Indonesia climate change activities 2010
Transcript of Indonesia climate change activities 2010
Indonesia National Council on Indonesia National Council on Climate Change Climate Change ‐‐ NCCC NCCC ggPresident Regulation # 46 /2008 President Regulation # 46 /2008
ORGANIZATION MANDATES
PengurusPengurus harianharian DNPI DNPI
Executive ChairmanChairman
Secretariat
Divisions
Mitigation Task Force Adaptation
Task ForceFinance
Task Force Post Kyoto T k F
Tech. transfer
Scientific based Task
LULUCF Task Force
Marine Task Force
Members Members Members
Task Force
Members
transfer Task Force Force
Members Members Members Members
Chairmen and members of the Task Force comprise of relevant stakeholders, including government officials, NGOs, private sector, academician, professionals
INDONESIA: OUR VULNERABILITIESSea level rise & land inundation threatens coastal zones
àNorth coast Java, south Kalimantan,west Sumatra
Water� changed water balance leading to droughts and floods – regionally differentiatedg y
Agriculture� food security threatened, and declining productivity in particular rice cultivation
Health� spread of diseases correlated to effects of climate change (malaria dengue cholera diarrhea etc)(malaria, dengue, cholera, diarrhea etc)
INDONESIA:CURRENT EMISSIONS*EMISSIONS
LULUCF + Peat burning: 866,254 +/‐ Stable+/‐ StableLULUCF + Peat burning: 866,254LULUCF + Peat burning: 866,254 +/‐ Stable
Energy: 333,540 Gg
Industry: 34,197 Gg
Energy: 333,540 Gg
Industry: 34,197 Gg
Energy: 333,540 Gg
Industry: 34,197 GgIndustry: 34,197 Gg
Agriculture: 75,419 Gg
Industry: 34,197 Gg
Agriculture: 75,419 Gg
Industry: 34,197 Gg
Agriculture: 75,419 Gg
Waste: 151,578 GgWaste: 151,578 GgWaste: 151,578 Gg
TOTAL: 1,415,988 GgTOTAL: 1,415,988 GgTOTAL: 1,415,988 Gg
*)Note: these emission numbers for 2004 still under calculation by SNC team
HOW IS CLIMATE CHANGE HOW IS CLIMATE CHANGE MAINSTREAMED WITHIN THE NATIONAL MAINSTREAMED WITHIN THE NATIONAL Q PRIORITY AND ACTION PLAN 2010PRIORITY AND ACTION PLAN 2010--2014?2014?Q
MAINSTREAMING CLIMATE CHANGE INTO NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AGENDA:
BALI ACTION BALI ACTION PLANPLAN
MGoI’s own budgetGoI’s own budget
MainstreaMainstreai i ti i t
BiBi‐‐/Multilateral /Multilateral cooperationcooperation
PLANPLAN
PRES PRES
ROADMAPSROADMAPS(ICCSR)(ICCSR)
ming into ming into RPJMRPJM��
RANRAN GRKGRKSSSTATEMENT:STATEMENT:G20 2009G20 2009 A
ICCTFICCTFRAN RAN ‐‐ GRKGRK
Bridges National Action Plan on CC into 5 yr mid‐term development plan
ICCTF‐ International financing mechanism channeling investment Yellow
(RPJM) 2010‐2014 & inputs till 2030.
funds into national CC initiatives.
Book
NATIONAL PRIORITY & ACTION PLAN 2010-2014
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Bureaucracy Reform and Good Governance
Ed ti2
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Education
Health
P t All i ti4
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Poverty Alleviation
Food Security
f11 National
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Infrastructure
Investment Climate
Priorities ‐Indonesian Cabinet
2010‐20148
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EnergyEnvironment and Disaster Management (incl. Climate Change)
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( g )
Disadvantaged, Borders and Post‐Conflict Areas
Culture, Creativity and Technology Innovation, y gy
PRIORITY FOCUS•Land, Area Development & Agriculture Spatial Plan•Infrastructure•Infrastructure •Research and Development•Investment, Finance and Subsidy•Food and Nutrition Adaptation to Climate Change
FOOD SECURITYFOOD SECURITY
•Adaptation to Climate Change
•Policy•Restructuring of State Enterprises•Energy Capacity•Alternative Energy•Oil and Gas Derivative Production
ENERGYENERGY
•Gas Conversion
•Climate Change•Climate Change •Environmental Degradation Control•Early Warning System•Capacity Building on Disaster Mitigation & Forest Fire
ENVIRONMENTAL AND DISASTER MANAGEMENT
ENVIRONMENTAL AND DISASTER MANAGEMENT
Fire
WHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATEWHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATEWHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATE WHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATE CHANGE CHANGE SECTORAL ROADMAP (ICCSR)SECTORAL ROADMAP (ICCSR)??Q
THE ROADMAPThe Climate Change Sectoral Roadmap will support the GOI’s development vision related to climate change for the next 20 years.g y
The implementation of the Roadmap will be through National Development Plan; the next Development is for period 2010 – 2014.Plan; the next Development is for period 2010 2014.
