eventually

    become

    chief

    state

    engineer,

    as

    well

    as other

    engineers

    and machinists

    of lower rank. He also

    purchased

    a

    steam-driven

    warship

    in which he

    returned

    to

    Asunci6n towards

    the end

    of

    1854

    with the technicians

    he

    had hired

    and

    the

    capital goods,

    raw

    materials

    and

    military

    materiel he had

    bought.36

    Working

    directly

    under

    the

    Minister

    of

    War,

    Whytehead

    designed

    and

    constructed

    the

    different

    projects

    that had been

    taking shape

    in

    the mind

    of

    President

    L6pez during

    the

    preceding

    decade. These

    projects

    appear

    to

    have

    become

    more

    ambitious

    as

    his son

    became more

    important

    in the

    government. Among

    them

    were,

    first,

    an

    iron

    foundry,

    in which the

    state

    intended to

    process

    the

    iron ore

    extracted

    from

    local mines

    ;37

    second,

    an

    arsenal,

    where the

    state

    anticipated

    that the

    iron

    produced

    at the

    foundry

    would be

    shaped

    and

    the

    parts

    obtained would be finished

    and

    assembled.

    The arsenal would also produce, besides arms and munitions, inputs

    needed

    for other

    projects being contemplated. Among

    these was the

    shipyard,

    which would build the riverine

    and

    seagoing ships

    for

    the state

    merchant

    marine

    and war

    fleet

    that

    would facilitate

    transportation

    and

    defence,

    respectively;

    the forts that would

    control

    strategic

    stretches

    of

    the

    Paraguay

    River;

    the

    expansion

    of the

    port

    of Asunci6n

    that the

    growing

    trade would

    make

    necessary;

    the railroad

    that would

    join

    the

    country's biggest port

    and

    population

    centre,

    Asunci6n,

    with Villa

    Rica,

    the main

    gathering point

    for

    the

    most

    important export product,

    transporting exports outward and imports inland, and expanding the

    35

    Carlos Antonio

    L6pez

    had sent

    a

    similar mission

    to Brazil at the end

    of

    the

    previous

    decade. See

    below,

    note

    57.

    36

    The

    warship

    in

    question

    was the 'Tacuari'.

    Among

    the

    capital inputs purchased

    were

    between

    eight

    and

    ten

    steam

    engines.

    See Robert

    Scheina,

    Latin America:

    A Naval

    History,

    I810-1987

    (Annapolis,

    Md,

    1987),

    p.

    i9,

    note

    o0.

    37

    L6pez

    had tried

    to

    establish

    an iron

    foundry

    twice before

    Whytehead's

    arrival,

    both

    times without success.

    In the late forties he sent

    Juan

    Andres

    Gelly

    to

    Rio de

    Janeiro,

    who hired

    technical

    personnel

    and

    purchased

    needed

    inputs.

    This first

    foundry

    project

    was directed

    by

    Henry

    Godwin.

    The

    second

    attempt

    was

    made

    in the

    early

    fifties,

    under

    Augusto

    Liliedat's direction.

    See

    Josefina Pli,

    Los britdnicosen el

    Paraguay (Asuncion,

    1984),

    pp.

    29-38.

    Subsequent

    quotations

    from Pla's

    text

    are

    from this

    Spanish original,

    and do not

    always

    appear

    in

    Josefina

    Pli's The British in

    Paraguay

    (Oxford,

    I975,

    translated

    and with an 'Historical Introduction'

    by

    Brian

    Charles

    MacDermot).

    The

    Spanish

    edition,

    published

    nearly

    ten

    years

    after the

    English

    translation,

    does

    not

    include

    MacDermot's

    very interesting

    introduction.

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    State-led

    Industrialisation

    in

    Paraguay

    309

    internal

    market for

    locally

    produced

    goods

    and

    services;

    the

    telegraph,

    which would

    accelerate still

    more communications with

    the interior

    and

    with

    the fortifications

    downriver;

    and

    the

    buildings

    that would be

    required

    for the

    already

    mentioned

    projects

    and

    to

    lodge

    the

    governing

    family,

    its circle

    of close

    associates,

    and the state

    bureaucracy,

    whose

    growing

    number

    and

    importance

    was

    easy

    to

    predict.38

    The

    foundry

    and

    the

    arsenal,

    therefore,

    would constitute

    a

    small-scale version

    of a

    capital

    goods

    industry.

