India State Hunger Index

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    ADVANCECOPYFORDISCUSSION

    TheIndiaStateHungerIndex:ComparisonsOfHungerAcrossStates

    PurnimaMenon

    AnilDeolalikar

    AnjorBhaskar

    October14,2008

    Thisadvancecopyversionisintendedfordiscussionandfeedback.Thereportwill

    be revised in response to feedback received from workshop participants at the

    releaseof theGlobalHunger Index2008andthe IndiaStateHunger Index2008

    onOctober14,2008.

    AcknowledgementsThisworkwassupportedbyWeltHungerHilfethroughagranttotheInternationalFoodPolicy

    ResearchInstitute.Wearegratefultothefollowingindividualsforvaluablecommentsand

    feedback: DorisWiesmann,MarieRuel,KlausvonGrebmerandothercolleaguesatIFPRIand

    WeltHungerHilfe.

    Abouttheauthors:PurnimaMenonisResearchFellowwiththeFoodConsumptionandNutritionDivisionandthe

    NewDelhiOfficeattheInternationalFoodPolicyResearchInstitute(IFPRI). AnilDeolalikaris

    ProfessorattheDepartmentofEconomics,UniversityofCalifornia,Riverside.AnjorBhaskarisa

    ResearchAnalystattheNewDelhiOfficeatIFPRI.

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    KEYFINDINGS

    IndiasGHI2008scoreis23.7,whichranksit66thoutof88countries.ThisindicatescontinuedpoorperformanceatreducinghungerinIndia.

    TheIndiaStateHungerIndex(ISHI)2008wasconstructedinasimilarfashionastheGHI2008toenablecomparisonsofstateswithinIndia,andtocompareIndian

    statestoGHI2008scoresandranksforothercountries.

    TheISHI2008scorewasestimatedfor17majorstatesinIndia,coveringmorethan95

    percent

    of

    the

    population

    of

    India.

    ISHI2008scoresforIndianstatesrangefrom13.6forPunjabto30.9forMadhyaPradesh,indicatingsubstantialvariabilityamongstatesinIndia.Punjabisranked

    34th

    whencomparedtotheGHI2008countryrankings,whileMadhyaPradeshis

    ranked82nd.

    All17stateshaveISHIscoresthatarewellabovethelowandmoderatehungercategories.Twelveofthe17statesfallintothealarmingcategory,and

    one MadhyaPradeshintotheextremelyalarmingcategory.

    ISHIscoresarecloselyalignedwithpoverty,butthereislittleassociationwithstateleveleconomicgrowth.Highlevelsofhungerareseeneveninstatesthatare

    performingwellfromaneconomicperspective.

    Inclusiveeconomicgrowthandtargetedstrategiestoensurefoodsufficiency,reducechildmortalityandimprovechildnutritionareurgentprioritiesforall

    statesinIndia.

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    1

    INTRODUCTION

    Foodandgoodnutritionarebasichumanneeds,therecognitionofwhichisenshrinedinthe

    firstMillenniumDevelopmentGoal(MDG),theeradicationofextremepovertyandhunger.

    However,developingsoundwaystomonitorprogresstowardstheeradicationofhungerisvital

    tosustainthesalienceofhungeringlobalandnationalpolicydiscussions. TheGlobalHunger

    Index(GHI)isoneapproachtomeasuringandtrackingprogressonhungerandenabling

    widespreaddiscussionaboutthereasonsfor,andtheconsequencesofhunger.TheGHIwas

    developedbytheInternationalFoodPolicyResearchInstitute(IFPRI)in2006(Wiesmannetal.

    2006)asameansofcapturingthreeinterlinkeddimensionsofhungerinadequate

    consumption,childmalnutrition,andchildmortality.

    Althoughhungerismostdirectlymanifestedininadequatefoodintake,overtimeinadequate

    foodintakeandlackofaproperdiet,especiallyincombinationwithlowbirthweightsandhigh

    ratesof

    infections,

    can

    result

    in

    stunted

    and

    underweight

    children.

