ICMA ERC European Repo Survey December 2014

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International Capital Market Association European repo market survey Number 28 - conducted December 2014 Published February 2015

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In December 2014, the European Repo Council (ERC) of the International Capital Market Association (ICMA) conducted the 28th in its series of semi-annual surveys of the repo market in Europe.

Transcript of ICMA ERC European Repo Survey December 2014

Page 1: ICMA ERC European Repo Survey December 2014

International Capital Market Association

European repo market surveyNumber 28 - conducted December 2014

Published February 2015

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© International CapitalMarket Association (ICMA), Zurich,2015. All rights reserved. No partof this publication may bereproduced or transmitted in anyform or by any means withoutpermission from ICMA.

This Survey has been compiledby Richard Comotto, Senior VisitingFellow, ICMA Centre at ReadingUniversity.

International Capital MarketAssociationTalacker 29P.O. BoxCH-8022 Zurich www.icmagroup.org

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CONTENTS

Executive Summary 4

Chapter 1: The Survey 7

Chapter 2: Analysis of Survey Results 9

Chapter 3: Conclusion 30

About The Author 32

Appendix A: Survey Guidance Notes 33

Appendix B: Survey Participants 39

Appendix C: Summary of Survey Results 43

Appendix D: The ICMA European Repo Council 48

ISMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2003 I 3

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

In December 2014, theEuropean Repo Council (ERC) ofthe International Capital MarketAssociation (ICMA) conducted the28th in its series of semi-annualsurveys of the repo market inEurope.

The latest survey asked asample of financial institutions inEurope for the value of their repocontracts that were stilloutstanding at close of business onDecember 10, 2014. Replies werereceived from 67 offices of 63financial groups, mainly banks.Returns were also made directly bythe principal automatic repotrading systems (ATS) andtri-party repo agents in Europe,and by the London-basedWholesale Market Brokers’Association (WMBA).

Total repo business

The total value of the repocontracts outstanding on the booksof the 67 institutions whoparticipated in the latest surveywas EUR 5,500 billion, comparedwith the EUR 5,782 billion in June2014. This was virtually the samelevel as one year earlier, inDecember 2013. Using a constantsample of banks, it is estimatedthat the market shrank over theprevious six months by 4.8%(compared to -4.9% in theheadline number). In contrast tothe almost zero year-on-yearchange in the headline number, theyear-on-year change in theconstant sample was -2.8%. Thereduction in repo activity revealedby the latest survey was widely

expected and is seen as reflectingsubdued business conditions andthe impact of leverage and liquidityregulations aimed at reducing thereliance of banks on short-termwholesale funding.

Trading analysis

Direct business (ie bytelephone and electronicmessaging) continued its trendgrowth at the expense ofvoice-brokers and, since theprevious survey, also at theexpense of electronic trading. Thismay reflect, at least in part, aregulatory-driven shift fromlow-margin interbank andcommoditized transactions (manyof which are electronically traded)towards higher-margin customerand customized business (most ofwhich is directly negotiated,including across proprietary salesplatforms). The share of voice-brokers continued its trend decline,to reach a new historic low, asbanks cut back on those types ofplain vanilla transactions whichhave traditionally been brokered.

Geographical analysis

Domestic repo businesscontracted yet again, continuing itslong-term decline. There was afurther increase in the share ofcross-border transactions into andout of the eurozone, but acontraction in the share of businesswithin the eurozone. Thesechanges may indicate a structuralchange in the repo market in whichbanks are seeking to matchinternally as much domesticcustomer business as possible,while increasingly conducting

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ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014 I 5

liquidity management cross-border with major marketcounterparties with whom morenetting is possible. In contrast tothe share of all types of electronictrading, the share of anonymous(ie CCP-cleared) electronic tradingwas unchanged, reflecting thepotential for CCP to reduce theimpact of regulation. However, thepost-trade reporting of direct andvoice-brokered trades to CCP fellback sharply.

Clearing and settlementanalysis

The share of tri-party repomade further gradual gains butremains relatively modest.However directly-reported volumeshave been growing faster than thesurvey sample.

Cash currency analysis

The share of the euro droppedback again, perhaps because ofECB assistance at year-end, butthe Japanese yen continued itsrecent expansion. Swiss franc reposeems to have all but disappeared.

Collateral analysis

The share of all governmentbonds within the pool ofEU-originated collateral reported inthe survey rose just above its levelin December 2013, driven largelyby growth in the shares of Germanand UK government securities.Among other things, this mayreflect collateral swapping intohigh-quality liquid assets (HQLA)required for regulatory ratios. Theshares of most other EUgovernment securities were little

changed. However, there was afurther shift in electronic trading,out of some core eurozonegovernment securities and intoItalian and Spanish governmentsecurities, possibly in anticipationof ratings upgrades. Italiangovernment securities continue tobe the most commonelectronically-traded collateral.Japanese collateral jumped torecord levels (although this wasnot a broadly-based increase),reflecting FX arbitrage oppor-tunities that allowed cheapcollateral transformation intoEuropean and US HQLA. There wasa significant increase in the shareof US collateral as well, possiblyalso driven by collateral swaps.

Maturity analysis

A major reduction was seen inthe share of repos with betweentwo days and one month remainingto maturity. Business shiftedmainly into terms between one andthree months. Banks were lockingin each-of-year funding but mayalso have been responding toregulatory pressure to increase theproportion of stable (ielonger-term) funding. On the otherhand, the maturity distribution ofelectronically-traded reposshortened. Forward-start reposcontinued to grow, probablyreflecting their role in collateralmanagement.

Concentration analysis

There was a reduction inmarket concentration, whichsuggests that larger banks havecut their repo books more thansmaller banks.

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CHAPTER 1: THESURVEY

On December 10, 2014, theEuropean Repo Council (ERC) ofthe International Capital MarketAssociation (ICMA) conducted the28th in its series of semi-annualsurveys of the repo market inEurope.

The survey was managed andthe results analysed on behalf ofICMA by the author, at the ICMACentre at Reading University inEngland, under the guidance of theERC Steering Committee (“ERCCommittee”).

1.1 What the survey asked

The survey asked financialinstitutions operating in a numberof European financial centres forthe value of the cash side of repoand reverse repo contracts stilloutstanding at close of business onWednesday, December 10, 2014.

The questionnaire also askedthese institutions to analyse theirbusiness in terms of the currency,the type of counterparty, contractand repo rate, the remaining termto maturity, the method ofsettlement and the origin of thecollateral. In addition, institutionswere asked about securitieslending and borrowing conductedon their repo desks.

The detailed results of thesurvey are set out in Appendix C.An extract of the accompanying

Guidance Notes is reproduced inAppendix A

Separate returns were madedirectly by the principal automaticrepo trading systems (ATS) andtri-party repo agents in Europe,and an aggregate return was madedirectly by the London-basedWholesale Market Brokers’Association (WMBA).

1.2 The response to thesurvey

The latest survey wascompleted by 67 offices of 63financial groups. This is two morerespondents than in the June 2014survey. Two institutions whichparticipated in the previous surveydropped out of the latest but threere-joined and there was one newparticipant (Jyske Bank ofDenmark).

52 of the participants wereheadquartered across 15 Europeancountries, as well as in Australia(1), Japan (5) and North America(10). 21 were foreign affiliates,most of which were located in theUK. 50 participants were basedacross 14 of the 28 member statesof the EU (there were noinstitutions in the survey fromFinland and Sweden, and only onefrom a former Accession State). 44participants were based in 13 ofthe 19 countries of the eurozone.

Many institutions provideddata for their entire European repobusiness. Others provided separate

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returns for one or more (but notnecessarily all) of their Europeanoffices. A list of the institutions thathave participated in the ICMA’srepo surveys is contained inAppendix B.

1.3 The next survey

The next survey is scheduledto take place at close of businesson Wednesday, June 10, 2015.

Any financial institutionwishing to participate in the nextsurvey will be able to downloadcopies of the questionnaire andaccompanying Guidance Notesfrom ICMA’s web site. The latestforms will be published shortlybefore the next survey at thefollowing website:

www.icmagroup.org/surveys/repo/participate.

Questions about the surveyshould be sent by e-mail [email protected].

Institutions who participate ina survey receive, in confidence, alist of their rankings in the variouscategories of the survey.

ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014 I 7

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CHAPTER 2: ANALYSIS OF SURVEY RESULTS

The aggregate results of the latest two surveys and of the surveys in eachDecember in the four previous years (2010-2013) are set out in Appendix C.The full results of all previous surveys can be found at www.icmagroup.org.

Total repo business (Q1)

The total value, at close of business on December 10, 2014, of repos andreverse repos outstanding on the books of the 67 institutions whichparticipated in the latest survey was EUR 5,499.6 billion. This represents areturn back almost to the level seen in December 2013. It is still much higherthan the crisis trough of EUR 4,633 billion in December 2008 but much lowerthan the pre-crisis peak of EUR 6,775 billion in June 2007.

Of the sample of 67 reporting institutions, 29 were net borrowers, asharp drop from the 38 out of 65 reported in the last survey.

Table 2.1 – Total repo business from 2001 to 2014

survey total repo reverse repo2014 December 5,500 48.8% 51.2%2014 June 5,782 48.6% 51.4%2013 December 5,499 49.2% 50.8%2013 June 6,076 49.8% 50.2%2012 December 5,611 49.1% 51.9%2012 June 5,647 48.7% 51.3%2011 December 6,204 50.3% 49.7%2011 June 6,124 50.7% 49.3%2010 December 5,908 51.0% 49.0%2010 June 6,979 53.5% 46.5%2009 December 5,582 50.0% 50.0%2009 June 4,868 52.2% 47.8%2008 December 4,633 49.9% 50.1%2008 June 6,504 48.8% 51.2%2007 December 6,382 49.4% 50.6%2007 June 6,775 50.8% 49.2%2006 December 6,430 50.7% 49.3%2006 June 6,019 51.7% 48.3%2005 December 5,883 54.6% 45.4%2005 June 5,319 52.4% 47.6%2004 December 5,000 50.1% 49.9%2004 June 4,561 50.6% 49.4%2003 December 3,788 51.3% 48.7%2003 June 4,050 50.0% 50.0%2002 December 3,377 51.0% 49.0%2002 June 3,305 50.0% 50.0%2001 December 2,298 50.4% 49.6%2001 June 1,863 49.6% 50.4%

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It is important to rememberthat the survey measures the valueof outstanding transactions at closeof business on the survey date.Measuring the stock of transactionsat one date, rather than the flowbetween two dates, permits deeperanalysis but is difficult to reconcilewith the flow numbers published byother sources. As the survey is a‘snapshot’ of the market, it canmiss peaks and troughs in businessbetween survey dates, especiallyof very short-term transactions.

In addition, the valuesmeasured by the survey are grossfigures, which mean that they havenot been adjusted for the doublecounting of the same transactionsbetween pairs of surveyparticipants. However, a study (seethe report of the December 2012survey) suggested that theproblem of double-counting wasnot very significant.

Nor does the survey measurethe value of repos transacted withcentral banks as part of officialmonetary policy operations.Central bank intervention has ofcourse been very substantial since2008.

In order to gauge theyear-on-year growth of theEuropean repo market (or at leastthat segment represented by theinstitutions who have participatedin the survey), it is not valid tosimply compare the total value ofrepos and reverse repos with thesame figures in previous surveys.Some of the changes represent theentry and exit of institutions intoand out of the survey, mergersbetween banks and the

reorganization of repo books withinbanks. To overcome the problemcaused by changes in the sample ofsurvey participants, comparisonsare made of the aggregateoutstanding contracts reportedonly by a sub-sample ofinstitutions which have participatedcontinuously in several surveys.

Out of the 67 institutions inthe present survey, 61 haveparticipated in all of the last threesurveys. Overall, the aggregatevalue of outstanding repos andreverse repos transacted by those61 institutions contracted by 4.8%between the June and December2014 surveys, very similar to thechange of -4.9% in the headlinenumber. The contraction in thesecond half of 2014 contrastedwith growth of 3.4% between theDecember 2013 and June 2014surveys for the same sample ofparticipants. The year-on-yearchange for the same sample was-2.8%.

The repo books of 31 of thelatest sample of 67 institutionscontracted. This is similar to thelast survey (when 28 out of 65repo books contracted) but muchless severe than in the December2013 survey (when 39 repo booksout of 67 contracted).

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December 2014 June 2014 December 2013users share users share users share

direct 54.9% 67 53.2% 65 53.2% 67of which tri-party 10.5% 43 10.2% 44 9.9% 41voice-brokers 13.6% 53 14.0% 55 15.1% 52ATS 31.5% 53 32.8% 51 31.7% 52

Trading analysis (Q1.1)

Table 2.2 – Trading analysis

Direct business (ie by tele-phone and electronic messaging),including tri-party repo, continuedits trend growth at the expense ofvoice-brokers and, since theprevious survey, also at theexpense of electronic trading.

The share of voice-brokerscontinued its trend decline, toreach a new historic low of 13.6%.

The share of electronic tradingfell back below the record level

reached in June. Data provideddirectly by the principal automaticrepo trading systems (ATS)operating in Europe – BrokerTec,Eurex Repo and MTS – showed thatthe outstanding value of allelectronic trading (not just by theinstitutions in the survey) droppedsharply by 14.6% to EUR 976billion from the record high of EUR1,143 billion reached in June.However, this figure was still abovethe level of EUR 937 billion touchedin December 2013.

Table 2.3 – Numbers of participants reporting particular types of business

Dec-14 Jun-14 Dec-13 Jun-13 Dec-12 Jun-12ATS 53 51 52 53 52 45anonymous ATS 49 44 47 45 44 37voice-brokers 53 55 52 53 58 51tri-party repos 43 44 41 37 41 34total 67 65 67 65 71 62

Figure 2.1 – Counterparty analysis

Direct bilateral44.4%

ATS31.5%

Voice-brokered13.6% Direct tri-party

10.5%

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December 2014 June 2014 December 2013share users share users share users

domestic 24.6% 25.1% 26.1%cross-border to eurozone 17.2% 19.1% 18.0%cross-border to non-eurozone 34.1% 31.7% 30.9%anonymous 24.1% 49 24.1% 44 25.0% 47

Geographical analysis (Q1.1)

Table 2.4 – Geographical analysis

Domestic repo businesscontracted yet again, continuing itslong-term decline (from almost50% of the survey in 2001).

Cross-border business grewslightly. This was driven by afurther increase in the share ofcross-border transactions into andout of the eurozone, while theshare of business within theeurozone contracted.

The share of anonymous (ieCCP-cleared) electronic trading inthe survey was unchanged.However, the post-trade reportingof direct and voice-brokered tradesto CCP fell back sharply to 3.3%from 8.0%. Data reported directlyby ATS showed that the share ofanonymous trading reached anhistoric high of 97.9% of theirbusiness, compared with 79.1% inJune 2007 (when direct reportingstarted).

Directly-reported data showedthat domestic business throughvoice-brokers also lost ground (to40.9% from 44.6%).

In contrast to the survey, datareported directly by ATS showed anincrease in domestic electronictrading (to 30.0% from 29.0%),which reversed its previousdownward trend. However, like thesurvey, there was a furtherincrease in the share of electronictrading between the eurozone andthe rest of Europe (to 44.9% from42.4%) and, in a reversal of theprevious trend, a decline in theshare of intra-eurozone trading (to23.8% from 26.0%).

The pattern of tri-party repowas generally contrary tothe survey. According todirectly-reported data fromtri-party agents, domestic businesswas buoyant in that sector,recovering to 41.5% from 38.6%.Tri-party repo also saw a drop inthe share of cross-border businessbetween eurozone andnon-eurozone counterparties (to39.7% from 43.7%), although thissegment remains larger than theshare of business within theeurozone (18.8%).

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main survey ATS tri-party WMBAdomestic 24.6% 30.0% 41.5% 40.9%cross-border 51.3% 70.0% 58.5% 59.1%anonymous 24.1%

Table 2.5 – Geographical comparisons in December 2014

Figure 2.2 – Geographical analysis

Domestic24.6%

Anonymous ATS24.1%

Non-Eurozone34.1%

Eurozone17.2%

Clearing and settlement analysis (Q1.2 and Q1.8)

The share of tri-party repomade further modest gains,reaching 10.5% from 10.2%. Andthe outstanding value of tri-partyrepo reported directly by the majortri-party agents in Europe (ie alltri-party business, not just by theinstitutions in the survey)expanded by 4.8% to a new recordof EUR 1,387.2 billion.

