Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through
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Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through Multi Sectoral Partnerships (MSPs) Jeroen Aerts
description
Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through Multi Sectoral Partnerships (MSPs). Jeroen Aerts. Hurricane Sandy, October 2012. Hurricane Irene , August 2011. > U$ 50 Bn Damage > 200 Deaths. Manhattan (1664). Manhattan (~1850). 6. Manhattan (~1915). - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through
Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through
Multi Sectoral Partnerships (MSPs)
Jeroen Aerts
Hurricane Sandy, October 2012
Hurricane Irene, August 2011
4
> U$ 50 Bn Damage
> 200 Deaths
Manhattan (1664)
6
Manhattan (~1850)
Manhattan (~1915)
Manhattan (~1930)
9
Manhattan (~2007)
FEMA Floodzones (1/100 and 1/500)
Risk from hazard
Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs
Public
€Vulnerability / exposure
Probability
Risk Governance
Private
People
Risk from hazard
Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs
Public
€Vulnerability / exposure
Probability
Risk Governance
Private
People
NYC : 6 billion Euro -> Sandy: 50 bn Euro
Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs
Public
Risk Governance
Private
People
Capacity /knowlegde
Perception
Insitutions /legislation
Risk from hazard€
Vulnerability / exposure
Probability
Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs
Public
Risk Governance
Private
People
Risk Assessment
Risk from hazard
How to organize institutions, such they lower risk?
Risk from hazard
Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs
PublicRisk from
hazard
Risk Governance
Private
People
DRR measures
Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs
PublicRisk from hazard
Which MSPs are most effective in lowering risk?
Private
People
DRR measures
Core: 10 Case studies
UK: Greater London
PT: Chamusca
ES: Jucar RBD
IT: PO RBD
DE+: Wadden Sea
AT+: Austrian railwaysNL: Rotterdam Port
7 regional case studies
3 pan European case studies
Forest FiresChamusca, Postugal: Forest Fires
Forest FiresChamusca, Portugal: Forest Fires
Risk Public
People
Building code
Restriction urbanization
Forest FiresChamusca, Portugal: Forest Fires
Risk Public
People
Building code
Restriction urbanization
Insurers
Port Cities & Flood risk
Rotterdam: no Insurance
Port Cities & Flood risk
London: Insurance
Rotterdam: no Insurance
Port Cities & Flood risk
London: Flood Insurance
Public
People
InsurersPublic
Risk Cascades : Po River Basin, Italy
Low Flows Droughts Salt intrusion from the sea drinking water
Earth quake Dike breach Flood -> Damage
Public
People
Insurers
Pan European CasesHeath Waves & Health
Flood damage & EU Solidarity fund
Volcanic ash & air traffic
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Solidarity Fund paymentsFlood risk - upper 90%Flood risk - EADFlood risk - upper 10%EUSF limit
Euro
s
Stress test : EU Solidarity Fund
EU SFMember
stateRE-
Insurers?
Volcanic Eruption & Aviation
Volcanic Eruption & Aviation
Volcanic Eruption & Aviation
Public
People
Insurers
Eurocontrol
Meteo -services Airlines
Limit cancelled
flights
Outlook
Public
People
Private
Testing MSPs using extreme scenarios
What if scenario? Cascades/ Multi hazard Scenarios & Hazard models
Outlook: Recommendations
Input Hyogo framework
Role EU policies in effective MSPs
Special Focus on role Insurance in MSPs
Thanks for your attention!
Website: www.enhanceproject.eu
Coordinator: [email protected]
Communication: [email protected]
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