Impacts and RecoveryUsing the

Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Data Tools

Washington State Data CenterAnnual MeetingSeptember 29, 2020

Presented by: Earlene K.P. Dowell

Agenda

https://www.census.gov/

2

LEHD Introduction

Accessing the Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Program’s Data Tools

QWI - QWI Explorer

LODES - OnTheMap

J2J Data Flows – J2J Explorer

OnTheMap for Emergency Management

PSEO - PSEO Explorer

VEO - VEO Explorer

~~=

Help fo, Survey Participants =.•::::~),.... -=--• tlLl.l .,~ lutn

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U.S. CENSUS BlKAI..I ECOOOMIC INDICATORS

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MOfrtlNll'II L 2D_Jtn9 Moves to and From the South ;and West Dominate Recent Migration Flows ow-,,..._,..,..,1,..llo,11,-- ... ~ .... ., .. - ........

MOlt'l'INlfl L Jl,20'9

Behind the 2018 U.S. Midterm Election Turnout -c. ...... ...._. __ w,1,-._..,...,.. .. __,._..,,, nll<:111--•-·

MOlrfl~L tt.2019

The Opioid Crisis and Grandparl!fflS Raising Grandchil~en .,_,..lno..to,p_n_._~ ............ a-.b·:!ID-­.. , .. b.----•--IN.--8_,._..,..,

What are LEHD and LED?

The LEHD Program at Census

3

An innovative federal statistical program, collecting existing data and ...

New linked national jobs data for the U.S.

..linking it together to provide new information sources at low cost

4

Data Product

Explore the data, answer questions, or get visualizations

Bulk data for use in analysis process/software

Live queries for building web applications

QWI QWI Explorer LED Extraction Tool andRaw data download

Census Bureau API

LODES OnTheMapOnTheMap for Emergency

Management

Raw data download Future development

J2J J2J Explorer Raw data download Future Development

PSEO PSEO Explorer Raw data download Future Development

VEO VEO Explorer Raw data download Future Development

Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD)Where Data is Published:

Baby Boomers in Healthcare and Retail Trade

5

https://www.forbes.com/sites/sheilacallaham/2019/03/21/are-you-a-baby-boomer-looking-for-work-where-to-find-the-best-opportunities/#1629432360bd

Are You A Baby Boomer Looking For Work? Where To Find The Best Opportunities

Shella Callaham Contributor 0

Diversity & h1eluS1ion

I write about rombatting agrum m ti>£ woricplao,.

T\-vo industries show the most promise for older people looking for

wo:rik. The BLS report containmg data from 1994 to 2016 indicates an

mcrease in workers .aged 65 and 69 in healthcare (np 18%) and retail

trade (up :m-4%). Carol Hymowitz, a recognized expert on longevity and

diversity in the workplace, writes in her article, «How Health Care

Employers Are V\f elcoming Older Workers,..,

the growing healt h care industry has taken a

progressive approach to hiring and retan111ing

o lder workers because it's chaUenged by

shortages of employees at every rank. o keep

t a le nt and attract new hires, hospitals and

outpatient clin ·cs are offer1ing a variety of

filexible work arrangements, including part­

time schedules, telecommut1ing and job

sharing. Others are rehiring reti rees as

cont ract workers.

https://qwiexplorer.ces.census.gov/

6

Geography Level i.Q)

Arizona

Indicator i.Q)

Emp - Beg inning of Quarter Employment: Counts [v

© Get Data e Snare

Filters/Aggregations i.Q)

Quarters: 2019 Q~

Geography: None

Industries: X-Axis

Firm Ownership: All Owners hi!!