    The

    most

    extreme

    manifestationofcontinuedhungerandmalnutritionismortality. TheGlobalHungerIndex

    recognizestheinterconnectednessofthesedimensions,andtherefore,capturesperformance

    onallthreeoftheminhowitisconstructed. Theindexhasbeenaneffectiveadvocacytool

    whichhasbroughttheissueofglobalandnationalhungertotheforeinpolicydebates,

    especiallyindevelopingcountries.Therankingofnationsonthebasisoftheirindexscoreshas

    beenapowerfultooltohelpfocusattentiononhunger,especiallyforcountrieslikeIndiawhich

    underperformonhungerandmalnutritionrelativetotheirincomelevels.

    IndiahasconsistentlyrankedpoorlyontheGlobalHungerIndex.TheGlobalHungerIndex2008

    (vonGrebmer

    et

    al.

    2008)

    reveals

    Indias

    continued

    lackluster

    performance

    at

    eradicating

    hunger;Indiaranks66thoutofthe88developingcountriesandcountriesintransitionforwhich

    theindexhasbeencalculated. ItranksslightlyaboveBangladeshandbelowallotherSouth

    Asiannations.1 ItevenranksbelowseveralcountriesinSubSaharanAfrica,suchasKenya,

    Nigeria,Cameroon,andevenCongoandSudan.Thisisinspiteofthefactthatthelevelofper

    capitaincomeinthesesubSaharanAfricancountriesismuchlowerthanthatinIndia. Table1

    belowshowshowthesecountrieshavemuchlowerhungerindexscorestheirlowerpercapita

    incomelevels.

    1IndiasslightlybetterperformancerelativetoBangladeshisentirelyduetobetteraccesstofoodinIndia

    relativetoBangladesh,whichinturnisaconsequenceofIndiashigheragriculturalproductivity.Onthe

    othertwocomponentsoftheGHIchildunderweightandchildmortality,IndiaranksbelowBangladesh.

    Indeed,Indiaschildunderweightratesareamongthehighestintheworld.

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    Table1. GDPpercapitainrelationtoscoresontheGlobalHungerIndex2008

    Country GHI2008 GDPperCapita*

    Nigeria 18.4 1977

    Cameroon 18.7 2124

    Kenya 19.9 1535

    Sudan

    20.5

    2088

    India 23.7 2753

    *GrossDomesticProduct(GDP)dollarestimatesatPurchasingPowerParity(PPP)percapita

    Source:WorldDevelopmentIndicators,2007(WorldBank)

    AstatelevelhungerindexforIndia

    Withover200millionpeoplewhoarefoodinsecure,Indiaishometothelargestnumberof

    hungrypeopleintheworld. Whiletherehasbeenattentiontohungerandundernutritionatthe

    centrallevel,withinIndiaspoliticalsystem,statesareimportantpoliticalunitswithregardto

    theplanning

    and

    execution

    of

    development

    programs.

    Thus,

    unpacking

    the

    hunger

    index

    at

    the

    levelofthestateisanimportanttooltobuildawarenessofthelevelsanddisparitiesinhunger

    amongstates.Inaddition,thevariabilityintherelativecontributionoftheunderlying

    componentsofthehungerindexacrossthedifferentIndianstatescanhelpinformthe

    discussionaboutthedriversofhungerindifferentstatecontexts.

    TheavailabilityofnationalhouseholdsurveysinIndiathatcapturethethreeunderlying

    dimensionsoftheGlobalHungerIndexatthestatelevel enablesustodevelopastatehunger

    indexforIndia.Thestatehungerindexiscalculatedusingaprocedurethatissimilartothatused

    forcalculatingtheGHIscoresofcountries.ThispermitscomparisonofIndianstatestoother

    countriesintermsoftheirperformanceonhungerandmalnutrition.

    TheoverallobjectiveofthedevelopmentofanIndiaStateHungerIndexistofocusattentiontotheproblemofhungerandmalnutritionatthestateandcentrallevelsinIndiathroughthedevelopmentofanindexthatenablescomparisonswithinIndia,andglobally.DATAANDMETHODS

    TheIndiaStateHungerIndexisbasedonthesameunderlyingvariablesastheGlobalHunger

    Index.Theseare:

    Theproportionofpopulationthatdoesnotconsumeanadequatelevelofcalories Theproportionofunderweightchildrenunderfiveyearsofage;and, Themortalityrateamongchildrenunderfiveyearsofage,expressedasthepercentageof

    childrenbornalivewhodiebeforetheyreachtheageoffive.

