Impact of AI and (Quantum) Computing for collaborative ... · omputing for collaborative...
Transcript of Impact of AI and (Quantum) Computing for collaborative ... · omputing for collaborative...
Impact of AI and (Quantum) Computing for
collaborative governments in the Smart Machine Age
Pascal Huijbers
CTO Fujitsu Western Europe
Your future digital “smart” local government
1Copyright © FUJITSU 2019
Handcraftship
The smart Machine Age:
1780Industry 1.0
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Animals
Information
Paper
all is becoming smart:
Agrarian Society
Machines
Machine Age:
Vehicles
Knowledge
Low Cost Paper
1900Industry 2.0
1970Industry 3.0
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Industrial Society
TODAY
Smart Machines - Smart Robots
Smart Autonomous Vehicles
Intelligence
Digital
The Second Machine Age
Smart Machine Age:
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Industry 4.0 Society 5.0
Information Society
Smart Society
Turing testHow Smart is AI?
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Turing testHow Smart is AI?
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automatic speech recognition + translation
sound samples
Is she real?
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Context recognition
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AI Components
Knowledge Processing Decision & SupportSensing & Recognition
AIIn simple terms
Smart Machines
Artificial Intelligence
Computer Power
Digital Data
Smart Movers
SoftwareRobots
Smart Do-ers
AutonomousVehicles
Information basedRobots
Machines for„Do-Actions“
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Smart Machines
Artificial Intelligence
Computer Power
Digital Data
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1672 – Gulliver’s travel
1950 – Alan Turing proposes turing test
1951- First AI programs
1969 – Stanford: Shakey the robot
1969 – First AI conference on Stanford
1997 – Chess champion
2002 - Roomba – Vacuum cleaner
2005 – ASIMO walk as human
2009 – First autonomous car
2011 – Jeopardy Winner
2014 – Smartphone assistants
2015- Go champion
2017 – Poker champion
2018 – Language processing outscores top humans at Stanford
What can you do with AI Today?
Looking for Persons (face recognition)
Detecting Specific Suspicious People(looking for people by the color of the clothing, etc )
Detecting Unattended Objects
Congestion Detection
Customer Count at Shop
Optimization of Patrols
Illegal Parking
Predict demand
Analyze performance, problem,…
Discover insight, pattern,…
Detect incident, opportunity
Find people, content,…
De Slimme
digitale
samenleving
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DIJKEN
VAARWATER
BRUGGENWEGEN
MOBILITEIT
Prevent Sinkholes
Cavity Underground pipe
Experienced operators take more than a month to analyze the over 500 kilometer underground data
Reduced to only 10% of the time taken for a
manual approach by using deep learning
BEFORE
AFTER
(W/ DL)
dep
th(m
)
90%
reduction
Prevent Sinkholes
Vehicle Type Recognition16
Visualize road traffic condition such as congestion, break-downs, car profiles, incidents, illegal parking on a single dashboard.
Road Infrastructure status and traffic monitoring
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Recognition in Real World
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Never miss a beat with Predictive Maintenance
Facial Recognition19
20
SMART PARKING
Navigate DriverProvides Information for Decision-makingShows Available Parking
Occupancy by Area Trend
Occupancy by Slot Image Capture
Smart Parking
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Question by talking
Change question (invoice) to the text formBanking
Customers
Answer text
Speech synthesis
Calls by Phone.
Read the text and start search by AI
AI ENGINE
AI Chatbot
Voice recognitionengine
(voice to text)
Speech synthesisengine
(text to speech)
Virtual agent - Chatbot with voice
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Digital Transformation at 3 Levels
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Digitale Arenas – Digitale EcoSystemen
• De grenzen van organisaties, overheden en industrieën worden vager en vloeibaar
• De waarde voor mensen (klanten, burgers) wordt gerealiseerd door co-creatiemet partners, burgers, en technologie leveranciers gebaseerd op gedeelde platformen.
