INDIA HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2011 TOWARDS SOCIAL INCLUSION To the Members of Parliament 26 th...
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Transcript of INDIA HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2011 TOWARDS SOCIAL INCLUSION To the Members of Parliament 26 th...
INDIA HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2011
TOWARDS SOCIAL INCLUSION
To the Members of Parliament
26th April 2012
Institute of Applied Manpower ResearchPlanning Commission
1
Structure of the PresentationStructure of the Presentation
Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing,
Electricity, Telephone, and Roads Vulnerable Groups
2
Structure of the PresentationStructure of the Presentation
Conceptual FrameworkConceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing,
Electricity, Telephone, and Roads Vulnerable Groups
3
Conceptual FrameworkConceptual Framework
Feedback loop model - states that human development outcomes feed back as inputs into the development process.
These feedback loops operate both at the micro (individual) as well as macro (societal) levels.
Interventions to promote human capital formation (through investments in health and education) are key requirements for economic growth to be more successful in reducing income poverty.
4
Feedback Loops in the Human Development Feedback Loops in the Human Development Process – at the micro level Process – at the micro level
Social services inputs/processes
Human development outcomes/outputsKnowledge
Family size
Health status
Nutritionalstatus
Healthylivingconditions
Educ ↲ ↲ ↲ ↲Family Plg
↲Health
↲ ↲ ↲ ↲Nutrition
↲ ↲ ↲Water &Sanitation
While shaded cells show relationship b/w an input & output variable, arrows depict feedback effects from development outcomes to inputs.
5
An exampleAn example
Education makes an individual more aware of healthy & hygienic practices.
Education therefore can serve as an input towards better health and nutritional status which feeds back into better learning ability.
Similarly, educated parents understand importance of family planning & reduced family size which in turn feeds back into better health (both for the mother and the child) & education for all children in the family.
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Feedback loops at the Macro-economic level
Economic growth, human capital formation, & income poverty reduction are synergistically related such that, the impact of intervention in any one is enhanced by investments in any other (Synergy 2)
improved human capital formation, for both men and women, ensures an educated workforce that can engage in eco activities & earn better livelihoods
7
Structure of the PresentationStructure of the Presentation
Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing,
Electricity, Telephone, and Roads
8
India’s rank in the world in Human Development India’s rank in the world in Human Development Index falls in 2011?Index falls in 2011?
HDI value 2011 HDI rank 2011 Gross national income per
capita rank
High Human Development Russia 0.755 66 53Brazil 0.718 84 77Medium Human Development Sri Lanka 0.691 97 109China 0.688 101 94South Africa 0.619 123 79India 0.547 134 124Low Human Development Pakistan 0.504 145 138Bangladesh 0.500 146 157No. of countries 187 187
UNDP HDR 2011: India’s rank fell from 119 in 2010 to 134 in 2011.Fall only because 18 new (tiny) countries like Antigua, Saint Tome etc. have been added this time.
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India HDR 2011: India HDR 2011: 21% increase in HDI between 21% increase in HDI between 2000 and 2008: 2000 and 2008: Education Index pulled up HDI, but Education Index pulled up HDI, but
Health Index constrainsHealth Index constrains
Income index based on consumption; but consumption on average is lower than income. Increase in HDI is over 30%, when Income Index is computed from per capita Net Domestic Product
10
2. Gap narrowing in HDI across states –– poorer states 2. Gap narrowing in HDI across states –– poorer states growing faster, their health/educ indicators improving growing faster, their health/educ indicators improving
faster – inter-state disparity falling faster – inter-state disparity falling 11
3. HD indicators for SCs, STs, OBCs & Muslims : gap 3. HD indicators for SCs, STs, OBCs & Muslims : gap narrowing with national average (though with some imp narrowing with national average (though with some imp
exceptions)– exceptions)– move towards social inclusion move towards social inclusion 12
Indicators Convergence Divergence
Per capita consumption expend. SCs STs, Muslims
Unemployment rate SCs, Muslims STs
Child labour rate SCs, STs, Muslims
Female malnutrition (Body Mass Index <18.5) SCs,STs,OBCs, Muslims
Infant Mortality RateSCs, STs, OBCs, Muslims
Under five mortality rate SCs, STs, Muslims
Total fertility rate SC, Muslims OBCs
Child immunization STs, Muslims SCs
Toilet facility OBCs SCs, STs
Literacy SCs, STs, Muslims
Electricity for domestic use SCs, STs, OBCs
13
Sachar Committee on MuslimsSachar Committee on Muslims IHDR 2011 on MuslimsIHDR 2011 on MuslimsPublished in 2006, uses data points till 2004-5
Published in 2011, uses data points till 2011
IMR, U5MR both decreasing ; DIVERGENCE between national and Muslim average (1992-93- 1998-99)
IMR, U5MR both decreasing ; CONVERGENCE between national and Muslim average (1998-99-2005-6)
Muslim Underweight children worse than national average (1998-99)
Muslim Underweight children better than national average (2005-6)
Muslim Fertility rate higher than national average by 0.7 in 1992-93. The Difference increased to 1 in 1998-99.
