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The Project Team Dr. Antonio La Vina Project Adviser Dr. Jean Caleda Project Adviser Dr. Segundo E. Romero, Project Director Dr. Marie Danielle V. Guillen, Project Manager Ms. Aurma Manlangit Co-Facilitator Ms. Jessica-Dator Bercilla, Senior Research Associate Mr. Lorenzo Cordova Jr., Research Associate Ms. Althea Muriel L. Pineda, Project Associate Support Staff: Ms. Creselda Doble, Technical Writer/ Documentor Ms. Cody Cavestany Main Documentor Mr. Herbert Navasca Photo/Video Documentor Mr. Andre Immanuel Quintos Photo/Video Documentor and Social Media Administrator Ms. Joan Therese Domingo, Project Associate Ms. Aletheia Kerygma Valenciano, Project Associate Mr. Richard Antonio, Student Assistant Ms. Charmaine Tobes, Student Assistant Mr. Dhenmark Valera, Student Assistant Ms. Alaina Villegas, Student Assistant Informal City Dialogues: The 2040 Urban Challenge in Metro Manila Inclusive Futures Mapping Documentation Report March 56, 2013 Conference Room 5, ISO Building Ateneo de Manila University Loyola Heights, Quezon City Innovation at the Base of the Pyramid in Asia Program Ateneo School of Government Copyright © 2013

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Transcript of Inclusive Futures Mapping Documentation DRAFT

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The Project Team Dr. Antonio La Vina Project Adviser Dr. Jean Caleda Project Adviser Dr. Segundo E. Romero, Project Director Dr. Marie Danielle V. Guillen, Project Manager Ms. Aurma Manlangit Co-Facilitator Ms. Jessica-Dator Bercilla, Senior Research Associate Mr. Lorenzo Cordova Jr., Research Associate Ms. Althea Muriel L. Pineda, Project Associate Support Staff: Ms. Creselda Doble, Technical Writer/ Documentor Ms. Cody Cavestany Main Documentor Mr. Herbert Navasca Photo/Video Documentor Mr. Andre Immanuel Quintos Photo/Video Documentor and Social Media Administrator Ms. Joan Therese Domingo, Project Associate Ms. Aletheia Kerygma Valenciano, Project Associate Mr. Richard Antonio, Student Assistant Ms. Charmaine Tobes, Student Assistant Mr. Dhenmark Valera, Student Assistant Ms. Alaina Villegas, Student Assistant  

Informal  City  Dialogues:  The  2040  Urban  Challenge  in  Metro  Manila  

 Inclusive  Futures  Mapping    Documentation  Report  March  5-­‐6,  2013  

 

Conference Room 5, ISO Building Ateneo de Manila University Loyola Heights, Quezon City Innovation at the Base of the Pyramid in Asia Program Ateneo School of Government

Copyright © 2013

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I N FORMAL   C I TY   D I A LOGUES  The  2040  Urban  Challenge  in  Metro  Manila  Futures  Mapping  Workshop  

 Conference  Room  5,  ISO  Building    Ateneo  de  Manila  University    Loyola  Heights,  Quezon  City    

 March  5-­‐6,  2013  

 

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Table  of  Contents  

List  of  Acronyms  ................................................................................................................  4  Executive  Summary  ...........................................................................................................  5  Inclusive  Futures  Mapping  Workshop  Day  1  ......................................................................  8  Opening  Program  ...............................................................................................................................................  8  Opening  Remarks  ..............................................................................................................................................  8  Inspirational  Message  .....................................................................................................................................  9  Introduction  of  the  Participants  ...............................................................................................................  10  Introduction  of  Project  Steering  Committee  Members  &  Staff  ....................................................  11  

Overview  of  the  Informal  City  Dialogue  Project  .............................................................................  111  Overview  of  the  Inclusive  City  Dialogue  Inclusive  Futures  Mapping  Workshop  in  Metro  

Manila  ...........................................................................................................................................................................  12  Metro  Manila:  Then  and  Now,  Perspectives  from  the  Communities  ........................................  13  Talk  Show  Part  One:  In  the  Eyes  of  the  Elderly  ..................................................................................  13  Talk  Show  Part  Two:  In  the  Eyes  of  the  Youth  ....................................................................................  17  Open  Forum  .......................................................................................................................................................  19  

Synthesis  .............................................................................................................................................................  20  Workshop  1:  Factors  Changing  The  Way  People  Live  In  Metro  Manila  ..................................  20  Physical  ................................................................................................................................................................  21  Physical-­‐Environmental  ...............................................................................................................................  21  Environmental  ..................................................................................................................................................  21  Social  .....................................................................................................................................................................  21  Economic  .............................................................................................................................................................  22  Institutional  .......................................................................................................................................................  22  

Workshop  2:  Highly  Important  and  Uncertain  Factors  ..................................................................  23  Workshop  3:  Combination  of  Drivers  ....................................................................................................  26  Summary  and  Integration  ...........................................................................................................................  28  Inclusive  Futures  Mapping  Day  2  .....................................................................................  29    Recap  ....................................................................................................................................................................  30  Reflections  from  the  Participants  ............................................................................................................  31  Workshop  4:  Building  Metro  Manila  Scenarios  .................................................................................  32  Workshop  Outputs:  Building  the  Scenarios  .........................................................................................  34  Scenario  4:  “Run  Samson  Run”  .........................................................................................................................  34  Scenario  3:  “Maghintay  ka  Lamang”  ...............................................................................................................  35  Scenario  2:  “Hawak  Kamay”  ..............................................................................................................................  37  Scenario  1:  “Kanlungan”  ......................................................................................................................................  38  

Workshop  5:  Completing  Metro  Manila  Scenarios  ...........................................................................  39  Workshop  Outputs:  .........................................................................................................................................  39  Scenario  4:  “Run  Samson  Run”  .........................................................................................................................  39  Scenario  3:  “Maghintay  ka  Lamang”  ...............................................................................................................  40  Scenario  2:  “Hawak  Kamay”  ..............................................................................................................................  40  Scenario  1:  “Kanlungan”  ......................................................................................................................................  41  

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Group  Critiquing  Outputs  ............................................................................................................................  41  Scenario  4:  “Run  Samson  Run”  .........................................................................................................................  41  Scenario  3:  “Maghintay  ka  Lamang”  ...............................................................................................................  41  Scenario  2:  “Hawak  Kamay”  ..............................................................................................................................  41    Scenario  1:  “Kanlungan”  ......................................................................................................................................  42  

Lessons  Learned  ..............................................................................................................................................  44  Workshop  6:  Scenario  Timeline  ...........................................................................................  ……………...44  Workshop  6  Results:  ......................................................................................................................................  44  

Scenario  4:  “Run  Samson  Run”  .........................................................................................................................  44  Scenario  3:  “Maghintay  ka  Lamang”  ...............................................................................................................  45  Scenario  2:  “Hawak  Kamay”  ..............................................................................................................................  45  Scenario  1:  “Kanlungan”  ......................................................................................................................................  46  

Reflections  from  Participants  ....................................................................................................................  48  Response  from  Partners  ...............................................................................................................................  48  Closing  Remarks  ..............................................................................................................................................  49  Distribution  of  Certificates  ..........................................................................................................................  49  

 

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List  of  Acronyms  

 AdMU   Ateneo  de  Manila  University  ASoG   Ateneo  School  of  Governmet  AusAID   Australian  Government’s  Overseas  Aid  Program  BPO   Business  Process  Outsourcing  CAMANAVA   Caloocan,  Malabon,  Navotas,  Valenzuela  CENRO   City  Environment  and  Natural  Resources  Office  CSO   Civil  Society  Organizations  DILG   Department  of  Interior  and  Local  Government  DPWH   Department  of  Public  Works  and  Highways  DSWD   Department  of  Social  Welfare  and  Development  DTI   Department  of  Trade  and  Industry  EDSA   Epifanio  Delos  Santos  Avenue  GDP   Gross  Domestic  Product  HLURB   Housing  and  Land  Use  Regulatory  Board  HUDCC   Housing  and  Urban  Development  Coordinating  Council  ICD   Informal  City  Dialogues  ICT   Information  and  Communication  Technology  IFS   Informal  Settlements/  Sector  LGU   Local  Government  Unit  LRT   Light  Rail  Transit  MM   Metro  Manila  MMDA   Metropolitan  Manila  Development  Authority  MRT   Metro  Rail  Transit  NGO   Non-­‐government  Organizations  NHA   National  Housing  Authority  OFW   Overseas  Filipino  Workers    PETA   Philippine  Educational  Theater  Association  PWDs   Persons  with  disabilities  RH   Reproductive  Health  SPED   Special  Education  STDs   Sexually  Transmitted  Diseases  TV   Television  USAID   United  Stated  Agency  for  International  Development    

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Executive  Summary    

   The  two-­‐day  workshop  entitled  Informal  City  Dialogues:  The  2040  Urban  Challenge  

in  Metro  Manila   Inclusive  Futures  Mapping  Workshop,   held  at  Conference  Room  5,   ISO  Building,  Ateneo  de  Manila  University  Loyola  Heights  Quezon  City  last  March  5-­‐6,  2013,  was  attended  by   a   total   of  97   individuals,   representing  different   sectors  of   the   society   coming  from  37  various  organizations.  About  50%  of   the  participants   came   from   the   community,  15%  from  the  government  (national  at  local)  while  the  remaining  25%  was  from  the  private  sector,   media,   NGOs   at   CSOs.  With   support   from   the   Rockefeller   Foundation   and   it’s   sub  grantee  Forum  for  the  Future  (FFF),  this  event  was  organized  by  its  implementing  partner  Ateneo  School  of  Government  under  the  Innovations  at  the  Base  of  the  Pyramid  in  Southeast  Asia  (iBoP  Asia)  Program.  

 The  Rockefeller   Foundation  has   launched   the  Centennial  Urban  Challenge   for   the   21st  

Century  Project  formally  referred  to  as  “Informal  City  Dialogues:  The  2040  Challenge”  that  aims   to   examine   the   formal   and   informal   structures   within   cities,   understand   the  relationship   between   the   formal   and   informal,   and   envision   a   future   for   these   cities.   Six  cities   have   been   selected,   including   Metro   Manila   in   the   Philippines.   Thus,   one   of   the  objectives   of   this   workshop   is   to   enable   the   participants   to   appreciate   the   process   of  envisioning  the  future  through  shared  narratives.  .  

 The  program  formally  started  with  an  opening  remarks  of  Dr.  Antonio  La  Viña,  Dean  of  

the  School  of  Government,  and  an  inspirational  message  from  Fr.   Jett  Villarin,  President  of  Ateneo  de  Manila  University.  Both  of  them  recognized  the  importance  of  planning  towards  a  better   Metro  Manila.   They   both   believed   that   looking   as   far   ahead   as   2040   can   be   a   big  challenge   especially   if   the   planners   are   not   equipped   with   ideas   about   the   future.  Nevertheless,  they  were  optimistic  on  what  planning  could  do.  They  noted  that  if  planning,  dreaming,  and  execution  are  done  together,  then  it  could  be  done.  They  also  recognized  the  importance  of  examining  one’s   role  or  part   in   the   fulfillment  of   the  plans  along  with   their  individual  responsibility  to  one  another  and  the  country.  

 A   Talk   Show   segment   entitled,   Metro   Manila   Then   and   Now   featured   a   video  

documentary   on   the   Pearl   of   the   Orient   set   back   in   the   early   1900s.     A   talk   show   with  representatives  from  elderly  living  in  five  (5)  selected  communities  in  Metro  Manila  shortly  followed  the  video  presentation.  Another  short  video  clip  highligting  the  evolution  of  Metro  Manila  through  the  years  was  shown  which  was  immediately  followed  by  a  talk  show  with  the  younger  generation.  Some  of   the  highlights  of   this   segment   include   findings  about   the  huge  percentage  of  migrants  in  Metro  Manila  coming  from  various  places  in  Luzon,  Visayas  and  Mindanao.  Meanwhile,  the  elderly  revealed  that  the  number  of  high-­‐rise  buildings  back    then  was  not  that  big  since  majority  of  lands  were  agriculturally  utilized,  with  few  budding  central  business  districts  and  industrial  areas  in  some  areas.  Some  said  that  they  reside  in  danger  zones  because  that  was  all   they  could  afford.  The  profound  understanding  of  what  informal  means  was   evident   in   the   interviews  with   representatives   of   the   young   and   the  elderly.   They   all  wished   to   convey   the  message   that   they   all   play   a   significant   role   in   the  society.  Though  many  of  them  are  usually  volunteers,  a  big  percentage  belong  to  the  social  

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service   sector  while   some,   including   the   elderly,   still  work   for   the   formal   industry   sector  (e.g.  construction  worker,  home  service  type  of  job,  sales  clerk  in  malls,  etc)  

 The  participants  mentioned  their  desire  to  own  a  house  and  for  housing  projects  to  be  

in  tune  with  their  practical  needs.  There  should  be  inclusive  elements  such  as  livelihood  and  planning   should   be   seen   in   a   holistic   way   and   with   proper   system   in   place.   They   also  strongly  argue  that  government  plans  should  prioritize  the  poor  and  marginalized  and  not  mainly  focused  on  gaining  profit.  

 Furthermore,  they  complained  about  their  problems  within  their  sector.  There  are  those  

who   sell   and   rent   out   rights   of   lands   that   are  not   theirs.  In  planning,   they   recognized   the  crucial  role  of  the  census  or  such  surveys  in  government  decision-­‐making  as  this  will  help  in  knowing   the  capacity  of   the   informal   settlers   to  pay   for  housing.  They  acknowledged   that  their  group  should  start  providing   the  government  proper   information.  They  also  saw  the  important   role   of   arts   such   as   Philippine   Educational   Theater   Association   (PETA)   in  highlighting   their   importance   in   the   society   and   the  other  possible   things   that   they   could  contribute.  

 It  was  also  noted  that   there  were  government  offices  both   from  the  national  and   local  

that   wishes   to   have   “in-­‐city   development”1  as   in   the   case   of   Mandaluyong   who   granted  informal   settlers   additional   funds   to   build   homes   as  well   as   other   basic   services   such   as  health  centers,  schools,  and  markets.    

