Impact assessment of anthropogenic emission control upon aerosol mass burden during heavy pollution...

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Impact assessment of anthropogenic emission control upon aerosol mass burden during heavy pollution episodes over North China Plain Meigen Zhang, Xiao Han LAPC, Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences, 20 November 2015 17 th GEIA Conference Tsinghua University, Beijing, China

description

PM 2.5 Mass concentration Monthly average mass concentration of PM 2.5 in NCP An extreme air pollution accompanied by widespread haze cloud appeared in January 2013 over NCP. The monthly average PM 2.5 mass burden could reach 200 μg m -3 in Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan, and could exceed 250 μg m -3 in southern Hebei province, and part of Shandong and Henan province (Wang et al., 2014; Zhang et al., 2014).

Transcript of Impact assessment of anthropogenic emission control upon aerosol mass burden during heavy pollution...

Page 1: Impact assessment of anthropogenic emission control upon aerosol mass burden during heavy pollution episodes over North China Plain Meigen Zhang, Xiao.

Impact assessment of anthropogenic emission control upon aerosol mass

burden during heavy pollution episodes over North China Plain

Meigen Zhang, Xiao HanLAPC, Institute of Atmospheric Physics

Chinese Academy of Sciences, 20 November 2015

17th GEIA ConferenceTsinghua University, Beijing, China

Page 2: Impact assessment of anthropogenic emission control upon aerosol mass burden during heavy pollution episodes over North China Plain Meigen Zhang, Xiao.

Domain & Methodology 94×90 grid cells with a 16 km resolution on a rotated. Polar stereographic map projection centered at (116°E, 40°N). 15 vertical layers, unequally spaced from the ground to ~23 km, with approximately half of them concentrated in the lowest 2 km to improve the simulation of the atmospheric boundary layer.

Brute Force Method

Emission sector Zero-out simulations

Industry

TransportPower plants

ResidentialAnthropogenic sources

Page 3: Impact assessment of anthropogenic emission control upon aerosol mass burden during heavy pollution episodes over North China Plain Meigen Zhang, Xiao.

PM2.5 Mass concentration

Monthly average mass concentration of PM2.5 in NCP

An extreme air pollution accompanied by widespread haze cloud appeared in January 2013 over NCP. The monthly average PM2.5 mass burden could reach 200 μg m-3 in Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan, and could exceed 250 μg m-3 in southern Hebei province, and part of Shandong and Henan province (Wang et al., 2014; Zhang et al., 2014).

Page 4: Impact assessment of anthropogenic emission control upon aerosol mass burden during heavy pollution episodes over North China Plain Meigen Zhang, Xiao.

Zero-out simulations

The PM2.5 variations upon removal of each emission sector

Under the heavy pollution background, the PM2.5 mass burden increased 5-10 μg m-3 by removing the power plants and transport sectors.

January July

The seasonal variation of residential sectors was significant.

Page 5: Impact assessment of anthropogenic emission control upon aerosol mass burden during heavy pollution episodes over North China Plain Meigen Zhang, Xiao.

Zero-out simulations

Variation of major PM2.5 components upon removal of each emission sector in three regions

The major negative value was derived from the nitrate aerosol.

Page 6: Impact assessment of anthropogenic emission control upon aerosol mass burden during heavy pollution episodes over North China Plain Meigen Zhang, Xiao.

Conclusion

Nonlinearity & pollution control strategies

The result of the sensitivity tests clearly indicated that the mass burden of secondary aerosol components and emission intensity of precursors did not simply follow a linear relationship under the combined pollution background.

Policy–makers must be aware of the nonlinearity between the emission sources and secondary pollutants. It is suggested that comprehensive pollution control strategies should be implemented based on the specific pollution conditions.

In future work, the nonlinearity of secondary aerosol formation should be further investigated to explore more effective strategies for improving air quality and preventing haze occurrence in the NCP.