Mobiliteit
Veiligheid
Kwaliteit van Leven
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Hyperconnected API Economy
• Diverse digitalized products and services are connected via APIs, creating new Value
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26Function-orientedAPIs
ApplicationAPIs
Credit scoring
Conversationtranslation
Delivery
planning
Demand
prediction
Image
recognition
Speech
to text
Emotion
recognition
Text
analysis
Knowledge
structuringClassification Inference Prediction
Dialog
generation
Handwritten-text recognition
Speech
synthesis
Line-of-sight
recognition
Speech
comprehension
Knowledge
searchingDiscrimination Optimization
Question-
answering
Video
recognition
Behavior
recognitionMatching
Traffic image
recognition
Mobility
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API ECONOMY
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TPU
DLU
Project brainwave
True North
Volta
Nervana
AI OptimizedHardware/CPU
AI Patents
DSSTNE
BIG SUR
Deep Learning Platforms
Market overview
AI
*Please see last slide for Trademark Legal Notice / © 2018 FUJITSU
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How will AI affect you?
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67%
59%
37%
85%
76%
Liberal and ArtisticConservative and Traditional
Organized and Hard WorkingImpulsive and Spontaneous
Engaged with outside worldContemplative
Team working and TrustingCompetitive
Easily Stressed and EmotionalLaid back and relaxed
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The role of the employee
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The RoleOf the employee
Administrative Staff
720,000
Factory Worker
301,000
Sales People
498,000
Almost four out of tenemployees run the chance to be replaced by computers, robots and other machines by 2035.
1. Lopende band medewerkers
2. Onderhoudsmonteur
3. Call Center medewerker
4. Sorteerder
5. Data entry
6. Verzekerings claim medewerker
7. Belastingaangiftevoorbereider
8. Verkoopmedewerker
9. Vertaler
10. Fast Food medewerker
Top10 banen
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Quantum Computing andDigital Annealing
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Artificial Intelligence
Computer Power
Digital Data
Cloud
Quantum Computing
Edge
Smart Organisations
1968 Supercomputers are slower then your smartphone
(Galaxy 7 or iPhone 7)
2019 for Quantum is
as 1968 for traditional systems.
36 © 2019 FUJITSUUnclassified
Why beyond classical computing
The Navier-Stokes equations
It's surprisingly difficult to explain what happens when you stir cream into your morning coffee.
NP Problem
Travelling salesmen problem. Longest route or verify shortest route.
Easy problems versus difficult problems
Cryptography
Unbreakable Encryption?
38 © 2019 FUJITSUUnclassified
Quantum inspired Computer Hardware
1977 / 1981- NowGeneral Purpose Computer
Now
Digital Annealer
A quantum inspired computer hardwarethat can rapidly solve combinatorial optimisation
problems using existing semiconductor technology
2025 - 2030 Quantum Computer
?Brain-Like Computer
Traditional Digital Annealer Quantum Computer Brain-like
39 © 2019 FUJITSUUnclassified
5 Minutes - Quantum Physics for CxO’s
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Superposition
Traditional QUBIT / QUANTUM+BIT
0 1
“0” or “1” DIGITAL STATE
or
“0” and “1”QUANTUM STATE
Superposition0 1
Probability
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Quantum Entanglement
QUBIT
Spooking action communication at a distance –Direct interaction
QUBIT
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Quantum Tunnelling
Side One Side Two
NetTennis Court
QUBIT
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What can all this power do?
It can solve problems exponentially and in parallel.
So what problems are exponentially complex?
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Example cases
Automotive: Factory OptimizationCar manufacturers are looking to improve
production efficiencies in order to accelerate
deployment of new vehicles.
Bio/Material Science: Faster Molecular Similarity SearchChemical and pharmaceutical laboratories use molecular similarity
searching, which partially extracts molecule characteristics to search for
new substances and to develop new drugs.
Financial Services: Low-Risk Portfolio OptimizationA Digital Annealer powered portfolio solution finds the ideal investment
allocation to maximize returns by grouping stocks that correlate with price
variations, enabling portfolios to be managed with accuracy and reduced risk.
Retail: Personalized Digital MarketingUsing the Digital Annealer, marketing agencies and retail companies can
accurately and instantly deliver personalized content to existing and
prospective customers through engaging and targeted web content, thereby influencing their
purchase decisions.