There are nine priority sectors:Mitigation Sectors‐: Energy, Forestry, Industry, Transportation, WasteMitigation Sectors : Energy, Forestry, Industry, Transportation, Waste ManagementAdaptation Sectors‐: Agriculture, Marine and Fishery, Water Resources, Health
COORDINATION & IMPLEMENTATION OFSECTORAL CLIMATE CHANGE ROADMAPSECTORAL CLIMATE CHANGE ROADMAP
Phase I:Phase I:a. Awareness & Capacity
Buildingb. Policy Reorientationc Roadmap developmentc. Roadmap development
SECTORAL CLIMATE CHANGE
Phase II:d. Program Formulatione. Process of Integrating
into Dev. Planning
ROADMAP
into Dev. Planning
Phase III:Phase III:f. Implementation (Annual
Gov. Work Plan)g. Monitoring & Evaluation
Objectives �
CLIMATE CHANGE ROADMAP
Current StatusPolicy
instrument and Program Project
Funding scheme
Capacity building
Objectives �Mainstreaming climate change
into regulation
g j scheme buildingdevelopment planning
Priority Sectors1. Agriculture2. Coastal, ocean and fishery3. Energy4. Forestry4. ForestrySecondary Sectors1. Health2. Transportation3. Infrastructure4 water4. water5. IndustryCross Cutting Issues1. Research and Technology2. National security3. Biodiversity4. Poverty
WHAT IS THEWHAT IS THE NATIONAL ACTION PLANNATIONAL ACTION PLANWHAT IS THE WHAT IS THE NATIONAL ACTION PLANNATIONAL ACTION PLAN(RAN(RAN--GRK)GRK)??Q
Scenario of 26% GHG Emission ReductionScenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction
President Commitment G 20 Pitt b h d COP15G-20 Pittsburgh and COP15
To reduce te GHG Emission in 2020
Unilateraland International
26% 26%41% and International
Support
15%Unilateral41%
RAN-GRK(RAN(RAN--GRK)GRK)
RAN-GRK
Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction
RAN-GRK Compiled based on proposals of actions from Implementing AgenciesQuick start: screened based on existing actions that have co-benefits in reducing GHG emissionsg
%
Criteria:Potentially measured, reported and verified (MRV), clear and concise contracts, clear executing agencies higher abatement cost not+15%
6%
executing agencies, higher abatement cost , not included in CDM project
Criteria:
26%Criteria:Potentially measured, reported and verified (MRV), lower abatement cost, in Medium Term Development Plan, national priorities, economically feasible not included in CDMeconomically feasible, not included in CDM project
Scenario of 26% GHG Emission ReductionScenario of 26% GHG Emission ReductionGHG Emission in Indonesia is estimated to increase from 1.72
to 2.95 GtCO2e from 2000 to 2020
3 Kehutanan dan Lahan Gambut2,95 Forestry and Peat land
2
2.5
Gambut
Limbah
,
2,121,72C
O2e
)
y
Waste
1.5
2
Pertanian
,
ion
(Gto
nC
Agriculture
0.5
1
IndustriEmis
si
Industry
0
0.5
2000 2005 2020Energi dan TransportasiEnergy and Transportation
Scenario of 26% GHG Emission ReductionScenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction
BAU Skenario 26%
3.0
3.52)
BAU Skenario 26%
2.5
3.0
e (Gt C
O2
26%
2.0
ssion Ra
te
1.5Emis
1.0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Policy Framework of RAN GRKPolicy Framework of RAN-GRK1. What is the Action Plan?
