ICOrating Ubcoin Rating Review ()...development of the project. • The hard cap is not justified as...
Transcript of ICOrating Ubcoin Rating Review ()...development of the project. • The hard cap is not justified as...
ICOrating
Ubcoin Rating Review (https://ubcoin.io)
ICO dates (02.04.2018 - 14.07.2018)
Web: icorating.com
Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @IcoRating
1. Rating 3
2. Introduction 4
3. Project services 7
4. Market review 9
4.1. Market analysis 9
4.2. Competitive analysis 10
5. Team and stakeholders 13
6. Tokens 15
7. Analysis of factors affecting the future value of the token 17
8. Investment risk analysis 18
1. Rating
We assign Ubcoin a “Stable+” rating.
The Ubcoin project is expanding its business as a marketplace and intends to offer its
own token to be used in transactions on a proprietary platform developed on the basis
of the successful Ubank product.
Despite the use of cryptocurrency’s rapid increase in popularity, it still remains
somewhat incomprehensible for the majority. Many prefer to stay away from any non-
fiat transactions due to conservatism; there is only a superficial penetration of
cryptocurrency into everyday life. Ubcoin may have to deal with this problem. However,
the project counts on attracting crypto users, rather than those who prefer to settle in fiat
currencies.
Factors that could have a negative impact on the future development of the project and
the forthcoming ICO include the following:
• There are some direct blockchain competitors in the market. This could hamper the
development of the project.
• The hard cap is not justified as currently set.
However, we note that the project has advantages over its competitors; a business
model and a global marketing strategy are presented, and the token is tied to platform
services. Unlike its competitors, the project has a ready audience as a result of 16+
million installations of the Ubank app; the Ubcoin Marketplace will be part of this, which
is an advantageous position compared to competitors that have to build up their user
bases from scratch.
2. Introduction
Ubcoin is a blockchain-based marketplace for the purchase and sale of real goods for
cryptocurrency; it is an extension of the Ubank mobile finance application that has been
available since 2013 in the Russian Federation.
Website
Whitepaper
Smart contract platform: Ethereum blockchain
Contract type: ERC-20
Token: UBC
Total emission: 1,500,000,000 UBC
Hard cap: 70,000 ETH
Private Pre-Sale:
Start date: March 10, 2018
End date: March 31, 2018
Token rate: 1 UBC = 0.0000535705 ETH (1 ETH = 18,667 UBC)
Hard cap: 7000 ETH
Accepted currency: ETH
Minimum purchase amount: 5 ETH
1st phase of the token sale:
Start date: April 2, 2018
End date: April 21, 2018
Token rate: 1 UBC = 0.0000892857 ETH (1 ETH = 11,200 UBC)
Minimum purchase amount: 0.01 ETH
Maximum purchase amount: Unlimited
Discount to token sale price = 29%
2nd phase of the token sale:
Start date: April 22, 2018
End date: May 11, 2018
Token rate: 1 UBC = 0.0001000000 ETH (1 ETH = 10,000 UBC)
Discount to token sale price = 20%
3rd phase of the token sale:
Start date: May 12, 2018
End date: May 31, 2018
Token rate: 1 UBC = 0,0001041667 ETH (1 ETH=9600 UBC)
Discount to token sale price = 17%
4th phase of the token sale:
Start date: June 1, 2018
End date: June 20, 2018
Token rate: 1 UBC = 0,0001086957 ETH (1 ETH = 9200 UBC)
Discount to token sale price = 13%
5th phase of the token sale:
Start date: June 21, 2018
End date: June 10, 2018
Token rate: 1 UBC = 0.0001157407 ETH (1 ETH = 8640 UBC)
Discount to token sale price = 7%
6th phase of the token sale:
Start date: July 11, 2018
End date: July 14, 2018
Token rate: 1 UBC = 0.0001250000 ETH (1 ETH = 8000 UBC)
The distribution of tokens is as follows:
The diagram shows the future distribution of funds raised during the token sale:
According to information provided on the project website, at the time of writing more
than 4100 ETH had been raised.