Muslim Fertility rate on average higher than national average by 0.4 in 2005-6, and CONVERGING
Muslim Literacy rates in rural (6 % points) & urban areas (10 % points) below the national avg in 2001
Muslim Literacy rate CONVERGES with national avg in 2007-8, i.e., gap narrows : rural (3.5 % points) & urban (8.5% points)
1. Gaps narrowing b/w Muslim & national average i.e. improving conditions of Muslims. 2. Muslims are consistently better than SCs & STs for all HD indicators3. Muslims absolute level still lower compared to national avg (except IMR, U5MR)
For most HD input & outcome indicators Muslims have For most HD input & outcome indicators Muslims have better indicators than SCs & STs – but absolute levels for better indicators than SCs & STs – but absolute levels for
all 3 worse than rest of societyall 3 worse than rest of society14
Indicators SC ST Muslims All Groups
Literacy 63.5 60.5 67.6 72
Malnutrition among Women (BMI<18.5)
41.2 46.6 35.2 33
Underweight Children 47.9 54.5 41.8 39.1
Pucca Housing 38.3 57.9 63.8 66.1
No toilet facility 65 69.1 35.8 49.2
Electricity for domestic use 61.2 66.4 75.2 75
IMR 66.4 62.1 52.4 50
U5MR 88.1 95.7 70 74.3
TFR 2.92 3.12 3.09 2.6
Child Immunization 39.7 5.4 36.3 43.5
14
Geographical Concentration of SC, ST, Geographical Concentration of SC, ST, and Muslim Populationand Muslim Population
Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, M.P, Orissa, Rajasthan, West Bengal, U.P – account for 56% of SCs 56% of STs 58% of Muslims
These States account for 66% of poor in the country in 2009-10.
In most indicators SCs and STs in LWE states are not only In most indicators SCs and STs in LWE states are not only performing worse than national average but also worse performing worse than national average but also worse
than their national counter partsthan their national counter parts
7 LWE States All India
SC ST All SC ST All
BMI<18.5 (Female) 50.7 59.0 46.2 41.2 46.6 33
U5MR 101.0 121.0 88.9 88.1 95.7 74.3
No latrine 77.2 84.8 69.6 65 69.1 49.2
Literacy( R ) 69.9 63.8 74.3 60.5 58.8 67
Pucca House 54.2 42.0 62.0 57.9 38.3 66.1
Electricity 73.6 57.6 78.2 66.4 61.2 75
Naxal states : Bihar, Orissa, AP, MP, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, WBNaxal states : Bihar, Orissa, AP, MP, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, WB
4. States doing well do it across the board – for all social groups
SCs in Delhi and Kerala have higher literacy rates than the upper castes in Bihar and Rajasthan
SCs in Tamil Nadu in most health indicators are better than upper castes in UP
But in central and eastern belt – with concentration of SC and ST population, for most indicators, latter doing worse than
State average SC/ST average in India
This highlights importance of good governance and social mobilization by state governments
Basic service delivery as an area of potential policy consensus
17
Structure of the PresentationStructure of the Presentation
Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and
Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing,
Electricity, Telephone, and Roads
18
Poverty (Tendulkar line): number of Poor and Poverty (Tendulkar line): number of Poor and incidence of Poverty are decliningincidence of Poverty are declining
Source: NSS 2004-5, 2009-10
19
Rising wages in both rural and urban IndiaRising wages in both rural and urban India
Casual wages in both rural and urban areas increased significantly between 2004-5 and 2009-10 (Rs.)
