Increasing College Access and Success: Investing in Human Capital

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MAP Capital Investment Bonds Presentation to Higher Education Finance Commission September 23, 2010

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MAP Capital Investment BondsPresentation to Higher Education Finance

CommissionSeptember 23, 2010

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Students-in-Need Do Not Complete College

11%

25%

52%

38%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%

Lowest 2nd Lowest Top 3 (Average) Overall Average

Income Quintiles

% Of Students Who Complete Within 12 Years Of Graduating 8th Grade By Income Quintile

2Source: Goldberger, Susan, “Doing the Math: What It Means to Double the Number of Low-Income College Graduates,” Minding the Gap: Why Integrating High School with College Makes Sense and How to Do It, 2007.

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Current Illinois Need-Based Grant Program Helps Low-Income Students Attend SchoolSince 1967, Illinois has provided grant

assistance for low-income students through the Monetary Award Program (MAP)

In FY 2009, 144,230 students received MAP grants totaling $384 million56,326 MAP grants totaling $57 million went to

students attending community colleges, with an average award of $1,008 per student

Critical factor in aligning workforce of the future to changing economic opportunities

3Source: ISAC Databook, 2009

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•FY2011 MAP appropriation is $404 M (plus S/LEAP)•Additional MAP funds in FY2011 come primarily from IIA - $4.5 million.•MAP not impacted by 2% reserve requirement•MAP remains the 4th largest state need-based aid program in the country

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Applications and Number of Eligible Students Continue to Rise while Funding is Level

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Good Investments Shouldn’t Lack for CapitalMAP successful in helping students afford collegeOpportunity for state-funded expansion limited;

need greatest in challenging economyEvaluate how much MAP recipients pay in state

income tax revenue v. other low income taxpayersFindings: College has a good return on investment

from individual and state tax perspectiveGood investments should not lack for capitalISAC Challenge: How to get capital for educationISAC Solution: Use capital markets to invest in

people

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Individual Return to Education: Lifetime Earnings Are Greater for Those with More Education

8Source: Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce, Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs and Education Requirements through 2018, June 2010, Figure 5.6

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9Source: ISAC Analysis of Illinois Dept. of Revenue data

State Return to Education: Income Taxes Increase

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Maintaining or Even Sustaining Illinois’ Need-Based Program Is At Risk42,000 students eligible for MAP and who

wanted to attend community college did not receive grants due to lack of funds in FY 09; only 28% actually enrolled without the MAP support

Each year, more students apply for these limited dollars. So far in 2010, over 70,000 eligible community college students have been denied MAP since funds ran out

Unlikely State will have resources in short- and long-term necessitating new, innovative approach

10Source: ISAC data collection and analysis

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MAP Human Capital Investment BondsA New Paradigm in Funding$550 million in bonds over 5 years10-year bonds 100,000 low-income community college

students per year funded; up to 50,000 additional students per year

$1,000 average MAP awardMore funds, available to more students

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MAP Cap Bonds Are a Sound Investment

Expands the number of low-income community college students receiving MAP by nearly 50,000

Repays bonds with Illinois Income Tax revenue received from these MAP recipients

Income Tax revenue exceeds debt service each year, with a minimum debt service coverage ratio of 1.85

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13Source: Loop Capital Markets analysis for ISAC

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Appendix IOther studies find similar returns to higher

education investment as ISAC/DOR Analysis

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2007 NIU Study Finds Comparable Pattern of Earning Increases from Community College Completion

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NIU and ISAC Analysis Find Similar Impact from Community College

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Displaced Workers’ Earnings Increase After Attending Community College

Men less than 35 years old

Men over 35 years old

Women less than 35 years old

Women over 35 years old

Just Showing-up Effect

1.9% 2.6% (2.0%) 1.9%

One Academic Year of CC Credits

7.3% 7.2% 14.6% 11.3%

One Academic Year of Technically-oriented vocational or academic courses

9.7% 10.0% 28.1% 21.9%

One Academic Year of All Other Credits

4.7% 3.3% 6.5% 5.1%

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Source: “Do Displaced Workers Benefit from Community College Courses? Findings from Administrative Data and Directions for Future Research, Louis Jacobson, Robert LaLonde, Daniel Sullivan, Hudson Institute Center for Employment Policy, October, 2005 http://ssrn.com/abstract=1020996

Percentage of Earnings Increase by Age and Gender

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Analysis of Census Data Finds Positive Federal Income Tax Return to College Completion

“[I]t is worthwhile for the federal government to invest in federal student aid if the per-student cost is less than about $57,000.”

Source: Mark Kantrowitz, “The Financial Value of a Higher Education, NASFAA Journal of Student Financial Aid, Vol 37, No1, 2007

Added Value

Work-Life Earnings

Federal Income Tax

Bachelor’s v. High School

$519,261 $56,681

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Net Present Value of College Degree and Federal Income Tax, 2005

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Appendix IIDetails on MAP Program

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Effective Maximum MAP Award and Tuition and Fees, 1980-Present

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