 Some   of   the   pressing   points   raised   were   the   need   to   be   truly   socially   inclusive   in  

planning   and   to   ensure   that   the   process   is   participatory.   The   following   questions   were  raised;  what  is  the  proper  planning  process  and  project  implementation?  What  is  the  right  mechanism   for   participation?   They   saw   that   there   were   many   different   levels   of  participation  and  technologies  available  for  use.  They  believe  that  it  is  crucial  to  determine  the   correct   combination   and   be   able   to   respond   to   the   following   inquiries:   technology   of  listening   or   participation?   How   does   one   monitor   the   level   of   participation?   They   also  reiterated   that   informal   settlers   should   not   be   seen   as   an   eyesore   but   rather   partners   in  development.   They   should   always   be   included   in   decision-­‐making   and   solution   seeking  process   and   be   given   a   chance   to   achieve   their   desires   to   improve   their   situation   in   life.  Gender  and  development  issues  as  well  as  corresponding  perspectives  were  also  raised  as  an  important  factor  in  development.    

 The  first  workshop  identified  the  reasons  for  change  in  Metro  Manila.  There  were  more  

than   80   drivers   of   change   identified,   selected   and   categorized   into   different   themes:  physical,   environmental,   social,   economic   and   institutional.   The   participants  were   able   to  identify  top  11  reasons  for  change  and  these  were  ranked  according  to  those  which  future  are   believe   to   be   certain   or   uncertain.   There   was   a   long   discussion   on   the   proper  combination   of   drivers   of   change   but   in   the   end   the   two   selected   drivers   were:   urban  planning   and   development   as   the   first   driver  while   the   second   driver  was  population  growth.  

   

                                                                                                                         1  A  type  of  housing  development  that  does  not  require  informal  settlers  to  transfer  to  another  

place.  Instead  the  local  government  ensures  progress  in  a  particular  area  within  the  city  where  the  informal  settlers  could  legally  stay.    

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The  following  day,  the  participants  shared  their  reflections  on  how  they  appreciated  the  value  of  having  a  genuine  participatory  process  in  surfacing  the  issues  and  problems.  They  also   saw   their   contribution   and   the   barriers   they   face   towards   achieving   their   vision   of  Metro   Manila   in   2040.   There   was   also   a   little   apprehension   to   some   who   have   been   to  similar   workshops   or   dialogues   with   nothing   concrete   happening   about   their   situation.  Aside   from   being   given   an   opportunity   to   participate   in   dialogues,   they   believe   that  sensitivity  to  one  another's  opinion,  regardless  of  the  sector  they  belong,  is  indeed  a  critical  and  significant  factor  in  people's  participation.    

 A  matrix   of   the   two   identified   drivers:   population   growth   and   effectiveness   in   urban  

planning   and   development,   both   given   a   high   and   low   setting,   created   four   unique  scenarios:      

 1. Slow  growth  of  population  and  effective  urban  planning  and  development  2. Rapid  growth  of  population  and  effective  urban  planning  and  development  3. Slow  growth  of  population  and  ineffective  urban  planning  and  development  4. Rapid  growth  of  population  and  ineffective  urban  planning  and  development    The   participants   thought   of   various   circumstances   across   different   horizons   and  

determined  what   the  everyday  stories  of   their  particular  scenario  were.  After   they  agreed  with  the  face,  icons  and  characterization  of  their  scenarios,  they  were  instructed  to  make  a  futures   wheel   on   the   implications   of   that   particular   scenario   in   Metro   Manila,   and   later  figured  out  the  relationship  of  each  circumstance,  the  participants  determined  which  could  happen  in  2020,  2030  or  2040.  

 Mr.  Benjamin  dela  Peña  of   the  Rockefeller  Foundation  shared  his   insights   in  planning.  

He   believes   that   the  mistake   of   plans   is   not   because   they   are   wrong   plans   or   they  went  through  a  wrong  process  but  because  the  plans  are  not  revisited.  A  good  plan  should  always  reflect   the   needs   of   the   poor.  Mr.   Jacob   Park   of   Forum   for   the   Future   shared   that   people  were   able   to   experience   a   new  kind   of   conversation   in   this  workshop   and   perhaps,  were  also  able  to  learn  the  act  of  proper  listening.  He  believes  that  these  are  absolutely  critical  in  solving  problems   and  what  has  been   accomplished   in   this  workshop   can  be   considered   a  great   success.  However,   there  was  an  agreement   that   it   is  not   all   about  planning  but   also  about   implementation.   He   also   encouraged   everyone   to   come   together   for   another  workshop  in  April  and  talk  about  what  kind  of   innovations  they  could  all  create  to  build  a  future  that  they  want    

 Mr.   Benedict   Balderrama   closed   the   program  by   saying   that   the   essence   of   having   an  

inclusive  city  is  having  space  for  everyone  where  participation  by  all  sectors  is  appreciated.  The  workshop  was  a  glimpse  or  practice  of   the  kind  of  participation   that  an   inclusive  city  dreams   about.   Everyone   has   hope   for   a   systematic,   sustainable,   progressive   and   more  participative  future.  He  said  that  gradually,  all  should  practice  correlating,  listening,  helping,  and  participating  with  and  among  one  another  to  achieve  an  inclusive  city.  This  workshop  called  for  all  to  participate  and  engage  and  with  this,  he  sees  Metro  Manila’s  future.  

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Inclusive  Futures  Mapping  Workshop  Day  1  

5  MARCH  2013  

Opening  Program    

 The  program  formally  started  with   the  singing  of   the  National  Anthem  followed  by  an  

Invocation  entitled  Pananagutan  (Accountability)  led  by  the  master  of  ceremony,  Mr.  Jay-­‐R  Cordova.    

Opening  Remarks    

DR.  ANTONIO  G.M.  LA  V IÑA  Dean,  Ateneo  School  of  Government  

 Dr.   La   Viña   greeted   everyone   a   wonderful   morning   and   welcomed   them   to   the  

workshop.  He  expressed  his  satisfaction   in  seeing   the  participants’  willingness   to   join  and  participate   in   the   two-­‐day   informal   city   dialogue   envisioning   Metro   Manila   in   2040.   He  complimented   the   invocation   entitled   Pananagutan   (Accountability),   as   this   may   be   the  main  emphasis  of  the  dialogue  for  the  day.  He  reminded  everyone  about  the  significance  of  inclusivity  in  which  no  one  should  be  excluded  in  envisioning  the  future  of  Metro  Manila  in  2040.    

 He   thanked   representatives  

from   all   sectors   present   in   the  workshop:  the  government,  private  sector,   academe,   non-­‐government  organizations   and   informal  communities   in   Metro   Manila.   He  also  acknowledged  the  presence  of  the   members   of   the   Project  Steering   Committee   particularly  Mr.   Benjie   de   la   Peña,   a   Filipino  based  in  New  York  and  working  for  the   Rockefeller   Foundation,   and  Mr.  Jacob  Park  representing  Forum  for  the  Future.    

 He  informed  everyone  that  the  dialogue  and  visioning  exercise  is  not  only  being  done  in  

Metro   Manila   but   also   in   five   other   cities   around   the   world   namely   Chennai   in   India,  Bangkok   in   Thailand,   Nairobi   in   Kenya,   Accra   in   Ghana   and   Lima   in   Peru.   He   stated   that  Metro  Manila’s  case  is  special  as  Metro  Manila  is  faced  with  many  challenges  and  pressures  with   a   lot   of   uncertainties.  However,   in   order   to   envision  what  Metro  Manila   should   look  like  in  2040,  everyone  had  to  understand  the  present-­‐day  drivers  of  development  and  find  ways  to  interpret  the  future.    

 

Dean  of  Ateneo  School  of  Government  Dr.  Antonio  G.M.  La  Viña  in  his  Opening  Remarks  

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He  recognized  the  difficulty   in   facing  the  problems  and  pressures  that  Metro  Manila   is  facing,   but  with   assurance   that   as   long   as   everyone  understands   the   present  well,   all   can  move  forward  to  the   future.   Inclusivity   is  crucial   in  the  process  of   finding  solutions.  As  an  example,   he  mentioned  how   the  Philippines   continue   to   become  wealthy  with   only   a   few  people   who   benefit   (the   elite).   This   tremendous   wealth   is   not   being   distributed   to   the  people.   This   reflects   how   Filipinos   plan   for   their   cities.   He   was   excited   to   see   everyone  present  in  the  dialogue  for  it  means  involving  everyone  in  the  planning  process.  Being  part  of   the  United  Nations  process  called   the  Millenium  Ecosystems  Assessment   ten  years  ago,  he   is   a   firm   believer   of   futures   mapping   exercise   in   trying   to   pin   down   the   drivers   for  change  and  envisioning  to  plan  better.  He  hopes  that  everyone  will  learn  in  the  process  and  that  all  would  be  open  to  listen  to  what  each  other  has  to  say  especially  since  they  all  come  from  various  sectors  with  diverse  thrusts  and  lessons  brought  by  individual  experiences.  

 Lastly,  he   thanked  everyone  and  hoped   for  all   to   stay  with   them   in   the  next   two  days  

and  hopefully  come  up  with  something  good  and  useful.    

Inspirational  Message  

FR.   JOSE  RAMON  T.  V ILLARIN,  S J  President,  Ateneo  de  Manila  University  

 Fr.  Villarin  greeted  everyone  a  great  morning  and  

wondered  how  many  of   them   in   the  room  would  still  be   alive   in   2040.  He   shared   that  Madam  Auring2  was  the   first   that  came  to  his  mind  when  he  was  asked  to  speak  about   futures  mapping.  But   the   type  of   futures  mapping   referred   to   in   this   workshop   requires  determining  what  each  of  them  sees,  how  they  see  and  the   lens   used   in   looking   at   the   future.   The   mapping  exercise   also   demands   them   to   look   as   far   ahead   as  2040  but  gave  assurance   that   it   is  possible.  He  noted  that  all   they  had  to  do  was  to   look  within   themselves  and  find  their  dreams,  values,  and  desires.      

 He   shared   his   personal   story   about   his   stay   in  

Navotas 3  in   2002.   He   recalled   how   compact   and  informal  Navotas   as   a  place  was   and  quickly   realized  that   it   would   be   difficult   for   him   to   live   there.     The  

                                                                                                                         2  A  known  fortune  teller  in  the  Philippines.      3  Navotas  is  a  1st  class  city  in  Metro  Manila,  Philippines.  The  city  occupies  a  narrow  strip  of  land  

along   the   eastern   shores   of   Manila   Bay.   Navotas   is   considered   to   be   a   very   important   fishing  community  with   70%  of   its   population   deriving   their   livelihood   directly   or   indirectly   from   fishing  and   its   related   industries   like   fish   trading,   fish   net   mending,   and   fish   producing   having   marginal  percentage  of  inter-­‐Island  fish  producers.  Navotas  is  part  of  the  informal  subregion  of  Metro  Manila  called  CAMANAVA.  This  sub  region,  aside  from  Navotas,  includes  the  cities  of  Caloocan,  Malabon  and  Valenzuela.  Navotas  is  perceived  to  be  prone  to  flood  especially  during  the  rainy  season  and  during  high   tide,   but   the  national   and   local   government   are   trying   to   alleviate   the  problem.  Pollution   and  overpopulation   are   other   problems   that   the   government   is   trying   to   solve.   source:  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navotas  

Fr.  Villarin,  President  of  the  Ateneo  de  Manila  University,  delivering  his  inspirational  message  before  the  

workshop  participants.  

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place  where  he  lived  had  no  toilet  and  bathroom  and  had  illegal  electrical  connections.  He  remembered   how   the   people   would   have   a   code   for   the   electricity   providers   who   often  come  in  the  area  to  check  on  and  apprehend  illegal  electrical  connections.  He  recounted  the  simple  ways  of   the  people   living  there  particularly  his  generous  host,  being  a   food  vendor  whose  day  starts  at  4:00  in  the  morning  to  go  the  market  and  buy  the  things  she  need.  At  5:00  am  she  starts  preparing  then  at  8:00  am  starts  selling.  The  following  day,  she  will  use  the  money  she  got   from  her  sales  the  previous  day  to  start  the  day  all  over  again.  Then  at  night,  they  would  all  watch  telenovelas  before  they  go  to  bed.  One  time  he  asked  his  host  if  they  could  watch  an  Ateneo-­‐La  Salle  basketball  game  but  the  family  had  no  clue  what  it  was  he  wanted.  It  dawned  on  Fr.  Villarin  that  Navotas  was  a  different  world  that  had  nothing  to  do   with   luxury   such   as   the   collegiate   basketball   game   he   wanted   to   see.   He   noted   the  keyword   in   this   story   was   inclusion,   which   literally   meant   not   being   left   out   and   being  involved.  

   In   planning,   dreaming   and   in   seeing   the   future,   all   should   be   included.  But   in   reality,  

many  are  missed   in  prosperity  and   in   the  economy.  As  an  example,  he  mentioned  a  news  article   he   recently   read   that   40   of   the   most   affluent   families   on   the   Forbes   wealth   list  accounted   for  76%  of   the  country's  gross  domestic  product  growth   (GDP).4  The  wealth  of  the  nation  is  held  by  only  a  select  few.  The  Philippines  is  not  really  a  poor  country.  In  fact,  the  country’s  GDP  is  9  trillion  pesos  or  200  billion  dollars,  a   lot  of  resources  that  excludes  many.    

 In  envisioning  the  future,  one  must  look  at  his  or  her  dreams  and  be  aware  of  their  own  

looking   glass.   He   invited   everyone   to   also   look   into   the   lens   that   others   are   looking   into.  Coming  from  different  sectors,  each  have  their  own  biases,  but  he  calls   for  everyone  to  be  open.   In  the  end,  Fr.  Villarin  saw  this   futures  mapping  as  a  discernment  exercise   in  which  one  has  to  scan  and  weigh  what  the  Lord  wants  using  their  feeling.  He  believes  that  the  Lord  dislikes   exclusivity   as   evident   by   his   Lenten   stories   about   His   linkage   with   sinners.   He  invited  everyone  to  be  cognizant  and  be  aware  of  who  they  are,  Sons  of  God.  He  asks  all  to  be  truly  the  Sons  of  God  and  embrace  the  good  and  renounce  the  prejudiced.    

 Mr.   Cordova   thanked   Fr.   Villarin   for   the   very   insightful   and   inspiring   message.   He  

encouraged   everyone   to   use   this   as   guide   for   the   2-­‐day  workshop   in   planning,   dreaming,  and  executing  their  desires  for  themselves,  families,  community,  and  country.    