21
Consistent rise after 2004-5 in monthly per capita Consistent rise after 2004-5 in monthly per capita consumption expenditure (Rs)consumption expenditure (Rs)
22
Note: Figures in brackets indicate Compound Annual Growth Rate
Despite achievements, problem areas remain:Despite achievements, problem areas remain:
Employment not growing in industry or services Nutritional outcomes not improving or no data Health outcomes improving too slowly Sanitation is the worst in the world Education levels extremely low for a emerging
market economy
SC, ST, Muslims have absolute levels of indicators that are still the worst
These problems concentrated in northern & eastern states where these communities are concentrated
23
Employment: Declining Unemployment but… Employment: Declining Unemployment but…
Unemployment (current daily status) declined from 8.2% in 2004-5 to 6.6% in 2009-10
But only 2.8 mn new jobs – not growing in manfg and services, falling in agriculture:
Absolute decline in agri emp by 14 mn during 2005-2010
But for the decade, still increase of 7 mn Structural transformation towards productive
employment??
24
Employment in industry – Manufacturing & Non-Employment in industry – Manufacturing & Non-ManufacturingManufacturing
Manufacturing employment increased only by 6.7 million in the last decade (from 44 million in 1999-2000 to 50 million in 2009-10)
Absolute decline in mfg employment by 5 mn in the 2nd half of the decade
Approach Paper 12th Plan & National Manufacturing Policy targeting 100 million by 2022?
27 mn new jobs in non-mfg industry (due to 26 mn in construction) during the last decade (from 21 million in 1999-2000 to 48 million in 2009-10)
25
Services employmentServices employment
Rise in service employment from 94mn in 1999-2000 to 112 million in 2004-5, but only to 116 million in 2009-10 (3.5 million increase)
Most of the increase been due to services like transport, banking & insurance, computer & related activities, business management & consultancy services
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Despite Increase in share of organised sector Despite Increase in share of organised sector employment (14-18%): Rising informalization employment (14-18%): Rising informalization
Share of informal employment in organized sector has risen from around 1/3 in 1999-2000 to just under 2/3 in 2009-10. Employers in organized sector increasingly hire on contract Source: NSS emp-unemp rounds
27
Structure of the Presentation
Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing,
Electricity, Telephone, and Roads
28
Worst performer in terms of low birth weightWorst performer in terms of low birth weight
India is the worst performer in terms of low birth weight
Small mother gives birth to small children.
Gender Discrimination through life cycle Small Mother
• India has the highest underweight children among the BRIC and SAARC Countries •Inadequate access to food+ Lack of education of mother + Poor Sanitation + Unsafe Drinking Water
Underweight children
Percentage of Underweight ChildrenPercentage of Underweight Children
• Among the industrial states, Gujarat has a very high incidence of malnutrition among SC and ST women
•Gujarat fares the worst in terms of overall hunger and malnutrition
Percentage of Women with BMI<18.5Percentage of Women with BMI<18.5
• 1/3rd Indian women underweight
• SCs and STs diverge from the national average• •Worsening of adult female malnutrition for Muslim
MALNUTRITION:MALNUTRITION: Percentage of adult women with Body Mass Percentage of adult women with Body Mass Index<18.5 for SC, ST, & Muslims worse than & not improving Index<18.5 for SC, ST, & Muslims worse than & not improving
compared to national average (“important exception”)compared to national average (“important exception”)
Source: NFHS- 2and 3
32
Policies to Address Nutritional ProblemsPolicies to Address Nutritional Problems1. 1. Near universalization of ICDS ProgrammeNear universalization of ICDS Programme
• But focus should shift to children below three years, pregnant women, and adolescent girls - ICDS 35 years old – but without this focus still
• Withdrawal of hot-cooked meals in UP, Karn, Guj – in violation of Supreme Court
33
•Reform PDS – but progress remains slow on •National Food Security Bill •No “Ministry of Nutrition” – so PM’s Nutrition Council in need of revival
Structure of the Presentation
Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and DemographyHealth and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing,
Electricity, Telephone, and Roads
34
HEALTH: IHEALTH: Infant mortality rate - nfant mortality rate - Gap of Gap of SCs, STs SCs, STs & Muslims with national average narrowing& Muslims with national average narrowing
From 80 /1000 IMR in 1990, IMR down to 50 in 2009. But still far behind MDG target 26.7 by 2015 – health index improved slowly
Lower IMR Lower TFR
35
Source: NFHS 2 & 3
Replacement level of Total Fertility Rate reachedReplacement level of Total Fertility Rate reached
