IMS Capital Value Strategy Capturing the Benefits of Mid Cap ...
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IMS Capital Value Strategy Capturing the Benefits of Mid Cap Stocks
2
IMS Capital Management – Firm Overview
Founded in 1988, 20th year in business
Northwest-based, offices in Portland, Oregon, Eugene Oregon and Seattle, Washington
Staff of 15 professionals, 7 investment team members
Independently-owned and operated boutique investment manager
Professional credentials:
CFA® (Chartered Financial Analyst) charter members – 3
Certified Market Technician
Master of Business Administration – 2
Certified Public Accountant
Master of Science
3
Experienced Investment Team
CARL W. MARKER – 21 years industry experienceCarl W. Marker, 46, is the founder and president of IMS Capital Management. Mr. Marker received a Bachelor of Science degree from the University of Oregon and has managed the IMS family of no-load mutual funds since inception. He is a member of the Portland Society of Financial Analysts and is frequently interviewed by the national television and print media.
ARTHUR G. NUNES, CMT – 26 years industry experienceMr. Nunes is market strategist, portfolio manager and principal of IMS Capital Management. He co-manages the IMS Strategic Allocation Fund and performs research and technical analysis for the other IMS strategies. He earned a Bachelor of Science degree from Ohio State University. Prior to joining IMS, Mr. Nunes managed fee-based portfolios at RBC Dain Rauscher and Salomon Smith Barney.
JOSEPH M. LEDGERWOOD, CFA – 7 years industry experienceJoseph M. Ledgerwood is a portfolio manager and senior research analyst specializing in equities. Prior to joining IMS, Mr. Ledgerwood gained financial services and investment experience working at a bank and full service brokerage firm. Mr. Ledgerwood graduated from the University of Portland, where he earned a Bachelor of Business Administration degree in Finance. He is member of the Portland Society of Financial Analysts.
4
Experienced Investment Team
DON A. SHUTE, CFA – 19 years industry experienceDon Shute is portfolio manager and senior research analyst specializing in fixed income. He previously worked for Bear Stearns Asset Management, GT Capital Management, and Wells Fargo Asset Management performing all aspects of fixed income analysis and portfolio management. His experience includes quantitative risk analysis and modeling, credit analysis, and international market research. A member of the Portland Society of Financial Analysts, Mr. Shute has a Bachelor of Arts degree from the University of Illinois and a Master of Science degree from Utah State University.
STEPHEN WENDELL, CPA – 26 years industry experienceMr. Wendell is the lead portfolio manager for the Focus 30 Strategy and is former president and founder of Juniper Capital, a Eugene-based RIA with $65 million in assets. With 25 years investment management experience, Mr. Wendell has served as a senior financial executive and director of several Oregon-based companies in the public and private sector, including Bohemia, Inc., International Kings Table, Inc., Obie Media, and Umpqua Feather Merchants. Currently Mr. Wendell serves on the Board of Directors of Agate Resources Inc., a Eugene based company developing technology driven solutions for healthcare management. Mr. Wendell received a Bachelor of Science degree in Business Administration from Portland State University and a Master of Business Administration in Finance and Accounting from the University of Oregon.
REID WEAVER – 7 years industry experienceReid Weaver is research analyst and trader for the Focus 30 Strategy. He has been working with Mr. Wendell for the past six years. A Level III CFA candidate, Mr. Weaver has a Bachelor of Science degree from the University of Oregon.
CAMERON K. MARTIN – 13 years industry experienceCameron Martin is a portfolio manager. Prior to joining IMS in 2008, Mr. Martin worked at Smith Barney where he managed discretionary portfolios since 1999 and served as a Financial Advisor since 1996. With 12 years experience in the financial services industry, Mr. Martin graduated from the University of Oregon in 1993.