The sample of institutions inthe survey remained net borrowersfrom tri-party counterparties, tothe tune of EUR 280.5 billion.

Tri-party repo funded 16% of theirrepo and took 5.3% of theirreverse repo.

The share of directly-reportedtri-party repo accounted for by GCfinancing (mainly Eurex Repo’sEuro GC Pooling facility) fell backto 15.3% (equivalent to some EUR212 billion) from 16.8%. GCfinancing accounts for 5.6% ofreported outstanding business(6.3% of repo and 4.9% of reverserepo), little changed since June2014.

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The share of the euro droppedback again in the survey. It also fellback in directly-reported voice-brokered business (to 50.0% from51.7%) and, to a lesser extent, inelectronic trading (to 96.1% from96.8%) and tri-party repo (to76.1% from 76.7%).

The share of the Japanese yencontinued its recent expansion,although it remains below the7.0% reached in December 2011.

Data on electronic tradingprovided directly by ATS showedthe share of the Swiss francremaining floored at almost zero,having declined from over 8% in2009. Most electronic tradingswitched in May 2014 from theEurex Swiss franc market to thenew SIX repo platform. The latterdoes not yet participate in thesurvey. However, the collapse inthe electronic trading of Swissfranc pre-dates this change-overand is confirmed by tri-party data

December 2014 June 2014 December 2013EUR 63.6% 65.7% 66.3%GBP 10.9% 10.5% 10.2%USD 15.1% 14.5% 14.8%DKK, SEK 2.9% 2.4% 2.5%JPY 6.3% 5.4% 4.9%CHF 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%etc 1.1% 1.3% 1.3%cross-currency 2.1% 1.8% 0.9%

Cash currency analysis (Q1.3 and Q1.4)

Table 2.6 – Cash currency analysis

Dec-0

8

Dec-0

8

Jun-

08

Jun-

07

Jun-

09

Dec-0

9

Jun-

10

Dec-1

0

Jun-

11

Dec-1

1

Dec-1

2

Jun-

13

Dec-1

3

Jun-

14

Dec-1

4

Jun-

120

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

ATS only (ex. GC financing)

Post-trade registration only

ATS + post-trade registration

Figure 2.3 – Evolution of business cleared across CCP

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Table 2.7 – Currency comparison in December 2014

main survey ATS tri-party WMBAEUR 63.6% 96.1% 76.1% 50.0%GBP 10.9% 3.4% 2.6% 31.9%USD 15.1% 0.4% 18.8% 12.8%DKK, SEK 2.9% 0.0% 0.5% 0.4%JPY 6.3% 0.6% 4.1%CHF 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%etc 1.1% 0.1% 1.1% 0.8%cross-currency 2.1% 15.9%

Other1.1%

JPY6.3%

DKK,SEK2.9%

USD15.1%

GBP10.9% EUR

63.6%

CHF0.1%

Figure 2.4 – Currency analysis

(tri-party collateral management isan integral feature of the Swissrepo market).

There has also been a recentdecline in the electronic trading ofsterling repo, but this bouncedback in the latest survey from afloor of 2.2% in December 2013 to3.4% in the latest survey.

Directly-provided data showed anincrease in the share of the US dollar intri-party repo (to 18.8% from 17.9%),largely at the expense of sterling(to 2.6% from 3.4%). Other currenciescollectively account for only 2.5% oftri-party business. The share ofcross-currency tri-party repo droppedsharply to 15.9% from 29.3%.

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Collateral analysis (Q1.9)

Table 2.8 – Collateral analysis

December 2014 June 2014 December 2013Germany 19.2% 19.1% 21.9%Italy 10.5% 10.6% 9.2%France 10.5% 10.9% 11.5%Belgium 2.8% 2.9% 3.0%Spain 6.5% 6.3% 5.2%other eurozone 6.5% 7.3% 7.2%UK 11.5% 10.6% 11.4%DKK, SEK 3.2% 2.8% 2.8%International financial institutions 2.2% 2.4% 2.7%US 3.6% 2.6% 2.8%Accession countries 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%Japan 8.6% 4.8% 4.6%other OECD 6.5% 11.2% 10.3%other fixed income 8.1% 8.2% 6.6%equity 0.1% 0.1% 0.3%

Germany19.2%

Italy10.5%

Spain6.5%Other

Eurozone6.5%

UK11.5%

DKK,SEK3.2%

US3.6%

OtherOECD6.5%

Others8.1%

Japan8.6%

IFI2.2%

Belgium2.8%

France10.5%

Accessioncountries0.3%

Figure 2.5 – Collateral analysis (main survey)

The share of all governmentbonds within the pool ofEU-originated collateral reported inthe survey rose to 81.5% from79.3%, just above to its level inDecember 2013 (EU governmentbonds in total accounted for 71%of the survey). This change wasdriven largely by growth in theshares of German government

securities (to 15.4% from 14.2%)and UK gilts (to 10.0% from9.1%). The shares of most otherEU government securities werelittle changed.

Japanese collateral jumped toa record 8.6% from 4.8%.However, this was not abroadly-based increase. There was

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Table 2.9 – Tri-party repo collateral analysed by credit rating

December 2014 June 2014 December 2013AAA 30.9% 32.3% 36.9%AA 33.4% 32.8% 29.5%A 9.0% 8.8% 8.7%BBB 15.6% 16.7% 14.4%below BBB- 4.2% 3.7% 3.7%A1/P1 4.4% 3.0% 4.8%A2/P2 1.6% 1.6% 0.6%Non-Prime 0.3% 0.4% 0.5%unrated 0.5% 0.7% 0.8%

a significant increase in the shareof US collateral as well. Thecounterpart was a sharp drop inthe share of ‘other OECD’ collateral(which includes Swiss, Australianand Canadian securities).

Data reported directly by theATS shows that there was acontinued shift in electronic tradingout of some core eurozonegovernment securities and intoItalian and Spanish governmentsecurities. Thus, the shares ofelectronically-traded Belgian,French and Dutch governmentsecurities fell to 3.3%, 10.2% and3.9%, respectively, from 4.6%,13.0% and 4.6%. On the otherhand, the shares ofelectronically-traded Italian andSpanish government securitiesgrew to 43.1% and 6.7%,respectively, from 39.7% and6.2%. Italian governmentsecurities were, by far, the mostcommon electronically-tradedcollateral (to 43.1% compared to

23.4% for German governmentsecurities, the next most commoncollateral on ATS). There was alsoa recovery in the share ofelectronically-traded UK gilts (to4.3% from a record low of 3.0%)and the first appearance ofelectronically-traded repos ofsecurities issued by internationalfinancial institutions (0.5%).

In directly-reported tri-partybusiness, the share of Frenchcollateral, already the largest,continued to gain (to 20.9% from20.0%) but the biggest changewas in German collateral, whoseshare grew to 20.4% from 18.5%.There was a shift into sovereignand public sector fixed income (to50.5 % from 47.4%), as well asequity (to 24.5% from 22.2%),and out of fixed income securitiesissued by supranational institutions(to 2.3% from 4.9%) and theprivate sector (to 22.1% from24.7%).

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According to data reporteddirectly from the tri-party agents,there was a further sharp fall inAAA-rated collateral. This, in part,may have reflected sovereign

downgrades during the second halfof 2014. However, there werefurther increases in the share of AAand A-rated collateral.