Introduction  of  the  Participants    

 Mr.   Cordova   called   out   the   sector   and   organizations   present   in   today’s  workshop.   He  

requested   the   following   to   rise   as   they   hear   their   sector   or   organization   called   to  acknowledge  their  presence:  

 • Welfare  ville,  Addition  Hills,  Mandaluyong  City  • Barangay  Donya  Imelda,  Quezon  City  • Estero  de  San  Miguel,  Manila  • Manggahan,  Pasig  City  • Barangay  Sto.  Niño,  Marikina  City  

                                                                                                                         4  source:  http://business.inquirer.net/110413/philippines-­‐elite-­‐swallow-­‐countrys-­‐new-­‐wealth  

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<<  Assistant  Dean  Dr.  Caleda  giving  the  participants  an  overview  about  the  Informal  City  Dialogues  Project  

• National   Government   Agencies:   DILG,   DTI,   DSWD,   MMDA,   HLURB,   Urban   Poor  Associates  

• LGUs  • Private  sector  • CSOs  and  NGOs  

Introduction  of  Project  Steering  Committee  Members  &  Staff  

 In  the  same  manner,  he  also  requested  the  members  of  the  project  steering  committee  

and  project  team  to  rise  and  be  identified.      He  started  with  the  project  steering  committee  composed  of  six  members  representing  

various   stakeholders   who   provide   direction,   advice,   and   guides   in   the   project  implementation.    

 • Ms.  Tina  Velasco,  MMDA,  representing  the  government    • Ms.  Antonio  Yulo  Loyzaga,  Manila  Observatory,  representing  science  • Mr.   Benedict   Valderama,   Chairman,   Partnership   of   Philippine   Support   Service  

Agencies,  Inc.  representing  the  urban  poor    • Mr.  Carlos  Rufino,  Urban  Land  Institute  representing  the  Private  Sector  • Dr.   Emma   Borio,   Department   of   Sociology   and   Anthropology,   representing   the  

Academe  • Dr.  Mary  Jean  Caleda,  ASoG,  Ex-­‐officio  member  

He   also   acknowledge   the   project   team   led   by   Dr.   Antonio   La   Viña   and   Dr.  Mary   Jean  Caleda  with  the  following  as  members:    

 Project  Director:  Dr.  Segundo  Romero  Project  Manager:  Dr.  Danielle  Guillen  Co-­‐facilitator:  Ms.  Aurma  Manlangit  Senior  Research  Associate:  Ms.  Jessica  Dator  Bercilla  Project  Associate:  Ms.  Althea  Pineda  Research  Associate:  Mr.  Jay-­‐R  Cordova  Researchers  and  Interns:  Ms.  Criselda  Doble,  Charmaine  Tobes,  Dhenmark  Valera,    

Alaina  Villegas  

Overview  of  the  Informal  City  Dialogue  Project    

DR.  MARY   JEAN  CALEDA  Assistant  Dean,  Ateneo  School  of  Government    

 2013   marks   the   Rockefeller   Foundation’s  

centennial  year  with  the  theme:  “Innovation  for  the  Next  100  years”.  The  informal  city  dialogues  (ICD)  is  part  of  its  centennial  year  activities.    

 In   partnership   with   other   organizations   in   five  

cities   of   developing   countries,   the   Forum   for   the  Future   manages   the   informal   city   dialogues.  

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Dr.  Romero  giving  an  overview  about  the  Inclusive  Futures  Mapping  Workshop  in  Metro  Manila  

Informal   City   Dialogue   is   a   global,  multi-­‐stakeholder   project   that   has   series   of   discussion  about  the  future  of  a  city  and  the  role  of  the  various  sectors  in  shaping  its  development.  The  dialogue  involves  a  diverse  group  of  citizens  from  various  sectors  including  public,  private,  civic,  industry,  CSOs  and  vulnerable  groups  namely  persons  with  disabilities,  women,  youth  and  senior  citizens.  This  group  talks  about  scenarios  of  what  life  in  their  city  could  be  like  in  2040.  

   The   informal   dialogues   have   three   major   activities.   The   first   activity   is   the   inclusive  

futures  mapping,  the  one  happening  today,  which  started  when  the  project  team  visited  the  five   chosen   areas   in   Metro   Manila   and   conducted   the   pre-­‐community   inclusive   mapping  workshop.  The  second  activity  is  the  planning  workshop,  set  to  happen  sometime  in  April,  which  will  determine  the  innovations  that  can  be  proposed  to  help  the  city  achieve  a  more  inclusive   and   resilient   future.   The   third   major   activity   is   the   centennial   challenge   grant  wherein  the  cities  from  the  six  developing  countries  would  compete  for  the  best  innovation  project  that  could  be  funded  by  the  Rockefeller  Foundation.  Portions  of   the  total  1  million  dollars  grant  would  be  given  to  cities  with  the  most  innovative  proposal.    

 The   inclusive   city   dialogue  was   further   explained   to   the   participants   through   a   short  

audiovisual  presentation.    

Overview  of  the  Inclusive  City  Dialogue  Inclusive  Futures  Mapping  Workshop  in  Metro  Manila    

DR.  SEGUNDO  ROMERO  Director,  Innovations  at  the  Base  of  the  Pyramid  

 Dr.  Romero  expressed  his  delight  to  see  a  room  full  of  eager  

and   willing   participants.   He   said   that   everyone   was   there   to  invest  on  two  important  days  of  special  discourse,  which  talks  about   the   future   of  Metro  Manila.   This  was   an   unusual   event  where  various  stakeholders  including  the  government,  private  sector,   and   community   members   would   sit   down   and   talk  about   the   future   of   the   entire   Metro   Manila.   He   encouraged  everyone  present  to  make  the  most  out  of  this  rare  occasion.    

 He   wanted   all   the   participants   to   keep   in   mind   a   crucial  

point  of  view  in  the  duration  of  the  workshop  or  dialogue:  “the  present   is   a   future   of   yesterday”.   2040   seems   to   be   too   far  ahead  from  2013  but  in  1986,  exactly  twenty-­‐seven  years  ago,  2013  was   a   year   that   none   of   them   could   have   imagined.   He  posed  a  question,  where  do  the  participants  see  themselves  in  2040?    

 Inclusive   future   is   their   dream.   It   is   a   type   of   future   that   fosters   interface   between  

formal   and   informal   citizens   and   the   rich   and   poor.   It   is   a   future   of   strong   and   resilient  cities.  But   in  order  to  see  through  this   future,  they  need  to  start  with  what  they  have  now  and  what  motivates  them.  Dealing  with  the  current  situation  entitles  them  to  dream  about  the   future.   This   certain   planning   for   the   future   calls   for   the   participants   to   unravel  what  drives  Metro  Manila.  In  this  complex  world,  there  is  a  need  to  tie  the  past  with  the  future.    

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 Dr.  Romero  emphasized  that  all  have  a  say  in  the  future.  How  each  of  them  acts  would  

shape   or   define   the   future.   He   also   presented   the   different   types   of   futures.   A   possible  future  is  something  that  might  happen.  Plausible   is  something  that  could  happen.  It  is  not  likely   to   happen   but   it   could   happen.  Probable   is   something   that   is   expected   to   happen  while  preferable   is   something   that   they   want   to   happen.   In   scenario   building,   what   one  wants   to   happen   is   not   the   same   as   what   could   possibly   happen   thus   the   need   to   be  prepared.   This   workshop   demands   grasping   the   envelope   of   uncertainty.   It   is   pivotal   to  imagine  those  that  one  could  not  even  imagine  happening.  

 He  presented  an  illustration  of  the  type  of  future  for  targeting.  He  encouraged  everyone  

to   visualize   things   that   can   probably   happen.   He   provided   this   example:   there   was   a  scientific   study   about   Metro   Manila   that   if   a   7.2   earthquake   magnitude,   approximately  50,000  people  will  die  and  there  will  be  fire  across.  This  example  is  unlikely  to  happen  but  it  is  possible  and  requires  a  great  deal  of  preparation.  This  two-­‐day  workshop  is  rarely  done  but   should   be   taken   note   of   because   many   will   benefit   from   this   kind   of   activity.   He  explained   that   part   of   the   process,  was   for   project   team   to   gathers   data   and   information  from  the  participants  at  the  same  time,  share  it  with  the  community.  

 He  moved  into  presenting  the  workshop  flow.  The  workshop  started  with  the  opening  

program   followed   by   a   talk   show   about  Metro  Manila   of   the   past   and   the   present  where  selected   community  members   shared   their   experiences   in  Metro  Manila.   It   was   followed  shortly   by   the   identification   of   the   most   important   and   significant   drivers   of   change   in  Metro  Manila.  The  identified  drivers  were  organized  in  two  cluster:  those  that  are  certain  to  happen  and  those  that  are  not.  The  workshop  was  designed  to  put  more  focus  on  the  drivers  of  change  that  are   indefinite   for  this  needs  more  preparation  that  those  which  are  sure  to  happen.   Then   the   group   looked   into   the   combinations   of   the   top   two   unlikely   to   happen  drivers   to   produce   four   different   scenarios.   The   following   day,   the   group   created   stories  based  on  the  various  scenarios  presented  and  reviewed  in  the  plenary  hall.  These  scenarios  were   identified   as   those   consistent,   robust   and   distinct.   In   the   next   workshop   in   April,  everyone  will   again   convene   to  determine   relevant  points   that  will   answer   the  questions:  what  will  be  done  with  these  scenarios?  Which  scenario  do  they  want  to  have  in  the  future  and   how   would   they   get   there?   The   event   in   April   will   be   dubbed   as   the   innovations  planning  that  would  specify  what  could  be  done  to  achieve  a  Metro  Manila  they  all  dream  about.   Once   done,   the   communities   will   submit   a   proposal   to   Rockefeller   Foundation’s  urban  challenge  grant,  for  possible  funding  of  their  proposed  innovations.    

 These   activities   need   the   involvement   of   all   stakeholders   especially   the   community  

whose  voices   are  often  unheard.   Lastly,  Dr.  Romero   stressed   the   significance  of   collective  planning  in  the  process.  After  this  everyone  paused  for  a  coffee  break  and  s  photo  session.    

Metro  Manila:  Then  and  Now,  Perspectives  from  the  Communities    

MS.   JESS ICA  DATOR  BERCILLA  AND  DR.  DANIELLE  GUILLEN    This   segment   started   with   a   video   documentary   of   the   "Pearl   of   the   Orient"   as  

introduced  by  the  segment  hosts,  Ms.  Bercilla  (Jec)  and  Dr.  Guillen  (Danes).        

Talk  Show  Part  One:  In  the  Eyes  of  the  Elderly  

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 Photo  1  Talk  Show  Part  1  (L-­‐R:  Ms.  Jessica  Bercilla  Teofilo  "Tofin"  Morado,  Lucila,  Marina  Turibio,  

Antonio  Javier,  Dr.  Danielle  Guillen  and  Pedro  Cadab)      The   first   part   of   the   talk   show   featured   the   stories   of   the   elderly   members   of   the  

community,   how   they   struggled   to   live   in   Metro   Manila,   their   way   of   life,   and   how   they  coped  with  the  changes  in  the  Metro  and  within  their  respective  communities.  The  selected  participants  shared  their  dreams,  aspirations,  and  grievances  as  to  why  for  so  long  a  time,  no   one   has   ever   defended   their   right   to   live   in  Metro  Manila,   and   no   one   looked   at   their  order  of  living.  They  also  shared  a  longing  to  thrive  and  improve  but  at  the  same  time  asked  whether   they   still   have  hope   for   a   brighter   future.  Before   they  began,   the   selected   senior  participants  were  asked  to  introduce  themselves  by  stating  their  name,  age,  place  of  origin  and  area  of  residence.    

 Teofilo  Morado,    63  years  old,  lives  in  Manggahan  Pasig  City,  was  here  in  Manila    

since  1973  Lucila  Monforte,  75  years  old,  originally  from  Iloilo,  lives  in  Donya  Imelda    

Quezon  City,  was  here  in  Manila  since  1963  Marina  Turibio,  78  years  old,  lives  in  Manggahan  Pasig  City  Antonio  Javier,  64  years  old,  originally  from  Antique,  lives  in  San  Mateo,  Rizal  Pedro  Cadab,  59  years  old,  original  from  Masbate,  lives  in  San  Mateo,  Rizal  

 After   the   introductions,  each  was  asked  to  share  and  describe  what  Metro  Manila  was  

when  they  first  arrived.      Lucila  recollected  Donya  Imelda,  Quezon  City  used  to  be  a  meadow.  When  she  arrived  in  

Metro  Manila,  she  fondly  recalled  participating  in  folk  dances  similar  to  the  ones  shown  in  the  opening  video.  She  has  been  a  community  volunteer  since  1984  but  it  was  only  during  

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Marina  Toribio,  78  yrs.  old,  resident  of  Brgy.  Manggahan,  Pasig  City  

Lucila  Monforte,  75  yrs  old,  resident  of  Brgy.  Doña  Imelda,  QC  

Teofilo  Morado,  63  yrs.old,  resident  of  Brgy.  Manggahan,  Pasig  City  

2007  or  2008  when  she  started  receiving  subsidy  for  the  community  work   she  does.   She   clearly   recalled   that   the  houses  built  back   then  were   all   nipa   huts   and   there   were   all   cottages.   There   were   no  buildings   and   the   entire   barangay   of   Donya   Imelda  was   grassland.  Their  area  was  so  rural  that  carabaos  and  children  bathe  in  the  area  where   their   houses   are   now   built.   Since   the   place   was   full   of   tall  cogon   grass,   it   was   also   notorious   as   dumping   ground   for   murder  victims.   She   noted   that   when   Kapitan   Liksi   became   the   barangay  captain,   the   place   gradually   improved   and   consequently,   informal  settlers  were   asked   to  move  out   from   the  place.  Meralco,   a   private  electric   power   distributor,   owned   the   place   where   they   currently  live.      