Tokens are created as funds are received. No additional emission is provided.
3. Project services
The goal of the platform is to enable anyone who wants to buy or sell goods and
services without using fiat. The means for mutual settlements will be the domestic
currency - UBC tokens.
When registering on the platform, each user receives an Ethereum wallet tied to his
account. Two-factor authorization (2FA) is provided to ensure security when launching
the application and conducting payment transactions.
Users will be able to buy / sell various goods - clothing, household appliances, jewelry,
cars - everything that could be transferred from one person to another via mobile
application while maintaining their anonymity. KYC / AML procedures are not mandatory
for the main aspect of transactions, apart from certain types of transactions with third-
party suppliers - delivery companies, couriers, notaries, etc. Reliability and transparency
of transactions will be provided by smart contracts.
For convenience, the Ubcoin Marketplace application interface is divided into three main
sections that have the following capabilities:
Storefront Section Seller Account
Management Section
Buyer Account
Management Section
Product category screens Tools for creating and
managing sales
Saved favorites and
previous searches
Product description
screens
Ad promotion and targeting
toolkit
Customer crypto wallet
Intelligent search engine Ad statistics - number of
views / clicks / comments,
etc.
Product recommendations
based on previous
searches and purchases
AI-based preview of user
messages, product
descriptions, visual and
video content
Sales conditions and
payment management
screens
Product recommendations
based on previous
searches and purchases
Seller’s crypto wallet Feedback management
toolkit Review management screens
CRM
When placing an ad, a user can connect additional paid services such as a premium ad,
placement at the top of the product list for several days, etc. Moderation of ads will be
done using machine learning and AI.
There is a rating system for sellers based on the number of successful transactions and
the quality of goods sold. In the event that a seller changes his mind about selling a
product or in case of arbitration to resolve a dispute between a seller and buyer
regarding the quality of the goods and its declared characteristics (if the arbitration
takes the buyer's side), the seller's rating is reduced. The seller will be charged a fee for
each successful sale, the amount of which depends on the seller's rating - the higher
the rating, the lower the fee. There will be no fees from buyers.
At the time of writing the MVP is under beta testing, after which the Ubcoin marketplace
will be integrated into the Ubank application available for Android and iOS. According to
the White Paper, Ubank currently has more than 2.5 million active users every month.
The project is planning to implement a built-in cryptocurrency exchange service on the
platform in the second quarter of 2019.
The application is preinstalled in a number of models of smartphone (Samsung and
Fly); due to this the number of its installations has exceeded 16 million. However, the
current application has geographical limitations.
We think that the expansion of the existing Ubank application with its own customer
base could be popular with users wishing to buy goods for cryptocurrency while
maintaining anonymity.
4. Market review
4.1. Market analysis
We will cite information from the «Global cryptocurrency benchmarking study» by the
Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance1 for this section. The credibility of the authors
is undoubted; this research was also conducted with the support of the world's largest
payment operator, VISA and involved the largest crypto portals, exchanges and other
members of the global community.
Current Ubcoin business operations fully cover the three main areas of the crypto
market considered in the Global cryptocurrency benchmarking study: Exchanges,
wallets and payments. Thus, the market potential for the project in terms of existing
services is determined by the dynamics of demand for cryptocurrencies and their
capitalization.
Current aggregate capitalization of all cryptocurrencies represented on the popular
analytical service Coinmarketcap2 is $345.7 bln. In early 2017, the market capitalization
of cryptocurrency hardly exceeded the $18 bln mark. At the end of the same year,
capitalization reached $769.1 bln. Currently, the market capitalization has decreased
almost 2.22 times compared to the end of last year. This is due to the fact that digital
assets are characterized by increased volatility and unpredictability. Cryptocurrency
reputation and uncertainty with its regulation in most countries remain one of the main
issues that regulators and participants in this market have yet to solve.
