Impact of Energy Efficiency Drivers on the Building
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Transcript of Impact of Energy Efficiency Drivers on the Building
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Global Energy Efficiency Markets
Impact of Energy Efficiency Drivers on the Building
Technology Industry
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May 2009
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Certification
We hereby certify that the views expressed in this research service accurately reflect our views based on primary
and secondary research with industry participants, industry experts, end users, regulatory organisations, financial
and investment community, and other related sources.
In addition to the above, our robust in- house forecast & benchmarking models along with the Frost & Sullivan
Decision Support Databases have been instrumental in the completion and publishing of this report.
We also certify that no part of our analyst compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the
specific recommendations or views expressed in this service.
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Table of Contents
The Need for Energy Efficiency in Buildings
The Need for Energy Efficiency in Buildings 5 - 9
5 - 9
Impact of Energy Efficiency on Building Technologies Markets
Impact of Energy Efficiency on Building Technologies Markets 10-19
10-19
Key Interacting Building Technology Markets Impacted by Energy Efficiency
Technology Advancements and Market Developments
Technology & Growth Roadmap
Drivers, Restraints and Market Impact of Top 10 Growth Trends
Impact on Technology Markets and Key Players
Regional Trends and Hot Spots
Global Perspective for Energy Efficiency
Combined Impact of Emissions Reduction and Cost Saving
Electricity Demand Outlook by Region & Building Type
Major Regional Differences in Energy Uses
5
6
7-8
9
10
11-12
13
14-15
16-17
About Frost & Sullivan
About Frost & Sullivan 20-24
20-24
18-19
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Global Primary Energy demand
to increase by 50% between now
and 2030. Electricity Demand toincrease 60%.
Over 70% of this increase comes
from developing countries, led by
China and India.
Fossil Fuel Power will continue todominate and will grow dramatically in
the next 20 years.
Potable Water demand to grow
50% on 1995 levels by 2025.
CO2 Emissions reach 40 Gt in
2030, a 55% increase over today.
Significant Global Growth
Opportunities for Green
Technologies and services.
The global energy efficiency market is
challenged by three interlocking issues that
make markets both attractive and complex:
Energy and Fuel Costs
Environmental Issues
Growth in Global Energy Demand
Outlook for Energy Consumption
Global Building Technologies MarketsGlobal Perspective for Energy Efficiency
Global
Energy
Demand
Environment
EnergySupply
and Costs Construction
Activity
Connectivity
& Integration
Building
Intelligence
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AC & Cooling
5%
Heating
42%
Ventilation
2%
Water Heating18%
Lighting
5%
IT Equipment
1%
Other
Appliances
27%
The Need for Energy Efficiency in BuildingsCombined Impact of Emissions Reduction and Cost Saving
AC & Cooling
12%
Heating
28%
Ventilation
8%
Water Heating
3%
Lighting
32%
IT Equipment
4%
Other
Appliances
13%
Between 40-45% of global CO2
emissions come from buildings
Regional variations due to culture,climate and wealth
Energy consumption in buildings still on
a steep growth curve globally
60-65% of buildings in 2050 will have
been built by 2010 Retrofit/Refurbishment markets will be
the key area for energy savings
Efficient results require integrated
approaches and open opportunities for
energy management services.
80% of energy use over a buildings life
cycle is from the buildings operation
Single biggest opportunity is for energy
efficiency in buildings management
Huge cost saving opportunity
Buildings as Consumers of Energy
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Energy Efficiency Market: Industrial & Commercial
Energy Consumption in Buildings (World), 2008
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Energy Efficiency Market: Residential Energy
Consumption in Buildings (World), 2008
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North
America
33%
China
5%
Russia
9%
Europe
29%Latin America
4%
Rest of Asia
13%
Middle East2%
India
2%
Africa
3%
North
America
28%
Africa
3%
India
4%
Middle East
3%Rest of Asia
15%
Latin America
6%
Europe
22%
Russia6%
China
13%
North
America
23%
China
20%
Russia
5%
Europe18%Latin America
7%
Rest of Asia15%
Middle East
3%
India
6%
Africa
3%
Electricity consumption in China has
increased from 551 billion kWh in 1990 to
2,227 billion kWh in 2008 and is forecast
to increase further to 5,971 billion kWh by
2030. This means that Chinas share of the
global market will increase by a staggering
15% from 5% in 1990 to 20% in 2030.
