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![Page 1: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE2015 Conference on Housing and Economic DevelopmentOctober 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho
Priscilla Salant, DirectorMcClure Center for Public Policy ResearchUniversity of Idaho
![Page 2: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
1970-80 1980-90 1990-00 2000-100
5
10
15
20
25
30
3532
7
29
21
11 10
13
10
Population changeIdaho and the U.S., 1970 - 2010
IdahoUnited States
Pe
rce
nt
SOURCE: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
![Page 3: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
SOURCE: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-140
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
Components of Population ChangeIdaho, 2002 - 2014
Recession years
Population change
Natural increase
Net migration
Num
ber
![Page 4: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
4,510
4,200
2,320
2,060
2,440
2,240
All other households that moved in or out of Idaho
520,000 households didn’t move23,000 households moved out26,000 households moved in
In: 12,900
Out: 12,260
4,300
2,640
SOURCE: Internal Revenue Service, SOI Tax Stats
Interstate Migration of Households2012 - 2013, (based on federal tax returns)
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
![Page 5: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
2010-20 2020-30 2030-400
2
4
6
8
10
12
14 13
11
998
6
Population ProjectionsIdaho and the U.S., 2010 - 2040
IdahoUnited States
Pe
rce
nt
cha
ng
e
SOURCE: Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
![Page 6: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
2010 2020 2030 204032
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
34.6
35.7
36.3 36.1
37.237.6
38.2 38.3
Median AgeIdaho and the U.S., 2010 - 2040
IdahoUnited States
Ye
ars
SOURCE: Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
Observed Projected
![Page 7: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
SOURCE: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey
83%
12%
1%1% 3%
Population by Race and Ethnicity Idaho, 2014
Non-Hispanic White
Hispanic
Non-Hispanic Black
Non-Hispanic Alaska Na-tive/American Indian
Other
U.S. 63%
U.S. 18%
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
![Page 8: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
SOURCE: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
Non-Hispanic White
Hispanic Other
23
92
114
16
73
42
Population by Race and EthnicityIdaho, 1990 - 2010
1990-20002000-2010
Pe
rce
nt
Ch
an
ge
![Page 9: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Idaho United States
1.6<1
9.5
6.7
Births to Deaths by EthnicityIdaho and the U.S., 2013
Non-Hispanics
Hispanics
Ra
tio
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
SOURCE: Idaho Department of Health and Welfare; US Census Bureau, Population Estimates
![Page 10: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
SOURCE: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates
0-45-9
10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84
85+
15 10 5 0 5 10
Age Distribution in Idaho, 2014
Percent of group's total population
Ag
e g
rou
p
![Page 11: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
2010-20 2020-30 2030-400
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
5045
37
30
34
28
23
Hispanic Population ProjectionsIdaho and the U.S., 2010 - 2040
Idaho
United States
Pe
rce
nt
cha
ng
e
SOURCE: Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
![Page 12: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
1980 1990 2000 20100
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
5044
4138
35
18 17 16 15
Rural Population as Share of TotalIdaho and the U.S., 1980 - 2010
IdahoUnited States
Pe
rce
nt
SOURCE: USDA, Economic Research Service
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
![Page 13: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Idaho United States-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0.7
-0.2
6.2
3.9
Rural and Urban Population ChangeIdaho and the U.S., 2010 - 2014
RuralUrban
Pe
rce
nt
Ch
an
ge
SOURCE: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
![Page 14: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Idaho Rural Urban-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
4
1
6
3 3 3
1
-2
3
Components of Population Change, by Rural and Urban Idaho, 2010 - 2014
TotalNatural Change (Births - Deaths)Net Migration
Pe
rce
nt
SOURCE: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates
McClure Center
for Public Policy & Research
![Page 15: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
SOURCE: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
Rural Urban-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1
6
9
14
-1
5
Population Change by Ethnicity Rural and Urban Idaho, 2010 - 2014
Total PopulationHispanicNon-Hispanic
Pe
rce
nt
cha
ng
e
![Page 16: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
• Education issues related to increasingly diverse children
• Social capital needs of communities
• Capacity needs related to front line organizations serving new minorities
IMPLICATIONS FOR POLICY
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
![Page 17: IDAHOANS PAST AND FUTURE 2015 Conference on Housing and Economic Development October 6, 2015 – Boise, Idaho Priscilla Salant, Director McClure Center for.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022081520/5697bfa21a28abf838c960cc/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Recent topics:
• Rural Idaho Since the Recession
• Early Childhood Learning
• Highway Funding
• Food Security
• American Indian Education
www.uidaho.edu/idahoataglance
McClure Center
for Public Policy Research
RESOURCES FOR UNDERSTANDING DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS IN IDAHO
www.indicatorsidaho.org