AAA AA A BBB subBBB A1/P1 A2/P2 NP Unrated

Dec-12

Jun-13

0

10

20

30

40

50

Jun-14

Dec-14

Dec-13

Figure 2.6 - Collateral analysis (tri-party agents) by credit rating

December June 2014 December2014 2013

government securities 40.0% 39.2% 38.5%public agencies / sub-national governments 10.5% 8.2% 7.6%supranational agencies 2.3% 4.9% 4.8%corporate bonds 12.9% 14.0% 14.9%covered bonds 6.9% 8.1% 7.3%residential mortgage-backed 1.2% 1.4% 1.0%commercial mortgage-backed 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%other asset-backed 0.8% 0.9% 0.6%CDO, CLN, CLO, etc 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%convertible bonds 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%equity 24.5% 22.2% 23.8%other 0.6% 0.7% 0.7%

Table 2.10 – Tri-party repo collateral analysed by type of asset

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Government40.0%

Public andSub-national10.5%

Supranational2.3%

Corporate12.9%

Covered6.9%

Equity24.5%

Other2.9%

Figure 2.8 - Collateral analysis (tri-party agents) by type of asset

AAA

AA A

BBB

subB

BB

A1/

P1

A2/

P2 NP

Unr

ated

%

Figure 2.7 – Historic collateral analysis (tri-party agents) by creditrating

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Figure 2.9 – Historic collateral analysis (tri-party agents) by type ofasset

While haircuts on sovereign,agency and public sector collateralin tri-party repo remained stable,there was an increase in haircuts

on supranational collateral and ageneral increase for private sectorsecurities, with the exception ofequity and equity-linked issues.

Table 2.11 – Tri-party repo collateral haircuts analysed by type ofasset

(weighted average haircuts) December June 2014 December2014 2013

government securities 2.4% 2.5% 2.7%public agencies / sub-national governments 2.4% 2.3% 2.3%supranational agencies 4.2% 2.5% 2.5%corporate bonds (financial)

6.4% 5.9%5.8%

corporate bonds (non-financial) 6.3%covered bonds 4.7% 2.9% 3.1%residential mortgage-backed 11.8% 10.3% 10.9%commercial mortgage-backed 8.1% 8.2%other asset-backed 8.4% 7.0% 8.0%CDO, CLN, CLO, etc 8.2% 6.3% 7.1%convertible bonds 15.2% 17.0% 13.1%equity 6.2% 6.4% 6.0%other 7.6% 6.7% 6.4%

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Repo rate analysis (Q1.6)

Table 2.12 – Contract comparison in December 2014

main survey ATS tri-partyrepurchase agreements 85.0% 60.2% 100.0%documented sell/buy-backs 12.9% 39.8% 0.0%undocumented sell/buy-backs 2.1% 0.0% 0.0%

The share of open repo fellfurther, to 5.9% from 7.2%. Floating-

rate repo also contracted, quitesharply, to 9.62% from 13.2%.

RepurchaseAgreements85.0%

DocumentedSell/Buy-back12.9%

UndocumentedSell/Buy-back2.1%

Contract analysis (Q1.5)

Figure 2.10 – Contract analysis

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ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014 I 21

Fixed Rate84.5%

Open5.9%

Floating rate9.6%

Figure 2.11 – Repo rate analysis

Table 2.13 – Repo rate comparison in December 2014

main survey ATS tri-partyfixed rate 84.5% 88.1% 40.2%floating rate 9.6% 11.9% 0.1%open 5.9% 0.0% 59.7%

Table 2.14 – Maturity analysis

Maturity analysis (Q1.7)

Dec 2014 June 2014 Dec 20131 day 24.3% 23.9% 19.9%2 days to 1 week 15.9% 18.3% 15.8%1 week to 1 month 15.1% 18.1% 22.0%>1 month to 3 months 19.0% 12.7% 16.6%>3 months to 6 months 5.9% 4.4% 4.6%>6 months to 12 months 3.1% 3.8% 3.1%>12 months 1.5% 1.3% 3.1%forward-start 9.3% 10.4% 8.8%open 5.9% 7.2% 6.2%

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22 I ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014

Jun-

01D

ec-0

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-14

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-12

SD + open

1-6M

0

10

20

30

40

50

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6M+

Figure 2.13 – Maturity analysis: non-forward terms (main survey)

Jun-

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Forward

Figure 2.12 – Maturity analysis: short dates, longer terms & forwards(main survey)

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ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014 I 23

There was a major reductionin the share of repos with betweentwo days and one month remainingto maturity, which took the shareof short-dated transactions to53.9% from 60.3%. Businessshifted mainly into terms betweenone and three months. Con-sequently, the weighted averageterm to maturity lengthened to arange of 27-63 days from 24-57days (the lower end of the rangeassumes that all transactions havethe minimum term in eachmaturity band: the upper endassumes the maximum term).Note that the June 2014 numbershave been revised due to thecorrection of a submission.

The share of open repocontinued to contract and theshare of forward-start repocontinued to grow.

The pattern of change in theremaining maturities of tri-partyrepo, as reported directly by tri-

party agents, was similar to that inthe survey.

Data provided directly by ATSshowed that the trend in electronictrading continued to be growth inthe share of transactions with aremaining term of one day. Thisreached a record 87%.The share oftransactions with two days to oneweek remaining dipped to 8.6%but this maturity band appears tobe fluctuating sideways, sincefalling precipitately from 20.2% in2007. The one week to one monthband has also been trendingsideways since 2011, within acorridor of 1.5-3%. Transactionswith one to three month remaininghave fallen from a peak of 4.6% inDecember 2010 to 1.0% in thelatest survey. Transactions beyondthree months account for only0.6% of outstanding electronicbusiness.

Figure 2.14 – Maturity analysis: breakdown of short dates plus open(main survey)

Jun-

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-02

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-12

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0

5

10

15

20

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1W-1M

open

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24 I ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014

Figure 2.15 – Maturity analysis (ATS)

Figure 2.16 – Maturity analysis (tri-party agents)

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ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014 I 25

Figure 2.17 – Maturity analysis (voice-brokers)

Table 12.15 – Maturity comparison in June 2014

main survey ATS tri-party WMBA1 day 24.3% 87.0% 11.6% 4.5%2 days to 1 week 15.9% 8.6% 4.6% 4.9%1 week to 1 month 15.1% 2.7% 5.5% 15.0%>1 month to 3 months 19.0% 1.0% 7.3% 15.9%>3 months to 6 months 5.9% 0.2% 9.1% 7.6%>6 months to 12 months 3.1% 0.2% 1.8% 5.8%>12 months 1.5% 0.1% 1.3% 0.5%forward-start 9.3% 0.1% 43.8%open 5.9% 58.9% 2.1%

Product analysis (Q2)

The share of securities lendingconducted on repo desks was

virtually unchanged at 10.7%.

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26 I ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014

Repo89.3%

gSecuritiesLendin10.7%

Figure 2.18 – Product analysis

Dec 2014 June 2014 Dec 2013top 10 56.0% 57.4% 56.0%top 20 80.6% 81.0% 80.9%top 30 91.2% 91.9% 91.2%other 8.8% 8.1% 8.8%

There was a noticeable declinein the degree of concentration,

which reverted back to thesituation in December 2013.

Concentration analysis

Table 2.16 – Concentration analysis

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ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014 I 27

Although the apparent degreeof concentration of repo business ishigh, this does not mean that thelargest institutions havecommensurate market power. Abetter measure of market

concentration – often used incompetition analyses – is theHerfindahl Index.* This indexshows market concentration fallingsince 2011.

Top 1056.0%

Top 11-2024.7%

Top 21-3010.5%

Remainder8.8%

Figure 2.19 – Concentration analysis

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28 I ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014

index numbers in surveyDecember 2003 0.045 76June 2004 0.040 81December 2004 0.047 76June 2005 0.043 81December 2005 0.043 80June 2006 0.042 79December 2006 0.050 74June 2007 0.041 76December 2007 0.040 68June 2008 0.044 61December 2008 0.049 61June 2009 0.051 61December 2009 0.065 58June 2010 0.105 57December 2010 0.064 57June 2011 0.074 58December 2011 0.065 64June 2012 0.062 62December 2012 0.054 71June 2013 0.046 65December 2013 0.046 67June 2014 0.046 65December 2014 0.043 67

Table 2.17 – Herfindahl Index

*The Herfindahl Index is the sum of the squares of market shares divided by the square ofthe sum of market shares. The higher the index, the lower the degree of competition. If the indexis higher, the more a single institution has a dominant market share and/or the more insignificantthe market shares of all the other survey participants. A market in which several institutions havevery large market shares can therefore have a relatively low index

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CHAPTER 3:CONCLUSION

The contraction of theEuropean repo market measured inthe survey was widely expected.The primary drivers are generallyidentified as the subdued state offinancial markets and theincreasing burden of regulations,both implemented and anticipated,particularly regulation aimed atreducing banks’ leverage andreliance on very short-termwholesale funding. Marketparticipants highlight the LeverageRatio as a major constraint onbalance sheets and addition to thecost of business. The reduction inmarket concentration suggeststhat larger banks may have cutback more than their smallercompetitors.

