Il nuovo Zenit della Silver Age: come gli analytics hanno aiutato

l’evoluzione dei servizi per gli anziani

Silver Economy Trends

Population distribution in Italy: age, gender and civil status

Social and demographic framework

21,9%over 65 in Italy

82,9yearsLife expectancy in Italy

Compared with 80,6 years in UE

7,6%WIDOWERS OVER 65

20,9%PENSIONERS

Estimate public health expenditure in Italy: 56,630 billion

Italy and Europe LTC’s trends

LTC INTERVENTION MIX: care services or financialresources?

LTC Expenditure Division for benefits supplied in 4 countries

Local or National Governance?

Public Expenditure for health-care intervention for all targets of intervention (2011 data by Cergas)

Needs and right: taking on responsibility or assistance?

Estimate population LTC over 65 beneficiary of at least one LTC operation (4 countriesanalysed). Estimate public expenditure for each patient.

Potential Market only for Health & Social-Care services:

MORE THAN 200 BILLION EUROS

System articulation

System articulation: PATH or LABYRINTH

Review the system?

Change in senior trends

Home and lifestyle after retirement: relocate or not?

Italy top choice: country

side/outside of the city

UE top choice: smaller home

in the same city

Social and demographic framework

<800€

800-1500€

1500-3000€

>3000€

non risponde

14%

39%33%

11%

3%

Over 65: average monthly pension-income

SILVER ECONOMY NEWS

Silver Economy is worth 15 trillion

dollars in 2020, but only few

people talk about it.

Silver Economy will represent a major opportunity for

companies of advanced countries

Aging and Markets:

Silver Economy and its potential

for investors

Report of Natixis – soon and for the first time over 65

will be more than under 5 children. Investment

opportunities of the Silver Economy will pass through

the spending preferences of over 60: Health-Care,

Consumptions and Finance will be the beneficiariesSectors.

The Silver Dollar

Existing Nursing Home in Milan – Data Analysis

Nusing Home:

138 bedsPRICES:

• N.H. double room: € 89,00

• N.H. single room: €112,80

Patients (detail 2012-2015)

Patients Distribution

Data Analysis

Population over 70 with Income > € 25 000

• Population over 70: 130

• Widowers 53

• Pensioners 120

• Per capita Income: € 31.083

• Per capita Consumption: € 25.008

• Per capita Investments: € 138.557

• Per capita Deposits: € 27.423

• Per capita Health Consumption:€ 675

• Population over 70: 157

• Widowers 62

• Pensioners 153

• Per capita Income: € 26.910

• Per capita Consumption: € 22.212

• Per capita Investments: € 145.609

• Per capita Deposits: € 28.801

• Per capita Health Consumption: € 920

Data Analysis

Target Units

Selected drivers:

• Population over 70• Per capita Income: > 25 000 €• Per capita Consumption: > 20 000 €• Per capita Health Consumption: > 600 €• Per capita Investments: > 150 000 €• Per capita Deposits: > 30 000 €

20 areas with:

Population over 70 between 79 and 129 people

• 1.896 people over 70

• 760 widowers

• 2.091 pensioners

141 areas with:

