Importance of Javakhq. Why Should We Care? 1. Final Siege.
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Transcript of Importance of Javakhq. Why Should We Care? 1. Final Siege.
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Importance of Javakhq
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Why Should We Care?
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1. Final Siege
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Tough Neighborhood!!!
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Tough Neighborhood!!!
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Meskhetian Turks
• Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq
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Meskhetian Turks
• Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq
• In 1944, Stalin deports Meskhetian Turks.
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Meskhetian Turks
• Meskhetian Turks lived in Javakhq
• In 1944, Stalin deports Meskhetian Turks
• In 1999, Georgian government obliges to repatriate Meskhetian Turks by 2016, now numbering 200,000
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Question:
If de-Armenization of Javakhq succeeds, who will be the new settlers?
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Question
If de-Armenization of Javakhq succeeds, who will be the new settlers?
AnswerMeskhetian Turks
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Consequences
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Consequences
• Land link between Turkey and Azerbaijan
• Complete encirclement and blockade of Armenia by a Turkish element– Armenia ceases to be a viable state and
becomes an “Armenian reservation”– The population of Armenia emigrates and,
eventually, becomes assimilated– Final stage of the Genocide is complete
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Final Solution!!!
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2. Transportation Corridor
A. Export Route
B. Transportation Projects
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A. Armenia’s Export Routes
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What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes?
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What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes?
TurkeyBlockade
AzerbBlockade
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What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes?
TurkeyBlockade
AzerbBlockade
Iran
Long/
Expensive
Sanctions
Turkish Population
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What are Armenia’s Options of Export Routes?
TurkeyBlockade
AzerbBlockade
Iran
Long/
Expensive
Sanctions
Turkish Population
Georgia
Short/Cheap
Good International Relations
Armenian Minority
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Currently, Georgia is Armenia’s Primary Export Route
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“Armenian” Javakhq
• Guarantee of Armenia’s open communication routes to the outside world
• Serious restrain on Tbilisi from deepening its strategic partnership with Turkey and Azerbaijan
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B. Transportation Projects
• Baku – Tbilisi – Ceyhan (BTC) oil pipeline
• Baku – Tbilisi – Erzerum (BTE) gas pipeline
• Kars – Alhalkalak – Tbilisi -Baku (KATB) railroad
• Kars – Alhalkalak – Tbilisi - Baku highway (planned)
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BTC/BTE Pipeline Route
BTC/BTE are Azerbaijan’s primary source of income
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KATB Railroad Route
To Baku
KarsGyumri
Akhalkalak
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KATB Railroad Goals
• Connect Turkey and Azerbaijan (Turkish control), bypassing the Kars - Gyumri railroad (Armenian control)
• Isolate Armenia and strengthen its blockade
• Increase flow of Turks and Georgians into Javakhq (service personnel and security forces) to push out the Armenian population
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Solution
• Support and assist local Armenians so they remain in Javakhq
– By not emigrating, they will continue constituting majority population
• Republic of Armenia will continue to assert control over Javakhq and all its transportation routes
– Armenia’s control over regional transportation corridors increases its influence in the region
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Q & A