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    WeusetwodatasourcesfortheestimationoftheIndiaStateHungerIndex.Thesearethethird

    roundoftheNationalFamilyHealthSurvey(20052006)forIndia(referredtoastheNFHSIII

    data)2andthe61stroundoftheNationalSampleSurvey(NSS)datafrom200420053.

    TheIndiaStateHungerIndexiscalculatedandpresentedfor17majorstatesinthecountry.

    Thesestates

    cover

    95

    percent

    of

    the

    countrys

    population,

    according

    to

    the

    2001

    census

    in

    India.

    WhiletheNFHSIIIhasalargeenoughsamplesizetoyieldrepresentativeestimatesofthechild

    underweightandmortalityratesevenforthesmallerstatesandunionterritoriesinthecountry,

    thesamplesizeoftheNSS61stroundisinsufficientforestimatingundernourishmentratesin

    theseplaces.Therefore,werestrictedoursampletothosestatesforwhichtheNSSyields

    precisestatelevelestimates.

    Populationundernourishedbasedoncalorieconsumption: Theproportionofthepopulation

    undernourishedbasedoncalorieconsumptionwasestimatedusingunitlevelfoodconsumption

    datafromthe61stroundoftheNationalSampleSurvey,conductedin200405.TheNSS

    obtainedhouseholdconsumptiondataonmorethan225individualfoods;thesewere

    convertedtocaloriesusingfoodtocalorieconversionfactorsreportedbyNSSO(2007).

    Allowancesforcaloriesfrommealseatenoutsidethehomeweremadeusingtheprocedures

    suggestedandfollowedbyNSSO(2007).

    TheGHI2008(vonGrebmeret.al,2008)reportsthecaloriebasedundernutritionforIndiatobe

    20%,basedontheFAOundernourishmentcutoffof1,820kcalsperperson.4 TheFAOestimate

    ofcalorieundernutritionisbasedondataonfoodavailability,collectedfromnationalfood

    balancesheets.Assuch,itislikelytodifferfromcalorieundernutritionestimatesthatarebased

    2

    The

    National

    Family

    Health

    Survey

    III

    is

    the

    third

    one

    in

    aseries

    of

    such

    surveys.

    It

    was

    conducted

    by

    the

    InternationalInstituteforPopulationSciences(IIPS,Mumbaiwhichactedasthenodalagency.Thesurvey

    collecteddataon51,555childrenunder5yearsofage.TechnicalsupportwasprovidedbyMacro

    InternationalwhileUSAIDprovidedfinancialassistanceforthestudy.

    3TheNationalSampleSurveyOrganisatonconductssurveysonvarioussocioeconomicissuesannually.

    The61stroundoftheNationalSampleSurvey(NSS)wasconductedbetweenJuly2004toJune2005.The

    HouseholdConsumerExpenditureSurveywasconductedonalargesamplebasisandwastheseventh

    quinquennialsurveyonthesubject.Itcoveredasampleof79,298ruraland45,346urbanhouseholdsin

    allthestatesandunionterritoriesofIndia.

    4ItshouldbenotedthatthecalorienormsforpovertyusedwithinIndiadiffersignificantlyfromtheFAO

    recommendednormsforundernourishment.DandekarandRath(1971)usedanormof2,250caloriesper

    dayperpersontosetapovertylineforIndia.AtaskforceoftheIndianPlanningCommission

    subsequentlyrevisedthesecalorienormsto2,400inruralareasand2,100inurbanareas(thedifference

    beingattributedtothelowerratesofphysicalactivityintheurbanareas(GOI1979).Thesearethecalorie

    normsthatunderlietheofficialpovertylinecurrentlyinusebytheGovernmentofIndia.Tocomplicate

    mattersfurther,theNationalSampleSurveyOrganisation(NSSO)usesadailycalorienormof2,700

    caloriesperconsumerunit(notpercapita)(NSSO2007).

