India Maize Summit 2015 - Session1: Kevin Roepke, USGC

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ndia Maize Summit 2015 Session Theme 1

Transcript of India Maize Summit 2015 - Session1: Kevin Roepke, USGC

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India Maize Summit 2015Session Theme

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1980

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DEMAND DEVELOPMENT

POPULATION 4.5 BILLION 7.2 BILLION 60%

WHEAT 646 1,070 67%

RICE 333 621 86%

CORN 595 1,275 114%

SOYBEANS 126 495 292%

SOYBEAN MEAL 76 272 258%

MILK, FLUID & DRY 413 571 38%

SOY OIL 17 60 252%

PALM OIL 9 113 1155%

BEEF AND VEAL 48 68 41%

PORK 52 118 127%

BROILER/TURKEY 19 101 431%

TOTAL MEAT 119 287 141%

1980 2014 % CHANGE(mmt) SOURCE: PS&D

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TEN YEAR GROWTH (%)CO

RNW

HEA T RICE

POU

LTR

YBE

EF

PORK

CORN

WH

EA T RICE

POU

LTR

YBE

EF

PORK

CORN

WH

EA T RICE

POU

LTR

YBE

EF

PORK

1980s 1990s 2000s

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

SOURCE: PS&D, INFOPLEASE

US Grains Council - SSEA

SEA Feed Production

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 -

10,000.00

20,000.00

30,000.00

40,000.00

50,000.00

60,000.00

70,000.00

Indonesia Vietnam Thailand Philippines Malaysia

TMT

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INDIAN CORN PRODUCTION

SOURCE: DIY MAPS, NASS

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CORN YIELDS

INDIA UNITED STATES WORLD AVGYield (MT/HA)

Corn

0

2

4

6

8

10

122014/2015

DHM BAN

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DIHYDROGEN MONOXIDE IS:(AKA “HYDROXYL ACID”)

1. A PRIMARY COMPOUND OF ACID RAIN

DHM BAN

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DIHYDROGEN MONOXIDE:(AKA “HYDROXYL ACID”)

2. CAN CAUSE SEVERE BURNS

DHM BAN

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DIHYDROGEN MONOXIDE:(AKA “HYDROXYL ACID”)

3. CHEMICALLY ACCELLERATES CORROSION OF METALS

DHM BAN

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DIHYDROGEN MONOXIDE:(AKA “HYDROXYL ACID”)

4. HAS BEEN FOUND IN TUMORS AND TERMINAL CANCER PATIENTS

DHM BAN

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DIHYDROGEN MONOXIDE:(AKA “HYDROXYL ACID”)

5. ACCIDENTAL OVERDOSE KILLS 10 PEOPLE PER DAY…IN THE US ALONE!

DHM BAN

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DESPITE THE WARNINGS, HYDROXYL ACID IS USED IN…

1. A MEANS OF HUMAN TORTURE

DHM BAN

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DESPITE THE WARNINGS, HYDROXYL ACID IS USED AS…

2. A COMPONENT OF MANY POINSONOUS CHEMICALS AND INDUSTRIAL COOLANTS

DHM BAN

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DESPITE THE WARNINGS, HYDROXYL ACID IS USED IN…

NEARLY EVERYTHING YOU EAT

STOP THE MADNESS! SAVE OUR CHILDREN!

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KNOWING THIS…WILL YOU SUPPORT THE BAN ON DHM?

STOP THE MADNESS!

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KNOWING THIS…WILL YOU SUPPORT THE BAN ON DHM?

BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION

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“GENETIC MODIFICATION IS ONE OF THE MOST PROMISING TOOLS FOR FEEDING A GLOBAL POPULATION.” –THE ECONOMIST

http://www.economist.com/news/united-states/21601831-little-state-could-kneecap-biotech-industry-vermont-v-science?fsrc=scn/tw/te/pe/ed/vermontvscience

BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION

• WHY SHOULD I BELIEVE “THE ECONOMIST” ON SCIENTIFIC MATTERS?

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NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCE (NAS)

”TO DATE, NO ADVERSE HEALTH EFFECTS ATTRIBUTED TO GENETIC ENGINEERING HAVE BEEN DOCUMENTED IN THE HUMAN POPULATION.”

目前尚无证据证实食用这些作物或由其制成的食品会出现人类健康问题。”

BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION

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营养与饮食学会( The Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics )是世界上最大的美食与营养专家组织。 “ 我们支持将生物技术用作改善植物健康状况、食品安全和植物生产力可持续增长性的手段。 ”

“AMERICANS DON’T EAT GMOS!”

BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION

• GMOs—TOO “AMERICAN”…??

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UNION OF GERMAN ACADEMIES OF SCIENCE & HUMANITIES —”FOOD DERIVED FROM GM PLANTS APPROVED IN THE EU AND THE USA, THE RISK IS IN NO WAY HIGHER THAN FOOD FROM CONVENTIONALLY GROWN PLANTS. ON THE CONTRARY, GMO PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN TESTED TO A PARTICULARLY HIGH EXTENT AND SUBJECTED TO RIGID LEGISLATION CONTROL”

“ 食用欧盟和美国批准的转基因植物制成的食品的风险决不高于食用传统种植植物所制成的食品。相反,在某些情况下,转基因作

物制成的食品似乎更有利于健康。”

• EVEN THE EUROPEANS THEMSELVES…!

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The main conclusion to be drawn from the efforts of more than 130 research projects, covering a period of more than 25 years of research, and involving more than 500 independent research groups, is that biotechnology, and in particular GMOs, are not per se more risky than e.g. conventional plant breeding technologies.

“ 历时逾 25 年、 500 多个独立科研团体参与的 130 多个科研项目工作 (耗资逾 3 亿欧元)得出的主要结论是生物技术,特别是转

基因技术与传统作物育种技术安全性相当。”

http://ec.europa.eu/research/biosociety/pdf/a_decade_of_eu-funded_gmo_research.pdf

BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION

BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION

• HOW ABOUT DOCTORS??

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WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION—GM foods currently traded on the international market have passed risk assessments in several countries and are not likely, nor have been shown, to present risks for human health.

“ 转基因食品批准国的广大民众食用转基因食品后

目前未见对人体健康产生了任何影响。”

http://www.who.int/foodsafety/publications/biotech/biotech_en.pdf

BE AN INFORMED CONSUMER OF INFORMATION

• DON’T TAKE MY WORD FOR IT…

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FAO/WFP—The Organizations confirm that to date they are not aware of scientifically documented cases in which the consumption of (GMOs) has had negative human health effects.

联合国粮农组织 (FAO)联合国系统内最早的常设专门机构。其宗旨是提高人类的营养水平和生活标准,改进农产品的生产和分配,改善农村和农民的经济状况,促进世界经济的发展并保证人类免于饥饿。

世界粮食计划署 (WFP)是联合国系统中从事粮食援助活动的专门机构

http://www.fao.org/english/newsroom/news/2002/8660-en.html

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EMBRACE TRADE

• AREAS OF FOOD PRODUCTION SURPLUS

• AREAS OF FOOD PROUDTION DEFECIT

• ONLY LOGICAL SOLUTION IS TRADE

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EMBRACE TRADE

1960- 2012, 2013, 20140

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

TMTSOURCE: USDA PS&D

CORN IMPORTS

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Thank YouKevin Roepke

@Maizstro