5
Mid Cap Stocks have Improved the Risk/Return Profile of Domestic Equity Portfolios
Data above represents past performance, which does not guarantee future results. The “4 Corners” are represented by equal weights of the Russell 2000 Growth Index (small cap growth), the Russell 2000 Value index (small cap value), the Russell 1000 Growth Index (large cap growth), the Russell 1000 Value Index (large cap value), rebalanced annually. Mid cap stocks are represented by the Russell Mid Cap Index. Alpha and up and down capture figures are calculated relative to the Russell 3000 index, which is considered representative of the entire equity market. Calculations by IMS Capital Management. The Sharpe ratio measures risk adjusted return by subtracting the risk-free rate (3-month Treasury bill) from the rate of return of a portfolio and dividing the result by the standard deviation. Alpha is a measure of “excess return” in an investment. A positive alpha is the extra return realized by taking additional risk rather than accepting the market return. Up and down capture is a measure of how well a portfolio is able to replicate or improve upon positive index returns and how badly a portfolio is affected by negative index returns, respectively.
Year Ending
Average Annual
Total Return (%)
Sharpe Ratio Alpha (%)*
Up Capture (%)*
Down Capture (%)*
2007
4-Corne
rs
4-Corners +Mid
Cap
4-Corne
rs
4-Corners + Mid Caps
4-Corne
rs
4-Corners +Mid
Cap
4-Corne
rs
4-Corner
s + Mid Cap
4-Corne
rs
4-Corners + Mid Cap
20 Years 11.31 11.96 .46 .50 -0.12 .35 99 105 103 102
10 Years 5.86 6.81 .14 .20 0.63 1.27 104 108 103 102
5 Years 12.73 14.01 .86 .92 -1.35 -0.66 101 102 134 1263 Years 4.58 6.18 .04 .17 -2.45 -1.83 92 93 144 136
When mid cap stocks were added to hypothetical portfolios having equal weights of large cap value, large cap growth, small cap value and small cap growth stocks (also known as the “4—corners”), the portfolios demonstrated higher Sharpe Ratios, higher alpha and higher up capture returns than the same hypothetical portfolios without mid cap stocks over the last 3, 5, 10 and 20-year periods ending 2007, as illustrated below.
6
IMS Capital Value Strategy – Unique Features
Seeks undervalued mid cap stocks demonstrating signs of positive momentum
Utilizes a “seasoned,” patient approach to stock selection
Utilizes “concentrated diversification”
Concentrates on companies that fall into at least one strategic focus area: technology, healthcare, financial services, consumer, communications/entertainment, defensive industries, consolidating industries.
Sell discipline allows a company to remain in the portfolio as long as its core business is still experiencing positive momentum
Veteran portfolio managers with 28 years combined experience backed by five other investment professionals.
S&P 500 Sector Returns over the 10 years ending 2008
Annualized returns for the last 10 years ended 12/31/08Source: Standard & Poor’s. Past returns are no guarantee of future results.
Energy 9.42%
Materials 2.22%
Utilities 1.68%
ConsumerStaples
1.32%Consumer
Discretiona
ry 1.18%
Industrials 0.17%
Healthcare
–0.85%
Financials
–4.62%
Info Tech -6.26%
Telecomm
–6.97%
Annualized returns for the last 10 years
ended 12/31/08
8
Stock Selection Overview--IMS Capital Value Strategy
IMS Proprietary ResearchBusiness Characteristics
Fundamental Value CharacteristicsMomentum Characteristics
SeasoningApply 37-Factor Scoring Model
Stocks in Russell universe with adequate coverage, liquidity – 3,000 Names
Stocks that are mid cap Generally $1.5 to $9.5 billion in market cap
Stocks that have 2 years or more of “seasoning,”are down 30% or more from their highs,
have strong value and momentum characteristics,and fit into at least one of our strategic focus areas
150 Names
Resulting portfolio of 40 to 60 Names
9
The IMS Proprietary Scoring Model
Business characteristics considered:
Low capital intensity
Long product cycle
Decreasing capital expenditures
Short consumer repurchase cycle
High barriers to entry
Immunity to product obsolescence
Organic growth
10
Fundamental value characteristics considered:
Stocks trading at low price-to-earnings on a historical basis
Stocks trading at low price-to-book on a historical basis
Stocks trading at low price-to-sales on a historical basis
Stocks trading at low price-to-cash flow on a historical basis
Low P/E, P/B, P/S, P/CF vs. industry
Low debt-to-equity % (less than 60%)
Improving margins
Asset turn improvement
Decreasing debt-to-asset %
Companies trading significantly below historical price levels
Companies trading significantly below intrinsic value
The IMS Proprietary Scoring Model
11
Momentum characteristics considered:
Positive quarterly earnings surprises
Positive earnings revision trends
Positive relative strength vs. market
Positive new development /catalyst
The IMS Proprietary Scoring Model
12
The Value of “Seasoning”
Stocks that are seasoned have been flat to down for a minimum of 2 years.