The impact of regulationappears to be greatest oncommoditized, short-term, inter-dealer repos of government bonds,where margins are thinnest andwhere banks’ are least able torecover transactions costs(including increased regulatorycapital). This type of repo isprincipally traded across electronicplatforms, and these have sufferedan absolute and relative decline inactivity. On the other hand,directly-negotiated transactions,which include business withcustomers (who do not haveaccess to ATS) and morecustomized transactions (which arenot tradable on ATS), continued togain market share. These changesmay be a sign of banks respondingto leverage and liquidityregulations by allocating more oftheir balance sheets away from the

interbank market and towards end-users.

However, while electronictrading has fallen back overall,anonymous (ie CCP-cleared)electronic trading continues to berobust, maintaining its share of themarket and increasing its share ofelectronic trading. CCP offermultilateral netting and a lowerregulatory counterparty riskweight, which can help to reducethe burden of new regulation.Central clearing is therefore a toppriority for major banks.

Voice-brokers’ market share isclearly back on its long-termdownward trajectory. The reasonmay be that transactions whichbanks had previously foundconvenient to allow brokers toarrange, such as matched-booktrades, are becoming disp-roportionately expensive due tonew regulation and are thereforebeing cut back.

The continued decline ofdomestic repo and the growth incross-border transactions into andout of the eurozone may reflectstructural changes in the market.On the one hand, we may beseeing the greater internalizationof domestic customer businessand, on the other hand, increasinguse of cross-border transactionswith key counterparties in otherfinancial centres for liquiditymanagement particularly thosewho are members of the same CCP.

Tri-party repo continued togradually increase its share of thesurvey but this is still relativelylow. However, the growth in

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volumes reported directly by thetri-party agents is faster, whichhints at new participants.

While there was a shift tolonger-term funding during 2011-12, partly in response to regulatorypressure, the average duration ofthe repo market subsequentlyshortened again. Factors such asinverted yield curves havediscouraged term risk (why lendlonger for less return?). However,the latest survey shows thatbusiness has again been pushedout beyond the short dates (ie onemonth). Some of this shift intolonger maturities was the usualseasonal extension of borrowingterms to bridge the end of the year.But in addition, new regulationmay be forcing banks topermanently lengthen liabilities insearch of more stable funding. Andsome customers may also beseeking to lock in stable fundingfrom banks by transacting forlonger terms.

The continued fall in the shareof open repos may be a function ofits use in financing market-makinginventories and trading positions,which have been adverselyimpacted by the general reductionin marketing activity.

The contaction in floating-raterepo is possibly due to the low ornegative rates paid on transactionslinked to indices such as EONIAand the prospects of lower rates forthe forceable future.

Forward-start repos remainbuoyant as a result of moreforward collateral management toavoid late shortages.

The virtual disappearance ofthe Swiss franc repo market wouldseem to be due to scarcity ofcollateral and central bankoperations.

The latest survey shows ajump in the trading of Japanesecollateral. Market participantssuggest that, until thedowngrading of Japan’s creditratings late last year, Japanesegovernment bonds (JGB) may havebeen involved in collateraltransformation, with lower-qualityassets in euros and dollars beingswapped for JGBs cheaply(because of FX arbitrageopportunities), then JGBs beingswapped for European and USgovernment collateral eligible ashigh-quality liquid assets (HQLA)for regulatory purposes.

Increased use of collateralissued in some peripheral eurozonecountries (principally Italy andSpain) is thought to reflect theimprovement in their economic andfinancial prospects, and theanticipation of ratings upgrades. Inview of the recent investmentoutperformance of peripheralmarket yields, it may also be thatthese secured are being borrowedby leveraged funds in order to takeshort positions against a correctionin yields. Greater use of Germanand UK government debt, as wellas US collateral, may reflectcollateral upgrade trades.

30 I ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR

This report was compiled byRichard Comotto, who is a SeniorVisiting Fellow at the ICMA Centreat the University of Reading inEngland, where he is responsible forthe FX and money markets moduleof the Centre's postgraduate financeprogramme. He is also CourseDirector of the ICMA ProfessionalRepo Market Course conducted inEurope and Asia in co-operationwith the ACI and AFME/ASIFMA,and of the ICMA-ISLA GMRA-GMSLAWorkshop.

The author acts as anindependent consultant providingresearch, advice and training on theinternational money, securities andderivatives markets to professionalmarket associations, governmentagencies, regulatory authorities,international financial institutions,banks, brokers and financialinformation services.

The author has written anumber of books and articles on arange of financial topics, includingthe foreign exchange and moneymarkets, swaps and electronictrading systems. He takes particularinterest in the impact of electronictrading systems on the bond andrepo markets. Following thefinancial crisis, he has been advisingthe ICMA’s European Repo Councilon regulatory initiatives and hasproduced a series of papers: in July2010, a ‘White paper on theoperation of the European repomarket, the role of short-selling, the

problem of settlement failures andthe need for reform of the marketinfrastructure’; in September 2011,‘Interconnectivity of central andcommercial bank money in theclearing and settlement of theEuropean repo market’; in February2012, ‘Haircuts and Initial Marginsin the Repo Market’; and, in March2012, ‘Shadow Banking and Repo’.

The author served for ten yearsat the Bank of England, within itsForeign Exchange Division and onsecondment to the InternationalMonetary Fund in Washington DC.

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APPENDIX A: SURVEYGUIDANCE NOTES

The following extract is basedon the Guidance notes issued toparticipants in conjunction with thesurvey that took place onWednesday, December 10, 2014

The data required by thissurvey are: the total value of therepos and reverse repos booked byyour repo desk that are stilloutstanding at close of business onWednesday, December 10, 2014,and various breakdowns of theseamounts.

Branches of your bank in othercountries in Europe may be askedto complete separate returns. Ifyour repo transactions are bookedat another branch, please forwardthe survey form to that branch. Ifbranches of your bank in othercountries run their own repobooks, please copy the survey formto these branches, so that they canalso participate in the survey.Please feel free to copy the surveyform to other banks, if youdiscover that they have notreceived it directly.

General guidance

a)Please fill in as much of theform as possible. For each questionthat you answer, you will receiveback your ranking in that category.

b)If your institution does nottransact a certain type of repobusiness, please enter ‘N/A’ in therelevant fields. On the other hand,if your institution does that type ofbusiness but is not providing thedata requested by the survey,please do not enter anything into

the relevant field. If yourinstitution does that type ofbusiness but has no transactionsoutstanding, please enter zero intothe relevant field.

c)You only need to givefigures to the nearest million.However, if you give figures withdecimal points, please use fullstops as the symbols for thedecimal points, not commas. Fornil returns, please use zeros, notdashes or text.

d)Please do not re-format thesurvey form, ie change its lay-out,and do not leave formulae in thecells of the underlyingspreadsheet.

e)Include all repurchaseagreements (classic repos),sell/buy-backs and similar types oftransaction (e.g. pensions livrées).There is a separate question (seequestion 2) on securities lendingand borrowing transactions(including securities lending andborrowing against cash collateral).

f) Exclude repo transactionsundertaken with central banks aspart of their official money marketoperations. Other repotransactions with central banks,e.g. as part of their reservemanagement operations, should beincluded.

g)Give the value of the cashwhich is due to be repaid on allrepo and reverse repo contracts(not the market value or nominalvalue of the collateral) that are stilloutstanding at close of business onWednesday, December 10, 2014.This means the value oftransactions at their repurchaseprices.

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h)“Outstanding” means reposand reverse repos with arepurchase date, or which will rollover, on or after Thursday,December 11, 2014. You shouldinclude all open repos and reverserepos that have been rolled overfrom Wednesday, December 10,2014, to a later date and allforward-forward repos and reverserepos that are still outstanding atclose on Wednesday, December 10,2014.

i) Give separate totals for (a)repos plus sell/buy-backs and (b)reverse repos plus buy/sell-backs.

j) The survey seeks tomeasure the value of repos andreverse repos on a transaction datebasis, rather than a purchase datebasis. This means that you shouldinclude all repo and reverse repocontracts that have been agreedbefore close of business onWednesday, December 10, 2014,even if their purchase dates arelater.

k)Give gross figures, i.e. donot net opposite transactions withthe same counterparty. If this isnot possible, please indicate thatyour figures are net.

l) In the case of equity repo,for synthetic structures, pleasegive the value of the cashpayment.