In the crypto exchange area, the major market share is occupied by a few large crypto
exchanges. Other sites account for only 25% of the market. The study we cited notes
that there is a significant difference between large and small platforms in the breadth of
services offered, licensing and security, which is the main reason for the market
segmentation. Thus, 52% of small platforms have official licenses; for large exchanges
this figure is 35%. At the same time, 86% of large exchanges and 76% of small ones
support multi-signature. 73% of small platforms support one or two cryptocurrencies,
while 72% of large exchanges support two or more cryptocurrencies.
The crypto wallet segment is also actively developing after the start of the adoption of
virtual currencies by the larger population. According to Cambridge research, the total
number of user wallets increased more than 4 times from 2013 to 2016, up to 35 million,
and the number of active wallets is gradually increasing. Wallet providers actively
implement new functions and increase their convenience, security and accessibility. The
list of supported currencies and means for their deposit and withdrawal also grows.
Thus this market is quite competitive.
1 https://www.jbs.cam.ac.uk/fileadmin/user_upload/research/centres/alternative-finance/downloads/2017-global-cryptocurrency-benchmarking-study.pdf 2 https://coinmarketcap.com/
The payment services market is developing following the rest of these segments. In the
study, the authors collected data from 48 companies providing services from 27
countries. Most of them are European; the largest number of companies are based in
Great Britain and the US (15%). It is stated that more than 79% of payment operators
maintain relations with the banking sector and payment networks but the difficulties in
maintaining these relations are a defining problem for the market.
Thus, the potential market for Ubcoin is very extensive, but its development is closely
connected with the penetration of cryptocurrencies into the global financial system. This
is important to understand since many associate the acceleration of the market trend in
cryptocurrencies with increased risk.
4.2. Competitive analysis
The market for global marketplace appeared a long time ago; as a result there are many
successful market giants, but settlements on such platforms are of course carried out in
fiat: AliExpress, Amazon, Ebay and many smaller ones.
Among the main blockchain competitors for Ubcoin, we distinguish the following
projects:
Cryptaur3 — a decentralized Ethereum-based ecosystem which is a platform for a
potentially unlimited number of specialized P2P services (dApps), through which
3 https://cryptaur.com/home/
suppliers and consumers of a wide variety of products and services can interact directly
thereby increasing economic efficiency for all transactions within the ecosystem.
Features of the Cryptaur ecosystem include:
➢ The universal means for mutual payments and rewards is the Cryptaur (CPT)
token.
➢ Cryptaur Pay (CPP), a multifunctional payment platform.
➢ A Global Users’ Rights Protection System (URPS).
Operations within the Cryptaur ecosystem are to be implemented in proprietary crypto
tokens - CPT. Another function of this Cryptaur token will be to reward participants for
active use of the ecosystem and for contributing to its development (several types of
crypto payback, sharing grace, etc.).
According to information from the website, Cryptaur tokens have been traded on crypto
exchanges since April 2018.
Storiqa4 – a marketplace platform with a completely self-sufficient ecosystem designed
to create stores with all the innovations of e-commerce, including an ability to pay for
goods in cryptocurrency and platform tokens (STQ). The concept of the project involves
two ideas; the first and the main one is to unite producers within a single global platform
providing them with tools to bring their unique products to the global market, while
avoiding financial boundaries, intermediaries, complex bureaucratic delays and minimal
transaction costs. The second idea is the integration of cryptocurrency for all operations
and blockchain to ensure all processes are transparent and fair.
The project’s ICO is completed – the hard cap of $25 mln has been achieved.
Vestarin 5 – a platform that provides marketplace services based on a mobile
multifunctional application, that aims to create a single community for all crypto market
participants:
➢ Investors;
➢ Crypto specialists
➢ Startup founders
➢ Entrepreneurs
➢ Cryptocurrency holders
Vestarin will unite several segments of the ICO market on its platform. The project’s ICO
is over; information on the ICO results has not yet been published in official sources.
