IEA Update

Bioenergy How2Guide

© OECD/IEA 2013

Bioenergy How2Guide

Bioenergy Perspectives

Adam Brown

Renewable Energy Division

International Energy Agency, Paris

IEA Roadmaps

© OECD/IEA 2013

� IEA Technology Roadmap: Biofuels for Transport (2011)

� IEA Technology Roadmap: Bioenergy for Heat and Power

(2012)

Medium Term Renewables Market Report

15%

20%

25%

30%

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000TWh IEA 2° C

Scenario

Global renewable electricity production, by technology (TWh)

© OECD/IEA 2013

� Renewable electricity projected to scale up by 40% from

2012 to 2018

0%

5%

10%

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

Hydropower Bioenergy Onshore windOffshore wind Solar PV CSPGeothermal Ocean % Total generation

Gas-fired generation 2016

Nuclear generation 2016

100

120

140

1.5

2.0

2.5

billion litresmb/d

3% Road

Transport

Fuel

Biofuels Market Growth

© OECD/IEA 2013

0

20

40

60

80

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Rest of Global Biofuels OECD EUR Biofuels

Brazil Biofuels US Biofuels

How2Guides

� Builds on the IEA global energy technology

roadmap series started in 2008

� Now more than 20 technology roadmaps and

more under development

© OECD/IEA 2013

more under development

� Growing number of requests for assistance

from emerging and developing economies

with the development of technology

roadmaps tailored to national frameworks

� How2Guide is a response to this context

� Links to IEA capacity building and training

programme

Bioenergy How2Guide

Power

Heat

© OECD/IEA 2013

� Bioenergy How2Guide

�Biofuels for transport, bioenergy for heat and power

�No duplication

�Need for cooperation with partner organisations

�Short signposting document (40-50 pages)

Biofuels

Main Issues

1. Strategic considerations in energy, agriculture and

forestry strategy

2. Energy markets and trends

3. Resource availability

4. Sustainability of biomass supply and use

© OECD/IEA 2013

4. Sustainability of biomass supply and use

5. Technology status and costs,

6. Potential barriers to deployment (e.g. technology, policy,

market, finance),

7. Policy options and an analysis of their costs and

effectiveness

8. Financing options

9. Stakeholder engagement and public acceptability,

capacity building

Resource Availability

Full range of resources

� Wastes

� MSW (lfg and msw

incineration)

� Sewage and other

Issues

� Availability

� Costs

� Resource costs and

implications

© OECD/IEA 2013

� Sewage and other

effluents

� Processing residues

� Locally collected feedstocks

� Energy crops

� Internationally traded

products

implications

� Sustainability

� Risks/stability of supply

Bioenergy How2Guide:

Proposed Timeframe

� Inception workshop, Paris 30 October 2013

� Outline of the How2Guide report by Jan 2014

� Regional workshops

© OECD/IEA 2013

� Eurasia, February 2014

� Southern Africa, Q1/2 2014

� South East Asia (+ India), June 2014

� Latin America, Autumn 2014

� First draft report by Q4 2014

� Publication of the Bioenergy How2Guide: Q1 2015

Bioenergy Perspectives

� Bioenergy very important in IEA low-carbon future

scenarios – largest primary energy source by 2050 in ETP

20 Scenario

� But barriers to progress:

� Costs

© OECD/IEA 2013

� Costs

� Feedstock availability and sustainability

� Non-economic barriers

� Detailed analysis of prospects and issues

� Particular emphasis on role of new technology and on

integration of energy production with bio-based

industries upstream and downstream

� Draft produced by end 2014 and publication in early 2015

Thanks!

© OECD/IEA 2013

Thanks!

adam.brown@iea.org