Ideational and Material Power in the Mediterranean: The Role of Turkey and the Gulf Cooperation...

7/31/2019 Ideational and Material Power in the Mediterranean: The Role of Turkey and the Gulf Cooperation Council

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Mediterranean PaPer SerieS 2012

ideational and Material Powerin the Mediterranean

the role of turkey and the Gulf CooPeration CounCiln tcc

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2012 Te German Marshall Fund o the United States. All rights reserved.

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ab GMfTe German Marshall Fund o the United States (GMF) is a non-partisan American public policy and grantmaking institu-

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exploring opportunities or south-south cooperation and integration; research on key unctional issues aecting Mediter-ranean security and development; and strengthening the North American policy debate on the region and transatlantic

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ab is a izTe Istituto Aari Internazionali (IAI), ounded by Altiero Spinelli in 1965, does research in the felds o oreign policy,

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Cover photo: Saudi Arabias Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal, ourth le and his urkish counterpart Ahmet Davuto-glu, ourth right, and other oreign ministers pose or a group photo, during the Gul Cooperation Council (GCC) Foreign

ministers meeting in Istanbul, urkey, Saturday, January 28, 2012.

/AP/Corbis


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Ideational and Material Powerin the Mediterranean

The Role of Turkey and the Gulf Cooperation Council

Mediterranean Paper Series

June 2012

N T, E M, S z,3 S Gv4

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ideational and material power in the mediterranean iii

ForewordNathalie Tocci

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g gg Gvm, m b, ,mg, v, GCCm vm m m gb, b g, x. A m j


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The German Marshall Fund of the United Statesiv

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, g b G Ab T m . W m mv v-g mgg S g, m m - m m Im .

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EU U S m b gv g Ab Sg M- , , G

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ideational and material power in the mediterranean v

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The German Marshall Fund of the United Statesvi

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ideational and material power in the mediterranean 1

The Gulf in the Southern MediterraneanElena Maestri1

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The German Marshall Fund of the United States2

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The Islam Factor

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Business is Business

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yu -b -by -mk b--w [ U Umv Lb ], M ,


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Sg, g. I , , m b g T, G F H

6 T bm N A v b qm GCC Cmb Cmm .

7 S ://.mb.g .

Table 1 The Largest GCC Sovereign Wealth Funds

A mgm, $ b

UAE Ab Db Ivm A

Ab Db I PmIvm Cm

Ab Db Mb DvmCm

Db Ivm C

R A-Km Ivm A

$67

$58

$7.

$7

$.

Saudi Arabia SAMA Fg Hg $53.8

Kuwait K Ivm A $96

Qatar Q Ivm A $85

Bahrain Mm Hg Cm $9.

Oman S G Rv F $8.Su: SWF I
http://www.animaweb.org/http://www.animaweb.org/


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B m bgg FDI m T A T F Hb, vm , m; Q Tm (Q) v , m T. I ,Lb b QIvm A Q D, vm 657.7 m v T. A Lb, UAE A-Mb j

v vm j A-W, vm 3 m.8 A vm g .

T b Q UAE NATOm Lb gv Q -G Lb G m NA g . A m b m g GCCm g bjv: ) mmb

g x ;b) v b m g m m vm; )

8 S B. D S-L, J. Lj Z. L (), TM bw gw u Fg m pp MED u 2010, ANIMAIvm N, S . , . 48.

v v .9 I v , M vbm mx g x q b GCC g EU, T, U S. Bg vg m g mj g b GCC .

T GCC g J M gz m M m vbg m g. W m b J mmb, gv ggg S Ab, M mmb- m qb. B vg v gm , - m m v.I , g-m GCC Ab M b -v g

m b m ,

9 P GCC mm Nvmb mz GCC S G,Ab L B R A Z, Ab Db J

S v Amb D. S Amm, GCCA S G P A, Ab Nw,Dmb 8, .

Table 2 Net FDIs Flows from the GCC Region into Med 11 (2006-2010)

m

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Bahrain 6 ,58 48 8 945 64

Kuwait ,6 4,9 ,8 ,8 79 5

Qatar 9 844 ,33 97 74 ,84

KSA ,356 4,39 ,58 ,33 ,935 49

UAE ,83 9,886 ,874 3,75 ,355 ,86

Oman - - - 373 - -

GCC 7,069 20,579 18,996 8,584 6,749 5,346

Su: ANIMA


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v xg m GCC G Ab C. I , vgg m mg x GCCmmb q g -b C v g mb. A m gg v M, bg v, b m m : , g v vmb v m b b b vm. O

, m b M G Ab g M mmb.Nv, GCC j M-, g g g m b Ab EU T, m G Ab v. I m , , GCC mm v- vm M Smb .3 T mm

m bg vg bM GCC. M m gz b G Ab bg m g Mgb, g mb.4

Sg gbg m , , v . B g- j vvg

A-W Ab Nw, M , .

T mg W T EU

GCC Cu Su M GR Mg , Uv Cmbg, J 6-9,.