Population over 70 between 41 and 78 people

• 7.635 people over 70

• 3.271 widowers

• 8.494 pensioners

Data Analysis

Income pro-capita

Investments pro-capita

TERRITORIAL BORDERS925 census units

SUMMARY DATA

CATCHMENT AREAProvince of Milano

Lombardia Italia

N. % N. or % N. or % N. or %

N° of sections 925 14.273 52.900 401.517

SYNTHETIC POTENTIAL INDEX TOTAL SUM 67.441,78 877.250 2.790.008 19.739.576

AVERAGE SYNTHETIC POTENTIAL INDEX 72,91 61 53 49

Population 176.652 3.037.776 9.700.953 59.416.502

Population over 75 (+) 21.262 12,04% 10,48% 9,99% 10,35%

Population 75-85 (+) 15.323 8,67% 7,78% 7,35% 7,51%

Retirees (+) 36.002 20,38% 22,82% 22,35% 21,33%

Graduates (++) 55.458 31,39% 14,72% 10,90% 10,55%

Widowers over 65 (+) 11.970 6,78% 7,83% 7,74% 7,79%

Families 90.477 1.373.398 4.155.440 24.600.623

Families with home property 58.348 64,49% 66,20% 70,50% 75,6%

Families with rental home (++) 22.995 25,42% 22,31% 18,72% 17,97%

One or two components families (+) 66.794 73,82% 65,16% 60,92% 58,22%

Single over 65 with children 2.146 2,37% 2,58% 2,87% 3,00%

Single over 65 without children (++) 15.047 16,63% 14,33% 13,52% 13,64%

Couples over 65 with children 1.509 1,67% 2,03% 2,32% 2,52%

Couples over 65 without children (+) 7.799 8,62% 10,04% 9,38% 9,21%

Income (average per capita) (++) 29.369 21.757 18.145 15.315

Consumption (average per capita) 23.869 18.369 15.655 13.014

Savings (average per capita) (+) 5.500 3.388 2.490 2.301

Health Consumption (average per capita) 807 634 535 464

Deposits (average per capita) 40.812 26.069 19.564 16.472

Investments (average per capita) 188.873 97.692 63.364 46.480

Target Area for potential development

Successful

Target

Area

New Potential Location

New potential location in Firenze – Data Analysis

Data AnalysisIncome pro-capita

Investments pro-capita

Data Analysis

Population over 70 with Income > € 20 000

• Population over 70: 134

• Widowers 47

• Pensioners 113

• Per capita Income: € 23.473

• Per capita Consumption: € 19.692

• Per capita Investments: € 49.955

• Per capita Deposits: € 17.994

• Per capita Health Consumption: € 728

• Population over 70: 176

• Widowers 95

• Pensioners 228

• Per capita Income: € 22.260

• Per capita Consumption: € 18.889

• Per capita Investments: € 81.078

• Per capita Deposits: € 29.068

• Per capita Health Consumption:€ 655

TERRITORIAL BORDERS1.572 census units

28th april 2016

SUMMARY DATA

CATCHMENT AREAProvince of Firenze

Toscana Italia

N. % N. or % N. or % N. or %

N° of sections 1.572 6.806 28.834 401.517

SYNTHETIC POTENTIAL INDEX TOTAL SUM 105.430,57 397.130 1.551.140 19.739.576

AVERAGE SYNTHETIC POTENTIAL INDEX 67,07 58 54 49

Population 261.476 972.965 3.671.007 59.416.502

Population over 75 (+) 36.126 13,82% 12,60% 12,29% 10,35%

Population 75-85 (+) 24.448 9,35% 8,75% 8,62% 7,51%

Retirees (+) 63.362 24,23% 24,43% 24,10% 21,33%

Graduates (++) 57.713 22,07% 13,07% 10,92% 10,55%

Widowers over 65 (+) 20.689 7,91% 8,53% 8,74% 7,79%

Families 128.617 422.767 1.568.540 24.600.623

Families with home property 87.338 67,91% 69,80% 70,31% 75,6%

Families with rental home (++) 28.718 22,33% 18,11% 16,61% 17,97%

One or two components families (+) 91.591 71,21% 62,40% 60,62% 58,22%

Single over 65 with children 3.886 3,02% 2,81% 2,75% 3,00%

Single over 65 without children (++) 20.234 15,73% 13,68% 13,87% 13,64%

Couples over 65 with children 2.936 2,28% 2,56% 2,53% 2,52%

Couples over 65 without children (+) 12.617 9,81% 11,06% 10,79% 9,21%

Income (average per capita) (++) 21.274 18.121 16.336 15.315

Consumption (average per capita) 18.103 15.681 14.292 13.014

Savings (average per capita) (+) 3.171 2.440 2.044 2.301

Health Consumption (average per capita) 662 547 498 464

Deposits (average per capita) 25.491 18.456 16.410 16.472

Investments (average per capita) 74.307 52.300 45.838 46.480

33Chapitre 04 –

34Chapitre 04 –

mariuccia.rossini@korian.it

@RossiniKorian

@Mariuccia Rossini