Companies need time to season or recuperate – they need to mend and begin recovering from whatever caused the decline.
Our internal research determined that 80% of the time, after a significant loss of market cap, a company will not begin to outperform the market on a relative basis -- until at least 2 years on average. Often it takes much longer. We have chosen to implement a minimum seasoning period of 2 years before we will consider buying.
The seasoning discipline helps reduce the chances of being too early and sitting on “dead” money or worse, incurring significant losses after purchase.
Even small and mid cap companies need time to settle shareholder lawsuits, handle product litigation, restate earnings and deal with accounting scandals. Often new management is brought in, legislation is passed to assist an entire industry, or new products need to be developed. These things can take years, not months.
13
Portfolio Construction and Risk Controls Remain broadly diversified in all ten major S & P industry
sectors
Initial purchase is in the 1% to 3% range based on scoring model
Allow effective research to have its impact. Practice “concentrated diversification,” holding no more than 40 to 60 names
Stay fully invested (90%+)
Written investment policy statement governs management
of each account
Sell targets are set and monitored daily
Momentum characteristics are monitored weekly
Positions exceeding 10% of portfolio due to appreciation are
reduced within 60 days
Two individuals are involved in every trade
Broad industry and sector diversification is maintained
Sectors making up more than 10% of the Index will
generally carry no more than a 150% weighting in the
Portfolio.
14
IMS Capital Value Sector Weightings As of March 31, 2009
Portfolio holdings are subject to change at any time.
16%
20% 20%
11%
6%
2%
0%
14%
13%
18%
15%
4%
1%
15%
7% 7% 7%
0%
2%2%
4%
17%
Tech
nolo
gy
Hea
lthca
re
Fin
ancia
l
Con
sum
er
Discre
tiona
ry
Con
sum
er
Sta
ple
s
Com
mu
nica
tion
Indu
strials
Mate
rials
Utilitie
s
Energ
y
Cash
IMS Capital Value S&P 400 MidCap
24%
15
Top Ten HoldingsAs of March 31, 2009
Portfolio holdings are subject to change at any time.
STOCKPERCENTAGE OF PORTFOLIO
Watson Pharmaceuticals, Inc 3.73%
Intuit 3.53%
Check Point Software 3.40%
CenturyTel 3.34%
Safeway Inc. 3.33%
Toll Brothers 3.14%
Biogen 3. 01%
Aon Corp. 2.99%
Tyson 2.94%
H&R Block 2.83%
16
Sell Discipline: Most Value Managers Sell Too Early
When a stock reaches our price target and is 10% off its 52 week high (unless the market is also down 10% or more)
Company reaches unsustainable valuations
Industry-wide negative legislation or litigation
A significant change in the company’s management or direction
Company is involved in a merger or acquisition
The emergence of a better opportunity within the same industry
Positions that exceed 10% of the portfolio due to appreciation are lightened within 60 days
Generally sell after two conditions have been met
– Company exceeds its target sell price and
– Company demonstrates a loss of momentum
OTHER SELL TRIGGERS
WHY WE SELL
17
Bought 35,000 shares @ $48.60 after a 3-
year seasoning period
Sold 35,000 shares @ $77.44
IMS Capital Value Trading History of Cephalon, Inc. (CEPH)
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. This example should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or trade the stock illustrated. Not all securities in the IMS Capital Value portfolio have gone up in value and some may lose money.