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Collaborationand Cloud in a Digital World
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Predictions for the Public Sector
All levels of government see the top three game-changing technologies as ;
1) artificial intelligence (AI)/machine learning (27%),
2) data analytics/predictive analytics (22%) ,
3) cloud technologies (19%).
Source: (1) Gartner 2019 CIO Agenda Public Sector; (2) Tech Market View: Public Sector Predictions 2019
48 © 2019 FUJITSU
Cloud adoption in the Public Sector
Source: PAC: Insight analysis Public Sector; Bitglass: Raiders of EMEA Cloud Adoption Report; Smarter with Gartner; TechRadar
Gartner foresees double-digit growth in government use
of public cloud services WW, with spending forecast to
grow on average 17.1% per year through 2021.
Office 365 is the most widely adopted cloud application
across EMEA. Government organizations lead the way from
an industry perspective with a 41.6 percent adoption rate.
The UK Government has emerged as clear champion of cloud
services as way to improve flexibility and efficiency;
Public sector bodies are increasingly opting for Software-
as-a-Service to support application modernisation;
UK Government figures for the 2017/2018 year show that
around £1.1bn was spent on cloud services including hosting,
software and support which is more than double the £421m
spent in 2014/2015.
There is an increasing tendency among German public sector
institutions to consolidate IT infrastructures and applications. One
of the major steps is to bundle the development of IT applications
and services most commonly used at the federal level (application
consolidation) and set up a federal cloud ("Bundes-Cloud").
A lack of broadband and mobile network availability remains a
major obstacle and inhibits digital transformation and cloud
computing initiatives in a significant number of Municipalities;
Data security issues result in a pronounced reluctance in cloud
adoption, often even concerning private cloud delivery models;
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How governments are locally dealing with IT
Source: PAC: Insight analysis Public Sector;
Local authorities have been slow to embrace digital
transformation.
Many organizations simply haven’t been able to create the space
to fully consider the role technology has to play in improving
efficiency and effectiveness and have been held back by
concerns about legacy processes, political implications, security,
resource limitations, and a lack of technical/supplier knowledge.
The pace of cloud adoption in local government has lagged other
parts of the public sector and councils continue to be held back
by existing long-term infrastructure obligations, legacy processes
and limited revenue budgets relative to capex.
In Germany, although increasing, the level of coordination between
local initiatives is still rather weak.
At a municipal level, there are still political or personal constraints
hampering digitalization initiatives. While local IT managers are
better able to see the potential and possibilities of digital services for
citizens, some mayors may insist on not changing established (non-
digital and slow) processes too much.
There is an increasing tendency among local public sector
institutions to outsource data center, infrastructure, and application
services to IT service centers focused on administrative entities (in
most cases, these are institutions under public law, such as Dataport
or ITDZ Berlin).
The Dutch public sector has a highly decentralized structure of
local municipalities, education, and healthcare institutions;
Various tasks are being transferred from the central government to
local authorities. As a result, local institutions have an increasing
demand for external support in order to deal with new challenges.
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Digital Business Platform
Digital Business Platform
TRADITIONAL(Robust IT)
Waterfall / AgileTraditional infraVirtualizationBare MetalCost CenterIT Technology
MODERN(Fast IT)
Scrum/DevOps,Cloud Native
PaaSPay as you go
Software definedAnything as a ServiceBusiness technology
Containers
HYBRID
Cloud Gemeenten
Artificial Intelligence
Computer Power
Digital Data
Cloud
Quantum Computing
Edge
Smart Organisations
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Samenwerking voor Gemeenten op het gebied van Cloud
PRIVATE PUBLIC
SAAS
PAAS
IAAS
COMMMUNITY
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Community Cloud (Gemeente Cloud)
Community cloud: The cloud infrastructure is provisioned for exclusive use by a specific community of consumers
from organizations that have shared concerns (e.g., mission, security requirements, policy, and compliance
considerations).It may be owned, managed, and operated by one or more of the organizations in the community, a
third party, or some combination of them, and it may exist on or off premises.
