Vijay Anand Mittal January 2015 University of Colorado at ...
Indian aquaculture status and strategies for future development; p e vijay anand, ussec
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1 FUTURE OF FRESHWATER FISH INDUSTRY IN INDIA Dr. P E Vijay Anand Director India – Feed / Meal Program, USSEC
description
India no doubt stands second in the world aquaculture production but it has a long way to go in order to sustain it and improve efficiency and productivity. It has seen some interesting changes but needs to adopt a more aggressive strategy to address future development. Fish consumption for some reason is less popular and this needs to be stepped up. Dr. Vijay states that USSEC and the programs that it has run for the improvement of the fish feed industry have brought in good dividends for the industry. The changing culture, modernization and demand for convenience/health products ( especially fish) will be high if presented to customers in an impressive manner. Tapping all lag points are certainly opportunities and some one must take note of these and convert them to business successes.
Transcript of Indian aquaculture status and strategies for future development; p e vijay anand, ussec
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FUTURE OF FRESHWATER FISH INDUSTRY IN INDIA
Dr. P E Vijay Anand
Director
India – Feed / Meal Program, USSEC
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ROAD MAP FOR IMPROVING THE
FRESHWATER FISH FARMING SECTOR
Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
Reminding ourselves of today’s theme : Sustaining Momentum and Spreading Success
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MY DELIBERATIONS Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
The certainities
Strong possibilities
Dark horses
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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HALLMARKS Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
2nd in farmed fish production after China
(FAO)
4th as a shrimp producing region; 5th in Asian Shrimp
production (FAO/GOAL)
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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SPOT LIGHT Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
S.No Country Million Tons
Percentage
1 China 36.73 61.35
2 India 4.64 7.76
3 Vietnam 2.67 4.46
4 Indonesia 2.3 3.85
5 Bangladesh 1.30 2.19
Top five world aquaculture producers in 2010; FAO (2012)
Deduct shrimp production to
arrive at farmed fish
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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THE CHANGE Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Industry Then
No modern
feed
Single fish group - carps
No processed
fish
Manure based
system Low
Utilization of pond
resources
Single market
region for fish
Single shrimp species
Ice boxes
Extruded feed used
Pellet feed used
Two fish species transforming to four
Markets getting diversified
Pond productivity better
Shift in shrimp species
Fish and shrimp being processed for domestic markets
Thermocole box packing
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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DATA DEBATE Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
8.23 MMT (3.25 M; 4.98 F) DAHD 2011
8.72 MMT FAO 2010
Business Planning for Future?
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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DEDUCE? Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
8.23 MMT (3.25 M; 4.98 F) DAHD 2011
85% of 4.98 =4.23 Other schools of thought 3.83; 3.42
4.64 MMT – 155 TMT shrimp = 4.48
MMT Fish? FAO 2010
Determining farmed freshwater fish Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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ABILITY Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
900 TMT as feed opportunity
2.88 MMT=Total installed capacity
1.25 MMT = Total feed sold in 2013
43.40 = Capacity utilization on above
2.16 MMT feed potential @ 75% effeciency
2.32 MMT feed potential @ 85%
Difference 2.16-1.25=0.91 MMT
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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ADDING 900 TMT Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
26 feed mills
34615 MT/annum/mill
Translates to 2885 MT/month
Possibly in 2-3 years
TOTAL AQUA FEED
IN INDIA
STRAIGHT MATHEMATICAL
ANALOGY
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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THE 900 TMT PLAN Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
New Markets
More carp on feed
More Pangasius on feed
Two new species
Shrimp expansion
Processed fish (50k)
Juvenile fish (?)
200,000 MT
175,000 MT
80,000 MT
45,000 MT
200,000 MT
150,000 MT
50,000 MT (?)
By 2016
FOR TOTAL AQUA FEED IN INDIA
STRATEGIC UTILIZATION SECTOR
APPROACH
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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SHRIMP FEED Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
1.33 MMT total installed
572,500 MT sold in 2013
43% capacity utilization
1.13 MMT @ 85% mill effeciency
558,000 opportunity
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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FISH FEED Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
1.55 MMT total installed
684,000 MT sold in 2013
44.12% capacity utilization
1.31 MMT @ 85% mill effeciency
626,000 opportunity
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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THE 600 TMT PLAN Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
New Markets
More Carp on feed
More Pangasius on feed
Two new species
Processed fish (25K)
Juvenile fish (?)
200,000 MT
175,000 MT
80,000 MT
45,000 MT
75,000 MT
25,000 MT (?)