Firm Age/ Size: Hone

Worker Characteristics: llone

~ Get Report

Health care and Social Assistance

Retail Trade

SOK

c 40K ::J 0 0

20K

0.0

1.1'2

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67,464

49,413

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X-Axis \QI

NAICS Sectors

20 NAICS Sectors Selected

D Normalize on X-Axis IQ)

II Group i.Q)

Age

Two Age Groups Selected

D Normalize on Group IQ)

t

How Zillow Is Connecting the Dots with LEHD

7

m Zlow: Real Estate, Apartments, ~ X

U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration U.S. CENSUS BUREAU census.gov

OnTheMap and LODES

8

OnT

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, ✓ Based 0111 Cerls

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U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration U.S. CENSUS BUREAU census.gov

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Amazon Effect

9

OnTheMap ~ ~ --., LEHO Home~ Reload~

Start Base Map Selection Result s

Work Area Profi le Analysis enter your own subtitle

Color Key ■ Thermal Overlay 0 Point Overlay 0 Selection Outline Ii]

Fl

~ li!..!m!.ml Zoom to Select ion • ~ fl Animate Overlays

• Report/Map Outputs ,QI

(" Detailed Report

@ Change Settings

U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration U.S. CENSUS BU REAU census.gov

View as j Bar Charil:]

Total Primary Jobs

Tota l Primary Jobs

□Age 29 or younger

□~ ■Age 55 or olde r

2015 Count Share 38,10 1 100.0%

2015 Count Share

7,08 1 18.6% 23,829 62.5%

7,191 18.9%

J

..:J

Is the 'Amazon effect' on rising rents in North Seattle real?

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Facebook Headquarters - Menlo Park

10U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration U-5. CENSUS BUREAU census.gov

e Zillow Research

Buying/Selling Renting Policy/ Polit ics Visuals Latest Data Markets

Post-lPO, Home Values Grew Faster in Areas Home to Lots of Facebook Employees By Jeff Tucker on Feb_ 4, 2019

• Every 10 acebook employees living in a g[ven census tract a t the time of Faccbook's IPO in May 2012 were

associated with an add it ional l6 percentage points of home value increase over that year:

• Between March 2012 and March 2013, home va lues around likely Facebook employees climbed 21 percent. compared

to 17 percent in all other Bay Area census tracts_

• This faster growth translated into an extra $29,800 in appreciation for the typica l home in these Facebook­

employee-heavy a reas compared to homes in the rest of t he Bay Arca_

J2J Explorer 40 Measures of Worker

Reallocation Six Visualization Modules with a

flexible dashboard interfaceExport reports to Excel or CSVTrace worker movements through

industries, geographic labor markets, and to/from employment

Analyze/report by origin and destination geographies:national and state-level tabulations

Analyze/report by origin and destination firm characteristics:NAICS Sector, firm age, and firm size

Analyze/report by worker demographics: age, earnings, race, ethnicity, educational attainment, and sex

Data updated every quarter

11U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statist ics Administration U.S. CENSUS BU REAU census.gov

l ouhl ; 237,496 Al'OMH~ 133,11 7

6 t

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12U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration U.S. CENSUS BUREAU census.gov

J2J: Regional IMigiration and Housing Aff.ordability

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Start with the Guided Entry

13U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statist ics Administration U.S. CENSUS BU REAU census.gov

G,u ided Entry

1. Start Here Frame your question by setecting from the

three dropdowns below; then click one of the blue links on the righl lo go to your

customized resu lls.

.J. I Hires to

Q !California

.. I Information -

2. Then Choose an Analysis

Analysis of Job-to-Job Flows o

From (Origin Job)

~ Which states?

~ Which

Industries?

Analysis of Hires Over Time o

To (Destination Job)

., California

., Information

~ Are hires to jobs in California Information coming from

nonemployment or another iob?

Not sure? Try one of these recommended options: ~ Which age groups are driving worl<er reallocation out of New England states?

~ Are workers without a college degree in North Dakota more likely to be hired from another job or from

persistent nonemployment?

~ What states and fi rm ages are workers in California start-ups hired from? ~ Which industries have the highest connectivity in terms of national job flows?