1. an integral part of National Development Plan and updated according to scientific and policy development
2. integrated actions among sectors – environmental carrying capacity and spatial plan
3. intended to contribute to global efforts to reduce emissions and to tap international funding for Indonesia
2. The Action Plan is focused on :1. GHG Emission Reduction2. Increase of GHG Absorbtion Capacity (carbon sequestration)
3. The Action Plan - principles:3. The Action Plan principles:1. should not hinder economic growth, and prioritizing people’s welfare �
esp. in areas of energy resilience and food security2. supports protection of the poor and vulnerable communities, including pp p p , g
environment conservation in the framework of sustainable development3. consists of core activities to reduce the emission and supporting activities
to strengthen the policy framework
WHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATEWHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATEWHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATE WHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATE CHANGE TRUST FUND?CHANGE TRUST FUND?Q
ICCTF AND ROADMAP IN UNFCCC CONTEXTIN UNFCCC CONTEXTCC RoadmapCC Roadmap
ICCTF
CC RoadmapCC Roadmap
NAMA/NAPANAMA/NAPA
FINANCIAL MECHANISM(decentralized)
MRV
(decentralized)
THE ICCTFGOALGOAL
The goal of the ICCTF is to support the GOI’s efforts to reduce emissions, move towards a low‐carbon economy and adapt to the
impacts of climate changeimpacts of climate change.
PURPOSEPURPOSEThe purpose of the ICCTF is to attract, manage and mobilise funding to contribute efficiently
and effectively to 1) the mainstreaming of climate change issues in national, provincial and local development planning and 2) the implementation of mitigation and adaptation climate changedevelopment planning and 2) the implementation of mitigation and adaptation climate change
initiatives.
OUTCOME 1OUTCOME 1‐‐ ENERGYENERGY OUTCOME 2 OUTCOME 2 –– FORESTRY & FORESTRY & PEATLANDPEATLAND
OUTCOME 3OUTCOME 3‐‐ RESILIENCERESILIENCEThe ICCTF aims to contribute to responding
The ICCTF aims to contribute to the improvement of energy security and
reduction of emissions from the energy sector in Indonesia.
The ICCTF aims to contribute to address deforestation & forest degradation issues & to advance sustainable management of
peat‐ lands and forest resources.
to the adverse impacts of and risks posed by climate change that are already
occurring, while also preparing for future impacts through cross cutting and inter‐
sectoral measures.
OutlineOutline
• Background
• Initial Finding (AR4)Initial Finding (AR4)
• Gap Analysis (ICCSR)
• Concluding Remarks
OBJECTIVESOBJECTIVES
To assist the Government of Indonesia to develop adaptation basic information in support of the formulation of national strategy and mid‐and‐long term plans to prepare the country to adapt to negative p p y p gimpacts of climate change
REPORT OF THE STUDY 1. Part I: General
Introduction
2. Part II: Scientific Basis Status & Capacity of Available Adaptation Sciencep y p
3. Part III: Impacts by Sector Review on Studies of Climate Change ImpactsReview on Studies of Climate Change Impacts
4. Part IV: Policy & Strategy of Adaptation by Sectors and Aspectsand Aspects Key Information on Existing Adaptation Plans, Policies, & Strategies;
Policy & Strategy Gaps on Adaptation; y gy p p ;
Needs & Availability of Technology for Adaptation Measures;
Needs & Flows of Financing for Adaptation Measures
5. Part V: Concluding Remarks
PRIMARY DOCUMENTSPRIMARY DOCUMENTSDocuments Source (Institution)Indonesian Climate Change Sectoral
National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas) & GTZ
Roadmap (ICCSR)Financial Assessment National Development Planning
Agency (Bappenas) & GTZAgency (Bappenas) & GTZIndonesian Climate Change Trust Fund
National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas) & GTZChange Trust Fund
(ICCTF)Agency (Bappenas) & GTZ
Second National Ministry of Environment (KLH) & Communication (SNC)
UNDP
Vulnerability Ministry of Environment (KLH)Vulnerability Assessment (VA) of Lombok Island
Ministry of Environment (KLH), Government of West Nusa Tenggara (NTB) & WWF
PRIMARY DOCUMENTSPRIMARY DOCUMENTSDocuments Source (Institution)Indonesian Climate Change Sectoral