    Both

    the

    foundry

    and the

    arsenal

    as well as

    the

    ships,

    the

    port,

    the

    railroad,

    the

    telegraph

    and the

    majority

    of

    the

    public buildings

    could

    serve

    not

    only

    an economic but a

    military

    purpose

    as

    well. In

    fact,

    during

    the

    War

    of the

    Triple

    Alliance

    they

    were all

    subordinated

    to

    the

    latter purpose. Below I describe each of these projects in greater detail.

    (i)

    With

    Whytehead

    at the

    helm

    the

    foundry

    and

    associated

    projects

    were

    carried

    out

    between

    early

    I855

    and

    I857.

    The

    foundry

    required

    -

    besides

    the installation of the furnaces - the extraction of iron ore

    and,

    to

    facilitate its

    transport

    and

    that

    of the

    coal

    needed

    to

    melt

    it,

    the

    detouring

    of

    a natural

    waterway,

    its

    dredging

    in certain

    stretches and its

    channelling

    in

    others,

    and

    the

    construction

    of

    the

    dam that would move the wheel that

    would

    power

    the furnaces' blowers.

    Producing

    charcoal

    in

    turn

    implied

    building

    ovens.

    Also,

    wood needed

    to be cut and

    transported

    to where the

    ovens were located, a task that was carried out with carts produced at the

    arsenal

    moving

    on

    wheels

    protected

    by

    iron

    rims made

    at the

    foundry.

    A

    search

    for

    coal was

    conducted,

    but

    it

    was unsuccessful

    -

    despite

    the fact

    that

    deposits

    did

    exist,

    as was later verified.39

    Apparently

    both

    L6pez

    and

    Whytehead

    initially

    held

    serious

    hopes

    that

    Paraguayan

    iron could

    eventually

    compete

    in the

    region

    with

    that

    from

    Britain.

    However,

    the

    foundry

    never

    resolved several

    problems

    of a

    technical and

    organisational

    nature that

    kept

    this

    goal

    from

    being

    reached,

    nor

    could it overcome other

    difficulties

    presented by

    nature. The

    fundamental obstacle to the

    expansion

    of iron

    production,

    however,

    turned out to be the

    selection

    of

    inappropriate techniques

    and

    the failure

    to

    locate coal

    deposits,

    which

    implied

    the

    use

    of

    charcoal as fuel.

    The

    foundry's

    average output

    level under normal

    operating

    conditions

    cannot be calculated from available information.

    According

    to

    Whigham,

    total recorded

    iron

    poundage produced

    at the

    foundry

    between

    August

    I854

    and

    January

    I856

    was

    5,543

    pounds,

    which

    he warns is a

    partial

    38

    Sumptuous private

    residences were built

    for

    the rulers.

    Most

    important among

    them

    was Francisco Solano L6pez's - now Paraguay's presidential palace. See Ram6n

    Gutierrez,

    Evolucidn

    rbanzsticay

    rquitectonica

    el

    Paraguay

    Resistencia,

    Argentina:

    1978),

    Segunda

    edici6n.

    39

    After

    the

    war,

    coal

    deposits

    were found

    to

    exist

    in

    present day

    San

    Estanislao,

    Cerro

    Le6n and

    Paraguari.

    See

    Juan

    Francisco Perez

    Acosta,

    Carlos Antonio

    Lope:,

    obrero

    mdximo. Labor administrativa constructiva

    Asunci6n,

    1948),

    pp.

    59-60.

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    3

    o Mario

    Pastore

    figure,

    for

    'many

    articles

    produced

    in the

    foundry,

    as

    well

    as

    all

    of

    those

    from

    the

    smithy

    were

    without

    poundage

    figures'.

    This

    suggests

    that,

    initially, foundry production

    was

    at

    least

    300

    pounds per

    month or

    almost

    3,700

    pounds

    per

    year.

    He then

    goes

    on to assert

    -

    following

    Trias

    -

    that

    'by

    I857,

    more

    than

    I,ooo

    pounds

    of iron were

    being

    smelted

    in

    the

    foundry every

    twelve

    hours',

    a claim that Reber

    reiterates.40

    This

    suggests

    a

    daily output

    of

    2,000

    pounds

    under continuous

    operation,

    or

    730,000

    pounds per

    year,

    a

    sizeable increase.

    This

    figure

    is

    suspect

    for two reasons.

