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Transcript of Identifying healthcare needs using predictive analytics and social media, pop up uni, 11am, 2...
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Safe Harbor Statement
The following is intended to outline our general product direction. It is intended for information purposes only, and my not be incorporated into any contract. It is not a commitment to deliver any material, code, or functionality, and should not be relied upon in making purchasing decisions. The development, release, and timing of any features or functionality described for Oracle’s products remains at the sole discretion of Oracle.
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Jeremy Nettle Healthcare, Oracle
Dr. Lester Russell & Claire Medd RGN
Health & Life Sciences EMEA, Intel
2 September 2015
$8TN 4
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2010) “OECD Health Data”, OECD Health Statistics
“Exponentials can’t go on forever, because eventually they will gobble up everything.”
– Carl Sagan
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
$0
$8,000
$7,000
$6,000
$5,000
$4,000
$3,000
$2,000
$1,000
United States
Switzerland
Canada
OECD Average
Sweden
United Kingdom
Pe
r C
ap
ita
Sp
en
din
g –
PP
P A
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d
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80% of GP consultations (UK)
75% of health bill (US)
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Diabetes drugs = 10% of UK GPs’ drug budgets
Source Daily Mail 14th August 2015
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Illness that is costing us billions £869M spent on diabetes medications by family doctors in the last year.
£14B is the total spent by the NHS each year treating diabetes, including complications – which is nearly a tenth of its annual budget.
1 in 7 hospital beds are taken up by diabetics.
3.9M Britons have diabetes, the majority type 2, which is usually caused by obesity. The total has risen by two thirds in a decade.
2.5M are thought to have the condition but have not yet been diagnosed.
120 amputations carried out on diabetics a week due to complications of the illness. It also leads to 14,000 heart attacks, 17,000 strokes and 7,500 patients needing kidney dialysis or transplants a year.
Every
30 seconds a leg is lost to
Diabetes somewhere in the world
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Source Daily Mail 14th August 2015
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1 in 3 people with diabetes type 2
are unaware of it
Health and Clinical Analytics Using the data to improve commission for better health outcomes
Increase in real-world data
70% 61% 54%
Will you use secondary health data within the next 2 years?
Provider Pharma Payer
Aggregation and analysis of big data Management Cost of Chronic Diseases are out of control
Shift to value-based medicine from volume-based medicine
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Patient stratification to identify population subsets for targeted intervention
Cloud technologies are enhancing R&D collaboration
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Medical image archives are increasing by
20-40% annually.3
X-RAY 30MB
Mammograms
120MB
3D CT Scan 1GB
425K Telehealth.2
Health care analytics:
80% unstructured data :images, video and email.4
3D MRI 150MB
PACS
Opportunity for data use
Sources:1. http://www.netapp.com/us/media/wp-7169.pdf; 2. BCC Research Global Markets for Telemedicine Technologies (HLC014E). March 2012 3. http://datascienceseries.com/assets/blog/The_Age_of_Data-Driven_Medic ine.pdf (page 9); 4. http://www.zdnet.com/news/unstructured-data-challenge-or-asset/6356681
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It is estimated that the average hospital generates
Hospital, pharmacy and clinic records
665TB of data annually1
Big data is not about the data, the real value is in the analytics!
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Preventing Hospital Readmission
Managing Population Health
Commissioning on Outcomes
Geo-based Commissioning
Oracle Health Science SOLUTIONS addressing key challenges
INTEL technology tailored & optimized for oracle to deliver Extreme reliability and performance
Extending from treatment for cancer to chronic conditions
Earlier intervention Targeted Service Delivery
Using patient cohorts and pharmacogenomics, including new uses for meds
Population Health
Managing health at great scale
Workflow Optimization
From workbench to clinical practice, building in cost-control
Cloud Strategy
Management of structured and unstructured data
SDI infrastructure
Management of exponentially growing volume of data
Resilience
Top to bottom and scale out, resilience built in
Security
Hardened optimized encryption and decryption
Identifying Healthcare Needs Using Predictive Analytics and Social Media
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WORKING TOGETHER, WITH THE INDUSTRY & CUSTOMERS TO MAKE ALL THIS POSSIBLE
Precision Medicine
Targeted Medication
Patient self help
Real time Diagnosis
PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS
Operational analytics
Clinical Analytics
Scans Images
Sensor data
Clinical Data
Home monitoring
Ingestible Devices
Wearable Devices
Our Strategy for Data Intensive Care
Data
Servers Storage Network
Applications
Analytic Tools and utilities
Big Data Platform
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PATIENT-CENTERED OUTCOMES Access to care for
the underserved
Enabling early intervention and prevention
Encouraging patient empowerment
Better quality of care and health outcomes from care designed for the individual
Oracle and Intel Collaboration Model
Architecture and Infrastructure
Systems Design
Silicon Co-Engineering
Compilers & Tools
Operating Environments Enablement
Database Optimization
Middleware & Applications Optimization
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NHS (Integrated patient level cost system) MD Anderson Cancer Center
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NHS Fraud Detection Using Big Data to Gain Valuable Insights
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Prescriptions & costs 132 Billion items
Social media
Moving toward a integrated patient level costing system
More Data Variety – Better Predictive Models
Increasing sources of relevant data can boost model accuracy
Source: Oracle Advanced Analytics database option; Charlie Berger MS Eng, [email protected]
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Model with 250 variables
Model with 75 variables
Model with 20 variables
Native guess or random
Model with “Big Data” and hundreds – thousands of input variables including: Demographic data
Purchase POS transactional data
“Unstructured Data”, text & comments
Spatial location data
Long term vs. recent historical behavior
Web visits
Sensor data
Etc.
100%
0% Population size R
esp
on
de
rs
Health and care service evaluation - estimate relative impact of different integrated care initiatives
A different method of commissioning – capitated funding model – to prevent rehospitalisation and support independent living,
A different method of payment for services which is not cost per activity but is outcomes based
Design personal health and social care budgets to support integrated personalisation.
Where Big data could lead to Design and development of whole population person level linked datasets for:
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Move towards an integrated patient level costing system
MD Anderson
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Reporting environment containing 1 million patients spanning a 70 year period
Saved more than a year in development time with out-of- the-box implementation
Reduced complex queries time from weeks to minutes
Moon Shots initiative to cure 6 cancers in 5 years
Single platform for clinical and genomic data aggregation and analysis
Scalability to address annual data growth
One source of truth for all data
Background / Needs Results with Oracle
Identifying healthcare needs
TO LEARN MORE: Speak with your local Oracle and Intel Healthcare representative during NHS Expo (Stand 106) or go to URLs….
http://www.oracleconnectinghealthcare.com
http://www.intel.com/healthcare
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Using predictive analytics and social media
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