National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas) & GTZ
Roadmap (ICCSR)Financial Assessment National Development Planning
Agency (Bappenas) & GTZAgency (Bappenas) & GTZIndonesian Climate Change Trust Fund
National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas) & GTZChange Trust Fund
(ICCTF)Agency (Bappenas) & GTZ
Second National Ministry of Environment (KLH) & Communication (SNC)
UNDP
Vulnerability Ministry of Environment (KLH)Vulnerability Assessment (VA) of Lombok Island
Ministry of Environment (KLH), Government of West Nusa Tenggara (NTB) & WWF
Gap Analysis (ICCSR)p y
Gap Analysis --> Findings Assessment
LEGEND ■ out of scope - missingо incomplete ● complete
Title of Report: ICCSR Bappenas-GTZ, 2010
Name of Assessor: Ibnu SofianAnalysis Variable Indicator Chapter,Page,
Figure, TableComments Rating
1. Science basis related to hazard analysis o1 1 D t d S S f T t1.1. Data and Information
Sea Surface TemperaturePage 20-24 4.1 Sea surface temperature trend ●
Tide Page 8-9 2.2.2 Tidal Forcing oWave Page 9-10,
43-47 2.2.3 Significant Wave Height ●g gOcean Current Page 5-8 2.2.1 Ocean currents and sea level oOcean acidification - - -Water transport - - -Biogeochemistry Page 11-12,
47 50 5 3 SST and Chlor a o47-50 5.3 SST and Chlor-a o1.2. Analysis and Modelling
Global sea level risePage 24-34 4.2 Sea level rise projection ●
ENSO Page 35-41 5. El Nino and La Nina Projections ●Windwaves Page 43-47 4.2 ENSO and extreme waves oOcean Currents
-Impacts of climate change on the ocean current characteristics -
ProblemsProblems•Limited of observation data both of ocean and
climate data•Limited of coverage area and time-span
•High spatial resolution of atmospheric and oceanic models
Time span ? *from 1960 or 1980??Observational for assimilation and model validation??for assimilation and model validation??
Company LOGODNPI created the details of low carbon growth strategy in 3 provinces
Low Carbon Growth Strategy Main Elements of LCGSLow Carbon Growth Strategy
Sustainable Economic Growth Strategy
▪ Competitive excess and deficiency
▪ New growth source
Main Elements of LCGS
KaltengIndonesia
New growth source
Sectoral strategies
▪ The opportunity of the required reduction, pilot project and policyproject and policy
▪ Palm oil, forestry, agriculture, coals, oil and gas
Regional strategies
▪ Large area and land useLarge area and land use
▪ Emission and the reduction opportunity
▪ GDP and labor
Implementation and enabler
KaltimJambi
p
▪ Detailed action plan
▪ Required important enabler
▪ Estimation of total costs
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Source: DNPI; Govt of Central Kalimantan, Govt. Of East Kalimantan, Govt of Jambi
East Kalimantan has the potency to reduce emission in the amount of 60% while the GDP growth increasing from 3% to 5%
While towards the advanced production with value added can increase the GDP growthThe more efficient land use can reduce the emission significantly
MtCO e IDR Trillionsi iMtCO2e IDR TrillionsEmissions
Abatement
4734
331
2418 12
200
250
300Environmentally Sustainable DevelopmentStrategy
62 134
12
0
50
100
150
Business As Usual
CO2Reduction Initiatives Reduction GDP Initiatives IDR Trillions
Label Use degraded land
Zero Burning
Reduced impact logging
Reforestation
Remaining emissions
Water management
Other initiatives
2030252015102005
1) Zero burning
2) Reducing the impacting logging
3) Damaged land using
CO2 Reduction Initiatives Reduction
47 MtCO2e
34 MtCO2e
24 MtCO2e
1) CBM development and using
2) Developing the downstream forest products
3) Increasing the productivity of timber plantation
GDP Initiatives IDR Trillions
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3) Damaged land using
4) Water and peat land management
5) Reforestation
24 MtCO2e
18 MtCO2e
12 MtCO2e
3) Increasing the productivity of timber plantation
4) Accelerating the oil and gas production
5) Increasing the agriculture productivity5
5
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SOURCE: East Kalimantan– Environmentally Sustainable Development Strategy
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Company LOGODNPI has identified the emission sources as well as the emission reduction methods per regency for 3 provinces
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