 Meanwhile,   Marina   shared   how   she   vividly   remembers   their   place   in   Pasig   City   as   a  

vegetable   field   located   near   the   river.   The   primary   livelihood   back   then   was   farming  although,   few   factories   such   as  United  Tobacco   already   existed.   The  men   back   then  were  mostly  divers  excavating  sand  from  under  the  river  and  then  sell   them  for  a   living.  Beside  

the   river,   was   a   vegetable   field.   Soon   after,   people   from  different   areas   started  migrating   to   their  place,  Manggahan,  and   occupied   the   place.   When   the   government   started   the  Manggahan   floodway   project,   more   buildings   and   factories  emerged   forcing  some  residents   to  move  out   from   the  area.  The   National   Housing   Authority,   awarded   some   of   the  government   lands   to   a   few   settlers,   but   those   who   had  nowhere  to  go  decided  to  group  together  to  get  a  share  of  the  land   they   settled   in.   Thirty-­‐six   (36)   square   meters   were  awarded  to  each  of  them  and  Marina’s  family  was  one  of  the  fortunate   beneficiaries.   She   also   shared   how   her   parents  struggled   just   to   get   them   to   finish   school.   Aling   Marina  currently  teaches  elementary  levels  1  and  2.    

 Tofin  shared  the  origin  of   the  term  paglusob  and  pagsalakay  (siege  and   invade)  by  the  

citizens   in   their   community   known   as   Ninoy   Aquino   Pilot   Community   (NAPICO).   He   also  told  the  story  of  how  their  place  in  Pasig  City  was  called  Manggahan.  In  1986,  there  was  a  group  of  men  drinking  alcohol  who  ran  out  of   “tapas”.  When  they  saw  the  vegetable   field,  they  harvested  some  of   the  vegetables  and  use  them  as   tapas.  They  took  advantage  of   the  fact   that   no   one   looked   after   the   vegetable  field   and   the   political   chaos   happening   back  them  and  divided  the  land  among  themselves.  They   used   straws   to   establish   boundaries.  After   a   few  weeks,   the   government   found  out  what  these  men  had  done  and  tried  to  reclaim  the  land  but  the  people  who  established  claims  stood   firm.  They   argued   that   they  needed   the  land   to   grow   vegetables,   hence   the   name  Tanimang  Bayan  (People’s  Field).  It  was  in  this  context   that   the   street   names   were   named  after   vegetables.   But   the   people   had   hidden  agenda  and  eventually  built  their  homes  in  the  people’s   field   supposedly   used   only   for  

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Antonio  Javier,  64  yrs.  old,  resident  of  San  Mateo,  Rizal  

Pedro  Cadab,  59  yrs.  old,  San  Mateo,  Rizal  

planting.  The  government   realizes   then   that   the  people  would  never   leave   the  place   so   in  partnership  with   the  National  Housing  Authority,   they  developed  housing  projects   for   the  people.  He  also  recalled  that  in  1973,  there  were  only  a  few  houses  along  Amang  Rodriguez  Avenue   but   plenty   of  Mango   trees,   thus   the   place  was   called  Manggahan  or  

Mango  Orchard.  He  also  remembered  that  during  the  rainy  season,   the   road   would   be   flooded   with   water   coming  from  the  river  and   the  nearby   field.  Eventually,  when  the  city  proper  developed  and  along  with  it  sources  of  income  and   livelihood  grew,  many  migrated   to  Manggahan.  Since  then,   people   started   flocking   in   Manggahan   until   houses  replaced  the  Mango  trees.    

 The   family  of  Antonio  or  Tonyo   lives  beside   the  river  

because  this  was  all  he  could  afford.  He  is  aware  that  they  live   in   a   danger   zone   area   but   they   cannot   do   anything  

about   it   because   their   income   is   not   enough   to   transfer   to   a   safer  place.   However,   he   never   loses   hope   and   he   believes  that   given   a   chance   they   could   still   improve   their  current  situation.  He  said  he  is  just  waiting  for  the  right  project   for   poor   people   like   him   who   live   in   danger  zones.  When  Dr.  Romero  came  to  their  place,  his  hopes  went   up.   He   said   he   felt   like   he   have   found   a   partner  who   understands   what   their   situation   and   what   they  are  going   through.  He  said  he  was   just  waiting   for   the  government  to  help  them.        

 Mang  Pedro   recollected  how  his  aunt  brought  him  

to  Manila  in  1970  as  her  helper.  Then  in  1974,  his  uncle  from  Masbate   came   to  Manila   and  made   him  work   as  construction  worker.   In   1985,   he   got   into  Ortigas   and  Company,   which   was   about   a   kilometer   away   walk  from  EDSA.  Because  of  this,  he  joined  the  People  Power  Revolution  as  a  bystander  hoping  to  see  positive  changes  in  the  Philippines.  It  was  in  Metro  Manila  where  he  started  a  family.  He  also  shared  his  own  family’s  experience  of  transferring  from  different  LGUs  and  renting  and  buying  off  land  from  a  fellow  informal  settler.      

 It   was   notable   how   the   community   members   regard   themselves   as   squatters   or  

informal  settlers.  When  asked  how  the  two  terms  differ  from  each  other,  they  all  agreed  that  the   term   informal   settler   was   just   a   glamorized   version   of   a   squatter.   They   defined  squatters  as  those  who  have  no  capacity  to  buy  (a  piece  of)   land  or  rent  a  house  that  they  build  their  own  homes  in  a  vacant  lot  not  rightfully  owned  by  them  where  they  can  dwell  for  free.   They   defined   squatters   as   people   found   in   a   place   with   no   order   or   a   disorganized  place,   living   in   an   illegally   built   shanty,   living   in   a   land   that   is   not   theirs   and   without  permission.  Informal  comes  from  the  fact  that  their  way  of  living  is  frequently  disturbed  by  being  asked  to  move  out.    

 The  participants  coming  from  the  informal  sector  also  have  varied  opinions  as  to  how  to  

deal   with   their   situation.   Some   say   it   depends   on   the   person   and   on   the   kind   of   local  government   they  are   in.  Some  are   fortunate   to  have  a   local  government  who  understands  their   situation   and   prioritizes   them   by   having   programs   and   projects   that   benefits   them.  

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Lucy  de  Guzman,  resident  of  Brgy.  Doña  Imelda,  Quezon  City  

There  are  those  who  believe  that  people  should  not  force  themselves  in  Metro  Manila  where  space   is   a   problem.   Some   even   said   that   they   should   not   rely   on   help   given   by   the  government   and   they   should   do   their   share   in   uplifting   their   status.   To   some   of   the  participants,   living   in   a   land   that   has   been   vacant   for   a   long   time   is   acceptable  while   for  those  living  in  danger  zones,  they  wanted  to  get  out  of  their  perilous  lifestyle.      

 Most   shared   the   opinion   that   despite   working   hard   to   improve   their   situation,   they  

could  only  do  so  much  and  most  of  the  time  their  resources  still  end  up  inadequate.  Most  of  them  strive  to  make  ends  meet  and  are  willing  to  adjust  or  work  with  the  demands  of  the  world  but  are  limited  by  their  capacity  to  pay.    

 They  all  yearned  to  be  given  a  right  to  own  or  settle  in  abandoned  and/or  empty  lots  in  

Metro  Manila.  A  few  of  their  wishes  include  a  generously  wealthy  person  buying  off  a  piece  land  to  be  distributed  to  them  or  build  a  housing  project  for  them.  Those  who  grew  up  in  the  place  where  they  currently  reside  would  not  want  to  be  transferred  to  another  place  so  they  suggested   a   tenement   to   be   built   for   them.   Some   just   wanted   a   secure   place   to   live  regardless  where   they  will   be   taken  but   some  also  do  not  want   to  be  moved   from  where  they   are   now.   They   do   not   want   a   high-­‐end   or  middle   class   residential   area,   but   just   an  orderly  place  to  settle  in.  All  of  them  were  also  willing  to  pay  rent  or  lease  as  long  as  they  will  be  placed  in  a  secure,  safe  a  location  and  a  guarantee  that  they  will  never  be  displaced.    

Talk  Show  Part  Two:  In  the  Eyes  of  the  Youth  

 The   second   part   of   the   show   started   with   an   audiovisual   presentation   showing   the  

transformation  of  Metro  Manila  from1940s  to  the  present.  This  time  the  younger  generation  raised   their   concerns   and   grievances   regarding   their   present   situation.   This   second   part  featured  the  selected  younger  generation  of  the  community  as  represented  by:    

 Lucy  de  Guzman,  resides  in  Donya  Imelda;    Myelene  Pagakpak,  18  years  old,  originally  from  Samar,  resides  in  Estero  de  San    

Miguel;    Nancy  Berion,  41  years  old,  born  in  Pasig  but  now  resides  in  Mandaluyong;    

Dennis  Policarpio,  40  years  old,  born  and  still  resides  in  Welfare  ville;  and      Quin  Cruz,  2nd  term  barangay  councilor  from  Manggahan  Pasig  City  

 To   start   the   discussion,   the   hosts   asked   the   participants   to  

describe  their  situation  in  their  current  place  of  residence.    Lucy  began  by  a  rundown  of  her  family’s  nomadic  lifestyle.  She  

grew  up   in   a   simple   family,   always   renting   and  moving   from  one  informal   settlement   to   another.   She  was   proud   that   despite   their  living  condition,  her  father  raised  her  and  her  six  siblings  well.  Her  main   issue  was   housing   and   she   is   wishing   that   the   government  would   include   people   like   them   in   their   priority   programs   and  

projects.  She  contends  that  the  government  should  have  great  consideration  on  them  when  deciding   what   to   do   with   large   parcels   of   land   that   they   own.   She   expressed   her   strong  objection  to  the  current  trend  that  instead  of  allocating  to  the  needy,  the  government  sells  

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Mylene  Pagakpak,  18  yrs.  old,  resident  of  Brgy.  Estero  de  San  Miguel  

Nancy  Berion,  41  yrs.old,  resident  of  Welfareville,  Brgy.  Addition  Hills,  Mandaluyong  City  

Quin  Cruz,  2nd  term  barangay  councilor  from  Manggahan  Pasig  City    

Quin  Cruz,  2nd  term  barangay  councilor  from  Manggahan  Pasig  City    

the  land  to  rich  people  and  earns  profit  from  it.  She  thinks  that  this  is   not   fair   for   them   who   could   not   even   afford   rent   in   a   decent  place.    

 Dennis  was  born  and  raised  in  the  place  he  currently  resides  in.  

He   remembered   that   Welfare   Ville   used  to   be   called   Boystown   and   it   being   free  from   houses.   Houses   started   to   emerge  when   it   became   a   relocation   site   for   fire  victims   until   informal   settlers   slowly  flocked   in.  Welfare   ville   is  a   property   of   the   local   government.  The   local   government   of  Mandaluyong  wanted  to  develop  welfare  ville  to  make  it  a  livable  place   for   its   current   residents.   The   residents   of   welfare   ville  owned  the  rights  to  the  land  however,  it  has  not  been  awarded  to  them  yet  because  it  still  has  to  go  through  a  bidding  process.    

 Myelene,   broke   down   to   tears   as   she   recalled  

why   her   family   moved   in   to   Metro   Manila   from  Samar.   She   narrated   that   after   she   lost   her   father,   her  mother  decided  to  move  to  Metro  Manila  to  start  anew.  She  told   the   interviewer   that   she’s   a   member   of   Philippine  Educational   Theater   Association   (PETA),   a   group   of  creative  and  critical   young  artist-­‐teacher-­‐cultural  workers  that   fosters   both   personal   fulfillment  

and   social   transformation. 5    According   to   her   their   group  aims  to  exhibit,  particularly  to  the  affluent  members  of  the  society  their   living   conditions   in   settlement   areas   and   conveyed   their  desire  to  own  a  house.    

 Nancy   belongs   to   the   few   groups   of   informal   settlers  with   an  

accommodating   local   government.   Their   LGU   plans   to   develop  their  current  location  to  accommodate  their  needs  and  committed  to  provide  money  to  build  them  a  new  home.      

 Councilor  Quin  said  that  the  main  problem  of  their  barangay  is  

the  lack  of  space.  Their  local  government  has  housing  projects  for  them  such  as  medium  rise  buildings   to  deal  with   the   space   issue  

but  in  his  opinion,  this  still  was  not  enough.  The  government  has  yet  to  address  their  other  needs.   They   still   have   problems   with   safety,   sanitation,   and   health.   He   wanted   the  government’s   planning   perspective   to   change   from   immediate   to   long-­‐term   to   consider  their  other  social  needs.      

 As   an   advocate   for   gender   and   development,   he   also   suggested   the   need   for   a  

revolutionary   training   that   would   change   the   mindset   of   the   people   from   the   local                                                                                                                            5  Source:  http://petatheater.com/about-­‐peta/  

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government  to  include  the  marginalized  and  vulnerable  sectors  in  gender  and  development  planning.    

 Dennis   stressed   the   importance   of   taking   Census6  seriously   so   the   government  would  

have  baseline   as   to  how  much   the  people   are  willing   and  able   to  pay   to  own  a  house.  He  believes  that  from  there,  the  government  would  be  able  to  develop  proper  housing  projects  that  the  poor  can  afford.    

Just  like  their  senior  counterparts,  the  much  younger  members  of  the  informal  settlers  community  were  also  willing  to  pay  for  their  homes  so  long  as  they  are  guaranteed  never  to  be   displaced   and   that   their   location   be   improved   according   to   their   needs.   Their   wishes  include  the  fulfillment  of  a  medium  rise  building  that  would  relocate  those   living   in   danger   zones.   This   fulfillment   includes   a   non-­‐politicized  process  of  selecting  the  beneficiaries  giving  precedence  to  those  who  have  been  residing  in  the  area  for  some  time.  Ultimately,  they  pushed  for  social  inclusion  in  government  decision  making  and  planning.    

Open  Forum    Question   of   a   LGU   employee,   CENRO   of   Pasig   City   to  

Councilor   Quin   Cruz:   In   what   sense   is   the   housing   project   of   the  local  government  for  the  informal  settlers  in  Pasig  not  enough?  Pasig  City   has   a   Local   Inter-­‐Agency   Committee   composed   of   NHA,   HUDC,   PCUB   and   the  Commission  on  Human  Rights  which  sought  to  address  the  problems  faced  by  the  informal  communities  near   the  river  and  other  areas   in  Pasig.  They   follow  a  process   that   listens   to  the  needs  of  the  communities.    

 Response   from   Councilor   Quin   Cruz:   Participation   forms   a   big   part   in   the   planning  

process.  He  mentioned  how  for  25  years  he  witnessed  the  barangay  assembly  changed  from  purely  participatory  to  being  pseudo  participatory  merely  done  in  compliance  to  the  DILG  mandate   without   a   proper   monitoring   mechanism   in   place.   Barangay   assembly   used   to  follow  a  parliamentary  procedure  providing  a  venue   for   free  discussion  where  people  can  freely  propose.  He   felt   that   there   is  a  need  to  apply   the   true  essence  of  participatory  with  proper  mechanisms  to  monitor  people’s  participation  in  place.    