18
Portfolio Characteristics As of March 31, 2009
PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS
IMS CAPITAL VALUE PORTFOLIO
Number of Issues 48
Weighted Average Market Cap $2.36 bil.
Forward Price/Earnings Ratio (P/E) 12.27x
Price to Book Value (P/B) 1.1x
Annual Turnover as of 6/30/08 46%
19
-8.66
-37.10
-13.16
-2.84
4.20
-11.01
-38.09
-13.05
-4.76-3.00
-38.6
3.82
-15.47
-5.42
-12.53
-40%
-35%
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Quarter One Year Three Years Five Years Ten Years
Retu
rn
IMS Capital Value S&P MidCap 400 S&P 500
Past performance above does not guarantee future results. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate so that your return, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than original cost. Figures include change in principal value, reinvested dividends and capital gain distributions. Current performance may be lower or higher than that above. Monthly performance is available by calling 1-800-408-8014. The S&P 500 Index is a widely accepted index of large cap stocks and is not available for direct investment. The S&P 400 is a widely recognized unmanaged indices of common stock prices and is representative of a broader market and a broader range of securities than are found in the Fund's portfolio. Individuals cannot invest directly in the Index. Performance figures reflect the change in value of the stocks in the index and reinvestment of dividends..
Annualized Average Total ReturnsAs of March 31, 2009
1.52% - Total Gross Expense Ratio as of August 31, 2008
20
-4.7
-11.1
56.1
12.9 12.1
17.5
-0.6
-14.5
35.6
16.512.6
10.38.0
-36.2
-9.1-11.9
-22.1
28.7
10.9
4.9
15.8
5.5
-37.0-33.4
0.4
10.5
18.8
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
IMS Capital Value S&P 400 MidCap S&P 500
Calendar Year Returns As of December 31, 2008
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate so that your shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than original cost. Figures include change in principal value, reinvested dividends and capital gain distributions. Current performance may be lower or higher than that above and is available by calling 1-800-408-8014. The S&P 400 is a widely recognized unmanaged index of mid cap stocks. The Standard & Poor’s 500 is a widely accepted index of large cap stocks. Individuals cannot invest directly in an Index. The indices are representative of a broader market and range of securities than are found in the Fund. Performance figures reflect the change in the value of stocks in the Index and reinvestment of dividends.
1.52% - Total Gross Expense Ratio as of August 31, 2008
21
Why IMS Capital Management?
21 years in business
Highly focused and skilled investment team, experienced in both up and down markets
Independently owned and operated investment “boutique”
Highly entrepreneurial culture
Commitment to constantly improving investment process
Recognized in major publications and national media such as Barron’s, Forbes, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Business Week, USA Today, Smart Money and CNBC.
Mission: Deliver exceptional client service, outstanding investment counsel and superior investment returns.
22
Representative Institutional Client List
Allergy & Asthma Center PC FreedomWorks FoundationFriends of the Children of Klamath BasinIntrepid Marble and Granite (401k plan) Lathing, Acoustical and Drywall Systems Local 1144McClenahan Bruer Communications
Relief NurseryRon Tonkin Auto Dealer (401k plan)Serenity Lane Health ServicesSky Lakes Medical CenterWorkFirst Casualty Company
23
Important Disclosure
Investing in mid caps may be more risky and volatile than investing in large cap stocks. Also, value stocks may underperform other types of stocks during a given period.
Past performance of the IMS Capital Value Fund does not guarantee future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor's return, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than original cost. Figures include change in principal value, reinvested dividends and capital gain distributions. Current performance may be lower or higher than that quoted herein. Monthly performance is available by calling 1-800-408-8014 or by visiting www.imscapital.com.
The Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses must be considered carefully before investing. The prospectus contains this and other information about the investment company. Please read it carefully before investing. The prospectus is available by calling 503-788-4200 or by visiting www.imscapital.com. Foreside Distribution Services, LP
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