We think that the Ubcoin platform could be in demand among a growing number of
participants in the crypto industry. The founders consider users who wish to become
investors in UBC tokens or use these tokens as a means of payment, as their target
audiences. A unique distribution model, a pre-installation for Samsung and Fly
smartphones, will help increase Ubcoin’s share in this market segment. We also note
4 https://crowdsale.storiqa.com/ 5 https://www.vestarin.io/
that according to the founders, anonymity will be guaranteed to all crypto holders on the
platform; this is also a competitive advantage for the project.
5. Team and stakeholders
The Ubcoin team includes 6 core members and 4 advisors. Key positions are occupied
as follows:
Felix Khachatryan (linkedin) – Founder and CEO of Ubcoin.
Entrepreneur with a master's degree in political science and government from RAU
University. The creator of Ubank, a universal free payment solution for smartphones.
Has worked for Ubank since 2011, founded inTAXI in 2010, has experience in finance
and financial services, as well as creating uTalk.
Education:
RAU University 2006
Mazhar Jan (linkedin) – Founder and Investor in Ubcoin Market.
VP Product Development and VAS at FLY Mobile.
Education:
Moscow State University of Instrument Engineering and Computer Sciences (MGUPI)
Alex Putilin (linkedin) – CTO and chief blockchain developer of Ubcoin.
A software developer with 15 years of experience.
Education:
Moscow State Technological University (Stankin)
Stan Danysh (linkedin) – Financial industry professional.
Has worked for Ubank since September 2016. Stan was deputy chairman of MDM
Bank. He has 10 years of experience as a financial director, and has experience of
creating a business and its subsequent sale.
Education:
University of Alaska Anchorage
The advisory board has the following key members:
Yama Bassam (linkedin) – an American businessman with more than 10 years of
experience in the banking sector. A member of the regulatory body for the US financial
industry.
Maxim Filin (linkedin) – a network specialist with many years of experience.
Thus the Ubcoin team has gathered specialists with extensive experience in relevant
fields. The team has strong experience of teamwork. An advantage of the team is that
the founders already have experience with launching startups and selling ready-made
businesses.
6. Tokens
A smart contract repository is available on GitHub6:
Token name – UBCoin
Symbol – UBC
Decimals – 18
UBC – an ERC20 Ethereum blockchain utility token intended for mutual settlements
within the Ubcoin marketplace.
Platform participants buy UBC using cryptocurrency. Tokens are credited to the wallet
linked to a user’s account. The user selects goods via the application; the necessary
number of UBC tokens for payment of the goods is blocked on his balance; this
reserved amount is transferred to the seller's wallet after confirming purchase by the
buyer. The platform’s smart contracts function only with UBC; other currencies are not
accepted.
The White Paper mentions the possibility of connecting additional services (premium
ads, placement s at the top of ad lists). Prices for these services will also be quoted in
tokens.
Given that the project has a tool to reduce the risk of exchange rate fluctuations in the
form of a reserve pool for reducing the volatility of the price of goods at the time of
6 https://github.com/ubcoin/ubcoin/tree/master/contracts
transaction, in our opinion this approach offers an advantage for using tokens on the
platform as opposed to other cryptocurrencies.
7. Analysis of factors affecting the future value of the token
The contract for issue of UBC tokens is structured in such a way that the number of
UBC tokens in the reserve fund, as in all other allocations, depends on the number of
tokens sold in the pre-sale and the ICO. This is illustrated by the following scenario
analysis provided by the founders:
The size of the reserve fund is proportional to the size of the ICO, and in this case it
functions like a market maker in the classical market. If the market price of UBC tokens
falls below its intrinsic value, the company will buy them, thereby maintaining the level
of token demand. If the market price of UBC tokens rises above the intrinsic value, the
company can either sell the available UBC tokens from the reserve or continue to hold
them.