Similarly, the share of other developing
regions is also forecast to increase. TheRest of Asias share increases from 13% to
15%, Latin Americas from 4% to 7%,
Indias from 2% to 6% and the Middle
Easts from 2% to 3% between 1990 and
2030.
The key reasons for the increase inelectricity consumption in developing
regions is rising populations, higher
economic growth, increased urbanisation,
and rural electrification projects.
Regional Electricity Consumption
The Need for Energy Efficiency in BuildingsElectricity Demand Outlook by Region
Regional Share of Electricity Consumption, 1990
Source: Frost & Sullivan and EIA.
Regional Share of Electricity Consumption, 2008
Regional Share of Electricity Consumption, 2030
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In 2008, final energy consumption
amounted to almost 300 Exajoules (EJ)
globally.
Industrial & commercial, households and
transport were the largest sectors
accounting for 88% of energy consumption
collectively.
Trends in energy use vary significantly by
country and region. Transport and servicesectors play a more important role in
developed regions and are the fastest
growing sectors in Europe and North
America.
In contrast, in the developing countries,
manufacturing and household energy use
dominate.
Energy use in China has increased the
most with final energy use increasing by
69% between 1990 and 2007.
Electricity Demand Structure
The Need for Energy Efficiency in BuildingsElectricity Demand Dominated by Buildings
Energy Consumption by Sector and Region, 2008
Energy Consumption by Sector, 2008
Source: Frost & Sullivan and IEA.
Note: Other includes construction, agriculture and fishing; Services includes
leisure, commercial services and datacentres.
Services
9%
Other
3%
Transport
26%
Ind & Comm.
33%
Households
29%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Europe Russia North
America
India China Asia Rest of
World
Other
Services
Transport
Households
Ind & Comm.
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The Need for Energy Efficiency in BuildingsMajor Regional Differences in Energy Uses
SpaceHeating
Lighting/Appliances
HotWater
AirConditioning
SpaceHeating
Lighting/Appliances
HotWater
AirConditionin
g
SpaceHeating
Lightin
g/Appliances
HotWater
Air
Conditioning
SpaceHeating
Lighting/Appliances
HotWater
AirConditioning
SpaceHeating
Lighting/Appliances
HotWater
AirConditioning
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
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Key Interacting Building Technology Markets Impacted byEnergy Efficiency
BTech Products HVAC Lighting
Refrigeration Smart Materials
Communication technology
Services Energy management
ESCOs
Performance contracting Consulting Retro-Fitting
Building Controls Building Automation
Home Automation
Integration
Lighting Controls
HVAC Controls
Micro-Renewables
Wind
Solar PV/BIPV
Heat Pumps
Solar Thermal
GreenBuildings
Smart
Buildings
Biomass
IntelligentBuildings
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Technology Advancements in the Key Energy Efficiency
Battlegrounds
HVAC
Alternative technologies (micro-renewables: heat pumps, BIPV, solar thermal,
biomass, micro wind etc.)
Resurgence of cogeneration (and micro-cogeneration) for use in buildings
Smart grid integration through building controls
Increasingly intelligent building/HVAC controls to manage primary energy use
Heat exchangers for internal heat transfer between zones
Materials
Smart materials (smart bricks, smart glass, )
More widespread and better use of insulation materials
Integration of new technology directly into building materials (e.g. BIPV)
Use of recycled and re-used waste materials in concrete etc.
Green building design incorporating energy efficient materials and equipment
Lighting
Compact fluorescent lamps (CFLs) as low energy lighting
LED lamps emerging at high efficiency and reduced cost
Integrated lighting controls within building automation systems Presence/motion detection sensors
Exploitation of natural light in building design
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Market Developments in the Key Energy Efficiency
Applications
Residential
Strong growth trend for microrenewables in homes, especially in Europe
Smart town/city concept facilitated by smart grids at individual homes level
Home automation maintains primary focus on HVAC integration and optimisation
Fuel/energy price volatility urging customers to seek energy efficiency measures Major push towards energy efficient lighting (supported by legislation in many regions)
Commercial
Accelerating evolution of building systems to IP-type networks
Financial advantages of integrated systems in reducing total CAPEX and OPEX
Continued growth in outsourced energy management services
Technologically sophisticated buildings emerging in growth markets of APAC and
Middle east
Increasing focus of major players on integrated energy efficiency solutions
Datacentres
Biggest datacentre concerns - Power consumption, availability & TCO Reducing ongoing costs is top of the agenda for datacentres
Leading to an increase in datacentre outsourcing and in external cloud computing.