 Captain   Filomena   Singko   shared   the   bottom   up   planning   approach   in   Estero   de   San  

Miguel.  She  agreed  that  true  people’s  participation  is  essential   in  planning  especially  since  based  on  experience,  most  form  of  participation  is  for  compliance  only  where  the  barangay  captain   will   select   among   the   members   of   the   community   who   will   sit   in   the   planning  process.   The   names   would   be   submitted   to   DILG   and   those   selected   would   receive   the  mandated   honoraria.   Dialogues   are   not   dialogue   in   the   truest   sense   of   the   word   instead  become   an   orientation   of   the   proposed   changes   or   plans.     Conversations   are   turned   into  orientation  as  to  where  the  community  will  be  taken  and  what  will  happen  to  them  without  even   consulting   them.   All   development   should   have   social   inclusion.   Informal   settlers  should   also   not   be   seen   as   an   eye   sore   but   rather   partners   in   development.   In   a   truly  participatory   setting,   informal   settlers   are   part   of   the   solution   seeking   process.   A   true  dialogue   should   listen   to   both   parties   and   look   at   solutions   that   are   amenable   to   both.  

                                                                                                                         6  From  Wikipedia:  A  census  is  the  procedure  of  systematically  acquiring  and  recording  

information  about  the  members  of  a  given  population.  source:  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Census  

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Consultation  with  informal  settlers  should  always  be  a  priority  by  the  government  and  they  should  be  given  a  chance  to  uplift  their  status  in  life.  They  expressed  their  right  to  live  in  the  city  along  with  everybody  else  and  not  be  treated  as  a  problem  of  the  society.          

 It  was  assured  that  efforts  of  the  government  to  improve  the  situation  of  the  community  

were   all   appreciated.   The   selected   respondents   shared   their   actual   experiences   in   their  respective  communities.  This  part  had  no  intention  to  criticize  or  identify  the  shortcomings  of   the   government.   The  main   issue   raised  was   the   sensitivity   of   the   things   that   are   being  constructed  for  the  poor  hence  their  clamor  for  a  more  participatory  planning  process.          

Synthesis  

DR.  SEGUNDO  ROMERO    Dr.  Romero  recognized  the  value  of  the  process  they  have  just  witnessed.  He  could  not  

stress  enough  the  value  of  listening  and  the  essence  of  participation.  The  message  of  having  an   available   technology   of   participation   was   clear   in   fact,   the   project   team   used   this  available  technology  in  the  five  study  areas.  The  data  the  project  team  collected  were  key  in  planning.   Since   the   government   and   the   community   have   different   focus,   with   the   latter  focusing   on   inputs   rather   than   outcomes,   the   data   collected   would   bring   both   focuses  together  and  fused  into  a  concrete  plan.  The  government  needs  to  apply  the  technology  of  listening  in  planning  to  consider  the  needs  and  thoughts  of  the  community  members.    

 It   is   ideal   and   correct   to   consult   with   the   community   before  making   any   decision   or  

before  pouring  out  resources  to  a  program  or  project.  A  form  of  consultation  that  asks  the  people   about   their   problems,   what   solutions   or   alternatives   they   see   and   which   among  those  alternatives  is  most  favorable  to  them.  Who  should  be  responsible  and  how  else  could  they  collaborate  to  come  up  with  a  perfect  solution.    

 Dr.   Romero   also   agreed   in   how   the   community  members   defined   their   state   of   being  

informal.   Informal  meant   having   a   disorderly   disposition   but   also   stressed   that   everyone  has   every   right   to   live   in   Metro   Manila.   The   question   was   who   could   fix   their   current  disposition?   The   community   members   expressed   their   willingness   to   share   with   the  responsibility  but  they  need  partners  because  as  is  they  have  no  capacity  to  bring  order  by  themselves.   He   commended   the   keenness   of   the  people   to   pay   and   share  with   the   responsibility.  But   this   enthusiasm   does   not   get   to   the  government   hence   the   reason   for  misunderstanding.    

 

Workshop  1:  Factors  That  are  Changing  The  Way  People  Live  In  Metro  Manila  

   This   workshop   required   the   participants   to  

find  within  themselves  the  drivers  for  change  in  Metro  Manila.  The  participants  were  asked,  what  they  thought  were  the  causes  or  reasons  for  Metro  Manila  to  change?  The  causes  may  be  positive  or  negative.  They  were  given  papers  to  write  as  many  answers  as  they  could  in  fifteen  minutes.   In   order   to  mingle  with   others,   they  were   directed   to  work   in   groups   of  

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three.  Some  examples  were  seen  at   the  board   including  Urbanization,  Hunger,  Energy  and  Security,  Reproductive  Health,  Water  Shortage,  Climate  Change,  Connectivity  etc.  They  were  not   limited   to   them  and  were   in   fact   asked   to   qualify   their   answers   e.g.   if   they   answered  population,  they  had  to  tell  whether  it  was  increasing  or  decreasing?    

 Once   done,   the   participants   were   asked   to   classify   their   answers   with   similar   ideas.  

Below  were  their  answers  classified  accordingly:    

Physical  

 Increasing  infrastructure  development    Inadequate  drainage  canals  catch  basins  MMDA/  DPWH  flood  control  masterplan  Place  of  entertainment  and  fun/  leisure    Housing  backlog  Extreme  traffic  due  to  rapid  increase  of  road  vehicles  Having  many  buildings  or  institutions    Place  to  study/  best  schools  located  (concentrated  in  Metro  Mania)  Insufficient  infrastructure  development  Poor  public  transportation  services  (inefficient,  poorly  maintained)    Shortage  in  MRT/  LRT    Vehicle  volume    Transportation  efficiency  Shortage  in  international  airports    Presence  of  universities  and  colleges  (education)    

Physical-­‐Environmental  

 Lack  of  green  and  walkable  spaces  Given  their  own  land  and  houses  at  low  rates    

Environmental  

Change  in  climate  and  flooding  in  Metro  Manila  Environmental  destruction/  Deteriorating  urban  ecosystem  of  Metro  Manila  Growing/  Chronic/  Worsening  disasters  (manmade  and  natural)    Sensitivity  to  environmental  concerns  Aggravating  air  pollution      Severe  air  pollution  Environmental  degradation  

Social    

 Rapid  Urbanization  –  growing  population  (migration/  organic  growth)  Migration  from  town  to  city  Delivery  of  good  service  to  sick  people  Broken  families  due  to  OFW  exports  Huge  contribution  of  media  –  both  print  and  TV  ads  High  crime  rates  

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Absence  of  discipline  of  citizens    Persuading  relatives  from  provinces  to  live  in  Metro  Manila    Shortage  in  education  Education  being  used  in  politics  Changes  in  the  field  of  education  –  higher  quality    Close  family  ties  and  support  system  Heightened  individualism  Lack  of  unity  between  rich  and  poor  Harmony  in  national  government    Respect  to  everyone’s  rights    Inadequate  medicines  (sickness)    Poverty  due  to  low  salary  Consolation  to  reduce  poverty  Behavior  of  the  youth    Insufficiency  on  food  and  children’s  vitamins  (nutrition)  Government  informal  settler  relocation  program    Aggravating  source  of  poverty  Value  of  communal  unity  lost    Higher  concentration  of  wealth  Availability  of  basic  services:  hospitals  Good  life  (perception  of  people  from  rural  towards  Metro  Manila)  More  benefits  for  senior  citizens  Increasing  number  of  women  heads  of  companies  More  foreigners  had  land  while  informal  settlers  still  had  no  place  to  live  in  Increasing  and  recurring  demolitions  Increased  technological  advancement    Social  media  and  online  platforms  for  citizen  advocacy  and  participation    Giving  voice  to  the  youth  

Economic    Aggravating  consumerism  Lack  or  loss  of  source  of  income  in  provinces  Presence  of  multinational  companies  (employment)  More  night  workers  (BPOs)  =  24  hour  economy  Entry  of  young  entrepreneurs    Change  in  prices  of  goods  Upgrading  lifestyle  OFW  influence  Presence  of  services  and  facilities  Wage  increase  Economic  policies  In  the  part  of  fisherfolks  in  Laguna  lake,  they  could  not  move  at  par  with  the         development  in  Metro  Manila  due  to  poor  implementation  of  RA  8550  Economic  development  Increasing  economic  opportunity  Increasing  modernization    Growing  rate  of  unemployment    Livelihood  programs  for  PWDs  (more  opportunities)  

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Advance  technology  (ICT,  medicine,  transportation)  Proliferation  of  internet  and  cellphone  Jobs  (easy  to  earn  money  in  Metro  Manila)  

Institutional  

 Severe  corruption  Mindset  and  priority  of  leaders  in  the  community  Access  to  information  and  participation  regarding  opportunities  Change  in  leadership  and  platform  of  government  Reduced  corruption    Recent  approval  of  legislative  measures  like  the  RH  Bill,  K-­‐12,  Sin  tax  Lack  of  political  will  Cooperation  of  government  and  community  Laws  favorable  to  informal  settlers    System  change    Elect  those  who  can  help  the  poor    Lack  of  enforcement  in  barangay  and  city  ordinances  Poor  implementation  of  laws/  policies  Politicians  using  the  urban  poor  Government  program  are  not  responding  to  the  needs  of  the  poor  Many  accessible  organizations    Seat  of  government  (centralization)  Laws  being  used  by  politicians  for  their  own  benefit  Good  purpose  

 

Workshop  2:  Highly  Important  and  Uncertain  Factors    

 After  identifying  and  classifying  the  drivers  for  change  in  Metro  Manila,  the  participants  

were  given  twenty  minutes  to  place  sticker  dots  on  drivers  that  they  felt  brought  the  most  moving  and  most  pervasive  change  in  Metro  Manila.    

 

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Ms.  Manlangit  facilitating  Workshop  1:  Factors  That  are  Changing  The  Way  People  Live  In  Metro  Manila.    

 

 There  were  some  participants  who  wanted   to  classify   their  answers  as   those  bringing  

positive   or   negative   changes.  However,  Mr.   Benjie   dela   Peña   tried   to   differentiate   change  from   a   problem,   soon   as   he   noticed   that   the   participants   were   confusing   change   with  problem.  He  said  that  change  could  be  good  or  bad  whereas  a  problem  is  never  a  good  thing.  The   participants   were   substituting   change   with   problem   when   in   fact   those   are   two  different  things.  A  problem  is  different  from  the  reason  for  change  e.g.  corruption  is  a  major  problem  but  not  a  reason  for  change.  Nothing  changes  because  there  is  corruption.  Despite  this,  the  participants  still  wanted  to  qualify  the  changes  into  positive  and  negative  change.  So  Ms.  Bercilla  agreed  for  the  participants  to  use  blue  sticker  dots  for  positive  changes  while  any  colored  dots  for  reasons  that  caused  negative  change.    

 

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Participants  being  critical  in  placing  sticker  dots  in  metacards  where  the  drivers  of  change  they  think  are  big  factors  in  changing  Metro  Manila  are  written.    

 

 After   twenty   minutes,   the   drivers   for   change   that   had   fifteen   stickers   or   more   were  

considered  the  highly  important  factors  of  change  in  Metro  Manila.  The  top  eleven  reasons  of  changes  in  Metro  Manila  were:    

 1. Quality  of  governance    

a. Political  dynasty  cost  of  poverty  b. Politics  main  source  of  poverty  

2. Effectiveness  of  urban  planning    a. Lack  of  urban  planning  

3. Quality  of  transport  system    a. Shortage  in  MRT/  LRT  

4. Rate  of  job  creation  a. Business  and  job  opportunities  in  Manila  

5. People’s  access  to  technology  (internet,  SMS,  etc)    a. Increased  technological  advancement    

6. Population  growth  due  to  migration    a. Migration  from  the  province  to  city    

7. Population  growth  due  to  reproduction    a. Rapid  urbanization  increase  in  population  (migration/  organic  growth)    

8. Crime  rate    a. High  crime  rates  

9. Supply  of  public  housing    a. Housing  backlog  

10. Rate  of  environmental  degradation  

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a. Environment  degradation  11. Adaptation  to  (natural)  hazards  

a. Change  in  climate  and  flood  in  Metro  Manila  

Comment   #1:   In   quality   of   governance,   there   should   be   a   joint   effort   between   the  government  and  the  community.  The  government  will  not  be  able  to  do  its  job  without  the  cooperation   of   the   citizens.   The   quality   of   governance   also   meant   having   public  participation   and   this   spells   the   difference   between   government   and   governance.  Governance  involved  the  people  and  stakeholders.    

 Comment  #2:   It  was   suggested   that   perhaps   population   growth  due   to   reproduction  

could  be  deleted  since  this  would  deal  greatly  with  the  RH  Bill  and  this  one  would  require  a  different  category  all  by  itself.  Some  issues  and  perceived  drivers  were  also  identified:    

 • There  are  many  different  levels  or  degree  of  

increase  in  population.  • Some  poor  families  have  more  than  seven  children    • There  is  high  rate  of  teenage  pregnancy  among  the  

poor    • Media  also  plays  a  big  role  in  these  issues  on  

population  increase  • Quality  of  education  is  also  one  of  the  main  reasons  

for  population  change  in  Metro  Manila.    

Workshop  3:  Potent  Combination  of  Drivers    

 In  planning,   it   is   crucial   to   find  out   the   indefinite.  This  workshop  aimed  at   identifying  

those  that  are  uncertain  in  the  future.  The  participants  were  asked  to  place  sticker  dots  on  the  first  column  if  they  thought  that  the  reason  for  change  in  Metro  Manila  would  certainly,  without  doubt  bring  change   in  Metro  Manila  and  place  sticker  on  the  third  column  if   that  reason  for  change  seems  precarious.  Below  is  a  tally  of  the  sticker  dots:    

 FUTURE  IS  CERTAIN  

TOP  DRIVERS  OF  CHANGE   FUTURE  IS  UNCERTAIN    

14   QUALITY  OF  GOVERNANCE     1  4   EFFECTIVENESS  OF  URBAN  PLANNING   11  1   QUALITY  OF  TRANSPORT  SYSTEM   3  10   RATE  OF  JOB  CREATION   2  8   PEOPLE’S  ACCESS  TO  TECHNOLOGY   1  7   POPULATION  GROWTH  DUE  TO  MIGRATION   0  11   POPULATION  GROWTH  DUE  TO  REPRODUCTION   9  4   CRIME  RATE   3  6   SUPPLY  OF  PUBLIC  HOUSING   1  5   RATE  OF  ENVIRONMENTAL  DEGRADATION   0  10   ADAPTATION  TO  NATURAL  HAZARDS   5  

 Ms.  Manlangit  asked   the  participants   to  explain  how  the  ratings  on   the  board  came  to  

be.      