Privacy Policy 12010 Census I Data Tools I Information Quahty I Product Catalog I Contact Us I Home Source US Census Bureau Center for Ecooom1c Stucbes. LEl,D I e-mail CE S J2J Feedback@census gov

J2J Explorer

14

Job-to-Job Flows Explorer:{B • - "':::fl!ir .. Guided Entry QAclvancecl Sett1 n1JS JDC lea" Sett1 n~1s #tLE H] Ho me 0Hel~

I ■■■ Ill

Table Lin e Bar Map Bipartrre Matrix

A,,

' ~

Minnesota: 130 ~ ■ data not available to compute this estimate D Filtered Origin State

U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration U.S. CENSUS BUREAU census.gov

1,400

1,200

1,000

800

600

- 400

- 200

Job-to-Job Flows from Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services in California to 50 States 2017 Q3

Indicator 0

Job-to-Job Flows (J2J)

Job flows w rrh a short or no o ooervecl non employment spell

Geography Level 0

Destination State ~ Alabama Alaska Arizona

Arkansas Colorado and 45

Others

Filters o Time Year/Quarter

2017 Q3

Firm Characteristics Origin NAICS Sector

Professiona l Sc ientific

Geography Origin State

California

tJ

Bipartite

15

••

Arizona ;2g.6'MI

llev ada 30.5,&

Texas 39.9'Mt

.. -=t Table

.all ~ I-• Ill Lile Ba r Map ~ Matrix

Jot>-tO-Job Flows (J2J)

--

Agriculture , Fore51.. . 4 .5% Mining, Quarrying, .. 0 .5%

Uti lities 0 .3'!E.

Construction 8 .4%

Manufactur ing 7.2% Wholesale Trade 4.5'!E. Ret.1 i lTr,1de 13.9'11,

Transportation a nd 4.5'!E. Informa tion 3.2'!E. Fin,1nee ,11nd lnsur ... 4 .1'!E.

Rea l Estate and R. .. 1.9'!E.

Profe<ssional , Scie ... 7 .8'!E,

Management of Co ... 1.5'!f. Administra tiv e an ... 10.3'11,

Ed i>eational Servi... 2.6'1!,

Hea lth Care and S ... 6 .2'11,

~ -~ ~ Enterta i llmen ...

Accommodation a . 12.0,i,

U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration U.S. CENSUS BUREAU census.gov

■

Job-to-Job Flows from 20 Industries in California to Arizona, Nevada and Texas Average of Q2 Series 2005 - 2015

Indicator 0

Jot>-tO-Job Flows (J2J)

Joo fl OW5 w ith a short~ no o~ed nonemployment spell

Lett Column 0 Right Column Q

.:J

Destination State _:J Origin NAICS Sector _:J Arizona Nevada Texas Agriculture Forestry Fishing

and Hunting Mining Quarrying and Oil and Gas Extraction Utilities

Construction Manufacturing and 15 Others

Add Comparison Indicator

Q

None .:J Filters e

Jot>-to-Job Flows (J2J)

_Orull l 2.l.8~

■

t~w.tOI I 21.5% 1111n

T..a=mllloc"""

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~ 1..8%

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Hurricanes, Floods,Winter Storms

Disaster Areas

Wildfires

Demographic & Economic Data

• Comprehensive Reports• Real-time Data Updates• Easy-to-use & Interoperable• Historical Event Archive• Flexible Analyses & Visualizations

New Public Data Service for Emergency Preparedness & Response

OnTheMap for Emergency Management

USDA

OnTheMap for Emergency Managemenflii: .••. ~ lfHO Home OnlheM;,p Help ,rnd OocumentdtlOn

isaster Declaration: DR-4166 Time lwed,lllun2014 16:00:02GMT •I .. Export , Share • Close

Detail by: [ Characteristics .. )

Topic: [ 2010 Decennial Cou • )