Guidance on specific questionsin the survey form

1.1 Transactions (1.1.1)direct with counterparties or(1.1.2) through voice-brokersshould exclude all repos transactedover an ATS (see below). Theseshould be recorded under (1.1.3).

(1.1.2) Transactions throughvoice-brokers should be brokendown in terms of the location of thecounterparties, rather than thelocation of the voice-brokers.

(1.1.3) “ATSs” areautomatic trading systems (e.g.BrokerTec, Eurex Repo and MTS,but not voice-assisted electronicsystems such as e-speed andGFInet). Transactions throughvoice-assisted systems should beincluded in (1.1.2). Anonymoustransactions through an ATS with acentral counterparty (e.g. CC&G,LIFFE-Clearnet, MEFF and EurexClearing) should be recorded in(1.1.3.4) and (1.1.3.5). GCfinancing systems in (1.1.3.4) arethose ATS that are connected to aCCP and a tri-party repo service.Examples include Eurex Euro GCPooling and LCH-Clearnet’s €GCPlus basket traded on Brokertecand MTS. They do not include GCbasket trading on ATS. This activitymay be cleared across a CCP butdoes not involve a tri-party service,and should be recorded in(1.1.3.5).

1.2 This item includes allthe transactions recorded in(1.1.3) plus any transactionsexecuted directly withcounterparties and via voice-brokers which are then registeredwith and cleared through a centralcounterparty.

1.5 “Repurchaseagreements” (also known as“classic repos”) includetransactions documented underthe Global Master RepurchaseAgreement (GMRA) 1995, theGlobal Master RepurchaseAgreement (GMRA) 2000 or theGlobal Master Repurchase

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Agreement (GMRA) 2011 withoutreference to the Buy/Sell-BackAnnexes, and transactionsdocumented under other masteragreements. “Sell/buy-backs” aretherefore taken to include alltransactions that are notdocumented. Repurchase agree-ments include pensions livrées.Repurchase agreements arecharacterised by the immediatepayment by the buyer to the sellerof a manufactured or substitutepayment upon receipt by the buyerof a coupon on the collateral heldby the buyer. If a coupon is paid oncollateral during the term of asell/buy-back, the buyer does notmake an immediate manufacturedor substitute payment to the seller,but reinvests the coupon until therepurchase date of the sell/buy-back and deducts the manu-factured or substitute payment(plus reinvestment income) fromthe repurchase price due to bereceived from the seller. Sell/buy-backs may be quoted in terms of aforward price rather than a reporate. Where sell/buy-backs aredocumented (e.g. under theBuy/Sell-Back Annexes to theGMRA 1995, GMRA 2000 or GMRA2011), periodic adjustments to therelative amounts of collateral orcash - which, for a repurchaseagreement, would be performed bymargin maintenance transfers orpayments - are likely to be madeby early termination andadjustment or re-pricing. All openrepos are likely to be repurchaseagreements.

1.7 This section asks forthe remaining term to maturity(not the original term to maturity)of repos to be broken down asfollows:

(1.7.1.1) 1 day – this means:• all contracts transacted priorto Wednesday, December 10,2014, with a repurchase date onThursday, December 11, 2014;• overnight, tom/next,spot/next and corporate/nextcontracts transacted onWednesday, December 10, 2014.

(1.7.1.2) 2–7 days – this means:• all contracts transacted priorto Wednesday, December 10,2014, with a repurchase date onFriday, December 12, 2014, or anyday thereafter up to and includingWednesday, December 17, 2014;• contracts transacted onWednesday, December 10, 2014,with an original repurchase date onFriday, December 12, 2014, or anyday thereafter up to and includingWednesday, December 17, 2014(irrespective of the purchase date,which will vary).

(1.7.1.3) More than 7 days but nomore than 1 month – this means:• all contracts transacted priorto Wednesday, December 10,2014, with a repurchase date onThursday, December 18, 2014, orany day thereafter up to andincluding Monday, January 12,2015;• contracts transacted onWednesday, December 10, 2014,with an original repurchase date onThursday, December 18, 2014, orany day thereafter up to andincluding Friday, January 12, 2015(irrespective of the purchase date,which will vary).

(1.7.1.4) More than 1 month butno more than 3 months – thismeans:• all contracts transacted priorto Wednesday, December 10,2014, with a repurchase date on

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Tuesday, January 13, 2015, or anyday thereafter up to and includingTuesday, March 10, 2015;• contracts transacted onWednesday, December 10, 2014,with an original repurchase date onMonday, January 13, 2015, or anyday thereafter up to and includingTuesday, March 10, 2015(irrespective of the purchase date,which will vary).

(1.7.1.5) More than 3 months butno more than 6 months – thismeans:• all contracts transacted priorto Wednesday, December 10,2014, with a repurchase date onWednesday, March 11, 2015, orany day thereafter up to andincluding Wednesday, June 10,2015;• contracts transacted onWednesday, December 10, 2014,with an original repurchase date onWednesday, March 11, 2015, orany day thereafter up to andincluding Wednesday, June 10,2015 (irrespective of the purchasedate, which will vary).

(1.7.1.6) More than 6 months butno more than 12 months – thismeans;• all contracts transacted priorto Wednesday, December 10,2014, with a repurchase date onThursday, June 11, 2015, or anyday thereafter up to and includingThursday, December 10, 2015;• contracts transacted onWednesday, December 10, 2014,with an original repurchase date onThursday, June 11, 2015, or anyday thereafter up to and includingThursday, December 10, 2015(irrespective of the purchase date,which will vary).(1.7.1.7) More than 12 months –this means;

• all contracts transacted priorto Wednesday, December 10,2014, with a repurchase date onThursday, December 10, 2015, orany day thereafter;• contracts transacted onWednesday, December 10, 2014,with an original repurchase date onor after Thursday, December 10,2015 (irrespective of the purchasedate, which will vary).

(1.7.2) For repos againstcollateral that includes atransferable security regulatedunder the EU MiFID regulations andthat have been executed on aMiFID-regulated trading venue,and where a firm is following theICMA recommendation toanticipate the T+2 settlementdeadline to be imposed in 2015under the EU CSD Regulation(CSDR), forward-forward repos aredefined for the purposes of thissurvey as contracts with apurchase date of Monday,December 15, 2014, or later. Thereis therefore an overlap withcorporate/next transactions. If thelatter cannot be identifiedseparately, it is accepted that theywill be recorded as forward-forward repos. It does not matterthan most repo may actually betraded for T+1 (ie a purchase dateof Thursday, December 11). Forrepos transacted in the OTC marketor against collateral not regulatedunder MiFID, or where firms areignoring the T+2 deadline until theCSDR is implemented, thedefinition of forward-forward maybe different.

(1.7.3) Open repos aredefined for the purposes of thissurvey as contracts that have nofixed repurchase date whennegotiated but are terminable on

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demand by either counterparty.This item should be equal to item(1.6.3). Open repos should, intheory, be floating-rate, but inpractice are often re-fixedirregularly, so are being treatedseparately from floating-rate repo(1.6.2).

1.8 Please confirmwhether the transactions recordedin the various questions in (1.7)include your tri-party repobusiness. Some institutions do notconsolidate their tri-party repotransactions with their direct orvoice-brokered business becauseof delays in receiving reports fromtri-party agents or the complexityof their tri-party business.

1.9 Eurobonds should beincluded as fixed income securitiesissued “by other issuers” in thecountries in which the bonds areissued. This will typically beLuxembourg (1.9.10) and the UK(1.9.15). Equity collateral shouldbe recorded in (1.9.35).