9 major states achieved the replacement level of TFR (2.1) - states with functional PHCs
Unless public health system improves, the population growth rate can not be reduced
Source:RGI 2011
36 States TFR 1995-7 TFR 2008Kerala 1.8 1.7Tamil Nadu 2.1 1.7Andhra Pradesh 2.8 1.8Punjab 2.8 1.9West Bengal 2.7 1.9Himachal Pradesh 2.5 1.9Delhi 2Karnataka 2.6 2Maharashtra 2.8 2Jammu & Kashmir 2.2Orissa 3.1 2.4Gujarat 3.1 2.5Haryana 3.5 2.5Assam 3.3 2.6All India* 3.4 2.6Chhattisgarh 3.1Jharkhand 3.2Madhya Pradesh 4.1 3.3Rajasthan 4.2 3.3Uttar Pradesh 2.7 3.8Bihar 4.5 3.9
Total fertility rateTotal fertility rate
India could achieve replacement rate TFR 2.1 by 2015 – but “unmet need” for contraception over 30% in 4 States – NRHM must focus attention
Migration out of UP, Bihar, MP, Raj will rise
37
Total Fertility Rate: Narrowing gaps in case of SCs Total Fertility Rate: Narrowing gaps in case of SCs & Muslims & Muslims
Maximum fall in fertility rate experienced by Muslims along with a sharp increase in Contraceptive Prevalence Rate
38
Source: NFHS 2 & 3
Rise in institutional deliveries leads to lower Rise in institutional deliveries leads to lower Maternal Mortality RateMaternal Mortality Rate
Rise in institutional deliveries (from 39% to 78%, 2005-9) post NRHM & JSY resulted in decline of MMR – fall of 89 points in 6 years
But to achieve 11th Plan target of MMR of 100 by 2012, a further reduction of 28 per 100,000 per year is needed
Highest MMR in poorer states with lowest levels of institutional delivery – need more rural doctors/para medics needed in 8 EAG NRHM states
39
Source: RGI 2011
Highest MMR in poorer states with lowest levels of Highest MMR in poorer states with lowest levels of institutional delivery – need for ASHA, ANM, AWW institutional delivery – need for ASHA, ANM, AWW
to focus on these states within NRHMto focus on these states within NRHM
Source: NFHS 3 (2006) & RGI 2011 (MMR-2008)
40
Replicate best practice in high focus States of other Replicate best practice in high focus States of other States to attract health providers to rural areasStates to attract health providers to rural areas
Rural recruitment TN: introduced reservation policy in higher educ. Consequently,
cadre of doctors from small towns willing to work in PHCs in villages at commuting distance
Because 15% of seats for medicine courses reserved for rural schools. Increases retention of medical officers (with rural background) in rural areas since there will be no resistance .
Also doctors recruited on zonal basis
Chhattisgarh: 3 yr degree in Rural Health Care in – called Rural Medical Assistant to eliminate vacancies for medical officers; Miny of Health support for each State to replicate
41
& enable drug procurement& enable drug procurement
Essential drugs at affordable prices in public health system
To strengthen logistics management sys of healthcare, TN Medical Services Corporation established in Jan’95.
Apex body for purchase and distribution of generic essential drugs for govt medical centres
42
Open defaecation in India – worst in worldOpen defaecation in India – worst in world
Nutritional/health outcomes cannot improve if OD continues
58% of all persons in the world defecating in open, live in India
Improvement in households with access to sanitation facilities from 40 % in 2002 to 51 % in 2008-9
43
Source: NSS 2002, 2008-9
Poor sanitation concern for rural areas, but Poor sanitation concern for rural areas, but consequences equally serious in urbanconsequences equally serious in urban
Toilet availability in urban India, but density of population in India 10 times greater than Africa, hence in urban areas open defaecation spreads infection faster
44
Source: NSS 2002, 2008-9
But toilets built under Total Sanitation Campaign But toilets built under Total Sanitation Campaign put to other uses – TSC redesign neededput to other uses – TSC redesign needed
In villages winning Nirmal Gram Puraskar (“Open Defaecation Free”), toilets often used for storing, bathing & washing purposes
Design problem with TSC: Rather than subsidy for construction of toilets, need for creating effective demand for sanitation through community participation – e.g. HP & Haryana
A complete redesign of MORD’s Total Sanitation Campaign is needeed
45
Lessons from Himachal PradeshLessons from Himachal Pradesh
HP Adopted a participatory innovative approach called Community Led
Total Sanitation (CLTS) for creating effective & sustainable demand for sanitation under TSC
It engages people in analysis of their existing sanitation situation through triggering exercises leading to collective local action to clean up & sanitize surroundings to put end to OD & adopting safe solid & liquid waste mgt practices
CLTS training involved triggering initially (2006) some 200 villages with arnd 50 natural leaders from grass root levels
46
Lessons from HaryanaLessons from Haryana
Haryana Again CLTS approach followed by empowering local
communities to end OD & build toilets without any external subsidies.