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Population  growth  seemed  to  have  a  definite  future  because  of  the  RH  bill  while  a  few  thought  it  was  uncertain  because  of  the  resistance  from  the  Catholic  Church  in  terms  of  its  implementation.   But   the   key   to   making   the   future   of   this   reason   for   change   was   the  presence  of  a  policy.    

 Quality   of   governance   was   also   quite   certain   in   the   future   because   of   the   growing  

awareness  on   civic   engagement.   Social  Accountability   is   now  being  practiced   even  on   the  part  of  the  government  making  them  more  aware  and  supportive  of  anti-­‐corruption  efforts.  Therefore,  a  number  of  public  servants  now  use  their  heart  in  service  rather  than  just  their  pockets.  Other  dimensions  such  as  political  dynasty  also  affect  the  quality  of  governance.    

 A  connection  could  not  be  established  between  the  quality  of  governance  which  was  full  

of  certainty  with  the  effectiveness  in  urban  planning  whose  future  seemed  to  be  uncertain.  The   inconsistency  was  perceived   to  come   from  the  government  putting   focus  on  planning  for  their  city  but  not  the  entire  Metro  Manila  thus  the  continuity  and  sustainability  of  urban  planning  depends  on  the  one  in  power.    Some  said  that  urban  planning  was  synonymous  to  disaster  risk  reduction  and  mitigation  for  LGUs.  In  was  in  this  context  that  the  adaptation  to  natural  hazards  turned  out  to  have  a  definite  future  for  the  participants.  The  disconnect  lies  in  the  fact  that  hazards  in  Metro  Manila  are  all  man  made  and  not  due  to  a  changing  climate.    

 Someone  observed  that  all   the  reasons   for  change   in  Metro  Manila  were  connected.   In  

fact,  everything  could  be  found  in  the  comprehensive  land  use  plan  and  zoning  ordinances  of  the  LGUs.  Therefore,  if  urban  planning  was  deemed  effective,  it  means  everything  must  be  in  order.  Once  again,  the  process  of  participatory  planning  wherein  stakeholders  are  part  of  the   process   was   raised   as   an   important   point   or   the   overall   argument.   Adaptation   to  hazards   could   be   found   in   mainstreaming   disaster   risk   reduction   and   climate   change  adaptation  measures  of  the  local  government.    

 Dr.  Romero  said  that  all  the  top  reasons  for  change  in  Metro  Manila  have  great  and  vast  

effects.   In  his   interpretation  of   the  exercise,   fourteen  out  of   fifteen  were  certain  about   the  future   for   quality   of   governance   but   whether   that   change   was   positive   or   negative,   they  would  not  know,  it  just  simply  meant  that  people  were  sure  about  its  future.  The  result  also  stated  that  urban  planning  was  always  futile  regardless  of  the  kind  of  government.    

 What   they   wanted   to   get   from   the   exercise   was   to   know   which   among   the   top   11  

reasons   for   change   in   Metro   Manila   have   a   dubious   future.   The   two   drivers   with   most  uncertain  but  important  future  would  be  combined  to  get  the  best  vision  or  scenario.    They  wanted  to  look  at  the  unknown  to  be  able  to  make  different  scenarios  that  they  could  use  in  planning.  Dr.  Romero  warned  everyone   to  be  careful   in  choosing   the  right  combination  of  drivers  otherwise  the  scenarios  would  appear  drab.  The  default  was  to  choose  the  top  two  drivers  with  the  highest  uncertainty  rating.  Below  were  the  proposed  combinations:    

 • Effectiveness  of  urban  planning  and  population  growth  due  to  reproduction  was  

the  default  combination  winner  according  to  the  tally  board.  • Effectiveness   of   urban   planning   and   adaptation   of   hazards   was   a   possible  

combination  because  of   their   connection.   If  urban  planning  was  effective,   then  there  would  be  no  more  floods  or  there  would  be  good  flood  mitigation  projects.  But  Mr.  dela  Peña  did  not  quite  agree  with  this  combination.  He  felt  that  this  one  was  not  a  possible  combination  because   there  would  be  a  quadrant   that  won’t  likely  happen.  i.e.  urban  planning  is  effective  but  the  area  an  the  people  are  not  

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prepared  in  hazards.  Unless  the  measurement  of  effectiveness  in  urban  planning  has  nothing  to  do  with  hazards,  this  scenario  is  not  viable.    

• Effectiveness  of  urban  planning  and  development  and  population  growth  (due  to  reproduction).  Since  all  seems  to  be  related  to  each  other,  some  of  the  reasons  were  merged   under   a   single   heading.   Effectiveness   of   urban   planning  and   development   included   adaptation   to   hazards,   quality   of   transport   system,  supply   for   public   housing,   rate   of   job   creation,   and   rate   of   environmental  degradation.   Participants   were   a   bit   hesitant   to   add   development   because  development  for  them  signifies  the  government  dictating  development  plans  to  people   and   people   not   being   included   in   the   planning   and   solution   seeking  process.  The  word  had  a  negative  connotation  for  them  that  meant  government  plans  alone.  The  people’s  measure   for  effectiveness  of  urban  planning  was   the  element   of   participation.   Removal   of   “due   to   reproduction”   from   population  growth   was   proposed   because   population   increase   has   many   causes   not   just  reproduction  i.e.  day  time  population,  natural,  migration  etc.    

There  was   a   question   as   to  why   limit   the   driver   to   two  when   all   seems   to   be   potent  driver  of  change  in  Metro  Manila  and  everything  seems  to  be  connected.  Ms.  Bercilla  opened  the  floor  for  everyone  to  vote,   if   they  decide  to  work  on  all  eleven  reasons,   they  would  be  developing  121  scenarios   the   following  day.  Hearing  about   this   the  participants  agreed   to  have  only  two.        

Summary  and  Integration    

DR.  SEGUNDO  ROMERO    Dr.  Romero  was  happy  that  the  participants  were  able  to  create  and  identify  a  powerful  

combination.  The  following  day  these  two  combinations  would  be  placed  into  a  matrix  that  the  participants  would  create  stories  from.    

 He  was  proud  that  they  have  accomplished  a  lot  in  this  day.  A  great  milestone  for  Metro  

Manila  was  the  post  World  War  II  era,  as  it  became  the  second  most  devastated  city  in  the  world.  He  commended  that  despite  the  post  World  War  II  era,  many  still  saw  the  light  and  goodness   of   this   event.   He   also   said   that   it   usually   takes   two   most   important   factors   to  analyze  and  to  put  more  focus  and  direction  in  planning.        

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Mr.  Cordova  giving  a  recap  on  the  day  1  workshop.  

 

Inclusive  Futures  Mapping  Day  2  

6  MARCH  2013  

Recap  

MR.   JAY-­‐R  CORDOVA  Research  Associate  

 Mr.   Cordova   started   the   second   day   by   reading   an   event   release   on   event  

documentation.      This  event  may  be  recorded  by  photograph,  audio  and  video  devices.  Your  presence  indicates  your   consent   to   the   use   of   your   name,   likeness   and   voice   in   any   such   recordings   by   the  Rockefeller  Foundation  and  its  licensees  in  any  media  in  perpetuity.      After  Ms.  Bercilla  led  an  energizing  prayer,  Mr.  Cordova  gave  a  comprehensive  recap  of  

what  transpired  the  day  before.      Yesterday’s  program  formally  started  with  registration  at  8:30  am  then  at  9:00  am,  the  

program   began   by   opening   remarks  from   Dr.   Antonio   La   Viña   and   an  inspirational   message   from   the   Ateneo  de  Manila   University   President,   Fr.   Jett  Villarin.   Both   of   them   recognized   the  important   need   for   planning   towards   a  better   Metro   Manila.   They   both  admitted   that   looking   as   far   ahead   as  2040   is  a  big  challenge  especially   if   the  planners   are   not   equipped   with   ideas  about  the  future  but  they  also  both  said  that  planning  could  be  done.  If  planning,  dreaming,   and   execution   for  themselves,  community  and  the  country  are   done   together,   it   could   be   done.  

They  also  said   it   is  good  to  examine  one’s  role  or  part   in  the  fulfillment  of  the  plans  along  with  their  individual  responsibility  for  one  another  and  the  country.    

 This  was  followed  by  an  introduction  of  the  members  of  the  Project  Steering  Committee  

and  the  project  team.  The  organizers  of  this  workshop  were  delighted  to  note  that  50%  of  the   participation   came   from   the   community,   15%   from   both   the   national   and   local  government  and  the  remaining  25%  was  from  the  private  sector,  media,  NGOs  and  CSOs.    

   A   briefing   about   the   informal   city   dialogue   project   of   Ateneo   School   of   Government’s  

Assistant   Dean,   Dr.   Mary   Jean   Caleda,   shortly   followed   the   introductions.   She   showed   a  teaser   video   about   the   Forum   For   The   Future’s   informal   city   dialogues.   After   the   photo  

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session   and   break,   team  up   of   Jec   and  Danes   followed   soon   after.   Their   segment   entitled  Metro  Manila:  Then  and  Now  featured  a  video  documentary  on  the  Pearl  of   the  Orient  set  during  the  early  1900s.    An  interview  with  the  elderly  who  were  here  in  Metro  Manila  three  or  four  generations  ago  shortly  followed  the  video  presentation.  Then  another  short  video  showing  how  Metro  Manila  evolved  from  the  1940s,  during  Wolrd  War  II,  until  the  present  seen   followed  by  a  discussion   featuring   the  younger  generation.  Some  of   the  highlights  of  this  segment  include  finding  out  that  a  huge  percent  of  the  population  in  Metro  Manila  are  migrants  from  various  places  in  Luzon,  Visayas  and  Mindanao.  There  were  not  many  high-­‐rise  buildings  back  then  and  most  were  agricultural  land  although  there  were  a  few  budding  central  business  districts  and  industrial  areas  in  some  areas.  Some  said  that  they  reside  in  danger  zones  because  that  was  all   they  could  afford.  The  profound  understanding  of  what  being  informal  means  was  evident  in  the  interviews.  They  all  wished  to  convey  the  message  that  they  all  have  a  significant  role  in  the  society.  Most  are  volunteers  but  a  big  percentage  belong  to  the  social  service  sector  while  some,   including  some  of  the  elderly,  work  for  the  formal  industry  sector.  

 The  participants  presented  their  desires  in  their  present  situation.  They  wanted  to  have  

their   own   house   and   established   that   they   have   the   capacity   to   pay.   They   also   strongly  implied   that   in   plans   to   provide   housing   projects   for   them,   it   should   be   in   line   with   the  people’s  plan  or  actual  needs.  There  should  be  elements  of  livelihood  and  be  seen  as  holistic  and  with  proper   system   in   place.   They   also   strongly   argue   that   government   plans   should  prioritize  the  poor  and  marginalized  and  not  mainly  focused  on  gaining  profit.    

 They  also  recognized  that  they    have  problems  within  their  sector.  There  are  those  who  

sell  and  rent  out  rights  of   lands  that  are  not  rightfully   theirs.  In  planning,   they  recognized  the  crucial  role  of  the  Census  or  such  surveys  in  government  decision  making  to  know  the  capacity  of  the  informal  settlers  to  pay  for  housing.  They  also  saw  the  important  role  of  arts  such  as  PETA  in  highlighting  their  importance  in  the  society  and  the  possible  things  that  can  be  done  for  them  in  their  respective  areas.      

 It  was  also  noted  that   there  were  government  offices  both   from  the  national  and   local  

who   plan   to   develop   their   current   place,   as   in   the   case   of   Mandaluyong   who   granted  informal  settlers  additional  funds  to  build  homes  and  provide  services  for  the  poor.    

 Some  of  the  pressing  points  raised  were  the  need  to  have  social  inclusivity  in  planning  

and   for   the  process   to  be  participatory.  Questions  on  what   is   the  proper  planning  process  and  project  implementation?  What  is  the  right  mechanism  for  participation?  Were  brought  up  because  they  saw  that  there  were  many  different  levels  of  participation  and  technologies  available  for  use.  It  is  crucial  to  see  what  is  the  correct  combination  technology  of  listening  and  participation?  and  how  does  one  monitor  the  level  of  participation?    

 They   also   made   it   clear   that   informal   settlers   should   not   be   seen   as   an   eyesore   but  

rather  partners  in  development.  They  should  always  be  included  in  the  decision-­‐making  and  solution   seeking   process   and  must   be   given   a   chance   to   achieve   their   desires   to   improve  their  situation  in   life.  Gender  and  Development  issues  and  the  corresponding  perspectives  were  also  raised  as  an  important  factor  in  development.    

 Workshop   one,   mentioned   the   reasons   for   change   in   Metro   Manila.   What   were   the  

perspectives   of   the   drivers   for   change?   There   were   more   than   80   drivers   of   change  identified,   selected,   and  categorized   into  different   themes:  physical,   environmental,   social,  

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economic  and   institutional.  The  participants  were  given  a   chance   to   choose  which  among  these  drivers  have  the  most  effects    (positive  or  negative)  in  Metro  Manila  by  using  sticker  dots.  The  participants  were  able   to   identify   top  11  reasons  and  ranked   them  according   to  those  which  were   certain   or   uncertain   in   the   future.   There  was   a   discussion   as   to  which  among   the   top   reasons   were   the   perfect   combinations   of   drivers   for   change   required   to  build   a   resilient   future.   Only   those   which   future   is   unpredictable   or   uncertain   were  considered.   The   top   three   reasons   with   uncertain   future   were   lack   of   urban   planning,  population   growth   due   to   reproduction,   and   adaptation   to   natural   hazards.   But   since   all  agreed   that   most   of   the   hazards   in   Metro   Manila   were   man   made,   they   opted   to   delete  “natural”  in  hazards.  Urban  planning  is  a  vast  concept  that  starts  from  planning  up  to  actual  planning  and  development.  Lack  of  urban  planning  was  defined  vis-­‐à-­‐vis  the  other  reasons  for   change.   Thus,   development  was   added   to   include   adaptation   to   hazards,   job   creation,  quality   of   transportation   system,   supply   of   public   housing   and   rate   of   environmental  degradation.   Since   population   growth  has  many   aspects,   they   decided   to  make   it   generic.  The  combination  would  be  used   to  build  scenarios  of   the   future.   In   the  end,   lack  of  urban  planning  and  development  and  population  growth  were  seen  as  the  two  most  vital  drivers  for  change.    