Analysis Ar ea: Event Area ,e

• Po ulation by__!g,e_e ________ ___,,_:_

Universe: Total Population Source: 2010 Census ~

Characteristic Count Share

Tota l 1,755,475 100.00%

Under 18 years

18tol9years

20to24years

2Sto34 yea rs

35to49years

50to64years

65 years and over

• Population by Race • Population by Ethnicity ► Population by Sex ► Population by Housing ... Housin Units

Universe: Housing Units Source: 2010 Census ~

416,870 23.75%

49,751 2.83%

116,069 6.61%

220,375 12.55%

353,573 20.14%

355,344 20.24%

243,493 13.87%

Characteristic Count Share

Total

Total of 'Universe: Vacant housinJ;i units'

643,527 100.00%

161,607 19.16%

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

Kinston Nrw Total Population - Total A per sq . mi . (Tracts)

■ o-, ■ 7-44

■ 45-297 ■ 298-1, 992 ■ 1,993 -13,319

N EventArea

Basemap: ~

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Search: ~-------------------Pacific Storms.

Events as o f 06/04/2020 Hurricanes

Tropical Storm Cristobal Arkansas, LouIsIana, M1ss1ssIppI and 4 other States

Affected Population: 14,341,560

Wildfires Sawtooth Fire ZIP 85118

Affected Population: 477

Ocotillo fire Zip 85331

Affected Population: 221

Pony Express fire Zip 89403

Affected Population: 21

Narrow Ditch Fire Zip 33196

Affected Population: 14

East Desert fire Zip 85331

Affected Population: 3

Decourcy Mountain fire No data

Affected Population: 0

Sloan 2 fire

< a 111

Go gle

Filter • U.S. Census Bureau data for disasters, natural hazards, and weather events. Click for more information on

Legend &. Map Controls A

Event Types @Tropical Storms

■•current Wind Radii Wind History (Cumulative Swath)

■•Forecast Area (Cone of uncertainty)

@Wildfires

■ + Perimeter @ Floods

■-Ukely ~ ■Qoccurring or Imminent

0 Winter Weather

Forecasted Snowfall

Forecasted Freezing Rain

0 Disaster Declaration Areas

~ ■ 0 Emergency or Disaster Dedaration

~ B asemap: [ Terrain

Zoom To: AK HI US

Cuba

Mapdatae'Z0200oogle. 1NEGI T«maofUN

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Censg'.~ OnTheMap for Emergency Management ~ • @

Search: ~-------------------Events as of 09/10/2020 iicii

Hurrica nes Tropical Storm Paulette No data

Affected Population: O

Tropical Storm Rene No data

Affected Population: O

Remnants of Julio No data

Affected Population: O

Wildfi res Czu Lightning Fire Santa Cruz County, CA, San Mateo County, CA

Affected Population: 5,459

Lnu Lightning Complex Fire Napa County, CA, Yolo County, CA, Sonoma County, CA and 3 other Counties

Affected Population: 4,702

Claremont-Bear Fire Plumas County, CA, Butte County, CA

Affected Population: 2,067

Beachie Creek Fi re Marion County, OR, Clackamas County, OR, Linn County, OR

Affected Population: 1.933

Go gle

Filter • Update ( August 5, 2020) : Click here to read about application changes related to t he COVID-19 Pandemic

Canada

.,.

Legend &. Map Controls A •

Event T y p es 1:21Tropical Storms

■•Current Wind Radii

■•Wind History (Cumulative Swath)

■•Forecast Area (Cone of Uncerta inty)

1:21Wi1dfires

■♦ Perimeter

1:21 Floods

■-Likely ■Goccurring or Imminent

1:21 Winter Weather

■ Forecasted Snowfall Forecast ed Freezing Rain

1:21 Disaster Declaration Areas

■0 Emergency or Disast er Dedaration

1:21 COVID- 19 Pandemic

•1~ Venezuela ■0 Emergency or Disast er Declaration •I G"l' •n•

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7 nn m T n • AM' I-IT II<::