3 A m vm bm J .

4 S S. Cmb (), M C: Szg W O Sb Dvm, S.Cmb N. T N. (.), T Cg f S Su-by M, Rm.

bg mj - m g, m, m x g m mm-z gb, g, b g, x G-M. A v m -g m, m, m gz mjg G b , m b vm b g m vm

-Ab Sg N A. H, mg b j b GCC v v b m b m G v m T Rb. T Db b m m b m G m, gg-v g v . I , T, B A -f m, m gv M, g g mg-m j.5

T v b b m b vm g. GCC vm g mg , , v v b q mg T, S vm . F b b mg G mg, S Ab bg mj x GCC . Pgb g G

vvm M g m,

5 S P.-A. B (6), Tu pj() L fbqu ump u b u, R.


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g v ( Tb3).6

P m g g b GCC M E N A q m G. Avg gv v g m , , m b m m G E g M g. T v mj m -b g vv, m x g m.7

F, m m . SWF m Ab Db, Q, K g gm M, gg m $3 b Rb mj vm j m, vg $.5 b W C bm M- vmm vm M m vm b. Cm M, T g v , m . T A-N gv-m, g m W b g m Imm,8 $5m b Q,9 B A, gv m S Ab,

6 A Tb 3, g m Og-z Im C (OIC), g

Lb, T M mb b 557,49 qm g 4,3 q m T.

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8A-Hy, J 9, .

9 Guf Tm, J 9, .

v m ggg v m gm .

F GCC vvm T b m gvm b m m g mg bv m

. T q g v bvm GCC , b UAE Fb v -Ab Sg , g vm v gmm b v z.3

Conclusion

Rg bz mg

m g GCC j.T G Ab gv-m N A m- bz x

3 Kj Tm, Fb , .

Table 3 - Agricultural Land in the Arab

Mediterranean Countries and in Turkey, 2005

(square km)

Ag 4,5

Eg 35,

J ,

Lb 3,88

Lb 55,85

M 33,95

P 3,7

S 4,8

T 97,69

T 4,3Su: OIC


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g. B, v, g Im , g m Im m. S m m m gg g gb G AbIm , M, g v b m Im j g , b m .3

Ag b, g mm G Ab - m v b vm b S M,v gv m EU, T, U S. A g m g g : GCC m Im S M b g, b m b b v g g v m v-

m. T xg m- m b m xm g, b EU U S .

T, mm bvm j -Ab Sg N

3 S A Dvm B (), Im Bkg F N Af P Dpm Fuu P

A b m g g, GCC, T, EU v , U S. T bm jv, g m b vm,mg vg, g . S b j NA, m b b vm -g , b v g-v , v b b -Ab Sg N

A .

G Ab mm S M- bm v b m. I ,b g- j vvg ,SME v v , m . Ag-, , mgg g m-, m, gg, m, , x, mg m, g g b

m FDI .Fm v, gg b -g b g b vmj bm g g m m vm . T b g , g, b g g .


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T -mm

v Mmm Bzz gg v v T g Ab . Ub, mAb x , m, v v , b v Ab g, gm g. A , m v bg T b mmg m g b

Ab . W F gvm, b b m mbz, m , x m b. Ev T, v b g b m m, g -g.

I g T mb m T

v bg , T Fg MAm Dv v m vm. N T- v b .I, T Ab , gg mv g N A, v v G, v b gg S x Ym.

O vv bm , T gv-m qv ,v x zgzg Lb m m mm B. F W, m vg Abg m , gv , v mbz

2Turkey: Model, Order-Setter,or Trade Partner?Soli zel and Serhat Gven

z , ,Im g bgz mvm g g. T , b b, bg b T m .

T x, g , T m m mg W Rb g . Hv, - m v g mvvm . T m m b Sv U T m Mm b. T g E m, mg z, b Im gv M. T T m, , x b.

T m T m bg Smb , g U S. T T xm , m g b m j -Q mg Ab .

F, T m bm g , g, v , b v m Ab

W .

Turkey: A Model or an Order-Setter?

A m m v mz . I m, m bm


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m C , T j EU H Dmb 999. L, T Fg M m Cm m T EU b W b b Mm , v S q m EU T.34

I -9/ , mg T b mEU . F , Gm FgM J F g BBC v 4 : mz Im [T] b v E b m D-D g .35T g bb m v m v A Kkm P (AKP, J DvmP), Im , T . Hvg g m ImN O , g v -W, -EU

m, AKP g mb TEU g m gvm.Gv g , g, gm mv - Wz -gm. A A g, , T m g mmm W T AKP, , v v T vz-

34 S. Gv v J 8, 4, b Bg

Uv, K, b.35 Q S. Gv, T EU T Lg C- D-D, Tuky: Bw Eup U

M E, T Avv, T Avv Uv, 6, . 49. I,Im Cm T g g Nm. . Cm, Tky, Aup, Ay: AupB Tky, b,T B K Y,9, . 85.

v m . W mg b v ,

v, , m g vm. Sm , bg m b .3

A , b T m g Ab g v 9/. Wgg b W . T b mj m - v T EU mmb. S T mmb q m T mg EU , M E. Fm U.S. P B Cbm mz T m EU. O Nvmb 8, 999, v T:

I b mg uy w b p g mu by wy Tuky, f, f fuu y mwF Tuky uy fEup, M E, C A; fuu b p f b f Tuky bm fuy p f Eup, b,m, u, Im 33

A m, v Im bm m v. T, m Mm- , v xm g-

gb m m.T v T EU mmb g m

3 J. N J., T Cgg N W P, PS Quy, V. 5/, Smm 99, . 8.

33 Q L, Gg Uv, Nvmb 8, 999.


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, Im m W vz.36

T EU b AKP b m v b-bm m m m . Tgm bg Tm . I , AKP b v EU g - v xm m m v x .37

W m g- EU - g T 5, g m - - gm T mm gg -b EU m. Cg EU mmb , Gm F, G C EU mmb, g m . T g x m AKP vmg

v 7 mb AKP mb m g , g b P Am Dv-g g . T m g T g , m m , g bg mv m

36

M. B A, Wv T Fg P M E, Nw Pp Tuky, 4, Sg 9,. 88.

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The Arab Uprising: The Turkish Model

Back on the Agenda

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Turkeys Likely Impact on North Africa?

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