    First,

    we

    know

    from Pla that

    'even in the best

    of

    times,

    the

    yield

    of the

    Ybycui

    furnaces did not reach

    5,ooo

    quintales

    per

    year'.41

    A

    quintal

    equals

    ioo

    pounds

    or four

    arrobas

    so

    that output could not have exceeded 1,3 70 pounds per day even in the best

    of

    times. Thus

    the

    figure Whigham quoted

    from Trias seems too

    high;

    also,

    Trias

    does

    not

    give

    its source.42

    Finally,

    Whigham reports

    that for

    the twelve

    months

    during

    which

    the

    foundry operated

    between

    April

    i865

    and

    May

    1866,

    total

    recorded

    poundage

    for the

    foundry

    and the

    smithy

    was

    105,202

    pounds,

    which

    suggests

    that even the

    figure

    given by

    Pla for

    output

    during

    the best of times

    may

    be

    an overestimate.43 Since six

    of the

    months included

    in the

    period

    cited

    by Whigham

    followed the

    beginning

    of the

    War

    of the

    Triple

    Alliance,

    one

    would

    suspect

    that even

    Whigham's figure is an overestimate of the foundry's average output

    under

    normal conditions.

    From this discussion

    it would

    appear

    that this

    matter is far

    from

    clarified

    or

    settled.

    An

    indication

    that the

    foundry's

    output

    may

    never

    have reached

    expected

    levels is that the

    state could never

    accumulate

    a

    reserve

    stock of

    iron and

    that iron

    production

    did

    not reach

    a scale sufficient

    to

    permit

    local

    production

    of

    the

    iron-hulled

    vessels that had

    earlier been

    thought

    possible,

    or of the railroad ties.44 These continued

    to

    be

    imported,

    together

    with

    pig

    iron and coal. Once

    the

    original,

    very

    ambitious

    40

    Whigham's

    figures

    on

    foundry

    production

    are

    from

    'The

    Iron

    Works

    of

    Ybycuf',

    pp.

    208

    and

    210,

    respectively.

    His source for

    the

    figure

    he

    quotes

    on

    p.

    21o

    is

    Vivian

    Trias,

    El

    Paraguay

    de Francia el

    Supremo

    a la Guerra

    de la

    Triple Alianza

    (Buenos

    Aires,

    1975),

    p.

    32.

    The

    Trias-Whigham

    claim

    reappears

    in

    Reber,

    'Modernization

    from

    Within',

    ch.

    4,

    'Education,

    Industry

    and

    Mining', p.

    22. She

    gives

    Whigham's

    'Iron

    Works...'

    as

    her source.

    41

    See

    Josefina

    Pli,

    Los

    britdnicos...,

    p.

    13I.

    42

    The sentence

    where Trias makes the claim

    in

    question

    is footnoted but the

    footnote

    where

    the source is

    supposed

    to

    appear

    is

    not

    among

    the rest of the footnotes

    following

    the text.

    The

    problem reappears

    in Vivian

    Trfas,

    Obras de Vivian

    Trias

    (Montevideo,

    I988),

    pp.

    148

    and

    206.

    43 See 'The Iron Works of Ybycuf', p.

    2

    14. On the next page, however, Whigham reports

    'Total recorded

    poundage

    for

    Smithy

    and

    Foundry:

    IO5-202

    lbs',

    which

    suggests

    a

    yearly

    poundage

    of

    between

    I05

    and 200

    pounds.

    This is

    likely

    to

    be

    a

    typographical

    mistake

    and,

    as

    such,

    we

    disregard

    it.

    44

    The conclusion

    that the

    original plans

    would

    have to

    be

    changed

    for

    more

    modest

    ones

    was

    apparently

    reached

    in March

    I858.

    See

    Pla,

    Los

    britdnicos

    en

    el

    Paraguay, p.

    65.

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    I

    expectations

    for

    the

    foundry

    were scaled

    down,

    no

    attempt

    was

    again

    made

    to

    increase

    its

    productive

    capacity

    until after

    regional political

    conflicts

    became

    more

    acute and

    the

    probability

    of war

    increased

    substantially.

    In

    1863,

    Francisco Solano

    L6pez

    -

    by

    then President-

    ordered

    Whytehead

    to

    design plans

    for a

    new,

    compressed-air

    boiler.

    However,

    the

    steam

    engine

    that

    was

    ordered

    never arrived

    in

    Paraguay.

    Similarly,

    until a

    very

    late date

    iron on its

    way

    from

    the

    foundry

    to

    the

    arsenal

    had

    to be

    transported

    by

    oxcart a

    good part

    of

    the

    way; only

    in

    May

    1864

    could this

    distance be

    reduced

    by

    half,

    when

    the railroad

    finally

    reached

    Pirayu,

    some

    60

    kilometres

    away

    from

    Ybycui.