(1.9.28) “Official internationalfinancial institutions, includingmultilateral development banks”include:

African Development Bank (AfDB)Asian Development Bank (AsDB)Caribbean Development Bank(CDB)Central American Bank forEconomic Integration (CABEI)Corporacion Andina de Fomento(CAF)East African Development Bank(EADB)European Bank for Reconstructionand Development (EBRD)European Commission(EC)/European Financial StabilityMechanism (EFSM)

European Financial StabilityFacility (EFSF)European Investment Bank (EIB)European Stabilisation Mechanism(ESM)Inter-American Development BankGroup (IADB)International Fund for AgriculturalDevelopment (IFAD)Islamic Development Bank (IDB)Nordic Development Fund (NDF)Nordic Investment Bank (NIB)OPEC Fund for InternationalDevelopment (OPEC Fund)West African Development Bank(BOAD)World Bank Group (IBRD and IFC)

(1.9.29) “US in the form offixed income securities but settledacross Euroclear or Clearstream”means only domestic and Yankeebonds. This includes Reg.144abonds, but excludes Eurodollar andUS dollar global bonds, whichshould be treated as bonds issued“by other issuers” in the countriesin which the bonds were issued.This will typically be Luxembourg(1.9.10) and the UK (1.9.15).

(1.9.31) “Other OECDcountries” are Australia, Canada,Chile, Iceland, Israel, Korea,Mexico, New Zealand, Norway,Switzerland, Turkey and the US. Inthe case of collateral issued in theUS, only collateral settled acrossthe domestic US settlement systemshould be included in (1.9.31). US-originated collateral settled acrossEuroclear and ClearstreamLuxembourg should be recorded in(1.9.29).

(1.9.32) “Other non-OECDEuropean, Middle Eastern & Africancountries” should exclude any EUcountries, specifically, Bulgaria(1.9.16), Cyprus (1.9.17), Latvia

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(1.9.21), Lithuania (1.9.22), Malta(1.9.23) and Romania (1.9.25).

(1.9.35) “Equity” includesordinary shares, preference sharesand equity-linked debt such asconvertible bonds.

2 “Total value of securitiesloaned and borrowed by your repodesk” includes the lending andborrowing of securities with eithercash or securities collateral.Exclude any securities lending andborrowing done by desks otherthan your repo desk. If your repodesk does not do any securitieslending and borrowing, this line willbe a nil return.

3 “Active” means about once aweek or more often.

For further help and information

If, having read the Guidance Notes,you have any further queries, pleasee-mail the ICMA Centre [email protected] orcontact one of the followingmembers of the ERC SteeringCommittee:

German speakerEduard Cia, HVB,[email protected] +49 89 378 14172

Italian speakerStefano Bellani, JP Morgan,[email protected],+44 20 7779 2399

English speakerEdward Mcaleer, Morgan Stanley,[email protected],+44 20 7677 9595

French speakerGodfried de Vidts, ICAP,[email protected],+44 20 7000 5803

This survey is being conducted bythe ICMA Centre, University ofReading, UK, at the request ofICMA’s European Repo Council(ERC).

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List of Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec

respondents -05 -05 -06 -06 -07 -07 -08 -08 -09 -09 -10 -10 -11 -11 -12 -12 -13 -13 -14 -15

ABN Amro Bank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Allied Irish Banks x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

AXA Bank Europe x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Banc Sabadell x x x x x x

Banca

d’Intermediazione

Mobiliare (IMI) x x x

Banca Monte dei

Paschi di Siena x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Banco BPI x x x

Banco Nazional

del Lavoro x x x

Banco Popular

Espanol

Banco Santander x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Bank Austria x x x x x x x x x

Bank fuer Arbeit und

Wirtschaft und

Oesterreichische

Postsparkasse

(Bawag) x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Bank of America

(merged to become

Bank of America

Merrill Lynch) x x x

Bank of Ireland x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Bank Przemyslowo-

Handlowy SA x x x x x x x x x x x

Landesbank Berlin x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Banque de

Luxembourg x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Banque et Caisse

d’Epargne de l’Etat x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Barclays Capital x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Bayerische

Landesbank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

BBVA x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

APPENDIX B: SURVEY PARTICIPANTS

The participants in previous repo surveys are listed below. Companynames provided here are as supplied by those involved in producing thesurvey. Names of ICMA member firms may not, therefore, precisely reflectthe manner in which they are published in ICMA’s Members’ Register.

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ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014 I 39

List of Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec

respondents -05 -05 -06 -06 -07 -07 -08 -08 -09 -09 -10 -10 -11 -11 -12 -12 -13 -13 -14 -15

BHF-Bank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

BHF-Bank

International x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

BNP Paribas x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Bundesrepublik

Deutschland

Finanzagentur x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Caixa Bank x x x x x x x

Caixa d'Estalvis

de Catalunya x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Bankia SA (formerly

Caja de Ahorros y

Monte de Piedad de

Madrid (Caja Madrid) x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

CA-CIB (formerly

Calyon) x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Capitalia x x x

NATIXIS

Zweigniederlassung

Deutschland x x x x x x

Citigroup Global

Markets Ltd x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Commerzbank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Canadian Imperial

Bank of Commerce

and Credit (CIBC) x x x x x x x x x

Confederación

Española de Cajas

de Ahorros (CECA) x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Credit Suisse

Securities

(Europe) Ltd x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Danske Bank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Daiwa Securities

SMBC Europe x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Dekabank Deutsche

Girozentrale x x x x x x x

DePfa ACS x x x x x x

DePfa Bank x

Deutsche Bank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Deutsche Postbank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Belfius Bank

(formerly Dexia) x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Dexia BIL x x x x

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40 I ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014

List of Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec

respondents -05 -05 -06 -06 -07 -07 -08 -08 -09 -09 -10 -10 -11 -11 -12 -12 -13 -13 -14 -15

Dexia Kommunal

Bank Deutschland x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Dresdner Bank x x x x x x x x

DZ Bank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

EFG Eurobank

Ergasias x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Egnatia Bank

Erste Bank der

Oesterreichischen

Sparkassen x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Euroclear Bank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Eurohypo x x x x

Hypothekenbank

Frankfurt International

(formerly Eurohypo

Europäische

Hypothekenbank) x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Fortis Bank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Goldman Sachs x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Halifax Bank of

Scotland x x x

HSBC x x x x

HSBC Athens x x x x x x x x x x

HSBC France x x x x x x x x x x

HSH Nordbank x

Bayerische Hypo-

und-Vereinsbank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

ING Bank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

ING Belgium x x x

Intesa SanPaolo x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Jefferies

International Ltd x x x x x x

JP Morgan x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Jyske Bank x

KBC x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

KfW x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Kingdom of Belgium

Federal Public

Service Debt Agency x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Landesbank Baden-

Württemberg,

Stuttgart x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Landesbank Hessen-

Thüringen -

Girozentrale (Helaba) x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

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ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014 I 41

List of Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec

respondents -05 -05 -06 -06 -07 -07 -08 -08 -09 -09 -10 -10 -11 -11 -12 -12 -13 -13 -14 -15

Landesbank Rheinland Pfalz x x x x xLandesbank Sachsen Girozentrale x x x x xLehman Brothers x x x x x x xMacquarie Bank x x x x x x x xBank of America Merrill Lynch x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x xMitsubishi Securities International x x x x x x x x x x x x x xMizuho International x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x xMorgan Stanley x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x xNational Bank of Greece x x x x x x xNewedge x x xNomura International x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x xNorddeutsche Landesbank Girozentrale x x x x x x x x x x x xNordea Markets x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x xNorinchukin Bank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x xNova Ljubljanska Banka d.d. x x x x x x x x x x x xRabobank x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x xRoyal Bank of Canada x x x xRoyal Bank of Scotland x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x xRBI x x x x x x x x x x xSal. Oppenheim Jr. xSampo Bank x x xSEBSociété Générale x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x xToronto Dominion Bank x x xUBS x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x xUlster Bank x x xUnicredit/Bayerische Hypo-un-Vereinsbank Milano Branch x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Westdeutsche

Landesbank

Girozentrale x x x x x x x x

Zagrabacka Banka x x x

Page 42: ICMA ERC European Repo Survey December 2014

42 I ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014

Q1 What are the total gross valuesof cash due to be repaid by you andrepaid to you on repo transactions 5,908 6,127 5,611 5,499 5,782 5,500maturing after survey date? (figures in EUR billions)Of the amounts given in response to question (1) above:

Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-141.1 How much was transacted: direct with counterparties• in the same country as you 18.6% 16.3% 14.0% 15.5% 14.4% 14.7%• cross-border in (other)eurozone countries 12.7% 10.6% 11.7% 12.5% 12.4% 11.3%• cross-border in non-eurozone countries 20.3% 22.8% 25.3% 25.2% 26.5% 28.9%through voice-brokers

• in the same country as you 11.0% 11.9% 9.4% 7.5% 6.9% 6.3%• cross-border in (other)

eurozone countries 4.5% 4.0% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%• cross-border in

non-eurozone countries 4.8% 4.4% 3.3% 4.1% 3.6% 3.8%on ATSs with counterparties

• in the same country as you 4.0% 5.7% 6.3% 3.1% 3.9% 3.7%• cross-border in (other)

eurozone countries 2.9% 3.2% 3.7% 2.0% 3.3% 2.3%• cross-border in

non-eurozone countries 2.9% 3.2% 3.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4%• anonymously across a

GC financing system 4.2% 5.8% 5.6%• anonymously through a central

clearing counterparty but not GC financing 18.5% 17.9% 19.8% 20.6% 18.3% 18.5%

1.2 Total through a central clearing counterparty 32.3% 32.0% 31.7% 30.9% 32.1% 27.4%

1.3 How much of the cash is denominated in:

• EUR 62.7% 59.8% 61.4% 66.3% 65.7% 63.6%• GBP 10.5% 11.5% 13.3% 10.2% 10.5% 10.9%• USD 20.1% 17.1% 17.3% 14.8% 14.5% 15.1%• SEK, DKK 2.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.5% 2.4% 2.9%• JPY 3.6% 7.0% 4.5% 4.9% 5.4% 6.3%

APPENDIX C:SUMMARY OF SURVEY RESULTS

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ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014 I 43

Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14

• CHF 0.2% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%• other currencies 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.1%

1.4 How much is cross-currency? 5.6% 3.0% 2.1% 0.9% 1.8% 2.1%1.5 How much is:

• classic repo 85.8% 87.0% 87.2% 86.0% 85.4% 85.0%• documented sell/buy-backs 10.6% 9.7% 10.8% 12.4% 13.7% 12.9%• undocumented sell/buy-backs 3.6% 3.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 2.1%

1.6 How much is: • fixed rate 86.4% 84.2% 74.7% 78.8% 79.6% 84.5%• floating rate 7.6% 9.7% 7.8% 8.6% 7.2% 9.6%• open 5.9% 6.0% 17.4% 12.6% 13.2% 5.9%

1.7 How much repo is for value before (survey date)and has a remaining term to maturity of:

• 1 day 20.9% 15.8% 17.0% 19.9% 23.9% 24.3%• 2-7days 18.9% 16.3% 16.3% 15.8% 18.3% 15.9%• more than 7 days but no

more than 1 month 22.7% 16.0% 17.2% 22.0% 18.1% 15.1%• more than 1 month but no

more than 3 months 15.2% 16.5% 16.0% 16.6% 12.7% 19.0%• more than 3 months but no

more than 6 months 5.4% 4.3% 4.1% 4.6% 4.4% 5.9%• more than 6 months 3.6% 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 3.1%• more than 12 months 1.0% 12.7% 5.9% 3.1% 1.3% 1.5%• forward-forward repos 6.7% 9.6% 7.8% 8.8% 10.4% 9.3%• open 5.7% 5.8% 12.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.9%

1.8 How much is tri-party repo: 10.5% 11.4% 9.5% 9.9% 10.2% 10.5%• for fixed terms to maturity 89.5% 87.7% 91.9% 95.1% 93.4% 97.4%• on an open basis 11.6% 12.3% 12.6% 4.7% 6.6% 2.6%

1.9 How much is against collateral issued in:

Austria• by the central government 1.0% 1.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9%

by other issuers 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%Belgium

• by the central government 2.2% 3.2% 2.7% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1%• by other issuers 0.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%

Denmark• by the central government 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%• by other issuers 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1%

Finland• by the central government 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5%• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

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44 I ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014

Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14

France• by the central government 7.3% 8.1% 9.6% 10.0% 9.5% 9.3%• by other issuers 2.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3%

Germany• by the central government 18.7% 15.4% 16.7% 17.3% 14.2% 15.4%• pfandbrief 1.3% 1.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8%• by other issuers 4.3% 4.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.4% 3.0%

Greece• by the central government 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Ireland• by the central government 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4%• by other issuers 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4

Italy• by the central government 9.8% 6.4% 8.3% 8.7% 9.9% 9.8%• by other issuers 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6%

Luxembourg• by the central government 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%• by other issuers 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2%

Netherlands• by the central government 1.7% 2.9% 2.6% 2.5% 2.1% 1.7%• by other issuers 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6%

Portugal• by the central government 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4%• by other issuers 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%

Spain• by the central government 3.9% 5.3% 4.2% 4.6% 5.2% 5.6%• by other issuers 1.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9%

Sweden• by the central government 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.8%• by other issuers 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%

UK• by the central government 8.0% 10.6% 12.4% 9.8% 9.1% 10.0%• by other issuers 3.6% 1.9% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5%• US but settled across EOC/CS 3.1% 3.1% 2.6% 2.8% 2.6% 3.6%

other countriesBulgaria

• by the central government 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Cyprus• by the central government 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Czech Republic• by the central government 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

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ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014 I 45

Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Estonia• by the central government 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Hungary• by the central government 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Latvia• by the central government 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Lithuania• by the central government 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Malta• by the central government 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Poland• by the central government 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Romania• by the central government 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%• Slovak Republic• by the central government 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Slovenia• by the central government 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%• by other issuers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%• official international institutions 0.8% 1.4% 2.7% 2.4% 2.2%

Japan 2.6% 5.2% 3.2% 4.6% 4.8% 8.6%• other OECD 13.7% 10.4% 12.7% 10.3% 11.2% 6.5%• non-OECD EMEA 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6%• non-OECD Asian & Pacific 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7%• non-OECD Latin America 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6%• equity 0.7% 0.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

collateral of unknown origin 6.3% 7.0% 4.0% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7%collateral in tri-party which cannot be attributed to a country or issuer 2.6% 4.0% 3.5%Q2 What is the total value of securities loaned and borrowed by your repo desk: to/from counterpartiesin the same country as you in

• fixed income 46.8% 39.8% 40.8% 38.8% 41.6% 38.3%• in equity 1.7% 1.8% 0.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.7%

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46 I ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014

Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14• cross-border in (other)

eurozone countries• in fixed income 16.8% 20.2% 16.1% 23.8% 20.8% 21.7%• in equity 3.6% 0.3% 1.2% 2.3% 1.3% 1.1%• cross-border in

non-eurozone countries• in fixed income 30.3% 35.8% 39.5% 32.3% 35.2% 38.0%• in equity 0.8% 2.1% 1.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3%

for which the term to maturity is• fixed 75.3% 70.1% 54.5% 54.7% 60.5% 58.6%• open 24.7% 29.9% 45.5% 45.3% 39.5% 41.4%

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ICMA EUROPEAN REPO MARKET SURVEY DECEMBER 2014 I 47

APPENDIX D: THE ICMAEUROPEAN REPOCOUNCIL

The ICMA European RepoCouncil (ERC) is the forum where therepo dealer community meets andforges consensus solutions to thepractical problems of a rapidlyevolving marketplace. In this role, ithas been consolidating and codifyingbest market practice. The contactand dialogue that takes place at theERC underpins the strong sense ofcommunity and common interestthat characterises the professionalrepo market in Europe.

The ERC was established inDecember 1999 by the InternationalCapital Market Association (ICMA,which was then called theInternational Securities MarketAssociation or ISMA) as a bodyoperating under ICMA auspices.

Membership of the ERC is opento any ICMA member who hascommenced, or has undertaken tocommence, a dedicated repo activity,is willing to abide by the rulesapplicable to its and has sufficientprofessional expertise, financialstanding and technical resources tomeet its obligations as a member.

The ERC meets twice a year(usually in February/March andSeptember) at different financialcentres across Europe. The SteeringCommittee now comprises 19members elected annually andmeets four times a year.

More information about the ERCis available on www.icmagroup.org.