District Rural Development Agency (DRDA) works on capacity building & identifies village motivators assigned 300 hhs to encourage proper sanitation & hygienic practices.
Targeted women to inform about TSC & families about low cost options for building toilets.
47
Structure of the Presentation
Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and ChallengesEducation: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing,
Electricity, Telephone, and Roads
48
EDUCATION drove up HDI – BUT Low Mean Years of EDUCATION drove up HDI – BUT Low Mean Years of Schooling - Schooling - a major challenge for inclusive growtha major challenge for inclusive growth
Adult (15 Yrs and above) mean years of schooling in 2010 were 5.12
(India), 8.17 (China), 6.24 (Indonesia).
Source: NSS 1999-2000 , 2007-8 & 2009-10
49
Note: for 7 years and above
Fulfillment of provisions of RTE Act, 2009 remains major Fulfillment of provisions of RTE Act, 2009 remains major challenge – Implementation of RTE in Bihar & UP require challenge – Implementation of RTE in Bihar & UP require 50% of total finances (additional from 1.5 lac cr) needed 50% of total finances (additional from 1.5 lac cr) needed for the countryfor the country
IndicatorNorm as per RTE Act, 2009
Reality (2007-8)
Pupil – Teacher ratio (at primary level)
30 47 (U.P – 76, Bihar – 68)
Number of classroom
One classroom for one class in all schools
9% of schools were one classroom schools
Girls’ Toilet
School building should have separate toilet facilities for boys and girls
Half of the schools did not have separate toilets for girls
Drinking WaterSchool building should have safe drinking water facility
87 per cent schools have drinking water facility
50
Policy: “Low-hanging fruit” type actionsPolicy: “Low-hanging fruit” type actions
Pre-primary school education training for AWWs neglected ; but funds allocated in 11th Plan Rs. 2000 cr for MHRD, but not utilized
Without PSE, children unprepared for school, as they are children of functionally illiterate parents
Children also unprepared because of malnutrition PSE can improve learning outcomes for children in earliest yrs
High teacher absenteeism (25%) – one of worst in developing world – SSA fund release shd be conditional upon teacher absenteeism improving School Management Committee should be responsible for
Leave granting Salary releasing
51
Addressing poor learning outcomes of children Addressing poor learning outcomes of children needs better Subject Content Knowledge of needs better Subject Content Knowledge of
TeachersTeachers• Well trained teachers do not go to rural areas – DIETs, BRCs, CRCs in
poor shape• Poor learning ability: 47% in grade V students could not read grade II
text (ASER 2010)• Expand Online teacher training system
• Block HQ already have 256 kbps optical fibre – start using this network today
• Village level whole country coverage coming: 3G coming with optical fibre network, OR within 2 yrs National Optical Fibre Network operational
• Use of Technology• lectures broadcast in multiple languages in classrooms• local teachers interact with expert teachers and play local coordinator
role• Adult Literacy – Total Literacy Campaign
52
Towards Adult Literacy – Technology-based Towards Adult Literacy – Technology-based solution for 26% Illiterates of Indiasolution for 26% Illiterates of India
Poor & illiterate people need to learn 500 words for daily functional needs
Writing often discourages adult learners, and so focus on functional literacy: reading through graphic recognition of 500 words sound pattern inferential feeling & sensation
Programme launched in year 2000 and has 250 active centres
1,20,000 people became literate through this programme – universalization needed
53
Structure of the Presentation
Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing, Supporting Human Development: Housing,
Electricity, Telephone, and RoadsElectricity, Telephone, and Roads Vulnerable Groups
54
Housing: 2/3 Indians now reside in pucca Housing: 2/3 Indians now reside in pucca houseshouses
2/3 Indians now reside in pucca houses compared to less than 50% in 2002
Large inter state variations in housing conditions Around 95 % hhs
reside in pucca houses in Delhi & Haryana compared to around 40% in Chhattisgarh & Orissa
55
Steep rise in hhs with access to electricitySteep rise in hhs with access to electricity
Rise from 64 % to 75 % in percentage of hhs with electricity for domestic use b/w 2002 – 2008-9
But Large inter state variations
HP 98 % is the best State, while Bihar 31 % has lowest proportion in India
56
Rural-Urban convergence in hhs with access Rural-Urban convergence in hhs with access to electo elec
Still about 1/3 rural households do not have access to electricity for domestic use in 2008-9.