    It is also

    worth

    pointing

    out that

    plans

    to

    build

    a railroad link between

    Pirayti

    and

    Ybycui

    were

    scrapped

    as the

    War

    of the

    Triple

    Alliance

    loomed; instead,

    the

    railroad

    was extended

    to

    the

    Army's

    main

    training camp

    at Cerro

    Le6n.

    (ii)

    The

    shipyard

    that

    Whytehead

    designed

    and constructed

    in

    Asunci6n

    was

    expected

    to

    build

    ships

    for

    the state merchant

    and war

    fleets.

    Ships bought

    abroad

    would serve as

    a model for those

    the

    shipyard

    would

    then

    construct.

    The fleet's main

    ships

    would

    be steamers

    capable

    of

    riverine

    and,

    in

    some

    cases,

    of

    ocean

    navigation

    as well. Consistent

    with

    this

    plan

    the first

    three

    steamships

    were

    bought

    abroad.

    The

    already

    referred

    to

    'Tacuari',

    bought

    in

    London,

    was

    new,

    while

    the other

    two,

    bought in the River Plate, were second-hand. The shipyard buildings

    were

    all erected between

    I

    8

    5

    and

    i85

    6.4

    Shipyard

    personnel,

    in

    addition

    to

    constructing

    and

    repairing ships,

    remodelled the

    port

    to

    allow more

    ships

    to

    dock

    during

    periods

    of both

    high

    and

    low

    water,

    and built

    a

    crane

    to facilitate

    the

    handling

    of

    heavy

    loads.

    The first

    of the

    ships

    constructed

    in

    the

    shipyards

    was launched

    a

    year

    and

    a

    half

    after Francisco Solano

    L6pez's

    return

    from

    Europe.

    In the next

    two

    years,

    four

    more followed and two other

    ships bought

    abroad

    were

    rebuilt as

    well.46 Between

    1862 and

    I864,

    two more

    ships

    built

    at the

    shipyards were launched, one of which replaced another that had sunk.47

    Only

    partial

    data exist

    on

    ship tonnage, purchase price,

    or cost

    of

    construction.

    Although

    all the

    ships

    were

    steamers,

    side wheelers

    or

    propeller

    driven,

    they

    were

    all wooden hulled.

    On

    9

    October

    1857

    Whytehead

    presented

    to

    L6pez

    a

    project

    to

    construct

    ironclads.

    In March

    I858,

    however,

    after

    L6pez

    had

    insistently

    inquired

    about

    the

    project

    and both

    he

    and

    Whytehead

    had discussed

    it

    further,

    the

    plan

    was

    apparently

    abandoned,

    for

    the hulls of all the

    ships

    that followed

    were made out of wood.48

    In

    August

    1862-

    when the

    war

    was

    already

    on the horizon

    -

    Whytehead

    again

    started

    making

    plans

    to build iron

    hulls

    and

    to

    remodel the

    45

    Ibid.,

    p.

    62.

    46

    Ibid.,

    pp.

    63-4.

    47

    Ibid.,

    pp.

    I27-8.

    48

    Ibid.,

    p. 65.

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    12

    Mario

    Pastore

    shipyards,

    but

    the

    international situation

    did

    not allow

    him

    to

    carry

    out

    his

    plans.49

    After the

    Paraguayan government

    ordered the

    capture

    of

    the

    Brazilian steamer

    Marques

    de

    Olinda

    and

    open

    war

    began

    between the

    two

    countries,

    the

    shipyard

    limited itself to

    repairing

    and

    overhauling

    ships

    captured subsequently

    (4),

    purchased during

    the

    first months

    of

    I865

    (3),

    and

    damaged

    in naval

    battles

    during

    the course of

    the war

    (many).

    (iii)

    The main function

    of

    the arsenal

    was

    to

    provide

    arms and

    munitions

    to

    the

    Army

    and

    Navy,

    and

    to

    produce

    the

    machinery

    its own

    production

    required.

    However,

    it also had

    to

    produce inputs

    of a

    different

    type,

    intended to

    satisfy

    the needs of

    government

    agencies

    and

    of

    the

    private

    sector. These

    demands,

    although

    secondary,

    were

    not

    negligible.50

    The total number

    of

    artillery pieces produced

    in

    the arsenal, together

    with those

    produced

    in

    Ybycui,

    'perhaps

    exceeded

    25o'.