As a result, to stabilize the market price of UBC token, the founders propose a strategy
determined by factors such as the availability of funds for buying up UBC tokens, the
need for funds for the company's requirements for the sale of UBC tokens, and pre-set
price volatility triggers for UBC tokens. This mechanism for controlling short-term
volatility is also necessary for the successful functioning of the marketplace in order that
transactions can be correctly carried out, that rate changes do not lead to the disruption
of concluded deals. According to the founders, such a mechanism should create a
balance between the interests of users in the sale of goods and the interests of
investors in investment income. We note that in using this strategy, the speed of the
team’s decision-making will be important for stabilizing the token exchange rate in
already concluded deals.
According to information provided on the website, the team is planning to implement
their buyback program to the amount of 10% of the operating profit when the project
enters positive operating cash flow, expected no earlier than by 2021 according to the
business model. We also note that 5% of UBC tokens received from commission
income are planned to be burned as from 2021, and we think that these factors will also
contribute to the future growth of the market price of UBC tokens in the long term.
share of max Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Raised at pre-sale & ICO, $ 10 000 000 25 000 000 40 000 000
Average token price, $ 0,0365 0,0375 0,0391
Maximum supply, number of tokens, inc: 548 000 000 1 332 000 000 2 550 000 000
investors 50% 274 000 000 666 000 000 1 023 000 000
team 12% 65 760 000 159 840 000 366 480 000
bounty & advisors 4% 21 920 000 53 280 000 122 160 000
community 3% 16 440 000 39 960 000 91 620 000
reserve pool 31% 169 880 000 412 920 000 946 740 000
Valuation, $ 20 000 000 50 000 000 80 000 000
8. Investment risk analysis
We have identified a number of risks inherent in the project:
The rate for UBC during the ICO period is pegged to ETH. Given the high volatility of
cryptocurrency, this creates an additional risk, since in the case of an increase in ETH’s
rate, the price of one token becomes more expensive. At the same time, in the event of
the fall of ETH, UBC clearly becomes cheaper.
A beta version of the platform will be launched in September 2018. According to the
roadmap, a full launch for the platform is expected in early 2019. This factor incurs risk
of an outflow of ICO participants in order to fix profits to the amount of the bonuses
received for the ICO, if the listing of UBC tokens on exchanges takes place before the
launch of the platform.
Since platform prices will be set in UBC, the price of goods may change during the
period for blocking tokens in the buyer's wallet until goods are received from a seller
(end of the transaction) due to the high volatility of cryptocurrency. This fact could
reduce the number of planned transactions.
The reserve fund consisting of 31% of funds received during the pre-sale and the ICO is
managed by the founders. Tokens belonging to the team and commissions for covering
current expenses could be sold on the market, which will affect the exchange value of
the UBC token. The project takes this into account when making decisions but this risk
is still present.
It will be individuals that will firstly be integrated in the Ubcoin tokenomics mechanism.
The involvement of legal entities in the project will begin one year after the ICO. The
use of tokens by legal entities is problematic in many countrie,s and it is not known how
the regulation of utility tokens will develop, including in those countries whose legislation
is currently supportive of the use of cryptocurrency.
At the time of writing, the Ubcoin hard cap is $46 mln. Such an amount has not been
collected by any ICO for a marketplace project. According to the founders, the project
will be launched regardless of the results of the ICO; the hard cap value is not
substantiated in the documentation.
The information contained in the document is for informational purposes only. The views expressed in this document are solely personal stance of the ICOrating Team, based on data from open access and information that developers provided to the team through Skype, email or other means of communication. Our goal is to increase the transparency and reliability of the young ICO market and to minimize the risk of fraud. We appreciate feedback with constructive comments, suggestions and ideas on how to
make the analysis more comprehensive and informative.