U.S. Census Bureau Briefing | September 2019 | 18

OnTheMap for Emergency Management

DR-4481 FEMA

ce'OSst~

1~ OnTheMap for Emergency Management 1111 ~ Q

Disaster Declaration: DR-4481 Tlme !Mon, 21 Sep 2020 00:00:02 GMT vi ~ Export , Share

De tail by: [ Characteristics • I Topic: ~018ACSCh~

Analysis Area :

Holl5ehokl T JM!;

Univ e r se: Population in households Source : American Community survey, 2014- 2018. ~ ~

Cha racte ri s t ic

In family households

lnnonf11milyhouseholds

• Race • Hispanic or Latino Origin • Ability to Speak English by Age

Ma rgin Estimat e of

7,151,776

S,824,884 ¼9 ,372

1,32 6 ,892 oi 9 ,3 72

• Ability to Speak English by Language Spoken at ome • Disability Status by Poverty Status

• Disability Status by Age • Ratio of Income to Poverty Level in the Past 12 onths

Pnvertv St;ih 1!. 1n thP_ P;i5t 1? Mnnth!.

Go gle

6,000,000

5,000,000

4,000,000

3,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and Statistics Administration U.S. CENSUS BUREAU

census.gov

• dose

Population in households A - Total per sq. m i. {Tra cts)

■ 0 -8 ■ 9· 79

■ 60 - 711

MONTANA = ~\25~ ~•::~7lS N Event Area

• Basemap: ~

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a~ FEMA Su n;h Q PrepareforDl:s.as

01s.asters&Ass1stance ...., Gr.ints ..., ~loods & Maps .., Emergency Management ,._.

Washington Covid- 19 Pandemic (DR- 4481-WA)

Incident Pe riod : January 20, 2020 and irontinuing.

Deda tation Date: March 22, 2020

FD ,1,\ -.& .. 8 ! , l>R. \ \ 'ibblni;:_tun l>bu l('r IX><-la l'11 lktn 11.~ of OJ/21/2.020 ~ FEMA

-•--..,-'---'-------------------'..:;--=:.:-

IHFEJ MIRFI fiii@M+M

19

• PSEO Provides• 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles of annual earnings

for college and university graduates.• Employment by industry and region of the country.• By degree level, degree major, and post-secondary

institution.• One year, five years, and 10 years after graduation.

• Current PSEO partners:• The University of

Texas system (2017)• Colorado Department

of Higher Education (2017)

• University of Michigan, Ann Arbor (2018)

• University of Wisconsin, Madison (2018)

• Future Partners• Ohio• New York

Post Secondary Employment Outcomes - PSEO

A joint pilot project between university systems, state higher education systems, and the Census Bureau, the Post-Secondary Employment Outcomes (PSEO)are experimental tabulations providing national earnings statistics for graduates of post-secondary institutions.

20

LED in Action

https://news.umich.edu/professional-services-health-care-top-industries-for-u-m-graduates/

M VICE PRESIDENT FO R COMMUN ICAT IO NS

MICHIGAN NEWS UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN

Search the site 0..

Arts & Culture · Business & Economy · Education & Society · Environment · Health · Law & Politics · Science & Technology · International

Professional services, health ,care top industries for U-M graduates ~

ANN ARBOR- Ten years after earning a bachelor's degree from the University of Mich igan, more

graduates work in professional. scientif ic and techn ica l service fields than any other

classifica tion .

The data were re leased today through a collaboration between U-M, the Institute for Research

on Innovation and Science (IRIS), and the U.S. Census Bureau. IRIS partners with the U.S. Census

Bureau to link data from participating un iversit ies to the Census Bureau's Longitudinal

Employer-Household Dynam ics dataset to produce detai led employment and geograph ica l

information on alumni. The data covered from 2001 to 2015.

U-M has publicly re leased data on the industries in which their graduates work. For bachelor's

degree graduates (across all f ields and years), the top industries for employment 10 years after

graduation were:

August 6. 2019

Contact Greta Guest gguest@um ich .ed u. Dan Meisler dmeisler@umich.ed u

Share on: W f in

21

PSEO Explorer

~PSEO

Data Type

~ State

M1ch1gan •

Institution

UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN -ANN

ARBOR•

Degree Level

Baccalaureate•

Graduation Cohort

All Cohorts.