    Until

    i862,

    the

    cannons

    produced

    in

    Ybycui

    or in

    the

    arsenal,

    and

    finished

    in

    the

    latter,

    were made

    of iron

    and,

    following

    the installation of the

    necessary

    ovens,

    of

    bronze

    as well.51

    It

    seems

    that,

    until

    i865,

    all

    the

    cannons

    produced

    were

    smooth

    bore.

    It

    also

    seems that

    no

    attempts

    were made to

    produced

    rifled cannons until after

    the war had

    begun,

    but it is not

    clear

    whether these

    attempts

    were successful.52 The arsenal also

    produced

    an

    'enormous'

    quantity

    of

    munitions,

    both 'solid

    and

    hollow',

    as

    well as

    'grenades, land and naval gun carriages, and iron oxcarts'.53 The arsenal

    also

    produced

    many

    spare parts

    with which

    to

    repair

    the steam

    engines

    and the

    ships.54

    Also constructed

    initially

    were

    two

    floating

    docks to be

    used

    in

    repairing ships,

    and

    in

    November

    858

    a

    machine

    to launch

    ships

    was also under construction.55

    To make

    it

    possible

    to

    produce

    this

    varied

    output,

    modern

    machinery

    was installed

    -

    some

    imported,

    some

    produced

    locally

    -

    though

    it is not

    49

    Ibid.,

    pp.

    127-8.

    50

    In addition to

    supplying

    the

    shipyard,

    the arsenal later

    supplied

    the

    railroad,

    the

    militaryhospital,andeven the privatesector. These demandednot only partsandspare

    parts

    but

    repairs

    and maintenanceas well.

    Pla

    suggests

    that

    'toward

    1864,

    the number

    of

    private

    commissions were

    choking

    the arsenal'. Some

    presumably ypical examples

    of work the arsenalcarried

    out for the

    'private

    sector' included

    repairs

    on

    the bedstead

    belonging

    to Ana Paula

    Carrillo,

    mother

    of the

    President,

    as

    well

    as structural

    and

    ornamental ron

    works

    of the new

    buildings belonging

    to the President'srelatives. See

    Los britdnicosen

    el

    Paraguay,

    pp.

    33-4.

    51

    'The first

    brass

    cannon,

    a

    I2-pounder

    was cast on

    26

    July

    I862;

    but not

    enough

    metal

    was

    apparently put

    into the

    furnace

    and the cannon came out

    headless.

    The second

    cannon was cast on

    8

    October,

    and the

    third,

    on i8 December'. See

    Pla,

    Los

    britdnicos

    en

    el

    Paraguay,

    p.

    13

    .

    52

    Pla reports that a sample rifled cannon had been bought in England and brought to the

    arsenal,

    where

    it was

    put

    away

    for several months

    until

    Whytehead

    himself noticed it.

    See

    Los

    britdnicos

    n

    el

    Paraguay,

    p.

    3

    .

    Considering

    the

    vital

    importance

    of

    that

    sample,

    it is

    surprising

    that the chief

    engineer

    should have allowed

    it to suffer

    such

    a fate.

    This event

    suggests

    a certain

    inefficiency

    in

    arsenal

    operations.

    53

    Ibid.,

    p.

    132.

    54

    Ibid.,

    p.

    69.

    55

    Ibid.,

    p.

    71.

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    clear what

    machinery

    was

    imported

    and

    what was

    produced

    locally.56

    The

    energy

    available

    to

    operate

    these

    machines

    was

    apparently

    minimal,

    however,

    for it was

    provided by

    a

    single

    steam

    engine

    mounted

    on

    wheels.57

    The

    arsenal's

    plant

    was

    among

    the

    largest

    that

    had

    been

    built

    in

    Paraguay

    until that time.

    However,

    its

    output

    was not sufficient to

    satisfy

    the

    requirements

    of national defence

    plans, according

    to

    Pla.58

    (iv)

    The railroad

    originally

    envisioned

    would

    join

    Asunci6n with Villa

    Rica,

    some

    I50

    kilometres

    away.

    The

    inputs

    to

    build it

    began

    to

    be

    accumulated after

    the

    first

    ships

    were

    bought,

    construction of the

    foundry

    was

    underway,

    the

    shipyard

    and

    the

    arsenal

    began

    to

    be built

    and

    the first

    ships

    were

    launched. Iron rails and

    planks,

    locomotives

    and

    wagons

    began arriving in Asunci6n in 1856 on board private and state merchant

    ships.

    Construction

    itself,

    however,

    did

    not

    begin

    until

    I858,

    though

    prerequisite

    tasks such

    as

    opening

    the trail and

    building

    the