China had ensured 94 per cent of rural households had electricity by 1991 through off grid distribution
57
SCs & STs converging with national avg for SCs & STs converging with national avg for hhs with electricity for domestic usehhs with electricity for domestic use
58
Structure of the Presentation
Conceptual Framework Human Development Index Employment, Asset Ownership, and Poverty The Right to Food and Nutrition Health and Demography Education: Achievements and Challenges Supporting Human Development: Housing,
Electricity, Telephone, and Roads Vulnerable GroupsVulnerable Groups
59
Disabled
Magnitude Official estimates of disability in India is around 2
percent
Estimates using more inclusive definitions suggest a higher incidence of disability (of at least 5-8 percent)
Number of disabled persons increased from nearly 12 million in 1981 to 18.49 million in 2002 (Latest Data)
19/04/23 Ch. 8 of NHDR - Vulnerable Groups
60
Scanty Opportunities for Disabled
Education Only 45 % Literacy rate High share of out of school disabled children About 9 per cent of disabled completed ‘Secondary and
above’ level of education Employment
Only 26 % of the disabled persons were employed 15 % Self-employed 8 % Casual Worker 3 % Regular Job
Only 10 % of the disabled females are having jobs 55 % lost their work due to onset of disability
19/04/23 Ch. 8 of NHDR - Vulnerable Groups
61
Requirements for Disabled
Lack of trained manpower
Major constraint in expanding the rehabilitation services
Very few Training Institutes
Huge Demand - Supply gap of trained personnel
19/04/23 Ch. 8 of NHDR - Vulnerable Groups
62
Source: IAMR 2009
Mismatch between Estimated Demand and Supply of Personnel in the Area of Disability
Window of Opportunity
19/04/23
63
Youngest population (with the median age of less than 24 in 2000) – Demographic Dividend:
Compared to 38 for Europe, 41 for Japan and 30 for China Declining ‘Dependency Ratio’ But, Second Largest aged Population of the World Rapidly increasing share of Elderly
Ringing alarm
Increasing ‘Old Age Dependency Ratio’ In 1991 – 12.19% In 2001 – 13.08% Higher for female
Decreasing Work participation of Elderly Demographic Dividend will be open till 2035
Dependency Ratio will start increasing again Proportion of the middle age group will also decline
Only one in ten worker is covered for pension
19/04/23
64
Looking ahead for Vulnerable Groups
For Disabled Low opportunities of Education and Employment for disabled Serious limitations like low coverage, lack of funds, lack of awareness
programmes, non-cooperation of local authorities, loopholes in the system of selection and certification of beneficiaries, need to be removed
Services confined only to urban areas, and should penetrate rural areas as well
Policy Issues Equal opportunities for better education and employment need to be
provided Services need to be strengthened Need to expand services to rural areas
19/04/23 Ch. 8 of NHDR - Vulnerable Groups
65
Looking ahead for Vulnerable Groups
For Elderly Decreasing work participation of Elderly Demographic Dividend will be open till 2035 Only on in ten worker is covered under pension
scheme Policy Issues
Coverage of insurance need to be widened Subsidies and transfer of public money should be
increased
19/04/23 Ch. 8 of NHDR - Vulnerable Groups
66
India’s Human Development Report 2011 : Main Messages
India’s Human Development Index registers impressive gains in last decade
Developed states continue to perform while backward states performed better – inter-state inequality in HDI declining over time
SC, ST & Muslim communities show promising improvements on social parameters & convergence with national avg – a move towards social inclusion
Consumption & wages rise b/w 2004-5 & 2009-10
67
India’s Human Development Report 2011 : Main Messages
2/3 hhs reside in pucca houses & 3/4 hhs have access to electricity for domestic use today
Despite Right to Education Act, school education faces challenges of quality & employability
Despite improvements, health/ nutrition / sanitation challenges are most serious
68