 Before  moving  on   to  workshop   four,  Mr.   Cordova   asked   the  new   comers   to   introduce  

themselves.   Then   he   showed   another   short   video   that   illustrates   how   the   5   community  areas   in  Metro  Manila   got   to   the  workshop.   They   followed   a   dialogue   system   that   used   a  timeline   to   show  what   the   communities   see   in   the   future.  The  dialogues  highlighted  what  resources  do  they  have  in  their  respective  communities?  They  identified  available  facilities,  basic  services,  and  what  affects  their  living.  What  is  their  state  of  living?  What  do  they  see  in  their   communities   that   need   to   be   changed?   There   were   a   lot   of   factors   identified.   They  were  also  asked  who  they  thought  could  help  them  and  what  were  the  barriers  for  change  to  happen  in  their  communities.  This  process  showed  a  glimpse  of  their  means  of  living  and  the   aspects   in   community   planning   that   involves   themselves,   their   families,   barangays,  LGUs,  and  the  entire  Metro  Manila.    

Reflections  from  the  Participants  

 Melchor   from  Laguna:  There  was  a  pretty  good  discussion  the  surfaced  the  issues  and  

problem.  The  process  pointed  out  was  correct  to  include  the  poor  and  marginalized  sector  in   planning.   If   the   poor   do   not   speak   about   their   experiences   in   their   respective  communities,  they  would  not  be  able  to  reflect  on  what  needs  to  be  done.    

 Rosal,  from  Rizal  Laguna:  The  issues  were  expounded  and  visualized  especially  on  how  

they   see   2040.   They   also   saw   their   individual   contribution   and   the   barriers   toward   their  vision   of  Metro  Manila   in   2040.   Choosing   only   two   drivers   for   change  was   a   difficult   but  important  process.  

 Filomena,  form  Estero  De  San  Miguel  Manila:  This  was  a  very  good  opportunity  to  hear  

our   side,   the   NGO   and   the   government.   They   had   good   discussion   yesterday   as   she   saw  openness   from  all   sides.   She  would  have  wished   to  have   their   respective  LGUs  present   to  see  and  hear  the  point  of  view  of  the  poor  and  for  the  LGUs  to  air  their  side  as  well.  They  perceived  LGUs  as  barriers  of  change  so   it  was   important   for  them  that  the  LGUs   listen  to  what   the   poor   had   to   say.   She   urged   the   organizers   to   invite   the   LGUs   in   the   succeeding  workshops.    

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 Danilo,   from   UPAO-­‐QC:   The   discussion   yesterday   was   greatly   appreciated.   They  

realized   that   the  LGUs  should  not  dictate   their  development  plans  and  maximum  people’s  participation   should   be   exercised.   Generally   the   government   says   that   their   plans   are  appropriate   for   the  communities  but  hearing   the  experiences  of   the  community  yesterday  proved  that  they  were  not  appropriate  all.  Participation  is  his  advocacy  because  he  belongs  to  the  same  sector  and  was  blessed  to  work  with  the  government.  A  participatory  process  of  dialogue  was  done  yesterday  and  he  hoped  that  something  good  would  come  out  from  this.    

 Tina,  from  MMDA:  Their  agency  may  not  always  be  visible  for  the  poor  but  she  assured  

them   that   their   hearts   are   there   in   planning   for   them   as   evident   apparent   by   their  representation   in   this  workshop.  She  considered   it   very   important   to  hear   the   inputs  and  insights   of   the   poor   and   marginalized   sector.   They   learned   a   lot   from   the   communities  yesterday   and   felt   that   their   language   should   all   be   translated   into   planning   for   Metro  Manila.  They  assured  to  get  and  keep  the  LGUs  involved  by  relaying  all  the  information  they  got  from  this  workshop  to  them.  She  was  impressed  by  the  different  kind  of  dialogue  used  yesterday,   it  was   lively,  not   like  what   they  have  done   in   the  past  or  any  she  has  seen.  She  looks  forward  to  a  productive  conclusion  of  some  concrete  measures  that  could  be  focused  and   used   as   input   to   USAID,   HUDC,   AusAid   projects.   They   have   gotten   plenty   of   insights  from   the   communities   and  mentioned   that   they   have   a   number   of   projects  waiting   to   be  implemented.    

 Rey,  from  MMDA:  He  saw  the  importance  of  listening  in  order  to  understand  the  issues  

well.      Lucy,   from   Donya   Imelda:   She   liked   the   discussion   yesterday   but   felt   a   little  

apprehensive  about  it.  She  knew  about  similar  dialogues  but  nothing  happened  to  the  issues  they  aired.  She   felt   that  participation  was   the  right  process   in   terms  of   reflecting  on  what  needs  to  be  done  for  the  community.    

 Norby:   He  was   thankful   that   the   youth  were   given   an   opportunity   to   participate   in   a  

dialogue  that  was  open  for  everybody  to  give  his  or  her  opinion  about  things  that  can  help  develop   the   society.   He   realized   that   the   environment   and   people   are   the   two   most  important  factors  in  development.  All  kinds  of  development  should  respect  the  environment  and  people.   The   people  would   benefit   from   these   developments   and   the   youth,   being   the  next   generation   should   be   involved   in   the   process.   Also   everyone   should   have   regard   for  environment   because  whatever   kind   of   development,   if   there   is   no   consideration   for   the  environment  would  get  nowhere.      

 Quin   Cruz,   from   Pasig   City:   He   saw   the   importance   of   sensitivity   with   each   other  

regardless   of   the   sector   they   belong.   The   discussion   yesterday  made   them   felt   that   they  were   all   equal   in   terms   of   the   state   in   society   and   educational   attainment.   In   an   open  dialogue,   this   sensitivity   to   others   is   key   to   getting   good   results   and   in   seeing   the  ingredients  for  an  effective  plan.    

Workshop  4:  Building  the  Scenarios  

 Dr.   Romero   gave   a   workshop   overview.   This   2-­‐day  workshop   looked   at   the   shape   of  

Metro  Manila  in  the  future.  After  this,  another  workshop  is  lined  up  to  come  up  with  a  plan  

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Dr.  Romero  explaining  to  the  participants  how  the  Futures  Wheel  works.  

that   could   be   funded   by   the   Rockefeller  Foundation.   He   gave   the   participants   an  assurance   that   all   their   efforts   for   this  workshop   would   be   put   into   good   use.   As  mentioned   yesterday,   the   Rockefeller  Foundation   would   share   $1   million   to   six  cities   including   Metro   Manila   so   everyone  was  encouraged  to  partner  with  the  Ateneo  School   of  Government   and  help   each  other  to   get   a   share   of   the   grant.   This  workshop  aims  to  outline  what  they  intend  to  do.    

 Yesterday,   the   participants   voiced   out  

their  desire  to  improve  their   lives  in  Metro  Manila.  They  have  identified  rate  of  population  growth  from  migration  and  natural  change  and  effectiveness  of  urban  planning  and  development  as  the  two  most  important  factors  in  changing  Metro  Manila.  So  for  this  fourth  part  of  the  workshop,  the  participants  were  asked  to   look   at   population   in   Metro   Manila,   which   has   been   increasing   meaning   people  constantly,   flock   to   Metro   Manila.   Data   showed   that   in   1990   Metro   Manila   population  shared  only   .9%  of   the   total  Philippine  population  but  now   the  percentage   share   grew   to  more  than  30%.  

 A  matrix  of   the   two   identified  drivers,   seen  below  was  presented.   In   this  matrix,  both  

factors  have  high  and  low  setting  and  when  cross-­‐tabulated,  created  four  unique  scenarios.      

Driver  2:  Effectiveness  of  

Urban  Planning  and  Development  

  Driver  1:  Population  Growth     Low   High  

High  

Scenario  1:  SLOW  growth  of  population  and  EFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development  

Scenario  2:  RAPID  growth  of  population  and  EFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development  

Low  

Scenario  3:  SLOW  growth  of  population  and  INEFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development  

Scenario  4:  RAPID  growth  of  population  and  INEFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development  

 At  this  point,  Dr.  Romero  instructed  for  the  participants  to  group  themselves  according  

to  where   they  were   seated   and   give   names   to   the   scenario   assigned   to   them.   To  make   it  more   creative,   they  were  asked     to  name   their   groups  using  a   title  of   a  movie  or   a   song   .  Afterwards,   participants   were   asked   to   construct   various   circumstances   across   different  horizons.  What  would  be  the  everyday  story  of  their  particular  scenario?  Once  they  agreed  with  the  face,  icons  and  characterization  of  their  scenarios,  they  were  instructed  to  make  a  futures   wheel   where   they   could   brainstorm,   put   their   scenario   at   the   center   and   ask  themselves  what   are   the   implications   if   that  was   the   scenario   in  Metro  Manila.     The   first  arrows  from  the  center  represented  the  first  levels  of  impact.  After  seeing  the  connection  or  the  relationship  of  each  circumstance  to  one  another,  they  were  instructed  to  determine  the  timeline  of  events:  2021  –  2030  and  2030  –  2040.    

 For  25  minutes,   the   four  groups  were  asked   to  brainstorm  on   the   following  questions  

(1)  what  they  thought  is  normally  happening  in  the  city  under  their  respective  scenario;  (2)  

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What   kind   of   society   would   there   be?;   (3)   What   would   be   the   norm?.   Afterwhich,   for   7  minutes,   they   were   asked   to   think   about   the   extreme   circumstances   and   other   possible  circumstance  that  they  might  have  missed  out.    

Workshop  Outputs:  Building  the  Scenarios  

 

Scenario  4:  “Run  Samson  Run”  

RAPID  growth  of  population  and  INEFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development      

Facilitator:  Jay-­‐R  Cordova  Presenter:  Quin  Cruz  and  Melchor  Majano    

 NORMALLY  HAPPENING  

EXTREME  CIRCUMSTANCE   OTHER  POSSIBLE  CIRCUMSTANCE  POSITIVE   NEGATIVE  

Filthy  informal  settler  families  

More  manpower  and  human  resources  -­‐  opportunities  to  invest  in  human  resource,  volunteer  or  skilled  

Anarchy  -­‐  no  government  control  over  the  country  

Climate  change  

-­‐ People  (not  ready)  high  casualty/high  risk  

-­‐ Environment  -­‐ Structures-­‐  mass  

destruction  No  more  public  open  spaces  

Intervention  of  international  community    

No  development   Ghost  Town  -­‐ Out  migration  (brain  

drain)  Overloaded  public  utilities  

Stronger  grassroots/  community  initiatives  -­‐  community  empowerment    

No  food   Value  System  -­‐ Moral  degradation  

(people  have  no  idea  of  what's  right  or  what's  wrong)  

-­‐ Defiant  behavior    Inadequate  basic  services  (housing,  health/  medicines)  

Challenge  in  governance  and  policy  (drive  for  government  to  do  more)    

Brutal  police  enforcement  

Vulnerability  to  mental  and  psychological  disorder  

High  unemployment    

New  capital  -­‐  a  new  city  to  start  anew    

  Pagbaba  ng  land  value    

Food  shortage       Deflation  -­‐ Decrease  in  prices  of  

goods  due  to  competition  effect  

-­‐ Low  salary    Many  are  sick  (eg.  infectious  diseases)  

    Businesses  move  to  another  place  

Poor  solid  waste         Increase  of  informal  

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NORMALLY  HAPPENING  

EXTREME  CIRCUMSTANCE   OTHER  POSSIBLE  CIRCUMSTANCE  POSITIVE   NEGATIVE  

management   businesses  Worse  pollution  -­‐  water  and  air  

    Poor  quality  of  education    -­‐ High  drop-­‐out  rate  

Serious  high  crime  rate  and  drug    

    Increase  of  substandard  buildings  

Rising  prostitution  (STDs)    

     

Inadequate  education  (school  and  teachers  

     

Overcrowded  character  of  neighborhoods  

     

Traffic          High  vulnerability  to  disaster  

     

Lack  of  capacity  in  planning    

     

Ineffective  drainage  at  sewerage  system  

     

Unpleasant,  hot,  tight,  dirty  

     

Brownout        The  youth  are  rude          Surplus  labor        

 

Scenario  3:  “Maghintay  ka  Lamang”  

SLOW  growth  of  population  and  INEFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development      Facilitator:  Ms.  Criselda  Doble  Presenter:  Jobe  dela  Torre    NORMALLY  HAPPENING  

EXTREME  SITUATIONS   OTHER  POSSIBLE  SITUATIONS  POSITIVE   NEGATIVE  

Less  young  people  and  more  senior    

Satisfied  with  way  of  life  

Long-­‐term  planning  not  required  because  there  will  not  be  much  problem  (day-­‐to-­‐day  way  of  life)  no  complaints,  indifferent  

Less  Filipinos,  more  foreign  migrants    

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NORMALLY  HAPPENING  

EXTREME  SITUATIONS   OTHER  POSSIBLE  SITUATIONS  POSITIVE   NEGATIVE  

People  makes  plans  and  not  the  government    

Metro  Manila  would  be  like  what  is  was  during  the  1960s-­‐1960s  (laid-­‐back)  

  Aging  population  -­‐  outsource  labor  

Many  are  unemployed  (PWDs)    

Because  there  is  no  space  problem,  easy  relocation  when  flooding  comes  

  Businesses  will  be  controlled  by  foreign  investors  (profit/  money  will  be  brought  out  of  the  country)  

Older  (aged)  labor  force    

    Diminishing  race,  aging  population,  vulnerable  to  impact  of  climate  change  

More  working,  less  studying  

    Emphasis  on  geriatric  medicine  

Many  calamities  because  of  poor  urban  planning    

    More  “home  for  the  aged”  

Less  hazard  victims,  faster  rescue  operations  

     

Slow  business          No  transport  system  (ineffective)  

     

Many  still  live  in  esteros  

     

People  are  happy          Wider  roads,  more  urban  spaces  

     