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    onconsumptiondataobtainedfromhouseholdconsumptionexpendituresurveys,suchasthe

    NSS(SmithandWeisman,2007).InthecaseofIndia,theuseof1,820kcalsperpersonperday

    asthecutoffyieldsacalorieundernutritionrateof34%,whichissubstantiallylargerthanthe

    20%reportedbyFAOandusedintheestimationoftheGlobalHungerIndex2008.Sincean

    importantgoalofthisstudywastoensurecomparabilityoftheIndiaStateHungerIndexwith

    theGlobal

    Hunger

    Index,

    we

    use

    acalorie

    cut

    off

    that

    yields

    anational

    calorie

    undernutrition

    rateofexactly20%.Thisleadstoacutoffof1,632kcalsperpersonperday.

    Childunderweight: Theproportionofunderweightamongchildrenunderfiveyearsofagewas

    estimatedatthestatelevelusingunitleveldatafromtheNFHSIIIdataset(availableat

    www.measuredhs.com). WeusedtheWHO2006internationalgrowthreferenceandNFHS

    recommendedsamplesurveyweightstoestimatetheproportionofchildrenineachstate

    whoseweightforagewaslessthantwostandarddeviationsbelowtheWHOreference.

    Childmortality: Weutilizetheunderfivemortalityratesatthestatelevelasreportedinthe

    NFHSIIIreport(Table7.4,Chapter7,pp.187)(IIPS,2007).Themortalityrateisexpressedasthe

    percentageoflivebornchildrenwhodonotsurvivepastage59months.

    TheIndiaStateHungerIndexiscomputedbyaveragingthethreeunderlyingcomponentsofthe

    hungerindexviz.,theproportionofunderweightchildren,theunderfivemortalityrate

    (expressedasapercentageoflivebirths),andtheprevalenceofcalorieundernutritioninthe

    population.

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    RESULTS

    CurrentstatusandrankingofstateswithinIndiaTable2presentstheIndiaStateHungerIndex(ISHI)aswellasitsunderlyingcomponentsforthe

    17majorstatesinthecountry.

    Table2. UnderlyingcomponentsofIndiaStateHungerIndexandIndiaStateHungerIndex

    scores

    State

    Prevalenceof

    calorie

    undernourish

    ment3

    Proportionof

    underweight

    among

    children

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    TheseverityofhungerisreportedinTable3,whiletherankingofthe17statesbytheIndia

    StateHungerIndexisdisplayedbelowinFigure1. Theseverityofhungerisbasedonthe

    classificationofcountriesbytheseverityoftheirhungerindexbytheGlobalHungerIndex2008.

    WhatisdisconcertingtonoteinTable3isthatnotasinglestateinIndiafallsinthelowhunger

    ormoderate

    hunger

    categories

    defined

    by

    the

    GHI

    2008.

    Instead,

    most

    states

    fall

    in

    the

    alarmingcategory,withonestateMadhyaPradeshfallingintheextremelyalarming

    category.FourstatesPunjab,Kerala,AndhraPradeshandAssamfallintheserious

    category. ThemapoftheIndiaStateHungerIndexinFigure2depictsthisclearly,andshows

    thatthebulkofIndianstatesforwhichthehungerindexwasestimatedareinthealarming

    category.

    Table3. SeverityofIndianStateHungerIndex,byState.

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    Figure1. RankingofstateswithinIndiafromlowesttohighestIndiaStateHungerIndexscores.

    0.0

    5.0

    10.0

    15.0

    20.0

    25.0

    30.0

    35.0

    India

    Punja

    bKerala

    Andh

    raPrad

    esh

    Assam

    Harya

    na

    TamilNad

    uRajas

    than

    W

    estBen

    gal

    Uttar

    Pradesh

    Maharashtra

    Karnata

    kaOrissa

    Gujar

    at

    Chhatt

    isgarh

    B

    StatesinIndia

    IndiaState

    HungerIndexscore

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    Figure2. MapoftheIndiaStateHungerIndex,byseverity5.

    5Thismapisintendedtobeaschematicrepresentationofhunger.