ON-Site Community Cloud (NIST) Off-site Community Cloud (NIST)
Aangewezen gemeente Aangewezen provider
Service Integration and Management (SIAM)
Local Government (Gemeente)
Cloud Services Management
Serv
ice
Cata
log
ue
Res
ourc
e Pr
ovis
ion
ing
Syst
em M
onit
orin
g
Bac
kup
& R
esto
re
Cost
An
alyt
ics
&
Pre
dic
tion
Syst
em B
luep
rin
tin
g
Cloud Service Management
Serv
ice
Man
agem
ent
Serv
ice
Rep
orti
ng
Serv
ice
Das
hb
oard
Iden
tity
& A
cces
s
Proc
ess
Aut
omat
ion
Serv
ice
Inn
ovat
ion
Service Security Supplier Process Technical
PRIVATECLOUD Data
CenterIaaS
PaaSDatabase Integration
StorageNetwork Compute
Container MessagingSOAJava TRADITIONAL
SaaS
SSC
SOC / SIEM
ApplicationOperations
Public Clouds
SAAS
Government Services Community
Cloud (local government)
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VNG Scenario’s ‘afsprakenstelsel’ ??
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Standards only (books of standard) Technologische standaarden
Gegevensdefinities
Procurement Framework (incl agreements, criteria)
Generic (brokerage) services; Technical connections (incl integrator/connection/cloudbox)
Cloud Services Catalogue
Monitoring and reporting
Security services such as SOC/SIEM
Provisioning Platform of services
Identity and access framework (one login service for civil servants)
Backup and Restore , escrow
Core-infrastructure – Community Cloud
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RegionalLocal GovernmentCommunity Cloud
SCENARIO’s
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Den Haag
Amsterdam
Groningen
Zwolle
Arnhem
Main RegionLocal GovernmentCommunity Cloud
SCENARIO’s
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Den Haag
CentralizedLocal GovernmentCommunity Cloud
SCENARIO’s
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Decentral Cloud Grid
SCENARIO’s
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Hybrid IT
Gartner, Hype Cycle for Cloud Computing, 2016, ZDnet
Hybrid IT will probably save costs from migrating everything to cloud. Why Hybrid IT?
■ Customers have plenty of applications that they probably will
never move to the cloud - or at least will not move to the cloud in
any kind of reasonable timeframe.
■ Lots of people are still running mainframe systems, that are
unlikely to end up going to the cloud. At least until the applications
themselves are replaced.
■ For those systems where there is no pressing need to move them
onto a cloud infrastructure, it can be better to avoid the expense
of doing so until necessary.
■ There isn't necessarily instant ROI on moving to the cloud.
Therefore customers may want to continue to run things the way
that they always have, at least until there is a precipitating event
that might require further investment.
■ The decision to pursue hybrid IT and keep running a legacy
system on existing architecture will likely cost less than building
out or buying into a private cloud infrastructure and re-architecting
systems to run on that new infrastructure.
■ The practice of connecting up the old and the new, of colocating
enterprise data centres alongside high-speed connections to
major public cloud platforms is growing.
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Simpel Model
Cloud Broker Model
Gemeente
CLOUD
CLOUD
BROKER
CloudModellenbroker
CLOUD
CLOUD
CLOUD
CLOUD
CLOUD
CLOUD
CLOUD
KLANT
KLANTFOCUS LEVERANCIERFOCUSBROKER FOCUS
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SAASSAAS
Public Cloud
Afsprakenstelsel
Public Cloud
Gemeente
On-site Private Cloud
Gemeente Cloud
SAAS
Centrale Overheid
Gemeentelijke SSC
On-site Legacy
Sociaal Domein
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SAASSAAS
Public Cloud
Afsprakenstelsel
Public Cloud
GemeenteGemeente
GemeenteGemeente
On-site Private Cloud
Gemeente Cloud
SAAS
Centrale Overheid
Gemeentelijke SSC
On-site Legacy
AFSPRAKENSTELSEL
Sociaal Domein
BROKER (VNG)
All product names, logos, and brands areproperty of their respective owners. All company, product and service names usedin these slides are for identification purposesonly. Use of these names, logos, and brandsdoes not imply endorsement.