More  will  benefit  to  the  little  assistance  (housing)  

     

Low  crime  rate          Effectiveness  of  urban  planning  and  development  is  not  important  to  the  people  

     

People  are  patient  and  contented  

     

More  responsive  to  the  needs  of  the  people    

     

More  opportunity  for  children  to  study  in  public  schools  

     

Orderly  environment          

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Scenario  2:  “Hawak  Kamay”  

RAPID  growth  of  population  and  EFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development    

Facilitator:  Dr.  Danielle  Guillen  Presenters:  Jaime  Evangelita  and  Rosal  Italia  

 NORMALLY  HAPPENING  

EXTREME  SITUATIONS   OTHER  POSSIBLE  SITUATIONS  POSITIVE   NEGATIVE  

Well  developed,  well  coordinated,  orderly,  abundant,  clean  and  no  traffic    

Abundant  of  food  supply  

Collapse  of  building  due  to  earthquake  

Problematic  agriculture    

Bring  back  EDSA  experience    

More  jobs   Over  populated     "robotized"/  high  tech    

Orderly  IFS   Happy  family     Gadgets  and  technology  forbids  people  to  talk    

Longer  lifespan    

Plenty  of  opportunities  

No  more  beggars     All  diseases  are  curable    

  No  more  ISF     Exacerbating  climate  change  

Physical   Reduction  of  crime  rate  (0%)  

  No  more  gasoline    

Well  developed     Ethical  politician     Development  of  gadgets  Orderly    condition  of  ISF  (formalized  system)    

No  more  corrupt     “Juan”  is  no  longer  lazy  

No  more  demolition    

All  the  children  are  in  school    

  Sustainable  energy  source  (solar)  

There  will  still  be  flood  but  the  city  is  well  prepared    

No  more  street  children  

   

Well-­‐developed  flood  control  system  and  community  resiliency  system  

No  more  out  of  school  youth    

   

  High  level  of  awareness  (gender  sensitivity)  

   

  No  one  is  poor      Social     Laws  are  

implemented  in  an  orderly  manner  

   

Generally  peaceful     Level  up  sector  organization  

   

Well-­‐educated          Recreational        

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NORMALLY  HAPPENING  

EXTREME  SITUATIONS   OTHER  POSSIBLE  SITUATIONS  POSITIVE   NEGATIVE  

centers  Accessibility  of  basic  services  

     

Disciplined  citizens                Economic        Livelihood  training  centers  (eg.  baristas)  

     

 

Scenario  1:  “Kanlungan”  

SLOW  growth  of  population  and  EFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development    

Facilitator:  Aurma  Manlangit  Presenter:  Tofin  

 NORMALLY  HAPPENING  

EXTREME  SITUATIONS   OTHER  POSSIBLE  SITUATIONS  POSITIVE   NEGATIVE  

Prosperous  communities  (complete  facilities,  organized  transportation  system,  healthy  population)  

Progressive,  peaceful,  quiet  communities    

Aging  population   Because  of  slow  population  rate,  there  will  be  more  foreigners    

No  more  ISF   No  more  crimes   Loss  of  able  government  leaders    

Reduced  manual  labor  because  of  advanced  technology  –  will  have  health  implications  

Housing  available   No  one  will  be  hungry  

Low  manual  labor  force  

More  professionals  (engineers,  scientist,  etc),  improved  wages  

Clean  environment   All  the  sick  will  be  attended  to  

  No  more  OFW,  more  employment  opportunities  

Presence  of  health  centers  with  labor  services    

Government  can  provide  for  all  basic  services,  budget  will    be  enough    

  No  more  ISF  –  everyone  will  be  home  owners    

Efficient  transportation  

Access  to  health  by  all  types  of  patient  (PWDs)  

  More  leisure  time  

Ready  for  disaster       Faster  development  because  of  fewer  population    

Clean  air  (no       Because  aging  

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NORMALLY  HAPPENING  

EXTREME  SITUATIONS   OTHER  POSSIBLE  SITUATIONS  POSITIVE   NEGATIVE  

pollution)     population,  care  giving  services  would  increase  

Zero  waste  (mountains  of  garbage)    

    More  parks,  more  space  for  "green"  projects  

Waste  segregation       Lesser  budget  for  peace  order  services  

Jobs  are  available         No  traffic  congestion    Less  crime  (eg.  drugs,  prostitution,  gambling)  

    More  family  quality  time  

Faster  and  orderly  delivery  of  basic  services  (eg.  completehealth  facilities)  

     

Easier  and  more  participative  dialogue  

     

Good  quality  education  for  everyone  (eg.  SPED)  more  use  of  technology  like  computers  for  special  children    

     

Organized  communities  (people  have  good  values  and  unityetc.)  

     

 

Workshop  5:  Finishing  Scenarios  

 This   part   of   the   workshop   determined   the   relationship   of   each   circumstance   to   one  

another.  For  one  hour,  each  group  came  up  with  their  own  futures  wheel.      

Workshop  Outputs:  

Scenario  4:  “Run  Samson  Run”  

RAPID  growth  of  population  and  INEFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development  

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Scenario  3:  “Maghintay  ka  Lamang”  

SLOW  growth  of  population  and  INEFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development      

 

Scenario  2:  “Hawak  Kamay”  

RAPID  growth  of  population  and  EFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development    

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Scenario  1:  “Kanlungan”  

SLOW  growth  of  population  and  EFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development      

Group  Critiquing  Outputs  

 Each  group  was  asked  to  move  to  their  right  and  evaluate  the  other  group’s  work.  Each  

group  was  asked  to  add  on  to  the  other  groups  futures  wheel  as  needed.      

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Scenario  4:  “Run  Samson  Run”  

RAPID  growth  of  population  and  INEFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development      The  photo  inserted  below  reflects  the  changes  that  the  group  "Hawak  Kamay"  proposed  

to  the  futures  wheel  of  this  group.      

 

Scenario  3:  “Maghintay  ka  Lamang”  

SLOW  growth  of  population  and  INEFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development      The   group   "Run   Samson   Run"   did   not   see   any   notable   change   or   anything   that   this  

group  might  have  missed  in  their  futures  wheel.    

Scenario  2:  “Hawak  Kamay”  

SLOW  growth  of  population  and  EFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development    The   photo   inserted   below   reflects   the   changes   or   additional   data   that   the   group  

"Kanlungan"  proposed  to  the  futures  wheel  of  this  group.    

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Scenario  1:  “Kanlungan”  

SLOW  growth  of  population  and  EFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development    The  photo  below  reflects  the  proposed  changes  of  the  group  "Maghintay  ka  Lamang"  to  

the  futures  wheel  of  the  group.      

   The  comment  that  sparked  debate  was  the  addition  of  “materialistic  and  complacent  

population”  from  the  group's  output.      For   the  group  who  painted   this   scenario,   this  was  an   ideal  population  with   less   crime  

and  more  quality  family  time.  There  is  nothing  materialistic  in  having  less  social  problem.  If  a  society  has  achieved  this  seemingly  perfect  situation,  the  society  might  have  an  altruistic  

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value.  They  will  help  other  countries  in  need.  What  they  thought  of  was  an  ultimate  scenario  with  a  benevolent  society.  The  level  of  living  will  elevate,  a  new  form  of  human  development  will   happen   where   the   citizens   would   reinvent   themselves   and   they   will   have   a   new  purpose  in  life.      

 The   group   who   made   this   comment  

explained  that  in  this  scenario  where  there  is  practically   no   more   problem,   it   is   possible  that   a   portion   of   the   population   could   be  trapped   in  a  system  of  apathy.  This   is  what’s  happening   in   Singapore.   The   people   became  too   complacent   because   the   government  provides   for   everything   the   society   needs.  The   people’s   values   diminished   that   even  their   morality   are   anchored   on   materialistic  things   even   with   quality   family   time.   The  family   may   be   together   the   whole   time   but  

the   gadgets  make   it   difficult   for   them   to   come   together   face   to   face.   This   is   an   alternate  reality.  Even  when  it  comes  to  a  point  when  the  society  has  no  problem,  it  is  still  possible  to  have  problem  coming  from  an  affluent  society.  The  value-­‐oriented  people  are  just  a  fraction  of  the  society,  there  is  a  majority  of  the  society  who  have  a  disjoint  with  the  humanitarian  value.  This  is  a  probability  that  could  happen.    Sometimes  when  the  society  has  nothing  to  worry,   there   is   no   challenge.   Citizens   of   this   society   would   no   longer   have   ambition.   In  Finland,  education  is  free  until  college  but  students  commit  suicide  because  they  do  not  see  the  sense  of  living.  This  is  not  likely  to  happen  but  possible  because  people  no  longer  strive.  

Lesson  Learned    

 The   participants   shared   that   a   genuine   participatory   process   brings   out   important  

individual   issues.  The  most   important   lesson   they   learned  was   to  understand  and  respect  each  other  and  broaden  their  minds  to  see  where  the  other  stakeholders  are  coming  from.  In  this  manner,  together  they  will  come  up  with  a  solution  to  the  problems.  

Workshop  6:  Scenario  Timeline    

 The   participants   were   asked   to   use   colored   pens   to   identify,   which   among   the  

circumstances  they  have  prepared  for  their  respective  scenarios  will  happen  in  2020,  2030  and  2040  and  below  where  the  ouputs.  

Workshop  Outputs:    

Scenario  4:  “Run  Samson  Run”  

RAPID  growth  of  population  and  INEFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development    

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Scenario  3:  “Maghintay  ka  Lamang”  

SLOW  growth  of  population  and  INEFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development    

 

Scenario  2:  “Hawak  Kamay”  

RAPID  growth  of  population  and  EFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development    

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Scenario  1:  “Kanlungan”  

SLOW  growth  of  population  and  EFFECTIVE  urban  planning  and  development  

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Mr.  Cordova  facilitating  the  “Run-­‐Samson-­‐Run”  scenario  group  Ms.  Doble  (woman  standing)  doing  her  best  in  facilitating  the  scenario  group  “Maghintay  Ka  Lamang”    

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Mr.  dela  Peña  from  Rockefeller  Foundation  expressing  his  insights  on  the  2-­‐day    workshop.  

 

Reflections  from  Participants  

 The   participants   shared   some   of   their   reflections   and   realizations   of   this   2-­‐day  

workshop.    • The   need   to   prepare   for   the   future   by   having   a   goal   and   considering   a   long-­‐term  

planning.  • They  see  hope  for  a  better  future  because  of  this  futures  planning  workshop.    • Plans  are   solid  and   tough  and  no  doubt  good  but   it   is   important   to   encourage   the  

leaders  to  implement  the  plans.      

Response  from  Partners  

MR.  BENJAMIN  DE  LA  PEÑA  The  Rockefeller  Foundation  

 Mr.  dela  Peña  thanked  everyone  for  the  time  that  the  participants  spent.  For  two  days  

the  participants  mingled  and  correlated  with  each  other.  He  hoped  that  the  excitement  and  energy   the   participants   brought   to   the  workshop   be   duplicated   down   to   their   respective  communities.  He  sees  a  great  future  for  the  communities  because  of  their  commitment.    

 He  believes  that  the  mistake  of  plans  is  not  because  they  

are  wrong  plans  or  they  went  through  a  wrong  process  but  because   the   plans   are   not   revisited.   A   good   plan   should  always  reflect  the  needs  of  the  poor.      

 He  mentioned  a  quote  from  Dwight  Eisenhower:    

 Plan   is   nothing   but   planning   is   everything.   The   plan   is   not  what  is  important  but  planning  per  se.    

 In   planning,   everyone   come   together   and   asks   what   they  need   and   what   their   problems   are.   He   hopes   that   the  workshop   experience  would   show   them   the   importance   of  participation  and  social  inclusion.      

 

MR.   JACOB  PARK  Forum  for  the  Future  

 Mr.   Park   said   that   the   Forum   for   the   Future  where   he   belongs   is   working  with   local  

partners   like  ASoG  to  make  sure   that   they  are  creating  a  process   that  will  work  well  with  everybody.    

 

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Mr.  Park  from  Forum  for  the  Future  expressing  his  delight  on  the  active  participation  of  everyone  in  the  workshop.  

The  Forum  for  the  Future  organization  started  15  years  ago.  It  does  a  lot  of  work  with  organizations,   imagining  more   positive   futures   and   creating   a   strategy   to   get   there.   Over  time,   the  Forum   for   the  Future  began   to   realize   that  big  problems  such  as  climate  change  are   too   complex   for   one   organization   to   solve   so   they   brought   together   people   from  different  sectors  to  think  about  what  the  future  will  be  like.  They  found  this  a  really  helpful  way  to  open  up  and  get  people  to  collaborate  together.    

 From   what   he   saw   from   the   workshop   process,   the  

people   were   able   to   experience   a   new   kind   of  conversations   perhaps,   were   also   able   to   learn   the   act   of  proper   listening.   He   believes   that   proper   dialogue   and  listening   are   absolutely   critical   in   solving   problems   and  what   has   been   accomplished   in   this   workshop   can   be  considered   a   great   success.   However,   it   is   not   all   about  planning   but   also   about   implementation   so   in   another  workshop   in   April,   he   encouraged   everyone   to   come  together   and   talk   about   what   kind   of   innovations   they  could  all  create  to  build  a   future  that  they  want.  He  hopes  that  everybody  will  be  able   to  come  back  next  month  and  work  on  building  a  future  together.  

Closing  Remarks  

MR.  BENEDICT  BALDERRAMA    

Mr.  Balderrama   closed   the   program  by   saying   that   the   essence   of   having   an   inclusive  city   is   having   space   for   everyone   where   participation   by   all   sectors   is   appreciated.   The  workshop   was   a   glimpse   or   practice   of   the   kind   of   participation   that   an   inclusive   city  dreams   about.   Everyone   has   hope   for   a   systematic,   sustainable,   progressive   and   more  participative  future.  He  said  that  gradually,  all  should  practice  correlating,  listening,  helping  and   participating  with   and   among   one   another   to   get   to   an   inclusive   city.   This  workshop  called   for   all   to   participate   and   engage   and   with   this,   he   sees   a   bright   future   for   Metro  Manila.  

 

Distribution  of  Certificates  

 The  2-­‐day  workshop  ended  by  the  project  team  giving  out  certificates  of  attendance  to  

the  attendees.        

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Student  Assistants  distributing  the  certificate  of  participation  to  the  participants.