Destination Flows

Display

~

Filter Degrees ...

Post-Secondary Employment Outcomes Explorer I § What is PSEO? II fj Downl oad Data II • Email Us II O Tutori al II Q Help I

Program Industry Geography

l ·-·""'H"' ===:::::::::=:::::::::::=:::::=:=======1 ···-·• ... '"<- East North Central Balanc ••• 19% I

Middle Atlantic 17% I English Language and ... 100%

I All other Instructional Programs 11 Architecture and Related Services

Padfic1 3% 1

South Atlantic 10% I Momitain 3% ­

N<w&,gland 3. -

WertNorthtentrllili c::::::J East Sovtn .... ~ ~

11 Area, Ethnic, Cu ltural , Gender, and .. 11 Biological and Biomedical Sciences 11 Business , Management, Marketing __

Veteran’s Employment Outcome

22

Censii's Veteran Employment Outcomes Explorer LEHD HOME A - IJI.Jr ,.au

Occupation

2 Occupations Selected Select Multiple Characteristics

Eam1r.gs for Employed Veterans by Occupation

[ Data Type

_ Earnings ...

S45k

S40k

S35k

~ S30k .s; E ~ S25k

1 ~ S20k

S15k

S10k

S5k

so Infantry, Genera l

0

I [ Percemiles _ ■ 25% ■ 50% ■ 75%

OCCtJpation

Cohort

2000-2007

... I [ ~ears Post Discharge ... I

.!

Armor and Amphibious, Genera l

Industry

23

Umted States Census Veteran Employment Outcomes Explorer LE H D HO ME A ---S>.i•~~-MILITA RY SPECI ALI ZAT ION Y SERV ICE CHARACTE RIST IC Y DEMOGRA PHIC Y INDUSTRY Y HELP (7)

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10 Indust ries Selected 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Exit cohort two--year range

Earn ings for Employed Veterans by Industry

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SO +---------,--------,--------"T""------...... -------.-------"T"--------, 2000-2001 2002-2003 2004-2005 2006-2007 2008-2009 2010-2011 2012-2013 2014-2015

Exit Cohan

24

Employment RatesUmted States Census Veteran Employment Outcomes Explorer LEHD HO M E A

---S,.,1ca,

M ILITARY SP ECI ALI ZAT ION T

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10 Industries Selected

Coums of Veterans by Industry

[Dara Type

Counts

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0 2000-2001 2002-2003 2004-2005

SERV ICE CHARACTERIST IC T

2000 2002 2004 Exit cohort. two--year rarllJe

2006-2007 200&-200II

Exit Cohort

DEMO GRAP HIC T

2006

2010-2011

IND USTRY T H ELP {2)

2008 2010 2012 2014

Toggle Y-AXIS Zoom 0... .!

2012-2013

Retail Tnde Mllf"luhcbsing

Corm:ruct:icn Traisportationand _.

Wholeszile Trade lnformatlOn Mil'li,g.Quarl}Tlg, ... F.ianceand ~ IS'allCC: IJl:il~ Ag,D ..... - ...

2014-2015

25

Takeaways: Why Are LED Data Tools Important?• Accessibility • “Explorability”• Provide context• Visualizations lead to insight • Promote/market the data• Provide “value-add” for our state partners

4.0K

3.0K

"' :.; 0 C 2.0K

1 .0K D Full Quarter Employment D Hires All (Stable): ■ Separations (Stable): (St able): Average Monthly Earnings Average Monthly Earnings Average Monthly Earnings

1 995 Q·1 Quarter 2 Series

2000 Q 1 2005 Q 1 201 0 Q 1 201 5 Q 1

Q & A and Thank You!

Contact me at:Earlene.KP.Dowell@census.gov(301)763-9628