Budget cuts not expected to impact installation of racks and the average power
consumption by datacentres.
Increase in use of Software as a Service (SaaS)
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Energy Efficiency and Building Controls:Technology and Growth Roadmap
1980 20001990
Evolution ofBuilding
Technology
Markets
2010 2020
Systems
Integration
Building
Management
& Control
Building
Automation
Green
Buildings
IT
ConvergenceFunctional
Controllers
Home
Automation
Building
Control
Building
AutomationSmart
Buildings
Energy
Control
Construction
& Operational
Efficiency
Building
Performance
Integrated
Networking
Energy
Management
Enhanced
Management
Intelligent
BuildingsHVAC Control
Intelligent
Green
Buildings
2009
Security
Convergence
Smart
Towns
Low Energy
Lighting
Micro-
Renewables
Micro-
Generation
Smart
Grids
How the movers & shakers are positioning themselves
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
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Unimportant Critical
Very Uncertain
Very Certain
Global Building Technologies MarketEnergy Efficiency . Drivers and Restraints of Growth
Economic
Growth in Emerging
Regions
Energy Efficiency
Inherently Linked
To Cost Saving
Rising Global
Population
Span of influence
across residential,
commercial andindustrial customers.
Market Drivers
Volatile
Energy Costs
Lack of Finance
In Emerging
Economies
Lack of
Green Focus
In Emerging
Markets
High cost of
retrofitting older
buildings
Market Restraints
Lack of
Consistent
Green Policies
Global
Economic
Slow-Down
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
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Global Building Technologies MarketMarket Impact of Top 10 Growth Trends
Projected
Impact on the
Building
TechnologiesIndustry
High Impact
Low Impact
Certainty
Low High
Micro
Renewables
Cogeneration
Resurgence
Smart Grid
Integration
Heat
Recycling
Smart
Buildings
Integrated
Networking
Advanced
Materials
Energy Management
& Control
Low Energy
Lighting
Green
Buildings
High Growth Impact
Low
Growth
Impact
Medium
Growth
Impact
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
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2007
0
Smart Grids
Micro-Renewables
Building Controls
EnergyEfficient
Lighting
Insulation
Materials
2008
2009
2010
2011
0
0
0
0
Energy efficient lighting largely unaffected by 2009
recession with strong legislation, although expectdecline in high end architectural lighting from Q1 2009.Short term dominance of CFL followed by mid termboom for LED lighting.
Dip in demand from Q3 2009 following weak
construction in residential buildings. Strong rebound
expected from Q3 2010. Primarily still a market in
Europe, North America and Japan. Opening up in other
parts of APAC for mid-term future.
Hit by weak construction in 2009, but underlyingdrivers are strong due to pivotal role in controlling
energy consumption. Also a key element ofintegration into smart grids. Integration and IPnetworking remain major trends in commercial sector.
Major role to play in both retrofit and new buildprojects. EU markets stimulated by governmentgrants. Close links to construction markets restrain
growth in 2008-10. Smart materials still a nichemarket with longer term opportunities beyond 2015.
Buzzing topic in 2008 driven by electricity demandgrowing faster than supply. Momentum maintained in2009 with strong acceleration expected in 2010.Attracting a broad spectrum of new players to theenergy efficiency marketplace.
Global Building Technologies Market
Impact of Energy Efficiency Drivers on Technology Markets
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
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Smart Grids Micro-RenewablesBuilding Controls
Energy
Efficient
Lighting
Insulation
Materials
Global Building Technologies MarketLeading Players by Segment
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
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About Frost & Sullivan
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Who is Frost & Sullivan
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Founded in 1961, Frost & Sullivan has over45 years of assisting clients with their decision-making and
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Developers ofT.E.A.M. Methodology, proprietary process to ensure that clients receive a 360o
perspective of technology, markets and growth opportunities.
Three core services: Growth Partnership Services, Growth Consulting and Career Best Practices.
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What Makes Us Unique
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