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Ignite Chennai: Pictures through Numbers
Transcript of Ignite Chennai: Pictures through Numbers
PICTURES USING NUMBERS
S ANANDWWW.S-ANAND.NET
2010 Bangalore DelhiHyderaba
dMumbai
MonthPric
eSale
sPric
eSale
sPric
eSale
sPric
eSale
s
Jan 10.0 8.04 10.0 9.14 10.0 7.46 8.0 6.58
Feb 8.0 6.95 8.0 8.14 8.0 6.77 8.0 5.76
Mar 13.0 7.58 13.0 8.74 13.012.7
48.0 7.71
Apr 9.0 8.81 9.0 8.77 9.0 7.11 8.0 8.84
May 11.0 8.33 11.0 9.26 11.0 7.81 8.0 8.47
Jun 14.0 9.96 14.0 8.10 14.0 8.84 8.0 7.04
Jul 6.0 7.24 6.0 6.13 6.0 6.08 8.0 5.25
Aug 4.0 4.26 4.0 3.10 4.0 5.39 19.012.5
0
Sep 12.010.8
412.0 9.13 12.0 8.15 8.0 5.56
Oct 7.0 4.82 7.0 7.26 7.0 6.42 8.0 7.91
Nov 5.0 5.68 5.0 4.74 5.0 5.73 8.0 6.89
Average
9.0 7.50 9.0 7.50 9.0 7.50 9.0 7.50
Variance
10.0 3.75 10.0 3.75 10.0 3.75 10.0 3.75
DETECTING FRAUD
“We know meter readings are incorrect, for various reasons.
We don’t, however, have the concrete proof we need to start the process of meter reading automation.
Part of our problem is the volume of data that needs to be analysed. The other is the inexperience in tools or analyses to identify such patterns.
ENERGY UTILITY
Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11217 219 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 350 200 200250 200 200 200 201 200 200 200 250 200 200 150250 150 150 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 150150 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 50200 200 200 150 180 150 50 100 50 70 100 100100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 110 100100 150 123 123 50 100 50 100 100 100 100 100
0 111 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 50 500 100 27 100 50 100 100 100 100 100 70 1001 1 1 100 99 50 100 100 100 100 100 100
Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11217 219 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 350 200 200250 200 200 200 201 200 200 200 250 200 200 150250 150 150 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 150150 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 50200 200 200 150 180 150 50 100 50 70 100 100100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 110 100100 150 123 123 50 100 50 100 100 100 100 100
0 111 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 50 500 100 27 100 50 100 100 100 100 100 70 1001 1 1 100 99 50 100 100 100 100 100 100
Section Apr-10May-10Jun-10Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Oct-10Nov-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Section 1 70% 97% 136% 65% 110% 116% 121% 107% 114% 88% 74% 109%Section 2 66% 92% 66% 87% 70% 64% 63% 50% 58% 38% 41% 54%Section 3 90% 46% 47% 43% 28% 31% 50% 32% 19% 38% 8% 34%Section 4 44% 24% 36% 39% 21% 18% 24% 49% 56% 44% 31% 14%Section 5 4% 63% -27% 20% 41% 82% 26% 34% 43% 2% 37% 15%Section 6 18% 23% 30% 21% 28% 33% 39% 41% 39% 18% 0% 33%Section 7 36% 51% 33% 33% 27% 35% 10% 39% 12% 5% 15% 14%Section 8 22% 21% 28% 12% 24% 27% 10% 31% 13% 11% 22% 17%Section 9 19% 35% 14% 9% 16% 32% 37% 12% 9% 5% -3% 11%
FINDING PATTERNS
Which securities move together?
How should I diversify?
What should I sell to reduce risk?
What’s a reliable predictor of a security?
SECURITIES
68% correlation between AUD &
EUR
Plot of 6 month daily AUD - EUR
values
EDUCATION
PREDICTING MARKS
What determines a child’s marks?
Do girls score better than boys?
Does the choice of subject matter?
Does the medium of instruction matter?
Does community or religion matter?
Does the first letter of their name matter?
Does their sun sign matter?
Based on the results of the 20 lakh students taking the Class XII exams at Tamil Nadu over the last 3 years, it appears that the month you were born in can make a difference of as much as 120 marks out of 1,200.
June borns score the
lowest
The marks shoot up for Aug borns
… and peaks for Sep-borns
120 marks out of 1200
explainable by month of birth
An identical pattern was observed in 2009 and 2010…
… and across districts, gender, subjects, and class X & XII.
“It’s simply that in Canada the eligibility cutoff for age-class hockey is January 1. A boy who turns ten on January 2, then, could be playing alongside someone who doesn’t turn ten until the end of the year—and at that age, in preadolescence, a twelve-month gap in age represents an enormous difference in physical maturity.”
-- Malcolm Gladwell, Outliers
NETWORKS
EXPLORING RELATIONS
This is the social network of programmers across various Indian cities, using the follower network at Github.com – a Facebook for developers.
Each circle represents a coder. The size shows their number of followers. The colour shows the language they develop in. The lines show whom they follow.
PuneChennaiBangalore
DelhiMumbaiHyderabad
INDIAN ODI BATTING
INDIAN ODI BATTING
http://www.s-anand.net
http://blog.gramener.com