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
By 2016
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REVOLUTION Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
Aspect 2010 2013/14 Change
Shrimp seed 7 billion 20 billion 186%
Shrimp production 160,000 MT 325,000 MT 87%
Shrimp feed 272,000 MT 572,000 MT 110%
Shrimp feed installed 390,000 MT 1.33 MMT 241%
Shrimp process 87022 MT 228,620 MT 162%
Shrimp revenue 735 M $ 1830 M $ 148%
Fish feed production 430,000 MT 684,000 MT 59%
Fish feed installed 507,000 MT 1.55 MMT 306%
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FEEDING SEED Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Untapped feed use avenue in freshwater fish
Seed for fed/farmed fish
757 million before stocking
Feeding 5-50g juveniles
Weight gain = 30,000 MT
Feed opportunity = 55,000 MT @ 1.8 FCR
Op
po
rtu
nit
y
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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AN ASPECT FOR IMPROVEMENT
1248 km distance 25-35 hours Iced condition 2500 MT fish /day 300 Trucks/day
Production Centre
Consumption Centre
Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
LOGISTICS
Are we doing it right?
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NON-FED CLASS Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
1980 50.00%
2010 33.30%
Non-Fed (world; FAO
2012)
Pertinent issue for India
Because of our low farmed fish species diversity
Lessons we have to learn?
World farmed fish comprises of 71.90% carps among which 27.70% are non-fed because they are filter feeders; rest are fed with low protein feeds (FAO,2012)
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AN OUNCE NOW – A TON LATER
Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
5730 MT of processed fish
By two poineers
2012 to 2014 test marketing
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GAINING GROUND Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
VIETNAM - Vietnam's Tra (catfish) exports to India are rising as the fish becomes more popular. According the General Department of Customs, Vietnam's Tra fish exports to India hit US$7.69 million in 2012, up 32 per cent. Over the past eight months, the figure reached $7.67 million, compared to $5.903 million in the same period last year. Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Processors (VASEP) said. (FISHSITE)
3200 MT 10600 MT 17000 MT
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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THE REACH Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Availability of fish 5.5 MMT
After fish meal, exports and low value fish (2.5 MMT)
Actual fish meat consumption; dressed = 2.75 kg
This is almost equal to chicken = 2.80 kg
Stretch your hand you get chicken; not fish
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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FISH SUPPLY Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
2.75 mine
5-10 FAO
9.80 ICAR
3.6 CMFRI
5.8 Agrieco
4.7 Unknown
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BLEAK ON PROTEIN Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
2nd in farmed fish production in the world and do we need to be here?
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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RUNNIN’ AWAY Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Fish smells
Too cumbersome to prepare and cook
Markets are dirty
Fish has poky bones
Absolute lack of knowledge
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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MARKETS Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Its not just about the product but the modern generation likes to combine it with a pleasant shopping experience
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
Young Adults 15-34 age band Next 5 years = 22 million 50% < 25 Years
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POPULARIZING FISH Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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CAMPAIGN
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
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POPULARIZING FISH Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Who will bell the cat? Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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NEW SPECIES Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
SOUND HATCHERIES A country like Bangladesh farms more fish species than India
4 MMT
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RESOURCES Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
We have overcome the
feed constraint for cage farming
systems
We have been talking of cage systems and reservoir potential since long. Progress?
Dont we think cage systems can add to the 4.23 MMT farmed fish production if they can produce 150-200 kg/m3 ?
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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THE PULL Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
If we succeed marketing 100,000 MT of processed fish, we need to
produce 200,000 MT fish
If we don’t process, then we need only 100,000 MT to market
100,000 MT
Additional=300,000 MT feed
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CONTRASTS Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
AP uses 52,000 MT fish feed per month
WB uses 3500 MT feed per month
Other markets 1500 MT
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
Markets
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THE MATH Bengal Blessings Aquaculture
Percentage of 13.40 LT as farmed ?
Farmed fish assumption ? (LT)
Feed @ 1.5 FCR
80 10.72
50 6.70
40 5.36
30 4.02
20 2.68 4.02 ?
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
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INPUT Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
RM Prices, quality
and Availability Feed
Prices
All attention Volatile not
in millers hands
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WATER Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
Unutilized resource
Production
Production
2.40% worlds land mass
16% population
4% freshwater resource INDIA
Farm methods
Better species
Genetics
Feed
Water management
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WILL LEAVE YOU HERE
WITH SOME THOUGHTS
Future of Freshwater Fish Sector in India
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming