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    Figure3.ContributionofunderlyingcomponentsoftheIndianStateHungerIndextooverallscores

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    India

    Punjab

    Ke

    rala

    Andhra

    Pradesh

    Assam

    Ha

    ryana

    TamilNadu

    Raja

    sthan

    WestBe

    ngal

    UttarPra

    desh

    Maharashtra

    Karnataka

    Orissa

    Gujara t

    Calorieundernourishment

    Childunderweight

    Underfivemortalityrate

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    Table4. ComparisonofIndianstateswithcountriesoutsideIndia,basedontheGHI2008

    GHI

    Rank Country/State

    Hunger

    Index

    GHI

    Rank Country/State HungerIndex

    GHI

    Rank Country/Sta

    Note:ShadedcellsrepresentIndianStates

    Argentina

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    Table4(continued)

    GHI

    Rank Country/State

    Hunger

    Index

    GHI

    Rank Country/State HungerIndex

    GHI

    Rank Country/Sta

    48 Botswana 17.90 Orissa 23.74 86 Burundi

    49 Togo 18.17 Maharashtra 23.79 87 Eritrea

    50 TimorLeste 18.37 67 Zimbabwe 23.83 88 Congo,Dem

    51 Nigeria 18.43 68 Tanzania 24.17

    52 Cameroon 18.67 69 Haiti 24.30

    53 Korea,Dem.Rep. 18.77 Gujarat 24.69

    54 Congo,Rep. 19.13 70 Bangladesh 25.23

    Haryana 19.54 71 Tajikistan 25.89

    Assam 19.85 72 Mozambique 26.33

    55 Kenya 19.87 Chhattisgarh 26.65

    AndhraPradesh 20.01 73 Mali 26.93

    56 Sudan 20.52 Bihar 27.30

    57 Nepal 20.57 74 GuineaBissau 27.45

    58 LaoPDR 20.63 75 CentralAfricanRepublic 28.05

    59 Djibouti 20.87 Jharkhand 28.67

    60 Guinea 20.87 76 Madagascar 28.77

    UttarPradesh 20.88 77 Comoros 29.07

    TamilNadu 20.99 78 Zambia 29.17

    Rajasthan 21.00 79 Angola 29.50

    61 Pakistan 21.67 80 Yemen,Rep. 29.77

    62 Malawi 21.80 81 Chad 29.93

    WestBengal 22.17 MadhyaPradesh 30.90

    63 Rwanda 22.33 82 Ethiopia 30.97

    Karnataka 22.81 83 Liberia 31.80

    64 Cambodia 23.20 84 SierraLeone 32.19

    65 BurkinaFaso 23.53 85 Niger 32.40

    66 India 23.70

    Notes:GHI2008ranksandscoresarefromtheGHI2008report(vonGrebmeretal.,2008);onlycountrieswithGHI>=5areranked..

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    ComparisonofIndianstateswithothercountriesTable4showsthepositionofthe17IndianstatesrelativetothecountriesforwhichtheGlobalHunger

    Index2008isreported.IndiasrankontheGHI2008is66;theranksofthedifferentstatesinrelationto

    theGHIrangefrom34forthestateofPunjab(whoseISHIscoreliesplacesitbetweenNicaraguaand

    Ghana)to

    82

    for

    Madhya

    Pradesh

    (whose

    ISHI

    score

    places

    it

    between

    Chad

    and

    Ethiopia).

    Ten

    of

    the

    17

    stateshaveanISHIrankthatisaboveIndias(66),whichindicatesthatthesestatesarerelativeout

    performers(atleastrelativetotheIndianaverage).Sadly,eventhebestperformingstateinIndia,

    Punjab,ranksbelowsuchcountriesasGabon,Honduras,andVietnam.

    Itisusefultoexaminetheunderlyingdimensionsonthehungerindextounderstandthecontributions

    ofdifferentdimensionstotheoverallhungerindex.ThisisshowninFigure3,andrevealsthatforthe

    majorityofstates,childunderweightisresponsibleforthelargestvariabilitybetweenstates.Inaddition,

    formoststates,theoverallscoresarehighbecauseofparticularlyhighchildunderweightrates. When

    comparedtothemajorityofstates,thecontributionoflowcalorieconsumptionlevelstothehunger

    indexishigherforKeralaandTamilNadu,andtoalesserextentinMaharashtraandKarnataka. The

    contributionofchildmortalitytothehungerindexscores,however,isrelativelysmallandlessvariable

    acrossallthestateswhencomparedtothecontributionsofchildunderweightandcalorie

    undernourishment.

    TheHungerIndexinrelationtoothersocialandeconomicindicatorsHowdoestheIndiaStateHungerIndex(ISHI)comparetootherindicatorsofeconomicandsocial

    progress?Toaddressthisquestion,wepresentinFigure4thesimpleassociationbetweenISHIscores

    andlevelsofpovertyatthestatelevel.Theassociationbetweenthehungerindexandthepercentageof

    thepopulationbelowthepovertylineisstrong.Thisisexpected,giventhatpovertyisoftentheroot

    causeof

    insufficient

    food

    intake,

    child

    malnutrition,

    and

    child

    mortality.

    A

    few

    states,

    however,

    deviate

    fromthepredictedline.GujaratandMadhyaPradeshareclearnegativeoutliers,meaningthatthey

    haveamuchhigherhungerindexthanwouldbeexpectedbasedontheirpovertylevel; Punjab,Orissa

    andKerala,ontheotherhand,standoutaspositivedeviantsthatis,theyhavesignificantlylower

    hungerindexscoresthanwouldbeexpectedofstateswiththeirlevelofpoverty.

    Inadditiontotheabove,Figure5presentsascatterplotofthe17statesbythehungerindexandnet

    statedomesticproduct(NSDP)percapita,withthelatterservingasaproxyforpercapitaincomeina

    state.Inthiscase,astronginverseassociationisobservedbetweenthetwovariables,withpoorerstates

    havingasignificantlyhigherhungerindexthanmoreprosperousstates.However,theassociationisfar

    from

    perfect,

    with

    a

    number

    of

    states

    appearing

    as

    outliers.

    For

    instance,

    Madhya

    Pradesh

    again

    stands

    outashavingamuchhigherlevelofhungerthanwouldbeexpectedbasedonitspercapitaincome;

    JharkhandandChhattisgarharealsonegativeoutliers,asisMaharashtrawhichhasahungerindex

    almostashighasthatofOrissa,butaNSDPtwiceaslarge.Severalstatesarealsodoingbetterthan

    expectedgiventheireconomiclevel,withPunjabbeinganoticeablepositiveoutlier,and,toasmaller

    extent,Kerala,AssamandRajasthan.

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    Figure4. IndiaStateHungerIndexinrelationtopoverty

    12

    16

    20

    24

    28

    32

    5 10 15 20 25 30 35

    %ofpopulationbelowpovertyline,200405

    IndiaState

    HungerIndex

    MadhyaP

    Punjab

    Karnataka

    Kerala

    Gujarat

    Haryana

    AndhraPradesh

    Jh

    Assam

    WestBengal

    Tamil

    Nadu

    Maharashtr

    UttarPradesh

    Chhattisgarh

    Bihar

    Rajasthan

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    Finally,Figure6presentstheassociationbetweenthehungerindexandtherateofeconomicgrowthfor

    eachstate.Thefigureshowslittleevidenceofaconsistentrelationshipbetweenthetwovariables.A

    statethatexperiencednegativerealgrowth(innetstatedomesticproductpercapita)between1999

    2000and200405(e.g.,MadhyaPradesh)hasahighhungerindex,butsodidstateslikeBihar,

    JharkhandandChhattisgarhthatexperiencedmuchhigherratesofeconomicgrowthoverthistime

    period.Again,

    Punjab

    stands

    out

    as

    aremarkable

    positive

    outlier,

    with

    its

    much

    lower

    hunger

    index

    thanstatessuchasKerala,AndhraPradeshandHaryanawhoserateofeconomicgrowthwastwo to

    threetimeslargerduringthesameperiod (

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    TrendsacrosstimeSincetheIndiaStateHungerIndexhasnotbeenestimatedovertwopointsintime,itisdifficultto

    examinechangesinthevaluesofthestateIndicesovertime.However,thesimilarityinconstructionof

    theIndiaStateHungerIndextoastatelevelNutritionIndex6calculatedusingdatafor1994(Wiesmann,

    2004)gives

    us

    the

    ability

    to

    examine,

    at

    aminimum,

    the

    changes

    in

    rankings

    of

    the

    different

    states

    over

    thelast14years.

    Table5presentstherankingsofstateswithinIndiausingtheIndiaStateHungerIndexin2008andthe

    NutritionIndexin1994.Wenotesomedistinctchangesinrankingovertime. Particularlystrikingisthe

    poorperformanceofthestatesofOrissaandMadhyaPradesh.In1994,MadhyaPradeshranked11th

    outofthe15states,whileitrankedlast(17th)in2008. Giventhelargecontributionofchildunderweight

    totheISHIscores,thedeclineinrankingcouldbeduetothelackofimprovementinchildundernutrition

    ratesinMadhyaPradeshoverthelastsevenyears7. Similarly,Orissa,whichranked5thontheNutrition

    Indexin1994,nowranks12thontheISHI2008. Haryana,despiteitsimpressiveeconomicperformance,

    alsoseemstohaveperformedpoorlyintermsofreductionofhunger;whileitwasaheadofallother

    statesin1994,itnowranks5thontheISHI2008.

    Thereareafewstateswhichhaveoutperformedothersinenhancingfoodandnutritionsecurity,and

    thisisapparentinupwardchangesintheranksbetweentheNIandtheISHI2008.Noteworthyamong

    theseistheincreaseinrankingofAssam.Thestatewasoneofthepoorestperformersandranked14th

    ontheNutritionIndexin1994butbecameoneofthebestperformersin2008,inspiteofhavinghadthe

    lowestgrowthrateofpercapitaincomeoverthepast14yearsamongallstates.TamilNaduisanother

    statewhichhasperformedwellandimproveditsrankingfrom12thin1994to6thin2008.

    Overall,thechangesinrankingsaresomewhatsobering. Thetrendsinfewstatesthathaveimproved

    despitethe

    economic

    odds

    underscore

    the

    importance

    of

    investments

    in

    social

    protection,

    health

    and

    nutritionservicestoensureprogressonpovertyandhungeralleviation. Continuedmonitoringoftrends

    usingindicatorsliketheIndiaStateHungerIndexisessentialtomonitorprogressandsustainattention

    totheissueofhungerandundernutrition.

    6The

    Nutrition

    Index

    estimated

    by

    Wiesmann

    (2004)

    uses

    the

    same

    variables

    as

    the

    India

    State

    Hunger

    Index,

    i.e.,

    childnutrition,childmortalityandcalorieundernourishment. TheNutritionIndexdiffersinthatitusesFAO

    dietaryenergysupplydataforestimatingcalorieundernourishment,anditusesprevalenceofunderweightamong

    childrenunderfouryearsofage,ratherthanchildrenunderfiveyearsofage. Whileindexscorescannotbe

    comparedbetweentheNutritionIndexandtheISHI,thecomparisonsarestillvalidfromthepointofviewof

    comparingrankingsacrosstime.7AuthorscalculationsbasedontheNFHSdatashowthattheunderweightrateamongchildrenunderthreeyears

    ofageincreasedfrom55.1percentin199899to57.7percentin200506.

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    Table5.ChangesinstaterankingsfromtheNutritionIndex1994totheIndiaStateHungerIndex2008.

    NutritionIndex

    rank(1994)1

    StateIndiaStateHungerIndex

    rank(2008)State

    1 Haryana 1 Punjab

    2 Kerala 2 Kerala

    3 Rajasthan 3 AndhraPradesh

    4 Punjab 4 Assam

    5 Orissa 5 Haryana

    6 AndhraPradesh 6 TamilNadu

    7 WestBengal 7 Rajasthan

    8 UttarPradesh 8 WestBengal

    9 Karnataka 9 UttarPradesh

    10 Gujarat 10 Maharashtra

    11 MadhyaPradesh 11 Karnataka

    12 TamilNadu 12 Orissa

    13

    Maharashtra

    13

    Gujarat

    14 Assam 14 Chhattisgarh

    15 Bihar 15 Bihar

    16 Jharkhand

    17 MadhyaPradesh

    1NutritionIndex1994resultsarefromWiesmann(2004).

