IMS Competitive Scenario Planning Process

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Transcript of IMS Competitive Scenario Planning Process

Page 1: IMS Competitive Scenario Planning Process

Competitive Scenario Planning Process October, 2013

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Scenarios aim to stretch thinking about the future and widen the range of alternatives considered. - Michael Porter

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Competitive Scenarios

•  Descriptive narratives of plausible alternative projections of a specific part of the future. •  Possible, Credible and Relevant

•  A search for an understanding of how the future could change and how an organization can thrive by adapting to a number of changed future circumstances.

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Competitive Scenario Elements

End States

Plots “What &

How”

Logics “Why”

Driving Forces

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Driving Forces: Environmental: economic, social, cultural, ecological, technologic events and trends. Actions of institutions: business organizations, political, governmental agencies, regional and international bodies, etc.

End States: What will happen in a particular future at some specific time. A speculative projection based on a specific set of assumptions. Not a forecast…

Competitive Plots: The story of “what” and “how” would have to happen for a specific future to come to be.

Logics: The “why” underlying the “what” and “how” of a competitive plot. Could it happen? Are there inconsistencies? How could it happen? Why might it happen?

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IMS Competitive Scenario Planning Process

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Pre-work Pre-read

Competitor Research

Share

Scenario Planning Process

Customization

Scenario Thought Starters

Scenario Ideation & Exploration

Scenario Validation & Prioritization

Scenario Mitigation Ideation & Exploration

Scenario Mitigation

Action Planning

Competitive Action Plan Integration

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Workshop Pre-Workshop Post-Workshop