    SUMMARYANDPOLICYIMPLICATIONS

    TheIndia

    State

    Hunger

    Index

    2008

    findings

    highlight

    the

    continued

    overall

    severity

    of

    the

    hunger

    situationinIndia,whilerevealingthevariabilityinhungeracrossstateswithinIndia. Itisindeed

    alarmingthatnotasinglestateinIndiaiseitherlowormoderateintermsoftheirhungerindexscores;

    moststateshaveaserioushungerproblem,andonestate,MadhyaPradesh, hasanextremely

    alarminghungerproblem.

    ThepositionsofIndianstatesvisvistheGlobalHungerIndex2008showthateventhoughthereis

    variabilityinthescores,andhencetherankingofIndianstatesinrelationtoothercountries,thereare

    fewstatesthatperformwellinrelationtotheGHI. EventhebestperformingIndianstate,Punjab,lies

    below33otherdevelopingcountriesrankedbyGHI. Evenmorealarmingisthefactthattheworst

    performingstatesinIndiaBihar,Jharkhand,andMadhyaPradeshrankmostcloselywithcountries

    thatareprecariouslypositionedontheGHI2008rankings.Forinstance,BiharandJharkhandranklower

    thanZimbabweandHaiti,whileMadhyaPradeshfallsbetweenEthiopiaandChad.

    OuranalysisoftheassociationsbetweentheISHI2008andstateeconomicindicatorsshowsthatthe

    relationshipbetweenpovertyandhungerislargelyasexpectedgreaterISHI2008scoresareseenin

    poorerstates,withafewexceptions. OutlierslikePunjabandOrissaandKeralaperformbetteronthe

    ISHI2008thanmightbeexpectedgiventheirpovertylevels,whileMadhyaPradesh,Gujaratand

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    Karnatakaperformworse.Acloserexaminationofthepastandcurrentinvestmentsmadebythese

    statesinsocialprotection,healthandnutritionprogramscanhelpinformthedebateaboutpolicy

    instrumentstoprotectpopulationsagainsthungereveninthefaceofpoverty.

    Thelackofaclearrelationshipbetweenstateleveleconomicgrowthandhungerisalarming. The

    implicationsof

    this,

    taken

    along

    with

    the

    relationship

    between

    the

    ISHI

    2008

    and

    poverty,

    are

    that

    first,

    economicgrowthisnotnecessarilyassociatedwithpovertyreduction.Additionally,evenifthereis

    equitableeconomicgrowththatimprovesfoodavailabilityandaccess,thismightnotleadimmediately

    toprogressonimprovingchildnutritionandmortality,whichneedmoredirectinvestmentstoenable

    rapidreductions.Thus,inadditiontowidescalepovertyalleviation,directinvestmentsinimproving

    foodavailabilityandaccessforpoorhouseholdsaswellasdirecttargetednutritionandhealth

    interventionstoimprovenutritionandmortalityoutcomesforyoungchildrenwillbeneededtoimpact

    theISHIscoresandrankingsofIndianstates.

    TheexperiencesofstateswhoserankingsontheNutritionIndexdeterioratedontheISHI2008scoresin

    spiteofconsistentpositiveeconomicgrowthisindicativeoftheneedtoinvestsolidlyindirectnutrition

    andpovertyalleviationinterventionseveninthefaceofcontinuedeconomicgrowth. Thedesignand

    implementationofpoliciesandprogramstoimproveallthreeunderlyingdimensionsoftheISHIwill

    needtobestrengthenedandsupportedtoensurethathungerisreducedrapidlyovertime.While

    stridesarebeingmadeonthepublichealthfronttoensuresustainedreductionsinchildmortality,

    improvementsinchildnutritionarenotsatisfactoryinIndia. Thisislargelybecausenutritionprograms

    inIndiaarenoteffectivelydeliveringevidencebasedinterventionsatscaletothosevulnerableage

    groupswhichneedtobereachedtoensurerapidreductionsinundernutrition.

    Inconclusion,forIndianstatestoprogressalongtheISHI,andtoensurethatISHIscoresforIndianstates

    aremorecloselyalignedwithGHIscoresofcountrieswithcomparableeconomicgrowth,investments

    willbe

    needed

    to

    strengthen

    agriculture,

    improve

    overall

    food

    availability

    and

    access

    to

    all

    population

    segments,andtoimprovechildnutritionandmortalityoutcomes.

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